cnotes Posts:24898 Followers:33
04/28/2012 12:42 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 28

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PHILADELPHIA (35 - 31) at CHICAGO (50 - 16) - 4/28/2012, 1:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-5 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (36 - 30) at MIAMI (46 - 20) - 4/28/2012, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (37 - 29) at INDIANA (42 - 24) - 4/28/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 9-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (36 - 30) at OKLAHOMA CITY (47 - 19) - 4/28/2012, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 9-7 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 9-7 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 28

76ers @ Bulls-- Doug Collins' was Michael Jordan's coach in Chicago for three years, so this could be an interesting series for top-seed Bulls, who won two of three vs Philly this year, winning 89-80 (-5) in only meeting here. 76ers lost five of last seven visits to Windy City, with four of the seven games going over the total. Chicago went 8-3 in first two rounds of playoffs LY, before losing to Miami in 5 in Eastern final. Sixers are 3-8 in two playoff series the last three years.

Knicks @ Heat-- Chandler is ill, might not play here; PG Lin is also out for New York, which was 0-3 vs Miami this season, losing by 10-8-14 points- they're 2-10 overall in last 12 series tilts. Last five series games stayed under total. Knicks lost six of last seven visits to Miami, losing by 5-17-22-8-10-14 points. New York covered four of last six games as an underdog. Miami won its first three playoff series LY in five games each, before losing in Finals. Knicks' last playoff series win was in '00.

Magic @ Pacers-- No Dwight Howard here, which makes Orlando easily the team most likely to check out early, but Van Gundy is a solid coach, and Magic won eight of last nine games with Indiana, winning last five in this building. Pacers haven't won playoff series since 2005, losing LY to Bulls in five games in first round. Four of last five series tilts went over the total. Magic lost in first round to Hawks LY, first time in four years they didn't win at least one playoff series.

Mavericks @ Thunder-- Dallas beat Thunder in five games LY in West finals LY on way to NBA title, with its last three wins by 6-7-4 points; Thunder won three of four meetings this year, winning by 2-4 in the two games played in this gym. Mavericks lost last four road games, losing by 4-2-10-17 points. Harden's health (concussion) big ?mark for Thunder team that needs third wheel to support Durant/Westbrook. Last three series games stayed under total.




NBA

Saturday, April 28

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHICAGO
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games

3:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. MIAMI
New York is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. INDIANA
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Orlando's last 19 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Indiana is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Orlando

9:30 PM
DALLAS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas's last 17 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Oklahoma City is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Dallas


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NBA

Saturday, April 28

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What bettors need to know: Saturday's NBA playoff action
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New York Knicks at Miami Heat (-8.5, 186.5)

THE STORY: The Miami Heat’s Big Three have not seen the floor in a game together in nearly two weeks. With the Heat cruising toward the No. 2 seed in the East, the team opted for rest over consistency. The seventh-seeded New York Knicks, on the other hand, are just beginning to come together. Carmelo Anthony closed the regular season on a tear and Amar'e Stoudemire has spent the past week working himself back into shape.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE KNICKS (36-30): New York lost all three regular season meetings with the Heat by an average of 10.7 points, but still has plenty of confidence entering this series due to the way it has played down the stretch. The Knicks have a Defensive Player of the Year candidate in Tyson Chandler in the middle and a stopper on the perimeter in Iman Shumpert, which has helped transform the team on that end of the floor. Anthony asserted himself in April after Jeremy Lin and Stoudemire went down, averaging 29.8 points in the month. Stoudemire is back as a second scoring option, having played at least 24 minutes in each of the final four games and stayed healthy. The Knicks also have a huge edge off the bench with Steve Novak and J.R. Smith.

ABOUT THE HEAT (46-20): Miami’s hopes rest on LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. Just like last season, the supporting cast leaves something to be desired. Coach Eric Spoelstra moved Udonis Haslem into the starting lineup late in the season, giving the team some toughness up front to help deal with Chandler. Bosh missed the final six games of the regular season to rest a minor hamstring issue and both Wade and James took time off to rest minor injuries. All three were on the floor on Apr. 15, when Miami went into Madison Square Garden and took down the Knicks, 93-85. James led the way with 29 points and 10 rebounds while Wade added 28 and nine.

TRENDS:
-The under is 21-5 in Miami's last 26 home games.
- New York has covered in 19 of its last 26.
- Miami has covered in five of its last seven games when favored.



Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls (-9, 175.5)

THE STORY: Despite owning the best record in the NBA, the Chicago Bulls are not without questions. The starting five has played very few games together due to injury and the most important player, reigning MVP Derrick Rose, has not had much time to get into playing shape. The eighth-seeded Philadelphia 76ers were limping their way to the finish line before picking it up right at the end. The Bulls took two of three in the regular season.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE 76ERS (35-31): There was a time in the middle of the season where it looked like Philadelphia would run away with the Atlantic Division. It did not turn out that way, as the 76ers were under .500 in February and March and then began April by dropping seven of nine. Philadelphia had to scramble to clinch the final playoff spot but eventually broke through and found some offense, reaching the 100-point plateau three times during a four-game winning streak from Apr. 18-25. The 76ers play a similar style to the Bulls, preferring to slow the tempo and win with defense. Their best defensive stopper, Andre Iguodala, sat out the final two games of the regular season with a bruised Achilles but should be ready for Saturday.

ABOUT THE BULLS (50-16): Chicago clinched the best record in the NBA and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs with a 107-75 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers in the regular-season finale. Derrick Rose sat that game out, pushing his total of games missed this season to 27. Richard Hamilton missed 38 games and Luol Deng missed 12 games, leaving the Bulls less time than most teams with their intended starting lineup. Chicago was still able to roll through the league on the strength of its defense, which surrendered an NBA-low 88.2 points, and the front court duo of Joakim Noah and Carlos Boozer, which helped the team lead the league in rebounding.

TRENDS:
- Philadelphia has covered in four of its last five.
- The over is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings between the two teams.
- The under has cashed in each of Chicago's last six.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Rose, who only played in five of the final 10 games, matched a season high with 35 points in a win at Philadelphia on Mar. 4.

2. The 76ers finished 16-17 on the road, while the Bulls went 26-7 at home.

3. Philadelphia G Lou Williams became the first player ever to lead his team in scoring (14.9 points) without starting a game.



Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder (-7.5, 193)

THE STORY: The Dallas Mavericks begin their quest for a second consecutive NBA title against one of their key conquests from their first title. Dallas opens its championship defense Saturday night against an Oklahoma City Thunder team that bowed out in five games in last year's Western Conference finals. The Thunder bounced back nicely during the shortened 2011-12 campaign, posting the second-best record in the West thanks to spectacular seasons from Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (36-30): It wasn't an easy regular season for the defending champs, who lost center Tyson Chandler to the New York Knicks and weren't able to replace his defensive intensity in the paint. Making matters worse was a drawn-out fiasco with forward Lamar Odom that eventually led to he and the team parting ways. The Mavericks worked through the distraction and qualify for the postseason, but a better showing on the road will be imperative to the team's title chances. Dallas went just 13-20 away from American Airlines Center, the second-worst road mark of any team to reach the playoffs.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (47-19): Durant won his third consecutive scoring title, becoming the first player since Michael Jordan (2006-08) to accomplish the feat. He had plenty of help on the scoresheet, with Westbrook (23.8 ppg) and sixth man James Harden (16.8) fueling the league's third-ranked offense. Getting past the Mavericks will require the Thunder to avoid the fourth-quarter meltdowns that plagued them in their final two losses of the Western Conference final. Dallas rallied from 15 points down to win Game 4, then wiped out a seven-point deficit in the final six minutes of Game 5.

TRENDS:
- The underdog is 17-4-1 against the spread in the last 22 meetings between the two teams.
- Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last seven.
- Oklahoma City is 3-13-1 ATS in its last 17 home games against Dallas.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Oklahoma City won three of four regular-season meetings between the teams.

2. Durant averaged 25.5 points and 8.3 rebounds against the Mavericks this season.

3. Dallas went 32-34 against the spread in the regular season, while Oklahoma City was 35-31.



Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers (-9, 191.5)

THE STORY: The Indiana Pacers find themselves in the role of favorites as they open the Eastern Conference playoffs against the visiting Orlando Magic on Saturday. Third-seeded Indiana finished the season strong while sixth-seeded Orlando struggled down the stretch, particularly after losing star center Dwight Howard to season-ending back surgery. The Pacers are 12-3 in April and have multiple weapons to make up for a lack of star power. The Magic lost four of their final five regular-season outings.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE MAGIC (37-29): Not having Howard is a huge blow as the Pacers had trouble handling him. Howard averaged 23.8 points and 10.8 rebounds while shooting 68.5 percent from the field. Glen Davis is expected to start at center in Game 1 after injuring an ankle on Wednesday. Orlando will likely rely on its 3-point shooting (the Magic led the NBA in most 3s made) to help compensate for the loss of its interior edge. Forward Ryan Anderson made a league-high 166 3-pointers and guard J.J. Redick (41.8 percent) is also capable of hitting them in bunches. Forward Hedo Turkoglu is back from facial fractures and had a team-high 18 points in Thursday’s regular-season finale against Memphis.

ABOUT THE PACERS (42-24): Balance is the key for Indiana, which has five players averaging in double figures and eight players averaging 8.9 points or better. Forward Danny Granger averages a team-leading 18.7 points and he has raised his level of play significantly down the stretch by scoring at a 21.6 clip in April. Center Roy Hibbert could be in line for a big series with Howard sidelined. Hibbert averaged just 10.8 points and 6.8 rebounds against Howard in the regular season. Forward David West also struggled against Orlando, averaging just 7.0 points and shooting 36.8 percent. Darren Collison and George Hill give Indiana two solid point guard options with Hill playing better heading into the postseason.

TRENDS:
- Orlando has covered in five of its last six meetings with Indiana.
- Indiana is 7-15 in its last 16 games when playing on two days' rest.
- The over is 4-1 in Indiana's last five.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Orlando won three of the four regular-season meetings.

2. The Magic is making their sixth consecutive playoff appearance; Indiana is in for the second straight season after a five-year drought.

3. Pacers guard Leandro Barbosa (ankle) is a game-time decision.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24898 Followers:33
04/28/2012 12:45 PM

NBA
Dunkel

New York at Miami
The Heat look to take advantage of a New York team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a road underdog of 5 to 10 1/2 points. Miami is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

SATURDAY, APRIL 28

Game 501-502: Philadelphia at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 116.167; Chicago 123.102
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 175
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+9); Over

Game 503-504: New York at Miami (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 119.371; Miami 129.465
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 10; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Orlando at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 114.530; Indiana 121.325
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+9); Over

Game 507-508: Dallas at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 116.502; Oklahoma City 126.177
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-7 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24898 Followers:33
04/28/2012 12:47 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, April 28

EC Quarterfinals, Game One (Series Tied, 0-0)
Philadelphia at Chicago, 1:05 ET TNT
Philadelphia: 11-2 ATS Away after allowing 105+ pts
Chicago: 67-100 ATS at home off BB ATS wins

EC Quarterfinals, Game One (Series Tied, 0-0)
New York at Miami, 3:35 ET ABC
New York: 7-2 Under vs. Miami
Miami: 13-3 Under in April

EC Quarterfinals, Game One (Series Tied, 0-0)
Orlando at Indiana, 7:05 ET ESPN
Orlando: 23-9 Over off road game
Indiana: 12-3 Over w/ double revenge

WC Quarterfinals, Game One (Series Tied, 0-0)
Dallas at Oklahoma City, 9:35 ET ESPN
Dallas: 17-4 ATS in playoff games
Oklahoma City: 1-7 ATS at home vs. Dallas

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24898 Followers:33
04/28/2012 12:49 PM

NBA Playoff Series Preview: Mavericks vs. Thunder


NBA PLAYOFF SERIES PREVIEW

No. 7 DALLAS MAVERICKS (36-30)

vs. No. 2 OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (47-19)


Western Conference – First Round, Best-of-7 series
Game 1 Tip-off: Saturday, 9:30 p.m. ET
Series Line: Oklahoma City -550, Dallas +400

The defending champion Mavericks are not expected to remain in the playoffs for very long as they face a Thunder team that most experts think will represent the West in the NBA Finals.

Dallas beat Oklahoma City in five games in last year’s Western Conference Finals, but the Thunder could have prevailed in every one of those contests, losing by just 9, 6, 7 and 4 points. And the Mavs no longer have two key players from that series in C Tyson Chandler (10.6 RPG in 2011 West finals) and PG Jose Juan Barea (11.4 PPG in 2011 West finals). Last year’s experience was invaluable for OKC and now this young team is ready to dominate an erratic Mavs squad that ended the season losing four of its final six contests, allowing a whopping 106.3 PPG (47% FG, 41.4% threes) during this slump. This season’s series is 3-1 in favor of Oklahoma City, which is clearly the more consistent and deeper team in this matchup. The Thunder also have the league’s top scorer in SF Kevin Durant (28.0 PPG), and PG Russell Westbrook has matured greatly since his poor 2011 West Finals performance (36% FG, 20% threes, 4.8 TOPG). Westbrook has pumped in 23.6 PPG on 46% FG clip this season, including 22.8 PPG against Dallas. Thirty-nine-year-old Jason Kidd will have a hard time keeping Westbrook in check.

StatFox Prediction: OKLAHOMA CITY to win series in 5 games.

Are you ready to boost your bankroll for the NBA Playoffs? If so, check out NBA Playoffs Best Bets for all the Expert picks for every playoff game during the 2012 postseason.

The lack of home-court advantage will really hurt Dallas, which was a dreadful 13-20 on the road this year, scoring just 94.2 PPG (44% FG) away from home. The Mavs have also been a subpar rebounding team at -1.1 RPG, which will really hurt against a Thunder team that ranks fifth in the NBA with +2.8 RPG margin.

PF Dirk Nowitzki (21.6 PPG, 6.8 RPG) has always thrived against the Thunder. He torched them for 32.2 PPG in last year’s playoff series and has averaged 28.7 PPG against them in the past four regular seasons. Nowitzki is also hot right now, finishing the season with 26.0 PPG on 51% FG in his final five contests. Kidd (6.2 PPG, 5.5 APG) has gotten plenty of rest, sitting out past final two games, and has done a fantastic job running the point in his past five contests with 37 assists and just seven turnovers. He just hasn’t done much against the Thunder this year, scoring 3.0 PPG with 5.7 APG in the three meetings. SG Jason Terry (15.1 PPG) is the key to Dallas hanging around in this series. The streaky shooter is currently in a cold spell though, making just 7-of-21 FG (2-of-12 threes) in his past two games. He has shot very well against OKC though, pouring in 18.5 PPG on 11-of-23 three-pointers in the four meetings.

The Thunder finished third in the league in both scoring (103.1 PPG) and shooting (47.1% FG), while also placing fourth in the NBA in FG Pct. defense (42.7%). Much of this had to do with a league-high 8.2 blocks per game, 3.7 of them coming from PF Serge Ibaka.

Durant (28.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG) was able to pump in 28.0 PPG in last year’s West finals versus Dallas, but made just 42.9% FG and 23.3% threes. He’s averaged 25.5 PPG against the Mavs this season, but made just 44.6% of his shots. However, Durant enters this series on quite a roll, scoring at least 24 points in eight straight games, averaging 31.6 PPG on 47% FG and 44.2% threes during this stretch. Westbrook (23.6 PPG, 5.5 APG) was in a bit of a funk for a five-game stretch (13.8 PPG on 30.5% FG and 1-of-12 threes), but finished his season with 30 points and nine assists in a loss to Denver. The only question mark for the Thunder is the health of SF James Harden (16.8 PPG, 3.7 APG) after he suffered a concussion from the errant Metta World Peace elbow to his head last Sunday. He’s expected to be in uniform when the series begins Saturday night, and looks to shoot better than the 39% FG clip he had against Dallas this season. Harden did have a strong West Finals in 2011 though, dropping 14.0 PPG (54% FG) and 6.0 RPG on the Mavs during the series.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24898 Followers:33
04/28/2012 12:51 PM

NBA Playoff Series Preview: Magic vs. Pacers

NBA PLAYOFF SERIES PREVIEW

No. 6 ORLANDO MAGIC (37-29)

vs. No. 3 INDIANA PACERS (42-24)


Eastern Conference – First Round, Best-of-7 series
Game 1 Tip-off: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Series Line: Indiana -800, Orlando +550

One year after giving the Bulls a Round 1 scare as a No. 8 seed, the Pacers will be heavily favored going against the Dwight Howard-less Magic.

Even after finishing three games in front of Boston for the No. 3 seed, the Pacers are still considered by many to be outside of the East’s Big Three. But this is a team that won 10 of their last 12 meaningful games and had a chance to get healthy down the stretch. Meanwhile, the Magic press on without Dwight Howard. They’ve gone 4-5 since their disgruntled franchise center last played, and it’s tough to see them stealing even one game on the road.

StatFox Prediction: INDIANA to win series in 6 games.

Are you ready to boost your bankroll for the NBA Playoffs? If so, check out NBA Playoffs Best Bets for all the Expert picks for every playoff game during the 2012 postseason.

The Magic beat Indiana three of four, but had Howard for each of those games. Howard largely erased Pacers C Roy Hibbert in their four matchups, as Hibbert averaged just 10.8 PPG on 41.9% FG and posted an average plus/minus of -11.5 in those games. The absence of Howard adds a whole different dimension to Indiana’s offense. The 7-foot-2 Hibbert will be going head-to-head with the likes of 6-foot-9 Glen Davis and D-League veteran Daniel Orton.

If the Magic need to collapse on Hibbert, they could be in trouble. SF Danny Granger averaged 21.6 PPG and hit 47.3% of his threes in April, SG Paul George went 10-for-20 from three over his past six games, PG George Hill gives them a pure shooter at the point, and PF David West averaged 15.2 PPG on 54.6% FG in April.

The Magic are always dangerous though because of the way they shoot the three. They made 100 more threes than anyone in the NBA, and shot the third-highest three-point percentage in the league (37.5%). The question is whether PF Ryan Anderson can make long-range shots without Howard drawing defenders away from him. Anderson is shooting 27.1% from three since Howard went down. It’s a very bad sign against a Pacers team that defends the perimeter well (35.1% 3-pt FG Pct. defense).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24898 Followers:33
04/28/2012 12:53 PM

NBA Playoff Series Preview: Knicks vs. Heat

NBA PLAYOFF SERIES PREVIEW

No. 7 NEW YORK KNICKS (36-30)

vs. No. 2 MIAMI HEAT (46-20)


Eastern Conference – First Round, Best-of-7 series
Game 1 Tip-off: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
Series Line: Miami -1000, New York +650

There will be no shortage of star power when the Knicks and Heat tip off their first-round series Saturday afternoon in Miami.

But this matchup is a worst-case scenario for the Knicks. While they’re defending much better under Mike Woodson, they don’t have the personnel to handle all the components of the Big Three. And while they have enough firepower to try and outscore Miami (if they’re lucky), SF Carmelo Anthony and PF Amar’e Stoudemire don’t play enough defense to carry them past a Miami team that’s built for playoff basketball. The Heat have enough shot-makers to limit New York C Tyson Chandler’s impact around the basket on defense. SG Dwyane Wade’s broken finger is expected to be close to, if not at, 100 percent when the series tips off and SF LeBron James and PF Chris Bosh got their much-needed rest.

StatFox Prediction: MIAMI to win series in 4 games.

Are you ready to boost your bankroll for the NBA Playoffs? If so, check out NBA Playoffs Best Bets for all the Expert picks for every playoff game during the 2012 postseason.

The Knicks went 11-1 at home under Woodson, but that one home loss was to Miami two weeks ago. Anthony carried them offensively that day, scoring 42 of their 85 points, but the Knicks couldn’t contain both James (29 points) and Wade (28). The Heat won all three of the matchups with New York this season, including two by double-digits in Miami.

The Knicks brought in Chandler to solidify their defense for the postseason, and he’s been a big help. But the Heat are one of the league’s best mid-range shooting teams, not to mention they’re the one team that can get out in transition during playoff basketball. Despite the presence of Chandler, James went for 26.7 PPG and Wade 26.0 PPG in three meetings with the Knicks this season.

In Anthony, New York does have a player capable of creating his own offense in the half-court. But he doesn’t have the supporting cast to compete with Miami. Stoudemire is still rounding into form after suffering from late-season back problems for a second straight year. The Knicks will be too easy to guard for an elite defense like Miami’s, as they lack any sort of consistent third option, and their only true shooter, Steve Novak, is too much of a defensive liability to play extended minutes.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24898 Followers:33
04/28/2012 12:54 PM

NBA Playoff Series Preview: 76ers vs. Bulls


NBA PLAYOFF SERIES PREVIEW

No. 8 PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (35-31)

vs. No. 1 CHICAGO BULLS (50-16)


Eastern Conference – First Round, Best-of-7 series
Game 1 Tip-off: Saturday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Series Line: Chicago -1400, Philadelphia +900

The Bulls probably would have rather not seen the 76ers in Round 1, but that’s the hand they were dealt when they start their title quest on Saturday afternoon.

Philly plays a similar slow-it-down, defense-first style that should keep every game interesting. In three matchups this year, neither team hit 100 points. But the Sixers also lack a creator, a closer and the three-point shooting to pull off an upset, which will do them in for a second straight season. Chicago got to rest Derrick Rose for Thursday’s season finale and should have him close to 100% for a matchup with a team he picked apart twice this season.

StatFox Prediction: CHICAGO to win series in 5 games.

Are you ready to boost your bankroll for the NBA Playoffs? If so, check out NBA Playoffs Best Bets for all the Expert picks for every playoff game during the 2012 postseason.

The three-point shot is a weapon that can lead to the upset, but it’s not a weapon the Sixers have. They were 24th in the NBA in three-pointers made, and none of their top shooters (Lou Williams, Andre Iguodala and Jodie Meeks) shoot it well enough to make contested, high-pressure threes with any consistency. In fact, they’ll struggle to generate any offense against Chicago’s elite team defense. A year ago, the Sixers averaged just 86.6 PPG on 41.4% FG in their five-game first-round series loss to Miami.

The Bulls adjusted to life without Rose late in the season, but he played in two of their final three games. He also averaged 26.5 PPG on 50.0% FG and 7.0 APG in two games against the Sixers this year. Chicago was upset in Philly back on Feb. 1, but the Bulls were without their best perimeter defender, Luol Deng, in that game. It’s a big reason why Iguodala went for 19 points on 8-for-13 FG that night. With Deng in the lineup, the Sixers averaged just 85.5 PPG and 40.3% FG in their next two games against Chicago, both Bulls wins. Igoudala went for 10.5 PPG on 36.0% FG in those losses. And the last time the teams met, the Bulls beat them without Rose, 89-80 in Chicago.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24898 Followers:33
04/28/2012 12:55 PM

NBA Playoff Series Preview: Jazz vs. Spurs


NBA PLAYOFF SERIES PREVIEW

No. 8 UTAH JAZZ (36-30)

vs. No. 1 SAN ANTONIO SPURS (50-16)


Western Conference – First Round, Best-of-7 series
Game 1 Tip-off: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Series Line: San Antonio -2000, Utah +1400

The Spurs will try to avoid losing for the second straight season as the top-seeded team in the West when they take on the eighth-seeded Jazz in the first round of the NBA Playoffs.

Bettors are certainly justified in thinking lightning can strike twice. After all, it was the physical play from Memphis’ frontcourt tandem of Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol who combined for 35.7 PPG and 21.5 RPG in the six-game series win over San Antonio last year, and Utah’s strength also lies on the interior. The duo of C Al Jefferson (31 double-doubles) and PF Paul Millsap (21 double-doubles) have dominated the paint all season for the Jazz, who enter the series with SU wins in seven of their past nine games, including five in a row. But no team is playing better than the Spurs who ended the season with 10 straight wins and are 21-2 SU (17-3-3 ATS) since losing on St. Patrick’s Day. Gregg Popovich has done a masterful job of resting his star players and the result is a team that is as healthy and fresh as it has ever been going into the playoffs. In the past two seasons, San Antonio has won six of the seven meetings with Utah. The only loss in this stretch came April 9 when the Spurs rested Tony Parker, Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili and still led by two points with 3:30 to go before Utah ended the game on a 13-4 run. This line is very favorable for the team with the league’s best record, and the hungry Spurs are out to prove they are for real this time.

StatFox Prediction: SAN ANTONIO to win series in 5 games.

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Utah’s offense has been sizzling during the season-ending five-game win streak, averaging 109.6 PPG on 46% FG (42.4% threes) during the surge. The Jazz rank fourth in the league in scoring at 99.7 PPG, but their three-point shooting has been atrocious this season, as only three NBA teams have shot below their 32.3% clip. Utah knows how to attack the glass though, placing third in the league in rebounding margin (+3.0 RPG).

The big-man duo of C Al Jefferson (19.2 PPG, 9.6 RPG) and PF Paul Millsap (16.6 PPG, 8.8 RPG) continue to lead this club. Jefferson has had his way inside against the Spurs this season with 18.0 PPG and 10.5 RPG and 2.5 BPG in the four meetings. But Millsap has struggled in the season series, averaging just 11.0 PPG (39.5% FG) and 7.8 RPG. PG Devin Harris (13.5 PPG, 5.0 APG) is also playing his best basketball of the season, averaging 21.0 PPG (17-of-38 threes) and 5.4 APG in his past five full games, which doesn’t include his 12 minutes of action in the season finale. He’s also scored 16.5 PPG (8-of-19 threes) with 4.8 APG against San Antonio this season. But he and SG Gordon Hayward (11.8 PPG, 3.1 APG) will need to make some big threes to keep this series close. Harris shoots a mediocre 36.2% from behind the arc for the season, while Hayward makes just 34.6% from downtown.

The Spurs don’t have any glaring weaknesses. On offense, they led the NBA with a 47.8% FG clip, 39.3% three-pointers and finished second in scoring at 103.7 PPG. Defensively, they held opponents to 43.9% FG (28.9% threes) during the season-ending 10-game win streak.

San Antonio’s three stars have all put together excellent seasons despite limited minutes. PF Tim Duncan (15.4 PPG, 9.0 RPG in 28.2 MPG) finished strong with 19.7 PPG (65% FG) and 8.2 RPG in just 26.2 MPG over his final six games. He also averaged a double-double against Utah this year with 15.0 PPG and 10.7 RPG in three games. PG Tony Parker (18.3 PPG, 7.7 APG) also ended the season with a bang, averaging 16.6 PPG on a blistering 57.4% FG in his final five contests with 46 assists and just 13 turnovers (3.54 A-to-TO ratio). Parker has stepped up his game against Utah’s mediocre backcourt, pumping in 21.7 PPG (46.3% FG, 27-of-28 FT) and 7.3 APG. SG Manu Ginobili (12.9 PPG, 52.6% FG, 41.3% threes) scored 14.3 PPG (61% FG) in just 20.3 MPG in his final six games of the season, and lit up the Jazz for 23.0 PPG (13-of-20 FG, 6-of-12 threes) in two meetings against them this year.

In addition to the three stars, the Spurs have gotten great production from their role players. PF DeJuan Blair (9.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG) and C Tiago Splitter (9.3 PPG, 5.2 RPG) have provided muscle inside, while PG Patrick Mills (10.3 PPG), PG Gary Neal (9.9 PPG), SG Danny Green (9.1 PPG) and PF Matt Bonner (6.6 PPG) are each shooting at least 42% from three-point land.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24898 Followers:33
04/28/2012 12:57 PM

NBA Playoff Series Preview: Nuggets vs. Lakers


NBA PLAYOFF SERIES PREVIEW

No. 6 DENVER NUGGETS (38-28)

vs. No. 3 LOS ANGELES LAKERS (41-25)


Western Conference – First Round, Best-of-7 series
Game 1 Tip-off: Sunday, 3:30 p.m. ET
Series Line: Los Angeles -250, Denver +200

After a roller coaster season, the Lakers have a tough first round playoff draw with the high-scoring Nuggets coming to town to start the series on Sunday afternoon.

This winner of this matchup will be the team that controls the pace of play. Denver leads the NBA in points (104.1 PPG) and assists (24.0 APG) and would love to make this a track meet. The Lakers want to be much more deliberate on offense and let their twin towers of Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol dominate inside. L.A. has the advantage with one of the game’s premier closers in Kobe Bryant, while Denver is a team that doesn’t have one go-to player. But this committee approach has worked in the team’s favor since shipping high-priced Carmelo Anthony out of town last year. The Nuggets closed out the regular season winning eight of their final 10 games including each of the past four by an average margin of 18.0 PPG. But the one factor that can’t be measured is the difference in coaching. George Karl has pulled off many upsets in his day, and Mike Brown has never been known as an overachiever in the postseason. The 2-to-1 odds are just too good to pass up for Karl’s Nuggets.

StatFox Prediction: DENVER to win series in 6 games.

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Denver has six players that average more than 10 points per game, led by PG Ty Lawson (16.4 PPG, 6.6 APG). He has run the point masterfully during his team’s four-game win streak, handing out 28 assists to just three turnovers. He’s also made at least half of his shots in each of his past six games, averaging 21.8 PPG on 60% FG, including 14-of-20 threes. SG Arron Afflalo (15.2 PPG) also finished the season on a tear, scoring at least a dozen points in his final 21 games, averaging 18.8 PPG on 52% FG (44% threes) during this stretch. He’ll be tasked with stopping Bryant on the defensive end, which will be a much more important role than scoring. Considering how bad Bryant has shot versus Denver this season (27.5% FG, 2-of-17 threes), Afflalo has obviously bothered Bryant with his defense.

SF Danilo Gallinari (14.6 PPG), PF Al Harrington (14.2 PPG), C JaVale McGee (11.3 PPG) and PF Kenneth Faried (10.2 PPG) are all capable of scoring 20 per night, but the question is whether or not Harrington, McGee and Faried can contain Bynum and Gasol in the paint. Harrington and PG Andre Miller (9.7 PPG, 6.7 APG) were the two big scorers against L.A. this year. Harrington led the team with 18.8 PPG on 48% FG, and PG Andre Miller averaged 15.3 PPG (55% FG) and 5.8 APG against the Lakers.

Other than the historically awful Bobcats, the Lakers had the worst ATS record in the league this season at 27-38-1 ATS (41.5%). But the Nuggets finished with the fifth-best ATS mark at 36-30 (54.5%). L.A. won three of the four head-to-head meetings this season, but these teams have split their past 16 meetings (8-8 SU, 8-7-1 ATS favoring Denver) which includes their matchup in the 2009 playoffs. Despite the struggles of Bryant (27.9 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 4.6 APG) against the Nuggets this year, he enters the playoffs on a high note, averaging 27.8 PPG on 52% FG and 12-of-22 threes in his past six contests.

Bynum (18.7 PPG, 11.8 RPG) has been an absolute force in four games versus Denver this season with 24.8 PPG, 11.8 RPG and 2.3 BPG. Gasol (17.4 PPG, 10.4 RPG) has also averaged a double-double against Denver with 16.0 PPG and 10.8 RPG. PG Ramon Sessions (11.3 PPG, 5.5 APG) will try his best to stay in front of the lightning-quick Lawson to help make up for an offensive slump. In the past five games, Sessions has just 9.2 PPG on 41.7% FG with a mere 17 assists and 12 turnovers. Unless this series lasts seven games, SF Metta World Peace (7.7 PPG) will not play after his elbow to the head of Thunder SF James Harden last Sunday. World Peace earned a seven-game suspension for his actions, which includes being banned for the first six postseason games. In addition to his great defense all season, he has averaged 12.8 PPG in his past four contests.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24898 Followers:33
04/28/2012 12:58 PM

NBA Playoff Series Preview: Clippers vs. Grizzlies


NBA PLAYOFF SERIES PREVIEW

No. 5 LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (40-26)

vs. No. 4 MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (41-25)


Western Conference – First Round, Best-of-7 series
Game 1 Tip-off: Sunday, 9:30 p.m. ET
Series Line: Memphis -200, Los Angeles +170

In what should be the most evenly-contested series in the first round of the playoffs, the Clippers and Grizzlies get underway Sunday night in Memphis.

The home team won all three meetings this season, but the Clippers have taken four of the past games in this series. The Grizzlies make their living off pressuring the basketball, leading the league with 16.3 turnovers forced per game. However, the Clippers have the second-fewest turnovers per game (12.3) thanks to Chris Paul who is clearly the best player for either one of these clubs. He finished the season with 24.5 PPG and 10.3 APG in his final six games with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 4.8 (62 assists, 13 turnovers). Despite sitting out the season finale with a slight groin strain, he will be 100 percent ready to go on Sunday. His buddy Blake Griffin isn’t too shabby either, scoring 19.7 PPG on 62.2% FG in the season series versus Memphis. The Clippers have shown the ability to beat great teams on the road this month, taking down the Thunder, Mavericks and Nuggets on their home floors. Memphis scores just 91.2 PPG on 43.5% FG on the road this season, finishing 15-18 away from home. The odds aren’t indicative of how close this series will be, and Paul will shine brightest in leading this franchise to a long-awaited playoff series victory.

StatFox Prediction: LOS ANGELES to win series in 6 games.

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The Clippers are obviously paced by the dynamic duo of Paul (19.8 PPG, 9.1 APG, 2.53 SPG) and Griffin (20.7 PPG, 10.9 RPG), but the rest of the team’s role players have been solid all season. PG Mo Williams (13.2 PPG) played only once against Memphis this year, but scored 18 points on 8-of-15 FG in that meeting. SF Caron Butler (12.0 PPG) scored 11.3 PPG on 48.3% FG against Memphis this season and finally seems to be over his hip injury. SG Randy Foye (11.0 PPG) has been erratic, evidenced by his past three games of 24 points, 0 points and 28 points. But Foye gives the Clips a great weapon from downtown, as he has connected on 39% of his threes this year. C DeAndre Jordan (7.4 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 2.1 BPG) is always a key factor on the defensive end and knows his role is to rebound and block shots.

PF Zach Randolph (11.6 PPG, 8.0 RPG) led the Grizzlies in last year’s playoffs with 22.2 PPG and 10.8 RPG, but he’s still not fully recovered from the knee injury that cost him the majority of the season. His minutes have been limited all year and he has not reached 20 points in a game since March 16, a span of 24 contests. SF Rudy Gay (19.0 PPG, 6.4 RPG) is the team’s leading scorer who missed the last postseason due to injury. Gay averaged 19.8 PPG (51% FG) during his team’s season-ending, six-game win streak. C Marc Gasol (14.6 PPG, 8.9 RPG) is a 53% shooter in his career, but shot a pitiful 38.9% from the floor in three games versus the Clippers this year. His offense has also gone south during the current six-game win surge, as he has just 11.5 PPG and 4.0 RPG. However, Gasol did score 22 in the season-ending win versus Orlando. PG Mike Conley (12.7 PPG, 6.5 APG, 2.19 SPG) has been slumping even worse than Gasol though, scoring just 5.7 PPG on 6-of-23 FG with 3.0 APG in his past three games. He will be tasked with containing Paul on defense, which certainly won’t help his energy on the offensive end of the court.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: