cnotes Posts:27368 Followers:33
On 05/15/2012 06:20 PM in MLB

Cnotes Wednesday's MLB Best Bets !

Braves And Reds Square Off Tuesday In Atlanta

A full slate of Major League Baseball action is on tap for Tuesday, with a couple of NL East vs. NL Central clashes as the featured matchups on the card.

A quick check of the NL East standings notes that Atlanta (22-13) and Miami (18-16) have gone into a full gallop over the past couple of weeks. Both will be seeking to continue their recent upswings on Tuesday night against Central Division foes before they run into each other in a quick but important two-game set at Turner Field beginning Wednesday night.

For the Marlins, their current homestand concludes Tuesday when hosting the underdog Pittsburgh Pirates at the new Marlins Stadium. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. (ET), with the scheduled pitching matchup pitting the Bucs’ Kevin Correia against Miami’s Josh Johnson.

Early prices as noted on the Don Best odds screen have the Marlins at -180 at most Las Vegas outlets, with a Pirate win available at +170 or thereabouts. The early total was seven shaded to the ‘under’ at -110. On the Run Line, Miami was +120 when laying an extra run, Pittsburgh an early -140 receiving an extra run.

For the Marlins, it has hardly been an uneventful first six weeks of the season, but things finally seem to be on track in South Florida as Miami enters this early-week series having won 10 of its last 12 games, which follows a slump that saw the Marlins drop eight of nine between April 20-30. But Miami has rallied despite the distractions involving manager Ozzie Guillen and the implosion of high-priced closer Heath Bell, whose performances have been nothing short of a disaster in the early going this season.

To wit: Bell, who has been temporarily removed as the frontline closer by Guillen, had another chance to redeem himself on Sunday vs. the Mets when entering the game with the score tied at 2-2 in the top of the ninth inning, but proceeded to allow a pair of runs that ballooned his ERA to a whopping 10.03. Only when the Marlins scored six runs in the bottom of the ninth, the last four courtesy a grand slam by Giancarlo Stanton, was Bell bailed out and awarded with an undeserving win.

Still, Bell has been one of the few concerns in recent weeks for the Marlins. Power hitting outfielder Stanton has certainly not been a problem, hitting safely in 14 of his last 15 games entering Monday’s series-opening clash and batting a robust .351 over that span. The starting rotation continues to deliver quality efforts as well, with a 3.16 ERA as proof heading into this series.

Yet for Tuesday starter Johnson, his efforts continue to be surprisingly erratic, although he is off one of his best showings of the young season when holding the Astros to just two runs and four hits over seven innings of work in last Wednesday’s 5-3 win at Minute Maid Park. Previously, Johnson had been rocked in two starts, and his early-season numbers (5.87 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, .329 OBA) indicate his inconsistencies.

Johnson, however, has dominated the Bucs in the past, posting a 1.64 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in three starts vs. Pittsburgh. The Pirates’ popgun offense, scoring fewer than three runs per game (only 97 in the first 34 games, at 2.85 rpg), should offer a chance for Johnson to get well.

Despite their ongoing offensive woes in the first six weeks of the campaign, the Bucs have compensated with superb pitching, as their staff entered this series with a stellar 3.18 ERA, ranking behind only Washington. Tuesday’s starter Correia is also notorious for pitching better on the road than at home, posting a 2.20 ERA in three starts away from PNC Park. This is consistent with his performance pattern from a year ago when recording a solid 2.64 ERA in 14 starts as a visitor (compared to a 7.71 ERA in 12 home starts).

A couple of other trends to note in this matchup include the Pirates’ 23-8 ‘under’ mark (with three pushes) entering this midweek set, and recent Marlins dominance, having won eight straight vs. the Bucs and outscoring them 48-12 prior to this brief series commencing on Monday night.

The Marlins have needed to be hot to keep pace with the surging Braves, playing host to the Reds in a truncated two-game set before hosting the Marlins on Wednesday and Thursday. The Tuesday pitching matchup vs. Cincy is a good one, as Johnny Cueto goes for the visitors against Atlanta’s Tim Hudson. First pitch in Georgia will be at 7:10 p.m. (ET).

A check of the Don Best odds screen notes early prices with Atlanta slightly favored at -115 on the win, and the take-back on the Reds at +105. The 7-run total is shaded to the ‘under’ at -120, On the Run Line, Hudson fetches a +185 price minus the run, while Cueto backers will be laying -215 plus the extra run.

The Braves, home for a brief four-game stint before taking to the road in interleague play at St. Pete vs. the Rays this weekend, entered this homestand off a highly-successful road trip in which they won seven of nine, including an impressive three-game sweep over the Cardinals this past weekend.

After losing their first four games this season, the Braves have been scorching, winning 22 of their next 31 entering this two-game set vs. the Redlegs. On the just-completed nine-game road road trip, the Braves batted .286 while belting 11 homers and scoring a healthy 6.2 runs per game. Center fielder Michael Bourn continues to be an effective catalyst, hitting .336 with 11 stolen bases and 24 runs scored.

Especially encouraging for manager Fredi Gonzalez, however, is the quick return to form of Hudson, who underwent offseason back surgery. Hudson has made three starts since returning to active duty and looked as sharp as ever in his most-recent outing when limiting the Cubs to just one run and five hits through seven innings of work last Wednesday at Wrigley Field.

Hudson is 3-1 lifetime vs. the Reds, although he has not faced them since the 2009 season.

Hudson will need to be at his best, however, to outpitch Cincy’s Cueto (4-0), whose 1.12 ERA ranks behind only Chicago’s Ryan Dempster among NL starters. Cueto has been almost untouchable in his last four starts, all Reds wins, allowing just two earned runs and 22 hits over 29 1/3 IP. Cueto has also struck out 19 batters and walked just four over that span.

Cueto has not seen much of the Braves in his career, posting a 1-1 record and 3.10 ERA in four previous starts. He pitched effectively in his lone start vs. Atlanta a year ago in a May 29 game at Turner Field, allowing just two runs and five hits in eight innings of work, although he was outdueled by Jair Jurrjens in a 2-1 Braves win.

The Reds, who entered this series having won 13 of their last 21, are encouraged by the recent eruption of former MVP first baseman Joey Votto, who had the second three-homer game of his career on Sunday vs. the Nats when also knocking in a personal-best six RBIs in the dramatic 9-6 win, sealed by Votto’s walk-off grand slam.

For all of the Braves’ recent success, however, they still haven’t been a big money-winner at home this season, entering this series at only +107 units on the Money Line at Turner Field. It’s been on the road (+580 units) where Atlanta has offered its best value thus far in 2012.

Cueto, if available at a plus price, would be a tempting recommendation

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27368 Followers:33
05/15/2012 06:25 PM

Diamond Trends - Tuesday

May 15, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Reds are 0-13 since May 28, 2011 as a dog when they are off a win in which they never trailed for a net profit of $1300 when playing against.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Diamondbacks are 0-10 OU since May 05, 2011 when playing a night game after a loss and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Red Sox are 10-0 since April 10, 2011 when Josh Beckett starts after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $1005.
MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


CC Sabathia has produced a team record of 22-0 with the Brewers and Yankees on at least full rest following a game where he worked at least 114 pitches and 6.2 innings, which they did not lose by more than two runs.


TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Rangers are 16-0 since April 22, 2011 as a favorite after a loss in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $1600.

The White Sox are 0-9 OU since May 03, 2011 at home after a win in which their opponent left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $900 when playing the under.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27368 Followers:33
05/15/2012 06:27 PM

Sabathia tries to dominate Orioles again Tuesday


NEW YORK YANKEES (20-15)

at BALTIMORE ORIOLES (22-14)


First pitch: Tuesday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -150, Baltimore +140, Total: 8

The Yankees look to continue their dominance over the AL East-leading Orioles when the teams wrap up a two-game set in Baltimore on Tuesday night.

New York is 44-17 (.721) versus Baltimore since 2009, including a 22-9 mark (.710) at Camden Yards, winning all four road meetings this season. CC Sabathia and Wei Yin Chen take the mound in this game, each having seen the other team already this season. Chen gave up four runs in 5.2 innings to the Yankees, although only two of the runs were earned. Sabathia had a similar outing, giving up four earned on eight hits in six innings, striking out eight. While Chen is having a stellar season with a 3-0 record and a 2.68 ERA, Sabathia is as well with a 5-0 mark and 3.51 ERA. Sabathia’s peripherals are also much stronger with a 5.3 K:BB ratio, compared to Chen’s at 2.3. Furthermore, Sabathia’s career numbers against the Orioles are incredible—in 23 career starts, he is 16-2 with a 2.86 ERA and .231 opponents’ BA. The Yankees, who have won six of their past eight games, should be in good shape to make up more ground in the AL East behind the 6-foot-7 left-hander. Take NEW YORK to win another game in this series.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Yankees:

Play On - Any team (NY YANKEES) - average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA<=3.50) (AL), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season. (88-51 since 1997.) (63.3%, +41 units. Rating = 3*).

The Yankees should be able to get to Chen again in this one. They are averaging 5.7 runs per game off lefty starters, hitting .288 with a .360 OBP. And with Sabathia’s ability to go deep into games (24 IP, 4 ER over past three starts) and his success against the Orioles in the past, the Yankees pitching should be set, solidified by one of baseball’s best bullpens. The New York relievers have a 2.61 ERA and 9.54 K’s/9 on the season and a 5-2 record. Supported by an offense that ranks in the majors’ top five in runs (5.0), batting average (275), on-base percentage (.345) and slugging percentage (.468), this game is laid out for the Yankees to win. Take the road favorites.

Chen, like Sabathia, is supported by one of baseball’s best bullpens. Baltimore relievers have a 2.28 ERA and 1.14 WHIP on the season, although those marks are much worse at Camden Yards (3.50 ERA, 1.31 WHIP). The bullpen has given up 12 home runs on the season, 11 of which came in home games. Furthermore, Baltimore has been struggling against southpaws this season, hitting just .230 against them. After winning their first five games in May, the Orioles have cooled down with a 3-5 record since then. Maybe the luck has run out early on this surprisingly strong starting Baltimore team, play against them in this one.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27368 Followers:33
05/15/2012 06:27 PM

Sabathia tries to dominate Orioles again Tuesday


NEW YORK YANKEES (20-15)

at BALTIMORE ORIOLES (22-14)


First pitch: Tuesday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -150, Baltimore +140, Total: 8

The Yankees look to continue their dominance over the AL East-leading Orioles when the teams wrap up a two-game set in Baltimore on Tuesday night.

New York is 44-17 (.721) versus Baltimore since 2009, including a 22-9 mark (.710) at Camden Yards, winning all four road meetings this season. CC Sabathia and Wei Yin Chen take the mound in this game, each having seen the other team already this season. Chen gave up four runs in 5.2 innings to the Yankees, although only two of the runs were earned. Sabathia had a similar outing, giving up four earned on eight hits in six innings, striking out eight. While Chen is having a stellar season with a 3-0 record and a 2.68 ERA, Sabathia is as well with a 5-0 mark and 3.51 ERA. Sabathia’s peripherals are also much stronger with a 5.3 K:BB ratio, compared to Chen’s at 2.3. Furthermore, Sabathia’s career numbers against the Orioles are incredible—in 23 career starts, he is 16-2 with a 2.86 ERA and .231 opponents’ BA. The Yankees, who have won six of their past eight games, should be in good shape to make up more ground in the AL East behind the 6-foot-7 left-hander. Take NEW YORK to win another game in this series.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Yankees:

Play On - Any team (NY YANKEES) - average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA<=3.50) (AL), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season. (88-51 since 1997.) (63.3%, +41 units. Rating = 3*).

The Yankees should be able to get to Chen again in this one. They are averaging 5.7 runs per game off lefty starters, hitting .288 with a .360 OBP. And with Sabathia’s ability to go deep into games (24 IP, 4 ER over past three starts) and his success against the Orioles in the past, the Yankees pitching should be set, solidified by one of baseball’s best bullpens. The New York relievers have a 2.61 ERA and 9.54 K’s/9 on the season and a 5-2 record. Supported by an offense that ranks in the majors’ top five in runs (5.0), batting average (275), on-base percentage (.345) and slugging percentage (.468), this game is laid out for the Yankees to win. Take the road favorites.

Chen, like Sabathia, is supported by one of baseball’s best bullpens. Baltimore relievers have a 2.28 ERA and 1.14 WHIP on the season, although those marks are much worse at Camden Yards (3.50 ERA, 1.31 WHIP). The bullpen has given up 12 home runs on the season, 11 of which came in home games. Furthermore, Baltimore has been struggling against southpaws this season, hitting just .230 against them. After winning their first five games in May, the Orioles have cooled down with a 3-5 record since then. Maybe the luck has run out early on this surprisingly strong starting Baltimore team, play against them in this one.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27368 Followers:33
05/15/2012 06:27 PM

Sabathia tries to dominate Orioles again Tuesday


NEW YORK YANKEES (20-15)

at BALTIMORE ORIOLES (22-14)


First pitch: Tuesday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -150, Baltimore +140, Total: 8

The Yankees look to continue their dominance over the AL East-leading Orioles when the teams wrap up a two-game set in Baltimore on Tuesday night.

New York is 44-17 (.721) versus Baltimore since 2009, including a 22-9 mark (.710) at Camden Yards, winning all four road meetings this season. CC Sabathia and Wei Yin Chen take the mound in this game, each having seen the other team already this season. Chen gave up four runs in 5.2 innings to the Yankees, although only two of the runs were earned. Sabathia had a similar outing, giving up four earned on eight hits in six innings, striking out eight. While Chen is having a stellar season with a 3-0 record and a 2.68 ERA, Sabathia is as well with a 5-0 mark and 3.51 ERA. Sabathia’s peripherals are also much stronger with a 5.3 K:BB ratio, compared to Chen’s at 2.3. Furthermore, Sabathia’s career numbers against the Orioles are incredible—in 23 career starts, he is 16-2 with a 2.86 ERA and .231 opponents’ BA. The Yankees, who have won six of their past eight games, should be in good shape to make up more ground in the AL East behind the 6-foot-7 left-hander. Take NEW YORK to win another game in this series.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Yankees:

Play On - Any team (NY YANKEES) - average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA<=3.50) (AL), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season. (88-51 since 1997.) (63.3%, +41 units. Rating = 3*).

The Yankees should be able to get to Chen again in this one. They are averaging 5.7 runs per game off lefty starters, hitting .288 with a .360 OBP. And with Sabathia’s ability to go deep into games (24 IP, 4 ER over past three starts) and his success against the Orioles in the past, the Yankees pitching should be set, solidified by one of baseball’s best bullpens. The New York relievers have a 2.61 ERA and 9.54 K’s/9 on the season and a 5-2 record. Supported by an offense that ranks in the majors’ top five in runs (5.0), batting average (275), on-base percentage (.345) and slugging percentage (.468), this game is laid out for the Yankees to win. Take the road favorites.

Chen, like Sabathia, is supported by one of baseball’s best bullpens. Baltimore relievers have a 2.28 ERA and 1.14 WHIP on the season, although those marks are much worse at Camden Yards (3.50 ERA, 1.31 WHIP). The bullpen has given up 12 home runs on the season, 11 of which came in home games. Furthermore, Baltimore has been struggling against southpaws this season, hitting just .230 against them. After winning their first five games in May, the Orioles have cooled down with a 3-5 record since then. Maybe the luck has run out early on this surprisingly strong starting Baltimore team, play against them in this one.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27368 Followers:33
05/15/2012 06:33 PM

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Tuesday's betting tips: Strong winds expected for MLB matinees

Weather to watch

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins – 17 mph winds are expected to be blowing out to right-centerfield.

Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies – 13 mph winds are expected to be blowing out to left-centerfield.

Who’s hot

NBA: The Spurs are 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 home games.

NBA: Miami has covered in five straight home games.

NHL: The Los Angeles Kings are 6-0 in their last six road games.

MLB: The Brewers are 20-6 in Zack Greinke's last 26 starts.

Who’s not

NBA: The Pacers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.

NBA: The over is 1-4 in the Clippers' last five overall.

NHL: Under is 4-11-3 in the Coyotes’ last 18 overall.

MLB: Arizona had won just one of its last eight ahead of Monday's action.

Key stat

-6.75 - The San Antonio Spurs have a -6.75 rebounding margin in the playoffs, worst of all the remaining teams in the postseason. Luckily for Spurs supporters, San Antonio is also leading the playoffs in offense, averaging 102.2.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Chris Bosh, Miami Heat - Bosh has a strained abdominal muscle and will be out indefinitely, the team announced Monday after an MRI exam confirmed the injury. The 28-year-old Bosh suffered the injury in the first half of a 95-86 win over the Pacers on Sunday in the first game of the Eastern Conference semifinals. He had 13 points on 6-of-11 shooting from the floor and five rebounds in just 13 minutes when he left the game. Bosh averaged 15 points and 7.2 rebounds in the Heat's five-game win over the New York Knicks in the first round of the playoffs after averaging 18 points and 7.9 rebounds during the regular season.

Game of the day

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat (-7.5, 185)

Notable quotable

“She died a hero. She was ready to go. She was tired, she was getting a little weak.” – Texas Rangers slugger Josh Hamilton after the bat that produced eight of his nine homers last week finally suffered a small in Sunday’s win over the Angels. The bat is now heading to the MLB Hall of Fame in Cooperstown. Hamilton hit .467 this past week with 18 RBI.

Notes and tips

Los Angeles Clippers star Blake Griffin plans to play through his knee sprain despite the pain. He said he will suit up for Tuesday’s Game 1 against the San Antonio Spurs after being held to 18 points and 6.4 rebounds in Los Angeles’ series win over Memphis.

Frank Francisco, the biggest culprit in the New York Mets' second bullpen meltdown in three games, could be losing his grip on the closer's role -- if he hasn't lost it already. Francisco gave up three runs and did not retire a batter in Sunday's 8-4 loss to the Marlins, leading manager Terry Collins to admit afterward that he is considering a change at closer. Collins will not make any decisions until the team arrives back in New York for the start of a four-game home stand Monday. "I've got eight options, or however many guys are down there," Collins said. "But I'm not going to address that right now. The emotions are running a little high tonight, and that's not a very good time to make a decision."

Russell Wilson made the most of his initial rookie camp with the Seahawks. By the end of the three days of workouts, head coach Pete Carroll deemed Wilson ready to enter the competition for the starting quarterback job with Matt Flynn and Tarvaris Jackson. "He's in the competition. That is going to tax us, as we know," Carroll said Sunday. "It was already going to be taxing with two, but he's shown us enough that we need to see where he fits in with these guys."

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27368 Followers:33
05/15/2012 06:33 PM

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Tuesday's betting tips: Strong winds expected for MLB matinees

Weather to watch

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins – 17 mph winds are expected to be blowing out to right-centerfield.

Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies – 13 mph winds are expected to be blowing out to left-centerfield.

Who’s hot

NBA: The Spurs are 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 home games.

NBA: Miami has covered in five straight home games.

NHL: The Los Angeles Kings are 6-0 in their last six road games.

MLB: The Brewers are 20-6 in Zack Greinke's last 26 starts.

Who’s not

NBA: The Pacers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.

NBA: The over is 1-4 in the Clippers' last five overall.

NHL: Under is 4-11-3 in the Coyotes’ last 18 overall.

MLB: Arizona had won just one of its last eight ahead of Monday's action.

Key stat

-6.75 - The San Antonio Spurs have a -6.75 rebounding margin in the playoffs, worst of all the remaining teams in the postseason. Luckily for Spurs supporters, San Antonio is also leading the playoffs in offense, averaging 102.2.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Chris Bosh, Miami Heat - Bosh has a strained abdominal muscle and will be out indefinitely, the team announced Monday after an MRI exam confirmed the injury. The 28-year-old Bosh suffered the injury in the first half of a 95-86 win over the Pacers on Sunday in the first game of the Eastern Conference semifinals. He had 13 points on 6-of-11 shooting from the floor and five rebounds in just 13 minutes when he left the game. Bosh averaged 15 points and 7.2 rebounds in the Heat's five-game win over the New York Knicks in the first round of the playoffs after averaging 18 points and 7.9 rebounds during the regular season.

Game of the day

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat (-7.5, 185)

Notable quotable

“She died a hero. She was ready to go. She was tired, she was getting a little weak.” – Texas Rangers slugger Josh Hamilton after the bat that produced eight of his nine homers last week finally suffered a small in Sunday’s win over the Angels. The bat is now heading to the MLB Hall of Fame in Cooperstown. Hamilton hit .467 this past week with 18 RBI.

Notes and tips

Los Angeles Clippers star Blake Griffin plans to play through his knee sprain despite the pain. He said he will suit up for Tuesday’s Game 1 against the San Antonio Spurs after being held to 18 points and 6.4 rebounds in Los Angeles’ series win over Memphis.

Frank Francisco, the biggest culprit in the New York Mets' second bullpen meltdown in three games, could be losing his grip on the closer's role -- if he hasn't lost it already. Francisco gave up three runs and did not retire a batter in Sunday's 8-4 loss to the Marlins, leading manager Terry Collins to admit afterward that he is considering a change at closer. Collins will not make any decisions until the team arrives back in New York for the start of a four-game home stand Monday. "I've got eight options, or however many guys are down there," Collins said. "But I'm not going to address that right now. The emotions are running a little high tonight, and that's not a very good time to make a decision."

Russell Wilson made the most of his initial rookie camp with the Seahawks. By the end of the three days of workouts, head coach Pete Carroll deemed Wilson ready to enter the competition for the starting quarterback job with Matt Flynn and Tarvaris Jackson. "He's in the competition. That is going to tax us, as we know," Carroll said Sunday. "It was already going to be taxing with two, but he's shown us enough that we need to see where he fits in with these guys."

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27368 Followers:33
05/15/2012 06:34 PM

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Some of the prop bets available for the Laker-Thunder game Monday:

Largest lead by either side at any point in game: 17

Total 3-pointers made, both sides: 12.5

Points + Assists, Kobe Bryant: 33

Points for Andrew Bynum: 17

Points + Assists, Russell Westbrook: 29

Points for Kevin Durant: 28

You could've bet the over/under on any of those propositions........


*************


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Random thoughts as I head home.........

13) I've got the solution for the NBA on how to decrease flopping by eager defenders (you can never totally eliminate it); just call less charging fouls. Every time you call a charge, you encourage flopping, so more charges will get drawn. Stop calling so many, guys will defend instead of flop.

12) I've watched this Alonso kid play 1B for the Padres; if I was the Reds, I would've found a place for him to play, especially in that tiny ballpark of theirs. Very good hitter. I know they got Mat Latos for him, but they need to go for groundball pitchers to avoid cheap flyball home runs.

11) You can bet on baseball games for the full nine innings, or just the first five, or if any runs will score in the first inning. This is why you sometimes hear random yelling int he sportsbook, even when you think not much is going on. Believe me, something is always going on........

10) Sparse crowds on a Monday night in Toronto, Washington, Queens; at some point, frontrunning NYC folk might realize the Mets are a contender right now. They play good ball, and deserve better fan support. Same for the Nationals, who jumped back into first place last night.

9) Mets have now gone 8,003 games without a no-hitter; Padres have gone 6,878. Marlins have had four in 17 years.

8) Texas hasn't put a guy on the DL yet; Nationals have put 11, and backup catcher Leon might be #12 after getting hurt in a home plate collision.

7) Let the record show that Bryce Harper's first MLB homer went over the centerfield fence against Tim Stauffer. He also dropped a fly ball that cost Washington a run. Things are always interesting around him.

6) Emilio Bonifacio is 18-18 stealing bases; he's not a better hitter, but he might be a better basestealer than teammate Jose Reyes.

5) I wish all outfield fences were nine feet high; its pretty cool when an OF robs the batter of a home run. Not real big on 12-15 foot fences, they just rob the hitters of home runs.

4) Pirates are 11-1 when they score 4+ runs, 6-17 when they don't.

3) Carlos Beltran has 21 RBI in May, most in the major leagues. Guess he didn't like New York City.

2) The commercial with the "other Michael Jordan" is a classic. The looks on people's faces when they realize they're not going to meet the famous Jordan are excellent.

1) If you've never been to Las Vegas, I highly recommend it; its unique, in both good and bad ways, mostly good. Be prepared to have fun.........




Armadillo was a little late getting this up yesterday and I forgot to go back and get it:


Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Odds to win next month's US Open golf tournament........

7-1-- Rory McIlroy-- Best player in world right now.

12-1-- Eldrick Woods-- Last two tournaments haven't been good.

12-1-- Phil Mickelson-- Usually plays better on the west coast.

12-1-- Lee Westwood-- San Francisco is a long way from England.......

20-1-- Luke Donald-- Wasn't #1 player in the world very long.

30-1-- Adam Scott/Hunter Mahan/Bubba Watson/Dustin Johnson.


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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........

13) Between NHL/NBA, there are 12 teams left playing; three of the 12 are in Los Angeles, playing home games at Staples Center. Arena workers are going to go nuts racking up overtime later this week, with two events on both Saturday/Sunday. Two basketball games Saturday, the Kings play on Sunday afternoon, then the Clippers Sunday night. Busy place.

12) Home teams are now 87-22 in NBA Game 7's.

11) This was just the Clippers' 3rd-ever winning season, and only second playoff series win since 1985. Good for them.

10) Quin Snyder is an assistant coach for the Lakers; he was head coach at Missouri from 1999-2006, where he coached a player named Josh Kroenke, who is now..........President and Governor of the Nuggets. Not that long ago he was in college; now he's President of an NBA team.

Kroenke's dad is Stan Kroenke, who owns the Nuggets/Avalanche and the St Louis Rams, which helps explains Josh's rapid rise to the top. This is an excellent organization though, one with a bright future.

9) If you want to bet the Super Bowl 8-9 months early, the NFC has been posted as a 3-point favorite over the AFC.

8) 23-11 Dodgers have the big leagues' best record, but Texas Rangers are the best team. Sunday night, Orel Hershiser said it wasn't even close, with Texas having the major leagues' best team, right now.

7) Pretty good Sunday for Joey Votto, who hit three homers, last of which was a walk-off grandslam in the Reds' 9-6 win over Washington. He is first player ever with three HRs in a game, with last one a walk-off grand slam.

6) Reds' win put the suprising Braves into first place in the NL East.

5) By the way, that game started 3:36 late because of rain; what did the Reds' TV station show during the delay? Womens' skeet shooting!!!!

4) Miami Marlins are 18-16, 8-6 at home; five of their eight home wins are walk-off wins. They need to bat Stanton cleanup.

3) When in Las Vegas, Joe's New York Pizza on Paradise Road is as good a pizza as I've had in years. I highly recommend it.

2) Despite the NBA's insistence on marketing stars, role players are what puts teams over the top; where would the Lakers be without Steve Blake? They'd be explaining why they lost to Denver. Blake saved their butts with tremendous shooting and solid ballhandling in Game 7.

1) Curious decision by ESPN for Sunday night baseball next week; its the first weekend of interleague play, but the Sunday night game will be Cards-Dodgers, the only two teams not participating in interleague next weekend.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27368 Followers:33
05/15/2012 06:36 PM

Public opinion: Tuesday's biggest consensus plays

Check out Tuesday’s biggest consensus plays for NBA, NHL and MLB.

NBA:

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat (-7.5, 185)

It looks as though bettors are at least a little concerned about Chris Bosh’s injury. The Miami Heat forward is out indefinitely with an abdominal strain and even though Game 2’s line is down a bit from Game 1’s odds, early bettors are supporting the Pacers to keep it close.

Consensus: Pacers 55 percent/Heat 45 percent


NHL:

Los Angeles Kings at Phoenix Coyotes (115, 4.5)

After the Los Angeles Kings stole Game 1 on the road from the Phoenix Coyotes, the support is split just about down the middle for Game 2. The Kings outshot the Coyotes 48-27 in the first game of the series and if it weren’t for one bad goal that got by Jonathan Quick, the final outcome could have been much more lopsided.

Consensus: Kings 49 percent/Coyotes 51 percent


MLB:

Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers (-240, 10)

Colby Lewis gave up five homers and struck out 12 in his last outing, so it's hard to know what to expect from him this time around. Same thing with Kansas City pitcher Vin Mazzaro, who climbs the hill for his first start of the year. He has thrown just one inning in relief this year.

Consensus: Royals 30 percent/Rangers 70 percent.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27368 Followers:33
05/15/2012 06:37 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
The Cardinals look to bounce back from last night's 6-4 loss and build on their 12-2 record in Kyle Lohse's last 14 starts as a favorite of -150 to -200. St. Louis is the pick (-180) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-180). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MAY 15

Game 901-902: San Diego at Washington (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Bass) 13.382; Washington (Strasburg) 15.609
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2; 5
Vegas Line: Washington (-220); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-220); Under

Game 903-904: Houston at Philadelphia (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 15.015; Philadelphia (Lee) 13.699
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Maholm) 14.513; St. Louis (Lohse) 16.040
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-180); Over

Game 907-908: Milwaukee at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Greinke) 14.420; NY Mets (Gee) 15.915
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+115); Under

Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Correia) 15.548; Miami (Johnson) 16.502
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Miami (-185); 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-185); Under

Game 911-912: Cincinnati at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 17.289; Atlanta (Hudson) 16.489
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105); Over

Game 913-914: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 15.356; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.022
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over

Game 915-916: Colorado at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Guthrie) 13.853; San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.578
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Under

Game 917-918: Cleveland at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lowe) 14.074; Minnesota (Marquis) 15.064
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Over

Game 919-920: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.288; White Sox (Peavy) 16.040
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-125); Over

Game 921-922: Seattle at Boston (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Beavan) 15.602; Boston (Beckett) 14.731
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+170); Under

Game 923-924: Oakland at LA Angels (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 15.188; LA Angels (Santana) 15.909
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-155); Over

Game 925-926: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.154; Toronto (Alvarez) 15.922
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105); Over

Game 927-928: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.838; Baltimore (Chen) 15.163
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Over

Game 929-930: Kansas City at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Mazzaro) 16.169; Texas (Lewis) 16.659
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-250); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-250); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: