cnotes Posts:26548 Followers:33
On 04/02/2012 07:55 PM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes Monday's Best Bets !

NBA + NCAA Best Bets !

04/02/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [603] TOTAL o185½ 1.91
(HOUSTON vrs CHICAGO)

04/02/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [604] CHICAGO -8 1.91

04/02/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [606] OKLAHOMA CITY -7½ 1.91

04/02/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [606] TOTAL u196 1.91
(MEMPHIS vrs OKLAHOMA CITY)

04/02/2012 @ 05:35 PM NBA [608] DALLAS -4½ 1.91

04/02/2012 @ 05:35 PM NBA [608] TOTAL u189½ 1.91
(LA CLIPPERS vrs DALLAS)

04/02/2012 @ 07:05 PM NBA [609] MINNESOTA +3½ 1.91

04/02/2012 @ 07:05 PM NBA [609] TOTAL o217½ 1.91
(MINNESOTA vrs SACRAMENTO)

04/02/2012 @ 07:05 PM NBA [611] UTAH +2 1.91

04/02/2012 @ 07:05 PM NBA [612] TOTAL u198½ 1.91
(UTAH vrs PORTLAND)

04/02/2012 @ 06:20 PM CBB [613] KANSAS +6½ 1.91

04/02/2012 @ 06:20 PM CBB [613] TOTAL o137½ 1.91
(KANSAS vrs KENTUCKY)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26548 Followers:33
04/02/2012 08:00 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Kansas vs. Kentucky
The Wildcats look to take advantage of a Kansas team that is coming off a 64-62 win over Ohio State and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following an ATS victory. Kentucky is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 2

Game 613-614: Kansas vs. Kentucky (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 74.827; Kentucky 83.082
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 8 1/2; 143
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 6; 139
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-6); Over




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, April 2

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KANSAS (32 - 6) vs. KENTUCKY (37 - 2) - 4/2/2012, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
KENTUCKY is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 2

Since 1987, #1's are 5-0 SU in national title game vs #2-seed (3-2 against spread); last #2 seed to beat a #1 for national title was Louisville in '86 against Duke. Over last dozen years, favorites are 9-3 against spread in national title game.

Jayhawks have actually been outscored in the first half, if you add up all five games they've played in this tournament; Withey has to stay out of foul trouble for this to be close game. Kentucky (-6.5) won first meeting this season, beating Kansas 75-65 November 15 in NYC; game was tied 28-28 at half, but Wildcats opened second half with 13-2 run. All five starters for Kentucky scored between 12-17 points. Wildcats made 7-15 behind arc; Anthony Davis blocked seven shots. Self beat Calipari back in '08 in this spot, when Memphis lost in OT as 2-point favorite- thats last time favorite lost the national title game.

Kansas will not get stressed when they fall behind, because they've been getting behind in every game; they'll play with poise, but can they get the big guy Davis in foul trouble? Can Withey stay out of foul trouble? If I'm Bill Self, at the end of my pre-game prayer, I ask the good Lord to not let the better team win. I'll say Kentucky by nine points.




NCAAB

Monday, April 2

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Trend Report
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9:20 PM
KANSAS vs. KENTUCKY
No trends available
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games


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NCAAB

Monday, April 2

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NCAAB Championship Game: What bettors need to know
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Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kentucky Wildcats (-6, 137)

THE STORY: Kentucky is the favorite, loaded with next-level talent throughout the lineup -- and even on the bench. Kansas is the surprise contender, the team that won its eighth consecutive regular-season conference title in what was supposed to be a "down" year. They both made it to New Orleans and survived hard-fought national semifinals to meet for the championship in a rematch for Kansas coach Bill Self and Kentucky coach John Calipari, whose Memphis team lost to Self's Jayhawks in the 2008 title game. The title tilt features two of the nation's best big men in Kentucky freshman Anthony Davis and Kansas junior Thomas Robinson, as well as two of the best defensive teams in the country.

TV: 9:23 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT KANSAS (32-6): The Jayhawks are in the national championship game for the eighth time - and first since 2008 - and this appearance might be their most unlikely since the group nicknamed "Danny and the Miracles" won it all as a No. 6 seed in 1988. Senior guard Tyshawn Taylor (16.5 ppg, 4.8 apg) was the only full-time starter returning for Self at the start of the season, and though it was apparent Robinson (17.7 ppg, 11.7 rpg) had the skills to develop into a dominant post presence, the rest of Kansas' lineup was in flux. But 7-foot center Jeff Withey (9.1 ppg, 6.3 rpg) emerged as an excellent defender. With seven blocks against Ohio State on Saturday, he has a school-record 136 this season. Juniors Elijah Johnson (10.1 ppg, 3.6 apg) and Travis Releford (8.6 ppg) have teamed with Taylor to become a dynamic backcourt group.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (37-2): College basketball's all-time leader with 2,089 wins is in the national championship game for the 11th time, but amazingly the first since winning the title in 1998. The Wildcats showed they were beatable by losing the SEC tournament title game to Vanderbilt, but they've looked anything but through five games in the NCAA tournament. Saturday's 69-61 win over Louisville was Kentucky's closest test yet, but it was never really in doubt despite swingman Michael Kidd-Gilchrist playing only 23 minutes because of foul trouble and the Cardinals owning a surprising 40-33 rebounding edge. The freshman phenom Davis led the way with 18 points, 14 rebounds and five blocks. Davis needs two blocks to match the national freshman record of 182 set by Marshall's Hassan Whiteside in 2010.

TRENDS

* Kentucky is 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 non-conference games.
* Kansas is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games against SEC foes.
* Under is 18-4 in Kansas' last 22 NCAA tournament games.
* Over is 4-1 in Kentucky's 2012 NCAA tournament games.

TIP-INS

1. With 26 double-doubles, Robinson leads the nation and has surpassed Drew Gooden for Kansas' single-season record. With 20 double-doubles, Davis has matched DeMarcus Cousins for the Kentucky freshman record.

2. Johnson had 13 points and 10 rebounds against Ohio State for his first career double-double. He scored 11 of his 13 points in the second half, helping Kansas rally from an early 13-point deficit.

3. Kansas has led at halftime in only one of its five NCAA tournament games. The Jayhawks rallied from halftime deficits against Ohio State, N.C. State and Purdue and was tied at half against North Carolina. Kentucky is 31-0 when leading at halftime.


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NCAAB

Monday, April 2

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Kansas vs. Kentucky: Who'll cover the spread?
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Over 10,000 college basketball games have been played this season to determine the matchup for Monday’s national championship game.

For a matchup of this magnitude, we got the help of two guys who’ve written previews for a good chunk of those games to help us determine which team – Kentucky or Kansas – will cover the spread.

Kansas vs. Kentucky (-6, 137.5)

Why Kansas will cover


Larry Hartstein explains why he thinks the Jayhawks will rock - and shock – big chalk Kentucky.

Defensive efficiency

Kentucky might have the nation’s top shot blocker, but no team is playing better defense than Kansas.

The Jayhawks came into the tournament ranked fourth nationally in defensive efficiency, then turned it up a notch. In five NCAA games, Kansas has held opponents to 35.3 percent shooting (107 of 303).

Kansas has its own shot-blocking machine in 7-foot Jeff Withey. He swatted seven in the semifinal win, altered several others, and harassed Jared Sullinger into a 5-of-19 nightmare.

With Withey, star forward Thomas Robinson and 6-8 Kevin Young, the Jayhawks won’t be intimidated by Kentucky’s size. Kansas just dominated the glass, 42-30, against one of the nation’s top rebounding teams, while Kentucky just gave up 16 offensive rebounds.

Tyshawn Taylor

Here’s the best sign for Kansas: the Jayhawks advanced despite a poor shooting night from Tyshawn Taylor, as Travis Releford and Elijah Johnson combined for 28 points (on 11-of-16 shooting) and 16 rebounds.

Now Taylor, the senior point guard, should win his matchup with freshman point guard Marquis Teague. It will be a breath of fresh air for Taylor after getting pestered by the nation’s top defensive guard, Aaron Craft. If Taylor gets going offensively, this game goes down to the wire.

Coaching

Coach Bill Self is 3-0 all-time in the Final Four -- including the 2008 final when he beat another more talented team coached by John Calipari. Self’s Jayhawks trailed Memphis by nine with 2:12 left in that championship game. The Tigers didn’t foul in the final moments with a 3-point lead, enabling Mario Chalmers to nail the trey that sent the game to overtime.

Self’s 2012 team didn’t make the same mistake Saturday. We’ll take the coaching edge, and the generous points.



Why Kentucky Covers

David Purdum tells us why he thinks the Wildcats will run wild on Kansas.

Talent Gap

Only one team has the ability the turn the national championship game into a laugher – Kentucky.

With a roster full of future pros, the Wildcats can play at a level that the Jayhawks can only admire.

Kentucky has six players considered among the top 100 NBA prospects, including the likely No. 1 and 2 overall picks in Anthony Davis and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist respectively.

Don’t underestimate this talent gap.

This is a Kansas team that lost to Davidson. Kentucky overwhelmed its non-BCS conference opponents by an average of 28.5 points.

When John Calipari goes to his bench, he brings in future pro Darius Miller. When Bill Self goes to his bench, he brings in Connor Teahan. Again, talent gap.

Easy buckets

The Wildcats had nine dunks against Louisville. Does Kansas have that many in the tournament?

Ask Butler how important it is to get easy baskets in a big-stage title game. The Bulldogs never recovered from a dismal shooting start in 53-41 loss to UConn in last year’s national championship game.

Where are the easy baskets going to come from for Kansas? If Thomas Robinson struggles against Kentucky’s length—much like he did in the KU’s Big 12 tournament loss to athletic Baylor—the Jayhawk guards better get off to a hot start. Point guard Tyshawn Taylor is 0-for-the-tournament on 3-pointers.

Kansas was on the verge of getting run out of the gym against Purdue and Ohio State, but neither the Boilermakers nor Buckeyes could deliver the dagger. Kentucky has the firepower on both ends of the court to finish off the Jayhawks.

Kentucky is 77-1 under Calipari when holding an opponent to 67 points or fewer. Kansas has surpassed the 67-point plateau just once in its five tournament games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26548 Followers:33
04/02/2012 08:02 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Utah at Portland
The Jazz look to take advantage of a Portland team that is coming off a 119-106 win over Minnesota and is 0-9 ATS in its last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Utah is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

MONDAY, APRIL 2

Game 601-602: Milwaukee at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 119.763; Washington 119.481
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 5 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5 1/2); N/A

Game 603-604: Houston at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 115.851; Chicago 125.777
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 10; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 8 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-8 1/2); Over

Game 605-606: Memphis at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 119.598; Oklahoma City 126.116
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8; 198
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+8); Over

Game 607-608: LA Clippers at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 117.184; Dallas 123.691
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4 1/2); Under

Game 609-610: Minnesota at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.699; Sacramento 118.776
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 7; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 2 1/2; 216
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-2 1/2); Under

Game 611-612: Utah at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 118.589; Portland 118.865
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2); N/A




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 2

Hot Teams
-- Bucks won/covered six of their last seven road games.
-- Chicago is 7-3 vs spread as a single digit home favorite.
-- Oklahoma City won its last six games (5-1 vs spread); they're 8-5 as home favorites of 9 or less points. Grizzlies won/covered three of their last four games; they're 8-10 as a road dog, 3-5 if spread was 6+ points.
-- Dallas won six of last seven home games; they're 4-6-1 as home faves of 5 or less points. Clippers won last five games, but they were all at home; they've lost three in row on road, by 13-23-7 points.
-- Portland won four of its last five home games.

Cold Teams
-- Wizards lost six of their last seven games; they're 1-5 as home dogs of 6 or less points.
-- Rockets lost eight of last eleven road games (2-8-1 vs spread).
-- Sacramento lost five of its last six games. Timberwolves lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Jazz lost four of their last five games.

Wear-and-Tear
-- Bucks: 3rd game/4 nites. Wizards: 9th game/13 nites.
-- Rockets: 3rd game/4 nites. Bulls: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Grizzlies: 3rd game/4 nites. Thunder: 2nd in row after 2 nites off.
-- Clippers: 3rd game/4 nites. Mavericks: Had last 2 nites off.
-- T'wolves: 5th game/7 nites. Kings: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Jazz: 3rd game/4 nites. Blazers: 4th game/5 nites.

Totals
-- Over is 9-2 in Milwaukee's last eleven road games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Chicago games.
-- Six of last eight Memphis road games stayed under total.
-- Last five Clipper road games went over the total.
-- Last seven Sacramento home games went over the total.
-- Nine of last 12 Utah road games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Washington is 2-3 vs spread at home if it lost the night before.
-- Rockets are 2-8 vs spread on road if they played night before. Bulls are 5-0 (4-1 vs spread) if they lost the day before.
-- Minnesota is 3-5 vs spread if on road for second night in row.
-- Trailblazers are 4-3 vs spread if they played the night before.




NBA

Monday, April 2

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
Milwaukee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Memphis's last 11 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHICAGO
Houston is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Houston is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games

8:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. DALLAS
LA Clippers are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games when playing Dallas
LA Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 11-1 SU in their last 12 games when playing LA Clippers
Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

10:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SACRAMENTO
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

10:00 PM
UTAH vs. PORTLAND
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Utah


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NBA

Monday, April 2

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Pick 'n' roll: Monday's best NBA bets
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Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder (-8, 198)

After plodding along for a couple of weeks in mid-March, the Thunder has turned the corner into full-on championship mode. Winners of six straight, the Thunder has knocked off a series of top teams in convincing fashion. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are among a group of teams packed tightly in the bottom half of the Western Conference playoff bracket.

Memphis had looked to be slipping all the way out of the playoff picture before turning it on recently. The difference has come on the defensive end, with the Grizzlies holding each of their last four opponents under 100 points. They managed to slow down a red-hot Milwaukee team on Saturday, getting strong play from O.J. Mayo and Rudy Gay in the process. But the Grizzlies have already lost to Oklahoma City three times this season.

The Thunder has handled the Heat, Clippers and Lakers during their recent surge. Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant have taken turns handling the scoring load.

Oklahoma City is 5-2 ATS in its last seven meetings with Memphis.

Pick: Thunder


Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks (-4.5, 189.5)

The Clippers are riding their longest winning streak in over five years and will look to continue the momentum on the road. Fresh off a perfect five-game homestand that marked the team’s longest winning streak since November 2006, the Clippers will visit the defending NBA champion Dallas Mavericks on Monday night.

Chris Paul has averaged 21.0 points during the winning streak and has continually taken over games in the fourth quarter. Blake Griffin has bounced back from some inconsistent play earlier in the month to score at least 20 points in six consecutive games.

Dallas, playing its ninth consecutive game against a playoff contender, is finally getting healthy. Reserve guard Delonte West, seeing his first significant action since breaking a finger on Feb. 15, had 15 points and five assists in Friday’s come-from-behind win at Orlando. "Delonte West played a massive game for us,” head coach Rick Carlisle said. Center Brendan Haywood returned from a seven-game absence and made headlines after Magic coach Stan Van Gundy accused him of punching Dwight Howard.

The Mavericks have won 17 of the last 19 meetings with the Clippers. And Dallas is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

Pick: Mavericks

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26548 Followers:33
04/02/2012 08:03 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, April 2

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MILWAUKEE (24 - 28) at WASHINGTON (12 - 40) - 4/2/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (28 - 25) at CHICAGO (42 - 12) - 4/2/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 32-22 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 82-54 ATS (+22.6 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
CHICAGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 240-188 ATS (+33.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 76-40 ATS (+32.0 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (28 - 22) at OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 12) - 4/2/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 81-67 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 83-60 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 44-22 ATS (+19.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-7 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-7 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (31 - 21) at DALLAS (30 - 23) - 4/2/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 387-457 ATS (-115.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 144-183 ATS (-57.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 129-180 ATS (-69.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 87-66 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 125-92 ATS (+23.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DALLAS is 248-189 ATS (+40.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (25 - 29) at SACRAMENTO (18 - 34) - 4/2/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 40-58 ATS (-23.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-5 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (27 - 26) at PORTLAND (25 - 28) - 4/2/2012, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26548 Followers:33
04/02/2012 08:06 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, April 2

MILWAUKEE at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
MILWAUKEE: 34-16 ATS Away second half of the season
WASHINGTON: 19-40 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points

HOUSTON at CHICAGO, 8:05 PM ET
HOUSTON: 13-26 ATS Away on back to back days
CHICAGO: 25-12 ATS off SU Loss

MEMPHIS at OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:05 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 19-7 ATS off SU dog win
OKLAHOMA CITY: 7-1 Over at home vs. Memphis

LA CLIPPERS at DALLAS, 8:35 PM ET
LA CLIPPERS: 1-9 ATS off 3+ home games
DALLAS: 6-1 ATS vs. Clippers

MINNESOTA at SACRAMENTO, 10:05 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 12-4 ATS Away off ATS loss
SACRAMENTO: 8-1 Over if favorite last game

UTAH at PORTLAND, 10:05 PM ET
UTAH: 47-30 ATS playing their 3rd game in 4 days
PORTLAND: 1-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26548 Followers:33
04/02/2012 08:08 PM

NHL
Dunkel

Washington at Tampa Bay
The Lightning look to take advantage of a Washington team that is coming off a 3-2 win over Montreal and is 5-11 in its last 16 games after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Tampa Bay is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 2

Game 51-52: Washington at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.463; Tampa Bay 12.061
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-130); 5 1/2;
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+110); Over

Game 53-54: Edmonton at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.183; Los Angeles 11.658
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-240); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-240); Under




NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 2

Hot teams
-- Lightning won its last three home games, allowing seven goals. Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Los Angeles won six of its last seven home games. Edmonton won four of its last five road games.

Cold teams
-- None.

Totals
-- Four of last five Tampa Bay games stayed over total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Edmonton games.

Series records
-- Home side won last seven Washington-Tampa Bay games.
-- Kings won six of last seven games against Edmonton.

Back-to-Back
-- Oilers are 1-5 when they won the night before.




NHL

Monday, April 2

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

10:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Edmonton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


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NHL

Monday, April 2

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Pucking the trends: This week's best NHL bets
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Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

HOT TEAM: Vancouver Canucks

The cliches all fit at this time of the year. You have to take it one game at a time. You have to worry about the things you can control. And you have to make the most of your home games.

Well, Vancouver has done all three, especially the latter. In defeating Calgary, 3-2, on Saturday night, the Canucks took over the No. 1 spot in the Western Conference with three games left. The victory was also the team's sixth straight, the last four of which came at home. The run is even more impressive when you consider all of those wins came without injured forward Daniel Sedin, who is recovering from a concussion.

The Canucks have done it all in this stretch, but their defense and goaltending have been paramount. No opponent in those six games scored more than two goals, and goaltenders Roberto Luongo and Cory Schneider now have a combined 2.24 goals-against average.

The schedule is awfully kind the rest of the way, so this pattern may hold. Vancouver closes with three teams who will not be in the postseason: Anaheim, Calgary and Edmonton.

COLD TEAM: Carolina Hurricanes

Typically, we shy away from teams who've packed it in for the season, but we want to highlight Carolina because this team could truly affect the Eastern Conference playoff race in the season's last week.

The Hurricanes have three games left, and two of them will mean the world for their opponents: Tuesday at Ottawa,Saturday at Florida. Both teams will likely throw everything at the Hurricanes as the battle for positioning winds down. And if form holds, Carolina won't put up much of a fight.

On Saturday, the Hurricanes were blasted by the Devils, 5-0, in Raleigh, as New Jersey clinched a postseason berth. The loss was Carolina's fourth in the last five games, and the Hurricanes' second shutout loss this month.

Coach Kirk Muller has a lot of work to do in the offseason, and keeping the troops motivated might be No. 1 on his list. After all, there is talent on this roster. To look at the stat sheet on April 1 and find that only two players -- Eric Staal and Jeff Skinner -- have topped 20 goals? That's a problem.

OVER PLAY: New Jersey Devils

Some teams are playing more recklessly these days. But with what's at stake right now for New Jersey, we find it awfully interesting that the Devils of all teams are more up and down the ice than normal.

The aforementioned 5-0 win Saturday over Carolina calmed things down for coach Peter DeBoer's team on the backline. But strangely enough, this normally defensively sound club has been making money for over bettors.

The Devils are 3-1-1 over in their last five, 5-2-1 in their last eight. The games have been bizarre, too: A 6-4 win over Tampa Bay on Thursday, in which New Jersey had to rally three times; a 4-3 shootout loss to the Maple Leafs on March 23, in which the Devils also had to rally just to extract a point.

Depending on a first-round matchup, this style may be OK. As of now, the Devils seem locked into the No. 6 hole, where they'd face Florida, a team new to the playoff mix. But if the Devils keep winning the rest of the way -- they have three games left, two at home -- and the Flyers keep struggling, well, New Jersey may end up in the No. 5 seed and play Pittsburgh in Round 1. The Devils don't want to match offensive firepower with the Penguins.

UNDER PLAY: Phoenix Coyotes

These are interesting times for Phoenix, a team that's generating a buzz and making people temporarily forget it might have to leave town soon. But for the here and now, the Coyotes are alive and well in the Western Conference postseason mix. They've been doing it with defense.

With the possibility of finishing as the Nos. 3, 7 or 8 seed -- or even possibly out of the fray altogether -- the Coyotes have buckled down on the back line and seem to be making the most of their opportunities. Saturday's 4-0 win over Anaheim was their third straight under and second consecutive shutout.

Goaltender Mike Smith has been a key. He made 44 saves against the Ducks, posted both of those blankings -- he now has seven this season -- and was also named the team's MVP over the weekend.

The schedule may help to continue this run. Phoenix has three games left, two against teams headed home before the postseason begins: Columbus and Minnesota.

SURVEYING THE SCHEDULE

** We mentioned the Devils' dilemma earlier, and how New Jersey may actually do harm to its positioning if it keeps winning. Well, Philadelphia, a team that could slide down and take the Devils' desirable No. 6 spot away from them, can also have a say, and the Flyers' road is not easy. If the Flyers truly want to avoid Pittsburgh, damage the Devils, and draw Florida in Round 1, it won't be all that difficult. Beginning on Sunday with a date at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia embarked on its final four games of the season. All are against tough teams fighting for either postseason life or matchups. There's another game with the Penguins, as well as home tilts against the Rangers and Sabres. Interesting conundrum for Philadelphia.

** San Jose stemmed a disturbing tide with a 3-0 win over Dallas on Saturday, but if the enigmatic Sharks want to make the postseason, they have a tough road to tackle this week. San Jose has three games left, all against teams fighting for their own playoff lives. The Sharks will again meet the Stars on Tuesday, then close with a home-and-home series against Los Angeles on Thursday and Saturday.


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NHL

Monday, April 2

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Ice picks: Monday's best NHL bets
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Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning (110, 5.5)

The Capitals will be in the playoffs if they can win their last three games, but it won’t be easy with two on the road, starting Monday at Tampa Bay.

Washington has lost just once in regulation in its last seven games and stand two points ahead of the ninth-place Buffalo Sabres. The Lightning are eliminated from playoff contention, but have won four of six.

Caps center Nicklas Backstrom returned Saturday after missing almost three months with a concussion, playing 19:40. That can only help an offense that has scored 12 goals in its last six games. Shootout victories in their last two games have given the Capitals a boost. Alex Ovechkin has no goals in his last three games, but nine in his last 10. Michal Neuvirth made 39 saves in the 3-2 victory over Montreal Saturday and is likely to get another start with Tomas Vokoun out with a groin injury. Alexander Semin has 41 points in 38 games against Tampa Bay.

Tampa's Steven Stamkos needs four goals in four games to become only the second player in 16 years to reach 60 goals in a season, joining Ovechkin (65 in 2007-08). Ryan Malone reached the 20-goal plateau for the sixth time in his eight NHL seasons by scoring five in the last two games. The Lightning’s 39 shots on goal in the 3-2 overtime victory over Winnipeg Saturday matched a season high.

The Lightning has beaten the Capitals four straight times at home.

Pick: Lightning


Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings (-240, 5)

By winning its final three games, Los Angeles will win the Pacific Division and earn the third seed in the Western Conference.

Brad Richardson is filling in admirably for Jeff Carter, who is nursing an ankle injury. Richardson tallied twice and captain Dustin Brown also scored in the Kings' 4-3 shootout loss to Minnesota on Saturday. Anze Kopitar, who has collected 21 points in his last 17 games, recorded a goal and an assist on Friday. All-Star Jonathan Quick sat out versus Minnesota, but turned aside 13 of 14 shots on Friday to improve to 6-1-3 in his career versus Edmonton.

Edmonton continues to collect points away from home. Teemu Hartikainen scored his first two goals of the season as the Oilers improved to 5-0-2 in their last seven road matches with a 2-1 victory over Anaheim on Sunday. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins notched an assist for his 51st point, tying him with Colorado's Gabriel Landeskog for the rookie scoring lead. The top overall pick of the 2011 draft, Nugent-Hopkins also had an assist in Friday's 4-1 loss to Los Angeles. Devan Dubnyk, who has won four of his last five starts, turned aside 20 shots in a 2-1 win over the Kings on Jan. 15.

Although its record leaves a bit to be desired, Edmonton has given Los Angeles a tough go this season. The Oilers have won two of the three meetings.

There's good value in the dog here.

Pick: Oilers

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26548 Followers:33
04/02/2012 08:09 PM

Monday's betting tips: Grizz-Thunder produces overs

Who’s hot

NCAAB: Kansas is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games vs. SEC teams.

NBA: The over is 19-7 in the last 26 Grizzlies-Thunder meetings.

NBA: The road team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 Rockets-Bulls games.

NHL: The home team is 7-0 in the last seven Capitals-Lightning games.

Who’s not

NCAAB: Kentucky is 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 non-conference games.

NBA: The Kings are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against losing teams.

NBA: The underdog is 4-11 ATS in the last 15 Jazz-Trail Blazers games.

NHL: Edmonton is 8-26 in its last 34 games playing on zero days’ rest.

Key stat

20 – That’s how many 3-pointers Kansas senior point guard Tyshawn Taylor has missed in the NCAA tournament, without making any. For the season, Taylor shoots a healthy 37.7 percent from beyond the arc. Taylor must revert to form for the Jayhawks to pull off the upset.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Los Angeles Kings center Jeff Carter could miss his third straight game with an ankle injury when the Oilers visit Monday. Carter, who has 21 goals and 13 assists in 55 games, is officially listed as questionable. He’s a key member of L.A.'s power play and has scored 10 times with the man advantage.

Game of the day

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kentucky Wildcats (-6, 137)

Notable quotable

"Are they beatable? No question about it, because Vanderbilt did it [in the SEC tournament]. But you're going to have to play great offense, great defense and you've got to bring your A-plus-game and they have to have a B-game. That's what has to happen. They're a great ballclub. You have to get one or two guys in foul trouble." – Louisville coach Rick Pitino, on whether Kentucky can be beaten.

Notes and tips

Clippers point guard Chris Paul, who bruised his right elbow in Saturday’s win over Utah, should be fine for Monday’s game in Dallas. Paul had 26 points on 10-of-14 shooting and added six assists despite missing time with the injury. L.A. has won five straight, going 4-1 ATS.

Mets lefty Johan Santana, who has not pitched in a game since Sept. 2, 2010, will pitch Thursday’s season opener at Citi Field against the Braves. Santana underwent surgery to repair a torn anterior capsule in his left shoulder at the end of the 2010 season. This will be Santana’s seventh Opening Day start, and fifth for the Mets. Santana has pitched 18 1/3 innings this spring, allowing 17 hits and seven earned runs. He has 13 strikeouts, seven walks and 3.44 ERA.

Charlotte forward Corey Maggette (15.4 ppg) could miss at least a week with a mild right Achilles strain. He had scored 41 points in two games before suffering the injury Friday night and missing Saturday’s loss to Detroit. The Bobcats visit Toronto on Tuesday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26548 Followers:33
04/02/2012 08:11 PM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Celtics held Miami to 28 second half points, drilled the Heat 91-72. Miami has been struggling on the road lately.

-- Oklahoma City hammered the Bulls 92-78, but you'd think Thunder need to find a reliable third scoring option to win an NBA title. No one other than Durant/Westbrook had more than 11 points.

-- Former Rockie Ubaldo Jiminez drilled Troy Tulowitzki with a pitch in Sunday's exhibition game, causing benches to empty. Tulowitzki left the game but the injury isn't supposed to be serious.

-- Read in NY Post Sunday that the last 16 Cowboy-Giant games have been at either 4:00 or a night game; their last 1:00 game was in 2004.

-- Canisius hired former URI coach Jom Baron. Solid hire. Anyone who is successful at St Bonaventure can win anywhere.

-- Only chance Kansas has tonight is if Davis gets in foul trouble; to me, if you pick against this Kentucky team, its wishful thinking.


*************


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a slow sports Sunday.....

13) Jeremy Lin needs knee surgery; by time he gets healthy, Knicks will be done for the season, so chances are Linsanity is a thing of the past in the Big Apple, since Lin will be a free agent and figures to get paid big money by someone other than the Knicks. Now they can go back to Carmelo Anthony having the ball all the time and playing unwatchable basketball. Too bad.

I know Knicks have been winning lately, but unless they win their division, they're playing Chicago-Miami in first round of playoffs; anyone out there think the Knicks beat them best-of-7 without Lin and Stoudemire?

12) CBS doesn't need three guys broadcasting Final Four games, and the guy who needs to go is Clark Kellogg; people who wanted Billy Packer gone can not possibly think Kellogg was an improvement. Steve Kerr is excellent on either college or NBA games. Actually, its too bad Hubie Brown doesn't do college games- that would be fun to listen to.

11) Pro golfer Briny Baird has made $12,596,088 in his PGA career, but has never won a tournament; you think he cares that much? No one on TV golf broadcasts ever talks about the money aspects the marginal golfer faces, but it has to be big. Winning isn't everything, earning a living is. Baird has made himself a terrific career without ever winning.

10) Since last August, Georgia Bulldogs have had four DBs transfer out, had another couple thrown off the team, suspended three others. How many do they have on their roster? Thats not even counting injuries. By the way, did a little college football work this weekend; its weird seeing some of the new league configurations. Missouri in the SEC just looks wrong.

9) Technical fouls in NBA should also be personal fouls; guys mouth off to the refs and don't get penalized- one foul shot, big deal.

8) Saw excellent high school game on TV late Saturday; Findlay Prep was down to Montverde Prep after three quarters, but scored 37 points in 8:00 fourth quarter to force OT, and then Findlay won in OT. Not sure who is paying the bills for a team from Florida playing a team from Las Vegas in Maryland, but it was fun to watch. High quality basketball. Most of kids on the floor will be Division I players.

7) Kobe Bryant missed his first 15 shots Saturday; don't see that a lot.

6) There have been five Final Fours played in New Orleans; not only has Rick Pitino coached in three of the five, he coached three different schools.

5) Kid on Kansas State gets suspended because a friend sent him $200; if you didn't notice, attendance at the Final Four Saturday was 73,361, all of whom paid a decent amount to get in. Where does all that money go? I'm not big on kids getting paid to play, but there has to be some compassion involved. Its hypocritical to suspend a kid over 200 frreakin' dollars when the powers-that-be are raking in millions to watch the kids play.

4) Kentucky-Louisville was terrific game; Cardinals should hold their heads high, knowing they did their best, even though it wasn't good enough. No regrets when it ends that way.

3) Got my first look at the new Marlins Park today; looks pretty cool, but could the nitwit Bronx announcers realize attendance will go up, if only due to the retractable roof, which guarantees there will be a game every night? In previous years, sporadic downpours in south Florida would make it unsure if a game would be played or not. Now you know there's a game, and with the new ballpark in downtown Miami, its easier to get to the game.

2) Stadium is on the site of the old Orange Bowl, which hosted five Super Bowls; lot of history on those grounds.

1) At first glance, even though they have a strong lineup, park looks like a pitcher's yard, which is a curious decision they made. There is also a bobblehead museum there, which looks like it could be a lot of fun to see.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: