cnotes Posts:23580 Followers:32
09/19/2011 04:20 PM

Spread Builds For NY Giants In MNF Matchup

The St. Louis Rams (0-1) and New York Giants (0-1) will close out Week 2 of the 2011 NFL regular season when facing off on Monday Night Football at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.

St. Louis running back Steven Jackson is expected to miss after suffering a quad injury in the Rams' 31-13 loss at home to the Philadelphia Eagles as 4-point home underdogs during Week 1. The betting odds in this contest have continually climbed from its opening number of 3 ½, with New York reaching as high as a touchdown favorite in some spots.

The total has moved up a single tick to settle in at 44.

A former star for the Oregon State Beavers, Jackson hasn’t officially ruled himself out of the game, as it truly depends on how he feels when waking up Monday.

“It’s getting better daily,” Jackson told the team’s official website. “It’s all predicated on how I feel on Monday. We are definitely shooting to have an outside chance to be able to go on Monday."

Many around Las Vegas feel that the line move isn’t justified due to St. Louis possessing capable backups after signing Cadillac Williams and Jerious Norwood during the offseason.

New York has its own set of injuries problems, especially at defensive end where Osi Umenyiora (knee) is expected to miss while Justin Tuck (neck) has been moved up to probable.

Tuck’s situation is a touchy one, as he practiced sparingly over the course of the week, stating that he’s still not 100 percent. He was a late scratch in the team’s 28-14 loss versus the Washington Redskins. New York was a 1 ½-point road favorite in that contest.

Offensively, Giants quarterback Eli Manning should have one of his main weapons back, as wide receiver Hakeem Nicks (knee) is probable. He went down during the season-opening loss and didn’t participate in team drills Friday.

Both teams desperately need a win. The Rams will return home on a short week to face the Baltimore Ravens in Week 3, while the Giants play their second NFC East contest of the 2011 campaign when traveling to Philadelphia.

New York will be looking to avenge two losses against Philadelphia last year, including a 38-31 home loss on Dec. 19, 2010. It was a stunning loss that saw the Giants blow a 21-point lead by punting the ball to Eagles wide receiver DeSean Jackson, who returned it for a 65-yard score on the game’s final play.

Another game that will receive plenty of press coverage next week will be a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship Game between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. Green Bay registered a 21-14 win as 3 ½-point road favorites in that particular contest on its way to winning the Super Bowl two weeks later over the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler likely circled this game on the schedule after being knocked out with a knee injury early in the third quarter. It caused a lot of fans and media members alike to question his toughness and ability to serve as the franchise’s offensive leader.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23580 Followers:32
09/19/2011 04:26 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/18/11 17-­12-­1 58.62% +­1900 Detail
09/12/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
09/11/11 8-­18-­0 30.77% -­5900 Detail
09/08/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
Totals 27-­34-­1 44.26% -­5200


Monday, September 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

St. Louis - 8:30 PM ET N.Y. Giants -7 500

N.Y. Giants - Under 44 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23580 Followers:32
09/19/2011 05:51 PM

Bettors backing Giants in Monday Night Football Article

Las Vegas and offshore sportsbooks are moving the pointspread for Monday Night Football because of steady action coming in on the home favorite.

The New York Giants opened as low as 4.5-point chalk but are now touchdown favorites in tonight’s contest against the St. Louis Rams. Online book SportsInteraction is being even more cautious listing the Rams at +8, although Las Vegas bookmakers seem to think the line will close with the Giants favored by 7.

“I don’t see us going higher,” Wynn Las Vegas race and sports director Johnny Avello told Covers.com Monday afternoon.

The MGM/Mirage is dealing Giants -7 and has been since late Sunday night. The book has been getting two-way action since the move to 7 according to oddsmaker Jeff Stoneback.

Stoneback told Covers.com the MGM/Mirage had the game circled (lower limit bets only) early in the week but professional players still came in and bet the limit on New York at -5.5. Stoneback says the public got in on the action late yesterday, grabbing the Giants at -6.5 and forcing his book to move to -7.

The Wynn also took a large amount of sharp action on the G-Men.

“They came in at 5.5 and 6,” Avello said. “The Giants need a win and they’re catching a team without its running back. The Rams are improved but they’ve only won a couple road games over the last few years.”

St. Louis won just two of eight road games last season but went 5-3 against the spread. The Rams had lost 14 of their last 16 away games before last season.

Running back Steven Jackson is dealing with a leg injury and is listed as doubtful for the Rams. If you have any feedback or suggestions for our Editorial Team, please contact us at Editorial

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23580 Followers:32
09/19/2011 05:55 PM

St. Louis Rams at New York Giants: Tale of the tape

If you’re new to our Tale of the Tape pieces, we use them to dig into stand-alone college games throughout the season. They’re stat heavy, hard-hitting, and quick, so that you’ll be able to rip through them and still have time to put a bet in while you’re stocking the fridge with beer.

St. Louis Rams at New York Giants (-6.5, 44)

OFFENSE

The Rams head into this one banged up with running back Steven Jackson (quad) and wideout Danny Amendola (elbow) out for this one. Sam Bradford will start after a finger injury on this throwing hand caused some concern, but he has just one touchdown and six interceptions in his last six starts.

St. Louis produced 154 yards on the ground last week with Cadillac Williams accounting for 91 of those yards on 19 carries after Jackson went down with his injury. Bradford completed 17 of his 31 attempts for 188 yards (6.3 yards per attempt).

Eli Manning threw for 268 yards last week against Washington but could be without wideout Hakeem Nicks (knee), who had 122 of those receiving yards. Manning was also threw an interception and was sacked four times. The running game wasn’t very impressive either, with Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs combining for only 73 yards on 19 carries.

Third down was where the Giants really shot themselves in the foot last week. They converted just one of 10 third down attempts, the lowest rate from any club in Week 1. Of course, the Rams are right behind the Giants with a 16.67 percent success rate on third down against the Eagles.

Edge: Rams

DEFENSE

The Rams were in Mike Vick’s face all day last week, sacking him four times and holding him to 5.8 yards per attempt as he completed just 43.8 percent of his passes. Defensive linemen Chris Long, James Hall and Fred Robbins put up 25 sacks last season. However, the run defense is a different story. St. Louis gave up 236 yards on the ground against Philadelphia and should see a healthy dose of the run Monday.

The Giants expect to get pass rusher Justin Tuck back for this one, which should be a big boost after the club registered four sacks in Week 1. New York allowed Rex Grossman to throw for 305 yards, but did hold the Redskins to a 33 percent conversion rate on third down and gave up only 74 yards on the ground.

The Rams are giving up 6.1 yards per play on defense while the Giants are surrendering 5.2 yards per play.

Edge: Giants

SPECIAL TEAMS

St. Louis’ Josh Brown hit two of three field goal attempts last week after hitting 22 of 29 kicks last year, while the Giants missed their only attempt against Washington. New York holds a slight advantage in the punting game, averaging 45.2 yards per punt to St. Louis’ 42.3.

The Rams will miss Amendola in the return game, but New York has had issues with its special teams for a long time now and that’s unlikely to change Monday.

Edge: Rams

WORD ON THE STREET

“They’re not going to try to trick you or anything like that. They’re going to run the ball at you and say stop it if you can. They’ve got a nice power running game and Eli can make plays when he has to. I’m pretty sure they’re going to try to run the ball on us, and with good reason. We didn’t stop the run real well last week.” - Rams defensive end Chris Long.

“They are going to be coming in here fighting. They don’t want to be 0-2 and we don’t want to be 0-2. We’re not underestimating them at all. But definitely we are going to come out and be aggressive and do what we do.” - Giants center David Baas

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION

New York Giants 24, St. Louis Rams 14

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23580 Followers:32
09/19/2011 05:58 PM

NFL Week 2 through the eyes of an ordinary bettor

The bad guys were handing out money at halftime yesterday. And that doesn’t happen often.

Green Bay trailed 13-6 at the break and the second half spread surfaced at -8½. Covering with a field goal was great value so I tried to get down as quickly as possible.

Clicked the mouse and got the dreaded line change alert. You know how this feels; your heart sinks into your gut the same way it does when red and blue lights are flashing in your rear-view mirror.

But for once, the spread moved in my favor, -8 (-105). I confirmed the bet.

Went back to the board, hit refresh a few times and did a double-take when the number dropped, -7 (-120). Somebody had thousands of dollars of faith in the Panthers. I took the Packers again.

Cam Newton backdoored the original spread with a garbage score but the Pack’s slow start saved my odd and losing week.

I don’t understand why books even put up halftime spreads in these situations -- a quality, heavily-favored team trailing by six or more to an inferior team. These scenarios don’t always come through but I bet they cash at least 70 percent of the time.

It happened on Thanksgiving last year when the Pats were down a touchdown at Detroit. It happened last week when the Chargers trailed by 10 to Minnesota.

I’m guessing books don’t want to inflate these spreads too much because sharp bettors would have huge middle opportunities. So that creates an opportunity for us, we just have to be ready.

The Good…

Week 2 was all about the second half.

Josh Freeman has had more comebacks than the Bad News Bears. His “youngry” Bucs feasted on the we-can’t-hold-a-lead Vikings after trailing by 17 at halftime.

Plenty of pro cappers wrote off Tampa this year, citing last season’s favorable schedule. But how can you bet against heart? And confidence can overcome a multitude of shortcomings, just ask Rex Ryan.

Ralph Wilson doesn’t miss a home opener in 52 years and then skips out on the best one ever. The Bungalow Bills were down 21-3 coming out of the break but then Mr. Harvard dissected the defense like Will Hunting does algorithms.

Don’t talk to me about Bill Belichick, Sean Payton or Mike McCarthy; Chan Gailey is the best play-caller in the NFL. There wasn’t a body in a five-yard radius of David Nelson when he caught the game-winning pass from six yards out, which is crazy. Buffalo had five touchdowns on five possessions in the second half, which is ridiculous.

The Bad…

I knew it was a square bet when I made it. The spread was just too good to be true. Dallas looked great in Week 1 and the Niners struggled against the worst team in football. Oddsmakers knew that I knew this, and they knew I couldn’t resist backing the road chalk.

I was fortunate to push, but unlucky to not cover. Jesse Holley should be embarrassed, chased down by a safety. If he dives from the five, the good guys win.


Jim Harbaugh is an attention monger. He got his wish because his team will be in the highlights this week, but for all the wrong reasons. I love the guy, but how are you going to decline a penalty after it gives you a first down? I don’t care that your kicker just hit a 55-yarder, take the yards and grind the clock.

Toddy Haley is also a gambling man but he may be tossed on the unemployment heap soon. The Chiefs have been outscored 89-10 the first two weeks.

Eric Berry was their best defensive player, he’s gone. Jamaal Charles was their best offensive player, he’s gone. And Matt Cassel is nothing more than another overhyped USC quarterback, just like the retiree, just like Dirty Sanchez.

The Ugly…

Last week I said it would be tough for the Seahawks to score double digits against a pissed off Pitt defense. They couldn’t even muster a single digit.

Seattle must have missed the memo that this is a scoring league. But it’s hard to find the end zone without an offensive line -- 10 sacks in two weeks isn’t going to cut it. The Seahawks didn’t cross midfield until the fourth quarter Sunday.

Pete Carroll was an “offensive guru” in college but he’s not cut out to play with the big boys, just like his former quarterbacks. How is this team just a field-goal pup next weekend? The 12th Man better be on the field, literally.

The Leans…

Bills +9½ vs. Patriots - I hope this number gets to 10, and with the way the Pats are playing it probably will.

Saints -4 vs. Texans - The Superdome brings out the scary in New Orleans. Houston’s game in South Beach was closer than it looked.

Raiders +3½ vs. Jets - This is the gritty kind of game Oakland pulls out, I’m just disappointed the club is getting so much love from the books.

Lions -3½ at Vikings - Could be a bad spot but I see no reason to stop backing this team.

NFL Record: 3-2, $80

--

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23580 Followers:32
09/19/2011 06:11 PM

Top 5 NFL Trends

STL
NYG Over is 5-0 in NYG last 5 games in Week 2.

STL
NYG Over is 5-0 in NYG last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

STL
NYG Under is 5-0 in STL last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

STL
NYG Over is 4-0 in NYG last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

STL
NYG STL are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
151rum Posts:908 Followers:13
09/19/2011 07:50 PM

already bet the raiders+3.5..i thought it would be about 5...raiders should get 2 of their rec's back, they will be geared up for this, they beat ny last time at oakland like 2 yrs ago i think..raiders are a good footbal team...i think im going with houston+4 though,and i am far from convinced on the bills yet...the raiders had that game ....i think n.e. will show the bills...i like n.e. best play on that game is over 51 bigtime gl 151

You’ve got to get to the stage in life where going for it is more important than winning or losing.
151rum Posts:908 Followers:13
09/19/2011 07:51 PM

interesting too is i bet detroit-4 and it goes down to 3.5....has me scratching my head there..minny has peterson and thats it....love detroit here..must be some stat that det plays bad there havent looked

You’ve got to get to the stage in life where going for it is more important than winning or losing.