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Cnotes All You Need To Know FINAL 4 Best Bets + NBA + NHL Best Bets for the week of 3/26-03/31

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On 03/26/2012 06:31 PM in NCAA Basketball
New Orleans ready for big-time Final 4

One game is a grudge match between teams that know each other all too well. The other is a rare rematch between virtual strangers.

The Final Four is set. In one game Saturday at the Superdome in New Orleans, Kentucky will play Louisville in an intrastate rivalry that will pit Cardinals coach Rick Pitino against the school he once coached, then later alienated by returning to the Bluegrass to lead its archrival.

In the other semifinal, it will be Ohio State and Kansas, meeting for only the ninth time in their history but for the second time this season. The Jayhawks won the first game 78-67 in Lawrence, Kan., back on Dec. 10. It was the first time the teams had met since 2000.

The winners will play for the national title April 2. Kentucky already has seven national titles but none since 1998, the year after Pitino left. Kansas has three championships, Louisville has two and Ohio State, better known as a football power, won its lone title in 1960 and is making its third trip to the Final Four since 1999.

Absent from this year's ultimate hoops weekend are the longshots and little guys who have made March Madness so special over the years. Although there are no Butlers or VCUs, there are plenty of good stories to tell. That list starts with Pitino vs. his old school.

It was Pitino who restored Kentucky to its former greatness when he arrived there in 1989 and the Wildcat program was coming off the sting of NCAA violations. Pitino took the program to three Final Fours and won one championship, but left in 1997 to take a second shot at the NBA, where he had previously tried and failed with the New York Knicks.

He didn't fare much better in four seasons with the Boston Celtics, and when the call back to the college game came, it came from Louisville, located only 70 miles up the road from Lexington and very much in the crosshairs of Kentucky fans. It has been 11 years, and most of the shock has worn off from what was once deemed an unforgivable betrayal. But there's nothing like a Final Four meeting to stir up some old memories.

``It is in our state. They're a great program. We're in two different leagues,'' Kentucky coach John Calipari said after the Wildcats beat Baylor 82-70 in the South Regional to advance to the Final Four for the second straight year. ``The city of Louisville drives our state. The University of Louisville drives that city. So it's a very important thing for our state, and it's important that that school does well.''

Maybe just not next Saturday.

The teams play every season, and most recently, they were ranked Nos. 3 and 4 in The Associated Press poll when they met on New Year's Eve. Kentucky won at home 69-62.

``We think they're excellent. We think they're great. I coached there. It's great. Great tradition,'' Pitino said Saturday, after Louisville rallied for a 72-68 win over Florida that put the Cardinals in the Final Four for the second time since the coach arrived. ``But we want to be Louisville. We have a different mission. They have a different mission. But we both want to get to a Final Four and win a championship.''

Led by a group of freshmen who may or may not return for a second year, Kentucky was established as an early 7.5-point favorite in the game. The Wildcats endured a brief scare when freshman Anthony Davis, their leading scorer, went down hard in the second half against Baylor with an injured knee. But it was only a knee-to-knee collision with a Baylor player and the injury isn't expected to be serious.

``The guys told me it was knee to knee,'' Calipari said of the early report from the trainers. ``I said, `Get up, mama's boy,' and he was fine.''
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/26/2012 06:33 PM
Kentucky-Louisville: Rivals in Final Four

ATLANTA (AP) - Think Kentucky vs. Louisville is a big deal during the regular season?

Try the Final Four.

Top-seeded Kentucky set up a Bluegrass showdown in the bayou on Sunday, romping past Baylor 82-70 in the South Regional final. The Wildcats took control with a 16-0 run in the first half, led by 20 at the break and cruised to their second straight Final Four.

Waiting in New Orleans: their rival from the hoops-crazed state.

Louisville had already won its regional, then watched as Kentucky completed the most important matchup ever between schools that are about 65 miles apart. They meet annually during the regular season - the Wildcats won 69-62 on New Year's Eve - and have played four times in the NCAA tournament.

But never in the Final Four.

``We know it's going to be a great game,'' Kentucky's Darius Miller said.

That would be a contrast from the win over Baylor - a very good team with a daring fashion sense that was simply no match for coach John Calipari's latest group of Fab Freshmen. Trailing 42-22 at halftime, the Bears never got closer than 10 the rest of the way, and that was long after Kentucky had taken its foot off the accelerator.

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist scored 19 points, Anthony Davis added 18 points and 11 rebounds, and Terrence Jones dazzled in all the overlooked areas: rebounds, assists, steals and blocks.

``This team is better than I thought,'' Baylor coach Scott Drew said. ``This is the best team we faced all year ... probably in a couple of years.''

Two years ago, the bears lost to eventual national champion Duke in another regional final.

``Duke was a good team,'' Drew said, ``but Kentucky is better.''

Now, the Wildcats (36-2) move on to the national semifinals Saturday to face Louisville.

Calipari planned to tell his team not to listen to all the hype. The Wildcats have their sights on a national title, and Louisville is merely a roadblock on the way to that goal.

``I'll tell them to get off the message boards, get off Twitter and Facebook,'' he said. ``Don't buy into it. We're going to New Orleans to play a basketball game. Forget about this tournament. Let's go be as good as we can be as a team.''

But it's impossible to get away from the extra significance this game has for both programs.

Louisville coach Rick Pitino led Kentucky to a national title in 1996. Then he left for the NBA, only to the return to the college ranks at the Wildcats' rival school, sparking plenty of animosity.

Calipari, who has been at Kentucky for three seasons, was asked about his relationship with Pitino.

``It's fine,'' Calipari said. ``I mean, we don't send each other Christmas cards. But I see him in public. Or in recruiting, we'll spend some time together.''

Kidd-Gilchrist shrugged when someone asked about playing the Cardinals.

``I'm just worried about us,'' he said. ``I don't worry about anybody else.''

Davis and Kidd-Gilchrist are the latest freshman stars in Calipari's one-and-done system, two guys who will likely be off to the NBA before they really learned their way around campus.

Two years ago, John Wall led Kentucky to the regional final. Last season, Brandon Knight helped the Wildcats reach the Final Four. Now, with those guys in the NBA - and Kidd-Gilchrist and Davis likely to be following shortly - Big Blue is again positioned to claim its first national title since 1998.

``There are some opinions that will never change,'' Calipari said. ``All I'm trying to do is coach these young people.''

But for all the talk about his freshmen, Calipari is getting plenty of contributions from those who hung around beyond their first year. Start with Jones, a sophomore forward who passed up the draft. He scored just one point in the opening half, but in the end his fingerprints were all over Kentucky's dominating performance: nine rebounds, six assists, three blocks and two steals - most in the first 10 minutes.

``It's kind of hard to play us,'' Davis said. ``We're very long and very athletic. It makes it tough on the other team.''

Quincy Acy led Baylor with 22 points, and Pierre Jackson added 21. Not enough. Not nearly enough.

``They're a great team,'' Acy said. ``They've got some good dudes down there.''

With Baylor's Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III cheering from the stands, Acy tried to send an early message early that the Bears (30-8) would not be intimidated by the Wildcats.

Jones was going in for a fastbreak layup when the 235-pound Acy came up from behind, took a whack at the ball but mainly just crashed into the Kentucky player, sending him flying into the Baylor cheerleaders along the baseline. Jones was OK, and the officials doled out a flagrant foul on Acy.

The Bears, seemingly inspired by Acy's bravado, ripped off an 8-0 run that led Calipari to call a quick timeout. He already had yanked Doron Lamb from the game for trying to make the highlight reels rather than taking a layup. The sophomore guard passed up a clear path to the basket, instead opting for a lob pass to the trailing Davis, who missed the dunk.

After Quincy Miller hit an uncontested 3-pointer from the top of the lane to give Baylor a 10-5 lead, Calipari lashed into his young team.

``I told them we've got to step on the gas here,'' he said.

Boy, did they ever. Sixteen consecutive points, an NBA-like display of defensive dominance and easy baskets that sent the Georgia Dome, and the predominantly blue-clad crowd, into a frenzy.

They might as well have cut down the nets right then.

``It's a great feeling to be part of something special,'' Davis said.

Kentucky's only serious scare came early in the second half when Davis went down with an injured left knee. The 6-foot-10 freshman was driving to the basket when he banged into Baylor's Perry Jones III, going down hard along the baseline. A hush fell over the massive stadium as Davis, writhing in pain, grabbed at his knee.

Finally, he limped to the bench, but it was clear the injury wasn't too serious when the trainers kept flexing the leg, then rubbed it with an ointment to ease the pain. Just a couple of minutes later, he was back in the game.

``The knee is doing fine,'' Davis said. ``I wasn't going to sit out, especially with a trip to the Final Four (one the line). All of us want to go to the Final Four.''

Louisville will be waiting.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/26/2012 06:35 PM
Final Four Angles

March 26, 2012

It's onward to New Orleans for the Final Four games. To put the wraps on the 2012 NCAA Tournament, listed below are some interesting trends and angles to as our Fab Four heads off to Bourbon Street this weekend.

All results listed below are ATS (Against the Spread) and most recent since 1991 unless noted otherwise. Enjoy…

NCAA FINAL 4 ROUND NOTES


#1 Seed favs 5 > pts are 4-0 ATS
#2 Seeds are 2-8 ATS off a DD ATS win
#4 Seeds are 0-4 ATS
Favs 4 > pts who scored 80 > pts in Elite 8 round are 1-6 ATS
Teams off BB SU dog wins are 2-8 ATS
Teams who are 3-0 SU & ATS last 3 games are 5-17 ATS
Teams with Revenge are 2-8 ATS
Dogs off BB DD SU wins are 1-5 ATS
ACC teams are 6-1 ATS
Big 12 teams are 1-4 ATS
Big 10 teams are 2-5 SU & ATS

NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME NOTES


#1 Seed favs are 6-2 ATS
#2 Seeds are 1-5 ATS off a SUATS win
#4 Seeds are 2-0 ATS
Favorites of 5 < pts are 11-1 ATS
Favorites who scored 80 > pts in the Final 4 round are 4-1 ATS
Teams with a win percentage of .810 < are 1-5 ATS
Dogs > 2 pts who allowed 60 > pts in the Final 4 round are 1-6 ATS
Dogs of 3 > pts off a SU dog win are 1-5 ATS
Big East teams are 4-0 ATS
SEC teams are 3-1 ATS
ACC teams are 9-3 ATS
Big 10 teams are 1-6 ATS

COACH ME UP

Kansas' Bill Self is:

206-179-12 as a favorite and 31-25-1 ATS as a dog
32-12 SU and 26-18-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
9-4 SU and 5-8 ATS vs Big East
46-18 SU and 32-30-2 ATS vs Big 10
10-4 SU and 8-6 ATS vs SEC
1-1 SU and ATS vs Calipari
0-1 SU and ATS vs Matta
0-1 SU and ATS vs Pitino

Kentucky's John Calipari is:


252-225-14 ATS as a favorite and 54-26-1 ATS as a dog
36-13 SU and 26-22-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
25-9 SU and 17-16-1 ATS vs Big East
9-5 SU and 8-6 ATS vs Big 10
9-6 SU and ATS vs Big 12
0-1 SU and ATS vs Matta
8-8 SU and 12-4 ATS vs Pitino
1-1 SU and ATS vs Self


Louisville's Rick Pitino is:


259-234-13 ATS as a favorite and 46-33-1 ATS as a dog
44-13 SU and 33-21-3 ATS in NCAA tournament
16-11 SU and 11-16 ATS vs Big 10
2-1 SU and 1-0-1 ATS vs Big 12
144-31 SU and 96-84-4 ATS vs SEC
8-8 SU and 4-12 ATS vs Calipari
0-1 SU and ATS vs Matta
0-1 SU and ATS vs Self


Ohio State's Thad Matta is:


115-112-9 ATS as a favorite and 44-44-1 ATS as a dog
20-9 SU and 15-13-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
6-3 SU and ATS vs Big East
4-5 SU and 3-6 ATS vs Big 12
11-9 SU and 7-13 ATS vs SEC
1-1 SU and ATS vs Calipari
1-0 SU and ATS vs Pitino
0-1 SU and ATS vs Self
There you have it, trends and notes of teams and coaches for the NCAA Final Four and out games played the last 21 years.

I hope you've enjoyed the tournament as much as I have. I'll return during the NBA playoffs with an overview of some Good, Bad, and downright Ugly stats and trends. Until then, enjoy the rest of the 'Dance'.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/26/2012 06:37 PM
Weekend Betting Recap

March 26, 2012

Kansas Jayhawks use late run to defeat North Carolina Tar Heels in Elite Eight
The Kansas Jayhawks scored ended their Elite Eight game against the North Carolina Tar Heels on a 12-0 run to secure an 80-67 victory and advance to the Final Four next weekend, where they will face the Ohio State Buckeyes.

Kansas was a slight favorite entering the game and easily covered the spread with the game-ending spurt. Tyshawn Taylor struggled up to this point in the tournament, but had 22 points, six rebounds, five assists and five steals to lead Kansas.

The Tar Heels played without point guard Kendall Marshall, who broke his wrist in a second-round victory a week ago. North Carolina needed overtime in the Sweet Sixteen to beat the Ohio Bobcats, but watched as its offense stalled late in the loss to Kansas. James McAdoo led North Carolina with 15 points and four rebounds off the bench, but the Tar Heels scored only 20 points in the second half and couldn't slow down the Kansas charge. Harrison Barnes had Zeller had 12 for North Carolina. The Tar Heels were the best rebounding team in the country this season, but had a minus-10 disadvantage in this one, which helped lead to their demise.

Thomas Robinson added 18 points and nine rebounds for Kansas, which had all five of its starters score in double figures. The Jayhawks took advantage of Marshall's absence to sneak away with the victory over the higher-seeded Tar Heels, and will now face off with Ohio State for a berth in the national title game. Kansas won the title in 2008 and is looking for another one in NCAA basketball betting.

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Kentucky Wildcats cruise past Baylor Bears and into Final Four

The Kentucky Wildcats continued their impressive run through the NCAA Tournament with an easy victory over the Baylor Bears, 82-70, in the Elite Eight on Sunday, March 25th. The pre-tournament favorites to win the national championship have continually looked like the best team in the country and will enter their Final Four matchup as the team to beat.

The Wildcats will face off with Louisville with a national championship berth on the line.

Kentucky used solid defense, great passing and efficient offense to blow past a Baylor team with some of the most talented players in the country. However, the Bears were no match for theWildcats, who held a doube-digit lead for the majority of the game and were never threatened in the second half. Anthony Davis led the way with 18 points, 11 rebounds and six blocks on the night.

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist had a team-high 19 points while Terrence Jones added 12 points, nine rebounds, six assists and three blocks. Kentucky was an eight-point favorite in this one, and while Baylor challenged that spread very late, the Wildcats did hold on to cover. The actual game was never in doubt, so those who chose Kentucky to win on the money line had easy money from late in the first half.

Baylor was led by Quincy Acy, who had 22 points and eight rebounds. Pierre Jackson added 21 points and five assists and Perry Jones III had 17 points and eight rebounds. While the Bears had players with good statistical performances, they never threatened the Wildcats. Baylor had a lead early in the game, but Kentucky was ahead by 20 points at the half for the easy win.

Kentucky has been dominant throughout the tournament and this game was no exception. Davis, Jones and Kidd-Gilchrist are three of the most talented players in college and were at the heart of this victory. The Wildcats are now two victories away from a national title in NCAA basketball gambling.

Louisville Cardinals stage late rally to stun Florida Gators in Elite Eight

The Louisville Cardinals' improbable NCAA Tournament run isn't done quite yet. Louisville used a late rally to stun the Florida Gators, 72-68, in the Elite Eight on Saturday March 24th. Florida held an 11-point lead midway through the second half but watched it evaporate as Louisville took control and held on for the win. Chane Behanan hit the go-ahead bucket with 1:06 and the Cardinals survived a pair of potential tying 3-pointers by Kenny Boynton and Bradley Beal in the waning seconds. Louisville won despite the fact that star point guard Peyton SIva fouled out with 3:58 remaining.

Behanan led the Cardinals with 17 points and seven rebounds in the contest. Russ Smith had a huge game off the bench, scoring 19 points. Siva had nine points and eight assists but was limited by the foul trouble. Louisville had quite the impressive weekend, defeating top-seeded Michigan State in the Sweet Sixteen before this victory. They will be heavy underdogs in a contest against the Kentucky Wildcats in the Final Four on Saturday, but hope the magic lasts one more weekend.

All five of Florida's starters scored in double figures, led by 14 from Beal and Erik Murphy. Erving Walker and Boynton had 12 points apiece, while Patric Young added 11 points and six rebounds. Florida shot 50 percent for the game but went cold down the final stretch as the lead slipped away.

Louisville staged one of the better comebacks of March Madness to advance. However, its next game is against Kentucky, the tournament favorite, so the Cardinals can't afford to get behind coming up. However, this win was quite impressive and Louisville deserves to celebrate its unlikely spot in the Final Four of NCAA basketball wagering.

Jared Sullinger leads Ohio State Buckeyes past Syracuse Orange

Even though the Syracuse Orange was one of the four No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament, the Ohio State Buckeyes were determined the favorites to win the region, due in part to the suspension of Syracuse center Fab Melo. The oddsmakers were correct, as Jared Sullinger had a big second half to lead the Buckeyes to a 77-70 victory in an Elite Eight matchup on Saturday, March 24th. Ohio State moves on to face the Kansas Jayhawks in the Final Four next weekend.

Syracuse had some trouble putting teams away in earlier rounds, and after this game was tied at intermission, Ohio State slowly pulled away for the victory. Sullinger battled foul trouble and played only six minutes in the first half but ended the game with 19 points and seven rebounds to lead the Buckeyes. Ohio State was the only non-No. 1 seed to have the best odds of winning its regional, and didn't have too much trouble on its way to the Final Four. Lenzelle Smith, Jr. added 18 points for Ohio State, while Deshaun Thomas had 14 points and nine rebounds, and William Buford added 13 points and nine boards.

Syracuse hung around for most of the game and was within three points late, but couldn't make it to the Final Four after being ranked as the No. 1 team in the country for a decent stretch of the season. Scoop Jardine finished with 14 points and six assists in this one, while Brandon Triche had 15 points and Kris Joseph added 10. The absence of Melo inside the team's 2-3 zone really hurt Syracuse, especially in this matchup against Sullinger, one of the best post players in the country.

While the seeds had the Orange as the favorites, the NCAA basketball betting oddsfavored Ohio State, and that's how it played out in this game. Ohio State will look to ride that momentum into its Final Four matchup with Kansas on Saturday.

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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/26/2012 06:39 PM
Nothin' but Madness

March 26, 2012

Public Betting OVER on Broncos Wins
The big news last week was the massive adjustment every sports book made on the Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl in light of Peyton Manning running the show. It didn’t take long for Lucky’s Sports Books to use the popularity of a hot sports topic and transform it into a proposition to drum up business becoming the first to offer a season win total, posting the Broncos at 8 ½ wins OVER -140.

At first glance, the number looked low considering Denver won the AFC West last year at 8-8 with a quarterback who couldn’t throw the ball consistently. Imagine putting Manning into the mix? He’s got be worth at least 2 more wins, right?

Maybe, but let’s really look at the schedule and the talent surrounding Manning this year. Denver has seven teams on their schedule that made the playoffs last year. That‘s what you get for being so good and winning a division, you get to play other division winners the next year.

The Denver defense is missing a few pickets in the fence, particularly, anyone in the secondary not named Champ. They’ll also have to completely change from a run orientated offense into a Manning style passing scheme. That’s a tough chore for expected starting receivers Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker who excelled on fly patterns, but dropped plenty of simple out patterns.

And then there’s Manning himself. Is he too old? Has he lost something being an entire year out of the game? Is he truly healthy and can we expect 16 starts out of him?

So in retrospect, maybe 8 ½ isn’t too low of a number, but the public disagrees.

“We’re up to 9 ½ wins now on the Broncos, but it’s all junk (small money) that has moved the number," says Lucky's Sports Book director Jimmy Vaccaro. "And of course we’re taking smaller limits right now than we will later when we post all the team win total a few weeks after the actual schedule dates are announced.“

Lucky’s currently has the Broncos at 12/1 to win the Super Bowl. They originally opened Denver 60/1 and have been dropping them steadily ever since the Peyton Manning-to-Denver rumors started.

What about the Tim Tebow affect, if any, on the Jets?

“Tebow has about as much of an impact on our odds right now as the impact I would make if running for President,” Vaccaro said selling himself way too short. “We haven‘t made any adjustments on anything involved with the Jets.”

Kentucky Reign

The one thorn in the side of the sports books throughout the tournament has been Kentucky. When Kentucky covers the spread, the sports books either push or lose on the day, it’s that simple. Just like the super power NFL teams of the past like the 49ers, Cowboys and more recently the Patriots 18-1 season in 2007, the public likes to ride the wave out to the end.

And so far, the well looks far from empty!

Kentucky has this aura about them right now that the public doesn’t even want to consider the other side for fear that this juggernaut will make them pay. It’s been a while since we’ve seen a team in college basketball like this just destroy teams that we perceived to be good on the big stage of the tournament. Even though the sports books start out with a high number on Kentucky just to offset the expected public play, it’s still played. What’s worse for the book is that they aren’t just played in basic 10-to-11 straight bet odds, but rather in parlays where the real damage is done.

With only two games on Sunday, the majority of the public had Kentucky laying 8-points but they were split on the final leg of their two-team parlay with North Carolina and Kansas. This gave most books a negative on either side once the Kentucky win had been posted. It’s an awful feeling to lose before a game even starts.

“Obviously Kentucky has been a bad result for us their last two games,” said Vaccaro whose Lucky’s sports books fared better than most on Sunday, “but we got out ahead with Carolina money coming in on the late game Sunday making the Kansas win take a little sting out of Kentucky’s win earlier.“

Vaccaro also notes that handle for this year’s tournament has been amazing and he’s happy to see people out there with money to spend.

Kentucky also hurts the sports books should they win the tournament, or at least they’ll win the least out the four,

“Our worst decision for us in future wagers is Kentucky, but we still win with them,” said Vaccaro. “Kansas would be our best decision followed Ohio State and then Louisville.

“If Kentucky wins it all we still do well because of the two-way ‘YES-NO’ props we put on the teams about 10 days ago. We got a lot of money with people betting ‘NO’ on Kentucky to win the tournament.“

Nothing against Cinderella’s, but it sure is nice to see a Final Four with four heavyweight program slugging it out. Reports from all over is that handle will exceed last year’s tournament and having four very well known schools advancing could help raise the bar even more.

Golf

Now we that we all know he can win, Tiger Woods’ Masters odds went from 7/1 down 4/1 at the LVH Super Book. Getting over that hurdle of finally winning a tournament at Bay Hill was a major dilemma not only in Woods’ mind, but also bettors who love to bet on him. It gets hard losing every week no matter how much you want to have that winning ticket on him to share that eventual victory celebration. Last Sunday, Woods and the bettors finally got the monkey off their back.

The LVH doesn’t necessarily believe that Woods will win the Masters, but they do have to respect the demand. With Woods showing us a glimpse of his past excellence last week, that public demand for a piece of Woods may be higher than ever which is why his odds have plummeted. For the LVH to drop their odds so low when they’re the most liberal golf odds in the world, it details more how much they anticipate public betting action to come on Woods.

This week’s Houston Open is the last chance for golfers to qualify for the Masters. There is no Tiger this week, but big names like Phil Mickelson and Lee Westwood will be participating. A few of the golfers that haven’t qualified, like Anthony Kim, are now bumped way up to 500/1 to win the Masters which basically makes it a two-team parlay from Houston to Augusta.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/26/2012 06:41 PM
NIT Semifinals

March 26, 2012


The National Invitational Tournament has narrowed its field of 32 down to four schools that will congregate Tuesday night at Madison Square Garden in New York City for the event’s semifinals. The winners will collide Thursday night for the championship. Let’s take a look at Tuesday’s doubleheader.

**Massachusetts vs. Stanford**

--As of Monday afternoon, most betting shops were listing Stanford (24-11 straight up, 17-15 against the spread) as a 2 ½-point favorite with the total in the 149-150 range. Gamblers can take the Minutemen to win outright for a plus-125 return (risk $100 to win $125).

--UMass (25-11 SU, 19-13 ATS) had a tough path to MSG with each of its NIT games coming as a road underdog of six points or more. The Minutemen began its trek in Starkville, where it emerged from The Hump with a 101-96 win at Mississippi St. as a 7 ½-point underdog. Chaz Williams led the winners with 28 points, eight rebounds, six assists and three steals. Sean Carter added 20 points and 12 rebounds.

--After winning 77-67 at Seton Hall as six-point underdog, UMass won a 72-70 decision at Drexel as a 7 ½-point hound. The Minutemen trailed by as many as 17 points early in the second half before rallying to victory behind a 20-point effort from Williams, who knocked down 8-of-13 shots from the field. Terrell Vinson added 18 points with 14 of those coming in the second half when UMass shot better than 70-percent from the field.

--Stanford got to play all three of its previous NIT games at home in Palo Alto. The run for the Cardinal started with a 76-65 win over Cleveland St. as a six-point favorite. Aaron Bright scored a game-high 17 points, while Anthony Brown and Josh Owens added 15 points apiece.

--In the NIT second round, Johnny Dawkins’s squad needed overtime to sneak past Illinois St. by a 92-88 count as an 8 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ Bright played the game of his life with 29 points and six assists. The sophomore point guard made 11-of-13 shots from the field, draining 6-of-7 treys. Dwight Powell added 18 points and nine rebounds.

--Stanford advanced to MSG thanks to an 84-56 win over Nevada as a six-point favorite. Owens and Chasson Randle paced the Cardinal with 15 points apiece.

--Stanford owns a 9-6 spread record in 15 games as a single-digit favorite.

--UMass has been an underdog 14 times, going 7-7 ATS with six outright victories.

--The ‘over’ is 18-13-1 overall for UMass, 5-2-1 in its last eight games.

--The ‘over’ is 18-14 overall for Stanford, hitting in each of its last six games.

--Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

**Minnesota vs. Washington**

--Most books are listing Washington (24-10 SU, 17-15 ATS) as a one-point favorite with a total of 143.

--Minnesota (22-14 SU, 19-13-1 ATS) is playing outstanding basketball and has been treating its backers to nice payouts in recent weeks. Like UMass, the Gophers paved their way to NYC with three road wins. They won 78-72 at Middle Tennessee as 3 ½-point ‘dogs in the NIT quarterfinals. Rodney Williams’s stellar play continued with a 24-point effort on 8-of-11 shooting against the Blue Raiders. Andre Hollins also finished with 24 points, six rebounds and four assists.

--Tubby Smith’s team has won five of its last six games with the only loss coming to Michigan in overtime at the Big Ten Tournament. Even better, Minnesota is 7-0 ATS in its last seven outings.

--Minnesota won its NIT opener at LaSalle by a 70-61 count as a two-point underdog. Williams led the way with 21 points. During the Gophers’ three-game NIT run, Williams is averaging 22.0 points per game, making 26-of-38 from the floor (68%).

--Washington lost its regular-season finale at UCLA and its Pac-12 Tourney opener to Oregon St. to play its way off the bubble and into the NIT where it was tabbed as one of the four No. 1 seeds. The Huskies won all three of its NIT games at home, covering in the first two before failing to do so in their 90-86 quarterfinals victory over Oregon as five-point ‘chalk.’

--Terrence Ross has been the catalyst for UW, scoring a game-high 24 points in the win over the Ducks. Ross scored 32 points in the Huskies’ 76-55 win over Northwestern as five-point home favorites. He finished with 23 points in an 82-72 over Texas-Arlington in UW’s win as a 9 ½-point favorite.

--Ross is currently listed as the No. 18 pick in the first round of this upcoming NBA Draft if the sophomore decides to turn pro. As for Minnesota’s Williams, the junior forward is listed at No. 48 in the second round if he bolts early.

--Washington is 9-8 in 17 single-digit favorite situations. Meanwhile, Minnesota has covered the spread in seven straight underdog spots. For the season, the Gophers are 10-5 ATS with six outright wins as ‘dogs.

--Minnesota got good news over the weekend when the NCAA granted Trevor Mbakwe a sixth year of eligibility. He suffered a season-ending injury in November. Mbakwe was averaging 14.0 points and 9.1 rebounds per game through the Gophers’ first seven contests.

--The ‘over’ is 17-15-1 overall for Minnesota, going 5-1 in its last six games.

--Totals have been an overall wash for UW (16-16), but the ‘over’ is on a 6-3 run in the Huskies’ last nine games.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/26/2012 06:43 PM
WSU hosts Pittsburgh in Game 1 of CBI Finals


PITTSBURGH PANTHERS (20-16)

at WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS (18-16)


CBI Tournament - Championship Series, Game 1 of 3
Tip-off: Monday, 10:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Washington State -1½, Total: 132½

The CBI Tournament begins its best-of-3 series on Monday as Pittsburgh visits Washington State in the championship opener.

Both teams have won their majority of their CBI games comfortably, as the Panthers prevailed by 18 over Wofford and 21 over Princeton before winning at Butler by six points in overtime. The Cougars have played two road games in the tourney, beating San Francisco by 14 and Oregon State by 17 points, which was sandwiched around a 20-point home blowout of Wyoming. Both teams play excellent defense, but opponents have really struggled shooting the ball in Pullman all season with just 59.2 PPG on 40.7% FG and 28.5% three-pointers. Since 2002, the Cougars are a healthy 11-5 ATS when favored by two points or less, including 7-2 ATS at home as a tiny favorite. In this same time frame, Pittsburgh is 7-10-1 ATS as an underdog of two points or less, including 4-9-1 ATS away from home. Play on WASHINGTON STATE to win and cover here.

This strong FoxSheets trend also sides with the Cougars:

WASHINGTON STATE is 10-2 ATS (83.3%, +7.8 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. The average score was WASHINGTON STATE 79.0, OPPONENT 64.6 - (Rating = 1*).

Pittsburgh’s defense has been tough this tournament, holding its three opponents to 62.0 PPG on 38.5% FG. The Panthers are also outrebounding CBI opponents by 6.0 RPG. In the overtime win at Butler, Pittsburgh’s bench actually outscored the starters 35 to 33.

Talib Zanna came off the pine to score a team-high 15 points with eight rebounds (six offensive) and J.J. Moore added 14 points and five boards as a reserve. After scoring just one total point in two Big East Tournament games, Zanna is averaging 12.7 PPG and 7.0 RPG in the three CBI games. Sophomore swingman Lamar Patterson had 13 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists against Butler, giving him 15.0 PPG, 13 assists and just three turnovers in the CBI Tournament. Senior G Ashton Gibbs continues to disappoint. The Preseason Big East Player of the Year shot 47% FG and 49% 3-pt FG as a junior, but this season he’s making just 38% of his shots and 34% of his threes. He was a scoreless 0-for-8 in the win over Butler, and will not get many open looks on Monday either.

Washington State’s defense has been quite stingy over the past five games (4-1 SU and ATS), allowing a mere 55.6 PPG on 36.9% FG. But the offensive efficiency in the CBI has been more surprising as the Cougars are averaging 74.0 PPG on 50.3% FG, which is considerably better than the 68.7 PPG and 46.7% FG for the season. They are also outrebounding CBI opponents by 9.3 RPG.

Senior swingman Abe Lodwick (5.2 PPG, 3.8 RPG) has come alive in this tournament with 16.3 PPG on 18-of-28 FG (64%) and 7.0 RPG. He dominated Oregon State in the semifinals with a 23-point, 12-rebound effort. Lodwick’s effort was vital, as the team’s leading scorer and rebounder, 6-foot-10 F Brock Motum, left the game with an ankle injury. Motum (18.1 PPG, 6.5 RPG) is doubtful to suit up on Monday, joining second-leading scorer G Faisal Aden (14.5 PPG), who is out for the season with a knee injury. Junior G Reggie Moore (9.1 PPG, 5.5 APG) also came up big against the Beavers with 22 points and three assists. Moore has 15.0 PPG in the tourney and has done a great job getting to the line, sinking 24-of-29 FT (83%) in CBI play.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/26/2012 06:44 PM
NCAAB
Dunkel

Pittsburgh at Washington State
The Panthers look to build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 non-conference games. Pittsburgh is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+1). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 26

Game 749-750: Pittsburgh at Washington State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 66.084; Washington State 65.070
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 129
Vegas Line: Washington State by 1; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+1); Under




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 26

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PITTSBURGH (20 - 16) at WASHINGTON ST (18 - 16) - 3/26/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 26

Pitt-Washington State open a best-of-3 series here, with Games 2-3 in Pittsburgh later this week; Panthers started season 11-1, then slumped, losing 15 of next 21 games, before rallying in this tournament with wins by 18-21-6 points, winning last game in OT at Butler. Pitt's defense has been the problem; they're just not as good as previous Pitt teams. State won its first three tourney games by 14-20-17 points, with two of three on road; Coogs actually lost three of their last five home games- they're 2-9 against teams ranked in the top 70.




NCAAB

Monday, March 26

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Trend Report
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10:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 23 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Washington State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington State's last 6 games at home
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/26/2012 06:45 PM
NBA
Dunkel

New Orleans at LA Clippers
The Hornets look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 road games. New Orleans is the pick (+9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by only 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+9 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

MONDAY, MARCH 26

Game 731-732: Orlando at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 120.479; Toronto 120.578
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 184
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 733-734: Miami at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.007; Indiana 120.093
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 5; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3; 193
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3); Over

Game 735-736: Detroit at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 113.205; Washington 116.908
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Under

Game 737-738: Boston at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 119.096; Charlotte 108.358
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 6 1/2; 184
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-6 1/2); Over

Game 739-740: Milwaukee at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 117.841; New York 125.314
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 209
Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Under

Game 741-742: Utah at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 120.708; New Jersey 113.385
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 7 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+1 1/2); Over

Game 743-744: Denver at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 112.219; Chicago 127.154
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 15; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7); N/A

Game 745-746: Sacramento at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 117.923; Houston 121.471
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 3 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+6 1/2); Under

Game 747-748: New Orleans at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.436; LA Clippers 120.045
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 9 1/2; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+9 1/2); Over
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/26/2012 06:46 PM
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 26

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won its last three games, by 1-9-3 points, but they're 0-4 vs spread as a road favorite of 6+ points.
-- Miami won four of last five games; they're 3-5 as road favorites of 4 or less points. Pacers won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Celtics won/covered three of their last four games.
-- Bucks won/covered their last five road games. New York won/covered six of seven games under Woodson.
-- Utah won six of last seven games; they're 11-1 as a road favorite of 7 or less points, but they lost a four-OT game in Atlanta Sunday.
-- Bulls won four of their last five games; they're 5-1 as home favorites of 8 or less points.
-- Houston is 8-3 vs spread as a home favorite of 6+ points.
-- New Orleans covered nine of its last eleven road games.

Cold Teams
-- Toronto lost four of its last five games.
-- Washington lost five of its last six games. Pistons lost eight of their last nine road games.
-- Charlotte lost last three games by 25-20-13 points.
-- Nets are 3-10-1 vs spread as a home underdog.
-- Nuggets lost three of last four games; they're 1-9-1 vs spread in their last 11 games.
-- Kings lost ten of their last eleven road games (7-4 vs spread).
-- Clippers lost three of last four games, covered one of last seven.

Wear-and-Tear
-- Magic: Last two nites off. Raptors: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Heat: 3rd game/4 nites. Pacers: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Pistons: 3rd game/4 nites. Wizards: 3rd nite in row, 5th/6 nites.
-- Celtics: 4th game/5 nites. Bobcats: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Bucks: 4th game/5 nites. Knicks: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Jazz: 9th game/13 nites. Nets: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Nuggets: 3rd game/4 nites. Bulls: 2nd game/5 nites.
-- Kings: 3rd game/5 nites. Rockets: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Hornets: 4th game/6 nites. Clippers: 11th game/16 nites.

Totals
-- Four of last five Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Six of Indiana's last seven games went over. Last five Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Washington games stayed under the total. Over is 11-3 in Detroit's last fourteen road games.
-- Five of last six Charlotte games went over the total. Four of last five Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- Last three New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-3 in Denver's last ten road games.
-- Five of Kings' last six road games went over the total.
-- Clippers' last seven home games stayed under the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Miami is 2-6 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Washington is 4-3 vs spread if it lost the night before.
-- Celtics are 1-7-1 vs spread on road if they played the night before.
-- Utah is 1-4 vs spread when playing second on road nite in row.
-- Nuggets are 1-4 vs spread if they lost the night before.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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