cnotes Posts:24954 Followers:33
02/20/2012 04:03 PM

Playoff race heats up!

February 17, 2012

Western Conference Playoff Pack

As we approach the midpoint of the condensed NBA regular season, some separation is emerging in the standings in both conferences. In the Western Conference the top four teams appear poised to put some distance on the rest of the field likely leaving seven teams fighting for the final four spots. Here is a look at those seven teams and the playoff chances for each squad.

Los Angeles Lakers: Given the playoff track record of this team in the last decade it seems silly to include the Lakers on this list but this is a different team. Phil Jackson is no longer on the sidelines and the transition to Mike Brown has not gone overly smooth. Scoring is down throughout the league but the Lakers are scoring nine fewer points per game on average and the shooting numbers are also down, especially from 3-point range. The Lakers currently rank 29th in the league in 3-point shooting percentage but this is the top rebounding team in the NBA, averaging over 45 boards per game and this remains an elite defensive team.

The Lakers have had to play one of the toughest schedules in the league at this point, and while the rest of February will feature several challenging games, March looks like a month where the Lakers should solidify its playoff position with eight games against losing teams and most of the biggest games coming at home. The final two weeks of the season in late April will be very challenging however so if the Lakers are in a tight race for playoff position this may be a team that could fade down the stretch.

Houston Rockets: Kevin McHale's first season in Houston has to be considered a success at this point in the year. Given the transition and the failure to pull off the big trade not much was expected of this squad. After a 3-7 start to the season the Rockets looked like a team that would crumble to the bottom of the Western Conference especially considering how strong the Southwest Division is. It has not been the case as the Rockets are 14-6 since mid-January. An 11-3 home record is one of the best in the NBA but this team should have some concerns with a 6-10 road mark. Kyle Lowry has emerged as one of the better point guards in the league and the Rockets are getting excellent contributions from young players Courtney Lee and Chase Budinger off the bench as well as rookie Chandler Parsons making this a very deep squad even if McHale and the Rockets will continue to be ridiculed for releasing Jeremy Lin.

Houston closes February with five of six games at home and while much of the early part of March will be spent on the road there are many games against losing teams in that tough travel stretch. Only four teams have more wins against 'top ten' teams in the league than Houston so this is a team that will be sticking around in the playoff race and could be a very tough first round match-up for one of the top teams. Nine of 14 April games will be against playoff contending teams so the Rockets will need to survive a tough final month but don't be surprised if this team moves up in the next several weeks.

Denver Nuggets: A few weeks ago Denver was 14-5 and looking like one of the league's best teams after sweeping a five-game road trip. The wheels have fallen off for the Nuggets in recent weeks however and this team is clinging to a playoff position as we approach the midpoint in the season. Injuries have been devastating as emerging star Danilo Gallinari will be out indefinitely after a serious ankle injury and both Tomofey Mozgov and Nene have missed several games in recent weeks leaving the Nuggets thin in the post. The emergence of Ty Lawson has been a great story but the current Denver lineup simply is not capable of competing with elite teams night-in and night-out. This is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA at 103.4 points per game with very efficient shooting but those numbers have suffered with the injuries and this is one of the worst defensive teams in the league.

Denver is just 3-8 in the last eleven games and it could get worse before it gets better. The rest of February into early March features a brutal schedule with seven of the next eight opponents featuring a winning record and five of those eight games coming on the road, even though Denver does own one of the better road records in the league. Things might look ugly for the Nuggets in early March as this team could even dip below .500 but the remainder of the March schedule should allow this team to bounce back, especially if they can get healthy. Denver plays in the strongest division top-to-bottom in the NBA so the tightened schedule will leave all the Northwest Division teams with some of the tougher slates in the league and the Nuggets will likely be in a fight for one of the final playoff spots.

Memphis Grizzlies: After a great unexpected playoff run last season Memphis was expected to be a real threat this season but a MCL tear for leading scorer Zach Randolph early in the year threw a wrench into the plans. Marc Gasol has emerged as an all star to help the Grizzlies through the early season schedule and at 16-14 Memphis is still in a decent spot at this point in the season. Randolph could be back in a few weeks and the numbers for the Grizzlies should eventually improve. Memphis has struggled on offense, scoring less than 93 points per game and this is a below average shooting team. Solid defense and decent rebounding has kept Memphis in the mix.

At this point in the season Memphis has played a schedule rating as one of the toughest in the entire NBA so things in theory could get easier for the Grizzlies. Memphis is just 3-9 versus top 10 teams but only one team has had to play more games against that many high caliber teams. 18 of 30 games have been against top half teams and the early March schedule looks particularly favorable for Memphis. Memphis will also close the season with five of the final seven games against teams that currently have losing records so if they need a late push the Grizzlies may have the slate to make it happen and be a threat in the postseason again.

Portland Trailblazers: Despite barely being above .500 Portland has one of the best point differentials in the league. The Blazers still hold one of the tougher home courts in the NBA at 11-5 so far this season but this team is just 5-10 in road games. The injury to LaMarcus Aldridge does not appear to be too serious and the Blazers have competed well without him but they likely can't survive if he is absent for too long. Statistically Portland is above average on both offense and defense but this team has been plagued by inconsistency, capable of beating several top teams but also suffering the occasional bad loss. After a 7-2 start to the season Portland's pace has slowed down and since starting 3-0 the Blazers have not won three consecutive games since. Recent spats between Raymond Felton and Coach McMillan also may be signs of trouble.

The schedule has actually been fairly favorable for Portland so far this season and the upcoming slate will be challenging. The next five games are all against winning teams and mid-March will feature a seven-game road trip that features six difficult match-ups. Ten of the final 17 games of the season will be against winning teams including closing the year with five of the final six games on the road. While there is a lot to like about this Portland lineup the path ahead looks daunting and the Blazers are likely to stay on the outside looking in for the playoffs.

Utah Jazz: With Jerry Sloan and Deron Williams gone the Jazz were expected to be one of the worst teams in the NBA by many preseason projections. Utah started 1-3 to affirm some of those thoughts but then won nine of the next eleven including a couple of marquee wins to get some attention. Utah has since faded in a tough February schedule with losses in seven of nine games this month. While Utah lacks big stars Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap continue to be very productive and Gordon Hayward has really emerged in his second season. This remains a solid team but they have probably played above themselves so far this year to be at .500. Utah is a marginal defensive team, allowing over 45 percent shooting and over 97 points per game to rank near the bottom of the league. This is the worst 3-point shooting team in the league and a team that gets minimal scoring from the backcourt.

Utah is just 3-9 on the road this season and a road heavy schedule is coming up with eight of the next twelve games on the road. Eight of the final ten games of the season will be against winning teams so it is hard to see Utah surviving in the playoff chase. If Utah continues to struggle on the road the Jazz will have a tough time staying in the picture although this is a team that has performed better than most expected and could continue to surprise to some extent.

Minnesota Timberwolves: Minnesota is just 8-10 at home this season but with a 6-6 road mark the Wolves are still clinging to the playoff discussion, sitting two games below .500 and currently 11th in Western Conference. The Wolves were one of the stories of the season before the recent run for the Knicks as Ricky Rubio has been very impressive in his debut season and Kevin Love has rounded into one of the best forwards in the league. Minnesota has really struggled with turnovers this season and this is a poor shooting team despite all the points that Love gets inside the paint and this squad has delivered erratic results and has been marginal defensively in Rick Adelman's first season in Minneapolis.

Given how solid the Northwest Division is it will be tough for Minnesota to pick up ground and this team has lost four of the last five games to lose some momentum. The rest of February will be a critical period for this season as they face six winning teams to close the month. Minnesota needs to deliver a few upsets to stay relevant in this picture as prolonging the current losing run would essentially end the playoff hopes for this team given the shortened season. March won't get much easier including a seven-game road gauntlet in the middle of the month. There may be hope in the final month of the season as April will feature a lot of home games and many games against struggling teams. All in all it looks like a nice step forward year for the Wolves but this team may be another year away from ending a long playoff drought.

It is too soon to rule out a collapse for the top four teams Oklahoma City, San Antonio, Los Angeles Clippers, and Dallas and the gap is not that significant but those four teams have stood out in recent weeks as playoff caliber teams. At the bottom Golden State and Phoenix are still in striking distance but appear to have too many issues to deliver a great rise in the standings. One can feel fairly comfortable calling it quits on playoff hopes for Sacramento and New Orleans although both are far from mathematically eliminated.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24954 Followers:33
02/20/2012 04:05 PM

Caps try to climb standings Monday at Carolina

WASHINGTON CAPITALS (29-24-5, 63 points)

at CAROLINA HURRICANES (22-26-11, 55 points)


Puck drops: Monday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Washington -120, Carolina +100, Total: 5.5

The enigmatic Capitals look to move into first place in the Southeast Division when they travel to Carolina to take on the Hurricanes on Monday night.

The Caps have been unable to build off any positive momentum over the past month, with no back-to-back wins since January 15. Washington picked up a big 2-1 road win over first-place Florida on Friday night, but followed it up with a lackluster effort in a 2-1 loss to Tampa the following night. Starting goaltender Tomas Vokoun (23-14-2, 2.41 GAA, .921 SV Pct.) has been very sharp despite the Caps’ struggles, allowing two goals or less in four of his past five starts, including two shutouts. The Hurricanes are last in the Eastern Conference with just 55 points, but have won five of their past six at home, including a 3-0 shutout victory over the Capitals on January 20. With starter Cam Ward sidelined with a lower-body injury, backup goalie Justin Peters (1-3-0, 3.65 GAA, .911 SV Pct.) will make his third straight start on Monday. The Canes are 1-2-1 against the Capitals this season, and despite Washington’s abysmal 10-16-3 road record, the favorable goaltender matchup will prove to be the difference. And if the Caps are serious about making the playoffs, they find a way to win this game. Take WASHINGTON to pick up a big road win and jump into first place.

The high-flying, run-and-gun style was the trademark of Capitals hockey over the past four seasons while dominating the Eastern Conference. This year, it’s been a totally different story, with the Caps averaging only 2.7 goals per game (13th in NHL). The absence of top line C Nicklas Backstrom (13 G, 29 A)—out with a concussion since January 7—has severely hampered Washington’s offensive production; a team that has a serious depth issue up the middle even with Backstrom in the lineup.

The return of top defenseman Mike Green—who missed most of the season with a groin injury—will certainly bolster a weak Washington blue line allowing 2.8 goals per game (18th in NHL). Green skated 14:14 in his first game back on Saturday, and should gain more confidence with increased ice time.

The Hurricanes, like most of the struggling teams in the NHL, rely heavily on the offensive contributions of their top line. Beyond top-line C Eric Staal (16 G, 30 A), Carolina has just three other forwards with 30+ points. The midseason absence of sophomore pivot Jeff Skinner (16 G, 15 A) due to a concussion likely dashed any postseason aspirations the Hurricanes had.

Carolina’s blue line is one of the worst in the league, allowing 3.0 goals per game (26th in NHL). The Canes did re-sign bruising veteran Tim Gleason (93 hits) to a four-year, $16 million deal three weeks ago, which will provide a steady presence on a promising, yet inexperienced, unit.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24954 Followers:33
02/20/2012 04:06 PM

Monday's Betting tips: Melo expected to play, chemistry in danger

Who’s hot

NBA: Golden State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 meetings with the Clippers.

NBA: The under is 8-3 in Atlanta’s last 11 games.

NBA: The Spurs are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games.

NHL: The Hurricanes are 5-1 in their last six home games.

NHL: The under is 11-3-1 in Ottawa’s last 15 road games.

NCAAB: UConn is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games following a double-digit home loss.

NCAAB: Marist is 5-0 ATS in its last five games.

Who’s not

NBA: The Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last five games playing on zero days’ rest.

NBA: The Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games vs. teams with losing road records.

NHL: Ottawa is 3-8 in its last 11 games.

NHL: The over is 2-9 in the last 11 Washington-Carolina games.

NCAAB: St. John’s is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU win.

NCAAB: Texas is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 home games.

Key stat

27.9 – That’s St. John’s shooting percentage from beyond the arc, by far the worst in the Big East. The Johnnies are 5-point home favorites over DePaul, which shoots 34.1 percent on 3-pointers, good for eighth in the conference.

Injuries that shouldn’t be overlooked

The Spurs are expected to be without Manu Ginobili and big man Tiago Splitter when they visit the Jazz on Monday. Both got hurt during Saturday’s overtime win over the Clippers. Ginobili strained his oblique, and Splitter sprained his right calf. Saturday marked Ginobili’s fourth game back since he missed 22 games with a broken left hand. He was averaging 12.1 points and 3.3 assists while shooting 55 percent from the field.

Games of the day

Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls (NA)

New Jersey Nets at New York Knicks (-9.5, 194.5)

Notable quotable

“It’s frustrating. When you think you have it, you think you’re going to make a change and then you fall back to where you are just at. It’s like we take a few steps forward and then we take a few steps back.” – forward Alex Oriakhi of the UConn Huskies, who visit Villanova on Monday after losing 79-64 at home to Marquette on Saturday.

Notes and tips

Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony (groin) is expected to play Monday against the Nets. "Knowing Melo and knowing where he is, he'll play," coach Mike D’Antoni said. It remains to be seen whether Melo will mesh with the new-look, unselfish Knicks led by Jeremy Lin.

The Flyers acquired defenseman Pavel Kubina from the Lightning for a pair of draft picks and a minor league player. Kubina, 34, is slated to be an unrestricted free agent July 1. He has 110 goals and 382 points in 953 career games. He was the second defenseman Philly acquired in the last week, after picking up Nicklas Grossman from the Stars. The NHL trade deadline is Feb. 27.

Embattled Illinois coach Bruce Weber says he won’t resign and wants to finish his career with the Fighting Illini. His team has lost four straight and seven of eight, and speculation is rampant he’ll be fired. "That's not even a question, to be honest," Weber said when asked whether he’ll resign. "What has happened? We're 16-10. We're still in the NCAA field. We've had some tough losses. I think that's way beyond." Illinois visits Ohio State on Tuesday.

Rockets forward Jordan Hill sprained his MCL in practice Saturday and will miss at least two weeks. The second-year player has started seven games and appeared in 29, averaging 5.0 points and 4.9 rebounds.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24954 Followers:33
02/20/2012 04:08 PM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six teams in the college basketball RPI, as I type this........

6) Kansas-- Have revenge game with Missouri coming up.

5) North Carolina-- Have revenge game with Duke coming up.

4) Duke-- Trailed by 10+ in 2nd half in three of last five games.

3) Kentucky-- SOS is only 57; are they battle tested enough?

2) Michigan State-- Took care of Ohio State in Columbus.

1) Syracuse-- Undefeated with Melo manning the middle.


****************


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Happy Presidents' Day........

13) Kevin Durant scored 51 points, Russell Westbrook 40 as the Thunder won a great NBA game 124-118 in OT over Denver Sunday night. Serge Ibaka blocked 11 shots and had a triple/double for Oklahoma City, which had a 20-0 run that bridged the 2nd/3rd quarters.

12) Durant/Westbrook's combined 91 points were more than six NBA teams scored on Sunday. They do need to develop more scoring options, but in the meantime, they're a lot of fun to watch.

11) Denver's Chris Anderson was +17 in 29 minutes, scoring 11 points with six rebounds; he was on floor in crunchtime, the ultimate compliment for any player, but with all his tattoos and that beard, he is a scary dude to look at. He is the Australian Rodman, I guess. A good player.

10) Chris Mullin is fun to listen to, but he needs to work on talking little louder, or maybe I need a freakin' hearing aide, because I have problems understanding some of HBO's Luck too, but then I listen to Dick Vitale scream and holler and I realize my hearing is still pretty good.

9) The Knicks' bandwagon is taking on so many people that I'm stopping writing about them. Memo to all directors of NBA broadcasts; it is really annoying to show Spike Lee 25 times a game. Trust me on this. He gets on air more than Mike D'Antoni.

8) Bill Haas won a 3-man playoff at the LA Open; Mickelson/Bradley, in losing the playoff, earned $607,800 less than Haas, but they all did pretty well this week. Haas won the $10M FedEx Cup LY, so he's doing OK.

7) Not doing so well is Isiah Thomas, who is now 25-63 as coach down at Florida International. Where does FIU turn if they fire an NBA legend?

6) Charlotte Bobcats lost 108-73 to Indiana, 7th time in this short season they've lost by 30+ points. They're looking like the favorite to win NBA Draft Lottery this spring. They should draft a front office.

5) The lesson learned in the last two notes? Michael Jordan/Isiah Thomas were both great players, but that doesn't make them great coaches or even mediocre executives. Guys who were cruddy players but maybe studied the game more do a much better job. You can look it up.

4) In an unrelated item, we saw that Lamar lost a Bracket Buster game at George Mason Saturday, and were reminded that Pat Knight is now coach of the Cardinals, after getting canned at Texas Tech. Knight is 17-10, 8-4 in his first year at Lamar, tied for 3rd in Southland Conference. His team played the #29 non-conference schedule, so they'll be interesting to follow when the Southland Tournament begins next month.

3) Ersan Ilyasova, averaging 9.4 ppg this season, grabbed 25 rebounds and scored 29 points in Milwaukee's 92-85 win in New Jersey. Its very, very hard to grab 25 rebounds in any game, much less an NBA game. Ilyasova averages 7.9 rebounds a game.

2) Golfer Dustin Johnson's grandfather was an All-American basketball player at South Carolina, and was drafted by the Lakers 50 years ago.

1) Every high school basketball player should watch film of a player on Colorado State named Pierce Hornung; he's not the best player the Rams have, but he might be the best teammate. He gets loose balls, he runs the floor, he defends, he rebounds, he is a tough human who does things that help his team win. Every winning team needs players like him.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24954 Followers:33
02/20/2012 04:10 PM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 20

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CONNECTICUT (16 - 10) at VILLANOVA (11 - 15) - 2/20/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
VILLANOVA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
VILLANOVA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.
VILLANOVA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (22 - 5) at TEXAS (17 - 10) - 2/20/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 4-2 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 4-2 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DEPAUL (11 - 15) at ST JOHNS (11 - 16) - 2/20/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOHNS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 4-0 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
ST JOHNS is 4-0 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FAIRFIELD (16 - 11) at MARIST (11 - 16) - 2/20/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 4-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 6-0 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS SOUTHERN (9 - 15) at MISS VALLEY ST (14 - 12) - 2/20/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISS VALLEY ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
MISS VALLEY ST is 3-2 straight up against TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 20

UConn is 5-9 in its last 14 games, losing last four road games by 3-14-18-21 points; players were critical of each other in press after home loss to Marquette Saturday, always a red flag. Villanova lost five of last six games and 15 of last 22; they were up 20 on Notre Dame Saturday, up 11 with 5:30 left, before losing in OT- they're 1-14 in last 15 games vs top 100 opponents (UConn is still #39).. Big East home underdogs of 3 or less points are 7-6 against the spread.

Texas got outscored 27-16 on foul line in a 76-71 loss at Baylor Jan 28, as Longhorns other than Brown (11-22) shot 13-38 from floor (34.2%). Texas is 5-2 at home in conference, losing to Kansas/Missouri- they had 4-game win streak snapped in upset loss at Oklahoma State in last game Saturday. Baylor lost three of last four games, is 5-5 in last ten after its 17-0 start, but three of their last four losses were in Waco. Big X home teams are 9-4-1 against the spread when the number is 3 or less points.

St John's lost 11 of last 15 games, but they did win 87-81 at DePaul on Feb 1, with both teams shooting 50%+ and Harrison going 7-11 behind arc. Red Storm won despite Harkness going 2-15 from floor- that game started Blue Demons' current 6-game losing streak. DePaul lost three in row on road by 8-8-26 points- they had Louisville by 15 in the first half Saturday, lost in OT. Big East home favorites of less than 7 points are 13-21 against the spread this season.

Fairfield had six-game win streak snapped in Milwaukee Saturday; Stags hammered Marist 81-53 at home in first meeting Jan 29, making 12-18 from arc while forcing 20 Marist turnovers. Red Foxes won four of last five games after winning Bracket Buster game at Maine; they won two in row at home, upetting Loyola in last home games. MAAC single digit home underdogs are 7-12 against the spread. Fairfield is 4-2 on MAAC road, with wins by 4-9-12-17 points.




NCAAB

Monday, February 20

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
FAIRFIELD vs. MARIST
Fairfield is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Fairfield is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Marist is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Marist is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games

7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. VILLANOVA
Connecticut is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Connecticut is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Villanova is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Villanova is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

9:00 PM
DEPAUL vs. ST. JOHN'S
DePaul is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of DePaul's last 5 games on the road
St. John's is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. John's last 9 games

9:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. TEXAS
Baylor is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

10:10 PM
UC DAVIS vs. SEATTLE
UC Davis is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UC Davis's last 5 games on the road
No trends available


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NCAAB

Monday, February 20

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College funds: Monday's best NCAAB bets
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Connecticut Huskies at Villanova Wildcats (NA)

UConn point guard Shabazz Napier is publicly questioning his teammates’ heart, and the Huskies could become the 20th defending champ to miss the NCAA Tournament.

They’ll again play without coach Jim Calhoun (back).

But the Wildcats will be shorthanded: the Big East’s No. 3 scorer Maalik Wyans (knee) is doubtful, and key reserve guard James Bell (ankle) has been ruled out. Bell is the team’s top 3-point shooter (35.8 percent).

This is the first meeting since Kemba Walker’s floater with 2.5 seconds left gave UConn a 61-59 win in Storrs last season.

Huskies sophomore Jeremy Lamb has emerged from a funk and is averaging 18.3 points on 53.0 percent shooting over the last three games.

Villanova is 6-21 ATS in its last 27 Big East games, and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last four meetings.

Pick: Huskies


DePaul Blue Demons at St. John’s Red Storm (-5, 158.5 )

St. John’s last Big East win came against DePaul, 87-81 in Chicago on Feb. 1. Freshman guard D’Angelo Harrison led the Red Storm with a career-high 29 points.

The Blue Demons have lost six straight and 11 of 12, but turned in a commendable effort Saturday against Louisville. They led for most of regulation before falling in overtime.

Sophomore forward Cleveland Melvin (17.7 ppg, 6.8 rpg) and sophomore guard Brandon Young (14.8 ppg, 4.8 apg) lead the underrated Blue Demons’ offense.

St. John’s has averaged just 60.5 points over its last four games.

The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last five meetings.

Pick: DePaul


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24954 Followers:33
02/20/2012 04:12 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Baylor at Texas
The Bears look to take advantage of a Texas team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a home favorite. Baylor is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 20

Game 523-524: Connecticut at Villanova (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 65.311; Villanova 60.973
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 4 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 2; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-2); Under

Game 525-526: Baylor at Texas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 69.332; Texas 69.405
Dunkel Line: Even; 142
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+2 1/2); Over

Game 527-528: DePaul at St. John's (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 55.572; St. John's 63.085
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 7 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: St. John's by 5; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick St. John's (-5); Under

Game 529-530: Fairfield at Marist (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 59.065; Marist 54.060
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 5; 138
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 8; 133
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+8); Over

Game 531-532: Texas Southern at Mississippi Valley State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Southern 43.112; Mississippi Valley State 53.122
Dunkel Line: Mississippi Valley State by 10; 127
Vegas Line: Mississippi Valley State by 7 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi Valley State (-7 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24954 Followers:33
02/20/2012 04:15 PM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday's Top College Basketball Trends

CONNECTICUT is 0-10 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 (vs Villanova)

TEXAS is 1-9 ATS after allowing 85 points or more (vs Baylor)

DEPAUL is 8-24 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite (vs St Johns)

MISS VALLEY ST is 0-8 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less (vs Texas Southern)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24954 Followers:33
02/20/2012 04:16 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Orlando at Milwaukee
The Magic look to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing with 0 days rest. Orlando is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 20

Game 501-502: Atlanta at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.180; Chicago 122.259
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 8; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 10; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+10); Under

Game 503-504: New Jersey at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 112.322; New York 123.939
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 11 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 9 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-9 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Boston at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 120.143; Dallas 125.273
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 5; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 177 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+6 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Orlando at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 121.532; Milwaukee 116.339
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 5; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-2 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: New Orleans at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.354; Oklahoma City 128.598
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 14; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-11); Over

Game 511-512: Memphis at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.635; Houston 119.170
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 3; 187
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+3); Under

Game 513-514: San Antonio at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.998; Utah 118.109
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 185
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3); Under

Game 515-516: Minnesota at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.274; Denver 121.590
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 4 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: Washington at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 112.024; Phoenix 120.461
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5 1/2); Under

Game 519-520: Portland at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 119.324; LA Lakers 121.828
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4; 180
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+4); Over

Game 521-522: LA Clippers at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 121.052; Golden State 121.008
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+3); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24954 Followers:33
02/20/2012 04:17 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, February 20

ATLANTA at CHICAGO, 4:05 PM ET
ATLANTA: 7-1 ATS when playing their 4th road game in 7 days
CHICAGO: 8-2 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

NEW JERSEY at NEW YORK, 7:35 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 37-60 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
NEW YORK: 36-21 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins

BOSTON at DALLAS, 8:05 PM ET
BOSTON: 8-19 ATS when playing on back-to-back days
DALLAS: 40-27 ATS after one or more consecutive overs

ORLANDO at MILWAUKEE, 8:05 PM ET
ORLANDO: 7-4 ATS in February games
MILWAUKEE: 2-8 ATS when playing on back-to-back days

NEW ORLEANS at OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:05 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 4-13 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games
OKLAHOMA CITY: 37-25 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite

MEMPHIS at HOUSTON, 8:05 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 20-9 ATS vs. division opponents
HOUSTON: 6-26 ATS in home games when playing their 5th game in 7 days

SAN ANTONIO at UTAH, 9:05 PM ET
SAN ANTONIO: 71-47 ATS after a close win by 3 points or les
UTAH: 8-18 ATS against Southwest division opponents

MINNESOTA at DENVER, 9:05 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 15-28 ATS after a non-conference game
DENVER: 8-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games

WASHINGTON at PHOENIX, 9:05 PM ET
WASHINGTON: WASHINGTON is 10-21 ATS in all games
PHOENIX: 21-11 UNDER in all games

PORTLAND at LA LAKERS, 10:35 PM ET
PORTLAND: 22-10 UNDER in road games off a home win
LA LAKERS: 60-46 UNDER as a favorite

LA CLIPPERS at GOLDEN STATE, 10:35 PM ET
LA CLIPPERS: 47-79 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite
GOLDEN STATE: 69-45 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24954 Followers:33
02/20/2012 04:18 PM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 20

Hot Teams
-- Bulls won seven of last nine games, but are 2-5 vs spread in their last seven home games.
-- Knicks won eight of their last nine games, covered seven of last eight home contests.
-- Dallas won six of last seven games (1-4-1 last six as home favorite).
-- Orlando won/covered four of its last five games.
-- Thunder won its last nine home games (6-3 vs spread). New Orleans won/covered its last three games.
-- Houston won/covered five of last seven home games. Grizzlies won last four games, last two by one point each.
-- Spurs won their last seven road games.
-- Minnesota covered seven of its last ten road games.
-- Lakers won/covered their last four home games.
-- Clippers won seven of their last nine road games.

Cold Teams
-- Hawks lost six of their last nine games.
-- Nets lost nine of last ten games, but covered of last seven on road.
-- Celtics lost five of their last six games.
-- Bucks lost their last five home games (0-5 vs spread).
-- Jazz lost six of their last eight games.
-- Denver lost eight of last ten games, covered four of last five, but they are 1-5 vs spread in last six games as a home favorite.
-- Phoenix lost four of its last five games. Wizards covered twice in their last nine games.
-- Portland lost five of last seven road games (3-5 as road underdog).
-- Warriors lost last three games, by 2-23-1 point.

Wear and Tear
-- Hawks: 2nd game/5 nites. Bulls: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Nets: 3rd nite in row, 5th/6 nites. Knicks: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Celtics: 4th game/6 nites. Mavericks: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Magic: 3rd game/4 nites. Bucks: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Hornets: Had last two nites off. Thunder: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Grizzlies: 5th game/7 nites. Rockets: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Spurs: 2nd game/5 nites. Jazz: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Wolves: 3rd game/4 nites. Nuggets: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Wizards: Had last two nites off. Suns: 6th game/8 nites.
-- Blazers: 5th game/7 nites. Lakers: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Clippers: 4th game/6 nites. Warriors: 6th game/9 nites.

Totals
-- Five of last six Atlanta road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Boston games.
-- Four of last five Orlando road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Oklahoma City games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Memphis road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five San Antonio games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Washington road games went over total.
-- Three of last four Laker games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Golden State games stayed under the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: