cnotes Posts:25142 Followers:33
On 04/20/2012 02:54 PM in MLB

Cnotes Friday's MLB - NBA Best Bets !

MLB yesterday goes 12 - 4 - 1 in best bets, NBA goes 7 - 0 and swept the board for a perfect night in the hoops.
I'll post the MLB picks now......NBA later. Good Luck !

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

04/19/12 17-­6-­1 73.91% +­5910 Detail
04/18/12 16-­14-­0 53.33% +­1125 Detail
04/17/12 16-­13-­1 55.17% +­445 Detail
04/16/12 11-­8-­1 57.89% +­1135 Detail
04/15/12 15-­15-­0 50.00% -­605 Detail
04/14/12 17-­11-­2 60.71% +­3405 Detail

04/13/12 13-­17-­0 43.33% -­2560 Detail
04/12/12 9-­8-­1 52.94% +­20 Detail
04/11/12 16-­14-­0 53.33% +­1145 Detail
04/10/12 13-­7-­1 65.00% +­2885 Detail
04/09/12 13-­10-­0 56.52% +­1880 Detail
04/08/12 13-­14-­0 48.15% -­640 Detail
04/07/12 15-­14-­0 51.72% -­440 Detail
04/06/12 3-­6-­1 33.33% -­1775 Detail

Totals 187-­157-­8 54.36% +11930

Friday, April 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati 1 Top 1 Chi. Cubs +115 500
Chi. Cubs 0

NY Yankees - 3:05 PM ET NY Yankees +104 500
Boston - Under 10 500

Miami - 7:05 PM ET Washington -115 500
Washington - Under 7.5 500

Texas - 7:05 PM ET Detroit -101 500
Detroit - Over 9 500

St. Louis - 7:05 PM ET St. Louis -124 500
Pittsburgh - Under 8 500

Minnesota - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -176 500
Tampa Bay - Over 8 500

San Francisco - 7:10 PM ET San Francisco +123 500
NY Mets - Under 7.5 500

LA Dodgers - 8:05 PM ET Houston +119 500
Houston - Over 7.5 500

Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Toronto +102 500
Kansas City - Under 9 500

Colorado - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee -127 500
Milwaukee - Over 8.5 500

Atlanta - 9:40 PM ET Arizona +106 500
Arizona - Under 9 500

Baltimore - 10:05 PM ET Baltimore +129 500
LA Angels - Over 9 500

Philadelphia - 10:05 PM ET Philadelphia -126 500
San Diego - Over 6 500

Cleveland - 10:05 PM ET Cleveland -116 500
Oakland - Under 7.5 500

Chi. White Sox - 10:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -123 500
Seattle - Under 7

-----------------------------------------------------------
NBA last 2 days:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

04/19/12 8-­2-­0 80.00% +­2900 Detail

04/18/12 17-­11-­0 60.71% +­2450 Detail



Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25142 Followers:33
04/20/2012 04:46 PM

Red Sox Host Yankees Amid Fenway Celebration

The Boston Red Sox hosting the New York Yankees is always an event in itself, but even more so this Friday afternoon with Fenway Park’s 100th Anniversary celebration.

We’ll feature that 3:05 p.m. (ET) game in a little bit, but first look at Wednesday night history. Philadelphia’s Cliff Lee threw 10 shutout innings at San Francisco, but his team still lost 1-0 in 11. The total of the game was 5½ and the Phils’ quiet bats without Ryan Howard (Achilles) and Chase Utley (knee) have helped cause a 5-7 start, last in the NL East.

Philadelphia will be back in action Thursday night at San Diego. Vance Worley and the visitors are 120 favorites with a total of 6½. Rookie Joe Wieland pitches for the Padres, allowing six runs in five innings at the Dodgers in his first career start. Don Best Sports analyst Kenny White looks for an outstanding effort from Worley in this one.

Friday night has an intriguing one with Milwaukee (-120) hosting Colorado. The total is 8½ and shaded to the ‘over.’ This is a good pitching matchup of righties with the Brew Crew’s Shaun Marcum (1-1, 3.46 ERA) against Jhoulys Chacin (0-1, 5.63 ERA). Milwaukee (6-7) just took two of three at home against a hot Dodgers outfit, while Colorado (6-6) just finished a 9-game homestand at 5-4.

Switching back to Boston and Fenway Park, historians (and super-huge baseball fans) can tell you that the first game played there was the Red Sox beating the NY Highlanders 7-6 in 11 innings. Thomas J. 'Buck' O'Brien was the winning pitcher.

The Red Sox could use O’Brien, a 20-game winner for the 1912 team, in the rotation with a 6.20 team ERA that is worst in the majors. They have lost 3-straight and are currently in the AL East basement at 4-8. Most talk has been about fiery new manager Bobby Valentine already butting heads with players like Kevin Youkilis. Former manager Terry Francona also made headlines by refusing to attend this celebration before finally relenting.

Clay Buchholz (1-0, 9.82 ERA) will start this game and Boston is projected to be small -115 favorites by Don Best. The total is 9½-and shaded to the ‘over.’ Texas scored 24 runs in beating the Sox the last two nights and White sees Boston as a ‘play against team’ for now.

New York is 6-6 pending a Thursday night home finale with Minnesota, and sends Ivan Nova (2-0, 4.15 ERA) to the mound on Friday. The ground ball pitcher was an eye-popping 16-4 last year (3.70 ERA), but is 0-2 with a 6.62 ERA versus Boston the last three years.

Nova’s one appearance at Fenway last year was four earned runs over 4 1/3 innings in April.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25142 Followers:33
04/20/2012 04:46 PM

Red Sox Host Yankees Amid Fenway Celebration

The Boston Red Sox hosting the New York Yankees is always an event in itself, but even more so this Friday afternoon with Fenway Park’s 100th Anniversary celebration.

We’ll feature that 3:05 p.m. (ET) game in a little bit, but first look at Wednesday night history. Philadelphia’s Cliff Lee threw 10 shutout innings at San Francisco, but his team still lost 1-0 in 11. The total of the game was 5½ and the Phils’ quiet bats without Ryan Howard (Achilles) and Chase Utley (knee) have helped cause a 5-7 start, last in the NL East.

Philadelphia will be back in action Thursday night at San Diego. Vance Worley and the visitors are 120 favorites with a total of 6½. Rookie Joe Wieland pitches for the Padres, allowing six runs in five innings at the Dodgers in his first career start. Don Best Sports analyst Kenny White looks for an outstanding effort from Worley in this one.

Friday night has an intriguing one with Milwaukee (-120) hosting Colorado. The total is 8½ and shaded to the ‘over.’ This is a good pitching matchup of righties with the Brew Crew’s Shaun Marcum (1-1, 3.46 ERA) against Jhoulys Chacin (0-1, 5.63 ERA). Milwaukee (6-7) just took two of three at home against a hot Dodgers outfit, while Colorado (6-6) just finished a 9-game homestand at 5-4.

Switching back to Boston and Fenway Park, historians (and super-huge baseball fans) can tell you that the first game played there was the Red Sox beating the NY Highlanders 7-6 in 11 innings. Thomas J. 'Buck' O'Brien was the winning pitcher.

The Red Sox could use O’Brien, a 20-game winner for the 1912 team, in the rotation with a 6.20 team ERA that is worst in the majors. They have lost 3-straight and are currently in the AL East basement at 4-8. Most talk has been about fiery new manager Bobby Valentine already butting heads with players like Kevin Youkilis. Former manager Terry Francona also made headlines by refusing to attend this celebration before finally relenting.

Clay Buchholz (1-0, 9.82 ERA) will start this game and Boston is projected to be small -115 favorites by Don Best. The total is 9½-and shaded to the ‘over.’ Texas scored 24 runs in beating the Sox the last two nights and White sees Boston as a ‘play against team’ for now.

New York is 6-6 pending a Thursday night home finale with Minnesota, and sends Ivan Nova (2-0, 4.15 ERA) to the mound on Friday. The ground ball pitcher was an eye-popping 16-4 last year (3.70 ERA), but is 0-2 with a 6.62 ERA versus Boston the last three years.

Nova’s one appearance at Fenway last year was four earned runs over 4 1/3 innings in April.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25142 Followers:33
04/20/2012 04:51 PM

Friday's Tip Sheet

April 20, 2012


**Marlins at Nationals**

--Most betting shops are listing Washington (10-4, +525) as a minus-115 favorite for the series opener between these National League East rivals. Gamblers can take the Nationals on the run line (minus 1 ½ runs) for a plus-175 payout (risk $100 to win $175).

--Davey Johnson’s club dropped an 11-4 decision to Houston last night as a minus-155 home favorite. The Nationals fell into a 5-0 hole in the first inning, only to cut the deficit to 5-4 thanks to a Ryan Zimmerman three-run homer the bottom of the third. But the Astros put up another five-spot in the fifth and cruised to victory. Washington RHP Edwin Jackson took his first loss of the season.

--Washington has still won eight of its last 10 games despite Thursday night’s loss. The Nats maintain a 1 ½-game lead over Atlanta in the NL East. They are 6-2 at home.

--Miami (7-6, +45) completed a three-game sweep of the Cubs with Thursday afternoon’s 5-3 win as a minus-150 home ‘chalk.’ Ricky Nolasco improved to 2-0 and veteran closer Heath Bell picked up his second save. Greg Dobbs had a two-run double and the Marlins, who have won five of their last six, also got a 2-for-4 effort from Hanley Ramirez that upped his batting average to .300.

--Ozzie Guillen’s squad will give Carlos Zambrano (0-0, 3.75 ERA) his third start after the right-hander pitched well in a pair of no-decisions. In his first two outings, Miami lost by one run both times, at Cincinnati (6-5) and vs. Houston (5-4). The ‘over’ has hit in both of Zambrano’s assignments.

--Washington will give the starting nod to LHP Ross Detwiler (1-0, 0.90), who won his first start against the Mets on the road and took a no-decision in a home loss to the Reds.

--The Marlins went 7-2 at Nationals Park last season and own a 26-9 ledger since the stadium opened in 2008.

--Miami’s Omar Infante has missed back-to-back games with a strained groin but is expected to return to the lineup at some point this weekend. Infante is hitting .333 with four homers and six RBIs.

--The ‘over’ is 10-3 overall for Miami, 4-2 in its road games.

--The ‘under’ is 9-5 overall for the Nats, 5-3 in their home outings.

--The first pitch from Detwiler is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. Eastern.

**Orioles at Angels**

--Most spots are listing Los Angeles (4-8, -774) as a minus-140 favorite with a total of nine flat (minus-110 either way). Bettors can back the Angels on the run line for a plus-145 payout (risk $100 to win $145).

-Baltimore (8-5 +483) took three of four against the White Sox in the Windy City, capturing a 5-3 win in Thursday afternoon’s series finale. Jason Hammel (2-0, 2.37) struck out 10 in six innings of work, while Adam Jones hit his fifth homer of the season and also had an RBI double. Jim Johnson worked a scoreless ninth to collect his sixth save.

--Baltimore LHP Brian Matusz (0-2, 8.38) will try to solve his problems when the fourth overall selection of the 2008 MLB Draft takes the hill. Matusz went 1-6 with a 10.28 ERA last year.

--The Angels will turn to RHP Jerome Williams (0-1, 16.88), who got rocked by the Yankees in the Bronx in his first start. Williams couldn’t get out of third inning in an 11-5 loss.

--Baltimore is 5-2 on the road, while the Angels took a 2-4 home mark into Thursday’s game vs. Oakland.

--The Orioles are in first place in the AL East with a one-game lead over both the Yankees and the Rays.

--Dating back to August of last season, Baltimore’s Johnson has converted 14 consecutive save opportunities.

--The ‘over’ is 7-5-1 overall for the O’s, 5-1-1 in their road assignments.

--Totals have been an overall wash for the Angels, going 6-6 overall and 3-3 in their home games.

--This game will come off the board at 10:05 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Texas remained perfect on the road with Thursday’s 10-3 series-opening win at Detroit as a minus-120 favorite. The Rangers (11-2) have won each of their six road tilts to date. They lead the AL West by four games over second-place Seattle (pending the M’s late-Thursday result).

-- The most storied rivalry in MLB history will be renewed Friday afternoon at 3:05 p.m. Eastern when the Red Sox host the Yankees in a pick ‘em affair. The total is 10 ‘over’ (minus-115).

--The Dodgers improved to 10-3 with Thursday’s 4-3 win at Milwaukee as a plus-105 underdog. Don Mattingly’s club will try to stay hot in Friday’s series opener at Houston with Ted Lilly taking the mound.

--Dodgers slugger Matt Kemp popped his seventh homer of the season and went 2-for-5 yesterday at Miller Park. Kemp is second in the NL with a .452 batting average, trailing only the Mets’ David Wright (.500).

--Best money pitcher in baseball to date? That would be Houston’s Bud Norris (+405).

--Worst? The Angels’ Dan Haren (-500).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25142 Followers:33
04/20/2012 04:52 PM

Yankees-Red Sox preview

April 19, 2012

When Fenway Park first opened in 1912, some of the pageantry of its debut game was taken away because of the tragic sinking of the Titanic a few days earlier. A ball game was secondary to a city that had friends and family on the ship. Fast-forward 100 years later and the city of Boston is, again, watching a sinking ship right in front of their eyes and the Captain is Bobby Valentine.
Too soon for sinking ship references?

My dearest apologies if I offended anyone!

Fenway Park opened Apr. 20, 1912 with the visiting New York Highlanders, a team that would soon become the New York Yankees. It’s appropriate that Major League Baseball would schedule this classic rivalry that has been intertwined throughout the games rich history for Fenway’s Centennial weekend.

Usually, it’s the Yankees who are public enemy number one, but after two weeks, new Sox manager Bobby Valentine is finding just how ‘smaawt’ Boston fans are. They realize that a new manager shouldn’t take over a team full of veterans that have two rings and try and change their habits, call them out in public and worst of all, lose in the process. Those tactics may work on a team with young players looking for guidance, or even in Japan as second baseman Dustin Pedroia suggested when he fought back through the media, but not a team full of millionaires that has done just about everything there is to do in baseball.

Maybe worst of all for the fans in a city where beer is an intricate part of their daily lives after a hard days work, Valentine took the Red Sox beer out of the clubhouse. That will get you booed at Fenway almost as loud as Alex Rodriguez coming to bat. And at the same time, it'll also give former manager Terry Francona a roaring welcome back cheer when he’s announced during the pre-game festivities.

It’s a rare occurrence when the Red Sox (4-8) and Yankees (6-6) meet when neither team is in first place, but that’s what's about to happen when the two teams square off this Friday.

These matchups are always compelling, gripping baseball played with more intensity than any other rivalry in baseball. However, it feels as though things have changed over the last few seasons where the games don’t feel as epic as they used to be. The Yankees will always be hated in Boston, and the Red Sox will never find any love in New York, but some of the luster does appear to be gone. Part of the reason is winning which can lead to complacency from both the players and fans and might also explain Boston‘s collapse in September last year..

The Red Sox don’t seem to have that hunger and misery that haunted generations for 86 years before finally winning a World Series in 2004. Finally beating down the Yankees, who they were down 0-3 to in the ALCS, was the ultimate achievement for all of Boston. When Boston won the World Series again in 2007, it was almost as if the hunger had completely been satisfied.

In the process, Yankee fans were no longer taunting Boston with their 26 championship rings. They were equals now and had gained the respect of New York. And when the Yankees won their 27th championship, it stung, but not like the previous 26.

With catcher Jason Varitek and pitcher Tim Wakefield retiring before this season, only David Ortiz remains from the 2004 championship team. Even the instigator to many of the exciting brawls between the two squads, Francona, is gone. This is now Bobby Valentine’s team now and it will be interesting to see how he manages in this series for the first time amid all the boos directed at him on his home field.

The main concern for the 2012 Red Sox right now is a struggling bullpen. That was the big question mark coming into the season and it got even worse when their newly acquired closer Andrew Bailey was put on the shelf until at least August with ligament damage in his thumb. Thus far, the concerns have been validated as Boston’s bullpen has the second highest ERA (6.63) in baseball.

The bullpen has been one of the only areas the Yankees have all sewn up as they have the best ERA (1.99) among all teams, but unfortunately for them, their starting pitching has been letting them down. The Yankees have the 27th worst ERA (5.77) among all starting staffs with ace C.C. Sabathia getting hit hard, Freddy Garcia looking old and Phil Hughes pitching with no confidence.

To go along with bad starting pitching, the beefy parts of the batting order are fighting to stay above the Mendoza-line. Last year’s surprise player of the year, Curtis Granderson, is hitting .208 with more strikeouts than hits. Alex Rodriguez has only two RBI’s and Mark Teixeira still hasn’t hit a home run. Russell Martin, who last year burst onto the scene with some pop, has come crashing back to earth batting .148. The one shining star in the lineup has been Derek Jeter (.389), the player who experts questioned the most coming into the season.

Boston was happy to get home last weekend and the bats came alive, but Jacoby Ellsbury is going to be out of the lineup for some time and Carl Crawford’s start to the season looks to be delayed as well. Kevin Youkilis is also showing signs of fading with a paltry .184 average and he’s not even getting walks anymore. Valentine was right about Youkilis being different, but still, the conversation should have been in Valentine’s office, not with the Boston Globe and ESPN.

So while the Yankees and Red Sox classic uniforms still represent a must-watch weekend of games, the quality of play from the teams thus far don’t come close to matching the standards set over the last decade. The main hope to keep this a bitter rivalry and distract from their actual poor play is to have one of the managers pick a fight with some mandated inside pitches. Valentine could regain some creditability with the fans by at least starting a brawl with Yankees and it could ignite the players as well.

Here’s a look at this weekend’s matchups:

Friday (MLB Network, 3:05 p.m. ET)

Ivan Nova (2-0, 4.15) vs. Clay Buchholz (1-0, 9.82): Buchholz got the win in his last outing despite giving up five runs, thanks to the Sox bats. In both of his starts he’s given up five runs or more. Buchholz gets the tough draw of Nova who just always seems to win no matter the circumstances. Nova has won 14 straight decisions dating back to last season and based on the two pitchers form, despite it being the centennial game, Nova should make it 15 straight.

Early Selection: Yankees

Saturday (Fox, 4:05 p.m. ET)

Freddy Garcia (0-1, 6.97) vs. Felix Doubront (0-0, 5.40): This has the makings of a high-scoring game and may be the only game of the series we can expect the Red Sox to win. Doubront has gone only five innings in each of his first two starts and has given up six runs, four in his last start against the Rays. Garcia has had two awful starts and been hit harder in each ensuing game. This could be a lopsided game that the Red Sox bullpen might be able to hang onto for the win.

Early Selection: Red Sox and OVER

Sunday (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)

C.C. Sabathia (1-0, 5.59) vs. Daniel Bard (0-2, 4.63): The Red Sox bullpen sure could use Bard right now, but his conditioning throughout spring set him up for every five days so Valentine is sticking with it. The way Bard is pitching right now he’d fit right in with the bullpen. His ERA is fortunate to be at 4.63 because he’s pitched much worse. In his last outing against the Rays he gave up seven walks and yet somehow only allowed one run. It’s possible that Jon Lester could make the start since his day was cut short Tuesday against the Rangers. Meanwhile, Sabathia tries to shake the funk against his No. 1 nemesis. Unlike last year when Sabathia had a groove going before getting slapped around by the Sox, this year he’s struggling giving up 12 runs in 19.1 innings of work. The positive for him is that he finally did beat Boston in August after losing four straight to them. He only lost eight games last season and four of them were to Boston. His fourth start should be better than his first three, so look for the Yankees to take this one.

Early Selection: Yankees

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25142 Followers:33
04/20/2012 04:56 PM

Diamond Trends - Friday

April 20, 2012


SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Tigers are 10-0 since August 16, 2011 after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1135.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Angels are 0-14-2 OU since April 12, 2011 as a favorite after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent for a net profit of $1400 when playing the under.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Brewers are 0-6 since May 27, 2011 when Shaun Marcum starts as a home favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $822 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Yankees are 0-12 (-2.8 rpg) since 2006 after a win where they were not 150+ dogs but overcame at least a four run deficit while scoring no more than 10 runs.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Rockies are 0-10 since April 29, 2011 when playing a night game after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks for a net profit of $1150 when playing against.

The Yankees are 7-0 since June 15, 2011 when Ivan Nova starts after his team scored a total of seven or more runs in his last start for a net profit of $700

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25142 Followers:33
04/20/2012 05:03 PM

MLB Series Preview: Yankees at Red Sox


NEW YORK YANKEES (7-6)

at BOSTON RED SOX (4-8)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: New York -120, Boston Even

Bitter AL East rivals look to get back on track this weekend when the Yankees open a weekend series in Boston starting Friday afternoon.

Both teams have been struggling recently, as New York split a four-game home series with the woeful Twins and the Red Sox have scored just six total runs during a three-game losing streak, all at home. This series is usually tight, but Boston has been the better play in the past three seasons, going 21-15 (+6.5 Units) against the Yankees. Both teams’ starters have been awful this season (NYY: 5.59 ERA, BOS: 5.97 ERA), but Boston has faced much better lineups this year (Detroit, Toronto, Texas) than New York has (Baltimore, L.A. Angels and Minnesota). Expect the young Red Sox arms to shine brighter this weekend, and play on BOSTON to win the series at home with even money.

This FoxSheets coaching trend also supports the Red Sox:

BOBBY VALENTINE is 60-26 (69.8%, +30.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in all games he has managed since 1997. The average score was VALENTINE 4.1, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*).

Game 1: Friday, 3:05 p.m. ET
New York -115, Boston +105, Total: 10½
Yankees starter Ivan Nova is 2-0 with a 4.15 ERA this year, but he has given up 18 hits and three homers in his 13 innings of work. But the real reason to stay away from Nova is his three career starts versus Boston when he registered a 7.05 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. He struck out just eight Red Sox and walked six in these 15.1 innings. The Red Sox will counter with Clay Buchholz who is off to a rocky start to the 2012 season (1-0, 9.82 ERA, 1.73 WHIP). He’s thrown four quality outings in seven career starts in this rivalry series though, holding the Yankees to two runs on five hits in seven strong innings the last time he faced them in May 2011. Buchholz has come up big against great teams over the past three seasons, leading Boston to a 19-6 record (.760, +12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record. Play on BOSTON to open up the series with a victory.

Game 2: Saturday, 4:05 p.m. ET
Saturday’s matchup is tougher to call with Yankees veteran Freddy Garcia (0-1, 6.97 ERA, 1.55 WHIP) going up against Boston 24-year-old lefty Felix Doubront (0-0, 5.40 ERA, 1.70 WHIP). Garcia is 9-4 with a 4.45 ERA in his long career against Boston (119.1 IP), but was smacked around by the Sox last year, allowing 11 runs (10 earned) 22 hits and 10 walks in just 19 innings (4.74 ERA, 1.68 WHIP). He’s only started at Fenway Park twice since 2005, getting a pair of no-decisions. Doubront will be making his sixth career start, but showed some signs of greatness in his last outing on Sunday against the Rays. Although he allowed four runs in five innings, he also fanned seven batters and walked just one. Although the sample size is small, Doubront has held the Yankees to a .188 BA (3-for-16) with six strikeouts and just one walk. The pick here is BOSTON in game two to give Doubront some run support by getting to Garcia early.

Game 3: Sunday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Yankees ace CC Sabathia (1-0, 5.59 ERA) takes the hill in the series finale against converted reliever Daniel Bard (0-2, 4.63 ERA). Sabathia hasn’t pitched as bad as his ERA would indicate, posting a 1.13 WHIP with 15 K and just three walks in his 13.1 innings. From 2006 to 2010, Sabathia thrived against the Red Sox, going 5-2 with a 2.63 ERA in 10 starts against them. But last year, Boston batted .333 against him in five starts, saddling Sabathia with a 6.39 ERA and 1.77 WHIP. After surrendering five runs on eight hits in just five innings in his first major-league start, Bard allowed just one run in 6.2 innings in Monday’s start versus Tampa Bay. Although he fanned seven Rays that outing, he also allowed seven walks. Bard faced the Yankees 21 times over the past two seasons with great success. In 19.1 relief innings, he posted a 2.79 ERA and .197 Opp. BA against the Pinstripes, but did allow three homers. Bard could certainly step up, but the safer play here is Sabathia to lead NEW YORK to a sweep-avoiding win on Sunday night.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25142 Followers:33
04/20/2012 05:05 PM

MLB Series Preview: Rockies at Brewers


COLORADO ROCKIES (6-6)

at MILWAUKEE BREWERS (6-7)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: Milwaukee -160, Colorado +140

The Colorado Rockies take a modest two-game win streak on the road and travel to Milwaukee for a three-game weekend series with the Brewers.

This series matchup features two of the best hitters in baseball in Ryan Braun and Troy Tulowitzki, but both have been struggling mightily to start the season. Braun, the reigning NL MVP, has just one home run and a .261 BA, going hitless in his past three games. Tulowitzki also has just one longball and a .244 BA, raking in just one hit in the team’s past four contests. Tulowitzki has received much more support this season, however with the Rockies posting a .786 OPS on the season, fourth best in baseball and second-best in the NL, compared to a .713 mark for the Brewers. While that may seem like the Rockies have the edge, their numbers are inflated by their ability to exploit Coors Field and in the early goings have been one of baseball’s worst road offenses. In three away games, the Rockies have a lowly .236 BA and .611 OPS, reflecting last year when Colorado scored the third-fewest runs in baseball on the road. Play on MILWAUKEE to take this series at home.

This FoxSheets trend also likes the Brew Crew to prevail:

MILWAUKEE is 45-17 (72.6%, +23.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*).

Game 1: Friday, 8:10 p.m. ET
Milwaukee -140, Colorado +130, Total: 8
Jhoulys Chacin is Colorado’s ace, but in two starts this season, has lasted just eight innings total with eight walks and five earned runs. This could be the type of pitcher to help the Brewers break out offensively because he gives out as many free passes as anyone in baseball—he led the NL with 87 last season. Shaun Marcum takes the hill for the Brewers and he’s a pitcher always dependable for a quality start. He’s allowed just eight hits in 13 innings to start the year, surrendering just two walks. This is not an easy matchup for the Colorado lineup, take MILWAUKEE to win the series opener easily.

Game 2: Saturday, 7:10 p.m. ET
In game two, the Brewers get a look at phenom Drew Pomeranz, who was hammered by the Diamondbacks in his first start of the season, giving up five earned runs on nine hits in just 4.1 innings. He goes against a fellow southpaw in Chris Narveson, who is off to a similarly shaky start with a 1-1 record after giving up five runs in four innings his last time out. The Rockies are 2-3 while the Brewers are 2-2 against lefties this year, so no team has a particular edge in that regard. It’s just tough to like Pomeranz in this road game—in his four MLB starts last season, he gave up 19 hits, five walks and 11 earned runs in 18.1 innings of duty for a 5.40 ERA. He has not yet proven that he can pitch at the game’s highest level, so play against. The pick here is MILWAUKEE in game two.

Game 3: Sunday, 2:10 p.m. ET
Jeremy Guthrie takes the hill for Milwaukee in the final game, facing 26-year-old fireballer Yovani Gallardo. Guthrie was tagged for six earned runs in each of his past two starts, but pitched through strep throat his last time out, perhaps explaining his issues. And after giving up four home runs in his first start of the year, Gallardo looks like he has figured himself out with two consecutive quality starts. The issue is he has never won against the Rockies with an 0-4 career mark against them in six career starts and seven appearances, with a 6.69 ERA in those. If history is any indicator, this may be Colorado’s best chance to steal a game in this series. Take COLORADO to avoid the sweep here.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25142 Followers:33
04/20/2012 05:08 PM

Marlins seek 5th straight win visiting Washington

MIAMI MARLINS (7-6)

at WASHINGTON NATIONALS (10-4)


First pitch: Friday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Washington -110, Miami +100, Total: 8

A pair of surging clubs begin a three-game series when Miami visits Washington on Friday night.

The Marlins come into town with a four-game win streak, outscoring opponents 24-10 during the four-game ride. But the Nationals have also been streaking, winning eight of their past 10 contests. With an unpredictable pitching matchup (Carlos Zambrano and Ross Detwiler), the winner here will likely be the better offensive team. Nobody is hotter than Miami 3B Hanley Ramirez right now (.550 BA, 3 HR, 9 RBI in past four games), and the Nats have a combined eight runs in their past three games against mediocre Houston pitching. The Marlins have also thrived in the nation’s capital going 14-4 (+14.6 Units) at Washington over the past three seasons. Take slight underdog MIAMI to open the series with a victory.

This FoxSheets trend also backs the Marlins:

MIAMI is 38-28 (57.6%, +13.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MIAMI 4.1, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*).

Zambrano (0-0, 3.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) has been erratic in his career, but he has stepped up his game against good teams, leading his team to a 40-27 record (60%) when facing a team with a winning record. He was up-and-down in his last outing against the Astros, allowing just one run in six innings, but issuing six walks before leaving with a no-decision. The big right-hander has usually enjoyed facing the Nats in his career, going 8-3 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. In his three career starts at Nationals Park, he is a perfect 3-0 with a 0.47 ERA (1 ER in 19.1 IP) and .200 Opp. BA.

Detwiler has been very effective in two starts this season (0.90 ERA, 1.10 WHIP), but has lasted just five innings in both of his outings. He actually gave up five runs on six hits his last time out against Cincinnati, but only one of the runs was earned. Detwiler opened the season with five shutout frames against the Mets, allowing just two hits and one walk while fanning six. The 26-year-old lefty has never started against the Marlins, facing them just two times with four shutout innings (3 hits, 3 walks, 3 strikeouts). But Miami’s offense is 2-0 versus left-handed starters this year, batting .303 with a .354 OBP and 11 runs in the two games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25142 Followers:33
04/20/2012 05:09 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Texas at Detroit
The Tigers look to bounce back from yesterday's 10-3 loss to Texas and build on their 7-0 record in Rick Porcello's last 7 starts after their opponent scores 5 runs or more the previous game. Detroit is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 20

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.472; Cubs (Volstad) 14.915
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); No Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); N/A

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 15.971; Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.189
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Over

Game 955-956: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Zambrano) 14.278; Washington (Detwiler) 15.724
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Under

Game 957-958: San Francisco at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 13.700; NY Mets (Niese) 15.284
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-135); Under

Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lilly) 15.156; Houston (Happ) 15.571
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Under

Game 961-962: Colorado at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 16.015; Milwaukee (Marcum) 14.284
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Over

Game 963-964: Atlanta at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Beachy) 16.064; Arizona (Cahill) 14.715
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Over

Game 965-966: Philadelphia at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.852; San Diego (Volquez) 14.193
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Under

Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Boston (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 14.295; Boston (Buccholz) 15.928
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Over

Game 969-970: Texas at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 16.827; Detroit (Porcello) 17.876
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Under

Game 971-972: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hendriks) 14.667; Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.953
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-180); Over

Game 973-974: Toronto at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Drabek) 15.351; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.290
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Over

Game 975-976: Baltimore at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 14.495; LA Angels (Williams) 14.978
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Over

Game 977-978: Cleveland at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 16.520; Oakland (Godfrey) 15.411
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Over

Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.508; Seattle (Noesi) 15.704
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-125); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: