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steve_janus
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NBA FREE PICK: San Antonio Spurs -3.5

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On 04/17/2012 12:47 PM in Cappers
San Antonio vs. LA Lakers, 04/17/2012 22:30
Point Spread: -3½/-105 San Antonio

NBA FREE PICK: San Antonio Spurs -3.5

The Lakers have played surprisingly well without Kobe Bryant in the lineup, but I think they are in big trouble against the Spurs tonight. Los Angeles went into San Antonio and embarrassed the Spurs 98-84 last Wednesday without Bryant.

I expect the Spurs to come out extremely motivated to return the favor in front of a national audience on TNT. San Antonio rested their key players against Warriors last night to make sure they are ready to go full throttle in this one. Duncan played just under 12 minutes, while Parker and Ginobili each played less than 15 minutes.

If the Spurs don't get the No. 1 seed, there is a pretty good chance these two teams will face off in the Western Conference Semifinals. While these two teams play again in San Antonio next week, I think this is a game the Spurs really need to win. If they can't beat the Lakers without Bryant, how are they going to be confident they can win a 7-game series against Los Angeles.

San Antonio is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4 and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Los Angeles is just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games. BET THE SPURS!

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