Free NBA Release for 3/23: Detroit Pistons +9 (-110, TopBet) over the Miami Heat. Nine points is just too many to be laying on the road with the Miami Heat. Miami got a little banged up in their last game against the Suns. Although Lebron James and Joel Anthony are probable tonight against the Pistons, Anthony suffered a mild ankle sprain and James banged up his head and elbow banging hard into Grant Hill. Although they have a losing record, Detroit has really improved their game over the past two months. In fact the Pistons enter tonights contest a very solid 17-6 at the window in their last 23 games. We're betting that they would love to pull off the big upset over the Heat in front of the Friday Night home crowd. The Heat have won five straight in this series and could very well be unmotivated and looking ahead to a big showdown with the Thunder on Sunday. Detroit plays their best basketball at home where they are 15-8 ATS and 12-11 SU. They're also 12-8 ATS vs winning teams this year, including one home cover against the Heat back in January. Miami has grabbed the money only once in their four games this year where they were coming off of two full days of rest. They're also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games laying points. The Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 3-1 ATS in their last four meetings with Miami. We'll grab the points with the home dog, Detroit +9.
*Our free plays are 187-103-1 all-time*