cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
On 05/09/2012 12:04 PM in MLB

cnotes wednesday's mlb best bets !

Gee And Lee Meet In Mets, Phillies Series Finale

Don't you just love it when a pitcher in a 5-man rotation is suspended for five games? Yeah, push Cole Hamels' next start back a day, that'll teach him.

Hamels will take five days off without pay for plunking Washington Nationals rookie Bryce Harper on Sunday night. Much of the discussion since the incident hasn't been about the act, but rather Hamels' choice to practically brag about it after the game.

"I was trying to hit him," Hamels said right after the Phils' 9-3 win in Washington on Sunday. "I'm not going to deny it."

He won't appeal the suspension, and he wouldn't have the backing of his general manager had he decided to. Philadelphia's Ruben Amaro Jr. said the Phillies "fully support" the 5-game ban handed down by MLB. With an off day Thursday, Hamels could return to the mound this Sunday and Roy Halladay moved up to Saturday on his normal four days rest. Some punishment, huh?

I'm guessing Nats GM Mike Rizzo would've opted for more time on the bench for the Phils lefty. "I've never seen a more classless, gutless chicken %$#@ act in my 30 years in baseball," Rizzo commented.

Philadelphia will host Washington for three games later this month (May 21-23), and if Hamels thinks Harper's strike zone was tiny before, wait until he sees how much it has shrunk when the teams meet in that series.

Of course, five games off is much fewer than the penalty handed down to Guillermo Mota. The San Francisco Giants reliever was suspended 100 games for his second failed drug test, this time reportedly for having Clenbuterol in his system. Agent Adam Katz is already heavy into damage control and says Mota picked the banned substance up from "children's cough medicine," and that his client would appeal MLB's decision.

No word yet on which arbiter might hear Mota's appeal, but perhaps the journeyman reliever can get lucky by having Shyam Das sit in on the plea, and Das can find some procedural technicality to let him off the hook a la Ryan Braun.

Lee Returns To Phils Rotation Wednesday Against Mets
While we're on the subject of the Phillies, the suspension of Hamels will also be eased for Charlie Manuel & Co. by welcoming Cliff Lee back from the DL. The southpaw is slated to start Wednesday's series finale vs. the New York Mets and he'll be opposed by Dillon Gee in the 7:05 p.m. (ET) start.

New York stung Philly 5-2 in Monday's series opener to reward Mets backers who were getting +160 in the contest. Roy Halladay started for the Phils and was staked to an early two-zip lead before the Mets rallied. Jordany Valdespin's first major league hit was a 3-run bomb in the ninth off Philadelphia closer Jonathan Papelbon to provide the final margin.

Game 2 on Tuesday carried similar odds with Philadelphia -180 behind Joe Blanton on the mound. New York was sending veteran Miguel Batista to the hill for just his second start of the season, and only his eighth since the end of the '08 campaign.

We last saw Lee on April 18 when he tossed 10 scoreless innings at San Francisco, a game the Phils ultimately lost 1-0. Lee has been nursing an oblique injury since then, and will reportedly be limited to no more than 80 pitches on Wednesday. He lost an earlier start vs. the Mets, working seven frames and allowing four runs in a 5-2 setback on April 13 in Philly. The Phils are 0-3 in his assignments this season, and have scored a grand total of three runs in those games.

Gee didn't face the Phils in that April series at Citizens Bank Park, and enters this contest with a 4.50 ERA and 2-2 record (Mets 2-3 in his five outings). He made two starts against Philadelphia last season, earning the win with a 6-IP, 2-ER performance in New York and getting run over in the game at CBP (3-2/3 IP, 8 ER, 6 BB).

New York is likely to be without catcher Josh Tholes for this game and probably beyond. Tholes was sent back home to be tested for a possible concussion after a collision with Phils 1B Ty Wiggington at the plate in the eighth inning on Monday.

Early weather forecasts call for at least a 50 percent chance of rain throughout the day in the City of Brotherly Love. Ron Kulpa is in line for plate duty on Wednesday, and the 'under' is 4-2 in his six games south of the dish so far this year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
05/09/2012 12:25 PM

Diamond Trends - Wednesday

May 9, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Brewers are 10-0 since May 14, 2011 when playing a day game as a home favorite when they are off a win in which they never trailed for a net profit of $1000.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Mets are 11-0 OU since June 28, 2011 when playing a night game as a road dog after scoring 6+ runs for a net profit of $1100 when playing the over.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Brewers are 20-0 since May 09, 2011 when Zack Greinke starts at home for a net profit of $2000.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Nationals are 0-18 (-3.1 rpg) since July 15, 2007 as a road dog after a non-shutout loss where they left less than 13 men on base individually and their opponent left less than 10.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Angels are 14-0 since June 17, 2006 when Ervin Santana starts as a favorite after going at least 6 innings and giving up 6 or fewer hits at home for a net profit of $1400.

The Pirates are 9-0 OU since April 09, 2011 after a win in which they were tied at the end of 6 innings for a net profit of $900 when playing the over.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
05/09/2012 12:30 PM

Around the Horn - Wednesday

May 8, 2012




NATIONAL LEAGUE


Cincinnati at Milwaukee - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Cueto (4-0, 1.31 ERA) 15-14 5-1 L6 during day
Greinke (3-1, 4.11 ERA) 13-17 1-5 L6 home during day


Reds beat Brewers, 6-1 on Monday
Brewers beat Reds, 8-3 on Tuesday

Atlanta at Chicago - 2:20 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Hudson (1-0, 6.55 ERA) 19-12 7-3 L10 vs LHP
Maholm (3-2, 5.13 ERA) 12-18 UNDER 4-1 L5 home vs RHP

Cubs beat Braves, 5-1 on Monday
Braves beat Cubs, 3-1 on Tuesday

Colorado at San Diego - 3:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Friedrich (NR) 12-17 3-7 L10 during day
Bass (1-3, 3.51 ERA) 11-20 OVER 4-0 L4 during day


Padres beat Rockies, 3-2 on Monday
Padres beat Rockies, 3-1 on Tuesday

N.Y. Mets at Philadelphia - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Gee (2-2, 4.50 ERA) 17-13 3-6 L9 Game 3's
Lee (0-1, 1.96 ERA) 14-17 OVER 5-2 L7 home vs RHP


Mets beat Phillies, 5-2 on Monday
Mets beat Phillies, 7-4 on Tuesday

Washington at Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Detwiler (3-1, 1.59 ERA) 18-11 UNDER 4-0 L4 away vs LHP
Bedard (2-4, 2.65 ERA) 13-16 UNDER 8-2 L10 Game 2's


Pirates beat Nationals, 5-4 on Tuesday

Miami at Houston - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Johnson (0-3, 6.61 ERA) 15-15 UNDER 5-2 L7 away vs RHP
Harrell (2-2, 4.76 ERA) 14-16 OVER 4-1 L5 home Game 3's


Marlins beat Astros, 4-0 on Monday
Astros beat Marlins, 3-2 on Tuesday

St. Louis at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Lohse (4-1, 2.11 ERA) 19-11 4-1 L5 away Game 3's
Miley (3-0, 2.33 ERA) 14-17 OVER 8-2 L10 home vs RHP


Cardinals beat Diamondbacks, 9-6 on Monday
Cardinals beat Diamondbacks, 6-1 on Tuesday


San Francisco at Los Angeles - 10:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Lincecum (2-2, 5.68 ERA) 15-15 OVER 8-3 L11 away vs RHP
Billingsley (2-2, 3.19 ERA) 19-11 1-4 L5 Game 3's

Dodgers beat Giants, 9-1 on Monday
Giants beat Dodgers, 2-1 on Tuesday

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Toronto at Oakland - 3:35 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Morrow (3-1, 2.38 ERA) 16-14 8-3 L11 during day
Ross (1-2, 8.55 ERA) 16-14 UNDER 7-1 L8 home vs RHP


Athletics beat Blue Jays, 7-3 on Tuesday

Chicago at Cleveland - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Peavy (3-1, 1.99 ERA) 14-17 OVER 4-0 L4 on Wednesdays
Gomez (2-1, 2.82 ERA) 17-12 5-1 L6 home vs RHP


Indians beat White Sox, 8-6 on Monday (G1/DH)
Indians beat White Sox, 3-2 on Monday (G2/DH)
White Sox beat Indians, 5-3 on Tuesday


Texas at Baltimore - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Lewis (3-1, 2.97 ERA) 20-10 UNDER 6-1-1 L8 Game 3's
Chen (2-0, 2.76 ERA) 19-11 7-3 L10 home vs RHP


Rangers beat Orioles, 14-3 on Monday
Rangers beat Orioles, 10-3 on Tuesday


Tampa Bay at N.Y. Yankees - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Niemann (2-3, 4.05 ERA) 19-11 6-3 L9 Game 2's
Phelps (0-1, 3.74 ERA) 16-13 1-3 L4 home Game 2's


Yankees beat Rays, 5-3 on Tuesday

Los Angeles at Minnesota - 8:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Santana (0-6, 5.59 ERA) 13-18 2-7 L9 Game 3's
Pavano (2-2, 4.62 ERA) 8-21 0-5 L5 home vs RHP


Angels beat Twins, 8-3 on Monday
Twins beat Angels, 5-0 on Tuesday

Boston at Kansas City - 8:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Lester (1-2, 4.62 ERA) 12-17 OVER 6-1-1 L8 vs LHP
Chen (0-4, 4.98 ERA) 10-19 0-5 L5 vs LHP


Red Sox beat Royals, 11-5 on Monday
Royals beat Red Sox, 6-4 on Tuesday

Detroit at Seattle - 10:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Smyly (1-0, 1.61 ERA) 15-14 UNDER 8-2 L10 vs LHP
Vargas (3-2, 3.09 ERA) 14-18 4-1 L5 on Wednesdays


Mariners beat Tigers, 3-2 on Monday
Tigers beat Mariners, 6-4 on Tuesday

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
05/09/2012 12:32 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Texas at Baltimore
The Orioles look to bounce back from last night's 10-3 loss and take advantage of a Texas team that is 1-6 in its last 7 games after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game. Baltimore is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 9

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.174; Milwaukee (Greinke) 15.600
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-120); Over

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 14.653; Cubs (Maholm) 16.196
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+110); N/A

Game 905-906: Colorado at San Diego (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Friedrich) 13.660; San Diego (Bass) 14.250
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-125); Under

Game 907-908: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 15.887; Pittsburgh (Bedard) 14.222
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Over

Game 909-910: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 14.462; Philadelphia (Lee) 15.418
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-200); Under

Game 911-912: Miami at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Johnson) 14.633; Houston (Harrell) 16.152
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+130); Over

Game 913-914: St. Louis at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 14.575; Arizona (Miley) 14.932
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Under

Game 915-916: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.443; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.304
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over

Game 917-918: Toronto at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Morrow) 16.765; Oakland (Ross) 15.848
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140); Over

Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 16.171; Cleveland (Gomez) 15.275
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Under

Game 921-922: Texas at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 16.338; Baltimore (Chen) 16.794
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110); Over

Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.437; NY Yankees (Phelps) 16.589
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Under

Game 925-926: LA Angels at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 14.098; Minnesota (Pavano) 14.605
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over

Game 927-928: Boston at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.681; Kansas City (Chen) 13.940
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-145); Under

Game 929-930: Detroit at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Smyly) 14.388; Seattle (Vargas) 15.874
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+110); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
05/09/2012 12:33 PM

MLB

Wednesday, May 9

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Trend Report
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1:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

2:20 PM
ATLANTA vs. CHI CUBS
Atlanta is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

3:35 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN DIEGO
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Colorado
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

3:35 PM
TORONTO vs. OAKLAND
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games on the road
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 15 games when playing NY Mets

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
Tampa Bay is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:05 PM
TEXAS vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games at home

7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games at home
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox

7:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PITTSBURGH
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Pittsburgh's last 25 games

8:05 PM
MIAMI vs. HOUSTON
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Houston's last 21 games at home
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:10 PM
BOSTON vs. KANSAS CITY
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Kansas City is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Angels's last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
Minnesota is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home

9:40 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Arizona is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home

10:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco

10:10 PM
DETROIT vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Seattle is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
05/09/2012 12:34 PM

MLB

Wednesday, May 9

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Wednesday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds (4-0, 1.31 ERA)

Cueto always had a ton of movement, but now he has it under control. He fired a complete game in his last outing, allowing one run and seven hits while walking none. That run was the only score he has allowed in his last 16 innings on the mound and he has given just one free pass to first base over that span.

Brandon Morrow, Toronto Blue Jays (3-1, 2.38 ERA)

Morrow was even more impressive than Cueto in his last start, throwing a complete-game shutout while striking out eight Angels. It was the second complete game of his career. Morrow has allowed just one earned run over his last three starts, yielding only one walk. His early success has been attributed to mixing in more curveballs and changeups this year.


Slumping

Ervin Santana, Los Angeles Angels (0-6, 5.59 ERA)

Santana became the first Angels pitcher to lose six straight starts to begin the season and continues to search for answers. "I don't know how to explain it," Santana told reporters after dropping a 4-0 decision to the Jays last week. "I don't care about my record right now, I just care about pitching well. That's my goal right now. If I don't win it doesn't matter. I want to pitch at least seven innings every time." He went eight innings in that start, but L.A. has been shut out in each of his last five trips to the hill.

Josh Johnson, Miami Marlins (0-3, 6.61 ERA)

The Marlins spotted Johnson a five-run lead in the first inning of his last start and he promptly gave up six in the third inning before hitting the showers. He’s allowed 11 runs and five walks in his last two appearances and can’t seem to keep the ball out of the middle of the strike zone.


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MLB

Wednesday, May 9

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Using FIP to find value backing or fading MLB pitchers
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FIP sounds like the name of a new energy drink.

But it’s actually a statistic that stands for Fielding Independent Pitching, one of the new advanced metrics in baseball that does a better job of determining how well a pitcher is performing than such standard statistics as earned run average and winning percentage. Seamheads love it as we discussed at the start of the season.

FIP, as explained here by the folks at Baseball Prospectus, takes into account only home runs allowed, walks, hit batters and strikeouts. The theory behind FIP is that pitchers have no control over what happens to balls put into play other than home runs.

Why should we give a flip about FIP? Because it can help identify pitchers who are performer better or worse than their traditional statistics indicate, which can make for potential value plays.

Let's look at a look at two starting pitchers who are pitching better than it appears on the surface and two who aren't:


READY TO RISE

Josh Johnson

The initial reaction is to look at Miami Marlins right-hander Josh Joshson’s 0-3 record and 6.61 ERA in his first six starts and assume he is hurt. After all, Johnson made just nine starts last year before missing the rest of the season because of should tendinitis.

However, you don't need an MRI to see it's not a balky pitching arm that's bothering Johnson. Instead, a statistical examination shows Johnson has been more a victim of bad luck as his FIP is just 2.54. He has yet to allow a home run in 31 1/3 innings while striking out 26 and walking 12.

Johnson is scheduled to pitch Wednesday night at Houston. Perhaps he will begin turning around a season in which the Marlins are 2-4 and -$361(down 3.61 units) when he is on the mound.

Chris Volstad

Righty Chris Volstad was Johnson's teammate with the Marlins until he was traded to the Chicago Cubs for Carlos Zambrano during the offseason. Volstad is 0-4 with a 6.55 ERA in his first six starts for the Cubs and has gone 17 starts since his previous win last July 10. The Cubs have lost all six games and are -$600 in them.

Volstad's 3.38 FIP is an indicator that his dry spell should end soon. In 33 innings, he has given up 36 hits and one home run with 21 strikeouts and 10 walks.

Volstad's turn in the rotation next comes up Friday night when the Cubs play at Milwaukee.


READY TO FALL

Jeremy Hellickson

The Tampa Bay Rays' Jeremy Hellickson continues to defy the FIP odds. The right-hander was the American League Rookie of the Year last season when he outpitched his 4.44 FIP by going 13-10 with a 2.95 ERA in 29 starts.

Hellickson's FIP is even higher this season through six starts yet his ERA is even lower. He is 3-0 with a 2.75 ERA and the Rays are 4-2, $175 in his starts. Hellickson has allowed just 32 hits in 36 innings, but six of them have been home runs and his strikeout/walk ratio is a pedestrian 23/15.
Hellickson's luck is seemingly due to run out at some point. Maybe it will begin Friday when he makes a road start against surprising Baltimore.

Barry Zito

On the surface, San Francisco Giants left-hander Barry Zito seems to finally being living up to his seven-year, $126-million contract in the sixth year of the deal. Though he is just 1-1 through six starts, he has a fine 2.21 ERA and the Giants are 3-3 in those games and provided a $71profit.

Yet FIP indicates Zito is ready to turn back into the pitcher who has had losing records in each of his first five seasons with the Giants anytime now. He has a 4.62 mark. Though Zito has allowed just three home runs and 29 hits in 36 2/3 innings, he barely has more strikeouts (19) than walks (17).
Zito's next scheduled start is Sunday at Arizona.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
05/09/2012 12:35 PM

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, May 9

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CINCINNATI (15 - 14) at MILWAUKEE (13 - 17) - 1:10 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 93-96 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 69-33 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 69-33 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 55-23 (+25.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 28-9 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 20-0 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 28-9 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 14-0 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 13-1 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 573-659 (+46.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 423-478 (+46.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 31-18 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 310-283 (+50.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CUETO is 21-9 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 21-8 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 3-11 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
CUETO is 2-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.340.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.5 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GREINKE is 3-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (19 - 12) at CHICAGO CUBS (12 - 18) - 2:20 PM
TIM HUDSON (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1199-1284 (-237.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 83-98 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 652-660 (-125.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 83-98 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 883-946 (-162.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

TIM HUDSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HUDSON is 2-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.94 and a WHIP of 1.348.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MAHOLM is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.58 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-6. (-6.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (12 - 17) at SAN DIEGO (11 - 20) - 3:35 PM
CHRISTIAN FRIEDRICH (L) vs. ANTHONY BASS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 85-108 (-37.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-42 (-17.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 70-105 (-37.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 9-27 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 35-52 (-24.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 23-39 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 85-108 (-37.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 57-79 (-33.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 72-148 (-53.6 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
COLORADO is 78-87 (-32.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 36-29 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 82-112 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 57-83 (-24.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 44-59 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 44-57 (-15.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 33-58 (-21.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 82-112 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-41 (-18.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-27 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

CHRISTIAN FRIEDRICH vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

ANTHONY BASS vs. COLORADO since 1997
BASS is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.267.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (18 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (13 - 16) - 7:05 PM
ROSS DETWILER (L) vs. ERIK BEDARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 44-64 (-27.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 441-420 (+53.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 302-319 (+42.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 98-93 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 98-93 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ROSS DETWILER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
DETWILER is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 0.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

ERIK BEDARD vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BEDARD is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.158.
His team's record is 0-3 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (17 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (14 - 17) - 7:05 PM
DILLON GEE (R) vs. CLIFF LEE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-17 (+19.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 628-599 (+38.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NY METS are 23-17 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 50-45 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 12-5 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 50-45 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 35-31 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
GEE is 11-5 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GEE is 11-5 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEE is 24-28 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-1 (+5.4 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

DILLON GEE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
GEE is 2-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.48 and a WHIP of 1.860.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

CLIFF LEE vs. NY METS since 1997
LEE is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.61 and a WHIP of 0.964.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

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MIAMI (15 - 15) at HOUSTON (14 - 16) - 8:05 PM
JOSH JOHNSON (R) vs. LUCAS HARRELL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 105-145 (-39.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-61 (-19.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-3 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 7-1 (+7.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 31-23 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-7 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 38-32 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 71-123 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 198-233 (-55.3 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 69-122 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 46-92 (-32.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-3 (+0.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JOSH JOHNSON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
JOHNSON is 0-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.87 and a WHIP of 1.631.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

LUCAS HARRELL vs. MIAMI since 1997
HARRELL is 0-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (19 - 11) at ARIZONA (14 - 17) - 9:40 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 65-86 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 110-100 (-34.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 111-89 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 39-24 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 111-89 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 81-62 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 82-60 (+24.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 62-47 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 61-45 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 88-55 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-0 (+2.3 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LOHSE is 2-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.36 and a WHIP of 1.438.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.3 units)

WADE MILEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN FRANCISCO (15 - 15) at LA DODGERS (19 - 11) - 10:10 PM
TIM LINCECUM (R) vs. CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 70-72 (-17.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 64-41 (+19.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 44-24 (+16.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 856-712 (+105.7 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 (+0.9 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LINCECUM is 4-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.213.
His team's record is 8-6 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-6. (+1.3 units)

CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
BILLINGSLEY is 6-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.254.
His team's record is 10-9 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-9. (-1.6 units)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
05/09/2012 12:39 PM

TORONTO (16 - 14) at OAKLAND (16 - 14) - 3:35 PM
BRANDON MORROW (R) vs. TYSON ROSS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

BRANDON MORROW vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MORROW is 3-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.262.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

TYSON ROSS vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHI WHITE SOX (14 - 17) at CLEVELAND (17 - 12) - 7:05 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. JEANMAR GOMEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 72-89 (-30.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 100-94 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 97-91 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 74-59 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-5 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 51-45 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
GOMEZ is 11-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GOMEZ is 10-2 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GOMEZ is 7-0 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GOMEZ is 11-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GOMEZ is 12-5 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 53-47 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 51-41 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 78-64 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-31 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PEAVY is 9-2 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PEAVY is 9-2 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 94-100 (-34.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
PEAVY is 2-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.111.
His team's record is 2-5 (-5.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.6 units)

JEANMAR GOMEZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
GOMEZ is 2-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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TEXAS (20 - 10) at BALTIMORE (19 - 11) - 7:05 PM
COLBY LEWIS (R) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 19-11 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-10 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 16-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 11-3 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 127-82 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 120-75 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 93-55 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 278-354 (-98.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LEWIS is 1-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.480.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.0 units)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (19 - 11) at NY YANKEES (16 - 13) - 7:05 PM
JEFF NIEMANN (R) vs. DAVID PHELPS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 441-536 (+23.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
NIEMANN is 17-8 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NIEMANN is 23-10 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 108-96 (-59.4 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 66-64 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

JEFF NIEMANN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
NIEMANN is 3-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.414.
His team's record is 4-1 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

DAVID PHELPS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (13 - 18) at MINNESOTA (8 - 21) - 8:10 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. CARL PAVANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 13-18 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 66-68 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 0-6 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 8-16 (-14.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 152-132 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 7-0 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 105-91 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 626-622 (+57.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 153-137 (+28.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 517-511 (+58.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 623-539 (+63.9 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 71-121 (-35.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-60 (-26.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 37-58 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 68-114 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-36 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 47-90 (-33.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-3 (+0.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SANTANA is 3-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.355.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

CARL PAVANO vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PAVANO is 4-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.097.
His team's record is 6-2 (+5.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+3.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (12 - 17) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 19) - 8:10 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. BRUCE CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 104-89 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 44-48 (-22.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 3-13 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 3-13 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 27-55 (-23.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JON LESTER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
LESTER is 5-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.30 and a WHIP of 0.952.
His team's record is 5-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-0. (+5.0 units)

BRUCE CHEN vs. BOSTON since 1997
CHEN is 2-5 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.65 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 2-7 (-4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (15 - 14) at SEATTLE (14 - 18) - 10:10 PM
DREW SMYLY (L) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 143-214 (-60.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 139-196 (-49.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-33 (-16.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 76-136 (-53.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-1 (+4.9 Units) against DETROIT this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

DREW SMYLY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

JASON VARGAS vs. DETROIT since 1997
VARGAS is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.91 and a WHIP of 1.594.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
05/09/2012 12:40 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, May 9

National League

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 1:10 ET
Cueto: Cincinnati 5-1 Over off 5+ road games
Greinke: 14-0 TSR at home with a total of 7.5 runs or less

Atlanta at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
Hudson: Altanta 34-20 SU away off 3+ road games
Maholm: Cubs 7-20 SU at home off BB games allowing 3 runs or less

Colorado at San Diego, 3:35 ET
Friedrich: Colorado 4-13 SU with a line of +125 to -125
Bass: San Diego 17-7 Over as a favorite of -125 to -175

Washington at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Detwiler: Washington 18-8 Over away with a total of 7 to 7.5 runs
Bedard: Pittsburgh 23-40 SU at home off BB home games

NY Mets at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Gee: 13-4 TSR in the first half of the season
Lee: Philadelphia 18-8 Over playing with double-revenge

Miami at Houston, 8:05 ET
Johnson: Miami 18-7 SU away in May
Harrell: Houston 7-20 SU at home off 5+ home games

St. Louis at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Lohse: St. Louis 30-15 SU away after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Miley: Arizona 28-14 Over at home after scoring 2 runs or less

San Francisco at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Lincecum: San Francisco 26-12 Under off a win by one run
Billingsley: Dodgers 18-8 SU after the bullpen worked 1 inning or less


American League

Toronto at Oakland, 3:35 ET
Morrow: 6-1 TSR pitching off 3+ team losses
Ross: Oakland 14-34 SU after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Peavy: 9-2 TSR in road games
Gomez: Cleveland 9-20 SU at home off 6+ home games

Texas at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Lewis: Texas 28-11 SU as a road favorite of -125 to -175
Chen: Baltimore 33-17 Over after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET ESPN
Niemann: 18-6 TSR away in the first half of the season
Phelps: Yankees 17-7 Over at home with a line of -125 to +125

LA Angels at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Santana: Angels 41-21 SU after scoring 2 runs or less
Pavano: Minnesota 2-14 SU with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs

Boston at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Lester: Boston 14-5 Over as a favorite of -150 or less
Chen: Kansas City 1-10 SU off 3+ home games

Detroit at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Smyly: Detroit 20-7 Over off 4+ games allowing 4 runs or less
Vargas: Seattle 9-21 SU at home vs. AL Central opponents

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
05/09/2012 12:42 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, May 9

Hot pitchers
-- Cueto is 3-0, 1.23 in his last four starts. Greinke is 2-0, 3.33 in his last four outings.
-- Maholm is 3-0, 1.47 in his last three starts.
-- Detwiler is 2-1, 1.96 in his last three starts. Bedard is 2-0, 2.70 in his last two outings.
-- Lee has a 2.17 RA in his last four starts before going on DL.
-- Lohse is 4-1, 2.44 in his last seven starts. Miley is 2-0, 2.45 in three starts this season.
-- Lincecum is 2-0, 2.50 in his last three starts. Billingsley has a 2.77 RA in his last two starts.

-- Morrow is 3-0, 0.42 in his last three starts.
-- Peavy has a 1.40 RA in his last three starts. Gomez is 2-1, 3.10 in his last four outings.
-- Lewis is 3-1, 2.97 in his six starts this season. WChen has a 2.95 RA in his last three starts.
-- Smyly is 1-0, 1.93 in five starts this season. Vargas is 2-1, 2.84 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hudson allowed nine runs in 11 IP in his first two '12 starts.
-- Bass is 1-2, 4.32 in his last four starts. Friedrich i making his first start in MLB; he was 2-1, 3.00 in five starts at AAA.
-- Gee is 1-1, 5.95 in his last three starts.
-- JJohnson allowed 11 runs in eight IP in his last two starts. Harrell is 1-2, 8.27 in his last three outings.

-- Ross allowed 16 runs in 7.1 IP in his last two starts.
-- Niemann has a 5.40 RA in his last five starts. Phelps gave up two runs in four IP (85 PT) in his first MLB start.
-- ESantana is 0-6, 5.82 in his last six starts; Angels were blanked in each of his last five starts, an MLB record. Pavano is 2-2, 5.08 in six starts.
-- Lester is 1-2, 5.40 in his last five starts. BChen is 0-4, 6.56 in his last four outings.

Hot teams
-- Mets won their last four games, allowing 10 runs.
-- Marlins won seven of their last eight games. Houston won six of its last eight games.
-- Cubs are 7-0 in game following their last seven losses. Braves won nine of their last twelve road games.
-- Cincinnati won six of its last nine road games.
-- Cardinals won four of their last five road games.
-- Padres won their last couple games, allowing three runs.
-- Dodgers won their last five home games.

-- Cleveland won seven of its last ten games.
-- Bronx Bombers won three of their last four games. Tampa Bay won four of its last six road games.
-- Rangers won three of last four games, scoring 24 runs in last two.
-- Angels won six of their last nine games.
-- A's won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Pirates are 1-7 in game following their last eight wins. Nationals lost their last five road games.
-- Phillies are 3-6 in their last nine home games.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last seven games.
-- Colorado lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Giants lost five of their last eight games.

-- Toronto lost its last three games, allowing 17 runs.
-- White Sox lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Orioles lost last two games, allowing 24 runs.
-- Boston lost six of its last seven games. Royals lost 13 of their 16 home games, but are 3-3 in last six.
-- Minnesota lost 12 of its last 15 games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last 11 games. Detroit lost 10 of last 16.

Totals
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Pittsburgh games.
-- Eight of Mets' last eleven games went over the total.
-- 12 of last 14 Miami road games stayed under total. Five of Houston's last seven home games went over.
-- 12 of Cubs' last 14 games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Cincinnati's last seven road games.
-- Ten of last fourteen St Louis road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last eleven San Diego home games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven games at Dodger Stadium stayed under.

-- Under is 10-4-1 in Cleveland's last fifteen home games.
-- Under is 10-5 in last fifteen Baltimore games.
-- Last five Bronx games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-4-1 in Royals' last thirteen home games.
-- Under is 13-3 in Angels' last sixteen games.
-- Five of last seven Oakland home games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Detroit's road games this season.

Umpires
-- Wsh-Pitt-- Over is 20-16 in last 36 Davis games.
-- NY-Phil-- Three of last four Kulpa games stayed under.
-- Mia-Hst-- Under is 4-1-1 in Timmons games this season.
-- Atl-Chi-- Home team won last four Layne games.
-- Cin-Mil-- Under is 3-0-1 in Bucknor games this season.
-- StL-Az-- Favorites won four of five Diaz games.
-- Col-SD-- Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven Hallion games.
-- SF-LA-- Favorites won five of six Cederstrom games.

-- Tex-Blt-- Three of last four Barry games stayed under.
-- Chi-Clev-- All five Vanover games stayed under total.
-- TB-NY-- Over is 5-1-1 in Reynolds games; dogs won last four.
-- Bos-KC-- Six of eight Nelson games stayed under total.
-- LA-Min-- All four Holbrook games went over the total.
-- Tor-A's-- Road team won four of five Hickox games.
-- Det-Sea-- Five of seven Winters games stayed under.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: