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06/07/2012 11:24 AM
Celtics try to close out Heat Thursday at home

NBA PLAYOFF GAME PREVIEW

No. 2 MIAMI HEAT

at No. 4 BOSTON CELTICS


Eastern Conference Finals
Game 6 – Boston leads series 3-2
Tip-off: Thursday, 8:35 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -1½, Total: 179

The Celtics have taken control of the Eastern Conference Finals with three straight wins, and will look to finish off the Heat in Thursday night’s Game 6 in Boston.

Despite Miami All-Star PF Chris Bosh returning to the floor after a nine-game absence on Thursday night, Boston was able to win Game 5 at AmericanAirlines Arena, 94-90. The Celtics overcame poor shooting nights from three of their four stars (Rajon Rondo 3-of-15 FG, Paul Pierce 6-of-19 FG and Ray Allen 2-of-9 FG), thanks mostly to PF Kevin Garnett (26 points, 11 rebounds) and partly to reserve SF Mickael Pietrus scoring 13 points with two huge threes late in the fourth quarter. The Heat dynamic duo of LeBron James and Dwyane Wade combined for 57 points on 21-of-47 FG (45%), but the rest of the team made just 11-of-35 shots (31%). Bosh logged only 14 minutes, but still managed nine points and seven rebounds. Now the series shifts back to TD Garden where Boston is 8-1 SU (5-4 ATS) this postseason, allowing a mere 84.2 PPG to its visitors. Can Miami force a Game 7 on Thursday? For the answer, connect to NBA Playoffs Best Bets for all the Expert picks for every playoff game during the 2012 postseason. Since May 18, StatFox Dave is on a 14-7-1 ATS (66.7%) run, including 6-1-1 in his Best Bets.

Although Miami outrebounded Boston substantially on Tuesday (49-39), the foul calls in this game were dead-even at 21 apiece. That resulted in 27 Celtics free-throw attempts and 25 trips to the line for the Heat. Miami committed three more turnovers (15-12) and shot just 7-for-26 (27%) from behind the three-point arc, while Boston made 6-of-15 threes (40%). For the series, neither offense has been great. The Heat are averaging 96.0 PPG on 45% FG (29% threes), while the Celtics have 95.6 PPG on 44% FG (33% threes).

James has been unguardable all series, scoring 29+ points in each of the five games (31.8 PPG), while chalking up 10.0 RPG with 4.0 APG. The one knock on James in his past three contests is his inability to cash in at the free-throw line. After making 18-of-24 freebies in Game 2, James is a dreadful 11-for-21 from the foul line during his team’s three-game skid. Wade is also having a great offensive series with 18+ points in each game (22.0 PPG). But his rating is just +1 over the past three contests. PF Udonis Haslem scored just three points in 33 minutes on Tuesday, but he grabbed double-digit rebounds (14) for the third time in four games. PG Mario Chalmers has seen both his points and ratings decline in each of the past three games, averaging just 11.7 PPG (41.9% FG, 2-of-10 threes) with a combined minus-15 rating during the Heat’s three defeats. SF Shane Battier has also had a rough three games with a paltry 11 points (4-of-14 FG), five rebounds and minus-6 rating in 112 minutes of action. Battier began the series with 9.5 PPG, 6.5 RPG and a cumulative +28 rating in Games 1-2.

Although Rondo has had a fantastic East Finals series (20.6 PPG, 11.0 APG, 6.8 RPG), he appeared to have tired legs in Game 5 with his 3-for-15 shooting night. He has played 46.2 minutes per game in this series after logging 40.3 MPG in the seven-game series versus Philadelphia in the East semifinals. The rims have been kind Rondo at TD Garden though, as he’s making 47.2% of his shots at home in the playoffs. Garnett has 19.9 PPG and 10.8 RPG in the 2012 playoffs, including double-digit rebounds in 14 of 18 games. After posting a minus-15 rating in Games 1-2, he has a stellar +38 rating during the three-game win streak. Pierce has been putting up bricks all series (35.8% FG), but has still managed 19.6 PPG, thanks to 22-of-24 FT. His other stats in the East Finals haven’t been stellar either with just 4.4 RPG, 14 assists and 12 turnovers. But he did make the biggest shot of Game 5, burying a three-pointer with 52 seconds left to extend his team’s lead to four points. SG Ray Allen has also been ice-cold from the floor in this series (35% FG), but he was clutch from the foul line on Tuesday (8-for-8) and hit the boards hard with seven rebounds. Starting PF Brandon Bass scored 10 points (4-of-8 FG) in Game 5, increasing his modest series scoring average to 8.2 PPG.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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06/07/2012 11:27 AM
Game 6, Heat-Celtics

June 7, 2012

The Celtics were two losses away from having their season end and the window nearly slam shut on the Big Three of Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, and Ray Allen. However, Boston has stormed back with three consecutive victories, while looking to end Miami's season in tonight's Game 6 at TD Garden. The Heat has cooled down after taking the 2-0 lead, but the most disappointing defeat came in Tuesday's 94-90 home setback in Game 5.

Miami led by 13 points early on in the crucial Game 5, but Boston rallied to cut the deficit to two at the half. Interestingly enough, that was the first time the Heat held the advantage at halftime in any of the first five games of this series, but Miami failed to cash as 4 ½-point favorites in the first half. Pierce and Rajon Rondo combined to make three field goals in the first two quarters, while LeBron James paced the Heat with 18 points and Chris Bosh returned from an abdominal injury to score nine early points.

The Celtics managed to tie the game at 50-50 with less than eight minutes remaining in the third quarter, but Miami looked like it was ready to pull away with a quick 9-0 spurt. Boston's defense stepped up by limiting Miami to one point in the final 5:41 of the third period, while reeling off a 15-1 run, putting Heat -7 ½ tickets in doubt.

In this back-and-forth affair, Erik Spoelstra's club put together a 16-4 run to regain a 78-72 advantage halfway through the fourth quarter, thanks to 13 points from James and Dwyane Wade. The Celtics pulled through with a pair of huge three-pointers from Pierce and Mickael Pietrus in the final minutes, as Boston not only cashed as 7 ½-point 'dogs, but also on the money-line at +350.

As the series shifts back to Beantown, that spells trouble for the Heat, who has dropped 14 of the last 15 trips to TD Garden. The only victory in this span came in overtime in Game 4 of the second round last postseason, as Miami is just 1-10 ATS the previous 11 games in Boston. Also, the C's own an 8-1 SU and 5-4 ATS home playoff record, but this will be only the second time that Boston is listed as a home underdog this postseason.

Since so much of the Heat's focus usually falls on James, it's interesting to note that the three-time MVP hasn't won an elimination game on the road in four tries (Cleveland went 1-3 ATS), while this is the first time James' back is against the wall in a Miami uniform on the highway.

From the player props standpoint tonight, Sportsbook.ag lists total points for James at 31 (shaded to the 'over' at -130) and 24 ½ for Wade (shaded to the 'over' at -135). Wade has started slow in the first half in each of the five games so far in the series, averaging a shade above six points. Even though Rondo struggled in Game 5 by scoring just seven points, Sportsbook.ag has set the Boston's point guard's points, rebounds, and assists total at 36 ½ tonight (shaded to the 'over' at -125).

VegasInsider.com's Chris David take a look at several total notes for tonight's Game 6, "Total players have seen the 'over' cash in four of the five games in this series and you can make an argument that the number has been too low. None of the closing totals have been higher than 180 and Game 6's number is hovering right around 179 points. The 'under' should've cashed in Game 5 and was definitely the right side but the game turned into a free throw shooting contest and we saw 25 combined points scored in the final three minutes, 10 from the charity stripe."

"The first-half finally went 'under' on Tuesday, which was the first time it occurred in this series. But the second-half 'over' cashed as the two teams combined for 102 points. Based on the pace of this series, I would lean 'under' again and hope neither team blows up offensively. If you get the tight game, you could have bonus points put up at the end but you can also have possession basketball and that's great for any 'under' ticket."

David points out that even though the Celtics can close tonight, betting Boston to advance hasn't worked yet in this situation, "While fading Boston at home in the playoffs has been a poor investment, you have to be aware that this team didn't put away Atlanta and Philadelphia when it had the opportunity. The word 'comfortable' comes to mind with the Celtics, but maybe knowing that a possible Game 7 on the road in South Florida will have Doc Rivers stressing urgency at home."

The Celtics have won only three of 13 times in the Big 3 era in their first opportunity to close a series, including an 0-2 mark this postseason. However, David notes that nine of those losses came on the highway, as Boston is 2-1 at home in the first shot of these closeout contests. Meanwhile, since the All-Star break, the Celtics have two losses at TD Garden and both came by exactly one point.

The Heat is set as two-point road favorites, as the last team to trail 3-2 and to be listed as 'away' chalk was Orlando in 2011, but the Magic fell to the Hawks and got eliminated. Tonight's Game 6 tips off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ESPN.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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06/07/2012 11:30 AM
NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (56 - 26) at BOSTON (50 - 34) - 6/7/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 39-65 ATS (-32.5 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 18-8 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 17-9 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
16 of 26 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, June 7

Heat @ Celtics (3-2)-- Miami has to win here (they're 0-4 in this arena this season) or else its another playoff failure. Home teams are now 9-2 in this round, after the Thunder won last night; tremendous pressure on the Heat here, to win as expected, but Boston PG Rondo has kicked the Miami guards' butts, with 84 points, 48 assists last four games. James/ Wade were 21-47 from floor last game, rest of team 11-35. James has taken total of 21 foul shots in last three games, after taking 24 in Game 2 alone. Over is now 8-3 in 11 Celtic playoff wins; under is 4-2-1 in their losses, so containing Rondo is job #1. And #2. And #3.




NBA

Thursday, June 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:30 PM
MIAMI vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Miami is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Miami


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NBA

Thursday, June 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Heat at Celtics Game 6: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics (+1.5, 179.5)

THE STORY: The Boston Celtics are one victory away from being a surprise entrant in the NBA Finals The Miami Heat are one loss away from being stamped huge underachievers. Boston has won three consecutive games to take a 3-2 lead in the Eastern Conference finals as its veteran group seemingly finds an extra competitive gear when needed. Miami has lost 15 of its last 16 games in Boston and is hopeful of forcing a Game 7 on Saturday.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE HEAT: Forward LeBron James is averaging 31.8 points and 10 rebounds in the series but the pressure is on with Game 6 being do or die. The three-time MVP has a reputation of wilting in these situations, meaning the contest presents a big opportunity for him to deliver a statement-type performance. Forward Chris Bosh returned from a lower abdominal strain to play 14-plus minutes in Miami’s Game 5 loss and is expected to play a bigger role in Game 6. Heat coach Erik Spoelstra called for his team to avoid listening to outsiders leading into the pivotal game. “This is what the playoffs are all about,” Spoelstra said. “It tests your collective character and your resolve. And this is the journey that we have to be on right now for whatever reason.”

ABOUT THE CELTICS: The veteran trio of post player Kevin Garnett, forward Paul Pierce and guard Ray Allen were said to be on their last stand entering the series and are on the verge of making it highly memorable if it indeed turns out that way. Garnett had 26 points and 11 rebounds in Game 5 for his fourth double-double of the series and Pierce made a clutch late-game 3-pointer to highlight a 19-point performance. Allen is persevering while dealing with an ankle injury that hinders his shooting. “You have to leave it to fate – whatever is going to happen will happen,” Allen said of the future. “Right now is what you have to be concerned with. We’ll look back over these years at all the opportunities we had, all the great games we played and the big shots that we made. We’ll talk about the tough games. Right now, we are in the present moment and that’s the most important.”

TRENDS:

- Heat are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Boston.
- Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Celtics' last four overall.
- Celtics are 16-5-2 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Heat guard Dwyane Wade scored a series-high 27 points and has four 20-point outings in the series despite shaky first-half play.

2. Boston point guard Rajon Rondo had just seven points on 3-of-15 shooting in Game 5 but recorded 13 assists to break Bob Cousy’s franchise record for career playoff double-digit assists performances with his 39th such game.

3. Miami forward Udonis Haslem has averaged 15.5 rebounds over the past two games and has three double-digit rebound games in the series.


NBA
Dunkel

Miami at Oklahoma City
The Heat look to stay alive and build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite of 1 to 4 1/2 points. Miami is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

THURSDAY, JUNE 7

Game 723-724: Miami at Boston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 128.749; Boston 125.097
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 179
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1 1/2); Over
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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06/07/2012 11:32 AM
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

06/06/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
06/05/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
06/04/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
06/03/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
06/02/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
06/01/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail

Totals 9-­3-­0 75.00% +2850


Thursday, June 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 8:30 PM ET Boston +1.5 500

Boston - Under 179 500
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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06/08/2012 05:36 PM
WNBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at Atlanta
The Dream look to bounce back from their 79-74 loss to New York and build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 games following an ATS defeat. Atlanta is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

FRIDAY, JUNE 8

Game 601-602: Connecticut at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 113.105; Indiana 121.286
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 157
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 161 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6); Under

Game 603-604: New York at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 110.532; Washington 107.674
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 3; 147
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: New York (+2 1/2); Over

Game 605-606: San Antonio at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 110.453; Atlanta 115.919
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 156
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 161
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3 1/2); Under

Game 607-608: Tulsa at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 100.226; Chicago 110.684
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 12 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+12); Over

Game 609-610: Phoenix at Los Angeles (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 104.716; Los Angeles 113.809
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 9; 171
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 11; 167 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+11); Over




WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, June 8

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CONNECTICUT (4 - 1) at INDIANA (4 - 1) - 6/8/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games on Friday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (2 - 5) at WASHINGTON (1 - 4) - 6/8/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 214-263 ATS (-75.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 133-172 ATS (-56.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) after a division game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (2 - 3) at ATLANTA (2 - 4) - 6/8/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (0 - 6) at CHICAGO (4 - 1) - 6/8/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (2 - 4) at LOS ANGELES (5 - 1) - 6/8/2012, 11:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 29-44 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-4 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Friday, June 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Connecticut is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Connecticut

7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. WASHINGTON
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games

7:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. ATLANTA
San Antonio is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

8:30 PM
TULSA vs. CHICAGO
Tulsa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tulsa's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games at home
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

11:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. LOS ANGELES
Phoenix is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 12 games
Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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06/08/2012 05:39 PM
WNBA

Friday, June 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

New York - 7:00 PM ET Washington -2.5 500
Washington - Over 143 500

Connecticut - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -5 500
Indiana - Under 161 500

San Antonio - 7:30 PM ET San Antonio +4.5 500
Atlanta - Under 166 500

Tulsa - 8:30 PM ET Tulsa +12 500
Chicago - Under 144 500

Phoenix - 11:00 PM ET Phoenix +11 500
Los Angeles - Over 167.5 500
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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06/09/2012 01:00 PM
NBA
Dunkel

Boston at Miami
The Heat look to build on their 10-4 ATS record in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Miami is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

SATURDAY, JUNE 9

Game 727-728: Boston at Miami (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.705; Miami 132.140
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 178
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7 1/2); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, June 9

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BOSTON (50 - 35) at MIAMI (57 - 26) - 6/9/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 18-9 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 17-10 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
16 of 27 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, June 9

Stanley Cup Finals, Game Five (Los Angeles Leads, 3-1)
Los Angeles at New Jersey, 8:05 ET NBC
Los Angeles: 11-3 SU when leading in a playoff series
New Jersey: 17-5 Under in the Stanley Cup Finals




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, June 9

Celtics @ Heat (3-3)-- Lebron James was 19-26 from floor as he pulled Heat into series tie with dominating game, becoming 2nd player ever to score 45 points, with 15 boards/5 assists in playoff game; Chamberlain was the other. Problem for Miami in Game 6 was that rest of team was 18-50 (36%) from floor; they'll need more in this game, since expecting James to repeat that performance is unfair. Rondo had seven turnovers last game, while Pierce was 4-18 from floor. James took total of 30 foul shots in last four games, after taking 24 in Game 2. Over is 8-3 in 11 Celtic playoff wins; under is 5-2-1 in their losses, so containing Rondo is still job #1. How Boston defends James will determine flow of game.

-- Celtics' points in wins: 101-93-94.....losses: 79-111(ot)-79




NBA

Saturday, June 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:30 PM
BOSTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
Boston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Miami's last 25 games at home
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games


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NBA

Saturday, June 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Celtics at Heat Game 7: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat (-7.5, 178)

THE STORY: LeBron James has a tough act to follow when the Miami Heat host the Boston Celtics in Saturday’s Game 7 of the Eastern Conference finals. James had 45 points and 15 rebounds in a terrific performance as Miami staved off elimination in Game 6 to even the best-of-7 series at 3-3. Boston won Game 5 in Miami but needs a second road breakthrough to advance to the NBA Finals. The winner meets the Oklahoma City Thunder.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE CELTICS: Boston will rely on its veterans to quickly put the 98-79 home beatdown behind them with an NBA Finals berth on the line. Forward Paul Pierce will be under the microscope after a poor Game 6 in which he scored just nine points on 4-for-18 shooting. Pierce has connected on just 33.6 percent of his field-goal attempts in the series while playing on a gimpy knee. Forward Kevin Garnett had his worst contest of the series with 12 points and five rebounds after being a resounding force with four double-doubles over the first five games. Point guard Rajon Rondo has committed 12 turnovers over the past two games.

ABOUT THE HEAT: James had a focused approach in Game 6 while becoming just the second player in NBA playoff history to have a game of at least 45 points, 15 rebounds and five assists. Wilt Chamberlain had 50 points, 15 rebounds and six assists back in the 1964 playoffs against the St. Louis Hawks. James made 19 of 26 shots and dominated from the outset under the pressure of the win or go home stage. “I didn’t use any motivation,” James said. “I just went to my habits. I went to what I built over the course of the season, over the course of the years, and just went out and played.” James is averaging 34 points and 10.8 rebounds in the series.

TRENDS:

- Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall
- Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
- Celtics are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. James is the first player to score 25 or more points in six consecutive playoff games against the Celtics since Kareem Abdul-Jabbar did it seven straight times for the Milwaukee Bucks in 1974.

2. Pierce, Garnett and Ray Allen had a combined 31 points in Game 6, their lowest in a playoff game as a trio in five seasons since becoming teammates.

3. Miami forward Chris Bosh (lower abdominal strain) played 28 minutes in Game 6 and is expected to see his minutes increase for the finale.

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WNBA
Dunkel

Minnesota at Tulsa
The Shock look to build on their 3-0-1 ATS record in their last 4 games as an underdog of 11 points or greater. Tulsa is the pick (+13) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by just 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+13). Here are all of today's picks

SATURDAY, JUNE 9

Game 651-652: Seattle at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 108.348; San Antonio 110.269
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 137
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 141
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+4); Under

Game 653-654: Minnesota at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 117.263; Tulsa 105.633
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 11 1/2; 159
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 13; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+13); Over




WNBA

Saturday, June 9

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Seattle is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games at home
San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TULSA
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Tulsa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 6 games when playing Minnesota


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06/09/2012 01:03 PM
Miami Heat And Boston Celtics Collide In Game 7

There's only one game to talk about in the NBA playoffs this weekend, and it's a big one with the Eastern Conference Finals moving back to South Beach for Game 7 between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics.

The Heat are solid 8-point home-court favorites for the decisive battle, and the Don Best odds screen has the total sitting at 178. ESPN will have the tip from AmericanAirlines Arena at 8:30 p.m. (ET) on Saturday.

Miami dismantled the Celtics in Boston on Thursday with a 98-79 Game 6 victory to knot the series at three wins apiece. In their preview of that game earlier this week, Don Best Sports analysts Pat Williams and Monte Scates each thought the wrong team was favored with the Heat closing as 2-point chalk. But Miami proved the oddsmakers right and then some by jumping to a 10-point advantage in the first quarter and never looking back.

LeBron James also proved why he is generally regarded as the best player in the NBA with a huge 45-point effort along with 15 boards to lead the Heat in the rout. Dwyane Wade (17 points) was the only other Miami player to score more than nine points while Rajon Rondo paced a quartet of Celtics in double-digits with 21 points.

Miami's triumph and cover snapped a 4-game run against the spread for Boston, while the final tally fell three points shy of the 180-point total to break four straight 'overs' in the series.

The Celtics simply had no answer for LeBron on Thursday, trying different defensive matchups and double teams to no avail. Boston lost the battle on the boards by 10 and managed to sink just one of 14 attempts from beyond the 3-point line.

Williams believes the key for the Celtics to pull off an upset in Game 7 will be evening up the rebounding while getting more production from veteran Paul Pierce.

"If Paul Pierce can't step up and be the truth and play like the captain," Williams said, "the Celtics are done in this series."

Pierce connected on just 4-of-18 from the field in Game 6 and missed all six of his long-range shots.

Beating the Heat two times in a row on their home floor will not be easy for Boston, to state the obvious. Miami is a perfect 6-0 at home following a setback at AmericanAirlines Arena, and covered five of the six spreads with the average margin of victory a whopping 20.7 points.

Williams believes the play in Game 7 is on the 'over,' feeling confident enough that the Celtics won't have another horrible night shooting the rock.
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06/09/2012 01:04 PM
Celtics, Heat square off in Game 7 Saturday

NBA PLAYOFF GAME PREVIEW

No. 4 BOSTON CELTICS

at No. 2 MIAMI HEAT


Eastern Conference Finals
Game 7 – Series tied 3-3
Tip-off: Saturday, 8:35 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -7½, Total: 178½

LeBron James made sure his season wouldn’t end on Thursday night in Boston, and now he’ll try to lead Miami to a Game 7 win on Saturday night to get back to the NBA Finals.

James had an incredible 45 points on 19-for-26 FG (73%), and added 15 rebounds and five assists in the Heat’s 98-79 pounding of the Celtics. He now has 34.0 PPG (54% FG) and 10.8 RPG in the East Finals. Boston once again struggled to make shots, hitting just 42.7% FG and 1-of-14 threes. SF Paul Pierce was an atrocious 4-for-18 from the floor, missing all six of his long-range tries. PF Chris Bosh didn’t assert himself very much on offense in his second game back from injury (7 points on 3-of-8 FG), but he still made his presence felt by posting a +16 rating with six rebounds and three blocks in his 28 minutes of action. Now the series concludes in Miami, where the past two games have been extremely close. After the Heat won Game 2 by a 115-111 score in overtime, the C’s got their revenge with a 94-90 victory in Game 5 at AmericanAirlines Arena. Can Miami win this series and cover the hefty spread? For the answer, connect to NBA Playoffs Best Bets for all the Expert picks for every playoff game during the 2012 postseason. Since May 18, StatFox Dave is on a 16-7-1 ATS (70%) run, including 7-1-1 in his Best Bets.

Miami is 35-6 (23-18-1 ATS) at home this season, outscoring these opponents by an average of 11.1 PPG (100.1 to 89.0 PPG). Boston is a woeful 18-24 SU (21-21 ATS) on the road this season, having lost its previous four away games by an average of 8.5 PPG before prevailing in Game 5. However, the Celtics are a solid 20-14 (18-16 ATS) after an SU loss this season, and they have also been sharp with just one day’s rest at 31-20 (30-21 ATS). The Heat have avoided major letdowns after an SU victory (40-16 SU, 27-29 ATS), and have been strong with just one day of rest at 32-16 (22-26 ATS). The Celtics controlled the points in the paint (42-32) in Game 6, but managed just seven offensive boards on their 43 missed shots and were outrebounded 44-34. Neither team shared the ball very well on offense on Thursday, with Miami dishing out just 15 assists on 37 field goals and Boston tallying a mere 14 helpers on 32 made shots. For the series, neither offense has been great. The Heat are averaging 96.3 PPG on 45.5% FG (31% threes), while the Celtics have just 95.6 PPG on 43.8% FG (29% threes).

PG Rajon Rondo has had a great offensive series with 20.7 PPG (50% FG), 10.8 APG and 6.3 RPG, but he posted a dreadful minus-25 rating in Game 6, committing a series-high seven turnovers. The last time he played in Miami in Game 5, he shot just 3-for-15 from the field. PF Kevin Garnett also had a subpar performance on Thursday, amassing just 12 points (6-of-14 FG), five rebounds, zero assists and a minus-16 rating. He did not attempt a single free throw and was pretty useless against Bosh down low. But the biggest reason for Boston’s lack of scoring in Game 5 was Pierce missing 14 of his 18 shot attempts. He has had little success scoring at AmericanAirlines Arena in this series, connecting on a mere 33.9% FG (19-of-56). SG Ray Allen has been off the mark in this series (36.2% FG), which includes a horrible 8-for-27 FG clip (29.6%) in Miami. Starting PF Brandon Bass scored 12 points (5-of-8 FG) with seven rebounds in Game 6, giving him solid averages of 11.0 PPG (50% FG) and 6.0 RPG in the past three contests.

James has actually been better offensively on the road during the 2012 playoffs (32.1 PPG on 53% FG), but his home playoff numbers aren’t too shabby (29.6 PPG on 50% FG). In three home games this series, he has torched the Celtics for 32.0 PPG and 12.0 RPG. But after making 18-of-24 free throws in Game 2, James is a dreadful 16-for-30 from the foul line (53%) during the past four contests. Although Wade wasn’t great offensively in Boston during East Finals (18.3 PPG on 37% FG), he has thrived on home cooking with 24.0 PPG on 52% FG in the three games held in Miami. PF Udonis Haslem has not been a consistent scorer this series with 0, 13, 3, 12, 3 and 6 points, but he continues to pound the glass on a regular basis with 11.4 RPG in his past five contests. PG Mario Chalmers hasn’t had a great series shooting the basketball (43.5% FG, 30.8% threes), but he had a well-rounded Game 6 with nine points (3-of-4 threes), two steals, zero turnovers and a +9 rating, his first positive rating since Game 1. SF Shane Battier also posted his series-best rating of +17 on Thursday, finishing with eight points and two steals.

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06/09/2012 01:07 PM
Celtics, Heat set for Game 7 to decide East

June 8, 2012


MIAMI (AP) - LeBron James has no idea what he will do for an encore.

He offered a simple vow instead.

``I won't regret Game 7,'' James said.

There may not have been another sentiment the Miami Heat would have preferred hearing more as they prepare to host the Boston Celtics Saturday night.

James is coming off a season-saving 45-point, 15-rebound, five-assist effort to force Game 7. The winner will head to Oklahoma City to start the NBA finals on Tuesday night and the loser heads into an offseason of decided uncertainty.

``Win, lose or draw, I'm going to go in with the mindset like I've had this whole season,'' James said. ``And you know, we'll see what happens.''

A series that has gone back and forth - Miami won the first two games, then lost three straight before James carried the Heat to a win that denied Boston the East crown on Thursday night - comes down to an ultimate game.

For the Heat, it's a chance to play for the ring they couldn't win last year in the opening act of the Big Three era. For the Celtics, it's probably one last chance for their current core to reach the NBA's mountaintop.

``This team has been about adversity all year long, you know, so this is not going to be nothing new,'' Celtics forward Paul Pierce said. ``It's been tough for us all year long to get to the point where we would be at, and why wouldn't it be tough now? Winning is hard. Trying to get to the finals is hard. And this is as hard as it gets. And I think we are prepared for it.''

It's the 111th time a best-of-seven NBA series has gone the distance. Home teams are 88-22 in the previous matchups.

That means little to Heat coach Erik Spoelstra. The last time Boston was on his team's court, the Celtics sputtered offensively and still managed to leave with a win, taking Game 5 to put Miami on the brink.

The Heat are still there. Only this time, so are the Celtics.

``Both teams will come out with an appropriate level of urgency,'' Spoelstra said. ``And that's the beauty of a Game 7. We fought and earned the right to have this on our home court. We don't take that for granted and we don't assume that that will take care of anything. We're going to have to play, compete at the same urgency level we played last night. And we'll also have to play well and probably have to beat them when they're at their best.''

If James has the same game he had Thursday, the Celtics will have to beat him at his best.

The reigning MVP put on a show in Game 6. The expression on James' face barely changed all night - after makes, after misses, even after a drink got dumped on him while leaving the court not long after the final buzzer of Miami's 98-79 win. He made 19 of 26 shots, that 73 percent success rate the best he ever posted in a playoff game. His 30 first-half points matched an NBA season high. His 45 points were second-most in Heat playoff history.

``Sometimes superstars get hot,'' Pierce said.

``He's been playing unbelievable,'' Heat guard Dwyane Wade said.

``One of the best this league has ever seen,'' Heat forward Chris Bosh said.

Of course, if the Heat lose on Saturday, that performance will soon be forgotten.

For the Celtics, this will be their seventh Game 7 in the last five years - they're 4-2 in the previous ones, including a home win over Philadelphia one round ago. James is averaging 34 points per game in the series, the Celtics are getting both outshot and outrebounded, their best shooter in Ray Allen has been slowed by ankle pain and Pierce is shooting 34 percent.

Here they are, one win from the finals anyway, even after all that and getting written off plenty of times during the regular season.

``Nothing's been easy up until this point. You know, can't expect it now,'' Celtics forward Kevin Garnett said. ``It is what it is. We're going to take these cards and play them. Lot of confident guys in here, lot of guys who've been through Game 7's, lot of experienced guys. We're going to lean on that. And we're going to fight. A bunch of fighters in this locker room.''

Rajon Rondo, who has either made or set up more than half of Boston's baskets in the series, had similar sentiments.

``It's going to be a battle,'' Boston's point guard said.

Celtics coach Doc Rivers told his team to pack for a weeklong trip starting Friday. If they win, they'll go straight from Miami to Oklahoma City.

``We have another opportunity,'' Rivers said in Boston on Thursday night. ``We get to play another game, Game 7. I would say most of the people in this room would have said, `Wow, they're going to get to Game 7, we'll take it.' That's the way we have to view it. We won a game at theirs, they won here. Now we get to play for all the marbles.''

Both sides are tired, beaten up, bruised.

Bosh is working his way back into Miami's rotation after missing nine games with a strained lower abdominal muscle. Pierce has a sprained knee ligament that he's been playing on for much of these playoffs. Wade has been coping with knee pain. Rondo's troublesome elbow may be acting up again. The Celtics are dealing with age. The Heat are dealing with pressure.

None of that will matter on Saturday night.

``It's going to be a tough one,'' Wade said. ``It's going to be a tough one, Game 7. We look forward to it. I'm sure Boston will look forward to it as well. This is what NBA basketball is about.''

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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