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steve_janus
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NBA FREE PICK: Nuggets -5.5

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On 03/13/2012 12:34 PM in Cappers
Atlanta vs. Denver, 03/13/2012 21:00
Point Spread: -5½/-104 Denver

NBA FREE PICK: Nuggets -5.5

My money is on the Nuggets to easily cover this favorable home spread against the Hawks on Tuesday. Denver comes in off a 3-point loss at home to the Grizzlies on Sunday, which will have them focused and motivated to make sure they don't disappoint the home crowd against an Atlanta team that has lost two of their last three overall.

Denver is one of the toughest places in the NBA for opposing teams to play well. That should definitely be the case tonight, as the Hawks will be playing their 5th road game in the last eight days. Teams rarely play well at the end of long road trips, and I can't see Atlanta being all that motivated in this matchup.

Denver has played extremely well against the East's Southeast Division, going 10-1 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Hawks tend to struggle against the Western Conference, as they are just 9-20 ATS in their last 29 vs. Western Conference. BET THE NUGGETS!

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