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While you were sleeping: Catch up on MLB's best and worst bets
By JASON LOGAN
The NBA Playoffs are over. Now what?
For sports bettors with basketball blinders on, this can be a scary time of the year. You want to keep wagering through the summer months but you haven't even made it to the seventh-inning stretch of a game yet. Don’t fret. Covers will get you up to speed on the best and worst bets from the diamond so far this season.
Best moneyline bet
Baltimore Orioles (39-30): 16.49 units
The Orioles continue to be the big breadwinners in the majors but have hit some speed bumps along the way, like their current three-game losing streak heading into Friday. Baseball bettors have been waiting for the other cleat to drop on Baltimore, which currently sits second in the American League East.
Worst moneyline bet
San Diego Padres (24-46): -17.57 units
Offense – or lack thereof – has plagued the Padres for a long time and 2012 is no exception. San Diego ranks last in the bigs in runs (3.3 per game) and rest in the basement of most hitting statistical categories. A rash of injuries to both the lineup and rotation is just throwing salt on the wound.
Best runline bet
Chicago White Sox (42-27 ATS): 20.30 units
The ChiSox are just three games above .500 (36-33) but have kept it close throughout the first half of the season. Chicago has capitalized on the 1.5-run spread – AKA the runline – scoring 4.68 runs and allowing 4.00 runs per game this season. Runline backers can thanks an impressive 19-13 road record for most of those units.
Worst runline bet
San Diego Padres (31-39 ATS): -22.98 units
Why the hell are people betting the Padres? Also burinng runline bettors are the Cleveland Indians (-17.51), Detroit Tigers (-13.57), and Colorado Rockies (-12.76).
Best over bet
Philadelphia Phillies (33-38): 44-26-1 over/under
The Phillies pitching staff is not playing up to oddsmakers standards, thanks in part to injuries to key starters like Roy Halladay. On offense, Philadelphia longs for the big bats of Ryan Howard and Chase Utley.
Best under bet
Los Angeles Angels (38-32) - 25-44-1 over/under
The addition of Albert Pujols was supposed to supercharge the Halos' offense. While that hasn’t quite been the case – averaging just 4.1 runs per game – the pitching staff has done the heavy lifting. The Angels own a 3.43 team ERA, third lowest in the majors.
Top money pitcher
R.A. Dickey, New York Mets (11-1, 2.00 ERA): 11.92 units
The knuckleballer is the frontrunner for the National League Cy Young and has been nearly untouchable in recent starts. He hasn’t allowed an earned run in 41 2/3 innings, giving up just 16 hits in that span.
Worst money pitcher
Dan Haren, Los Angeles Angels (4-7, 3.97 ERA): -11.87 units
Haren can’t take all the blame for those units lost. The Angels have given the right-hander just 4.38 runs of support during his starts. Haren actually has the 20th best ERA in the AL and is 15th in strikeouts.
Top over ump
Paul Emmel: 12-1 over/under
Teams are combining for 9.77 runs per game when Emmel is behind home plate.
Top under ump
Tim Welke: 3-10 over/under
Teams are combining for 7.2 runs per game when Welke is calling balls and strikes.
Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants (8-4, 2.92 ERA)
Bumgarner continues to lead the Giants’ rotation. He allowed just one earned run on three hits over eight innings last weekend but was still stuck with a no-decision in San Francisco’s loss to Seattle. The big lefty has 16 strikeouts in his last two starts and has walked only 19 batters in 95 2/3 innings this season.
Ivan Nova, New York Yankees (9-2, 4.32 ERA)
The Yankees have won each of Nova’s last starts and he’s been absolutely dominant over his last three, allowing just two runs over the last 22 2/3 innings. After shutting out the Braves in Atlanta through seven innings, he followed that up by yielding just a solo homer in 7 2/3 innings at Washington. He owns a 0.84 WHIP in his last three starts.
Kyle Kendrick, Philadelphia Phillies (2-7, 5.29 ERA)
Kendrick has lost each of his last three trips to the hill and owns a 9.00 ERA during the skid. While he managed to go 6 1/3 innings last week against Toronto, he still gave up five earned runs in a 6-2 loss. He has struck out 40 batters compared to 23 walks in 63 innings of work this year.
Josh Outman, Colorado Rockies (0-3, 8.41 ERA)
Outman was the first guy to take the hill under the Rockies’ new four-man rotation, so he’ll go here on just three days’ rest. He has lost three in a row, stinking it up with a 10.22 ERA. He hasn’t pitched into the sixth inning in any of his four starts and will be hard pressed to do so now that the club has issued a 70-pitch limit for its starters.
Saturday’s betting tips: France deals with dressing room spat
Weather to watch
St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals – 17 mph winds are expected to blow out to left field.
San Francisco Giants at Oakland Athletics – 16 mph winds are expected to blow out to right-centerfield.
MLB: Under is 8-1-1 in Randall Delgado’s last 10 starts for Atlanta.
MLB: Tampa Bay Rays are 59-28 in their last 87 vs. a team with a losing record.
MLB: Chicago White Sox are 49-24 in their last 73 interleague games.
WNBA: Minnesota Lynx are 44-21 ATS in their last 65 games overall.
MLB: Cubs are 1-6 in Paul Maholm's last seven starts.
MLB: Angels are 5-13 in Ervin Santana's last 18 starts.
MLB: Colorado Rockies are 2-12 in their last 14 overall.
MLB: Phoenix Mercury are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
3 – Oakland A’s starter Travis Blackley and reliever Ryan Cook combined to hold the Los Angeles Dodgers to three hits Thursday, marking the third consecutive game that the staff allowed no more than three hits.
Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked
Epiphanny Prince, Chicago Sky – Prince suffered a broken foot last weekend and will be out of action indefinitely. Prince was leading the WNBA with 22.3 points per game. Chicago is set as a 14-point underdog at Minnesota.
Game of the day
Spain (-139) vs. France (+360), Draw (+235)
“There is no conflict. There were words exchanged after the game. There was a reaction. Some players were very angry. That is true. Certain things were said. We acted on those. People are worked up and angry after a defeat and there were raised voices. It did delay us in terms of when we could start preparing for the game with Spain but you have priorities that have to be dealt with.”- France head coach Laurent Blanc about the team trying to get past a dressing room altercation that ensued after the club’s disappointing loss to Sweden.
Notes and tips
Spain has yielded more than one goal in just one of their last 25 Euro and World Cup matches, but the one team that did was France when it downed Spain 3-1 in the 2006 World Cup. However, France would love to get Karim Benzema on track. He has attempted 17 shots in the tournament, the most of anyone without a goal.
Minnesota Twins slugger Joe Mauer could return to the lineup Saturday after sitting out a few games with a bruised thigh. Mauer was available to pinch hit Friday and is hitting .314 with three homers and 37 RBI.
Minnesota Vikings coach Leslie Frazier has named Christian Ponder the Vikes' starting quarterback, according to a report by Fox Sports North late Thursday. Ponder replaced Donovan McNabb as the VIkes' starting QB last October and went on to complete over 54 percent of his 291 passes for 1,853 yards, 13 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Those numbers were still noteworthy, particularly with the loss of No. 1 running back Adrian Peterson to injuries, as well as back-up wide receiver Michael ******* (knee injury) and tight end Visanthe Shiancoe's struggles.
The Yankees look to build on their 8-2 record in their last 10 games as a road favorite. NY Yankees are the favorite (-145), according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, JUNE 23
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Maholm) 15.049; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.475
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Over
Game 953-954: Toronto at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Cecil) 14.636; Miami 15.259
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2;
Vegas Line: Miami (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-160); Under
Game 955-956: St. Louis at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.188; Kansas City (Mendoza) 13.966
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Under
Game 957-958: Colorado at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Outman) 13.912; Texas (Lewis) 16.516
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-250); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-250); Over
Game 959-960: Tampa Bay at Philadelphia (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.215; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.135
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under
Game 961-962: Cleveland at Houston (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Gomez) 13.962; Houston (Keuchel) 14.553
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+100); Over
Game 963-964: Detroit at Pittsburgh (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.709; Pittsburgh (Lincoln) 14.613
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Under
Game 965-966: Minnesota at Cincinnati (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Duensing) 13.911; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.733
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-200); Over
Game 967-968: NY Yankees at NY Mets (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 17.421; NY Mets (Young) 16.028
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Over
Game 969-970: Atlanta at Boston (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Delgado) 15.733; Boston (Morales) 16.237
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 11
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under
Game 971-972: Washington at Baltimore (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Jackson) 16.940; Baltimore (Chen) 15.769
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Under
Game 973-974: LA Dodgers at LA Angels (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Capuano) 15.131; LA Angels (Santana) 16.717
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Over
Game 975-976: Milwaukee at Chicago White Sox (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 14.603; White Sox (Axelrod) 16.015
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 977-978: San Francisco at Oakland (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.555; Oakland (Ross) 15.020
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-135); Under
Game 979-980: Seattle at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.063; San Diego (Marquis) 14.998
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+125); Over
AL teams were 6-7 Friday, they're 126-97 against NL teams in interleague play this season, with two days to go.
Remember there are DHs in games in American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. It doesn't seem to affect totals either way.
-- JJohnson is 1-2, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Wainwright is 1-1, 2.75 in his last three starts. Mendoza has a 2.65 RA in his last three outings.
-- Lewis is 2-1, 1.50 in his last three starts.
-- Shields is 1-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Scherzer is 1-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Keuchel allowed one run in five IP in his first MLB start.
-- Cueto is 3-0, 1.90 in his last three starts.
-- Nova is 5-0, 2.48 in his last five starts.
-- Delgado has a 2.79 RA in his last three starts, but Atlanta got blanked in his last two outings.
-- WChen is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts. Jackson has a 2.74 RA in his last six starts.
-- Capuano is 1-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
-- Wolf is 0-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Bumgarner is 3-0, 2.73 in his last four starts.
-- Marquis has a 2.79 RA in his three starts for San Diego.
-- Kennedy is 2-6, 5.01 in his last eight starts. Maholm is 0-3, 5.59 in his last seven starts.
-- Cecil allowed two runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Outman is 0-2, 10.22 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 0-2, 4.87 in his last six starts.
-- Gomez is 1-4, 9.72 in his last five starts.
-- Lincoln is 0-2, 10.03 in his last three starts.
-- Duensing is making first '12 start; he is 25-21, 3.90 with 50 major league starts. He has pitched 34.2 innings this year, in 30 games, but no starts, with a 3.12 ERA.
-- Young is 1-1, 4.08 in three starts this season.
-- Morales allowed two runs in five IP (80 PT) in his first '12 start.
-- Ross is 0-3, 5.91 in his last four starts.
-- ESantana has a 7.06 RA in his last five starts, but pitched a shutout in his last outing.
-- Axelrod allowed two runs in 4.1 IP (99 PT) in his first '12 start.
-- FHernandez is 0-2, 5.63 in his last four starts.
-- Arizona won eight of its last nine home games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their last seven games.
-- Nationals won 14 of their last 20 road games.
-- Tigers won eight of their last twelve games. Pittsburgh won 11 of its last 13 home games.
-- Streaky Mets won last four games, allowing three runs; they're 11-6 in last seventeen home games.
-- Braves won their last three games, allowing nine runs. Red Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Indians won their last four games, scoring 23 runs.
-- Rangers won their last seven games, scoring 40 runs.
-- Brewers won five of their last seven games.
-- Royals won seven of their last ten games.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games.
-- Angels won five of their last six games.
-- Cubs lost 17 of their last 21 road games.
-- Baltimore lost three of its last four games, scoring five runs.
-- Phillies lost 11 of their last 15 home games. Tampa Bay lost six of its last nine games.
-- Miami lost 14 of its last 16 games.
-- Twins lost six of their last nine games. Cincinnati lost its last four games, allowing 26 runs.
-- Bronx Bombers lost last three games, after winning previous ten.
-- Houston lost six of its last seven games.
-- Rockies lost 13 of their last 15 games.
-- White Sox lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Mariners lost nine of their last twelve games. San Diego lost five of its last even games.
-- Giants lost four of their last six games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last six games.
-- Five of Cubs' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven games at Camden Yards went over.
-- Over in 10-4 in Detroit's last fourteen road games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Tampa Bay's last eleven road games.
-- Last five Toronto road games went over the total.
-- Five of last six games at Citi Field stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 13 Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in Atlanta's last fourteen road games.
-- Six of last seven Cleveland road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Texas home games.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee road games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 13 St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Seattle road games went over the total.
-- 12 of Giants' last 16 road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Chi-Az-- 12 of 13 Emmel games went over the total.
-- Tor-Mia-- Eight of last 11 Nelson games stayed under.
-- StL-KC-- Six of last seven Drake games went over total.
-- Col-Tex-- Six of last eight Wolf games went over the total.
-- TB-Phil-- Don't know who the umpire is; rainout last night.
-- Cle-Hst-- Road team won five of last seven Gonzalez games.
-- Det-Pitt-- Four of last five Cooper games went over total.
-- Min-Cin-- 10 of 14 Bellino games stayed under the total.
-- NY-NY-- Six of last eight McClelland games went over total.
-- Atl-Bos-- Four of last five Eddings games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Balt-- Road team won seven of last ten Hallion games.
-- LA-LA-- Under is 6-2-1 in lat nine Iassogna games.
-- Mil-Chi-- Ten of last thirteen Wegner games stayed under.
-- SF-A's-- Underdogs are 5-5 (+$125) in last ten Randazzo games.
-- Sea-SD-- Underdogs are 5-2 (+$401) in last seven Hickox games.
Diamond Trends - Saturday
June 23, 2012
By Vince Akins
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Cubs are 0-13 since June 04, 2011 as a 140+ dog when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1300 when playing against.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Indians are 13-0 OU since April 10, 2011 on the road vs a team that has lost at least their last three games for a net profit of $1300 when playing the over.
STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Mariners are 0-10 since April 16, 2011 when Felix Hernandez starts on the road after his team lost the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $1058 when playing against.
MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:
The Diamondbacks are 17-1 (2.9 rpg) since September 16, 2008 at home as a -140+ favorite when their starter lost his past two starts and wasn’t a -200+ favorite for the last start.
The Yankees are 10-0 since June 10, 2011 when Ivan Nova starts after a quality start on the road for a net profit of $1010.
The Reds are 7-0 since May 14, 2011 when Johnny Cueto starts as a favorite when he is off a start in which he needed more than 4 pitches per batter for a net profit of $700.