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steve_janus
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NBA FREE PICK: Milwaukee Bucks -4.5

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On 04/11/2012 12:09 PM in Cappers
New York vs. Milwaukee, 04/11/2012 20:00
Point Spread: -4½/-105 Milwaukee

NBA FREE PICK: Milwaukee Bucks -4.5

The Bucks come into tonight's game trailing the Knicks by one game for the 8th and final spot in the Eastern Conference. Both teams have really turned it on down the stretch. New York has won 11 of their last 15 while Milwaukee has cashed in 13 of their last 18 overall. While the Knicks won the last meeting 89-80 on their home floor, Milwaukee leads the season series 2-1.

This is a huge game for both teams, as their playoff lives could very well depend on the outcome of this game. My money is on the Bucks to not only win, but to win by at least 5-points. Most of New York's success has come on at home. They are just 10-18 straight up and 11-17 ATS on the road this season.

A huge factor that you can't overlook is the fact that the Knicks just played at Chicago last night. It's hard enough to bounce back with a lot of intensity in the second of a back-to-back road set, but it's even harder when you play such a big game the night before. I look for the Bucks to play with a lot more energy in front of their home crowd.

Milwaukee will also be motivated from am embarrassing 89-109 loss at home to the Thunder on Monday. The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. BET THE BUCKS!

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