cnotes Posts:24480 Followers:32
02/22/2012 11:46 AM

NBA

Wednesday, February 22

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Referee report: Betting NBA referee trends and stats
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Now that we’re approaching the midway point of the NBA season, we have a solid sample size to evaluate NBA referee betting trends.

We have referee assignments posted here as soon as they are released every morning and a full ref stat page here.

All ref stats are current through Monday's games.

Hot homer refs

Pat Fraher – Fraher is the hottest homer ref in the Association, with home teams going 18-6 straight up in his games and 16-8 against the spread. Home teams are winning his games by an average of 8.2 points.

Tre Maddox – Maddox has seen home teams fill the bucket in his games, averaging 100.9 points per game on their way to a 14-6 mark against the spread (16-4 straight up).

Hot over refs

Dick Bavetta – Bavetta has been around for a long time and has been great to over bettors this season. So far the over is working on 18-7 mark, with a 196.3-point total, in his games.

Haywoode Workman - The over is out to a 14-8 mark on the year when Workman is in charge and all six games that he has worked with totals of 184.5 or less have played over. The average total in his games checks in at 196.7.

Hot under refs

Jason Phillips – Phillips has seen just four of the 22 games he has worked so far play under with an average total of 180.59. Home teams allow just 88.8 points per game under his watch.

Mike Callahan - The under is on a 17-6 run with Callahan on the whistle this season. Last year the under finished at 40-34 in Callahan’s games.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24480 Followers:32
02/22/2012 11:47 AM

NBA

Wednesday, February 22

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Pick 'n' roll: Wednesday's best NBA bets
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Oddsmakers have yet to set a line for the Celtics-Thunder matchup. Pick should be considered an early lean.

Boston Celtics at Oklahoma City Thunder (N/A)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 10 consecutive home games and the Boston Celtics have lost six of seven games to fall below .500.

Oklahoma City’s homecourt success is the franchise’s best streak since the team won 12 straight during the 1997-98 season when known as the Seattle SuperSonics. Boston scored just 73 points in Monday’s loss to Dallas.

Forward Kevin Garnett is expected back after missing the past two games for personal reasons, but Rajon Rondo still has one game left on his suspension.

That leaves Paul Pierce to shoulder the offensive load. He scored 20 point in Boston’s loss to the Mavericks and leads the team averaging 17.3 points per night on the year.

He’ll need a lot more than that to keep this one close.

Pick: Thunder


Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves (-4, 197)

It wasn’t so much that the Timberwolves lost to Denver in overtime Monday night, but the way they lost.

Down three points with seconds remaining in the extra session, Martell Webster stole an inbounds pass and broke toward the hoop. But instead of pulling up for a trey that could tie the game, he went in for a dunk.

"If I had to do it over again, yeah, I'd probably pull up for a jump shot," Webster said. "But what was going through my mind was go to the rim and possibly get fouled. The contingency to that shot was get a bucket, get a foul, they miss free throws and we get another shot. It didn't work out that way."

Minnesota ended up taking a 103-101 loss after Corey Brewer hit a free throw. It was a comedy of errors for those that had the Timberwolves, who covered as 3.5-point underdogs.

We like the under here.

Pick: Under


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24480 Followers:32
02/22/2012 11:49 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Boston at St. Louis
The Blues look to build on their 20-6 record in their last 26 games as a favorite. St. Louis is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Blues favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 22

Game 51-52: Washington at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.304; Ottawa 10.477
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+130); Over

Game 53-54: Boston at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.211; St. Louis 11.987
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Under

Game 55-56: Los Angeles at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.386; Colorado 10.481
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-110); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24480 Followers:32
02/22/2012 11:50 AM

NHL

Wednesday, February 22

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. OTTAWA
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

9:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. COLORADO
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 13 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24480 Followers:32
02/22/2012 11:51 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 22

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WASHINGTON (29-25-0-5, 63 pts.) at OTTAWA (31-22-0-8, 70 pts.) - 2/22/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 14-21 ATS (-18.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-24 ATS (-19.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
OTTAWA is 10-5 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
OTTAWA is 14-9 ATS (+24.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
OTTAWA is 65-71 ATS (-39.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
OTTAWA is 35-42 ATS (-48.6 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-4-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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BOSTON (35-20-0-2, 72 pts.) at ST LOUIS (36-16-0-7, 79 pts.) - 2/22/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 18-5 ATS (+11.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
ST LOUIS is 12-2 ATS (+9.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BOSTON is 49-36 ATS (+90.8 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
BOSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-1-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (27-21-0-11, 65 pts.) at COLORADO (29-27-0-4, 62 pts.) - 2/22/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 26-32 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 9-4 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
COLORADO is 112-108 ATS (-45.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
COLORADO is 88-97 ATS (-99.7 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 4-17 ATS (-16.4 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 18-46 ATS (+66.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 7-4 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-4-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 22

Hot teams
-- Senators won four of their last five games.
-- St Louis won its last five home games, allowing three goals.

Cold teams
-- Washington lost five of its last six games.
-- Bruins lost four of their last five road games.
-- Colorado lost eight of its last 11 games. Kings lost five of their last six.

Totals
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Washington road games.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Boston's last dozen road games.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in Kings' last twelve games.

Series records
-- Senators lost six of last seven games against Washington.
-- Road team won last four Boston-St Louis games.
-- Avalanche won their last three games against Los Angeles.

Back-to-Back
-- Los Angeles is 2-6 on the road if it played the night before.




NHL

Wednesday, February 22

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Ice picks: Wednesday's best NHL bets
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Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators (-155, 5.5)

At this point in the year, you have to start questioning how much the Washington Capitals really care.

While injuries have played a significant role in their disappointing season, there was no excuse for Monday’s 5-0 loss to the lowly Hurricanes.

Alex Ovechkin looked uninterested, the Caps lacked any sort of a forecheck, and turned pucks throughout the evening in all three zones.

“Embarrassing effort, right from the start,” Troy Brouwer told reporters after the game. “We weren’t ready to play, gave up chances, gave the puck away, didn’t get the puck in deep. Just all-around embarrassing.”

One thing the Senators will give you is an honest effort. This is a lot of chalk for us, but we just can’t get behind the Caps right now.

Pick: Senators


Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues (-130, 5)

If you haven’t been keeping close tabs on the Blues, you might be surprised to realize they have just three regulation losses on home ice this year.

They struggle offensively, so getting the last change at home to line up specific matchups has been key to their success.

"When you have one line going, it's too easy for the other team to shut your offense down," Andy McDonald told reporters. "So we really need contributions from our top six forwards. That's going to be the key for us going forward.

"We've got great goaltending, team defense we're really strong. It's just going to be whether or not we can get that depth scoring we need -- our top six and then the third line chipping in here and there for us.”

Expect the Blues to look for some more offensive punch as the trade deadline nears, but for Wednesday’s game, they’ll lean on matchups and responsible defensive play against the Bruins.

That means goals should be hard to come by.

Pick: Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24480 Followers:32
02/22/2012 06:00 PM

NCAAB & NBA Best Bets.......

Ticket #: 113411441] PARLAY (8 TEAMS) RR (1P-8T)

02/22/2012 @ 04:35 PM NBA [512] NEW YORK -6½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [516] HOUSTON -4 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 06:05 PM NBA [522] PHOENIX -4 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 07:35 PM NBA [526] LA CLIPPERS -9 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 03:30 PM CBB [528] PURDUE -10 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [530] NOTRE DAME -2½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [531] TEMPLE -2½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [536] ST. JOSEPHS -7½ 1.91

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24480 Followers:32
02/22/2012 06:03 PM

A few other opinions

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [533] ST. BONAVENTURE -7 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [537] DAYTON +3½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [539] MISSISSIPPI +6½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [544] BUFFALO -2½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [548] TOLEDO -5½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [549] BOWLING GREEN +7 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [553] VA COMMONWEALTH -10½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [560] DREXEL -14 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [563] SOUTH FLORIDA +14 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [566] MARSHALL -13½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 04:30 PM CBB [567] GEO WASHINGTON +4½ 1.91

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24480 Followers:32
02/22/2012 06:06 PM

More Opinions:

02/22/2012 @ 05:00 PM CBB [574] MARQUETTE -11½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:00 PM CBB [575] OKLAHOMA STATE +4½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:00 PM CBB [577] TULANE +2½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:00 PM CBB [580] MEMPHIS U -14½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:00 PM CBB [582] DRAKE -6 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:00 PM CBB [583] INDIANA STATE +7 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:00 PM CBB [586] NORTHERN IOWA -15½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:00 PM CBB [588] VANDERBILT -13 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:00 PM CBB [590] LSU -5½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:00 PM CBB [591] WICHITA STATE -6 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:30 PM CBB [593] MICHIGAN STATE -5½ 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 06:00 PM CBB [596] UTEP +2 1.91

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24480 Followers:32
02/22/2012 06:09 PM

More Opinions:

02/22/2012 @ 04:05 PM NBA [507] TOTAL o191 1.91
(INDIANA vrs CHARLOTTE)

02/22/2012 @ 04:05 PM NBA [509] TOTAL o203½ 1.91
(SACRAMENTO vrs WASHINGTON)

02/22/2012 @ 04:35 PM NBA [511] ATLANTA +7 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [517] MILWAUKEE +11 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [520] MINNESOTA -5 1.91

02/22/2012 @ 06:05 PM NBA [521] TOTAL o205½ 1.91
(GOLDEN STATE vrs PHOENIX)

02/22/2012 @ 07:35 PM NBA [526] LA CLIPPERS -8½ 1.91

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: