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Northwestern vs. Iowa, 03/03/2012 14:30
Point Spread: -2/-102 Iowa
On Senior Day in their regular season finale, I like the Iowa Hawkeyes to roll past the Northwestern Wildcats at home this afternoon. Iowa is one of the more underrated teams in the Big Ten this season, and should be a bigger favorite in this spot Saturday.
Northwestern is coming off a deflating 73-75 home loss to Ohio State in a game they really had to have to make the NCAA Tournament. Now, the Wildcats will likely have to win the Big Ten tournament to have any chance of making the Big Dance. They will have a hard time getting motivated to play Iowa after such a heartbreaking defeat.
Iowa is a sneaky 8-9 in Big Ten play this season, having one more conference win than Northwestern. They have beaten the likes of Michigan, Indiana and Wisconsin twice. Most of their success has come at home. The Hawkeyes are 13-5 SU & 10-3 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 9.0 points/game.
The home team has won 12 of the last 14 meetings in this series. Iowa has won 10 of their last 12 home meetings with Northwestern. The Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Iowa is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bet Iowa Saturday.