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03/01/2012 12:16 AM
Thursday’s betting tips: Coyotes nearly perfect in February

Who’s hot

NBA: Sacramento is 8-1 against the spread in its last nine versus Western Conference teams.

NBA: Miami has covered in seven of its last eight.

NHL: The Phoenix Coyotes went 11-0-1 in February and have won each of their last six games against Calgary.

NHL: The New York Rangers are 14-6 in their last 20 road games.

NCAAB: The under is 11-3 in Michigan’s last 14 overall.

NCAAB: UCLA is 8-3 against the number in its last 11 home games.

Who’s not

NBA: The over is 4-12 in the last 16 meetings between Orlando and Oklahoma City.

NBA: Phoenix is 3-8 against the spread in its last 11 home games.

NHL: The New York Islanders are 3-13 in their last 16 games in Philadelphia.

NHL: Minnesota is 3-15 in its last 18 road games.

NCAAB: Virginia is 3-9 against the spread in its last 12 meetings with Florida State.

NCAAB: Virginia Tech is 3-11-1 against the spread in its last 15 games.

Key stat

4 – Seven of Clemson’s 13 losses this season have been by four or fewer points. The Tigers, who sit at 9-14 against the spread, are pegged as 5.5-point favorites in Thursday’s home date against Virginia Tech.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Ryan Callahan, New York Rangers – Captain Callahan is dealing with a bruised foot and is listed as a game-time decision for Thursday’s game against Carolina. Callahan has four points in his last three games and sits second on the team with 25 goals.

Game of the day

Oklahoma City Thunder at Orlando Magic (1, 192.5)

Notable quotable

"I'm a passionate golfer. I love the game of golf, and I've had my moments. I'm not proud of everything I've done out here, but I'm trying to learn. I'm trying to be a role model for my children, and I know as my wife has said to me, I wouldn't want my son doing some of the things that I've done in the past." – Honda Classic defending champion Rory Sabbatini, who is set at +7,500 to win this weekend’s tournament.

Notes and tips

Minnesota Timberwolves forward Kevin Love sat out Wednesday’s game against the Lakers with flu-like symptoms and is considered questionable for Thursday’s meeting with Phoenix, which will be Minnesota’s third game in three games. Love is also banged up with nagging back and rib injuries, but is averaging 24.5 points and 13.8 rebounds a night. Minnesota is currently set as a 3.5-point underdog in Phoenix.

Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard has suffered a setback in his recovery from Achilles surgery and is out indefinitely. Foot specialist Mark Myerson performed a procedure to clean an infection from Howard's original wound on Monday. Myerson found that the surgically repaired Achilles remained in intact despite the infection. Howard is taking antibiotics and his projected return in May is now in jeopardy. "It's common for the skin behind the Achilles to have trouble healing," Phillies head athletic trainer Scott Sheridan said Wednesday. "It's a tough area to heal. It doesn't have a very good blood supply." Howard batted .253 with 33 home runs and 116 RBIs in 152 games for the Phillies last season.

The New Jersey Devils said they planned to ride veteran goaltender Martin Brodeur down the stretch and he is expected to be back between the pipes Thursday against the defending-champion Bruins. Brodeur, who looks to snap the club’s three-game losing streak, has started seven straight games for New Jersey.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/01/2012 12:19 AM
Sixers are ATS moneymakers but not title contenders

It was the first Monday night in February and the surprising Philadelphia 76ers had just beaten the Los Angeles Lakers and covered as 4.5-point home favorites in the process.

The win moved Philly to 18-7 straight up and 17-7-1 against the spread and had many questioning whether this team actually had championship level talent.

In a league where superstars win championships and good teams without them get bounced in the opening rounds of the playoffs, it’s easy to understand the reluctance to usher Philly into the NBA’s champagne room.

Fast forward three weeks – Philly is in Detroit and happy to end a five-game losing streak. The 29-point win improved the Sixers’ ATS record to 17-10 (19-8 SU) in games they were chalk. That means the book on Philly is that it wins the games people expect it to and that’s about it.

It’s probably not a wise decision to go out and bet a good but not great team to win the title - even at 30/1 odds. The 76ers have a balanced attack but it’s not a good sign when your best player, Andre Iguodala, is your fourth leading scorer and he can’t shoot in the fourth quarter. Only two teams of the past 10 championship teams had a leading scorer average fewer than 20 points per game.


But there should be plenty of chances to make money backing Philly the rest of the season. The Sixers boast the best bench in the Association (43.4 points per game) and are 7-3 ATS in games played on zero days’ rest. The club’s defensive prowess (first in points allowed and opponent field goal percentage) is keeping under bettors smiling this season.

Things to remember: Philly is 2-6 SU and 2-5-1 ATS in games getting points. The under is 8-3 in Philadelphia games with a 190 or larger total.

The 76ers play the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday and oddsmakers have the home side Sixers as 3.5-point underdogs.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/01/2012 12:24 AM
Bubble teams ready to put best foot forward

Quick hitters for a Monday:

• South Florida coach Stan Heath coached the Bulls to their 11th Big East win, leading them over Cincinnati on Sunday. The Bulls have won five of six games, holding opponents to fewer than 52 points each time. Their loss was to Syracuse, a game in which the Orange scored just 56.

"We grind it out," Heath said Sunday. "We're not great offensively but we guard."

So, do the Bulls deserve an NCAA berth? Their overall résumé says no. The selection committee judges each team individually, regardless of conference affiliation, and the Bulls simply don't have any meat with the best nonconference win coming against Cleveland State. And only one of the 11 Big East wins was against a team in the top six (Cincinnati).

The Bulls have two games left, at Louisville on Wednesday and then home versus West Virginia on Saturday.

Beating Louisville would suffice for a top six Big East win. West Virginia would not.

"I think this team is worthy," Heath said of a bid. "I know we have to continue to win. But 11 wins in this conference? Should we be penalized for beating Pitt [twice] when they had a full deck? Or sweeping Villanova?"

Heath's point is that in a normal year picking up four wins against those two traditional powers would have meant a bid. But Pitt and Villanova will play on the first day of the Big East tournament. South Florida will not. The Bulls won't get a double bye but will likely have a single bye.

"We haven't lost to a team that isn't ranked in the Top 25 since Dec. 28 and the only other teams that can say that are Kentucky, North Carolina and Syracuse," Heath said. "We should get credit for the teams you're supposed to beat."

Notre Dame was awful in the nonconference. South Florida wasn't much better. The Irish have one more win in the Big East than South Florida. But the Irish beat elite Big East teams Syracuse, Marquette, Louisville and South Florida.

"It shouldn't be us or them," Heath said.

And it's not. The Bulls will be judged independently and that's why the 11 Big East wins isn't enough yet due to the unbalanced schedule. The Bulls continue to give themselves a chance. But they're not in yet.

• Drexel won the Colonial Athletic Association for the first time since joining the conference and will be the top seed in the CAA tournament. I've gone on record that I believe the selection committee will reward the Dragons for winning the CAA regular season outright, regardless of the nonconference RPI or strength of schedule. Drexel coach Bruiser Flint agrees. Flint said winning 17 games in a row and 23 out of 24 should count for something. The Dragons have lost one game in 2012 -- at Georgia State on Jan. 2. Flint makes one more strong argument: "We're good." Hard to debate.

• VCU was in the Final Four a year ago and to get back in the Dance, the Rams may need some help. Or will they? VCU finished second to Drexel and could be headed for a 1-2 matchup in the CAA tournament in VCU's home in Richmond. VCU coach Shaka Smart doesn't want to promote the Rams' case, but it's extremely similar to that of Drexel. VCU has won 14 out of 15 and has lost just three times in 2012. VCU took a while to figure itself out after losing most of the core from last season's team. One thing Smart said is that he wishes he could have replayed some of the nonconference games. Smart said this season's team had a better regular season than a year ago. And he quoted Butler's Brad Stevens that the pressure is on teams like VCU and Butler during the regular season but once they get in the NCAAs it's all off. All true.

• Harvard is potentially going to have to earn the NCAA bid again the hard way -- through a playoff game. The loss to Penn on Saturday means that the Crimson will have to sweep Columbia and Cornell on the road and then wait to watch Penn go to Princeton on March 6. That's assuming Penn sweeps Brown and Yale at home. If the home teams prevail and Penn beats Princeton, Penn will play Harvard in a playoff for the bid. If Princeton beats Penn and the Crimson win out, Harvard wins by not playing.

• Harvard coach Tommy Amaker said the Ivy is crazy like all the other conferences. And he won't dare look ahead past Columbia.

• Penn's Zack Rosen has been "super human," according to the Quakers' staff. Penn's staff firmly believes it has the defense to win these three games to force a playoff but this is still a tall task.

• Purdue coach Matt Painter said that putting more shooters on the floor offensively and playing better position defense has been the difference for the Boilermakers. Purdue clinched a bid -- if it was ever in doubt -- by winning at Michigan over the weekend.

• Wichita State coach Gregg Marshall isn't taking anything for granted with the Missouri Valley Conference title. The bracket has potholes for the Shockers. Indiana State could be the first opponent if it gets past Southern Illinois. Northern Iowa, which faces Illinois State, could be next, and then a possible final game against rival Creighton. "It is no easy road," Marshall said. "Indiana State won it last year. UNI was 11 in the RPI coming out of the nonconference. There are going to be a lot of tough teams."

• Butler has quite a road to get back to the NCAAs as the Horizon League automatic qualifier. The Bulldogs have to beat Wright State and then possible nemesis Milwaukee before playing at champ Valparaiso in a possible semifinal. "It's a tough draw and we look forward to the challenge," Butler's Brad Stevens said. Does this team have the ability to win three games? "We will find out."

• Georgia has won at Mississippi State and upset Florida at home. The Bulldogs could be a spoiler in the SEC tournament. How has Mark Fox done this so far? "Without [Trey] Thompkins and [Travis] Leslie we've been a jump shooting team," Fox said. "When it goes in, we can compete with most people."
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03/01/2012 12:31 AM
Champ Week: Setting up Week 1

Championship Week is set to get under way. Here's what to look for in this week's conference tournaments. All tourneys that begin March 5 or later will be previewed next Monday.



America East

When: Thurs., March 1, through Sun., March 4; title game will be held Sat., March 10
Where: First round, quarterfinals, semifinals at Chase Family Arena (University of Hartford); championship at highest remaining seed

The favorite: Stony Brook, the No. 1 seed in the America East tournament, lost to Boston University in the league's tourney title game last season. The Seawolves, who finished the regular season on a three-game winning streak, hope to avoid that fate this season. They'll rely on their defensive prowess (55.5 points per game allowed in America East play, No. 1 in the conference).



The top challengers: Vermont, the 2010 AE tourney champ, defeated Stony Brook 68-49 on Feb. 12. Boston University (45.2 field goal percentage in conference play) split its two battles with Stony Brook this season.



Three players to watch: Bryan Dougher (13.4 ppg, 80 percent from the charity stripe) has been Stony Brook's anchor. Matt Glass (11.9 ppg, 48 percent from the field) guides a Vermont team that has won 14 of its past 16 games. Albany's Gerardo Suero averages 21.7 ppg, No. 1 in the league.



My pick: Stony Brook is a tough squad that won't crack as the pressure mounts. I'll go with the Seawolves in a victory over Vermont in the tournament's title game.



Atlantic Sun

When: Wed., Feb. 29, through Sat., March 3
Where: Macon, Ga. (Mercer)



The favorite: The Belmont Bruins opened the year with tough outings against Memphis and Duke on the road. But those tests strengthened the Bruins, last season's conference tourney champs, who will enter the Atlantic Sun tournament on an 11-game winning streak. They're scoring 82.1 ppg, second in the nation.



The top challengers: Mercer, the host of the tournament, will have the crowd on its side. The 2-seed Bears, however, have lost three of their past four games. But they have the league's top scoring defense (63.1 ppg allowed). USC Upstate, the Atlantic Sun's top rebounding team (36.7 rebounds per game) and the tourney's 3-seed, beat Belmont 79-78 on Jan. 21.



Three players to watch: USC Upstate's Torrey Craig leads the Atlantic Sun in rebounding (8.8 rpg) and he's second in scoring (16.9 ppg). Belmont's Kerron Johnson is tied for first in assists (5.4 assists per game) and he's also leading the Bruins with 14.4 ppg. North Florida's Parker Smith averages 17.0 ppg.



My pick: Belmont's offense will be too much for any team in the field. I think the Bruins will spoil the "home team" Mercer's tournament with a win over the Bears in the final.



Big Sky

When: Sat., March 3, quarterfinals; Tues., March 6, semifinals; Wed., March 7, championship
Where: Quarterfinals at higher seed; semifinals and championship at regular-season champion (Weber State or Montana).



The favorite: Depends on what happens Tuesday, when Weber State and Montana (both entered the week at 14-1) meet for the Big Sky regular-season championship. Weber State has already beaten Montana once this season.

The top challengers: Both Weber State (the league's top scoring offense at 78.7 ppg) and Montana (the Big Sky's top scoring defense at 58.9 ppg allowed) have separated themselves from the rest of the field. Portland State, which possesses the top shooting mark in conference play (49.4 percent), will finish third in the Big Sky.

Three players to watch: For most of the season, Weber State's Damian Lillard (24.7 ppg) has been on top of the national scoring charts. Montana's Will Cherry (16.8 ppg in Big Sky action) leads the conference in steals (2.6 steals per game). Portland State's Chehales Tapscott (13.9 ppg) leads the Big Sky with 1.9 blocks per game in league play.

My pick: I think Lillard will put together a "SportsCenter"-worthy string of performances as he leads Weber State to the Big Sky tournament title and the conference's automatic berth.



Big South


When: Mon., Feb. 27, through Sat., March 3
Where: First round at higher seeds; quarterfinals and semifinals at No. 1 seed UNC-Asheville; championship at highest remaining seed.


The favorite: UNC-Asheville, last season's Big South tournament champion, looks to repeat. The Bulldogs have averaged 80.8 points per game this season, the No. 6 scoring mark in the country. They're shooting 48.2 percent from the field.



The top challengers: Coastal Carolina defeated UNC-Asheville 74-69 on Valentine's Day. The Chanticleers -- that's a fighting rooster, by the way -- have held Big South squads to 39.4 percent shooting from the field, the top mark in the conference. Charleston Southern (77.2 ppg, second in the league) defeated the Bulldogs in their only matchup of the year (93-88, Jan. 19).



Three players to watch: Campbell's Eric Griffin is averaging 15.9 points, 8.7 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game. Charleston Southern's Kelvin Martin (15.3 ppg), a 6-foot-5 senior forward, is second in the Big South in rebounding and second in steals in conference play. High Point's Nick Barbour can light it up (21.4 ppg).



My pick: I think Coastal Carolina's defense will carry it to the Big South tourney title over UNC-Asheville.


CAA

When: Fri., March 2, through Mon., March 5
Where: Richmond Coliseum in Richmond, Va.



The favorite: Drexel captured the CAA regular-season title via its stubborn defense (55.7 ppg allowed, No. 1 in the CAA). The Dragons haven't lost since Jan. 2 (17-game winning streak).



The top challengers: VCU, a Final Four team last season, hopes to boost its postseason profile with a run in the CAA tourney. George Mason, the top shooting team in the conference (44.7 percent from the field), and Old Dominion, the top rebounding team in the league (42.1 rpg), could win this tournament, too.



Three players to watch: VCU's Bradford Burgess (13.5 ppg) has started 141 consecutive games for the Rams. Damion Lee (42 points combined in Drexel's past two road games) is one of the top freshmen in the country. Delaware's Jamelle Hagins (12.7 ppg, 11.3 rpg) has recorded 14 double-doubles this season.



My pick: This is a tough one. But I'll go with the Rams. VCU versus Drexel could be a classic CAA title game.



Horizon League

When: Tues., Feb. 28, through Tues., March 6
Where: First round at higher seeds; second round and semis at 1-seed Valparaiso; championship at highest remaining seed.



The favorite: Valparaiso has climbed to the top of the Horizon League with a 47.2 percent shooting clip from the field, No. 1 in the league. Ryan Broekhoff (14.8 ppg, 8.4 rpg) and Kevin Van Wijk (14.4 ppg) have anchored that offensive attack. Van Wijk, however, has been hampered by a knee injury in recent weeks.



The top challengers: Cleveland State looked like the league favorite entering the conference slate, but the Vikings have won just two of their past seven games. A groin injury has kept D'Aundray Brown (2.6 spg) out for seven of the team's past eight games. Milwaukee, Butler and Detroit all finished the regular season at 11-7. Butler, the surprising star of the past two NCAA tourneys, has to win the Horizon League tournament title to get an invitation to this year's Big Dance. But the Bulldogs have built up momentum -- they've won five of their past six games. Detroit has the league's top scoring offense (72.3 ppg). Milwaukee defeated Valparaiso 57-55 on Dec. 29.



Three players to watch: Ronald Nored (5.3 apg) has competed in the past two national title games, so he has the leadership skills that will be crucial for the Bulldogs. Ray McCallum Jr. (15.1 ppg) has been up and down for Detroit, but he can prove that he's a star in the conference tournament. Kendrick Perry (16.8 ppg) leads the league in scoring and could shift this tournament for No. 6 seed Youngstown State.



My pick: I realize they aren't the favorites and are very vulnerable, but I'm not going to bet against the Bulldogs. They finished fairly strong and they're mentally equipped for the challenge, considering their past two postseasons and Brad Stevens' coaching ability. Butler. Again.

MAAC

When: Fri., March 2, through Mon., March 5
Where: MassMutual Center in Springfield, Mass.



The favorite: Iona, the 1-seed in the tournament, is ranked 13th in Ken Pomeroy's adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Gaels (83.1 ppg) possess the nation's top scoring offense. These MAAC champs have the offense, athleticism and maturity to make a run in the NCAA tournament.



The top challengers: Loyola (Md.), which allowed just 62.8 ppg in conference play, split with the Gaels this season. Manhattan has the No. 2 scoring margin (plus-7.7 ppg) in the league.

Three players to watch: Iona has a must-see trio. Scott Machado (13.1 ppg, 10.1 apg) might be the best point guard in the country. Michael Glover, a 6-7 forward, has 13 double-doubles this season. And LaMont "Momo" Jones (15.9 ppg) has star power, too.

My pick: Loyola (Md.) split with Iona this season. Its defense could give Iona fits. But the Gaels should be too strong offensively to squander the tourney title.



Missouri Valley

When: Thurs., March 1, through Sun., March 4
Where: Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Mo.



The favorite: It took far too long for the 1-seed Shockers -- who have wins over UNLV, Creighton and Davidson -- to crack the national rankings. This is a dangerous program that can win the Missouri Valley tournament title and make noise in the NCAA tournament.

The top challengers: Creighton beat the Shockers at the start of league play. And prior to the Bluejays' three-game losing skid in early February, they were the team to beat in the MVC. Possible sleepers who might pull off an upset? Take your pick from five teams (Northern Iowa, Drake, Missouri State, Illinois State and Evansville) which all finished at 9-9 in conference play.



Three players to watch: Doug McDermott (23.1 ppg and 8.1 rpg) might miss out on the national player of the year award due to his team's shaky finish, but the sophomore can certainly put the Bluejays on his back and carry them to a tournament title. Missouri State's Kyle Weems (15.4 ppg, 7.1 rpg) is the reigning MVC player of the year. Wichita State 7-footer Garrett Stutz can beat teams inside (14.1 ppg, 8.0 rpg), but he's not afraid to shoot from the perimeter (33 percent from beyond the arc).



My pick: I think McDermott will be special in St. Louis as he leads the Bluejays to the MVC tournament title, a crown they haven't held since the 2006-07 season.



Ohio Valley

When: Wed., Feb. 29, through Sat., March 3
Where: Municipal Auditorium in Nashville, Tenn.



The favorite: Google Murray State. The 1-seed Racers, who won the Ohio Valley tournament in 2010, have lost just one game this season. They have a national player of the year candidate in Isaiah Canaan, and they've won their third consecutive Ohio Valley regular-season title. It's hard to imagine any team in the tournament stopping this squad.



The top challengers: Tennessee State, the 2-seed, is the only team that's defeated Murray State this season. And the Tigers pulled off the upset on the road. Tennessee Tech, the No. 2 scoring offense in the league (73.2 ppg), was competitive in both matchups against the Racers.



Three players to watch: Canaan is averaging 19.4 ppg. Teammate Donte Poole is averaging 13.9 ppg. Tennessee Tech's Kevin Murphy, the league's top scorer at 20.6 ppg, set a school record with 50 points in his team's 98-80 victory over SIU-Edwardsville on Jan. 30. He's scored 28 or more seven times this season.



My pick: Murray State will not be denied in Nashville. The Racers aren't just a good mid-major. They've proven to be a great team this season. Period.

Northeast

When: Thurs., March 1, for quarterfinals; Sun., March 4, for semifinals; Wed., March 7, for the title game
Where: Quarterfinals, semifinals and championship game at higher seed.



The favorite: LIU Brooklyn, the Northeast Conference's regular-season champion, secured the 1-seed. The Blackbirds possess the league's top scoring offense (85.4 ppg) and field goal percentage (48.5). They've won eight of their past nine games.



The top challengers: Wagner, a 2-seed in the tournament, put the Northeast Conference on the map this season with its Dec. 23 road win over a ranked Pitt squad. But the squad with the league's top scoring defense (63.3 ppg) was swept by LIU Brooklyn this season. Robert Morris, the 3-seed, is one of two Northeast squads that has defeated the Blackbirds this season (75-66 on Jan. 26).



Three players to watch: The Blackbirds' Jamal Olasewere is second in the league with 19.3 ppg in conference play. Robert Morris' Velton Jones (16.5 ppg, 4.3 apg) is a special player. Wagner's Jonathon Williams, a 6-6 wing who's recorded 19 or more points in three of Wagner's past five games, is one of the toughest matchups in the league.



My pick: I think Wagner will find a way to secure this league's automatic berth with a tournament title.

Patriot League

When: Wed., Feb. 29, quarterfinals; Sat., March 3, semifinals; Wed., March 7, title game
Where: Quarterfinals, semifinals and championship at higher seed.



The favorite: Bucknell, last season's Patriot League tourney champ and a 1-seed this year, is shooting 46.1 percent from the field. And the Bison have held Patriot League foes to 60.7 ppg, the No. 1 mark in the conference.



The top challengers: Lehigh was second in the conference with an 11-3 mark. The Mountain Hawks, the 2010 Patriot League champs, defeated Bucknell 56-53 on Feb. 16. American, a 3-seed, could get hot and win this tournament (40.6 percent from beyond the arc in league play).



Three players to watch: Mike Muscala (16.7 ppg, 9.1 rpg) is a 6-11 force inside for Bucknell and a weapon that the rest of field will have a tough time countering (89.5 percent from the charity stripe, 1.8 blocks per game in league competition). Lehigh's C.J. McCollum is sixth in the nation at 21.7 ppg. American's Charles Hinkle is averaging 16.8 ppg in the Patriot League.



My pick: Muscala and the Bison will win their second consecutive tournament title with a victory over a talented Lehigh squad.



Southern

When: Fri., March 2, through Mon., March 5
Where: U.S. Cellular Center in Asheville, N.C.


The favorite: Davidson won three consecutive SoCon tournament titles from 2006 through 2008. See: Steph Curry. The Wildcats are the tournament's 1-seed. They won the South Division with the help of the conference's top field goal percentage defense (40.7 percent) and top scoring offense (79.4 ppg in conference action).

The top challengers: Wofford, a 2-seed from the South Division, pushed Davidson in the teams' first matchup (72-69 Davidson win on Dec. 1). UNC Greensboro is one of the best turnaround stories in the country (started out 2-14), but the Spartans have lost their past three games. The College of Charleston beat Davidson 86-78 on Feb. 11.

Three players to watch: De'Mon Brooks averaged 16.6 ppg for Davidson in conference play. The Citadel's Mike Groselle finished the regular season averaging 16.6 ppg, and he led the SoCon in rebounding (9.7 rpg). Trevis Simpson of UNC Greensboro led the conference in scoring (19.9 ppg) during the regular season.

My pick: Bob McKillop's squad is the best team in the SoCon, something it's proved all year. The Wildcats should be unstoppable in the conference tournament, too.



Summit

When: Sat., March 3, through Tues., March 6
Where: Sioux Falls Arena in Sioux Falls, S.D.



The favorite: Oral Roberts has lost just one game since suffering a Dec. 15 road setback at Gonzaga (67-61). The Golden Eagles shot 52 percent from the field during conference action. ORU won three consecutive Summit League tournament titles from 2006-08.

The top challengers: South Dakota State is the only Summit League foe that's defeated Oral Roberts this season (75-60 on Feb. 2). The Jackrabbits' plus-11.6 ppg scoring margin topped the league. Oakland, which owns the conference's top scoring offense (81.4 ppg), has won the past two conference tournament championships.

Three players to watch: Oakland's Reggie Hamilton leads the country in scoring (25.5 ppg). South Dakota State's Nate Wolters is eighth (21.2 ppg). Dominique Morrison (20.3 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 45.1 3-pt pct) does it all for Oral Roberts.
My pick: I'll go with South Dakota State over Oral Roberts in the tournament title game.


Sun Belt

When: Sat., March 3, through Tues., March 6
Where: Summit Arena/Convention Center in Hot Springs, Ark.



The favorite: Middle Tennessee State started its standout campaign with a Nov. 15 win over UCLA in Los Angeles. The Blue Raiders have the conference's top scoring defense (59.1 ppg allowed). And they're stacked with gutsy veterans.



The top challengers: Denver, a 3-seed, has wins over Saint Mary's, Southern Miss and MTSU this season. Arkansas-Little Rock, which swept Denver, won the Sun Belt's West Division.



Three players to watch: Middle Tennessee's LaRon Dendy, a transfer from Iowa State, is the top scorer (14.8 ppg) and rebounder (7.0 rpg) for the Blue Raiders. Denver's Chris Udofia leads his team in scoring (14.9) and assists (2.8 apg) and he's second in rebounding (5.3 rpg). North Texas freshman Tony Mitchell, who originally signed with Missouri, led the league in scoring (16.4 ppg) and rebounding (11.7 rpg) during conference play.



My pick: I think Middle Tennessee State has been one of the toughest teams in the country this season. Look for the Blue Raiders to represent the Sun Belt in the NCAA tournament and win their conference tourney.



WCC

When: Wed., Feb. 29, through Mon., March 5
Where: The Orleans Arena in Las Vegas



The favorite: Saint Mary's, the 1-seed in the tournament and the 2010 tourney champ, won the West Coast Conference's regular-season title with a 14-2 mark, snapping Gonzaga's 11-year streak atop the league. From Dec. 23 through Feb. 2, the Gaels won 12 consecutive games.



The top challengers: Gonzaga, last season's WCC tournament champion, snapped that winning streak with a 73-59 victory over the Gaels in Spokane, Wash., on Feb. 9. The Bulldogs have won six of their past seven games. BYU finished third (12-4) in its first season in the WCC.



Three players to watch: Matthew Dellavedova leads the Gaels with 15.4 ppg. If Kevin Pangos gets hot in Vegas (13.5 ppg, 40.4 percent from beyond the arc), the Bulldogs will win this tournament. If Noah Hartsock (16.8 ppg) is available for 3-seed BYU, then the Cougars could pull off the upset. He's been hampered by a recent knee injury.



My pick: I think the Zags have been the best team in the WCC in recent weeks. And I expect that push to continue in the WCC tournament, where I predict a tourney title for Gonzaga.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/01/2012 01:26 AM
NCAA Early Games:


ATLANTIC SUN CONFERENCE- QUARTERFINALS UNIVERSITY CENTER- MACON, GA

CBB[761] NORTH FLORIDA v E TENNESSEE ST o128½

CBB[762] E TENNESSEE ST -3



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NORTHEAST CONFERENCE- QUARTERFINALS (BOTTOM TEAM IS HOME)

CBB[766] LONG ISLAND -8

CBB[766] SACRED HEART v LONG ISLAND u163½

CBB[767] CENTRAL CONN v WAGNER o136½

CBB[768] WAGNER - 10 1/2

CBB[770] ROBERT MORRIS - 12

CBB[770] MONMOUTH v ROBERT MORRIS u136

CBB[771] QUINNIPIAC - 1

CBB[772] QUINNIPIAC v ST. FRANCIS NY u136½



Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/01/2012 06:06 PM
Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- UNLV blew a 15-point halftime lead, lost 66-59 at Colorado State; Rebels finish 2-5 on the road in Mountain West play.

-- South Florida won 58-51 at Louisville; they'll be in the NCAAs.

-- St Bonaventure won 98-93 in double OT over St Joe's; Atlantic 14 tournament is going to be very, very interesting.

-- Memphis beat the Mavericks by 11, with Dirk Nowitzki leaving in second quarter with a bad back. Bad news for Dallas.

-- Bulls beat San Antonio in Spurs' first home game in 25 days. Rose had 29 for Chicago, which is now 29-8.

-- Steve Novak scored 17 points in 17 minutes, making 5-8 from arc, as Knicks came back from down 12 at the half to beat the Cavs, 120-103.


******************


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random thoughts on a winter day........

13) Sports Illustrated article on UCLA’s basketball program is required reading for anyone who follows college hoop; interesting stuff, nothing that terribly shocking, but the picture of Howland painted by former players is disappointing. Not exactly a people person. Players need to know you care about them as more than a number on the greaseboard.

12) Good move by ESPN, signing up former Colts’ GM Bill Polian for the network; he should provide a different perspective on how/why things happen.

11) TCU has made great strides in basketball this year, going from 11-22 to 17-12, but next year they jump up to the Big 12 for football reasons, which will make them a doormat in hoops once again. Jim Christian, the former Kent State coach, has had the ultimate uphill climb making the Horned Frogs’ program a consistent winner. He’s obviously a good coach, but does TCU have the resources/facilities to compete in basketball with its new conference rivals?

10) Speaking of the Big 12, Missouri/Texas A&M have to fork over $12.4M each to get away from the league and head to the SEC, where $12M is pocket change, especially in the fall.

9) You don’t have to be Dr Phil or Dr Jack Ramsay to figure out that Lamar Odom isn’t happy in Dallas, and wants out. Tough to trade for guys who played for the fatcat teams; will they be as good a teammate when they go to a team they might not be thrilled to be on? Odom seems like a good guy, but he also seems like a player who wasted a lot of his vast talent over the years.

8) Rajan Rondo didn’t score a point Tuesday, but had 11 assists, five turnovers, and was +7 in 32 minutes in a game the Celtics won by 3. He’s the first NBA player this season to have 10+ assists and not score in that game. Rondo backed that game up with a triple-double Wednesday.

7) Pirates play only nine of their first 25 games at home, and 22 of their first 25 against teams that had winning records last year; now comes the news that AJ Burnett fouled a ball off his eye while practicing bunting on Wednesday. Hopefully the injury isn't too serious.

6) There is nothing common about common sense, which is why there has to be a law against texting while driving; friend of mine does it all the time. I have a hard enough time driving when I’m paying attention.

5) Michael Jordan’s mansion in Chicago is on sale for $29M; it has 15 bathrooms in it. Sounds more like a hotel than a mansion. Must be fun to be rich, but who owns a house with 15 bathrooms in it?

4) Colorado Rockies have an intrasquad scrimmage Friday, with managers Todd Helton/Jason Giambi. Exhibition games get underway Saturday, for the most part. Will be fun to watch these meaningless games for the next month, and I mean that.

3) Eldrick Woods is annoyed about Hank Haney's book; imagine how he'd feel if Haney talked Woods' girlfriends. He had to know something about all that stuff. Now that would've made for an interesting book.

2) Saints are playing a dangerous game, negotiating with Drew Brees on a long-term contract. The two sides are apparently pretty far apart. Just sign the man already; he's earned the money.

1) Totally enjoyed the end of Florida-Vandy game Tuesday, when the Commodore seniors came out one-by-one at end of the game, to rousing ovations from the home fans. A terrific player like Jeffrey Taylor openly crying on the court as he waited to be subbed in for gave you a glimpse of what is good about college sports, a marked contrast from UCLA.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/01/2012 06:08 PM
NCAAB
Dunkel

Washington State at UCLA
The Bruins look to take advantage of a Washington State team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games. UCLA is the pick (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-9 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MARCH 1

Game 709-710: Michigan at Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 66.313; Illinois 66.058
Dunkel Line: Even; 118
Vegas Line: Illinois by 1 1/2; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+1 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Florida State at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 64.940; Virginia 69.981
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 5; 119
Vegas Line: Virginia by 4; 114 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-4); Over

Game 713-714: Colorado at Oregon (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 61.390; Oregon 69.736
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 8 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Oregon by 5 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick Oregon (-5 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Villanova at Rutgers (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 59.317; Rutgers 61.306
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 2; 142
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 4; 138
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+4); Over

Game 717-718: Virginia Tech at Clemson (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 60.491; Clemson 63.633
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 3; 127
Vegas Line: Clemson by 6; 121
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+6); Over

Game 719-720: Georgia at Kentucky (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 60.026; Kentucky 82.038
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 22; 124
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 19; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-19); Under

Game 721-722: Washington at USC (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 62.853; USC 57.133
Dunkel Line: Washington by 5 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Washington by 7 1/2; 125
Dunkel Pick: USC (+7 1/2); Over

Game 723-724: Utah at Oregon State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 46.335; Oregon State 66.486
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 20; 132
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 17; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-17); Under

Game 725-726: UC-Davis at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 46.026; Cal Poly 50.643
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 4 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 15 1/2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+15 1/2); Under

Game 727-728: Utah State at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 57.751; San Jose State 53.072
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 4 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Utah State by 4; 132
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-4); Over

Game 729-730: Pacific at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 49.950; UC-Santa Barbara 60.514
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 10 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 12; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+12); Under

Game 731-732: Washington State at UCLA (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 57.641; UCLA 68.417
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 11; 139
Vegas Line: UCLA by 9 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-9 1/2); Over

Game 733-734: Louisiana Tech at Fresno State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 56.177; Fresno State 58.878
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 2 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 6; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+6); Under

Game 735-736: New Mexico State at Nevada (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 57.728; Nevada 63.908
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 6; 147
Vegas Line: Nevada by 3 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-3 1/2); Over

Game 737-738: Idaho at Hawaii (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 50.132; Hawaii 55.536
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 5 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 3; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-3); Under

Game 739-740: Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 50.554; Indiana State 54.469
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 4; 130
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 5 1/2; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (+5 1/2); Over

Game 741-742: Bradley vs. Drake (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 48.527; Drake 54.147
Dunkel Line: Drake by 5 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Drake by 7 1/2; 127
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+7 1/2); Over

Game 743-744: Portland vs. San Francisco (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 47.479; San Francisco 59.500
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 13; 131
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 745-746: Pepperdine at San Diego (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 48.172; San Diego 50.016
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 128
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3 1/2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+3 1/2); Over

Game 747-748: SE Missouri State vs. Tennessee Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 48.253; Tennessee Tech 49.894
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 1 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 749-750: Jacksonville State vs. Morehead State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 56.207; Morehead State 50.832
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 5 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 761-762: North Florida vs. East Tennessee State (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 51.570; East Tennessee State 53.489
Dunkel Line: East Tennessee State by 2; 133
Vegas Line: East Tennessee State by 3; 128
Dunkel Pick: North Florida (+3); Over

Game 763-764: FL-Gulf Coast vs. USC Upstate (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: FL-Gulf Coast 49.498; USC Upstate 53.592
Dunkel Line: USC Upstate by 4; 147
Vegas Line: USC Upstate by 6; 143
Dunkel Pick: FL-Gulf-Coast (+6); Over

Game 765-766: Sacred Heart at Long Island (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacred Heart 46.220; Long Island 58.442
Dunkel Line: Long Island by 12; 159
Vegas Line: Long Island by 8 1/2; 163 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Long Island (-8 1/2); Under

Game 767-768: Central Connecticut at Wagner (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Connecticut 46.261; Wagner 59.432
Dunkel Line: Wagner by 13; 139
Vegas Line: Wagner by 10 1/2; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wagner (-10 1/2); Over

Game 769-770: Monmouth at Robert Morris (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 53.226; Robert Morris 55.454
Dunkel Line: Robert Morris by 2; 129
Vegas Line: Robert Morris by 12; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Monmouth (+12); Under

Game 771-772: Quinnipiac at St. Francis (NY) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Quinnipiac 53.965; St. Francis (NY) 53.670
Dunkel Line: Even; 142
Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 1 1/2; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Francis (NY) (+1 1/2); Over

Game 773-774: VMI vs. Winthrop (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VMI 45.489; Winthrop 48.385
Dunkel Line: Winthrop by 3; 125
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 775-776: Charleston Southern vs. NC-Asheville (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 49.749; NC-Asheville 58.767
Dunkel Line: NC-Asheville by 9; 138
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 777-778: Binghamton vs. UMBC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Binghamton 36.854; UMBC 33.932
Dunkel Line: Binghamton by 3; 126
Vegas Line: UMBC by 2; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Binghamton (+2); Under
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/01/2012 06:09 PM
NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 1

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MICHIGAN (21 - 8) at ILLINOIS (17 - 12) - 3/1/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 2-2 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (19 - 9) at VIRGINIA (21 - 7) - 3/1/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 2-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 3-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO (19 - 9) at OREGON (20 - 8) - 3/1/2012, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
OREGON is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VILLANOVA (11 - 17) at RUTGERS (13 - 16) - 3/1/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
VILLANOVA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.
RUTGERS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 2-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 2-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VIRGINIA TECH (15 - 14) at CLEMSON (15 - 13) - 3/1/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CLEMSON is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEMSON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
CLEMSON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGIA (13 - 15) at KENTUCKY (28 - 1) - 3/1/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
KENTUCKY is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 3-2 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 4-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WASHINGTON (20 - 8) at USC (6 - 23) - 3/1/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
USC is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
USC is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
USC is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
USC is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all home games this season.
USC is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home lined games this season.
USC is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
USC is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
USC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.
USC is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
USC is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
USC is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.
USC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
USC is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTAH (6 - 22) at OREGON ST (15 - 13) - 3/1/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CAL DAVIS (5 - 23) at CAL POLY-SLO (15 - 14) - 3/1/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL POLY-SLO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CAL DAVIS is 3-2 against the spread versus CAL POLY-SLO over the last 3 seasons
CAL POLY-SLO is 4-1 straight up against CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTAH ST (15 - 14) at SAN JOSE ST (9 - 19) - 3/1/2012, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 4-2 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 6-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PACIFIC (11 - 16) at UC-SANTA BARBARA (16 - 9) - 3/1/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PACIFIC is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points since 1997.
PACIFIC is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
PACIFIC is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
PACIFIC is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
PACIFIC is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
PACIFIC is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 3-3 against the spread versus PACIFIC over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 4-2 straight up against PACIFIC over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON ST (14 - 14) at UCLA (16 - 13) - 3/1/2012, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LOUISIANA TECH (15 - 14) at FRESNO ST (13 - 17) - 3/1/2012, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LOUISIANA TECH is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
LOUISIANA TECH is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 100-131 ATS (-44.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 108-141 ATS (-47.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 103-135 ATS (-45.5 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 5-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 3-3 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO ST (22 - 8) at NEVADA (23 - 5) - 3/1/2012, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEVADA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEVADA is 117-87 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEW MEXICO ST is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
NEW MEXICO ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 4-3 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IDAHO (16 - 12) at HAWAII (15 - 13) - 3/1/2012, 12:00AM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
IDAHO is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
IDAHO is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
HAWAII is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 3-2 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 4-1 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S ILLINOIS (8 - 22) vs. INDIANA ST (17 - 13) - 3/1/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ILLINOIS is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
INDIANA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA ST is 4-2 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA ST is 4-2 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRADLEY (7 - 24) vs. DRAKE (16 - 14) - 3/1/2012, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DRAKE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BRADLEY is 4-3 against the spread versus DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
BRADLEY is 4-3 straight up against DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PEPPERDINE (10 - 18) vs. SAN DIEGO (12 - 17) - 3/1/2012, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 5-2 against the spread versus PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-3 straight up against PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N FLORIDA (16 - 15) vs. E TENN ST (16 - 13) - 3/1/2012, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E TENN ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in March games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
E TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus N FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 6-1 straight up against N FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

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FLA GULF COAST (13 - 16) vs. USC UPSTATE (20 - 11) - 3/1/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA GULF COAST is 1-0 against the spread versus USC UPSTATE over the last 3 seasons
USC UPSTATE is 3-3 straight up against FLA GULF COAST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRED HEART (14 - 17) at LONG ISLAND (22 - 8) - 3/1/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
LONG ISLAND is 4-0 straight up against SACRED HEART over the last 3 seasons

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C CONN ST (13 - 15) at WAGNER (24 - 5) - 3/1/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
C CONN ST is 3-1 straight up against WAGNER over the last 3 seasons

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MONMOUTH (12 - 19) at ROBERT MORRIS (22 - 9) - 3/1/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ROBERT MORRIS is 6-0 straight up against MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons

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QUINNIPIAC (17 - 12) at ST FRANCIS-PA (6 - 23) - 3/1/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST FRANCIS-PA is 2-2 straight up against QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons

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VMI (15 - 15) vs. WINTHROP (11 - 19) - 3/1/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
VMI is 1-0 against the spread versus WINTHROP over the last 3 seasons
WINTHROP is 4-3 straight up against VMI over the last 3 seasons

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BINGHAMTON (1 - 28) vs. MD-BALT COUNTY (4 - 25) - 3/1/2012, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BINGHAMTON is 1-0 against the spread versus MD-BALT COUNTY over the last 3 seasons
BINGHAMTON is 4-3 straight up against MD-BALT COUNTY over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/01/2012 06:14 PM
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 1

Illinois (+5.5) lost 70-61 at Michigan Feb 12, as Leonard scored only 5 points in game where Wolverines shot 50%. Senior Day for Illini team that underachieved to point that Weber could get fired- they're 2-9 last 11 games, snapping 6-game skid Sunday. Big Dozen home favorites of 3 or less points are 2-9 against the spread this season. Michigan won four of its last five games; they're 3-5 on Big Dozen road, winning last away game by 12 in OT at Northwestern.

Virginia (+5) lost 58-55 at Florida State Feb 4, turning ball over 20 times with star Scott hacing 7 of them; Cavaliers are 5-2 at home in ACC, but 2-4 as home fave, winning home games by 1-17-4-24-27 points. Virginia lost its last game at home by 3 to North Carolina. Seminoles are 4-1 vs spread as ACC underdog, 3-0 on road; they've won four of last five on foreign soil, but road losses are at Clemson/BC. ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 6-11 against the spread.

Oregon (+6) lost 72-71 at Colorado Feb 4, making 10-17 from foul line, while host Buffaloes were 23-30; Ducks covered last seven games, won four of last five SU- they're 2-2 as Pac-12 home favorite winning home games by 11-3-7-25-9 points (5-2 SU). Pac-12 home favorites of 6 or less points are 11-16 against the spread. Colorado won three of its last four games; they're 2-3 as Pac-12 road underdog, losing road games by 7-20-17-14, with wins at doormats USC/Arizona State/Utah.

Rutgers snapped 6-game skid Saturday with OT win over Seton Hall in rivalry game; Scarlet Knights are 1-2 as Big East favorite this year, with home wins by 7-7-7 points (3-4 SU). Villanova lost seven of last eight games (0-8 vs spread); they're 2-5 as road underdog, losing away games by 14-4-4-10-9-14-21 points. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 14-15 against the spread. Things are so bad for Villanova they lost a starter to injury in pre-game warmups at Georgetown Sunday.

USC (+12) got hammered 69-41 at Washington Feb 4, in game that was 29-19 at half; Trojans shot 1-16 from arc, 6-13 on foul line in a brickfest where teams combined to go 3-30 from arc. USC is 3-8-1 as underdog in league play, 0-3 at home, losing home games by 9-11-19-24-26-12, but Huskies' guard play is so erratic that they're poor risk on road (1-4 as a Pac-12 road favorite), though they won last two road games, at OSU and Wazzu. Pac-12 single digit home underdogs are 11-9 against spread.

Cal-Santa Barbara (-4.5) won 56-53 at Pacific Jan 28, in brickfest where neither team shot better than 33.3%; Gauchos led that first meeting by 10 at half, then held on. UCSB won four of last five games; they're 2-3 as Big West home favorite, winning home games by 13-18-8-8-8 points, with lone loss to Long Beach. Big West double digit home favorites are 8-10 against the spread. Pacific is 5-0 vs spread as road underdog, with road losses by 5-10-9 points (3-3 SU).

UCLA (-2) won 63-60 at Washington State Feb 4, holding Cougars to 37.7% from floor in game Wazzu led by 5 at half. Bruins are 2-3 in last five games; they're 5-2 as Pac-12 home favorite, winning home games by 7-17-27-17-11-10 points, with lone loss to Cal. Cougars lost six of last nine games; they're 1-4 as Pac-12 road underdog, losing away games by 2-11-10-24-4-9 points, with lone win at Oregon State. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 11-7 against the spread.

Fresno State (+2) lost 59-58 at Louisiana Tech Jan 26, in game Tech led by 8 at half; State used only seven players in game. Fresno lost three in a row by 8-4-3 points, with losses in double/triple OT- they're 2-2 as fave in WAC home games, winning at home by 9-10-6 points, with losses to Hawai'i/Nevada. Tech is 3-2 as WAC road underdog, losing last three on road by 11-14-9 points. WAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 7-9 against the spread this season.

Nevada (+4.5) won 68-60 at New Mexico State Jan 26, shooting 56.5% in game they led by 14 at half. Aggies shot only 32.7% but outscored Wolf Pack 21-9 on foul line. WAC home teams are 5-7 vs spread when number is 4 or less points. State won six of its last seven games; they're 3-2 SU on WAC road, losing by 4 at Hawai'i, 1 at Idaho. Nevada is 2-3 as WAC home favorite, winning home games by 24-3-13-1 point, with a loss to Idaho. Wolf Pack won last game in triple OT at Fresno.

WCC tournament
Pepperdine lost twice to San Diego this season, 65-56 (+4.5) at USD Jan 26, then 70-57 (-2) at home three weeks ago. Waves won last couple of games, but against Portland/Santa Clara, two worst teams in WCC; they won a game in this tourney three of last four years, and 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven games overall as an underdog. Toreros are 4-3 in last seven games, with underdogs covering six of the seven; USD won at least one games in this tournament six of the last seven years.

Portland played last night, San Francisco didn't; Pilots used three guys for 31+ minutes, but shot 57% from floor, 8-16 from arc in its win over Santa Clara. Portland lost to Dons twice this season, losing 68-58 (+2.5) at USF Jan 12, then 72-71 (+4) at home nine days later. Pilots' win last night snapped 6-game skid; they're 2-4 vs spread in last six games as an underdog. Dons are 8-4 in last dozen games, covering last four games as a favorite; they're 2-6 SU in this tournament the last six years.

Missouri Valley tournament
Home side won both Southern Illinois-Indiana State games this year, as Salukis (-7) won 73-67 in Carbondale Jan 13, then lost in Terre Haute by 10 (78-68, +8) in rematch Feb 11. Sycamores won this tournament LY, are 5-0 last five times they played in this round, with three wins by 4 or less points. Salukis lost by a hoop in this tourney each of last two years. State covered three of last four tries as a favorite. SIU lost its last five games, 0-4 vs spread in last four, losing by 10-19-15-4 points.

Bradley lost to Drake twice this year, 82-74 (+9.5) in Des Moines Jan 10, then 62-55 (+2) at home Feb 15; Braves are terrible this year, losing last five games and 11 of last 12, but they did cover four of last five as an underdog. Bradley hasn't scored more than 55 points in any of its last five games. Drake won three of last five games; they lost in this round in last three MVC tourneys, losing by 7-15-15 points. Bradley won game in Arch Madness in five of last six seasons.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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03/01/2012 06:15 PM
NCAAB

Thursday, March 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. VIRGINIA
Florida State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games on the road
Virginia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia's last 7 games

7:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Michigan's last 7 games on the road
Michigan is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Illinois
Illinois is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Illinois is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

7:05 PM
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS vs. INDIANA STATE
No trends available
Indiana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Illinois
Indiana State is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Southern Illinois

9:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. KENTUCKY
Georgia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Georgia is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
Kentucky is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. CLEMSON
Virginia Tech is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Virginia Tech's last 8 games on the road
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Clemson's last 12 games

9:00 PM
VILLANOVA vs. RUTGERS
Villanova is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Villanova is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Rutgers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Rutgers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

9:35 PM
BRADLEY vs. DRAKE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Drake's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Drake's last 7 games when playing Bradley

10:00 PM
UTAH vs. OREGON STATE
Utah is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Oregon State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Utah State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Utah State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
San Jose State is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose State's last 8 games

10:00 PM
PACIFIC vs. SANTA BARBARA
Pacific is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pacific's last 6 games on the road
Santa Barbara is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Santa Barbara is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:00 PM
UC DAVIS vs. CAL POLY
UC Davis is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
UC Davis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cal Poly
Cal Poly is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Cal Poly is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

10:30 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. UCLA
Washington State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
UCLA is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
UCLA is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

10:30 PM
COLORADO vs. OREGON
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

10:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. USC
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
USC is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
USC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

11:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. FRESNO STATE
Louisiana Tech is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisiana Tech's last 9 games on the road
Fresno State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Fresno State is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Louisiana Tech

11:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. NEVADA
New Mexico State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New Mexico State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Nevada is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games
Nevada is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

11:30 PM
PEPPERDINE vs. SAN DIEGO
No trends available
San Diego is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
San Diego is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Pepperdine

11:59 PM
IDAHO vs. HAWAII
Idaho is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Idaho's last 6 games on the road
Hawaii is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Hawaii is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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