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09/15/2011 07:29 PM
NFL
Long Sheet


Week 2

Sunday, September 18

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CHICAGO (1 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 1) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS CITY (0 - 1) at DETROIT (1 - 0) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 0) at NY JETS (1 - 0) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (1 - 0) at BUFFALO (1 - 0) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 30-61 ATS (-37.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (1 - 0) at WASHINGTON (1 - 0) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 46-76 ATS (-37.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (1 - 0) at TENNESSEE (0 - 1) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (0 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 1) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 48-76 ATS (-35.6 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GREEN BAY (1 - 0) at CAROLINA (0 - 1) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (0 - 1) at MINNESOTA (0 - 1) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (0 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 1) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (0 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 0) - 9/18/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (1 - 0) at MIAMI (0 - 1) - 9/18/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
MIAMI is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
MIAMI is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MIAMI is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO (1 - 0) at NEW ENGLAND (1 - 0) - 9/18/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 137-104 ATS (+22.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (1 - 0) at DENVER (0 - 1) - 9/18/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 100-132 ATS (-45.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 0) at ATLANTA (0 - 1) - 9/18/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 143-101 ATS (+31.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 19

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ST LOUIS (0 - 1) at NY GIANTS (0 - 1) - 9/19/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 59-83 ATS (-32.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 83-114 ATS (-42.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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09/15/2011 07:33 PM
NFL
Short Sheet


Week 2

Sunday, 9/18/2011

CHICAGO at NEW ORLEANS, 1:00 PM ET
CHICAGO: 9-1 UNDER as a road underdog
NEW ORLEANS: 41-62 ATS as a home favorite

KANSAS CITY at DETROIT, 1:00 PM ET
KANSAS CITY: 21-6 ATS Away off DD loss
DETROIT: 17-32 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

JACKSONVILLE at NY JETS, 1:00 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: JACKSONVILLE 7-0 OVER off home game
NY JETS: NY JETS 4-15 ATS at home 1st 2 wks of season

OAKLAND at BUFFALO, 1:00 PM ET
OAKLAND: 20-11 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
BUFFALO: 6-0 ATS off SU win by 14+ pts as a road underdog

ARIZONA at WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM ET
ARIZONA: 1-8 ATS off a home win
WASHINGTON: 132-100 UNDER against conference opponents

BALTIMORE at TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM ET
BALTIMORE: 2-8 ATS after a win by 10+ points
TENNESSEE: 4-1 UNDER after scoring 3 points or less 1st half last game

SEATTLE at PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM ET
SEATTLE: 3-15 ATS in road games
PITTSBURGH: 6-0 OVER off a road loss

GREEN BAY at CAROLINA, 1:00 PM ET
GREEN BAY: 25-12 ATS in all games
CAROLINA: 0-8 ATS in September games

TAMPA BAY at MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 7-0 ATS as a road underdog
MINNESOTA: 18-6 UNDER as a home favorite of 3 points or less

CLEVELAND at INDIANAPOLIS, 1:00 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 17-6 UNDER in dome games
INDIANAPOLIS: 72-50 UNDER at home vs. conference

DALLAS at SAN FRANCISCO, 4:05 PM ET
DALLAS: 1-8 ATS as a favorite
SAN FRANCISCO: 1-5 ATS after a win by 14+ points

HOUSTON at MIAMI, 4:15 PM ET
HOUSTON: 7-21 ATS off a home win
MIAMI: 3-1 OVER against AFC South division opponents

SAN DIEGO at NEW ENGLAND, 4:15 PM ET
SAN DIEGO: 9-5 OVER in road games
NEW ENGLAND: 6-1 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

CINCINNATI at DENVER, 4:15 PM ET
CINCINNATI: 20-8 OVER off division win as an underdog
DENVER: 82-52 OVER as a home favorite

PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA, 8:20 PM ET NBC
PHILADELPHIA: 6-0 OVER in road games against conference opponents
ATLANTA: ATLANTA 26-11 OVER off a road loss by 14+ points


Monday, 9/19/2011

ST LOUIS at NY GIANTS, 8:30 PM ET ESPN
ST LOUIS: 5-1 ATS off a home loss by 10+ points
NY GIANTS: 1-5 ATS off a road loss

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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09/15/2011 07:38 PM
Stanford Faces Arizona In Pac-12 Action

The Arizona Wildcats are 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

The Stanford Cardinal (2-0) and Arizona Wildcats (1-1) are set to kick off their inaugural Pac-12 Conference schedules Saturday night in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:45 (ET) from Arizona Stadium and will be nationally-televised on ESPN.

Stanford is favored in the betting odds for a third straight week, currently sitting as 10-point road favorites and the total has been driven up from 53 to 54 1/2.

The West coast school from Palo Alto, CA, has a chance to move up from the No. 3 spot in Don Best Linemakers Poll if the Oklahoma Sooners find potential trouble in Tallahassee.

The Cardinal were 4-point road underdogs the last time they played on the road in this series in 2009, dropping a 43-38 thriller.

Quarterback Andrew Luck has led the program to a 9-1 September record over the last two-plus seasons, registering wins over the San Jose State Spartans (57-3) and Duke Blue Devils (44-14) in the opening two weeks of the 2011 campaign.

Luck completed 20-of-28 passes for 290 yards and tied a career-high with four touchdowns passes versus the Blue Devils on the road in Week 2. He has also helped the offense convert 90.2 percent of its chances (74-of-82) in the red zone over the last two seasons.

Stanford has won three of the last four games overall in this series, while proving victorious in four of its last five chances in the desert.

The Cardinal torched a Wildcats defense that came into last season’s meeting ranked seventh nationally in scoring defense, rolling up 510 yards of total offense on its way to an eventual 42-17 win as 7 1/2-point home favorites.

Total bettors will find that the 'over' has cashed in the last two meetings, snapping a string of five consecutive games in the series going 'under' the total.

Arizona has a laundry list of injuries that includes star wide receiver Juron Criner being listed as doubtful due to undergoing an appendectomy on Sept. 5. The Wildcats have also lost two starters in a secondary that has been horrendous through two games.

Opposing teams have completed 78.5 percent of their passes against the Wildcats this year, which is a bad omen when facing a signal-caller this week that’s projected to be the No. 1 overall pick in the upcoming NFL draft.

The program has posted a 9-22 record against ranked opponents under the direction of head coach Mike Stoops, but the interesting part is how they have picked up such a victory in each of his seven seasons on campus.

The Wildcats must get a ground game going to help quarterback Nick Foles in this contest, as the school is averaging just 58 rushing yards a contest, which is 115th out of 120 teams nationally.

Foles has been dynamite in the pocket, completing 71-of-93 passes for 810 yards and six touchdowns. The potential loss of Criner isn’t as big as many would believe, as the program possesses one of the deeper receiving cores in the country.

Bettors will be watching this line closely leading up to kickoff, as the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Weather forecasts are suggesting clear skies in the Arizona desert and game-time temperatures in the upper-70s.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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09/15/2011 07:40 PM
Wisconsin Badgers Meet Northern Illinois In Chicago

The Wisconsin Badgers play their only non-conference game away from Madison when they meet the Northern Illinois Huskies on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 p.m. (ET).

The Don Best college football odds have Wisconsin between 16 ½-17point favorites, with a lofty total of 64 points.

ESPN3 will have the online broadcast from Soldier Field in Chicago. Reportedly only around 40,000 seats will be sold and less than half should be Northern Illinois fans despite it technically being a homegame.

The Big Ten Badgers (2-0 straight up, 1-0-1 against the spread) have been dominant in home wins over UNLV (51-17) and Oregon State (35-0). The former was a ‘push’ of the 34-point spread, but only because the offensive starters were pulled during the third quarter.

Wisconsin is up to seventh in the AP Poll and a slightly higher sixth at the Don Best Linemakers Poll. The difference is that LSU is ranked third in the former, while Don Best isn’t as high on the SEC school, ranking it tied at seventh with Oregon.

Even though it’s early, coach Bret Bielema must feel like the cat that swallowed the canary with his recruitment of senior quarterback Russell Wilson. He’s been nothing short of brilliant with a 79.4 percent completion percentage and 237.6 quarterback rating (both top-4 nationally).

Critics point out that it’s easy to post great numbers with a dominant offensive line and a defense that needs eight in the box to stop running backs Montee Ball and James White. However, Wilson has firmly grasped the offense in his short time with the club and he’s already one of the leaders.

The defense had some questions marks after allowing 146 rushing yards to UNLV. That was answered with 23 yards allowed on 24 carries against Oregon State. That’s impressive even with OSU star freshman running back Malcolm Agnew sidelined with injury.

The Badgers did allow 244 passing yards to Sean Mannion last week, but most were meaningless and he averaged just 6.4 yards per attempt. They did get some bad news with corner Devin Smith (foot) lost for the year, but Marcus Cromartie is a solid replacement.

Wisconsin has won 30 straight regular season non-conference games (15-11-1 in their last 27 ATS) dating back to 2003. The team is 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine games overall, going 4-0 ATS in road and neutral site contests.

Northern Illinois (1-1 SU and ATS) is playing its second-ever game at Soldier Field. It played Big Ten Iowa there in 2007, losing 16-3 as 12-point ‘dogs. This is just a 65-mile jaunt from its DeKalb campus, while it’s 150 miles for Wisconsin.

The Huskies went 11-3 SU (10-3-1 ATS) last year, including a perfect 8-0 regular season mark in the MAC. That helped Jerry Kill get the job at Minnesota and he was replaced by former Wisconsin defensive coordinator Dave Doeren.

Doeren spent five years with the Badgers and they’re so worried about his familiarity that they’re changing all the signals and communication he might know.

Northern Illinois is an offensive minded team despite its coach’s background. Nine starters returned from a group that was seventh nationally in rushing (260.4 YPG) and 12th in points (38 PPG). The offense can line up under center, in the shotgun or in pistol formations.

Senior Chandler Harnish is a dual-threat quarterback who’s thrown for 510 yards this year and rushed for 169 more, accounting for 11 touchdowns between his arm and legs. He threw for 2,530 yards last year and ran for 836.

Northern Illinois beat Army in the opener, 49-26 as 10-point home favorites, but fell at Kansas last week 45-42 as 4-point favorites, surrendering the winning touchdown pass with just nine seconds left.

The ‘over’ has easily gone 2-0 for Northern Illinois this season and is 6-1 in its last seven overall.

Doeren really needs to have some defensive tricks up his sleeve. He’s certainly familiar with Wisconsin’s personnel and formations, but his guys are giving up 278 YPG on the ground (ranked 117th nationally) and 471.5 total yards (ranked 110th). Only two starters returned from last year.

The Huskies gave Wisconsin a game when they last met in 2009, a 28-20 loss as 16 ½-point road ‘dogs. They’re 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the Big Ten.

Weather will not be a problem, mostly sunny and in the 60s. However, the extremely hard grass field does have both coaches concerned.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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09/16/2011 06:48 PM
NFL


Week 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NFL total bias: Week 2's best over/under bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Bill Belichick is the NFL’s big riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma – er, hoodie.

Every week he leads his team into battle, stomping around the sidelines with purpose, clutching game notes that might as well be the Dead Sea Scrolls to football bettors.

He’s almost unquestionably the game’s most respected mind and yet, what do we really know about him? Not much - which is exactly what he wanted. Well, up until now at least.

On Thursday evening, the NFL Network debuts Bill Belichick: A Football Life, a documentary that follows the coach’s every move from the beginning of the 2009 offseason all the way to the club’s playoff loss to the Baltimore Ravens.

Even as a Patriots hater, I’ve been drooling over this for weeks.

We saw exactly what the Pats are capable of against the Miami Dolphins Monday when you give Belichick’s bunch an entire offseason to plan for a game. Now, hopefully, we’ll get a glimpse into how it all comes together behind the scenes or at least get a better understanding of what "Patriot Way" really means.

But while I’ll happily Spygate the hell out of this series, it does seem a little un-Belichick, doesn’t it?

Former Patriots linebacker and current ESPN analyst Teddy Bruschi ripped Ochocinco earlier this week for tweeting his awe of the team’s offensive explosion on the Dolphins earlier this week. While some are saying Bruschi needs to chill out, I agree with him.

Ochocinco’s a clown show. He’s a pile of wasted talent for this team until he pulls himself together and becomes the potent offensive weapon that he’s capable of.

The thing is, Belichick’s supposed to be the guy who doesn’t tolerate any junk, the guy who forces his players to put the team before themselves.

I’m just not sure how this new documentary fits into that mold.

I’m staying away from the skyscraper 54-point total set for this weekend’s Chargers-Pats game, but keep in mind the over was 13-3 in Week 1. Books may have to boost their totals for a while to keep up with all this offense and balance their action.

Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (5.5, 37.5)

I’ll be whistling Dixie on this Ravens over train until the last stop. If you needed any more evidence that Baltimore’s attack is legit after last week’s dismantling of the Steelers, Joe Flacco, Ray Rice and the boys will be happy to put on another show Sunday.

This team has such a good mix of veteran sensibility and youthful energy right now. You have Flacco and Rice ready to take the league by storm and Ray Lewis, Ed Reed and Terrell Suggs there to keep everybody’s head on straight.

"I just hope people ain't jumping the gun too fast," Suggs told reporters this week. "It's a long season. We won our first game. So did half the other teams that played last week.”

The Titans weren’t one of those teams and they may be waiting a while before they get in the win column. That said, Chris Johnson will look to bounce back after a rotten showing in Week 1 and I do like Kenny Britt a ton. They should get enough done to help push this one over the total.

Pick: Over


Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons (1, 49.5)

I’ll get on a full-out rant about the Eagles one of these weeks. But for now, all I’ll say is that I’m looking at this team as a work in progress. While all the pieces appear to be there, it can take a long time to put a puzzle together.

Vick’s in a tough spot here, coming back to the Georgia Dome for the first time as a starter. Atlanta was smacked around by the Bears last week and needs to make a big impression at home this week. I’m concerned the Falcons have a tough time doing much through the air against Philly’s secondary and you know the Falcons will do everything they can to stop the run and contain Vick early on.

This smells like a real battle in the trenches to me and I think the public forced books to make this total a little higher than it should be.

Pick: Under


Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills (-3, 43)

Hey Buffalo, welcome to the party. You’re only about a decade late, but no matter now that your Bills seem to have figured out that you can win games with offense.

It’s a novel concept and one that I’m not sure the Bills will be able to keep up, so let’s soak it up while it lasts. If they can produce half the offense they did in destroying the Chiefs at Arrowhead last week, I feel great about an over wager.

That Darren McFadden is some sort of animal in Oakland’s backfield and should carry the Raiders’ offense again this weekend.

Pick: Over

--

Last week’s record: 3-0

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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09/16/2011 06:50 PM
NFL
Dunkel


Week 2

Dallas at San Francisco
The Cowboys look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is coming off a 33-17 win over Seattle and is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games following an ATS victory. Dallas is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 18

Game 197-198: Chicago at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 131.597; New Orleans 139.421
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 8; 44
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Under

Game 199-200: Kansas City at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 129.495; Detroit 134.380
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 5; 47
Vegas Line: Detroit by 9; 45
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+9); Over

Game 201-202: Jacksonville at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 127.368; NY Jets 139.547
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 12; 36
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 9; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-9); Under

Game 203-204: Oakland at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 129.384; Buffalo 131.035
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+3); Over

Game 205-206: Arizona at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 128.405; Washington 129.034
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Washington 4; 45
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+4); Under

Game 207-208: Baltimore at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 140.369; Tennessee 129.634
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 10 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Baltimore 5 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-5 1/2); Over

Game 209-210: Seattle at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 121.911; Pittsburgh 140.357
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 18 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 14; 40
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-14); Under

Game 211-212: Green Bay at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 136.244; Carolina 127.604
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 8 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 10; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+10); Over

Game 213-214: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 132.905; Minnesota 133.098
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3); Over

Game 215-216: Cleveland at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 130.466; Indianpolis 127.304
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 3; 36
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-1 1/2); Under

Game 217-218: Dallas at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.322; San Francisco 127.233
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3); Under

Game 219-220: Houston at Miami (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 132.787; Miami 131.683
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 49
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over

Game 221-222: San Diego at New England (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 134.976; New England 142.916
Dunkel Line: New England by 8; 49
Vegas Line: New England by 6 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: New England (-6 1/2); Under

Game 223-224: Cincinnati at Denver (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 125.374; Denver 128.498
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 43
Vegas Line: Denver by 4; 40
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+4); Over

Game 225-226: Philadelphia at Atlanta (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 136.204; Atlanta 132.117
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 4; 46
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 1; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-1); Under


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

Game 227-228: St. Louis at NY Giants (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 123.431; NY Giants 133.443
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 10; 47
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 6; 44
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-6); Over
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09/16/2011 06:53 PM
Texans Take On Dolphins In NFL Action

Week 2 of NFL betting action continues this Sunday at Sun Life Stadium where the Miami Dolphins (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) take on the Houston Texans (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS). Kickoff is slated for 4:15 p.m. (ET) with regional television coverage set for CBS.

The Dolphins definitely have some issues coming into this one. They're already 0-1 and were embarrassed at home last week by the New England Patriots.

The loss was a brutal one, particularly for the defense. Miami conceded 622 total yards, including an enormous 517 passing yards to Tom Brady, who spent the entire game just picking this secondary apart.

Head coach Tony Sparano knows that his seat is just as hot, if not hotter, than any other coach in the league and a second straight loss at home to start the season against a playoff caliber club certainly wouldn't help his case to keep his job.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins' offense at least proved that it can hang with the big boys. Chad Henne, about the only quarterback hated by his fan base just as much as Kyle Orton is hated in Denver, did silence the critics just a bit on Monday Night Football in Week 1. He threw for 416 yards and two TDs against just one pick. Henne also rushed for 59 yards and a TD to boot.

Henne and the offense should be helped this week by the debut of rookie Daniel Thomas. The former Kansas State Wildcat was expected to come into South Beach and immediately help out this Dolphins rushing attack, which lost both Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams in the offseason. Thomas missed Week 1's loss with a hamstring injury, but he is set to go this week.

Thomas' presence should lighten the load just a bit on Reggie Bush, who had 11 carries and nine receptions for a total of 94 yards with a TD in his Dolphins debut against the Patriots.

Meanwhile in Houston, there is a real sense that this is the year that the Texans finally get into the playoffs for the first time in team history. Beating the Indianapolis Colts 34-7 minus Peyton Manning last week probably isn't the biggest accomplishment in the world, but it was definitely an impressive victory nonetheless.

The offense for head coach Gary Kubiak is most certainly fluid this year, especially if Arian Foster's hamstring injury doesn't prove to be too much of a problem. Though he is still listed as questionable on the injury report, the Texans are expecting to have their leading rusher back in the fold this week.

If not, second-year man Ben Tate is going to get the call. The former Auburn Tiger missed his entire rookie campaign due to injury, but he started off this season in fine form, rushing for 116 yards and a TD against Indianapolis.

The question in Houston though, is how this new look defense is going to stand up against some of the best offenses in the league. Miami's offense isn't nearly as strong as that of the Patriots or some of the other squads that the Texans will have to go through to reach the playoffs, but this certainly is a tougher task than the one that Kerry Collins and company presented in Week 1.

The new 3-4 look proved to be fruitful right off the bat in Week 1. Rookie JJ Watt had a fumble recovery, one of the two forced turnovers on the day, and the Texans also had three sacks of Collins.

Miami has never beaten the Texans, going 0-5 SU and 2-3 ATS in five tries. This is the first time that Houston has been favored in South Beach though, getting the 2 1/2-point nod from the oddsmakers. The total has been set at 48, a number which has only been eclipsed once in the five meetings in this series.
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09/16/2011 06:55 PM
Bengals Take On Broncos In Denver

It only took one week – and one loss – for fans of the Denver Broncos to question whether or not the current starting quarterback of their team gives them the best chance to win this season. While the answer remains highly debatable, Kyle Orton and the Broncos (0-1) will try to bounce back from losing their season opener 23-20 to Oakland when they host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday.

Game time is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. (ET) with television coverage provided by CBS. Denver opened as a 6-point favorite according to the Don Best odds screen, and bettors also seem to be doubting Orton as the line has dropped two points down to 3 ½. The total opened at 39 ½ and is up to 40.

Orton turned in a less than impressive performance on Monday night against the Raiders, as his final numbers do not begin to tell the story, much like his play over the previous two seasons. He ended up with his 10th career 300-yard game, completing 24 of 46 passes for 304 with one touchdown, one interception and one costly fumble as his team was driving for a score. His team failed to cover the spread as a 3-point favorite with the total edging ‘over’ the final number of 42 ½.

Broncos fans are already clamoring for second-year QB Tim Tebow to take over as the starter after their team fell to the Raiders for the fourth straight time. Denver could face another struggle at home against the Bengals (1-0) due to several key injuries and will be looking to avoid getting off to an 0-2 start for the first time since 1999. Leading receiver Brandon Lloyd is questionable with a groin injury while starting running back Knowshon Moreno has a sore hamstring and defensive end Elvis Dumervil aggravated a shoulder injury against Oakland.

Cincinnati has some injury concerns as well with rookie QB Andy Dalton suffering a wrist injury in last week’s 27-17 victory at Cleveland. Dalton was injured late in the first half and did not return after completing 10 of 15 passes for 81 yards and one touchdown. He was replaced by journeyman Bruce Gradkowski, who saved the day by throwing the game-winning touchdown pass to rookie A.J. Green with just under five minutes remaining. Dalton hopes to start but would be replaced by Gradkowski if he can’t go.

Cedric Benson did most of the offensive damage for the Bengals on the ground, rushing for 121 yards and icing the win with a 39-yard touchdown run with 1:49 left. They covered the spread as 6 ½-point road underdogs, and the two late scores pushed the total ‘over’ 34 ½ points.

Cincy has not won in Denver since 1975, losing eight straight meetings there. The Broncos have also won three of the last four games between the teams overall, although the Bengals have covered four of the past six. The ‘under’ is 3-1 in the last four meetings, including a 12-7 Denver victory at Cincinnati the last time they faced each other to open the 2009 season. Orton connected with wide receiver Brandon Stokley on a bizarre 87-yard game-winning touchdown pass with 11 seconds remaining that had been tipped by Bengals cornerback Leon Hall.

The weather forecast for the Mile High City on Sunday calls for a high temperature of 76 degrees under mostly sunny skies.
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09/16/2011 06:57 PM
Rams And Giants Batlle On Monday Night Football

The St. Louis Rams (0-1) and New York Giants (0-1) will both be looking to bounce back from dismal opening week performances when facing off on ESPN’s Monday Night Football.

Kickoff from MetLife Stadium is expected at 8:30 ET and the home team has moved 2 1/2 points in the betting odds since the line was released on Sept. 13.

Oddsmakers waited to release this line due to injuries up and down the St. Louis roster, ultimately sending out New York as a 3 1/2-point home favorite. The total stands at 44.

Rams quarterback Sam Bradford is listed as probable after suffering a bruised right index finger that actually knocked him out of the final quarter in last week’s 31-13 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles as 3 1/2-point home underdogs.

St. Louis is likely to be without the services of star running back Steven Jackson, who did not practice on Thursday with a leg injury suffered in the opening quarter of the 2011 campaign. It was disappointing, as the former Oregon State star rushed for 56 yards on two carries before going down.

One of the key matchups in this contest will be on the sidelines, as Rams head coach Steve Spagnuolo served as Giants defensive coordinator under Tom Coughlin during the franchise's third Super Bowl win over the New England Patriots in 2008.

He’s well aware of the talent that the New York defense possesses, but it’s also a unit that lost five key defensive players before the season started.

Playing in a prime time contest is an exciting experience for the upstart club, as St. Louis last appeared in front of a Monday night audience back on Dec. 11, 2006.

Bettors will find that the Rams are 11-22 against the spread versus NFC East opponents and the ‘under’ is 21-12 over that span.

New York hasn’t faced St. Louis since the 2008 season, registering a 41-13 road win as 9-point road favorites in that contest. The Giants out-gained the Rams by a significant 441-201 margin, but these two teams are much different this time around.

A bounce back is needed from the squad after suffering a 28-14 loss to the Washington Redskins as 2 1/2-point road favorites last week, as Giants signal-caller Eli Manning failed to reach pay dirt through the air for the first time in nine road games.

Defensively, the return of defensive end Justin Tuck would be a much-needed lift, after being a late scratch last week with a neck injury.

New York is likely to play a second week without another member of the defensive line, as Osi Umenyiora is still recovering from minor knee surgery that he underwent during the preseason.

The Giants should be cautious about letting their guard down in playing the run due to Jackson’s injury, as Rams backup running back Cadillac Williams rushed 19 times for 91 yards versus the Eagles in his place.

It’s important to note that playing on the big stage doesn’t seem to bother the team from the Big Apple, posting a 3-0 ATS mark on Monday Night Football.

Weather forecasts are calling for clear skies and game-time temperatures in the low-60s.
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09/16/2011 07:01 PM
Total Talk - Week 2

September 16, 2011

Week 1 Recap

One week of NFL action is in the books and total players watched the ‘over’ blaze to an 11-3-2 (78%) record. Anytime you have big plays, you’re going to get big scores and that’s what happened during the opening weekend. Eleven touchdowns were produced by special teams and defense, including five punt returns.

The sudden scoring surge was noticed at the betting counter as well and they made adjustments for the Week 2. In the first installment, six of the 16 games had totals of 39 points or less. This weekend, we only have two games that are sitting in the thirties and the Jaguars-Jets game (39) could hit 40 by kickoff.

Bad Beats

The NFC West affair between San Francisco and Seattle had a total of 38. The 49ers led 16-0 at half and 19-10 with four minutes to go in the game. Then, the two clubs combined for 21 points on three big plays, two coming on special teams from the 49ers’ Tedd Ginn. Make a note that both teams barely eclipsed 200 yards of total offense.

Even without Peyton Manning on the field, the total for the Colts and Texans 'over/under' closed at 44 points. Houston jumped out early and often, building a 34-0 lead at half. Houston had a chance to add at least an extra three points but Matt Schaub was picked off in the redzone. The Colts put a touchdown in the fourth, but they also missed a field goal and turned the ball over on downs after getting a first-and-goal from the Texans’ seven-yard line.

First-half ‘over’ bettors took one on the chin this past Monday. The Patriots built a 14-7 lead on the Dolphins with 14 minutes left in the first-half. The closing number at most books was sitting at 23 ½ points. Five punts and a field goal miss later, the score stayed 14-7 heading into the third quarter.

Non-Divisional Battles

A key part of handicapping football matchups is looking history between the two teams. Unfortunately, the sample size this week won’t offer much help since we have no divisional games on tap. Due to the lockout this year the NFL decided to tweak the schedule just in case weeks of the regular season were lost. Along with this weekend, Week 4 will have no divisional battles either. The clubs playing on the road this week will be at home two weeks from now and vice versa.

If you’re betting sides in Week 2, I would certainly lean towards the unexpected because non-divisional games don’t mean as much and I believe you’re going to see some teams in 0-2 holes that you wouldn’t have expected. However, starting out 0-2 with no divisional losses isn’t as bad as it looks.

What’s even tougher about this week’s slate is that we only have two matchups, San Diego-New England and Philadelphia-Atlanta, where the two teams met during the 2010 season.

Coincidentally, those two games have the highest totals on the board.

The total on the Chargers-Patriots has spiked up to 53 ½ at some shops and while both teams have the ability to get that number, the past history doesn’t bode well. The pair have met every season since 2007 and the ‘under’ is 3-1 in those four affairs and only one of those contests was played in poor weather (Jan. 2008). The highest total during this span was 48 ½.

Philadelphia has won and covered three straight against Atlanta, including a 31-17 victory last season at home. That outcome went ‘over’ the number but the two previous affairs stayed ‘under’ the number. This week’s number is high and definitely inflated. The Eagles put up 31 last week against St. Louis, seven coming from their defense. Meanwhile, Atlanta was ripped by the Bears (12-30) on the road and its only touchdown was from its defense.

Under the Lights

The parlay combination of Favorite-Over is dreaded behind the betting counter and most often played the betting public. When that outcome happens in a nationally televised game, it’s not good for the sportsbooks. Last week, three of the four primetime games went ‘over’ the number, with Oakland and Denver resulting in a push.

What’s ironic about those games is that three of the four were on an ‘under’ pace heading into the second-half. When that happens, a lot of the public gamblers like to chase their bets, especially ‘over’ tickets. Unfortunately for the books, all four primetime games watched the ‘over’ cash in the second-half, quite easily too.

Philadelphia-Atlanta (see above) and St. Louis-New York Giants will be this week’s primetime games and both have high numbers, the Rams and Giants in particular. St. Louis and New York both gave up 31 and 28 points respectively last week, but defensive touchdowns were included in those numbers. Plus, the Rams have some banged up players on offense in quarterback Sam Bradford (finger) and running back Steven Jackson (quad). And the Giants’ wide receiver Hakeem Nicks (knee) isn’t 100 percent, which is big considering he hauled in seven passed for 122 yards last week.

Fearless Predictions

We’re back for another year of free winners…we hope. Along with our Best Bet ‘over’ and ‘under’ winners, we’re giving out the weekly Three-Teamer and introducing a Team Total play this season as well.

Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Arizona-Washington 44

Best Under: Dallas-San Francisco 42.5

Best Team Total: Under Cincinnati 17.5

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
Over Arizona-Washington 35
Under Dallas-San Francisco 51.5
Under Seattle-Pittsburgh 49

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