cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
On 09/09/2011 05:25 PM in MLB

The Bum's Friday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA-CFL !

Kershaw and Lincecum square off Friday night

LOS ANGELES DODGERS (70-72, -4.5 Units)

at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (75-68, -6.8 Units)


First pitch: Friday, 10:15 p.m. EDT
Line: San Francisco -120, L.A. Dodgers +110, Total: 5.5

The season is winding down for the N.L. West rivals, but the Dodgers and Giants will have a premiere pitching matchup when they meet up in Los Angeles Friday night.

Dodgers stud Clayton Kershaw looks to continue his second-half tear, while Giants ace Tim Lincecum tries to rebound from back-to-back disappointing outings. San Francisco’s offense has been better of late, while the Dodgers have lost one of their best hitters, LF Andre Ethier, for the season. The fact that these two pitchers are so evenly matched would suggest betting the underdog, as would Kershaw’s ridiculous track record at AT&T Park (3-1, 0.57 ERA in five starts) and the Dodgers’ recent run (13 wins in their past 16 games). Plus, the FoxSheets have a four-star trend that confirms LOS ANGELES is the pick:

SAN FRANCISCO is 10-28 (26.3%, -21.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 2.4, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 4*).

Kershaw (17-5, 2.45 ERA) has been magnificent since the All-Star break. He’s 8-1 with a 1.44 ERA while the Dodgers have gone 8-2 in his past 10 starts. He has a 1.40 ERA in seven road starts since the Break. He’s also 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA against the Giants this year, including an absolutely dominant outing the last time he faced them on July 20 (eight shutout innings, three hits, 12 strikeouts, one walk).

However, the Giants hadn’t yet acquired RF Carlos Beltran at that point. After a slow start with the Giants, Beltran is 12-for-19 thus far in September.

Lincecum (12-12, 2.75 ERA) has not been sharp in his past two outings, both at home. He allowed five runs (four earned) and walked four over six innings in a loss to the Cubs on August 29, and in a must-win game last Saturday, he allowed five runs and nine hits, lasting just five innings against Arizona. A date with the Dodgers could be what he needs though. In three starts facing L.A. this year, Lincecum has a 1.86 ERA. Though, due to a lack of run support, the Giants lost two of those games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
09/09/2011 05:29 PM

MLB Series Outlook: Boston at Tampa Bay

BOSTON RED SOX (85-58, +2.4 Units)

at TAMPA BAY RAYS (78-64, +4.1 Units)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: Tampa Bay -120, Boston -110

After losing six of eight, the Red Sox now sit 2½ games back in the AL East behind the Yankees and head to Tampa Bay to take on their division rivals. The Rays sit 6½ games behind the Sox in the Wild Card race and will need a sweep here if they plan on pulling off any late-season heroics with a September playoff push. This is the second-to-last series between the two teams this year, with the rivals facing off for a four-game set later in September in Boston.

Boston enters this matchup tied for the most road wins in baseball, with 43. The Sox have also dominated AL East opponents this year (33-20) and are the superior hitting team with 0.5 more runs per game than Tampa Bay. Considering the even pitching matchups all weekend, the pick here is underdog BOSTON to win the series.

The FoxSheets provide a three-star trend favoring the Red Sox to win at least two games this weekend.

BOSTON is 13-3 (81.3%, +11.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. The average score was BOSTON 6.3, OPPONENT 3.0 - (Rating = 3*).

Pitching Probables for Friday, September 9 - 7:10 EDT
Friday line: Tampa Bay -110, Boston +100, Total: 10
BOS: 12-12 (-3.40 Units) when John Lackey starts
TB: 15-10 (+4.20 Units) when Wade Davis starts
When Lackey (12-11, 6.11 ERA) comes up in the rotation every five days, Red Sox fans and players cringe. Once a big signing, he’s been a colossal disappointment and has only furthered that recently with a 6.75 ERA in his past three outings. Still, he’s 1-1 against the Rays this year with a 4.38 ERA, and has an impressive 3.81 career ERA against them. He should be able to get decent run support given who he’s starting against, and is a nice value play in this game.
Davis (9-8, 4.50 ERA) is having a statistically better season than Lackey, but provides a few reasons why he shouldn’t be the play here. He’s struggled mightily with his control in his past two starts, with seven walks compared to just eight strikeouts, never a good sign. He’s also 0-2 with an 11.12 ERA in his career against the Red Sox.

Pitching Probables for Saturday, September 10 - 7:10 EDT
Saturday line: TBD
BOS: 1-1 (-0.10 Units) when Kyle Weiland starts
TB: 13-12 (-0.70 Units) when Jeremy Hellickson starts
Making only his third start of the season, and first since July, Weiland (0-1, 6.75 ERA) takes the rubber for the Red Sox, never having faced the Rays in his brief career. With a tough opponent in Hellickson, it’s difficult to justify playing on him, but the Red Sox do have a propensity to knock him around, so at the right odds Weiland can be a surprise play.
Hellickson (12-10, 2.90 ERA) is coming off arguably his best start of the season, throwing a complete-game, four-hitter against the Orioles. In his career, however, he has a 5.14 ERA against the Red Sox. Also, young arms often tire after throwing deep into games in their previous start, a tendency he showed earlier in the season, not making it out of the sixth after his only other complete game.

Pitching Probables for Sunday, September 11 - 1:40 EDT
Sunday line: TBD
BOS: 16-11 (-3.35 Units) when Jon Lester starts
TB: 19-10 (+6.45 Units) when James Shields starts
Some people tire late in the season, but not Lester (15-6, 2.93 ERA), who has found a new gear. The last time he allowed more than one run in a start was August 10. He’s 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA against the Rays this season, but unfortunately draws a tough opponent in Shields.
Shields (14-10, 2.77 ERA) is a complete-game machine, with 11 CG in 29 starts this year. That includes two of his past three times out, a span of 26 innings in which he’s allowed just two runs. He’s garnered wins his past four times out. It’s slightly troublesome that he has a career 4.84 ERA against the Red Sox, but given how amazing he has been, it’s difficult to justify playing against here.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
09/09/2011 05:33 PM

Diamond Trends - Friday

September 9, 2011

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Reds are 10-0 since April 11, 2010 after a loss in which they had at least five more team-left-on-base than their opponent as a favorite but less than 13 total for a net profit of $1000.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Athletics are 12-0-1 OU since April 27, 2010 as a dog after a 5+ run win for a net profit of $1200 when playing the over.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Angels are 16-0 since September 04, 2006 when Jered Weaver starts as a favorite after he had a WHIP of at least 2 his last start for a net profit of $1600.


MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Phillies are 0-12 (-3.1 rpg) since September 24th, 2009 as a 140-plus favorite when they blew a lead in their starter’s last start and lost, as long as that starter had a WHIP of at least one, struck out fewer than eight and the bullpen allowed at least one run in that loss.


TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Orioles are 5-0 since September 06, 2010 as a 140+ dog after a win in which they drew 5+ walks for a net profit of $1015.

The White Sox are 5-0-2 OU since April 23, 2010 at home when their starter went less than four innings in his last start for a net profit of $500 when playing the over.

The Brewers are 5-0 OU since April 11, 2010 as a home dog after a 5+ run loss and it is not the first game of a series

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
09/09/2011 05:37 PM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 11

September 7, 2011

Week 10 was the first of a home-and-home series for the CFL. This week, all eight teams lace them up again to play the same team at a different venue to either complete the two-game sweep or avenge last week's loss. British Columbia got the ball rolling in this series last Friday night with a 29-16 victory over Toronto as a two-point road favorite. This past Sunday, Saskatchewan snapped a four-game skid with a 27-7 pounding of Winnipeg as a 2 ½ -point road underdog. In the first of a Labor Day double-header, Hamilton stunned Montreal 44-21 as a 2 ½ -point home underdog. The night-cap featured another big upset as Edmonton got back to its winning ways with a 35-7 rout of Calgary as an 8 ½ -point road underdog.
The following is brief preview of round two of the home-and-home along with the opening point spread and ‘over/under’ lines as provided by TheGreek.com.

Friday, September 9

Calgary Stampeders (-3 ½) at Edmonton Eskimos Over/Under (52)

Calgary’s loss last week dropped it into a tie with Edmonton for first-place in the West Division with a 6-3 straight up record (5-4 against the spread). It is a perfect 4-0 SU on the road this season (3-1 ATS) and the total has stayed ‘under’ in five of its nine games. The Eskimos are also 5-4 ATS and 3-1 SU at home (2-2 ATS). The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of their nine games.

The Stampeders have now lost two straight to Edmonton this season both SU and ATS. Both games were played in Calgary and the total stayed ‘under’ in each one. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven trips to Commonwealth Stadium and the total has gone ‘over’ in the last five meetings there. Calgary is second in the CFL in points scored with 232, while Edmonton is ranked seventh with 174.

Saturday September 10

Toronto Argonauts at British Columbia Lions (-7) Over/Under: (48)

Toronto is now 2-7 SU and in last-place in the East. It is 4-5 ATS overall but just 1-4 ATS on the road this season. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of its nine games. BC is in third-place in the West with a 3-6 SU record overall. It is also 4-5 ATS and 1-3 ATS at home. The total has stayed ‘under’ in six of its nine games.

The Argonauts have now lost eight of the last 10 games to the Lions SU. They are 3-3 ATS in the last six overall and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in BC. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 12 of the last 15 meetings overall, but is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings at Empire Field. Toronto is giving up an average of 29.1 points a game as compared to the Lions 25.4.

Sunday, September 11

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Montreal Alouettes (-5) Over/Under (56)

Hamilton’s win last week has it tied with Montreal at 5-4 SU; two games in back of Winnipeg in the East. The Tiger-Cats are 5-4 ATS overall but just 1-3 ATS on the road. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of their nine games this season. The Alouettes are 4-5 ATS and 2-2 ATS at home. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of their nine games this year.

This will be the third meeting between the two this season, with Hamilton winning the first two by a combined score of 78-47 as a home underdog each time. The total went ‘over’ in both. The Tiger-Cats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in Montreal and the total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last seven there. The Alouettes lead the league in points scored with 253 for an average of 28.1 points a game.

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-5 ½) Over/Under (48)

Last week’s upset victory raised Saskatchewan to 2-7 both SU and ATS on the year. It is 1-3 SU and ATS on the road and the total has stayed ‘under’ in six of its nine games overall. Despite the loss, Winnipeg still has the best record in the CFL at 7-2 SU (7-2 ATS) and is 4-1 SU (4-1 ATS) at home this year. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of its nine games.

The Roughriders are 8-2 SU in the last 10 games of this series. They are 4-2 ATS in the last six overall, but just 1-4 ATS in the last five games in Winnipeg. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of the last eight meetings overall. Saskatchewan is dead-last in the league in scoring with an average of 18.3 points a game, while the Blue Bombers in the middle of the pack with an averaging 23.6 points.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
09/09/2011 05:39 PM

Montreal looks to settle the score with Hamilton

HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (5-4)

at MONTREAL ALOUETTES (5-4)


Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Montreal -5, Total: 57

Montreal will get a great shot at payback on Sunday when it faces the Hamilton Tiger-Cats for the second half of a home-and-home series. Less than a week ago on Monday, Hamilton put a hurting on the Alouettes in a 44-21 victory.

Hamilton has had problems on the road this year going 1-3 SU (2-2 ATS) and scoring just 24.0 PPG compared to 32.8 PPG at home. The Tiger-Cats defense also has suffered away from home, allowing 30.3 PPG and 416.7 YPG. The Alouettes, on the other hand, are 3-1 SU (2-2 ATS) at home and their defense is substantially better in Montreal, allowing only 18.5 PPG compared to a horrid 32.8 on the road. The Alouettes are 73-32 (70%) since 1996 when revenging a same-season loss versus an opponent, off an upset loss as a favorite. Montreal also has handled Hamilton well, going 33-18 SU overall (65%) and 21-6 SU at home (78%) against the Tiger-Cats since 1996. Expect MONTREAL to bounce back on Sunday and take down Hamilton by at least a touchdown.

The FoxSheets provide a four-star coaching trend siding with the Alouettes.

Marc Trestman is 11-1 ATS (91.7%, +9.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of MONTREAL. The average score was MONTREAL 38.9, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 4*).

Hamilton had a dreadful 1-3 start but has won four of five and looks to gain sole possession of second place. The Tiger-Cats had both the running and passing game going last week against Montreal. Running back Avon Cobourne rushed for 102 yards and two touchdown as quarterback Kevin Glenn went 14-of-18 for 237 yards, a touchdown and no interceptions.

Montreal’s quarterback Anthony Calvillo had a bad game according to his standards, connecting on 17-of-30 passes for 215 yards and no touchdowns on Monday. Calvillo’s favorite target was Jamel Richardson, who caught 10 passes for 199 yards. Some of Richardson’s yards were in part to back-up quarterback Adrian McPherson who went 7-of-12 for 92 yards. Richardson has recorded 100 yards in five games this year, including a current run of three straight games. The Alouettes also have the top running back in the CFL in Brandon Whitaker who has rushed for 670 yards on just 102 carries. Whitaker was not able to get anything going last week against Hamilton, rushing for only 56 yards on eight carries. Montreal needs to get Whitaker off and running on Sunday to get its high-powered offense going.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
09/09/2011 05:43 PM

Friday's betting tips: Louisville not cashing at home

Who’s hot

MLB: The Twins are 6-2 in their last eight games following an off day.

MLB: The Cubs are 9-4 in their last 13 road games against a right-handed starter.

NCAAF: Arizona State is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games against winning teams.

CFL: Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last five games following a loss.

WNBA: Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games with New York.

Who’s not

MLB: The Red Sox are 0-5 in their last five series openers.

MLB: The Indians are 2-6 in Jeanmar Gomez’s last eight road starts.

NCAAF: Louisville is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 home games.

CFL: Edmonton is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 September games.

WNBA: Los Angeles is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games against losing teams.

Injury not to be overlooked

The Dodgers have shut down All-Star outfielder Andre Ethier, who’s dealt with lingering knee pain, for the season. He could have surgery soon. Ethier was hitting .292 with 11 home runs, 30 doubles and 62 RBIs.

Key stat

42 – That’s how many save chances Detroit's Jose Valverde has converted this season. Namely, all of them. Valverde tossed a perfect ninth on Wednesday to tie Todd Jones’ single-season team record of 42 saves. Dating to last season, Valverde has converted 44 straight save opportunities, the fourth-longest streak in history.

Game of the day

No. 19 Missouri Tigers at No. 23 Arizona State Sun Devils (-8, 52.5)

Notable quotable

"The hamstring is coming along. It feels really good. All signs point to me playing on Sunday." – Houston RB Arian Foster to Yahoo! Sports Radio. The Texans are laying 8.5 to 9 points against the Colts, who’ll be quarterbacked by Kerry Collins instead of Peyton Manning.

Notes and tips

The total for USC’s home game on Saturday against Utah is 51, same as it was for last week’s USC home game against Minnesota. USC won 19-17, an easy win for “under” bettors. But it’s not only the defenses that might be holding scoring down. The field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum is uneven and will be painted green on a weekly basis to hide numerous areas of dirt and dead spots, according to ESPN.com. A music festival featuring Rage Against the Machine, Muse and Rise Against was held at the Coliseum on July 30, five weeks before the opener. The Coliseum did not have enough time to replace the field, so the Trojans are stuck with it all season.

The Cowboys’ offensive line is in bad shape heading into Sunday night's opener at the N.Y. Jets, who are favored by 5. Rookie RT Tyron Smith hurt his knee Wednesday and did not practice Thursday. The O-line already is breaking in a seventh-round pick at left guard, Bill Nagy, and a new center, Phil Costa. If Smith, a first-round pick, cannot play, Jeremy Parnell could very well be his replacement. Parnell has never played in an NFL game, having previously been on the Saints’ practice squad.

Not that they needed any help, but the Phillies activated shortstop Jimmy Rollins from the DL. He was not in the starting lineup Thursday as Philly opened a four-game series at Milwaukee in a possible NLCS preview. Rollins, who had a strained right groin, will be eased back. The 2007 NL MVP, Rollins hasn’t played since Aug. 21. He’s hitting .268 with 14 homers.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
09/09/2011 05:45 PM

Friday's six-pack

-- Mets are 19-6 when Jose Reyes scores in the first inning.

-- Elias Sports Bureau reports that Ian Kinsler is the first big league ever to homer seven times in the first seven days of September.

-- ESPN signed a $1.8B a year deal with ESPN to show Monday Night Football thru 2021, a 63% increase over their previous package, which was $1.1B a year.

-- Angels’ OF Mike Trout is this season’s Minor League Player of the Year.

-- In 1997, total purses on the pro golf tour were $70,800,800; by 2007, they had grown to $272,300,000.

-- Toronto OF Adam Loewen, who is Canadian, once made 29 starts as a pitcher for the Orioles (2006-08), going 8-8, 5.38. 106 walks in 164 IP turned him into an outfielder.


*********************


Friday's List of 13: College football teams that caught my eye

This is in no way a ranking, just some teams who caught my eye in the last week…….
13) Mississippi State—This is highest they’ve been ranked in 11 years; they’re expected to win at rebuilding Auburn this week, but winning on the Plains has never been easy for these Bulldogs.

12) Baylor—I don’t give a rat’s ass about the Heisman Trophy, but I’ll say this: Baylor QB Robert Griffin III is the most fun player in America to watch. Not even close.

11) Penn State—Last ten times they were an underdog, Lions are 1-9 against the spread. They get a chance to make some national news with Alabama visiting this week.

10) South Florida—Skip Holtz teams play better as the underdog, but last week’s win makes them the hunted instead of the hunter. How will they react against spunky underdog Ball State?

9) Colorado hosts Cal this week, but it isn’t their first Pac-10 game; this game was scheduled before the Buffs jumped leagues, so it’s a non-league game between new conference rivals. Go figure.

8) TCU lost 50-48 in Waco last week, now visits Air Force, where their last two visits both ended 20-17 (teams split). Tricky game for TCU.

7) Supposedly, Northern Illinois has one of the best OLs in America; they’re a TD favorite at Kansas, with a game vs mighty Wisconsin on tap next week. Cinderella-type BCS Busters don’t get caught looking ahead. We’ll see about these Huskies.

6) Washington State hammered some hapless I-AA team last week; now they’re a 14-point favorite over downtrodden UNLV. If Wazzu is going to show improvement in the Pac-12 and energize their fanbase a little, this is a game they need to win big.

5) Washington—Huskies struggled with former SMU QB Bo Levi Mitchell last week, beating I-AA Eastern Washington in close game; now they get Hawai’i’s Run-and-shoot the week after the Warriors beat Colorado. Hawai’i looked good last week; this is an interesting game.

4) Memphis—This is a horrible time in history to have an abysmal football team, as conferences scramble to find teams—Tigers would be an attractive hoop school, but when you’re a 14-point dog at Arkansas State, no football league is coming after you.

3) Georgia—Mark Richt needs to beat South Carolina this week, or the Mike Leach-to-Athens rumors are going to start up.

2) Utah—First-ever Pac-10 game is at USC, where OC Norm Chow used to work. Trojans struggled to beat Minnesota last week—this could be interesting.

1) Michigan—First-ever home night game for the Wolverines. Should be quite an atmosphere, with Notre Dame in the house. Both sides hoping for no lightning storms. Brian Kelly is hoping he doesn’t have to curse his receivers out after every series.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
09/09/2011 05:49 PM

CFL
Dunkel


Week 11

Calgary at Edmonton
The Stampeders look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games in Week 11. Calgary is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-3). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 9

Game 491-492: Calgary at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 117.424; Edmonton 111.200
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 6; 46
Vegas Line: Calgary by 3; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-3); Under

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 10

Game 493-494: Toronto at BC (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 107.625; BC 112.263
Dunkel Line: BC by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: BC by 7 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7 1/2); Over

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 11

Game 495-496: Hamilton at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 116.372; Montreal 113.426
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 3; 59
Vegas Line: Montreal by 5; 57
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+5); Over

Game 497-498: Saskatchewan at Winnipeg (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 109.199; Winnipeg 115.821
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 6 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 5 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-5 1/2); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 11

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Friday, September 9

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CALGARY (6 - 3) at EDMONTON (6 - 3) - 9/9/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-4 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 10

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TORONTO (2 - 7) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 6) - 9/10/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home lined games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 11

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HAMILTON (5 - 4) at MONTREAL (5 - 4) - 9/11/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 7) at WINNIPEG (7 - 2) - 9/11/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
WINNIPEG is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 101-64 ATS (+30.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL


Week 11

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Trend Report
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Friday, September 9

9:00 PM
CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
Calgary is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Calgary's last 12 games on the road
Edmonton is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games


Saturday, September 10

4:00 PM
TORONTO vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Toronto is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Toronto's last 17 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home
British Columbia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Toronto


Sunday, September 11

1:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton

4:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games
Winnipeg is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan


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CFL


Week 11

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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 11 odds and picks
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Calgary Stampeders at Edmonton Eskimos (+3, 51)

Embarrassed at home by the Eskimos last weekend, the Stampeders will do everything to avoid another humiliating chapter in the Battle for Alberta.

Fortunately for Calgary backers, the Stamps have proven better on the road (4-4) than at home (2-3) this season.

Henri Burris, who’s coming off his worst game of the year, will need to redeem himself. He will definitely benefit from the return of OT Edwin Harrison.

Harrison should do a better job of protecting Burris’ blind side than rookie Tony Washington, who couldn’t stop anyone and got caught five times for illegal procedure in his last two games.

Pick: Stampeders


Toronto Argonauts at B.C. Lions (-7.5, 49)

Steven Jyles takes over at QB after the predictable dismissal of Cleo Lemon, but is it already too late for the Argonauts?

Lemon’s departure, after he threw a fit in the Argos' dressing room at halftime of Friday’s game, could be a source of tension on a team not known for unity and harmony.

Jim Barker won the coach of the year award last season for the job he did in Toronto, but he’s got to be wondering if he’ll even end the season as the Argos’ head coach.

Pick: Lions


Hamilton Tiger Cats at Montreal Alouettes (-5, 57)

The Alouettes are still plagued with injuries; it’s obvious that the chemistry that made this team so tough to beat over the last three seasons has been seriously put to the test by each loss.

But if this team still has a bit of pride, it will bounce back this week in front of the fans at Percival-Molson Stadium.

It is the second time this year that the Alouettes are on a two-game losing streak. Anthony Calvillo, although shut down by Hamilton’s defense, remains one of the most efficient QBs in the CFL with a TD-INT ratio of 17-4.

You have to think that coach Marc Trestman will run the ball more often with Brandon Whitaker, who leads all rushers. The attack becomes somewhat predictable, despite all of his tricky patterns on offense.

The return of DT Eric Wilson should slow down former Alouette Avon Cobourne, who rushed for 102 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 19 carries in the Tiger Cats' win.

Pick: Alouettes


Saskatchewan Roughriders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-5.5, 47.5)

The Roughriders are better than their 1-7 records indicates. Although it will be tough in Winnipeg, they should prevail again against a Blue Bombers team that is starting to show some weaknesses and vulnerability.

The acquisition of Dallas Baker and the return of Adam Fantuz (released by the Chicago Bears last week) will give QB Darian Durant two prime targets.

Defensively, the Blue Bombers have become more predictable after dominating the league in sacks. They only have one in their last two games.

Pick: Roughriders


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
09/09/2011 05:52 PM

WNBA
Dunkel


Indiana at New York
The Liberty look to take advantage of an Indiana team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 Friday games. New York is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 9

Game 601-602: Indiana at New York (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 112.906; New York 119.527
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3;
Dunkel Pick: New York (-3);

Game 603-604: Phoenix at Seattle (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 112.093; Seattle 114.472
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 2 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 5 1/2; 164
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+5 1/2);

Game 605-606: Tulsa at Los Angeles (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 100.295; Los Angeles 19.792
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 9 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 10 1/2;
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+10 1/2);




WNBA


Friday, September 9

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Indiana
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

10:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games

10:30 PM
TULSA vs. LOS ANGELES
Tulsa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tulsa is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games


WNBA
Long Sheet


Friday, September 9

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INDIANA (21 - 11) at NEW YORK (18 - 14) - 9/9/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 75-110 ATS (-46.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
NEW YORK is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
INDIANA is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
INDIANA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (19 - 13) at SEATTLE (19 - 13) - 9/9/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 9-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 10-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (3 - 29) at LOS ANGELES (13 - 19) - 9/9/2011, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 12-20 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 11-30 ATS (-22.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 8-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 8-2 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
09/09/2011 05:53 PM

MLB
Dunkel


Baltimore at Toronto
The Orioles look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is 1-6 in Brett Cecil's last 7 starts as a favorite. Baltimore is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 9

Game 951-952: Florida at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.196; Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.848
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100); Under

Game 953-954: Houston at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.061; Washington (Milone) 15.037
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Over

Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Coleman) 14.951; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.240
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Under

Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 16.547; Milwaukee (Marcum) 15.207
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Over

Game 959-960: Atlanta at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Delgado) 16.495; St. Louis (Jackson) 14.948
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+110); Under

Game 961-962: Cincinnati at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.503; Colorado (Chacin) 15.045
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-140); Over

Game 963-964: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 16.032; Arizona (Hudson) 15.427
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+140); Under

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.956; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.769
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120); Over

Game 967-968: Baltimore at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 16.381; Toronto (Cecil) 15.583
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+130); Under

Game 969-970: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 13.868; Detroit (Penny) 16.460
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Over

Game 971-972: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 16.207; Tampa Bay (Davis) 14.995
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Under

Game 973-974: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (McCarthy) 15.497; Texas (Lewis) 16.803
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-165); Over

Game 975-976: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Gomez) 13.997; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.276
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-160); Over

Game 977-978: NY Yankees at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Colon) 16.085; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.258
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+115); Under

Game 979-980: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 15.740; Seattle (Beavan) 14.652
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: