The Dunkel Index - A pile of crap, or great fade material?
12 Replies | 1624 ViewsOn 04/21/2012 03:05 PM in General
Recently I was thinking to do some research on it, but in forums there is not much info about the actual Dunkel records, only that there are around 51% in all sports.
Some posters said it's worthless to follow exactly, but it's a very good tool in handicapping.
This morning I went to work, and I compiled all the results in the MLB season thus far and compared them with the Dunkel picks (need to say, I double checked everything, so there are no errors, or if there are, they should be minimal).
Here is what I found:
Money line picks:
104 Won, 101 Lost, this is 50.73% hit ratio - of course bad, one could not broke even if followed every ML pick
but the shocker came at
85 Won, 109 Lost, this is 43.81% hit ratio - horrible
I'm thinking that Totals can be great fade material, and ML pick should be ignored!
What do you think, results are so bad just because we are early in the MLB season, and at the basis of these picks are the pre-season games?
Anyone has done any research on Dunkel, there are differences in records between sports?
I know originally Dunkel was developed for basketball, this would mean that in hoops there records are a bit better?
Of course on the site they never talk about records, but there is a phrase at the beginning:
"Created in 1929 by Dick Dunkel, Sr., as the original power rating system, the Dunkel Index has consistently produced top-quality ratings and picks for sports fans everywhere"
I consider this to be big BS....
Top quality rankings maybe but top quality picks?
And another question:
I really wonder how some can say Dunkel is very helpful in handicapping?.