cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
09/03/2011 07:53 AM

Florida State Begins Year With Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks

A promising season for the Florida State Seminoles kicks off on Saturday at Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, where the No. 4 team in the Don Best Oddsmaker Poll will take on the Sun Belt's Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks.

Kickoff from Tallahassee is slated for 3:30 p.m. (ET), and there will be live television coverage on ESPNU. Florida State is favored by 28½ points, 29 at some locales, with the college football odds showing 55½ for the total.

The 'Noles have a lot going for them this year. Head coach Jimbo Fisher returns a rather veteran squad, chock-full of some big names. Defensively, cornerback Greg Reid already has three TDs in his career, two as a punt returner and one as a defensive back, and many think he has the ability to be one of the best secondary players in the nation this year.

The keys to the offensive engine have been handed to EJ Manuel under center. Manuel is yet another in the long line of highly recruited Florida State quarterbacks, and over the last two years, he has cut his teeth as the backup behind current Minnesota Vikings first-round draft pick Christian Ponder.

However, thanks to some injuries to Ponder, Manuel isn't exactly green. The junior has already thrown nearly 200 passes in his career, completing a healthy 67.3 percent for 1,678 yards and six scores against 10 picks. He also has another 366 yards and three TDs on the ground with his legs.

If there is a problem for Florida State, it is at wide receiver where Willie Haulstead will likely be out of the lineup with a concussion. There will be a lot of pressure on returning receiver Bert Reed, who had 58 catches for 614 yards and a pair of scores in 2010.

Louisiana-Monroe comes into this season as one of the more highly-touted teams in the Sun Belt. Sophomore quarterback Kolton Browning really came on strong as the season progressed last year, throwing for 2,552 yards and 18 scores while picking up another 385 yards and four TDs on the ground.

Last season, the Warhawks didn't score more than 21 points in a game in their first five tries. However, over the course of their last seven games of the season, they averaged a healthier 25.6 PPG and scored at least 28 points four times.

The question about ULM is whether it is going to be able to stop the Florida State offense. This team allowed 31 to the Arkansas Razorbacks, 52 to the Auburn Tigers and 51 to the LSU Tigers in comparable games last season. The Warhawks' offense isn't going to be able to shoot it out with the garnet and gold on the road.

The Seminoles have only been beaten one time by any of the current Sun Belt teams, and you have to go all the way back to 1947 to find that defeat. This is the first ever meeting of these two teams, though.

The Warhawks are just 17-37 ATS in their last 54 games played outside of the Sun Belt, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as double digit road underdogs.

Florida State is 4-1 ATS in its last five played out of conference, but only 4-9 ATS in its last 13 home games.

Tropical Depression 13 could wreak some havoc on this one, but forecasters are expecting there to be relatively nice weather in Tallahassee on Saturday. Temperatures should be approaching 95 degrees by kickoff, and there will be a stiff breeze coming out of the southeast as high as 15 mph, and potentially even higher if TD 13 turns a bit east by Saturday morning.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
09/03/2011 07:56 AM

Alabama Crimson Tide Clash With Kent State

The Alabama Crimson Tide kick off the 2011 college football season tied for first in the inaugural edition of the Don Best Oddsmaker Poll, and will host the Kent State Golden Flashes on Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Game time is scheduled for 12:20 p.m. (ET).

The Crimson Tide have eight players ranked No. 1 at their positions according to Kenny White, and 17 in the top 10, and the Don Best odds screen has them as huge 38-point favorites with the total set at 46.

Alabama earned 119.5 points to split the top spot in the Oddsmaker Poll with Oklahoma, and sits at No. 2 in the country according to the Associated Press and the USA Today Top 25 Coaches Poll behind the top-ranked Sooners. The Tide have won nine straight season openers and are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 home games.

Junior running back Trent Richardson finally gets to take the reins from former Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram as the focal point of the offense after rushing for 700 yards and six touchdowns a year ago when Alabama finished 10-3. Many college football experts consider Richardson to be a Heisman candidate this season, and he will be carrying the load with the team breaking in a new starting quarterback between AJ McCarron and Phillip Sims.

Both McCarron and Sims are expected to see playing time against Kent State, and each will have a difficult time replacing former starter Greg McElroy.

But they will be able to lean on Richardson offensively early on along with arguably the best defense in the nation with 10 returning starters.

Tide head coach Nick Saban will be welcoming his alma mater out of the Mid-American Conference to town, although his team will be without senior wide receiver Darius Hanks (456 yards and three touchdowns in 2010) for the first two games due to an NCAA violation. Hanks is expected to help fill the void left by Julio Jones when he returns.

The Golden Flashes are coming off a disappointing 5-7 campaign and have gone 0-21 all-time against ranked opponents. They are led by junior quarterback Spencer Keith, who threw for 2,212 yards with eight touchdowns and 11 interceptions last season.

Kent State dropped four of its last five games both straight up and ATS to close out last year with the ‘under’ going 3-1 in the past four. The team went 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS on the road in 2010 with the lone victory coming at Bowling Green last October 23, 30-6.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
09/03/2011 07:59 AM

Ohio State Buckeyes Open Against Akron Zips

The first Saturday of the 2011 college football season is finally approaching. ESPN will start their day with coverage of the Akron Zips heading to Columbus to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes who are ranked No. 22 on the Don Best Oddsmaker Poll, courtesy of Kenny White.

Kickoff from The Horseshoe is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. (ET).

Ohio State will be seeing its first action on the field since experiencing an offseason of turmoil that sent both quarterback Terrelle Pryor and elite head coach Jim Tressel packing. Their absence is just part of the effects OSU will feel for Saturday’s game as four other players are also suspended for the first five weeks of the year.

That includes the Buckeyes' top running back Dan Herron and wide receiver DeVier Posey.

With that, all of the bad news for Ohio State has been covered as the Buckeyes are a whopping 34-point betting favorite over Akron. The total is set at 47½.

Joe Bauserman has seemingly come out on top of the QB competition in Columbus and will likely start this weekend. However, new head coach Luke Fickell appears to be heading in the direction of a two-quarterback system, adding freshman Braxton Miller to the mix.

Miller should be the signal caller of the future for the Buckeyes and, depending on how this 2011 season plays out, may also become the QB of the present.

Last season ended with a Sugar Bowl victory over Arkansas to give the Buckeyes a 12-1 mark for the season. Their defense ranked No. 5 in the nation in points allowed (14.3 per game) and that ‘D’ will look to keep up their consistent dominance again in 2011.

As for the Akron Zips from the Mid-American Conference, it should not take much to improve upon their campaign last year. They did not win a game until their last opportunity on the 2010 schedule when they beat Buffalo, 22-14.

The team finished with rankings in the hundreds in many categories, including passing yards, rushing yards, points for and points allowed. When a team does not score and cannot stop the other team from scoring, it is the oldest trick in the book for losing.

Junior College transfer Clayton Moore joins the Zips as the new starting QB. He replaces Patrick Nicely who threw 13 picks and just 10 touchdowns a year ago.

Head coach Rob Ianello is working hard to turn around this program, putting together a good staff and doing his part for recruiting. However, recruiting will not help Akron this week at Ohio State.

Ohio State is 7-0 against the spread in their last seven September games, and the ‘over’ is 4-0 in their last four in the same month. Akron is 1-5 ATS in their last six September games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
09/03/2011 08:05 AM

Primetime Tilts

September 2, 2011


The marquee games in Week 1 will take place in Saturday’s prime-time slot and feature a pair of SEC teams in crucial non-conference contests. LSU will venture to Cowboys Stadium to square off against Oregon, while Georgia will meet Boise State at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta.

As of Friday morning, most betting shops were listing Oregon as a four-point favorite with the total in the 54-55 range. Sports books had LSU available on the money line for a plus-155 return (risk $100 to win $155).

The Ducks were originally favored by one before an unfortunate incident occurred in Baton Rouge. That would be a bar fight that resulted in criminal charges for four players, including starting quarterback Jordan Jefferson and DT Josh Downs, both of whom have been suspended indefinitely.

But the biggest absence for LSU will be stud WR Russell Shepard, who will not play due to a compliance issue. The loss of Shepard might be a wash, however, because Oregon All-American CB Cliff Harris is also suspended for Week 1.

Shepard had 33 receptions for 254 yards and one touchdown in 2010. Meanwhile, Harris had six interceptions and broke up 17 passes.

Should bettors be overly concerned about backing LSU with Jefferson unavailable? That’s debatable. Jefferson has won many big games and gives the Tigers a scrambling dynamic, as evidenced by 450 rushing yards and seven touchdowns last season. But his passing accuracy has always been an issue and his 7/10 touchdown-to-interception ratio last year isn’t impressive.

The job falls to senior Jarrett Lee, who has a chance to script an entertaining redemption story. Let’s go back to 2008 when LSU was the defending national champion. As a redshirt freshman, Lee was forced into action far too early when incumbent QB Ryan Perrilloux was suspended (sound familiar?).

In home games against Georgia and Alabama, LSU played well enough to win in every facet except one – quarterback play. In both games, Lee threw critical interceptions that were returned for TDs at the most inopportune times. In fact, he threw seven – seven! – pick-6’s before the season was finished.

Lee could’ve cut and run. He easily could’ve bolted Baton Rouge for another school, avoiding the criticism to start anew. That would’ve been the easy thing to do.

But Lee chose another course. He stuck it out. For the most part as a sophomore and junior, he was Jefferson’s back-up although Les Miles did give him some quality playing time. For instance, it was Lee that orchestrated the Tigers’ comeback win at Florida last year.

With six seconds remaining, Lee threw a perfectly-lofted ball to the corner of the end zone that Terrance Toliver hauled in for the game-winning TD. Lee completed 9-of-11 passes for 124 yards and two TDs in the win over the Gators.

If Lee can play well and lead LSU to win over Oregon, last year’s national runner-up, the job could be his for good. If he can’t come through, there is another option. That’s right, LSU is three-deep at QB. After sitting out last year, Georgia transfer Zach Mettenberger is waiting for his chance. Mettenberger was one of the nation’s top prep QBs in the 2009 class.

Oregon ripped through the 2010 regular season unbeaten, only to see its national-title hopes dashed when Auburn kicked a game-winning field goal in the final seconds of a 22-19 win in the BCS Championship Game.

The Ducks return six starters on offense, including QB Darron Thomas and RB LaMichael James. Thomas threw for 2,881 yards with a 30/9 TD-INT ratio last year. He also rushed for 486 yards and five TDs.

James is a leading Heisman candidate following a banner 2010 campaign. He rushed for 1,731 yards and 21 TDs while averaging 5.9 yards per carry.

The jobs of Thomas and James will be made more difficult by the loss of four of five starting offensive linemen. This has to concern Chip Kelly, who saw his o-line get smacked around by Auburn’s physical defensive front back in January.

LSU doesn’t have a Nick Fairley on its d-line, but its front is big and physical with several NFL prospects like DE Sam Montgomery and DT Anthony Johnson. The Tigers are also strong at linebacker and in the secondary. Watch out for senior LB Ryan Baker, who had 87 tackles, seven sacks and four tackles for losses last season.

When Auburn’s d-line started to wreak havoc on Oregon’s offense, Kelly got more creative with his play-calling. He got Thomas out of the pocket (and away from Fairley) where he could operate more efficiently. The coaching matchup between Kelly and LSU defensive coordinator John Chavis will be interesting to watch.

With Jefferson out, LSU is left with seven returning starters on offense. Meanwhile, Harris’s absence gives Oregon just four returning starters on defense. The biggest loss for LSU is reliable RB Stevan Ridley, who had 1,147 yards and 15 rushing TDs as a senior. The player the Ducks will be missing most is LB Casey Matthews, who led the team in tackles last year.

During Miles’ six previous seasons at LSU, the team has gone 6-8 against the spread as an underdog. Oregon is 4-4 ATS as a single-digit ‘chalk’ on Kelly’s watch, but we should point out a 2-0 spread mark in a pair of such spots last year.

ABC will provide television coverage from Arlington at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

Mark Richt enters his 11th year at Georgia on the hot seat. The Dawgs are coming off the worst season of his tenure, going 6-7 and losing to UCF in the Liberty Bowl. UGA’s lowest previous win total on Richt’s watch was eight in 2001 and 2009.

Despite last year’s disappointment, expectations are high in Athens thanks to the presence of an outstanding young QB and a recruiting haul that was considered one of the best in the country. Aaron Murray, a third-year sophomore, threw for more than 3,000 yards with a 24/8 TD-INT ratio.

Murray has lost his favorite target, first-round draft choice A.J. Green, but he might have the SEC’s best tight end at his disposal in Orson Charles. Taverres King and Marlon Brown are experienced WRs that could be poised for breakout seasons.

Boise State also has one of the nation’s best signal callers in Kellen Moore, who could break Colt McCoy’s all-time NCAA record for wins before the year is over. Moore completed 71.3 percent of his passes in 2010 for 3,845 yards with an incredible 35/6 TD-INT ratio.

However, Moore no longer has stud WRs Austin Pettis and Titus Young, who combined for 142 receptions for more than 2,100 yards and 19 TDs last year. Tyler Shoemaker (32 catches, 582 yards and 5 TDs) will become the go-to guy along with veteran TE Kyle Efaw, who had five TD grabs last season.

BSU does return its workhorse RB in Doug Martin, who rushed for 1,260 yards and 12 TDs while averaging 6.3 YPC in 2010. On the other hand, UGA lost its two leading rushers from last year in Washaun Ealey (transferred) and Caleb King (ineligible). This means that true freshman Isaiah Crowell will get immediate playing time.

Crowell is a highly-hyped prospect that’s expected to become UGA’s next great RB. He’ll split time with Richard Samuel, who has been limited at practice the last two weeks due to a quad injury.

Most books are listing Boise St. as a 3 ½-point favorite vs. Georgia. The total is 51 at most spots and UGA is plus-140 to win outright (risk $100 to win $140).

Chris Petersen announced Friday that BSU will hold out three key players due to potential eligibility issues. All three players are from The Netherlands. Geraldo Boldewijn was expected to start at WR, while CB Cedric Febis and DT Ricky Tjong-A-Tjoe are key contributors on defense.

These schools met in Athens six years ago when Dan Hawkins was still running the show for the Broncos. On that Week 1 afternoon, the Dawgs blasted BSU by a 48-13 count as seven-point home favorites.

ESPN will have the telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
09/03/2011 08:09 AM

Tech Trends - Week 1

Saturday, Sept. 3

NORTHWESTERN at BOSTON COLLEGE...Spaziani 1-6 vs. line at home LY (now 1-7 last 8 at Alumni Stadium) and 0-4 as Chestnut Hill chalk. Cats only 4-9 vs. line overall themselves LY but Fitzgerald was 10-3 vs. number as dog away from Evanston the previous three seasons. Tech edge-Northwestern, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at AUBURN...Note that Chizik just 2-6 vs. spread his last 8 vs. non-SEC foes and only 1-5 last six chances laying DD points. Interestingly, Utags are 6-1 getting 20 points or more the past two seasons for HC Gary Andersen, and they're 9-4 since '09 against spread as visitor. Walking it back a bit further, USU now 17-7 vs. number last 24 as visitor. Tech edge-USU, based on team trends.

AKRON at OHIO STATE...First game of the post-Tressel era in Columbus. Will the jaded Ohio State fans still be happy at beating this undermanned MAC opponent? Tressel was awfully good vs. number (9-2-1 LY, 55-24 last 79 on board) so let's see what Luke Fickell can do. Bucks had also covered their last 9 vs. non-conference foes under Tressel. Zips only 1-3 vs. spread getting 20 or more under Ianello LY. Tech edge-Ohio State, based on team trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at MISSOURI...Miami-O returns to Mizzou where it was buried 51-13 LY. RedHawks rallied late for Haywood LY by winning last 6 SU (5-1 vs. line), but now it's Treadwell debut. Tend to dismiss most of the pre-2010 Miami numbers because so wretched especially 2008-09. Pinkel was 5-2 laying DD in 2010 after only 6-11 mark in role the previous three years. Tigers covered 4 of 6 at home LY after dropping 10 of 16 vs. line the prior three seasons in Columbia. Tech edge-slight to Miami-O, based on extended subpar Mizzou home trends.

KENT STATE at ALABAMA...Nick Saban against his alma mater, will he take it easy? Tide was 4-0 vs. line as non-conference host LY, laying heavy numbers each time, and Bama 8-1 vs. spread last 9 vs. non-SEC. Bama 27-14 last 41 on board as well. Hazell debut for Flashes, who are 1-6 vs. line last 7 away from Dix Stadium vs. non-MAC foes. Tech edge-Bama (unless Saban in a merciful mood), based on team trends.

UCLA at HOUSTON...Cougs in revenge mode after Bruins KO'd both of their QBs in LY's 31-13 UCLA win at Rose Bowl. Which might have been turnaround for several cheap shots taken by Kim Helton's UH against UCLA back in 1998, a game in which Freddie Mitchell suffered a severe broken leg. (Helton was mad because he thought Bob Toledo ran up the score in 1997's 66-10 win.) Neuheisel only 1-5 vs. line away LY and 6-10 in role since arriving at UCLA in 2008. Neuheisel also 7-16 last 23 as dog, although he is 8-2 vs. number against non-conference opposition since 2008. Tend to throw out most UH spread numbers LY when Cougs just 1-4-1 vs. line at home and 3-8-1 overall. But Sumlin still just 7-13-1 his last 21 as chalk (1-4-1 LY). Tech edge-slight to UCLA, based on extended team trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN...Do we dismiss the wretchedness of the Rodriguez spread numbers at Michigan now that he is gone? His regime was cursed at Ann Arbor so we tend to dismiss it, but for the record the Wolverines dropped their last 9 vs. the number last year and were 10-27 vs. the line for Rodriguez the past three years, and 5-15 as chalk for Rich. Meanwhile, Brady Hoke was 6-2 as chalk LY for SDSU (although he dropped all four laying points in '09). Hoke is 21-14 vs. line the last three years with Ball State and Aztecs. Broncs no covers last 4 (0-3-1) vs. non-MAC foes away from Waldo Stadium, and just 10-16-1 vs. spread away since '08. Tech edge-slight to Michigan, based on Hoke factor.

MINNESOTA at SOUTHERN CAL...Trojans just 9-17 vs. line since '09 and have been just 3-9 laying DD the past two years (1-4 for Lane Kiffin LY). Kiffin 3-7 as DD chalk since '09 (UT & SC), and Troy 0-4 vs. points outside of Pac LY (Kiffin 2-7 non-league since '09). Jerry Kill debut at Minnesota, note he was 9-4 vs. line LY for NIU Huskies before leaving prior to bowl game. Tech edge-Minnesota, based on extended SC/Kiffin negatives.

SOUTH FLORIDA at NOTRE DAME...Skip Holtz carries Lou's torch back to South Bend, where dad was gently moved aside after '96. Big stuff for Skip and Lou, and Skip was 4-1 as dog LY with Bulls, now 27-10 as short at ECU and USF since 2005. Brian Kelly covered just 1 of 7 at home in ND debut LY (an odd 1-3-3 vs. line) and Irish have covered just 9 of last 34 at home since early in the 2006 campaign (dating to the early Weis years). Tech edge-South Florida, based on team trends.

BYU at OLE MISS...Cougs closed with a rush last season with covers in last five and seven of last eight games, although most of those (save 1-point loss at Utah) were vs. less-than-stellar opposition. Bronco Mendenhall still 9-5 vs. spread last 14 away from Provo. Houston Nutt 4-10 vs. line last 14 reg.-season games and only 2-6 vs. mark last 8 at Oxford. Nutt only 2-5 as dog since '09. Tech edge-BYU, based on recent trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at STANFORD...Shaw debut on Farm. Peninsula series resumes after a one-year hiatus in 2010, Tree had won and covered previous three and is 7-1 SU and vs. line last 8 in series. SJSU just 7-23 vs. number last 30 on board and 3-11 vs. line last 14 away from home. Tech edge-Stanford, based on series trends.

COLORADO STATE at NEW MEXICO...Mike Locksley is 0-8 SU and vs. number in September the past two years. Lobos only 4-8 vs. line in Albuquerque since '09 as well. Rams just 4-9 vs. number on road the past two years and just 1-5 as road chalk since '05, but have covered 3 of last 4 meetings. Tech edge-CSU, based on Lobo/Locksley negatives.

BUFFALO at PITTSBURGH...Buffalo a wretched 2-10 vs. points LY (1-10 vs. FBS foes) and dropped its last 7 SU and vs. line in Quinn debut campaign. Bulls now 6-17 vs. spread last 23 on board dating to late '08. Todd Graham Pitt debut, he covered 9 of last 10 at Tulsa LY and was 3-2 vs. mark as DD chalk host, note however he was just 19-19 overall as chalk at Tulsa. Stache was only 8-10 as home chalk from 2007-10 at Pitt. Tech edge-slight to Pitt, based on Buffalo negatives.

SOUTH CAROLINA vs. EAST CAROLINA (at Charlotte)...Now we just need North Carolina vs. Western Carolina to complete a Carolina parlay this weekend! ECU was defenseless LY and dropped 5 of its last 6 vs. the number, and only 2-5 last 7 as dog for Ruffin M. after Skip had posted solid dog marks prior. Spurrier has won and covered openers in each of the last three years but he's only 3-5 last 8 as chalk away from home. Spurrier just 6-6 last 12 as DD chalk. Tech edge-slight to SC, based on Spurrier opener mark.

FRESNO STATE vs. CAL (at Candlestick Park, San Francisco)...Bears begin their season away from Strawberry Canyon, all home games either at Candlestick or AT&T Park across the Bay in 2011. Since mid 2004, Jeff Tedford is a subpar 34-44 vs. number. Meanwhile, Bulldogs' Pat Hill 8-4 vs. spread on reg. season road since '09 and 5-1 vs. spread the last two regular seasons against non-WAC foes. Tech edge-Fresno, based on team trends.

ARMY at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Dave Doeren debut at NIU. Physical West Point was 4-0 as visiting dog last year and has covered opener the past two years for Rich Ellerson, both at EMU. Black Knights also 5-0 as visiting dog LY. NIU no covers last 4 as chalk vs. non-conference foes and was 2-12 laying DDs from 2005-09 before 6-2 mark in role LY. Tech edge-Army, based on team trends.

RICE at TEXAS...Rice had failed to cover 4 in a row vs. Texas (from '05-'08) before getting the cover at Reliant Stadium LY. Owls haven't beaten Horns SU since '94 (Kenny Hatfield) when both still played in the old SWC. Mack just 3-12 vs. line last 15 on board since late '09, 3-10 vs. spread last 13 at Austin, 3-8 laying 19 or more same span. Owls just 6-14 as DD visiting dog since '05, however (0-2 LY). Tech edge-Rice, based on recent Texas negatives.

INDIANA vs. BALL STATE (at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis)...New coaches both ways (Wilson IU, Lembo Ball State)! Since 2002, IU is 7-4 vs. line against MAC opposition, and Hoosiers 4-2 vs. number against non-conference foes since '09. Cards, however, are 19-9 vs. line away from Muncie since '07 (4-2 LY), and are 5-2 vs. points against Big Ten since '06. Tech edge-slight to Ball State, based on team trends.

TULSA at OKLAHOMA...Blankenship Tulsa debut. Tulsa closed in a hurry LY when covering 9 of its last 10, including its last 5 away from home. Tulsa 6-3 vs. spot last 9 against non-CUSA foes on road and 7-3 as DD dog since 2003. Stoops just 5-5 laying DD at Norman since '99, though 19-11 overall in role since '07 (14-8 laying DD at Norman that span). Sooners also 9-3 last 12 vs. line vs. non-conference foes at Norman. Tech edge-slight to OU, based on team trends.

OHIO at NEW MEXICO STATE...Eighteen of DeWayne Walker's 20 SU losses since '09 have been by 10 points or more. Ags 0-5 vs. line since '08 vs. non-WAC foes at Las Cruces. Walker just 3-10 vs. line at Cruces since '09. Solich 13-8 vs. line away from Athens since '08, but only 4-6 as road chalk since '07. Tech edge-Solich, based on NMSU negatives.

BOISE STATE vs. GEORGIA (at Georia Dome, Atlanta)...Boise was 6-1 vs. line away from blue carpet LY and is now 21-8 vs. spread its last 29 away from Boise. Rematch of '05 opener at Athens won by Ga 48-13. Broncos have also last 7 away from home vs. non-WAC foes. Richt was 0-4 as dog LY after 9-4 mark in role the previous five years. Dawgs also 1-6 vs. spread away from Athens LY. Tech edge-Boise, based on recent trends.

OREGON vs. LSU (at Jerry Jones Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX)...Les Miles only 2-5 vs. line last 7 outside of SEC. Les also just 16-30 vs. number last 46 on board since early '07. Ducks 2-4 vs. spread last 6 vs. non-conference foes away from Eugene, but 31-21 overall vs. line since '07. Tech edge-slight to Oregon, based on Les Miles' extended spread marks.

LA TECH at SOUTHERN MISS...LT nothing special vs. line in Dykes' debut LY (5-7 vs. spread), 1-1 as DD road dog. Bulldogs also 0-6 vs. number last 6 as non-WAC visitor. Fedora 13-6-1 vs. line last 20 on board for USM. Tech edge-USM, based on team trends.

COLORADO at HAWAII...Jon Embree debut for Buffs, we remember his dad as a long-striding Denver Broncos receiver in 1969. CU was 0-5 vs. spread as true visitor LY and 1-4 vs. line as non-conf. visitor since '07. Leahey covered all 7 reg. season home games LY and is 22-12 vs. spread last 34 on board for Greg McMackin since mid '08. Tech edge-Hawaii, based on team trends.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE at PURDUE...Last year was a mess for MTSU, just 4-9 vs. line and 2-5 away from Murfreesboro, also 0-5 vs. non-Belt. Many distractions in 2010, however, and note Rick Stockstill was 21-14 vs. line in the three previous seasons. Purdue just 2-7 as Ross-Ade chalk since Danny Hope took over in 2009, and 1-4-1 vs. spread last 6 vs. non-Big Ten foes. Riveters 4-11 as Ross-Ade DD chalk since '05. Tech edge-MTSU, based on Purdue negatives.

ARKANSAS STATE at ILLINOIS...Ron Zook was 5-3 as chalk LY but was highly unreliable in role previously (just 7-12 between '07-09). Zook 1-6 vs. line last 7 on board hosting non-Big Ten foes. Hugh “Deep" Freeze HC debut for Ark State which was 3-1 as DD road dog for Roberts LY. Red Wolves had covered 7 of first 9 LY before dropping last 3 vs. number in 2010. Tech edge-slight to Ark State, based on extended Zook negatives.

UL-MONROE at FLORIDA STATE...Jimbo fared okay laying DD numbers last season, covering 3 of 5 (2-1 laying 20 or more) after Bowden had failed repeatedly to cover heavy lumber in his later years with Noles (just 1-7 laying DD from '07-09). Jimbo also 4-1 vs. line against non-ACC last year. ULM was 1-2 vs. line on road vs. non-Belt in Todd Berry debut LY (all of those vs. SEC bowl teams) and 2-3 as DD dog. Tech edge-slight to FSU, based on recent Jimbo numbers.

TROY at CLEMSON...Troy finally got rolling late LY with wins and covers in its last 3 games after a somewhat disappointing earlier portion of 2010. Blakeney still 10-5 vs. line last 15 as dog. Dabo struggling lately at home, just 2-5-1 last 8 vs. spread at Death Valley. Tech edge-Troy, based on team trends.

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at FLORIDA...Howard really labored late LY, dropping last 5 and 9 of last 10 vs. number. FAU just 4-19 vs. points last 23 vs. non-Belt foes in reg.-season play, and Owls also just 5-12 against spread last 17 as visitor. Muschamp Gator debut, note that Fla. still 3-1 as DD Swamp chalk LY despite post-Tebow downturn (1-1 laying 20 or more). Tech edge-Florida, based on recent Schnellenberger negatives.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
09/03/2011 08:19 AM

Oklahoma starts 2011 by hosting Tulsa

TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE (0-0)
at OKLAHOMA SOONERS (0-0)

Kickoff: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Oklahoma -24.5, Total: 64.5

Oklahoma begins what many expect to be an unbeaten season when the Sooners host Tulsa on Saturday night. The Sooners return two Heisman candidates in QB Landry Jones and WR Ryan Broyles to a team that finished 12-2 last year. Tulsa also tallied double-digit wins in 2010, including seven straight victories to close out the season.

The Sooners are too good to lose this game, but Tulsa is building a strong program. The Hurricane return eight starters on both sides of the ball from a team that racked up impressive road victories over Notre Dame, Houston and Hawaii during its late-season surge. Although Tulsa is more known for its no-huddle offense and dynamic duo of QB G.J. Kinne and WR Damaris Johnson, it is the opportunistic defense, coming off an FBS-best 24 interceptions that will keep this game close. Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS when favored by 10+ points in its past five non-conference tilts, giving further ammunition to load up on TULSA to keep the final margin under three touchdowns.

New head coach Bill Blankenship was promoted from quarterbacks coach and will not mess with an offense that averaged 45.9 PPG in winning its final seven games. He will lean most heavily on two seniors, QB G.J. Kinne (3,650 pass yds, 31 TD, 10 INT; 561 rush yds, 7 TD) and WR Damaris Johnson (872 rec yds, 560 rush yds, 13 total TD). The Golden Hurricane also return all five starting offensive linemen to a ground game that averaged 217 rushing YPG. On defense, Tulsa’s +17 turnover margin ranked second among FBS schools last year. But it was also the nation’s worst pass defense (319 YPG), which allowed 30.3 PPG (85th in nation). Many playmakers remain for new defensive coordinator Brent Guy, including OLB Shawn Jackson (8.5 sacks), DE Tyrunn Walker (12 TFL), LB Curnelius Arnick (5 sacks), FS Dexter McCoil (6 INT) and WS Marco Nelson (6 INT).

The Oklahoma offense is stacked with QB Landry Jones (4,718 pass yds, 38 TD, 12 INT), WR Ryan Broyles (FBS-best 131 catches; 1,622 yds, 14 TD) and WR Kenny Stills, who improved greatly his freshman season, finishing with 61 grabs for 786 yards and five scores. The ground game will certainly miss DeMarco Murray and his 15 rushing TD last year. Roy Finch (398 rush yds, 4.7 YPC), Brennan Clay (127 rush yds, 3.5 YPC) and incoming freshman Brandon Williams are all expected to carry the football this season under the tutelage of new offensive coordinators Josh Heupel and Jay Norvell.

There is no denying the Sooners are an explosive offensive football team, but the defense was weakened severely this offseason with the tragic death of MLB Austin Box and broken toe of leading tackler LB Travis Lewis that will keep him out of action for at least six more weeks. Including Box, the ball-hungry defense lost five starters from a unit whose 106 TFL was the third-most in the nation. OU also forced 32 turnovers (13 fumbles, 19 INT) and had 37 sacks last year. The pass rush has weakened a bit with DE Jeremy Beal and DT Pryce Macon leaving, but senior DE Frank Alexander (7 sacks, 13 TFL) remains. The Sooners secondary is excellent with four of five starters returning, including CBs Jamell Fleming (5 INT, 14 PD) and Demontre Hurst (3 FF, 11 PD), and nickel back Tony Jefferson (7 TFL, 7 PD).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
09/03/2011 08:24 AM

Notre Dame opens season vs. South Florida

SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS (0-0)
at NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (0-0)

Kickoff: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Notre Dame -10, Total: 46.5

Notre Dame opens its BCS Bowl-hopeful season against Big East contender South Florida. This marks the first ever meeting between these two schools. South Florida is really an underrated program with 42 wins in the past five seasons, eight more than Notre Dame has.

USF’s rushing offense is going to be excellent this year with returning junior Demetris Murray (6 total TD, 4.4 YPC), and bulked-up transfers Darrell Scott (Colorado) and Dontae Aycock (Auburn). The key to USF hanging around in South Bend is for returning QB B.J. Daniels to make good decisions. The Bulls were 17th in the nation in total defense (318 YPG) and also have the depth in the secondary to contain Notre Dame star wideout Michael Floyd. The Irish will win this game, but not by double-digits. The pick is SOUTH FLORIDA.

The FoxSheets provide this four-star trend in support of the Bulls.

Play Against - Any team (NOTRE DAME) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers, team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record. (23-2 since 1992.) (92%, +20.8 units. Rating = 4*).

The Bulls are coming off an 8-5 season, but they were very fortunate with the final four wins coming by a total of 12 points. Daniels (11 TD, 13 INT) needs to improve in a big way for head coach Skip Holtz to opt to throw the football more. The defense returns six starters to a unit that finished among the top 25 in the nation in scoring defense (20.0 PPG), rushing defense (126 YPG) and passing defense (192 YPG).

A 7-2 finish to 2010 gives the Irish momentum for 2011. QB Dayne Crist (2,033 pass yds, 15 TD, 7 INT) is fully healed from his ruptured patella tendon and was named the starter late in the preseason. Star WR Michael Floyd (79 rec, 1,025 yds, 12 TD) was re-instated to the team in August after initially being suspended for driving under the influence. TB Cierre Wood (603 rush yds) should be able to gain some yards on the ground behind a solid offensive line. On defense, the Irish front four needs to do a better job pressuring the quarterback. However, the LBs are excellent, especially ILB Manti Te’o (133 tackles, 9.5 TFL) and OLB Darius Fleming (5.5 sacks).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
09/03/2011 08:27 AM

Colorado seeking first road win since 2007

HONOLULU (AP) - Millions travel to Hawaii every year to enjoy the sand, surf and sun. Buffaloes, however, apparently aren't allowed anywhere near the water in Waikiki.

In hopes of snapping a 17-game road losing streak - 18 if you count a loss in the 2007 Independence Bowl - first-year Colorado coach Jon Embree didn't allow any beach time for his players as they prepared to open the season at Hawaii on Saturday night.

``The only beach they'll see is when they land and take off. I'm telling you, it's a business trip,'' Embree said. ``So they either have to get married and have a honeymoon there or maybe we go back there for a bowl game. It's not about the beach.''

The Buffaloes, making their debut as a member of the Pac-12, haven't won on the road since beating Texas Tech on Oct. 27, 2007. And Embree isn't shy about addressing the streak.

``It's not OK to lose 18 in a row,'' he said. ``The only way you get that point across is to talk about it. I think if you don't talk about it you're pretending like something hasn't happened. You're pretending like it's not there. I'm not afraid of it and they're not afraid of it. They understand the challenge that's in front of them and looking forward to it.''

Only five players on this year's squad experienced Colorado's last road victory, including senior guard Ryan Miller.

``It's humongous. I don't care what anybody says,'' Miller said about getting a road win. ``This is where we've got to start. ... We're going to play football. We're not going to enjoy the islands of aloha.''

The game marks the first time that Colorado is opening with a true road game since whipping Wisconsin in 1995 in coach Rick Neuheisel's debut.

But winning in the islands is no easy feat for any visiting team. The Warriors were 6-2 at Aloha Stadium last year, the fifth straight winning season at home. In addition to all the distractions of playing in paradise, Colorado had to endure a 3,300-mile flight and a four-hour time change.

Colorado will also be facing a Hawaii team still stinging from last year's loss in Boulder. Hawaii controlled the first half and took a 10-0 lead into the locker room, but ran out of gas in the second half and lost 31-13.

``First half we were like, `Yeah. We're doing it.' Then it comes back to bite us in the butt,'' said Hawaii linebacker Corey Parades, who had a career-high 16 tackles in the game. ``We can't let that happen to us this year. That kind of stuff humbled us as a team and gave us a reality check.''

Parades, who led the Warriors with 151 tackles last year, said the loss was a learning experience, which helped the team focus and regroup. Hawaii would win nine of its next 10 games, with its only loss coming to Boise State, and finish the season 10-4.

For Saturday, Parades is being moved to weakside linebacker from his usual middle linebacker position after Aaron Brown was suspended for the game because of his arrest a week ago following a fight at a Waikiki nightclub. Hawaii is also without starting 6-foot-4, 230-pound wideout Darius Bright, who was also arrested and replaced by Allen Sampson, generously listed as 5-foot-7 and 145 pounds.

While Hawaii returns six starters on defense, it returned only three on offense and lost a lot of firepower, including receivers Greg Salas, Kealoha Pilares and running back Alex Green, who were all drafted in the NFL.

The Warriors will still air it out behind quarterback Bryant Moniz, who last year led the nation in yards passing per game (360) and touchdown passes (39). He became just the 11th Football Bowl Subdivision quarterback to break 5,000 yards in a season. Moniz said the new faces are ready to step up.

``It's just a different person in the helmet. We still have the same offense and our great coaching staff that taught Kealoha and Greg. Now they're teaching new guys,'' Moniz said. ``It's just going to take some time to get comfortable in a game situation. But I think they're ready and hungry.''

Embree doesn't think Hawaii's offense will be any less effective.

``As long as they have the trigger guy it doesn't really matter. I kind of equate it to Peyton Manning,'' he said. ``He had guys go down last year and they just plugged some other guys in and he just kept on going. Their offense as long as they have their quarterback back there, they'll be just fine.''

Colorado will have senior quarterback Tyler Hansen, who hasn't played a game since rupturing his spleen Oct. 23. Hansen said he'll try to help control the ball and clock to help the defense out and keep Hawaii's explosive offense off the field.

``They can't do much on the sideline, so we're going to try to keep them on the sideline as much as possible,'' he said.

Hawaii is favored to win the WAC in its final season in the league before leaving for the Mountain West Conference. Last year, it was picked to finish near the bottom, but ended up winning a share of the WAC title. The Warriors have relished the underdog position, but they're in a new position this year without Boise State in the conference.

``I think we have good players. I think we have good leadership. I think we have a good, young team, but we've got to come out and perform,'' Hawaii coach Greg McMackin said. ``I can't predict (how we're going to do this season). If I could do that, everybody in Vegas could be doing that. All I know is this team has really worked hard.''


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
09/03/2011 08:30 AM

New Carr takes over as Fresno St. QB vs. Cal

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) - When Jeff Tedford was an assistant coach at Fresno State, he played catch with a Nerf football with the younger brother of quarterback David Carr.

Derek Carr will be throwing a different type of football around Saturday when he makes his first career start for the Bulldogs against Tedford and the California Golden Bears at Candlestick Park.

``He's a very good player,'' Tedford said. ``Now he gets a chance to get his career started there and we hope to make it a little difficult on him. I like him and his family but we're opponents going into this week. I hope he doesn't start off successful.''

Derek Carr wants to build on what his older brother established at Fresno State when he helped coach Pat Hill's Bulldogs build a reputation as a giant killer willing to take on any opponent.

In David Carr's final season, the Bulldogs opened the year with successive wins against Colorado, No. 10 Oregon State and No. 23 Wisconsin and moved as high as eighth in the rankings. Then came back-to-back losses to Boise State and Hawaii that ended the quest for a BCS berth and the chance at a conference title.

``I want to come to Fresno to finish what Dave started and do it with Coach Hill,'' Carr said. ``I'm glad he's here. I wouldn't want to do it with anyone else. We're really looking forward to it. We have a good, fast team. We're young but we don't play like it.''

Fresno State has been passed in recent years by schools such as Boise State, TCU, Hawaii and Utah, who all managed to make it to a BCS game from a non-power conference.

The Bulldogs, despite a slew of notable wins and a few scares of major conference teams, have never even won an outright Western Athletic Conference title - even with future No. 1 overall draft pick David Carr at the helm.

``David accomplished an awful lot,'' Hill said. ``What David didn't accomplish was winning a league championship and getting us to the promised land like everyone is trying to get to one of those BCS games. Those are very, very lofty goals. ... Dave got us as high as (eighth) in the nation. We had a couple of tough losses there in a span of about eight days. I think David did a great job here. Derek wants to take this program further and wants to take it to another level. I'm behind him 100 percent on that because that's the way we all feel.''

The opener against Cal is part of a brutal nonconference schedule that is followed by a trip to No. 10 Nebraska, and also includes games against Mississippi, No. 5 Boise State and San Diego State.

While playing the tog dogs is nothing new for Fresno State under Hill, getting a chance to play in-state rival Cal is somewhat special.

The two schools have met only twice before despite being separated by a drive of only a few hours, with Fresno State winning 25-24 at Cal in 1995 and 17-3 at home in 2000.

The game will be played at a neutral site at Candlestick Park. Although Cal's campus is a short drive away, Fresno State is expected to have the bigger crowd with Hill saying as many as 22,000 Bulldogs fans could be in attendance. Cal, on the other hand, is struggling to sell out its allotment.

``We can't focus on where we're playing or what the environment will be like,'' Tedford said. ``We have to focus between the lines.''

The Bears are trying to rebound after going 5-7 and missing a bowl game last year for the first time since Tedford's initial season in 2002.

They will have to do it while breaking in a new quarterback in Buffalo transfer Zach Maynard and without last year's star running back Shane Vereen.

``Obviously we didn't have the season we wanted to last year,'' receiver Marvin Jones said. ``That doesn't happen in the Tedford era. We know that and it's in the back of our minds. We still think about that but it's a new season. Everyone is 0-0.''

Tedford has taken a more active play-calling role this summer and Cal should look somewhat different offensively with the more mobile Maynard at quarterback instead of pocket passers like Kevin Riley and Nate Longshore in recent years.

Maynard, the half-brother of star receiver Keenan Allen, threw for 2,694 yards and 18 touchdowns and ran for 300 yards in 2009 for Buffalo.

``He's elusive enough to make guys miss and smart enough to get down when he needs to,'' Tedford said. ``The biggest thing is the things he can do when things go wrong.''

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
09/03/2011 08:58 AM

Here is the early games.....Evening games posted later.

Saturday, September 3

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Utah State - 12:00 PM ET Utah State +23 500
Auburn - Over 57 500

Northwestern - 12:00 PM ET Northwestern +3.5 500
Boston College - Over 45.5 500

Miami (Ohio) - 12:00 PM ET Miami (Ohio) +19.5 500
Missouri - Over 48.5 500

Akron - 12:00 PM ET Ohio State -31.5 500
Ohio State - Under 47 500

Middle Tennessee State - 12:00 PM ET Middle Tennessee State +16 500
Purdue -

Kent State - 12:20 PM ET Alabama -38.5 500
Alabama - Over 47 500

Western Michigan - 3:30 PM ET Michigan -13.5 500
Michigan - Over 61 500

UCLA - 3:30 PM ET Houston -3 500
Houston - Over 61.5 500

Arkansas State - 3:30 PM ET Illinois -19.5 500
Illinois -

Minnesota - 3:30 PM ET Minnesota +23.5 500
Southern California - Over 51.5 500

UL Monroe - 3:30 PM ET Florida State -29.5 500
Florida State -

South Florida - 3:30 PM ET South Florida +10.5 500
Notre Dame - Under 47 500

Troy - 3:30 PM ET Troy +14.5 500
Clemson - Over 55.5 500

Brigham Young - 4:45 PM ET Mississippi +2 500
Mississippi - Over 56.5 500

San Jose State - 5:00 PM ET Stanford -29 500
Stanford - Under 53.5 500

Buffalo - 6:00 PM ET Buffalo +30.5 500
Pittsburgh -

Colorado State - 6:00 PM ET Colorado State -6.5 500
New Mexico - Under 49.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: