cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
On 04/19/2012 11:22 AM in MLB

Cnotes Thursday's MLB - NBA Best Bets !

CJ Wilson Faces A's In Angels Home Debut

Fans in Anaheim finally get to cheer for CJ Wilson at the Big A when the Angels and Oakland Athletics close out a 4-game series Thursday. Tommy Milone is scheduled to start for Oakland in this matchup of lefties that gets underway at 10:05 p.m. (ET).

Wilson has pitched off the mound at Angel Stadium before, but those appearances came in a Texas Rangers uniform. The southpaw was enormously successful for the Rangers the past two years when Texas went 45-22 in his regular season starts, 3-2 with a 1.25 ERA in Anaheim in five assignments.

He's off to a 2-0 beginning with his new club following wins at Minnesota and New York, allowing just two runs in 13 innings of work as a -150 favorite and +115 underdog respectively. Eight assignments vs. Oakland the past two campaigns resulted in six Texas wins with Wilson sporting a 3.01 ERA.

Milone was part of the return Oakland received in the winter deal that sent Gio Gonzalez to the Washington Nationals. He was up with the Nats last September with very good results, all five of his starts ending in Washington victories while the former Southern Cal Trojan posted a 3.81 ERA and 15:4 strikeout to walk ratio in 26 frames. He made a great first impression on the A's with eight shutout innings in a 1-0 win vs. Kansas City on April 9, but dropped a 4-0 decision last Saturday in Seattle (6 IP, 4 ER).

The first two games of the series were split with the Angels winning 6-0 Monday as -170 chalk behind Jered Weaver and the A's rallying for a 5-3 victory Tuesday as +170 underdogs. Game 3 on Wednesday had the Halos laying -160 on the Don Best odds screen with a 7-run total.

Off To Fast Start, Nats Close Series With Astros
Davey Johnson has the Nationals off to their best start since relocating from Montreal after the '04 season, and Washington could be taking aim at a 4-game sweep Thursday in the series finale with the Houston Astros (7:05 p.m. ET).

The Nationals (9-3, +5.6 units) won the first two games of the series (6-3 and 1-0) behind young hurlers Stephen Strasburg and Gio Gonzalez, favorites of -250 and -160 respectively. Washington was again heavy chalk for Wednesday's Game 3 (-190) with Jordan Zimmermann on the mound opposite Lucas Harrell. The result was still pending at press.

Thursday's series ender could result in a bunch of K's on the scorecard with Houston's Bud Norris facing Washington's Edwin Jackson. Norris has two no-decisions to show for his starts this season, but both have ended with Houston triumphs. The beefy right-hander averaged nearly nine strikeouts per nine innings the past two seasons in 58 starts for the Astros. This will be his third career assignment vs. the Nats, Houston splitting the previous two.

Jackson will be making his fifth start vs. Houston, and the previous four each finished in victory for his various teams. He's coming off a complete game 2-hitter last Saturday vs. Cincinnati, no-hitting the Reds over the final seven innings of the 4-1 triumph.

Darvish Up In Rangers-Tigers Series Opener
While those two 4-game series come to an end, a huge foursome of games in Motown begin. From the Don Best Sports "It's Never Too Early" Department, this potential ALCS clash between the Texas Rangers and Detroit Tigers gets underway at 7:05 p.m. (ET) Thursday when Adam Wilk makes his second career start for the home team against Yu Darvish who is making his third.

Both clubs will be traveling after evening road games on Wednesday. The Rangers fly in from Boston while the Tigers are coming out of Kansas City. Motown has been on the list of places to avoid for Texas, who is 4-16 its last 20 games there and lost 11 straight in Detroit from 2007-2009. Of course, the Tigers have been beating a lot of teams at home; Detroit won at least 50 games at Comerica Park each of the past three years (4-2 vs. Rangers in 2011).

Wilk filled the role of long reliever for about six weeks in '11, and was called up last weekend to be the fill-in for Doug Fister who is on the DL. It hasn't been a smooth transition from Toledo to Detroit for Wilk. Oh, he didn't pitch badly in his first MLB start Saturday at the White Sox – 5 IP, 2 ER both on solo homers. The reason he didn't come out in the sixth wasn't the stats, but instead due to getting drilled in the dugout by a Prince Fielder foul in the top of the inning.

It hasn't exactly been a smooth transition into the major leagues by Darvish either. At times brilliant, other times rocky, the latest Japanese import has been otherwise effective with Texas winning both of his starts. He's undoubtedly going to draw at least a moderate chalk line in this game, and two stats really stand out: eight walks and .340 batting average against in 11-1/3 IP.

Darvish will be pitching on 5-days rest in this one; Texas had Monday off and could've gone with Matt Harrison, but manager Ron Washington wanted to break up his southpaws (Harrison and Derek Holland), so gave Harrison the extra time off while keeping Darvish on his normal schedule.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
04/19/2012 11:26 AM

Nationals And Dodgers Lead Early MLB Betting

The Dodgers have performed much better on the money line than the run line.

The daily MLB standings that appear in the newspaper make for a good read, but handicappers are usually looking for something a little bit different as they gauge how teams are performing as the season progresses.

A standings board, reflecting performance vs. both the Money Line and Run Line, might be more appropriate.

Of course, the dynamics of such calculations can change quickly, which is why we would suggest looking at recent Money line and Run Line performance more than full-season numbers. That, however, comes into the equation once the campaign has progressed beyond the first few weeks, when we might suggest adding a more-recent calculation alongside the season-long numbers.

In mid-April, however, we can take a look at the body of work for the entire season to date and come up with some interesting observations about which teams are really providing the value, and which one are not.

Following, thus, are the unit “standings” vs. the Money Line through action of Tuesday, April 17.

AL WEST
Texas +531
Seattle +89
Oakland -151
LA Angels -613

AL CENTRAL
Detroit +433
Cleveland +107
Chicago White Sox +31
Minnesota -358
Kansas City -434

AL EAST
Baltimore +460
Toronto +60
Tampa Bay -31
NY Yankees -45
Boston -350

NL WEST
LA Dodgers +718
Arizona +257
San Francisco -146
Colorado -244
San Diego -619

NL CENTRAL
St. Louis +511
Pittsburgh -134
Milwaukee -160
Houston -161
Cincinnati -357
Chicago Cubs -419

NL EAST
Washington +580
NY Mets +476
Atlanta -70
Miami -155
Philadelphia -387

Striking about the numbers above is how so few NL teams have been offering good value outside of the Dodgers, Cardinals, Nationals and Mets who have consumed most of the oxygen in senior circuit over the first two weeks of action. Indeed, only five of the 16 NL sides (Arizona in addition to the four just mentioned) sit on the “plus” side of the Money Line through April 17. Note exceptionally poor value in the early going offered by the Padres at -619 (which figures after losing 6 of 7 vs. the Dodgers in the early going) and the Phillies, who continue to be overpriced and stood at -387 on the Money Line through April 17.

The Money Line numbers in the AL are not quite as illuminating, although the Rangers, Tigers and Orioles have provided excellent value thus far. It should be noted that Baltimore’s “non-Yankees” ML record would be +760 units minus that three-game sweep vs. the Bronx Bombers last week. On the negative side, be careful before backing the slow-starting Angels, who didn’t win any of their first three series and stood at an AL-worst -613 units on the Money Line through Tuesday’s action.

Following are Run Line standings by division, also through April 17.

AL WEST
Seattle +349
Texas +116
LA Angels -33
Oakland -653

AL CENTRAL
Chicago White Sox +305
Detroit +134
Kansas City -51
Cleveland -439
Minnesota -539

AL EAST
Baltimore +584
Toronto +575
Boston +94
NY Yankees -248
Tampa Bay -337

NL WEST
Arizona +668
San Francisco +154
LA Dodgers +149
Colorado -450
San Diego -616

NL CENTRAL
St. Louis +593
Pittsburgh +272
Houston +190
Cincinnati -217
Chicago Cubs -342
Milwaukee -399

NL EAST
NY Mets +205
Washington -58
Atlanta -86
Philadelphia -219
Miami -421

Run Line results, of course, aren’t going to always correspond exactly with Money Line results simply because of the one-run decisions that can make a winning side a losing side in this wager. That partially explains why the Dodgers, despite their 9-2 break from the gate and excellent Money Line performance to date, have not provided the same value on the Run Line, having lost in that wager in a handful of those one-run decisions.

Conversely, a losing side can often “win” a Run Line, although the calculation apparatus can be skewed far away from the traditional Money Line in the Run Line, wherein a ML underdog can often be a high-priced favorite plus the extra run on the RL.

Still, these are some similarities in the early Money Line and Run Line standings. In the AL, note that the Orioles (+584 RL) are providing good early value in both the RL and ML; Toronto is also rewarding its RL backers to the tune of +575 units thus far. Seattle (+349 RL) and the White Sox (+305) are other AL sides to note on the positive side of the RL through the first two weeks, while the Twins (-539) and A’s (-653) have burned their Run Line backers consistently.

In the NL, the Cardinals have replicated their solid Money Line performance by also providing excellent value (+593) on the Run Line to date, although it’s Arizona (+668) leading the Run Line standings for all of the senior circuit. On the bottom end, the Rockies (-450 RL), Marlins (-421) and Brewers (-399) have hurt their Run Line backers. Curiously, the Mets (+205) are the only NL East side with a profitable Run Line performance to date.

We’ll be periodically updating these Money Line and Run Line standings as the 2012 season progresses. Stay tuned!

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
04/19/2012 11:26 AM

Nationals And Dodgers Lead Early MLB Betting

The Dodgers have performed much better on the money line than the run line.

The daily MLB standings that appear in the newspaper make for a good read, but handicappers are usually looking for something a little bit different as they gauge how teams are performing as the season progresses.

A standings board, reflecting performance vs. both the Money Line and Run Line, might be more appropriate.

Of course, the dynamics of such calculations can change quickly, which is why we would suggest looking at recent Money line and Run Line performance more than full-season numbers. That, however, comes into the equation once the campaign has progressed beyond the first few weeks, when we might suggest adding a more-recent calculation alongside the season-long numbers.

In mid-April, however, we can take a look at the body of work for the entire season to date and come up with some interesting observations about which teams are really providing the value, and which one are not.

Following, thus, are the unit “standings” vs. the Money Line through action of Tuesday, April 17.

AL WEST
Texas +531
Seattle +89
Oakland -151
LA Angels -613

AL CENTRAL
Detroit +433
Cleveland +107
Chicago White Sox +31
Minnesota -358
Kansas City -434

AL EAST
Baltimore +460
Toronto +60
Tampa Bay -31
NY Yankees -45
Boston -350

NL WEST
LA Dodgers +718
Arizona +257
San Francisco -146
Colorado -244
San Diego -619

NL CENTRAL
St. Louis +511
Pittsburgh -134
Milwaukee -160
Houston -161
Cincinnati -357
Chicago Cubs -419

NL EAST
Washington +580
NY Mets +476
Atlanta -70
Miami -155
Philadelphia -387

Striking about the numbers above is how so few NL teams have been offering good value outside of the Dodgers, Cardinals, Nationals and Mets who have consumed most of the oxygen in senior circuit over the first two weeks of action. Indeed, only five of the 16 NL sides (Arizona in addition to the four just mentioned) sit on the “plus” side of the Money Line through April 17. Note exceptionally poor value in the early going offered by the Padres at -619 (which figures after losing 6 of 7 vs. the Dodgers in the early going) and the Phillies, who continue to be overpriced and stood at -387 on the Money Line through April 17.

The Money Line numbers in the AL are not quite as illuminating, although the Rangers, Tigers and Orioles have provided excellent value thus far. It should be noted that Baltimore’s “non-Yankees” ML record would be +760 units minus that three-game sweep vs. the Bronx Bombers last week. On the negative side, be careful before backing the slow-starting Angels, who didn’t win any of their first three series and stood at an AL-worst -613 units on the Money Line through Tuesday’s action.

Following are Run Line standings by division, also through April 17.

AL WEST
Seattle +349
Texas +116
LA Angels -33
Oakland -653

AL CENTRAL
Chicago White Sox +305
Detroit +134
Kansas City -51
Cleveland -439
Minnesota -539

AL EAST
Baltimore +584
Toronto +575
Boston +94
NY Yankees -248
Tampa Bay -337

NL WEST
Arizona +668
San Francisco +154
LA Dodgers +149
Colorado -450
San Diego -616

NL CENTRAL
St. Louis +593
Pittsburgh +272
Houston +190
Cincinnati -217
Chicago Cubs -342
Milwaukee -399

NL EAST
NY Mets +205
Washington -58
Atlanta -86
Philadelphia -219
Miami -421

Run Line results, of course, aren’t going to always correspond exactly with Money Line results simply because of the one-run decisions that can make a winning side a losing side in this wager. That partially explains why the Dodgers, despite their 9-2 break from the gate and excellent Money Line performance to date, have not provided the same value on the Run Line, having lost in that wager in a handful of those one-run decisions.

Conversely, a losing side can often “win” a Run Line, although the calculation apparatus can be skewed far away from the traditional Money Line in the Run Line, wherein a ML underdog can often be a high-priced favorite plus the extra run on the RL.

Still, these are some similarities in the early Money Line and Run Line standings. In the AL, note that the Orioles (+584 RL) are providing good early value in both the RL and ML; Toronto is also rewarding its RL backers to the tune of +575 units thus far. Seattle (+349 RL) and the White Sox (+305) are other AL sides to note on the positive side of the RL through the first two weeks, while the Twins (-539) and A’s (-653) have burned their Run Line backers consistently.

In the NL, the Cardinals have replicated their solid Money Line performance by also providing excellent value (+593) on the Run Line to date, although it’s Arizona (+668) leading the Run Line standings for all of the senior circuit. On the bottom end, the Rockies (-450 RL), Marlins (-421) and Brewers (-399) have hurt their Run Line backers. Curiously, the Mets (+205) are the only NL East side with a profitable Run Line performance to date.

We’ll be periodically updating these Money Line and Run Line standings as the 2012 season progresses. Stay tuned!

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
04/19/2012 11:31 AM

Around the Horn - Thursday

April 18, 2012


NATIONAL LEAGUE


Chicago at Miami - 12:40 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Samardzija (2-0, 3.95 ERA) 3-9 3-6 L9 vs RHP
Nolasco (1-0, 3.46 ERA) 6-6 OVER 3-1 L4 during day

Marlins beat Cubs, 5-2 on Tuesday
Marlins beat Cubs, 9-1 on Wednesday


Los Angeles at Milwaukee - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Harang (0-1, 5.91 ERA) 9-3 3-1 L4 vs LHP
Wolf (0-1, 10.61 ERA) 6-6 OVER 6-2 L7 vs RHP

Brewers beat Dodgers, 5-4 on Tuesday
Brewers beat Dodgers, 3-2 on Wednesday

Cincinnati at St. Louis - 1:45 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Arroyo (0-0, 2.63 ERA) 4-8 1-6 L7 vs RHP
Wainwright (0-2, 11.42 ERA) 9-3 8-3 L11 vs division

Cardinals beat Reds, 2-1 on Tuesday
Cardinals beat Reds, 11-1 on Wednesday

Houston at Washington - 7:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Norris (0-0, 3.46 ERA) 4-8 3-7 L10 vs RHP
Jackson (1-0, 2.57 ERA) 10-3 8-3 L11 vs RHP

Nationals beat Astros, 6-3 on Monday
Nationals beat Astros, 1-0 on Tuesday
Nationals beat Astros, 3-2 on Wednesday

Atlanta at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Minor (1-1, 4.38 ERA) 5-7 OVER 4-2 L6 away
Collmenter (0-0, 12.86 ERA) 7-5 4-2 L6 home

Braves beat Mets, 14-6 on Wednesday
Pirates beat Diamondbacks, 2-1 on Wednesday

Philadelphia at San Diego - 10:15 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Worley (0-1, 3.75 ERA) 5-7 OVER 7-2 L9 vs RHP
Wieland (0-1, 10.80 ERA) 3-10 2-4 L6 vs RHP

Phillies lost to Giants, 1-0 on Wednesday
Padres lost to Rockies, 8-4 on Wednesday

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Baltimore at Chicago - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hammel (1-0, 2.08 ERA) 7-5 3-1 L4 during day
Floyd (1-1, 3.09 ERA) 6-6 UNDER 4-1 L5 during day

Orioles beat White Sox, 10-4 on Monday
Orioles beat White Sox, 3-2 on Tuesday
White Sox beat Orioles, 8-1 on Wednesday

Texas at Detroit - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Darvish (1-0, 4.76 ERA) 10-2 5-0 L5 away
Wilk (0-1, 3.60 ERA) 9-3 5-1 L6 home

Rangers beat Red Sox, 6-3 on Wednesday
Tigers beat Royals, 4-3 on Wednesday

Minnesota at N.Y. Yankees - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Swarzak (0-2, 3.75 ERA) 4-8 2-4 L6 away
Hughes (0-2, 9.00 ERA) 6-6 5-3 L8 at night

Twins beat Yankees, 7-3 on Monday
Yankees beat Twins, 8-3 on Tuesday
Twins beat Yankees, 6-5 on Wednesday

Tampa Bay at Toronto - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hellickson (1-0, 3.29 ERA) 6-6 3-6 L9 away
Alvarez (0-0, 2.77 ERA) 6-5 OVER 6-2 L8 home

Blue Jays beat Rays, 7-3 on Tuesday
Rays beat Blue Jays, 12-2 on Wednesday

Oakland at Los Angeles - 10:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Milone (1-1, 2.57 ERA) 6-7 4-6 L10 vs division
Wilson (2-0, 1.38 ERA) 4-8 UNDER 6-2 L8 off loss

Angels beat Athletics, 6-0 on Monday
Athletics beat Angels, 5-3 on Tuesday
Athletics beat Angels, 6-0 on Wednesday

Cleveland at Seattle - 10:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Tomlin (0-1, 8.31 ERA) 5-5 OVER 4-1 L5 away
Hernandez (1-1, 3.80 ERA) 7-6 OVER 9-3 L12 vs CLE

Indians beat Mariners, 9-8 on Tuesday
Mariners beat Indians, 4-1 on Wednesday

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
04/19/2012 11:34 AM

Diamond Trends - Thursday

April 19, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The White Sox are 0-12 since April 13, 2011 at home after scoring 6+ runs in a night game for a net profit of $1499 when playing against.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Cubs are 13-0 OU since April 16, 2011 when playing a night game as a road dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games for a net profit of $1300 when playing the over.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Brewers are 0-8 OU since May 17, 2011 when Randy Wolf starts after the team won their last two games for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Marlins are 27-0 (3.4 rpg) since 2005 as a home favorite -130+ off a win where their starter faced 27+ batters and allowed eight or fewer hits and it is not a series opener.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Yankees are 12-0 since April 14, 2011 at home when they lost the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $1200

The Astros are 0-14 since April 05, 2011 as a 140+ dog vs a team that has won at least their last three games for a net profit of $1400 when playing against.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
04/19/2012 11:37 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Baltimore at Chicago White Sox
The Orioles look to bounce back from yesterday's 8-1 loss and take advantage of a White Sox team that is 3-12 in its last 15 games after scoring 5 or more runs in the previous game. Baltimore is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, APRIL 19

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Miami (12:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 14.882; Miami (Nolasco) 14.211
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Miami (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+140); Under

Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at Milwaukee (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Harang) 15.138; Milwaukee (Wolf) 16.303
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); Over

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at St. Louis (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.612; St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.810
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Over

Game 907-908: Houston at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 15.732; Washington (Jackson) 14.562
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Under

Game 909-910: Atlanta at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 16.543; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.237
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Over

Game 911-912: Philadelphia at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Worley) 14.517; San Diego (Wieland) 15.528
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+110); Under

Game 913-914: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hammel) 15.991; White Sox (Floyd) 15.012
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Under

Game 915-916: Minnesota at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Swarzak) 14.714; NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.248
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-220); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-220); Over

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 14.467; Toronto (Alvarez) 15.837
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under

Game 919-920: Texas at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 17.391; Detroit (Wilk) 16.312
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 15.330; LA Angels (Wilson) 14.059
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+170); Under

Game 923-924: Cleveland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 16.224; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.00
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+135); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
04/19/2012 11:39 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 19

Hot pitchers
-- Nolasco is 1-0, 3.46 in two starts this season.
-- Arroyo has a 2.14 RA in his last three starts.
-- Jackson is 1-0, 2.57 in his first two starts for Washington.

-- Hammel is 1-0, 2.08 in two starts this season.
-- Hellickson has a 3.04 RA in his last eight starts. Alvarez has 2.77 RA in his first two starts this season, but doesn't have a decision yet.
-- Wilk allowed three hits, two runs in five IP in his first MLB start.
-- Milone has a 2.57 RA in his first two starts for Oakland. Wilson won his first two Angel starts, allowing two runs in 13 IP.

Cold pitchers
-- Samardzija has 5.27 RA in two starts, but Cubs scored 13 runs and won both games.
-- Harang allowed eight runs in 10.2 IP in two starts this season. Wolf allowed 18 hits, 11 runs in 9.1 IP in two starts this year.
-- Wainwright allowed 11 runs in 8.2 IP in two starts this season.
-- Norris is 0-3, 4.98 in his last eight starts.
-- Minor is 1-2, 3.81 in his last five starts. Collmenter allowed 11 runs in seven IP in two starts this season.
-- Worley is 1-3, 5.16 in his last five starts. Weiland allowed six runs in five IP in losing his MLB debut Saturday.

-- Floyd is 1-4, 4.26 in his last five starts.
-- Swarzak is 1-6, 6.10 in his last nine starts. Hughes put 17 men on base, allowed eight runs in eight IP in losing his two starts this year.
-- Darvish allowed 25 baserunners, seven runs in 11.1 IP in his first two major league starts.
-- FHernandez is 1-4, 5.97 in his last six starts. Tomlin is 0-3, 7.71 in his last three starts.

Hot teams
-- Nationals won eight of their last nine games.
-- Atlanta won seven of its last eight games. Arizona is 4-2 at home, with four one-run games.
-- Marlins won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games.

-- Texas won its last six games, allowing 15 runs. Tigers won nine of their first twelve games.
-- Bronx won six of its last nine games.
-- Orioles won four of their last six games.
-- Oakland won its last two games, allowing three runs.
-- Indians won four of their last five games, scoring 42 runs.

Cold teams
-- Astros lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last five games, but won last two. Dodgers lost last two games on walk-offs, after their 9-1 start.
-- Cincinnati lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Padres lost nine of their first thirteen games.
-- Phillies are 2-4 in their first six road games.

-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last eight games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
-- Minnesota lost eight of its first twelve games.
-- Royals lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Mariners are 4-5 in their last nine games.
-- Angels lost eight of their twelve games.

Totals
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Cubs' last nine games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Dodger road games this season.
-- Seven of last nine Cincinnati games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine San Diego games stayed under the total.

-- Eight of eleven White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Last four Bronx games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Tampa Bay road games went over the total.
-- Last six Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-3 in last eight Oakland games.
-- Six of last eight Seattle games stayed under the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
04/19/2012 11:40 AM

MLB


Thursday, April 19

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Trend Report
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12:40 PM
CHI CUBS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs

1:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. MILWAUKEE
LA Dodgers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games on the road
Milwaukee is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 14 games

1:45 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Cincinnati is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
St. Louis is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

2:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games at home

7:05 PM
TEXAS vs. DETROIT
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Houston's last 16 games
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games when playing at home against Houston

7:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
Minnesota is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-17 SU in their last 21 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 19-6 SU in their last 25 games when playing Minnesota
NY Yankees are 16-8 SU in their last 24 games at home

7:07 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

9:40 PM
ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games at home

10:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Oakland is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

10:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. SEATTLE
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Cleveland's last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
04/19/2012 11:42 AM

MLB

Thursday, April 19

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Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bets
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Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins (-155, 7.5)

Chicago has lost four in a row and is already six games out of first in the NL Central.

Miami pounded out a season-high in runs (nine) and hits (14) against the Cubs on Wednesday, riding the hot bat of Hanley Ramirez to its third consecutive victory.

The Marlins are 4-1 on their current homestand at new Marlins Park, improving their season record to 6-6. Ricky Nolasco gets the start for Miami, carrying a 3-2 lifetime record against Chicago into the matchup. The Cubs counter with Jeff Samardzija, who struck out 10 in his first start of the season but ran into some trouble after Chicago built a nine-run lead on the opening game of the roadtrip. Samardzija makes his first career appearance against Miami.

Miami’s Donnie Murphy figures to start again at second base in place of Omar Infante (groin strain). Murphy finished with two hits, two runs scored and three RBIs on Wednesday.

Miami has won four of its last five against the Cubs.

Pick: Marlins


Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks (105, 9.5)

Winners of seven of their last eight, the Braves begin a seven-game road trip against the Diamondbacks on Thursday. The Braves' loud bats were in full swing against the NL East rival Mets as they scored 23 runs to take the final two games of their series.

Second baseman Dan Uggla got untracked, hitting a two-run blast in Wednesday's win.

While Atlanta is surging, Arizona is hurting -- both physically and in the standings. After putting All-Star outfielder Chris Young on the disabled list with a right shoulder injury, the Diamondbacks fell for the fourth time in six games with a 2-1 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday.

Braves lefty Mike Minor is coming off a fine outing, one run allowed in 7 1/3 innings, while D-Backs starter Josh Collmenter has given up five earned runs in each of his two starts.

Freddie Freeman, who belted a two-run homer in Atlanta's 14-6 victory on Wednesday, has three hits in five career at-bats versus Collmenter.

Pick: Braves

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
04/19/2012 11:43 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 19

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CHICAGO CUBS (3 - 9) at MIAMI (6 - 6) - 12:40 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 648-654 (-124.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1133-1191 (-217.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 875-938 (-164.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1190-1275 (-239.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
MIAMI is 35-49 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-73 (-18.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-49 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. MIAMI since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
NOLASCO is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

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LA DODGERS (9 - 3) at MILWAUKEE (6 - 6) - 1:10 PM
AARON HARANG (R) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 26-9 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 65-28 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 87-56 (+23.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 59-32 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 65-28 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-12 (+18.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WOLF is 150-121 (+31.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 87-69 (+32.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

AARON HARANG vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HARANG is 5-5 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 13-8 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-10. (+0.6 units)

RANDY WOLF vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
WOLF is 4-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.424.
His team's record is 7-5 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.7 units)

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CINCINNATI (4 - 8) at ST LOUIS (9 - 3) - 1:45 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 82-90 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 84-91 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 86-59 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 417-476 (+41.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 28-18 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 567-656 (+43.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 100-92 (-34.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ARROYO is 7-12 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.52 and a WHIP of 1.372.
His team's record is 12-17 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-17. (-7.7 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 3-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.259.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.1 units)

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HOUSTON (4 - 8) at WASHINGTON (10 - 3) - 7:05 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 59-114 (-38.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-87 (-37.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-58 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 61-115 (-36.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-45 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-62 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-72 (-32.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 90-85 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 58-55 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-41 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 90-85 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-26 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
NORRIS is 6-0 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 9-3 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

BUD NORRIS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NORRIS is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.244.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
JACKSON is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.099.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

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ATLANTA (7 - 5) at ARIZONA (7 - 5) - 9:40 PM
MIKE MINOR (L) vs. JOSH COLLMENTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 27-39 (-18.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 52-37 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 104-77 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 38-20 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 14-6 (+9.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 58-33 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 29-13 (+14.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 104-77 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 77-53 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MIKE MINOR vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSH COLLMENTER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
COLLMENTER is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.69 and a WHIP of 0.692.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (5 - 7) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 10) - 10:05 PM
VANCE WORLEY (R) vs. JOE WIELAND (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 40-76 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-37 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 74-102 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 49-73 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-22 (-12.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-51 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-49 (-15.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-27 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 74-102 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

VANCE WORLEY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

JOE WIELAND vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: