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iseewinners
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Free CBB Play For 3/19/2012

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On 03/19/2012 10:47 AM in NCAA Basketball
Princeton +7 over Pittsburgh. We like the Tigers to keep it close, and possibly even advance once again in the College Basketball Invitational tonight. At 18-16 SU and 13-16 ATS, the Panthers should not be so heavily favored in this matchup. Princeton is just not getting any respect from the oddsmakers here, coming from the Ivy League. Still, the Tigers are 9-1 SU in their last ten, and 9-0 ATS in their last nine. They did display an uncharacteristically poor defensive effort in the CBI opening round against Evansville. But including that 86 point allowance, the Tigers have still allowed their opponents to just 40% shooting and 60.6 points/game. We expect them to bounce back with stronger defensive play tonight against the Panthers. Note that Pitt is 4-6 ATS this year against good defensive teams (allowing <64 points/game). In that same five game stretch, Princeton has scored an average of 77.4 points/game, sinking an outstanding 57% of their field goals. Pittsburgh advanced from the first round over Wofford with a quick 16-0 first half run, and a barage of 3-point shooting. We don't expect that to happen again against the Tigers who outscore their opponents by an average of 31.6 to 28.5 on the road this year. Pittsburgh only recorded 1,449 fans for that game, a record-low for the Peterson Events Center. The Panthers are just 5-9 ATS at home this year, and one would have to wonder how much of a home-court advantage they'll have in this matchup. The Tigers check-in at 9-2 ATS as an underdog this year, and a solid 10-2 ATS vs the twelve teams they've faced with winning records. We'll side with Princeton to keep this one within the numbers.
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