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Jack's Free Pick Tuesday!

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On 03/06/2012 11:55 AM in Cappers
New York vs. Dallas, 03/06/2012 20:30
Point Spread: -2/-102 Dallas

The Dallas Mavericks are showing some of their best value of the season tonight as a mere 2-point home favorite over the New York Knicks. Hungry for a win after a tough loss at Oklahoma City last night, I like the Mavericks to get the job done Tuesday.

New York is a over-hyped right now due to Linsanity. This is a better team with him, but they have no business getting this much respect from oddsmakers against the defending champions. New York did beat Dallas at home 104-97 roughly two weeks ago, but that's only going to add more fuel to the fire for the Mavericks as they'll want revenge.

The Mavericks are 14-7 at home this season where they are only giving up 91.1 points/game on 41.6 percent shooting. The Mavs are 17-3 in their last 20 meetings with the Knicks and 10-2 in their last 12 meetings as well. As you can see, New York's victory in February was a rarity in this series.

Dallas is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic division foes. The Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5. New York is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Mavericks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 meetings with the Knicks. Bet Dallas Tuesday.

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