The Boston Red Sox finishing up a 3-game set vs. the Toronto Blue Jays highlights an interesting Hump Day in Major League Baseball. Note this is an early afternoon affair with a 1:35 p.m. (ET) first pitch from Fenway Park.
We first have some Tuesday night updates with the Los Angeles Angels 135 road favorites at the Baltimore Orioles after opening the Halos opened as $1.70 favorites. The total is 8½-runs on the Don Best odds screen.
The Angels are 7-3 in their last 10 games and could end up pushing Texas in the AL West (currently 4½-games back). C.J. Wilson (8-4, 2.44 ERA) has a 1.65 ERA in June with the team winning his last six outings. He is 5-2 in his nine road starts (+5.4 units).
Brian Matusz (5-8, 5.00 ERA) goes for the O’s. He has lost his last three starts, giving up 11 earned runs over 12 1/3 innings. However, Don Best MLB analyst Kenny White has examined his sabermetrics and believes Matusz has had some bad luck and should see more balls start to hit towards his fielders.
The Wednesday look begins with the Cubs and Mets from Wrigley Field. Don Best is sending out New York as a 120 road favorite. White reports that the wind should be blowing out 10-15 mph to center and gusting up to 30. Temps should also be in the low 90s and the total could open at a big 11½-12 because of these factors.
Jonathon Niese (5-3, 3.75 ERA) is on the bump for the Mets. He beat the Yankees last Friday (two earned runs over 6 1/3 innings) and the 25-year-old lefty has had better control with only four walks over 26 1/3 innings in June (2.05 ERA).
Opposing pitcher Jeff Samardzija gave up five earned runs over five innings last Friday at Arizona. He is 3-2 with a 2.36 ERA in six home starts and has a dominating 95 mph fastball. His lineup could also get a boost with the Cubs debut of first baseman Anthony Rizzo.
Getting back to the Red Sox and Blue Jays, Boston is a 140 favorite with a total of 10. Toronto will start Ricky Romero, one of the luckiest pitchers in the league at 8-1 despite a 4.34 ERA. He’s been getting great run support at 9.3 runs per game in his last seven starts.
Boston is 9-3 in its last 12 games even after losing the series opener on Monday (9-6). The Tuesday result is still pending. Jon Lester (4-5, 4.48 ERA) is a frustrated pitcher right now, but he historically starts slow before heating up in June, July and August.
Lester has a 3.71 ERA this June in four starts, but Boston has just one win to show for it in scoring a total of 14 runs.
White sees Lester getting back on track on Wednesday with a 10-5 (3.08 ERA) lifetime mark against Toronto. His one start against them this year came North of the Border in April, three earned runs over eight innings in a 3-1 defeat.