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steve_janus
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NCAAB FREE PICK: Massachusetts +6.5

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On 03/20/2012 10:50 AM in Cappers
Massachusetts vs. Drexel, 03/20/2012 19:00
Point Spread: +6½/-115 Massachusetts

NCAAB FREE PICK: Massachusetts +6.5

I will gladly take the 6.5-points in tonight's NIT Quarterfinal showdown between Massachusetts and Drexel. The Minutemen have been undervalued in both their NIT games so far. They won at Mississippi State 101-96 as a 7-point underdog and at Seton Hall 77-67 as a 6.5-point underdog. Drexel easily covered in their 81-56 win over UCF, but barely held on for a 65-63 win against UNI as a 7-point favorite.

The Minutemen should not be catching this many points. UNI absolutely killed Drexel on the boards, outrebounding the Dragons 32 to 24. Massachusetts figures to also hold a big edge on the glass. The Minutemen outrebounded Miss St 56 to 41 and Seton Hall 42-35.

While most teams play their best at home, I think the Minutemen are really in a groove on the road. They are 22-8 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997, 12-3 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. BET THE MINUTEMEN!

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