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junkmansports
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NCAAF betting: Targeting midweek line moves

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On 09/14/2011 07:12 AM in NCAA Football
Here's a quick look at a number of games that are seeing some early line movement ahead of this weekend's contests.

NCAAF Week 3 Live Odds

No. 4 Boise State at Toledo (20.5, 58.5)

Most books opened with Toledo set as a 17.5-point home underdog this week but that line has quickly moved to +20.5.

Toledo took Ohio State down to the wire in a 27-22 loss as a 17.5-point underdog last weekend, while Boise State is coming off a bye.

“We almost pulled off a huge upset,” Toledo running back Adonis Thomas told reporters. “To be in the same situation again with a fourth-ranked opponent, we know what we have to do to get the win.”

Central Michigan at Western Michigan (-8.5, 56)

Western Michigan was a 6.5-point favorite at the open until bettors got their hands on it. Now you’ll see the Broncos set at -8.5 across the board.

Central Michigan, which held a lead at Kentucky before dropping a 27-13 decision as a 10-point underdog, is actually 4-0-1 against the spread in its last five games against Western Michigan.

Akron at Cincinnati (-34.5, 56)

Oddsmakers can’t set this line high enough right now. They opened with the Bearcats set at -30 and it’s already up to -34.5. Cincinnati is looking to bounce back after a blowout loss to the Volunteers.

Meanwhile, the terrible Akron Zips are 1-7 against the spread in their last eight games in September and 3-7 against the number in their last 10 road games. They have been outscored 83-3 in two games this season.

Kent State at Kansas State (-17.5, N/A)

The books sent out Kansas State as around a two-touchdown favorite, but that line has moved to -17.5 in just over the last two days. K-State pulled off a 10-7 comeback win over Eastern Kentucky but couldn’t come close to covering as a 26-point favorite. They had a bye last week so maybe that will help the club work the kinks out.

No. 18 Arizona State at Illinois (-1.5, N/A)

Illinois was originally pegged as a 1.5-point underdog. The spread has flipped since then, now favoring the Fighting Illini by 1.5 points.

Arizona State escaped with an overtime victory at home to Mizzou last weekend after MU missed a field goal late in regulation, but couldn’t cover as a 10-point favorite. The Sun Devils are now 0-2 against the number to start the season.
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