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steve_janus
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MLB FREE PICK: Milwaukee Brewers -117

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On 05/31/2012 11:26 AM in Cappers
Milwaukee vs. LA Dodgers, 05/31/2012 22:10
Money Line: -117 Milwaukee

MLB FREE PICK: Milwaukee Brewers -117

The Brewers are quietly turning things around. They have won three straight and five of their last seven overall. My money is on Milwaukee to cash in again on Thursday, as they send out their ace Zach Greinke against the struggling Chad Billingsley.

Greinke really struggled in his last outing at Arizona, allowing 7 runs in just 2.3 innings of work. Even the elite starters have an off night. Prior to that performance, Greinke had allowed 1 earned run over his previous three starts.

Greinke has made three starts against the Dodgers in his career. He is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA, while his team has went on to win all three starts. With the Dodgers losing Matt Kemp to another injury, look for their offense to continue to struggle. Los Angeles is 2-5 over their last 7 games, averaging just 2.2 runs in those five losses.

The Brewers should be able to give Greinke plenty of run-support in this one. Billingsley is 2-3 with a 3.88 ERA in 10 starts this season. He comes into tonight's game really struggling to get people out. Over his last three starts, his ERA has climbed to 5.40 and he has an awful 2.00 WHIP.

The Brewers are 13-1 in Greinkes last 14 starts following a team loss in his previous start. They are also 27-6 in Greinkes last 33 starts as a favorite and 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. BET THE BREWERS!

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