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New York vs. Atlanta, 03/30/2012 19:30
Point Spread: +3½/-108 New York
NBA FREE PICK: New York Knicks +3.5
New York has won 8 of 9 since Mike Woodson replaced head coach Mike D'Antoni. Woodson has found a way to get the Knicks to play defense. Under D'antoni New York was allowing 96.5 ppg. With Woodson in charge, they are allowing just 86.0 ppg. Earlier in the season this would be an easy play on the Hawks at home, but I think the Knicks are showing the better value.
A big reason why I like fading Atlanta tonight, is this is a very tired group. The Hawks lost 77-98 at home to Chicago on Wednesday. That was their fifth game in six nights. I don't think one night off will have this team back at full strength.
I understand the Knicks will be playing without Amare Stoudemire and Jeremy Lin, but this is a much deeper team than a lot of people realize. Look for Carmelo Anthony to put this team on his shoulders and lead them to an outright win tonight.
Atlanta is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home, while the Knicks are a perfect 8-0 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BET NEW YORK!