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St. Louis vs. Arizona, 05/09/2012 21:40
Money Line: -110 St. Louis
MLB FREE PICK: St Louis Cardinals -110
The St Louis Cardinals are showing some great value against the Arizona Diamondbacks. St Louis is absolutely crushing the baseball. They have scored 23 runs over their last three games combined. They opened up this series with a 9-6 win and came back and dominated 6-1 last night.
I like the Cardinals chances of putting up another big number on Arizona lefty Wade Miley. The Cardinals are 5-1 against left-handed starters this season and are averaging 7.3 runs in those six games.
Miley comes in a respectable 2-0 with a 1.96 ERA in three starts, but is coming off his worst performance of the season. He allowed 4 runs on seven hits in just six innings of work against the Mets in his last start.
You also have to like the value you are getting with St Louis starter Kyle Lohse, who has looked sharp early in the season. Lohse is 4-1 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.939 WHIP in six starts. He faces an Arizona offense that that has scored just 11 runs over their last four games, and six of those runs came in one inning of a game in which the Diamondbacks were down 7-0.
St Louis is 36-16 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game, 6-0 in Lohses last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game, and 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. BET THE CARDINALS!