cnotes Posts:24282 Followers:32
On 06/28/2012 05:02 PM in MLB

cnotes thursday's mlb best bets !

Cueto & Reds Battle Giants In San Francisco

The San Francisco Giants and Cincinnati Reds are gearing up for a pitcher’s duel on Thursday night and the oddsmakers have adjusted the total accordingly.

An update for Wednesday night is first on the agenda. Miami is a 135 home favorite over St. Louis with Anibal Sanchez facing Joe Kelly. The total on the Don Best odds screen is nine runs.

St. Louis’ Kelly (1-0, 3.52 ERA) is making just his fourth career start, but is coming off his first MLB win over Kansas City. The 24-year-old was a high draft pick and has a 94 mph fastball, but wasn’t striking out a lot of guys at Triple-A (5.60 per nine innings) and is at 4.70 since being called up.

Sanchez (3-6, 3.94 ERA) has been unlucky with a high BABIP (batting average on balls in play). His numbers in June can only be partially blamed for that with 20 earned runs over 22 1/3 innings (8.06 ERA).

Don Best MLB analyst Kenny White likes Sanchez’s stuff and believes he will turn it around. The Miami offense scored 16 total runs on Sunday and Monday after really struggling previously. The ‘over’ is 24-13-3 in Marlins’ home games this year, scoring 4.1 runs per game vs. 3.35 away.

Thursday has Arizona at Atlanta. The Braves are 145 favorites with a total of nine. Arizona’s Trevor Bauer makes his MLB debut as the third pick overall in the draft last year. He was an incredible 11-1 in Triple-A with 116 strikeouts in 93 innings.

Don Best’s White loves Bauer’s electric stuff and he has at least six different pitches. The UCLA alum projects well to this level and the team will also get back shortstop Stephen Drew into the lineup following his rehab from last season's nasty ankle injury.

Jair Jurrjens (1-2, 6.75 ERA) will go for the home team. He had a nice performance at Boston last time out (one earned run over 7 2/3 innings) after 10 Triple-A starts. He was 13-6 with a 2.96 ERA last year, so the talent is there, although he is still something of a wild-card.

Also on Thursday is Cincinnati at San Francisco. The pitching matchup is Johnny Cueto against Madison Bumgarner and San Fran is a 125 favorite with a very low total of six.

Cueto (9-3, 2.21 ERA) had nine strikeouts and seven shutout innings against the Twins last game. He is 4-0 with a 1.47 ERA during June and his ERA is a dominating 2.27 over the last two seasons.

Bumgarner (9-4, 3.10 ERA) allowed 11 hits over six innings at Oakland last start, but still got the win in the 9-8 final. His ERA was around the same last year (3.21), but he went only 13-13. He is benefiting from much better run support this season and he’ll keep winning if the bats stay strong.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24282 Followers:32
06/28/2012 05:04 PM

Slipping Dodgers Face Dickey & Mets On Friday

Several top-notch pitching matchups take place Friday, perhaps none bigger than Justin Verlander battling David Price as the Detroit Tigers and Tampa Bay Rays continue their series at Tropicana Field.

Detroit has floundered all season after being the chalkiest of picks to win a division with a -650 price in the AL Central in early April. The Tigers began this series three games under .500 (36-39), but well within striking distance of the Chicago White Sox with only a 4-game deficit in the standings.

Tampa Bay has been in a bit of a funk as well and trailed the New York Yankees by 6.5 games in the AL East after leading the division less than three weeks ago. The Rays have dropped 10 of their last 15 since June 10 when they held a slim half-game advantage in the AL East.

The Rays and Tigers opened the 4-game series on Thursday night in a game that was still pending and listed Tampa Bay as a 120 home favorite with a 7½-run total. Max Scherzer was scheduled to start for Detroit opposite Tampa's James Shields.

Friday's second game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. (ET), and the early bird lines priced Verlander at -115 with a 7-run total leaning 25 cents to the 'under.'

Verlander has pitched the Tigers into the winner's circle each of his last four assignments, including a complete-game victory at Pittsburgh last Sunday. He was vying for a complete-game shutout when he faced the Rays in Detroit on April 11, but couldn't pull it off as Tampa Bay rallied for four runs in the top of the ninth after Verlander took a 2-0 lead into the final frame.

The Tigers were $1.65 favorites in that contest, and have been favored in each of Verlander's 16 starts. If the opening number for Friday holds, it will be the shortest price Detroit backers have been asked to lay in a Verlander outing.

Price picked up his 10th win of the campaign last Sunday in Philadelphia, getting some help from his bullpen in a 3-2 Tampa Bay triumph as a slight underdog. The southpaw out of Vanderbilt has notched the dubya in four of his last five starts and is 3-1 in four career efforts vs. Detroit with a 2.36 ERA.

In the April series at Comerica Park, the Tigers won two of the three games with the 'under' cashing twice to go with one 'push.' Detroit won three of the four played in St. Pete a season ago, the 'under' a winner three times along with a 'push' on a 7-run total in a game that Verlander started and won.

Dickey Takes Crack At Offensively-Challenged Dodgers
Another key 4-game set cranks up Thursday when the New York Mets continue their weeklong trip with a stop in Los Angeles to face the Dodgers. Chris Young was in line to take the bump for the Metropolitans opposite LA's Chris Capuano, and the Dodgers were 125 favorites on the Don Best odds screen that also listed a 7-run total priced to the 'under.'

The Mets arrived in Tinseltown off a 17-1 laugher at the Chicago Cubs' expense on Wednesday. The victory stopped a 4-game skid for New York and left the club third in the NL East, 4.5-games south of the front-running Washington Nationals.

The Dodgers were beginning this series on a 1-8 slide and in the throes of a 4-game losing streak after being swept by the Giants. Los Angeles couldn't muster a single run in the broom job at San Francisco who now shares the NL West lead with the struggling Dodgers.

Friday's second game will begin at 10:10 p.m. (ET) and features an initial mound duel between New York's RA Dickey and LA's Aaron Harang. The Mets opened as 115 favorites and the scoreboard hurdle was set at 6½.

Dickey had been the hottest arm in the game before running into the Yankees last Sunday. The knuckleballer allowed five runs in six frames, but didn't factor into the decision that went to the Yanks by a 6-5 count. The Mets had won his previous nine starts, and are 5-2 behind Dickey on the road thus far in 2012.

This will only be Harang's sixth appearance at Chavez Ravine with 10 of his 15 starts to date coming on the road. The Dodgers are 3-2 at home with Harang on the bump, and his ERA is more than two runs lower in LA (2.51) than away from home (4.58).

The teams are meeting for the first time in 2012 after New York won five of the seven clashes last season. The Mets were 3-1 in LA, the only Dodgers win coming when Clayton Kershaw took on New York's Dillon Gee. Those two hurlers are currently scheduled to meet Sunday night in the series finale.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24282 Followers:32
06/28/2012 05:07 PM

Diamond Trends - Thursday

June 28, 2012


SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The White Sox are 0-12 since August 02, 2011 when playing a night game vs a team that has won at least their last four games for a net profit of $1212 when playing against.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Mets are 16-0-1 OU since June 28, 2011 when playing a night game as a road dog after scoring 6+ runs for a net profit of $1600 when playing the over.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Phillies are 0-7 OU since June 09, 2011 when Kyle Kendrick starts at home after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $700 when playing the under.


MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


Brett Cecil has produced a team record of 9-0 (4.7 rpg) since August 2009 as a dog in the first game of a series if he worked less than eight innings last start.


TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Angels are 0-6 since May 19, 2011 when Dan Haren starts as a road favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $775 when playing against.

The Blue Jays are 0-8 OU since April 08, 2011 when playing a night game as a dog after a loss in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24282 Followers:32
06/28/2012 05:10 PM

Around the Horn - Thursday

June 27, 2012

NATIONAL LEAGUE


Pittsburgh at Philadelphia - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Burnett (8-2, 3.24 ERA) 39-35 7-2 L9 away during day
Kendrick (2-7, 5.24 ERA) 36-41 OVER 4-0 L4 Game 4's


Phillies beat Pirates, 8-3 on Monday
Phillies beat Pirates, 5-4 on Tuesday
Pirates beat Phillies, 11-7 on Wednesday

Washington at Colorado - 3:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Jackson (4-4, 2.91 ERA) 43-30 6-1 L7 away vs LHP
Outman (0-3, 8.64 ERA) 28-46 2-9 L11 home


Rockies beat Nationals, 4-2 on Monday
Nationals beat Rockies, 12-5 on Tuesday
Nationals beat Rockies, 11-5 on Wednesday

Arizona at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Bauer (NR) 37-37 7-3 L10 away Game 3's
Jurrjens (1-2, 6.75 ERA) 40-34 1-5 L6 home Game 3's

Braves beat Diamondbacks, 8-1 on Tuesday
Braves beat Diamondbacks, 6-4 on Wednesday

San Diego at Houston - 8:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Cashner (3-3, 3.81 ERA) 27-49 1-10 L11 away vs LHP
Keuchel (1-0, 1.29 ERA) 32-43 UNDER 6-2-1 L9 home vs RHP


Padres beat Astros, 8-7 on Monday
Astros beat Padres, 5-3 on Tuesday
Astros beat Padres, 1-0 on Wednesday

N.Y. Mets at Los Angeles - 10:10 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Young (1-1, 3.42 ERA) 40-36 4-9 L13 away vs LHP
Capuano (9-2, 2.60 ERA) 43-33 1-6 L7 home vs RHP


Mets beat Cubs, 17-1 on Wednesday
Dodgers lost to Giants, 3-0 on Wednesday


Cincinnati at San Francisco - 10:10 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Cueto (9-3, 2.21 ERA) 41-33 7-3 L10 away Game 1's
Bumgarner (9-4, 3.10 ERA) 43-33 5-1 L6 home Game 1's

Reds lost to Brewers, 8-4 on Wednesday
Giants beat Dodgers, 3-0 on Wednesday

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Cleveland at Baltimore - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
McAllister (1-1, 3.96 ERA) 37-37 3-6 L9 away vs LHP
Chen (7-3, 3.38 ERA) 41-33 OVER 6-1 L7 home Game 1's


Indians lost to Yankees, 5-4 on Wednesday
Orioles lost to Angels, 13-1 on Wednesday

Chicago at N.Y. Yankees - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Axelrod (0-1, 4.85 ERA) 40-35 UNDER 8-4 L12 away Game 1's
Nova (9-2, 4.25 ERA) 46-28 UNDER 16-4 L20 home vs RHP


White Sox beat Twins, 12-5 on Wednesday
Yankees beat Indians, 5-4 on Wednesday

L.A. Angels at Toronto - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/2)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Haren (5-7, 4.24 ERA) 42-33 5-0 L5 away vs LHP
Cecil (1-0, 2.45 ERA) 38-37 UNDER 5-0 L5 on Thursdays


Angels beat Orioles, 13-1 on Wednesday
Blue Jays lost to Red Sox, 10-4 on Wednesday

Detroit at Tampa Bay - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Scherzer (6-5, 5.12 ERA) 36-39 4-9 L13 away Game 1's
Shields (7-4, 3.99 ERA) 41-34 16-9 L25 home vs RHP


Tigers lost to Rangers, 13-9 on Wednesday
Rays lost to Royals, 5-4 on Wednesday

Oakland at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Ross (2-7, 6.02 ERA) 37-39 6-1 L7 on Thursdays
Feldman (1-6, 6.00 ERA) 47-29 6-1 L7 home Game 1's


Athletics beat Mariners, 2-1 on Wednesday
Rangers beat Tigers, 13-9 on Wednesday

Boston at Seattle - 10:15 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Morales (1-1, 3.12 ERA) 40-35 12-5 L17 away vs RHP
Hernandez (5-5, 3.36 ERA) 32-45 4-7 L11 home vs LHP


Red Sox beat Blue Jays, 10-4 on Wednesday
Mariners lost to Athletics, 2-1 on Wednesday

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24282 Followers:32
06/28/2012 05:15 PM

Giants seek 4th straight shutout win Thursday

CINCINNATI REDS (41-33)

at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (43-33)


First pitch: Thursday, 10:15 p.m. EDT
Line: San Francisco -115, Cincinnati +105, Total: 6½

Two red-hot pitchers, Johnny Cueto and Madison Bumgarner, collide when Cincinnati opens a four-game set in San Francisco on Thursday night.

The Giants pitching was unbelievable in their just-completed, three-game sweep of the Dodgers, posting three straight shutouts, 8-0, 2-0 and 3-0. That gives them five wins in the past six games, and this pitching dominance doesn’t bode well for the Reds, who are just 3-6 in their past three series, surpassing four runs just twice in this span. However, Cueto doesn’t need a whole lot of run support by the way he’s dominated in his past three outings (25 IP, 2 ER, 24 K, 2 BB). Bumgarner is coming off a poor outing in Oakland (6 IP, 11 H, 4 ER), but he’s been money at AT&T Park this season (2.27 ERA, 0.99 WHIP), fanning 39 and walking just three in these 43.2 home innings. With two excellent arms and suspect offenses, the best play here is the UNDER which is 24-12 in San Francisco this year, as the Giants have scored just 3.4 runs per game while visitors have a paltry 2.7 runs per game.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Under:

SAN FRANCISCO is 34-12 UNDER (73.9%, +19.9 Units) at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 2.6, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 3*).

Cueto (9-3, 2.21 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) absolutely owned the Giants last season, throwing 16 shutout innings over two starts, giving up just seven hits and three walks, while fanning 14 batters. He’s helped the Reds post a 10-7 record in the past three years against Thursday’s foe. Cueto has also been one of the best road warriors in baseball in 2012, going 4-2 with a 2.15 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Cincinnati is 11-4 in his 15 starts this season with some of the credit going to the strong bullpen that has a 2.74 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 234 K in 206.2 IP. Reds relievers have been even more productive on the road (2.60 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 104 K in 90 IP). One player that won’t likely be able to help Cueto is 2B Brandon Phillips who was hit in the head by a forearm while covering second base on Wednesday. He was tested for a concussion and will probably sit on Thursday as a precaution. Phillips has a .359 BA, 4 HR and 15 RBI in his past 16 games.

Bumgarner (9-4, 3.10 ERA, 1.12 WHIP) has had mixed results in his three lifetime outings versus Cincinnati. In 2010, the Reds lit him up for eight runs (7 ER) and three homers in just 2.2 innings. But last season, he limited them to just one run in seven innings at home before pitching poorly in Cincinnati seven weeks later (4 IP, 7 R, 5 ER). The Giants are 10-5 when Bumgarner takes the mound this year, including a 5-1 record at home. He has won four straight decisions, and that streak has been aided by a bullpen that has a strong 3.48 ERA, saving 30-of-36 chances. These numbers are even more phenomenal at AT&T Park: 2.29 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 17 saves, one blown save.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24282 Followers:32
06/28/2012 05:16 PM

Thursday’s betting tips: D-Backs’ top SP prospect makes MLB debut

Weather to watch

Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants – 12 mph winds are expected to blow out to centerfield.

Who’s hot

MLB: Under is 20-8 in Yankees last 28 games as a home favorite.

MLB: Athletics are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.

WNBA: Silver Stars are 6-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Who’s not

MLB: Padres are 5-23 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

MLB: Rockies are 4-15 in their last 19 overall.

WNBA: Sparks are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.

Key stat

2 – Candace Parker scored just two points in the Los Angeles Sparks’ loss to Tulsa Tuesday. The former MVP has scored only 20 points in two games since coming back from a knee injury as the Sparks get set to play their eighth game in 14 days Thursday against San Antonio.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

CC Sabathia, New York Yankees - Sabathia was placed on the 15-day disabled list with a strained left adductor muscle. Yankees manager Joe Girardi said Sabathia is likely to return after the All-Star break and would miss only two starts. Sabathia (9-3, 3.55 ERA) felt pain in his groin area during his last start but didn't inform the team until Tuesday's bullpen session. Freddy Garcia will fill his spot in the rotation, making his first start Friday.

Game of the day

Germany -125 vs. Italy +330, Draw +225

Notable quotable

"I think the time has come to beat the next big opponent. We have already beaten Argentina, England, Netherlands and Brazil and I think Italy are next. We certainly have respect for them for what Italy have achieved here, especially with the football scandals back home. But we have no fear." Germany midfielder Bastian Schweinsteiger ahead of Thursday's match with Italy.

Notes and tips

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ star pitching prospect Trevor Bauer will make his MLB debut Thursday on the road against the Atlanta Braves. Bauer, the No. 3 overall pick in last year’s draft, was tearing it up in Triple-A Reno with a 4-0 record and a 2.82 earned-run average in eight starts. He had 116 strikeouts in 93 innings spanning 16 starts in Double-A and Triple-A. Arizona is set as a +115 underdog.

Two weeks ago, Bears coach Lovie Smith said he fully expected Brian Urlacher to be on the field when training camp begins in Bourbonnais on July 25. Urlacher told the Chicago Tribune he'll be back "for sure" after missing offseason workouts and minicamp recovering from a sprained MCL and PCL in his left knee on Jan. 2 at Minnesota. "I could have participated in minicamp, but there was no reason to," Urlacher said. Urlacher, 34, likely won't practice more than three straight days and will be rested on days with dual practice.

Deron Williams, one of the top free agents in the NBA this summer, isn't expected to take a tour of cities of interested teams. He has narrowed his choices to his hometown Dallas Mavericks and re-signing with the Brooklyn Nets. If the past week is any indication, the Mavericks have ground to gain on the Nets. It's unlikely another suitor, such as the Houston Rockets, will gain traction in pursuit of Williams. Williams is keeping a regular workout scheduled at the Nets' facility in New Jersey and celebrated his birthday with a dinner in New York that included Nets' coach Avery Johnson.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24282 Followers:32
06/28/2012 05:17 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- There have been 29 games this year where a pitcher got 20+ swings/ misses; if you bet $100 on that pitcher’s team in his next start, you’d be 16-10, +$222.

-- UConn-Michigan State are playing hoops at an Army base in Germany next November, a real game.

-- Scapegoat alert: Bob Apodaca is out as pitching coach in Colorado, which will solve nothing. The Rockies don’t have any good pitchers, well other than Chacin and de la Rosa, who are both hurt.

-- Gas is $3.59 here, as low as its been in a long time, but its $3.13 in San Antonio, under $3.00 in South Carolina. What the hell’s going on up here?

-- Jim Irsay actually tweeted about the Colts being a 10-point dog in their season opener at Chicago. Think he’ll be getting a phone call from Park Avenue about that one.

-- Odd: Doc Rivers is spending draft night with his son, not the Celtics’ brass. Not like he’s the coach or anything.


*************


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Our major league baseball List of 13......

13) Pirates 39-35—Over his last nine starts, Burnett has turned into Bob Gibson; need another hitter to help McCutchen.

12) Mets 40-36—Santana/Dickey formidable 1-2 punch in rotation; after Wright, who’s their next-best hitter?

11) Braves 40-34-- Can they send Chipper out in style? Beachy’s injury hurts this rating. Need Jurrjens to return to form.

10) Rays 40-35—Longoria needs to train more for durability; second year in row he’s missed extended time. Brooks Conrad hit cleanup Wednesday.

9) Red Sox 40-35—Giving Youkilis away makes Valentine’s life easier, but didn’t improve team. They could see Youkilis again in October.

8) Dodgers 43-33— Kemp/Ethier are both hurt; they didn't score a run in three games at San Francisco. Need the All-Star break, and soon.

7) Orioles 41-33—Will Hammel maintain excellence after he goes to All-Star Game? Showalter is Manager of the Year, to this point.

6) Reds 41-33—Only NL team to use only five starting pitchers this season. Is Chapman the long-term answer at closer?

5) Nationals 43-30—Not sure if it is cortisone shot, Coors Field or poor Colorado pitchers, but Zimmerman hit ball well last four games.

4) Angels 42-33—Pujols has 34 RBI in last 39 games; Frieri has solidified bullpen. A team you will not want to see in a short series.

3) Giants 43-33— If they ever get Lincecum back on track, should pass Dodgers. Might do it anyway. Pagan/Cabrera have been godsends.

2) Bronx 46-28—Would be more impressed if they could score without hitting homers. That said, they do hit lot of homers. Sabathia/Pettitte both got hurt Wednesday; Sabathia is irreplaceable over long term.

1) Rangers 47-29—Two-time AL champs have some holes in rotation, but they do score lot of runs.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24282 Followers:32
06/28/2012 05:17 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- There have been 29 games this year where a pitcher got 20+ swings/ misses; if you bet $100 on that pitcher’s team in his next start, you’d be 16-10, +$222.

-- UConn-Michigan State are playing hoops at an Army base in Germany next November, a real game.

-- Scapegoat alert: Bob Apodaca is out as pitching coach in Colorado, which will solve nothing. The Rockies don’t have any good pitchers, well other than Chacin and de la Rosa, who are both hurt.

-- Gas is $3.59 here, as low as its been in a long time, but its $3.13 in San Antonio, under $3.00 in South Carolina. What the hell’s going on up here?

-- Jim Irsay actually tweeted about the Colts being a 10-point dog in their season opener at Chicago. Think he’ll be getting a phone call from Park Avenue about that one.

-- Odd: Doc Rivers is spending draft night with his son, not the Celtics’ brass. Not like he’s the coach or anything.


*************


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Our major league baseball List of 13......

13) Pirates 39-35—Over his last nine starts, Burnett has turned into Bob Gibson; need another hitter to help McCutchen.

12) Mets 40-36—Santana/Dickey formidable 1-2 punch in rotation; after Wright, who’s their next-best hitter?

11) Braves 40-34-- Can they send Chipper out in style? Beachy’s injury hurts this rating. Need Jurrjens to return to form.

10) Rays 40-35—Longoria needs to train more for durability; second year in row he’s missed extended time. Brooks Conrad hit cleanup Wednesday.

9) Red Sox 40-35—Giving Youkilis away makes Valentine’s life easier, but didn’t improve team. They could see Youkilis again in October.

8) Dodgers 43-33— Kemp/Ethier are both hurt; they didn't score a run in three games at San Francisco. Need the All-Star break, and soon.

7) Orioles 41-33—Will Hammel maintain excellence after he goes to All-Star Game? Showalter is Manager of the Year, to this point.

6) Reds 41-33—Only NL team to use only five starting pitchers this season. Is Chapman the long-term answer at closer?

5) Nationals 43-30—Not sure if it is cortisone shot, Coors Field or poor Colorado pitchers, but Zimmerman hit ball well last four games.

4) Angels 42-33—Pujols has 34 RBI in last 39 games; Frieri has solidified bullpen. A team you will not want to see in a short series.

3) Giants 43-33— If they ever get Lincecum back on track, should pass Dodgers. Might do it anyway. Pagan/Cabrera have been godsends.

2) Bronx 46-28—Would be more impressed if they could score without hitting homers. That said, they do hit lot of homers. Sabathia/Pettitte both got hurt Wednesday; Sabathia is irreplaceable over long term.

1) Rangers 47-29—Two-time AL champs have some holes in rotation, but they do score lot of runs.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24282 Followers:32
06/28/2012 05:18 PM

Public opinion: Bettors fade King Felix vs. BoSox

Odds and consensus percentages current as of 9 p.m. ET, Wednesday.

MLB:

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners (-105, 7)

Seattle has won each of Felix Hernandez’s last two starts as the big ace held his opposition to just two runs while striking out 17 over 14 innings. Still, Seattle has won just seven of his 15 starts this season averaging only 3.9 runs in his outings.

Consensus: Red Sox, 68 percent

WNBA:

Los Angeles Sparks at San Antonio Silver Stars (-4.5, 162.5)

The Silver Stars have owned the Sparks lately, covering in seven of the last eight meetings between the two teams. The Sparks have been having a terrible time covering a spread against anyone. They head into Thursday’s action riding a 1-5-1 skid against the number.

Consensus: Silver Stars, 57 percent

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24282 Followers:32
06/28/2012 05:19 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Arizona at Atlanta
The Braves look to build on their 8-1 record in Jair Jurrjens last 9 starts during Game 3 of a series. Atlanta is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 28

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.314; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.108
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Under

Game 903-904: Washington at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Jackson) 15.400; Colorado (Outman) 15.973
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 11
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); Over

Game 905-906: Arizona at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Bauer) 15.883; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 16.337
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Over

Game 907-908: San Diego at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 15.431; Houston (Keuchel) 14.003
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under

Game 909-910: NY Mets at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Young) 15.920; LA Dodgers (Capuano) 14.545
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+115); Over

Game 911-912: Cincinnati at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.390; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.853
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Under

Game 913-914: LA Angels at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 17.082; Toronto (Cecil) 15.026
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Under

Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 15.429; NY Yankees (Nova) 16.616
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-185); Over

Game 917-918: Cleveland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 13.870; Baltimore (Chen) 14.975
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-145); Over

Game 919-920: Detroit at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 14.814; Tampa Bay (Shields) 13.995
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Ross) 15.477; Texas (Feldman) 15.861
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Texas (-230); 11
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-230); Over

Game 923-924: Boston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Morales) 16.815; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.792
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: