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cnotes
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Cnotes Wednesday's Best Bets MLB - NBA !

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On 04/18/2012 12:48 PM in MLB
Giants & Phillies Finish Set In San Francisco

It's a given that Don Best Sports analyst Pat Williams is going to mention Wednesday's matchup in St. Louis between the Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds at least twice in the next 24 hours.

He'll discuss the mound duel between Mat Latos and Jaime Garcia and how Busch III has been a nightmare for Latos in a short sample, but a dreamy venue for Garcia. It will be noted how important this series is to the early race in the NL Central, and that it's crucial for the Reds not to let the Cardinals get too far in front.

For my money, however, the game doesn't rate in the top 4 pitching battles on Wednesday's MLB betting card. Make that top 5, which are below.

Braves Host Mets In Getaway Game
The New York Mets apparently didn't read any of the preseason predictions that mostly saw an NL East basement finish. New York moved to 7-3 on the young campaign with Monday's 6-1 win in the series opener at Atlanta as +150 underdogs, and was set to send Johan Santana to the mound Tuesday against the Braves' Randall Delgado in a game that was very close to a pick on the MLB odds board.

Wednesday's matinee at Turner Field is a rematch on the mound from a contest in New York a couple of Saturdays ago, as RA Dickey meets Jair Jurrjens once again. Dickey helped pitch the Mets past the Braves, 4-2, cashing on an even-money underdog line and snapping a string of three consecutive starts vs. Atlanta in which the Mets lost.

This is a crucial outing for Jurrjens who couldn't finish the fifth in that April 7 start and has allowed four homers in his first 9-1/3 innings this season. Jurrjens has missed parts of the past two seasons with knee trouble and suffered through an inconsistent spring in which he walked 12 and was hit for a .303 average in 26+ innings. If not for one good outing against the Astros' 'B' squad, those numbers would have been even worse.

Heavyweights Battle In Boston, San Fran
Two big pitching duels will take place on opposite sides of the Lower 48 as the Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox play the middle match of their 3-game series at Fenway Park while the Philadelphia Phillies and San Francisco Giants close their set at AT&T Park.

The Phils got their series in San Fran rolling with a win Monday as short chalk behind Roy Halladay. Tim Lincecum's struggles continued for the Giants with a 6-IP, 5-ER outing. Tuesday's second game had San Francisco laying -145 behind Madison Bumgarner who just agreed to a new 6-year contract that will run through the 2017 season.

Wednesday's finale pits both team's "second aces" as Cliff Lee will oppose Matt Cain. The Phils are 0-2 behind Lee in 2012, but the lefty has complete game victories in each of his last two regular season outings vs. San Francisco, one a shutout last August at AT&T Park. He lost both of his 2010 World Series assignments against the Giants while pitching for Texas. Cain is coming off a complete game, 1-hit blanking of the Pirates last Friday at home, and is 1-2 with a 1.29 ERA in his three most recent regular season starts vs. Philadelphia.

ESPN2 will broadcast Wednesday's battle between the Rangers and Red Sox (7:00 p.m. ET). Texas is scheduled to send Derek Holland to the mound against Boston's Josh Beckett. This will be the first road assignment for Holland after the Rangers split the southpaw's two starts at home to begin the campaign. He's 2-1 in three career starts vs. Boston (2.95 ERA), going 1-1 with a 3.09 ERA in his two appearances at Fenway. Beckett bounced back from a pounding in Detroit with a nice 8-IP, 5-hit effort in Boston last Friday to beat Tampa Bay. He got the best of the Rangers in his only start against them last year, a 13-2 Boston win in Arlington.

The series opened Tuesday with Boston -120 behind Jon Lester who was opposing Rangers right-hander Colby Lewis with an 8½-run total.

Will Price Be Right In Toronto?
The AL East started play Tuesday with all five teams packed within two games of each other, leaving a lot riding on the 3-game series in Toronto between the Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays. Toronto backers were laying -135 in Tuesday's series opener that had Ricky Romero on the bump for the home team and Jeff Niemann pitching for the visiting Rays.

Game 2 on Wednesday finds David Price in line to start for Tampa Bay with Brandon Morrow his counterpart for the Jays. Price followed up a good outing vs. the Yankees with a very poor performance last Friday in Boston in which he burned through 83 tosses to get just nine outs. Price was a road warrior last season (8-4, 3.25 ERA) and won both of his games at Rogers Centre with an excellent 19:4 strikeout-to-walk ratio vs. the Toronto lineup.

Morrow is looking for his first dubya of the year after the Blue Jays split his first two starts. He was on the losing end of Price's two wins in Toronto last season, allowing eight runs and four long balls in 10-2/3 innings.

Garza & Buehrle Duel In Miami
Capping off our Wednesday docket is the middle game of a 3-game set in Miami between the Marlins and Chicago Cubs. Mark Buehrle will be looking for his first win with the Marlins while Matt Garza toes the rubber for the Cubbies in the 7:10 p.m. (ET) start.

Buehrle has been a victim of run support in his first two assignments with Miami as Fish batters were unable to solve either Johnny Cueto or Joe Blanton in those games. He saw the Cubs frequently while toiling for the White Sox in their crosstown matchups. The ChiSox emerged victorious in each of his last four starts vs. the North Side crew, Buehrle's 1.82 ERA covering 24-2/3 innings.

Garza also has experience against the Marlins dating back to interleague play during his tenure with the Rays, though this will be his first appearance at the new Miami park. Five assignments vs. the Marlins have yielded a 3-2 record for his clubs with Garza's ERA at 3.90.
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04/18/2012 12:49 PM
Los Angeles Lakers Visit Golden State Warriors

Injuries are the name of the game when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Golden State Warriors in a very busy Wednesday night with 14 games.

Let’s first recap Monday, which saw the top of the Western Conference get much closer with the Los Angeles Clippers beating Oklahoma City, 92-77 as 3-point home ‘dogs. The Clippers match up well athletically against the Thunder and are 3-1 SU and ATS against them this year.

The loss dropped Oklahoma City to a tie with San Antonio for top seed in the West.

Philadelphia is in an official tailspin after a 113-100 loss at Orlando as 6½-point favorites on Monday. The Magic were without Dwight Howard, Hedo Turkoglu and Glen Davis, but it didn’t matter thanks to solid 3-point shooting (11-of-18), and now the 76ers need to win some games down the stretch to ensure making the playoffs.

Tuesday night has Philly back in the spotlight hosting Indiana. Both are in a back-to-back situation and the line looks wrong to Don Best Sports analyst Pat Williams with the Sixers favored by three. The total is 184. Williams points out that the 76ers are an awful 9-21 ATS this season versus teams with a winning record.

Looking ahead to Wednesday, Orlando is in Boston. Both teams have clinched a playoff berth and the Magic are 4-2 SU and ATS in their last six, even with Howard out the last five. The Celtics are 2-0 SU and ATS against Orlando this season, with an average margin of victory of 19.5 points. Don Best NBA analyst Monte Scates expects Boston to take care of business at home.

The Warriors host the Lakers on Wednesday and are giving new meaning to the word tanking, needing to lose games to keep their first round pick for next season. They have shut down almost all their key players for the year, losing 5-straight (1-4 ATS), while allowing at least 112 points in every one.

The Lakers are hosting San Antonio on Tuesday, so they will be playing in a back-to-back on Wednesday (7-11 ATS in that situation this year).

Los Angeles will almost definitely be without Kobe Bryant (shin) against the Spurs. He has missed the last five and is also doubtful for Wednesday as well. The Lakers are playing very good basketball at 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in its last four and there’s no reason to rush Bryant back against the woeful Warriors.

Monte Scates believes the Lakers will go into the Bay Area and manhandle Golden State.
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04/18/2012 12:49 PM
Los Angeles Lakers Visit Golden State Warriors

Injuries are the name of the game when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Golden State Warriors in a very busy Wednesday night with 14 games.

Let’s first recap Monday, which saw the top of the Western Conference get much closer with the Los Angeles Clippers beating Oklahoma City, 92-77 as 3-point home ‘dogs. The Clippers match up well athletically against the Thunder and are 3-1 SU and ATS against them this year.

The loss dropped Oklahoma City to a tie with San Antonio for top seed in the West.

Philadelphia is in an official tailspin after a 113-100 loss at Orlando as 6½-point favorites on Monday. The Magic were without Dwight Howard, Hedo Turkoglu and Glen Davis, but it didn’t matter thanks to solid 3-point shooting (11-of-18), and now the 76ers need to win some games down the stretch to ensure making the playoffs.

Tuesday night has Philly back in the spotlight hosting Indiana. Both are in a back-to-back situation and the line looks wrong to Don Best Sports analyst Pat Williams with the Sixers favored by three. The total is 184. Williams points out that the 76ers are an awful 9-21 ATS this season versus teams with a winning record.

Looking ahead to Wednesday, Orlando is in Boston. Both teams have clinched a playoff berth and the Magic are 4-2 SU and ATS in their last six, even with Howard out the last five. The Celtics are 2-0 SU and ATS against Orlando this season, with an average margin of victory of 19.5 points. Don Best NBA analyst Monte Scates expects Boston to take care of business at home.

The Warriors host the Lakers on Wednesday and are giving new meaning to the word tanking, needing to lose games to keep their first round pick for next season. They have shut down almost all their key players for the year, losing 5-straight (1-4 ATS), while allowing at least 112 points in every one.

The Lakers are hosting San Antonio on Tuesday, so they will be playing in a back-to-back on Wednesday (7-11 ATS in that situation this year).

Los Angeles will almost definitely be without Kobe Bryant (shin) against the Spurs. He has missed the last five and is also doubtful for Wednesday as well. The Lakers are playing very good basketball at 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in its last four and there’s no reason to rush Bryant back against the woeful Warriors.

Monte Scates believes the Lakers will go into the Bay Area and manhandle Golden State.
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04/18/2012 12:53 PM
Wade, Bosh, Turiaf out for Wednesday

MIAMI (AP) - Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh and Ronny Turiaf will not play Wednesday night when the Miami Heat play host to the Toronto Raptors.

It will be the 14th game Wade has missed this season, mostly with a variety of injuries and more recently because of what the Heat are calling a ``maintenance'' program heading into postseason. Bosh will sit out for the fourth time, and Turiaf has been dealing with a sore hamstring for about a week.

Wednesday's game starts a run of six games in nine games to close the regular season for Miami, which plays host to Chicago on Thursday night in a game that could help eventually decide the top seed for the Eastern Conference playoffs.

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04/18/2012 12:53 PM
Wade, Bosh, Turiaf out for Wednesday

MIAMI (AP) - Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh and Ronny Turiaf will not play Wednesday night when the Miami Heat play host to the Toronto Raptors.

It will be the 14th game Wade has missed this season, mostly with a variety of injuries and more recently because of what the Heat are calling a ``maintenance'' program heading into postseason. Bosh will sit out for the fourth time, and Turiaf has been dealing with a sore hamstring for about a week.

Wednesday's game starts a run of six games in nine games to close the regular season for Miami, which plays host to Chicago on Thursday night in a game that could help eventually decide the top seed for the Eastern Conference playoffs.

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04/18/2012 12:55 PM
Hoop Trends - Wednesday

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Magic are 19-0 ATS (9.7 ppg) since February 26, 2007 with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Bobcats are 0-11 OU (-10.8 ppg) since December 15, 2009 with at least one day of rest after a loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Thunder are 13-0 ATS (11.5 ppg) since April 08, 2009 on the road after a loss in which Russell Westbrook shot worse than 33% from the field.

CHOICE TREND:


The Cavaliers are 0-10 OU (-13.7 ppg) since March 08, 2011 at home when seeking revenge for a double-digit road loss.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Nets are 0-9 ATS (-11.3 ppg) since April 01, 2008 at home after a game at home after a loss in which they made more baskets than their opponent.

The Suns are 9-0 ATS (11.1 ppg) since March 16, 2010 at home when they had at least ten more assists in their previous game than in the game before.

The Wizards are 0-9 OU (-16.2 ppg) since March 02, 2008 with at least one day of rest after a win in which they blocked at least 10 shots.
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04/18/2012 01:04 PM
Fade Alert - 76ers

April 17, 2012

Some pundits believe that this year’s NBA season has been unwatchable due to the shortened schedule and it’s hard to argue against that statement. Certain teams have prepared well for the grueling 66-game slate, while others haven’t.
One of those teams struggling lately is Philadelphia and it doesn’t get any easier for the team that started the season 20-9. Head coach Doug Collins and company were sitting on top of the Atlantic Division behind a squad that was playing sound defense through the first two months.

Fast forward to the final two weeks of the season and the 76ers are no longer leading the division, rather clinging onto the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They were tied with New York (31-29) for the last ticket in the East, with Milwaukee just 1 ½ games behind them.

After Tuesday’s loss to Indiana (97-102), the 76ers have dropped to 11-17 straight up and 10-18 against the spread in the second-half of the season and only three of the victories (Boston, Atlanta, New York) came against playoff-caliber teams.

What makes things even tough for Collins’ club is that Philadelphia’s final five games of the season are on the road. And to make things more difficult, Wednesday’s battle at Cleveland will be their third game in three nights. Fortunately, the 76ers have won and covered both encounters against the Cavaliers this season, each coming in double-digit fashion. And Cleveland is a complete mess as well, evidenced by yesterday's embarrassing loss to the Pistons (77-116) when they trailed by as many as 50 points during the blowout.

We’ve tracked the results (see below) of how teams have fared in the infamous 3/3 nights and you might be surprised to know that the club playing three consecutive days are a respectable 19-18 against the spread.

Make a note that Philadelphia has faced this situation once before and it came up as a loser, falling to the Knicks (79-85) on Jan.11 at Madison Square Garden. The combined 164 points never threatened the closing total of 196.

Even though gamblers don’t have a good trend to back with the favorites or underdogs in the 3/3 situations, total players have watched the ‘under’ go 22-17 (56%) and that includes a 5-1 run to the ‘under’.

After Wednesday’s game against the Cavs, the 76ers will be off until Saturday when they head to Indiana. Then they close the season with road battles at New Jersey, Milwaukee and Detroit.

The Bucks have six games left, three coming on the road but they also get three against non-playoff teams in the Wizards, Nets and Raptors too. Next Wednesday’s home tilt against Philadelphia could be a play-in game considering both teams split their first two meetings.

Gamblers should also be aware that San Antonio will be playing its third game in three nights on Wednesday as well. The Spurs have faced this situation before and ironically they beat Philadelphia 93-76 on Mar. 25, which was part of an 11-game winning streak for the team.

The Spurs control their own destiny for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference if they win their final seven games. Head coach Greg Popovich has rested his key players throughout the season, which makes Wednesday’s affair at Sacramento a contest that you’ll have to handicap just before tip-off.


Below are the situations for this season and the results against the spread

TEAMS PLAYING 3RD GAME IN 3 NIGHTS
DATE TEAM LINE ATS RESULT O/U RESULT

12/27 LAL 96, UT 71 -5.5 W UNDER 188
12/31 HOU 95, ATL 84 -1 W UNDER 192.5
1/2 DEN 91, MIL 86 -4.5 W UNDER 197
1/5 SAC 103, MIL 100 +3 W OVER 187
1/7 ATL 109, CHI 94 +6 W OVER 175
1/8 OKC 108, SA 96 -6.5 W OVER 196
1/10 MIN 100, CHI 111 +6.5 L OVER 184.5
1/11 CHI 78, WSH 64 -11.5 W UNDER 180.5
1/11 PHI 79, NY 85 +4 L UNDER 196.5
1/11 TOR 91, SAC 98 -5.5 L UNDER 191
1/14 CHA 112, GS 100 +3.5 W OVER 190.5
1/18 LAC 91, DAL 89 +3.5 W UNDER 181.5
1/18 ORL 83, SA 85 -5.5 L UNDER 192
1/23 NJ 95, CHI 110 +13.5 L OVER 188
1/25 POR 93, GS 101 +3.5 L OVER 192.5
2/1 DET 96, NJ 99 +6 W OVER 181.5
2/4 NY 99, NJ 92 -6.5 W UNDER 198
2/4 DEN 97, POR 117 +6.5 L OVER 201
2/14 MIA 105, IND 90 -2 W UNDER 199
2/14 UT 85, OKC 111 +12 L UNDER 200.5
2/15 PHX 99, ATL 101 +1.5 L OVER 186
2/16 POR 71, LAC 74 +2 L UNDER 188.5
2/16 IND 93, NJ 88 -9 L UNDER 195
2/20 NJ 100, NY 92 +8.5 W UNDER 195.5
2/22 NO 89, CLE 84 +5 W UNDER 183
3/1 MIN 95, PHX 104 +4.5 L UNDER 203
3/10 DAL 87, GS 111 +4 L OVER 195
3/16 PHX 109, DET 101 -5 W OVER 197.5
3/22 LAC 90, NO 97 -4.5 L OVER 181
3/24 MIL 104, IND* 125 -4.5 L OVER 204.5
3/24 MIL 104, IND* 125 +4.5 W OVER 204.5
3/25 ATL 139, UT 133 -1 W OVER 190
3/25 SA 93, PHI 79 -3 W UNDER 192.5
3/26 WSH 77, DET 79 +1 L UNDER 193
4/4 MEM 85, DAL 95 +6 L UNDER 185
4/6 WSH 98, NJ 110 +8 L OVER 197
4/15 BOS 94, CHA 82 -6.5 W UNDER 180
4/15 CLE 84, ORL 100 +6.5 L UNDER 190.5
4/18 PHI at CLE
4/18 SA at SAC
4/19 DET vs. MIN
4/22 GS at MIN
*BOTH TEAMS PLAYING 3/3 NIGHTS



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04/18/2012 01:04 PM
Fade Alert - 76ers

April 17, 2012

Some pundits believe that this year’s NBA season has been unwatchable due to the shortened schedule and it’s hard to argue against that statement. Certain teams have prepared well for the grueling 66-game slate, while others haven’t.
One of those teams struggling lately is Philadelphia and it doesn’t get any easier for the team that started the season 20-9. Head coach Doug Collins and company were sitting on top of the Atlantic Division behind a squad that was playing sound defense through the first two months.

Fast forward to the final two weeks of the season and the 76ers are no longer leading the division, rather clinging onto the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They were tied with New York (31-29) for the last ticket in the East, with Milwaukee just 1 ½ games behind them.

After Tuesday’s loss to Indiana (97-102), the 76ers have dropped to 11-17 straight up and 10-18 against the spread in the second-half of the season and only three of the victories (Boston, Atlanta, New York) came against playoff-caliber teams.

What makes things even tough for Collins’ club is that Philadelphia’s final five games of the season are on the road. And to make things more difficult, Wednesday’s battle at Cleveland will be their third game in three nights. Fortunately, the 76ers have won and covered both encounters against the Cavaliers this season, each coming in double-digit fashion. And Cleveland is a complete mess as well, evidenced by yesterday's embarrassing loss to the Pistons (77-116) when they trailed by as many as 50 points during the blowout.

We’ve tracked the results (see below) of how teams have fared in the infamous 3/3 nights and you might be surprised to know that the club playing three consecutive days are a respectable 19-18 against the spread.

Make a note that Philadelphia has faced this situation once before and it came up as a loser, falling to the Knicks (79-85) on Jan.11 at Madison Square Garden. The combined 164 points never threatened the closing total of 196.

Even though gamblers don’t have a good trend to back with the favorites or underdogs in the 3/3 situations, total players have watched the ‘under’ go 22-17 (56%) and that includes a 5-1 run to the ‘under’.

After Wednesday’s game against the Cavs, the 76ers will be off until Saturday when they head to Indiana. Then they close the season with road battles at New Jersey, Milwaukee and Detroit.

The Bucks have six games left, three coming on the road but they also get three against non-playoff teams in the Wizards, Nets and Raptors too. Next Wednesday’s home tilt against Philadelphia could be a play-in game considering both teams split their first two meetings.

Gamblers should also be aware that San Antonio will be playing its third game in three nights on Wednesday as well. The Spurs have faced this situation before and ironically they beat Philadelphia 93-76 on Mar. 25, which was part of an 11-game winning streak for the team.

The Spurs control their own destiny for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference if they win their final seven games. Head coach Greg Popovich has rested his key players throughout the season, which makes Wednesday’s affair at Sacramento a contest that you’ll have to handicap just before tip-off.


Below are the situations for this season and the results against the spread

TEAMS PLAYING 3RD GAME IN 3 NIGHTS
DATE TEAM LINE ATS RESULT O/U RESULT

12/27 LAL 96, UT 71 -5.5 W UNDER 188
12/31 HOU 95, ATL 84 -1 W UNDER 192.5
1/2 DEN 91, MIL 86 -4.5 W UNDER 197
1/5 SAC 103, MIL 100 +3 W OVER 187
1/7 ATL 109, CHI 94 +6 W OVER 175
1/8 OKC 108, SA 96 -6.5 W OVER 196
1/10 MIN 100, CHI 111 +6.5 L OVER 184.5
1/11 CHI 78, WSH 64 -11.5 W UNDER 180.5
1/11 PHI 79, NY 85 +4 L UNDER 196.5
1/11 TOR 91, SAC 98 -5.5 L UNDER 191
1/14 CHA 112, GS 100 +3.5 W OVER 190.5
1/18 LAC 91, DAL 89 +3.5 W UNDER 181.5
1/18 ORL 83, SA 85 -5.5 L UNDER 192
1/23 NJ 95, CHI 110 +13.5 L OVER 188
1/25 POR 93, GS 101 +3.5 L OVER 192.5
2/1 DET 96, NJ 99 +6 W OVER 181.5
2/4 NY 99, NJ 92 -6.5 W UNDER 198
2/4 DEN 97, POR 117 +6.5 L OVER 201
2/14 MIA 105, IND 90 -2 W UNDER 199
2/14 UT 85, OKC 111 +12 L UNDER 200.5
2/15 PHX 99, ATL 101 +1.5 L OVER 186
2/16 POR 71, LAC 74 +2 L UNDER 188.5
2/16 IND 93, NJ 88 -9 L UNDER 195
2/20 NJ 100, NY 92 +8.5 W UNDER 195.5
2/22 NO 89, CLE 84 +5 W UNDER 183
3/1 MIN 95, PHX 104 +4.5 L UNDER 203
3/10 DAL 87, GS 111 +4 L OVER 195
3/16 PHX 109, DET 101 -5 W OVER 197.5
3/22 LAC 90, NO 97 -4.5 L OVER 181
3/24 MIL 104, IND* 125 -4.5 L OVER 204.5
3/24 MIL 104, IND* 125 +4.5 W OVER 204.5
3/25 ATL 139, UT 133 -1 W OVER 190
3/25 SA 93, PHI 79 -3 W UNDER 192.5
3/26 WSH 77, DET 79 +1 L UNDER 193
4/4 MEM 85, DAL 95 +6 L UNDER 185
4/6 WSH 98, NJ 110 +8 L OVER 197
4/15 BOS 94, CHA 82 -6.5 W UNDER 180
4/15 CLE 84, ORL 100 +6.5 L UNDER 190.5
4/18 PHI at CLE
4/18 SA at SAC
4/19 DET vs. MIN
4/22 GS at MIN
*BOTH TEAMS PLAYING 3/3 NIGHTS



Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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04/18/2012 01:07 PM
Western Betting Notes

April 18, 2012

By this time next week, most NBA teams will be preparing for their final regular-season game.

Right now, it’s crunch time, filled with talk of tanking, preferred matchups and strategy that adds yet another element to the handicapping game.

The Eastern Conference picture looks to be closer to focus, as the top three seeds are virtually locked in barring an unlikely Bulls collapse and the next three are all jockeying for position secure in the knowledge that they'll be avoiding Chicago and Miami.

Out west, it's wilder. Whether you're booing or cheering that bad pun, let's move on to Wednesday's implication-filled card.

New Orleans at Memphis

The Grizzlies still hold out hope for opening their first-round series at FedEx Forum, but there's little wiggle room to make it happen. An unexpected loss in New Orleans (75-88) on Sunday removed any room for error, but Memphis does have an easier schedule than the L.A. franchises they're attempting to catch, especially since both the Clippers and Lakers are each due just one more home date at Staples Center. Memphis begins a stretch of four out of five at home against the Hornets and they know its only excursion will take it to hapless Charlotte. Winning out is possible, but it has to start tonight against a team that's still playing with integrity for coach Monty Williams, fueled by career backups Greivis Vasquez and Jason Smith making the most of increased minutes. Marc Gasol is expected to try and play through a knee issue that contributed to a 2-for-8 night in Tuesday's 91-84 win at Minnesota. The Hornets have covered six straight and eight of 10 while the Grizzlies are mired in a 0-4 slump against the spread.

Houston at Dallas

The Mavericks have been cursed by the basketball gods this week, putting in four overtime periods with nothing to show for it but a pair of costly losses. Dallas felt a blown basket-interference call on a Pau Gasol 3-pointer with the shot clock expiring contributed greatly to a 112-108 loss in L.A., which was followed up by a triple-OT setback (121-123) in Salt Lake City on Monday. The Rockets were exposed as the inferior team in a home-and-home with Denver, backing them into a position where they'll have to hold off Phoenix and Utah for the No. 8 seed. Dallas will be squarely in that mix if it fails to secure this home date with an in-state rival it has beaten twice since the All-Star break. A win would put the Mavericks in the clear as far as making the postseason is concerned, as they have just three games remaining after tonight. The Rockets could be without centers Marcus Camby and Samuel Dalembert, both of whom are dealing with back issues. Dallas has won and covered both games against Houston this season. The Rockets are 0-4 both SU and ATS in their last four games, behind a suspect defense that has allowed 105.3 points per game during this stretch.

L.A. Clippers at Denver

Sweeping Houston cleared a major hurdle for a Nuggets squad that dropped an Apr. 7 game at Golden State (97-112) and looked to be spiraling out of the playoff picture. Since, they've won four of five and got the good news that Orlando will be coming to town next Sunday without All-Star Dwight Howard. The Nuggets aren't going to reach the 40-win mark necessary to secure a top-four seed in this shortened season, but have an opportunity to continue building momentum and send a message to a potential first-round foe, these Clippers. L.A. is hoping to beat out the Kobe Bryant-less Lakers for the Pacific Division title and has seen Chris Paul elevate his game over the past few weeks, sending his young teammates the message that it's time to get serious and justify the hype Lob City has enjoyed all season. The Clippers are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10, plus they’ve beaten the Nuggets in two of three encounters this season.

Oklahoma City at Phoenix

The Suns are in position to qualify for the postseason because of their road prowess this month, but fortunately for them, the rest of the heavy lifting is set to be done downtown at US Airways Center. Unfortunately, it will have to be done exclusively against playoff teams, as the Thunder, Clippers, Nuggets and Spurs all come through. Steve Nash has been dealing with a bum hip and Grant Hill is cautiously coming back from knee surgery, so the Suns will certainly need a boost from the home crowd against a Thunder squad that's tied with San Antonio as the top road team (19-11) in the Western Conference. Oklahoma City badly wants to finish as the No. 1 seed to secure the homecourt edge over the Spurs, but is just 5-5 this month. Playing their third of a five-game road swing, the Thunder come in confident with wins in five of their last six meetings with the Suns, including a pair this season by double-digits. This series has been known for high-scoring affairs, which has helped the ‘over’ cash in six straight. The Suns have gone 6-4 ATS as home underdogs this season.

San Antonio at Sacramento

Gregg Popovich has always said he's not going to put acquiring the No. 1 seed above the health and maintenance of his players, so don't expect him to deviate from that core belief as the Spurs play their third game in as many nights in Sacramento. Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili all played their normal complement of minutes in Tuesday's demolition of the Lakers (112-91), so you shouldn't expect to see them out on the floor against the Kings, especially since each made cameos in Monday's win at Golden State (120-99). DeJuan Blair sat against the Lakers and will undoubtedly replace Duncan as the focal point inside alongside Tiago Splitter, which means DeMarcus Cousins should have another big night. The visitor has won and covered both of the two meetings between the Kings and Spurs this season.

Utah at Portland

Surviving Dallas kept the Jazz in serious contention for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference, so it bodes well for them that they'll see the Blazers twice in their final four games, starting with this stop at the Rose Garden that represents the final road trip of the regular season. The Blazers are among the most banged up teams in the NBA, limping to the finish line without LaMarcus Aldridge as Raymond Felton, Nicolas Batum and Joel Przybilla all deal with various ailments that have affected their play of late. Utah has overcome a myriad of injuries on the wing thanks to the play of Gordon Hayward and D-League pickup DeMarre Carroll, currently achieving cult status in Salt Lake City. Ironically, he'll see a lot of former Jazz standout Wes Matthews here, who similarly came out of nowhere and wound up being plucked out of Utah by a lucrative offer from the Blazers in 2010. Utah has won both of its battles against Portland this season, but the victories were by four and five points.

L.A. Lakers at Golden State

Kobe Bryant will miss another game as he continues to try and get his body back to 100 percent for a playoff run, but after last night's beatdown at the hands of the Spurs, it's up to his teammates to regain the swagger they had begun developing in winning four straight despite his absence. Luckily for L.A., the Warriors are in tank mode, looking to ensure they wind up with a Top-7 pick as any selection higher would be defaulted to Utah thanks to an existing trade clause. Unless they come out comatose, this should be a gimme win for the Lakers, whose ability to hold off the Clippers for the Pacific Division will likely be determined this weekend. With Bryant potentially returning to the mix, L.A. is at San Antonio on Friday and hosts Oklahoma City on Sunday in massive statement games. The Lakers opened as 6 ½-point favorites over the Warriors and it should be noted that L.A. is 3-0 SU versus Golden State this season but 0-3 ATS.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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04/18/2012 01:10 PM
Around the Horn - Wednesday

April 17, 2012

NATIONAL LEAGUE


N.Y. Mets at Atlanta - 12:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Dickey (2-0, 2.08 ERA) 7-4 UNDER 6-0 L6 vs RHP
Jurrjens (0-1, 7.71 ERA) 6-5 UNDER 3-1 L4 vs RHP




Mets beat Braves, 6-1 on Monday
Braves beat Mets, 9-3 on Tuesday

Pittsburgh at Arizona - 3:40 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
McDonald (0-1, 3.86 ERA) 4-7 UNDER 7-1 L8 away
Hudson (1-0, 8.71 ERA) 7-4 4-1 L5 home




Diamondbacks beat Pirates, 5-1 on Monday
Pirates beat Diamondbacks, 5-4 on Tuesday

Houston at Washington - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Harrell (1-0, 3.27 ERA) 4-7 OVER 4-1 L5 away
Zimmermann (0-1, 1.29 ERA) 9-3 5-1 L6 home




Nationals beat Astros, 6-3 on Monday
Nationals beat Astros, 1-0 on Tuesday

Chicago at Miami - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Garza (1-0, 1.23 ERA) 3-8 6-3 L9 vs LHP since Sept. 2011
Buehrle (0-2, 3.65 ERA) 5-6 3-6 L9 vs RHP




Marlins beat Cubs, 5-2 on Tuesday

Los Angeles at Milwaukee - 8:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Capuano (1-0, 5.40 ERA) 9-2 6-1 L7 vs RHP
Greinke (1-1, 6.75 ERA) 5-6 OVER 6-1 L7 vs LHP since Sept. 2011




Brewers beat Dodgers, 5-4 on Tuesday

Cincinnati at St. Louis - 8:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Latos (0-1, 5.59 ERA) 4-7 3-1 L4 vs LHP
Garcia (1-0, 4.22 ERA) 8-3 UNDER 7-2 L9 vs RHP




Cardinals beat Reds, 2-1 on Tuesday

San Diego at Colorado - 8:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Richard (1-0, 2.77 ERA) 3-9 2-4 L6 vs RHP
Nicasio (0-0, 6.52 ERA) 5-6 UNDER 3-0-1 L4 vs LHP




Padres beat Rockies, 7-1 on Monday
Rockies beat Padres, 5-3 on Tuesday

Philadelphia at San Francisco - 10:15 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Lee (0-1, 3.46 ERA) 5-6 OVER 7-1 vs RHP
Cain (1-0, 3.00 ERA) 5-6 UNDER 4-1 L5 home




Phillies beat Giants, 5-2 on Monday
Giants beat Phillies, 4-2 on Tuesday

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Texas at Boston - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Holland (1-0, 3.38 ERA) 9-2 UNDER 3-1 L4 away
Beckett (1-1, 5.68 ERA) 4-7 OVER 4-1 L5 home




Rangers beat Red Sox, 18-3 on Tuesday

Minnesota at N.Y. Yankees - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Marquis (NR) 3-8 3-6 L9 away
Kuroda (1-1, 2.63 ERA) 6-5 UNDER 3-1 L4 home




Twins beat Yankees, 7-3 on Monday
Yankees beat Twins, 8-3 on Tuesday

Tampa Bay at Toronto - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Price (1-1, 4.82 ERA) 5-6 2-6 L8 away
Morrow (0-0, 2.57 ERA) 6-4 OVER 5-2 L7 home




Blue Jays beat Rays, 7-3 on Tuesday

Baltimore at Chicago - 8:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hunter (1-0, 2.77 ERA) 7-4 OVER 4-1 L5 away
Peavy (1-0, 3.55 ERA) 5-6 UNDER 4-1 L5 home




Orioles beat White Sox, 10-4 on Monday
Orioles beat White Sox, 3-2 on Tuesday

Detroit at Kansas City - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Scherzer (0-1, 10.38 ERA) 8-3 UNDER 5-0 L5 away
Sanchez (1-0, 8.22 ERA) 3-8 0-5 L5 home




Tigers beat Royals, 3-2 on Monday
Tigers beat Royals, 3-1 on Tuesday

Oakland at Los Angeles - 10:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Colon (2-1, 3.72 ERA) 5-7 UNDER 5-2 L7 vs RHP
Santana (0-2, 7.71 ERA) 4-7 4-2 L6 vs OAK




Angels beat Athletics, 6-0 on Monday
Athletics beat Angels, 5-3 on Tuesday

Cleveland at Seattle - 10:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Lowe (2-0, 1.98 ERA) 5-4 OVER 3-1 L4 vs LHP
Vargas (1-1, 3.44 ERA) 6-6 OVER 8-2 L10 vs CLE




Indians beat Mariners, 9-8 on Tuesday
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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