Wednesday, February 22
Notre Dame (+6.5) outscored West Virginia 13-6 over last 2:40 as they upset Mountaineers 55-51 in Morgantown two weeks ago, in game they loed by 10 at the half. WVU is 2-5 in its last seven games, with last four losses by 6 points or less points. Notre Dame won its last eight games (7-1 vs spread); they're 3-1 as Big East favorite. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-12 against the spread.
LaSalle (+5) lost 76-70 at Temple Jan 18, outscored 18-9 on foul line, with Owls shooting 52% from floor. Explorers are 5-1 in A-14 home games, with only loss to Saint Louis, but they've lost three of their last four games overall. Temple won last 10 games (8-2 vs spread); they are 4-1 in A-14 games on road, with only loss by 11 at Richmond. Atlantic 14 home teams are 22-14-1 vs spread when number is 5 or less points.
Ole Miss lost four of its last five games, losing last two games by 26-15 points; Rebels covered three of last four as road underdog- their losses on foreign soil are by 26-1-2-10-15 points, with win at Georgia. Home favorites of 7 or less points are 13-7 against the spread in SEC games. Tennessee won/covered four of last five games; they're 6-0 vs spread at home, with wins by 11-15-11-12-19 points, with loss to Kentucky.
Buffalo (+6.5) lost 60-52 at Ohio Jan 11, turning ball over 23 times in game where they held Bobcats to 32% from floor, but Ohio grabbed 16 offensive boards. Ohio is 1-4 on MAC road, 0-5 vs spread, with only win at lowly No. Illinois- they're 3-1 as an underdog this season. MAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-5 against the spread. Buffalo lost its last two games after winning previous eight; they're 5-0 at home in MAC play, winning by 1-12-18-16-2 points.
Akron (-2) won 56-55 at Bowling Green Jan 11, despite making 9-18 on foul line (BG was 4-9). Zips' loss at Oral Roberts Saturday ended their 8-game win streak; they're 5-2 as MAC home favorite, winning at home by 5-9-14-30-24-15 points. MAC home favorites of 6+ points are 17-16 against the spread. Falcons won five of last six games; they're 6-1 as a MAC underdog, 4-1 on road (3-3 on road, losses by 5-5-13).
If Georgia State beats Old Dominion here, sets up a probable meeting in second round of CAA tourney. Monarchs won seven of their last nine games, covering its last four road games; they're 2-1 as CAA underdog, with road losses by 13-4 points. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-11-1 against the spread. Georgia State won five of last six games; their last three CAA home games were decided by total of six points.
South Florida is 10-4 in Big East in part because they've had the easiest conference schedule in an unbalanced league; Bulls are 1-7 against teams ranked in top 90- they're 3-3 as Big East road dog, losing away games by 11-20-30 points, scoring less than 50 points in all three losses. Syracuse is 3-4 as Big East home favorite, winning home games by 26-7-23-8-2-3-18 points. Big East double digit home favorites are 11-13-1 vs spread.
Oklahoma (+2) lost 72-65 at rival Oklahoma State Jan 9, outscored on foul line 23-13 in brickfest where Sooners shot 32% but had 21 offensive boards. Oklahoma lost its last six games; they're 0-3 as a Big X favorite, losing last three home games by 7-3-11 points. Big X home favorites of less than 5 point are 6-5 against the spread. State covered five of its last six games; they're 3-3 as road dog, losing on road by 9-41-3-15-15-18.
Illinois State (+3.5) lost 65-62 at Wichita State Jan 10, a game Shockers led by 16 at half; Redbirds won last six home games since Creighton beat them here Jan 13. ISU is 701 at home in Valley this season, 3-6 as a dog, 1-1 at home. MVC home underdogs of 7 or less points are 12-9 against the spread. Wichita won its last six games (5-1 vs spread) with last four all by 15+ points; they're 4-3 as MVC road favorite, winning games on Valley road by 39-1-10-10-3-7-21 points.
Minnesota (+10.5) lost 68-52 at Michigan State Jan 25; Spartans made 52% of shots in game they led by 10 at the half. Gophers lost last three games by 7-10-11 points- two of their last three home games went into OT. Big Dozen home underdogs of 7 or less points are 16-8 against the spread. Spartans were down at half Sunday at undermanned Purdue but won going away in second half- they've won/covered last five games in row since hideous 42-41 loss at Illinois Jan 31.
Underdogs covered UTEP's last six games, with five of them decided by 1 or 2 points, or in OT. UTEP coach Floyd got Eustachy the Southern Miss job (Floyd's dad used to coach at USM) so this is friendly rivalry. Eagles didn't come here LY, but lost last four visits to El Paso- they lost last two games on road, at UAB/Houston. C-USA home underdogs of 3 or less points are 6-4 against the spread. Miners are 5-1 in conference home games- they won last three games overall by 9-2-2 points.
San Diego State lost its last three games, scoring 62 ppg, so they need a win here to right ship; Aztecs (+2) won 52-42 in Laramie Jan 24, holding Cowboys to 31% from floor, 5-22 from arc. Wyoming scored 15-17-18 points in second half of last three games, losing all three after leading at half; only one of Cowboys' six conference losses was by less than six points. MWC home favorites are 8-17 against the spread, 5-9 if spread is single digits.
Long Beach State (-2) won 71-48 on ESPN2 at UCSB Jan 21, with 49ers making 9-20 treys, shooting 69% inside arc. Long Beach is 12-0 so far in conference, with three of last four games at home; they're 2-3 as a home favorite, winning by 5-17-10-9-8 points. Gauchos won six of last seven games, with five of the six wins on road- they've beaten 49ers last two years in Big West tournament, so this is a rivalry game. Big West single digit home favorites are 4-12 against the spread.