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jack_jones
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Jack's Free Pick Wednesday!

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On 03/07/2012 12:14 PM in Cappers
New York vs. San Antonio, 03/07/2012 20:30
Point Spread: +7/-108 New York

The New York Knicks were only a 2-point underdog at Dallas last night, the defending world champions. While I took the Mavericks last night, I'm going to back the Knicks tonight in a game that I believe will go right down to the wire. San Antonio is way overvalued in this spot and should not be favored by 7 if Dallas was only favored by 2.

Jeremy Lin and Carmelo Anthony went a combined 6-of-25 shooting last night for 20 points. Yet the Knicks actually held a lead midway through the final period until Dallas managed to pull away late in the fourth quarter. There's no way these two stars will have another big off night.

San Antonio is no longer a great defensive team. The Spurs are giving up 95.1 points/game overall on 45.2 percent shooting. To compare, the Knicks give up 94.9 points on 44.2 percent shooting. New York has actually put more effort into the defensive end this season. A big reason for that is the addition of Tyson Chandler, who will be able to keep Tim Duncan in check.

The Knicks are a brilliant 10-1 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. New York is 25-11 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. New York is 29-14-1 ATS in their last 44 games as a road underdog. The Spurs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest. Bet the Knicks Wednesday.

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