cnotes Posts:27568 Followers:33
On 02/18/2012 11:25 AM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes Saturday's Bracket Busters-NBA-NHL Best Bets !

Saturday's Slate

February 17, 2012

We’re getting down to crunch time for bubble teams looking to bolster their respective resumes in hopes of garnering at-large invites to the 2012 NCAA Tournament. Teams like UConn, Tennessee, Iowa St., Saint Mary’s, Davidson, Arizona, Northwestern, Illinois and others are in dire need of victories.

Let’s take a look at a pair of the televised night games before discussing a slew of topics in Bonus Nuggets.

**Ohio State at Michigan**

--Crisler Arena will be rocking Saturday night for this Big Ten showdown on ESPN at 9:00 p.m. Eastern. BetOnline.com opened Ohio State (22-4 SU, 13-9 ATS) as a five-point favorite with a total of 125.

--Michigan (19-7 SU, 13-8-1 ATS) has won four of its last six games both SU and ATS, including Sunday’s 70-61 home win over Illinois as a five-point home ‘chalk.’ The 131 combined points sailed ‘over’ the 119-point total. Tim Hardaway Jr. led four UM scorers in double figures with a team-high 15 points. Zack Novak enjoyed another stellar performance, finishing with 12 points, nine rebounds, three assists, one steal and only one turnover on 3-of-4 shooting from the field and 5-of-5 shooting at the charity stripe.

--Thad Matta’s squad saw its 39-game home winning streak snapped in last Saturday’s 58-48 loss to Michigan St. However, the Buckeyes bounced back by going to Minnesota on Tuesday and capturing a 78-68 win to hook up their backers as 8 ½-point road favorites. William Buford turned in another strong effort with 24 points, eight rebounds and five assists. Jared Sullinger added 23 points and eight boards.

--Ohio St. has been a road favorite seven times this season, posting a 4-3 spread record. As for Michigan, it owns a 5-4-1 spread record in 10 underdog situations.

--John Belein’s squad is unbeaten in 14 home games with a 7-4 spread record.

--Ohio St. has beaten Michigan six consecutive times, but the Wolverines are 6-1 ATS in the last seven encounters. The lone non-cover was the last meeting in Columbus on Jan. 29 when Ohio St. pulled away late to win a 64-49 decision as a 14-point home favorite. Lenzelle Smith Jr. led the winners with 17 points and 12 rebounds, while Hardaway finished with a team-high 15 points in the losing effort.

--Totals have been an overall wash for Michigan (11-11-1), but the ‘under’ is in the midst of a 9-2 surge in its last nine games.

--The ‘over’ is 10-9-2 overall for the Buckeyes.

**Long Beach State at Creighton**

--BetOnline.com opened Creighton (22-5 SU, 14-9 ATS) as a five-point favorite with a total of 152.

--Creighton snapped a three-game losing streak both SU and ATS by spanking Southern Illinois on Valentine’s Day by a 88-69 count as a 6 ½-point road favorite. Doug McDermott made all seven of his shots from the floor en route to scoring a team-high 18 points. Antoine Young added 15 points, eight assists and three rebounds, while Gregory Echenique tallied 12 points, nine boards and two blocked shots.

--McDermott is one of the nation’s most prolific scorers, averaging 22.7 points per game while shooting at a 61.3 percent clip from the field. He’s draining 50 percent of his treys with 44 triples on 88 attempts.

--Creighton owns a 3-2 record against RPI Top 50 teams and can notch another victory here against Long Beach St., which is No. 45 in the RPI Rankings. The Bluejays are 5-4 against RPI Top 100 schools. They are 12-2 SU and 6-4 ATS at home for the year.

--Long Beach State (19-6 SU, 12-11 ATS) hasn’t tasted defeat since losing to Kansas State on Christmas Day. Since then, the 49ers have won 12 in a row. They played a brutal non-conference schedule, winning at Pittsburgh before beating Auburn and Xavier in holiday tournament in Hawaii. LBS lost by six at North Carolina, by eight at Kansas, by four at San Diego St. in overtime and by 13 at Louisville.

--Long Beach St. owns a 3-2 spread record in five underdog situations.

--The 49ers are led by senior point guard Casper Ware, who averages a team-high 17.1 PPG. Senior guard Larry Anderson is scoring at a 14.1 PPG clip, while senior forward T.J. Robinson averages 12.3 points and 10.3 rebounds per contest.

--Tip-off on ESPN2 is slated for 10:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--I’m of the belief that we will soon have two SEC job openings at Ole Miss and South Carolina. When Vanderbilt hangs 102 on your team that’s at home and on the bubble, you know you’re in trouble. That’s what happened to Andy Kennedy’s Rebels on Thursday night when the Commodores captured a 102-76 victory at ‘The Tad Pad.’ Unless Ole Miss wins the SEC Tournament, Kennedy is going to be 0-for-6 in terms of NCAA Tournament invites. He’s recruited extremely well while in Oxford, the results just haven’t been good enough.

-Saint Mary’s star guard Matthew Dellavedova is ‘doubtful’ for Saturday’s game at Murray St. due to a sprained ankle. Dellavedova averages 15.5 points and 6.4 assists per game. The Gaels opened as 2 ½-point favorites against the Racers. They need to win this game after getting beaten at home by Loyola-Marymount earlier this week. Remember, Randy Bennett’s team has been snubbed on Selection Sunday two of the last three seasons.

--The Wynn in Las Vegas opened Wichita St. as a two-point favorite for Saturday’s game at Davidson. ESPN2 will televise this BracketBuster matchup at noon Eastern.

--Alabama will be without its two leading scorers, senior power forward JaMychal Green and junior small forward Tony Mitchell, for Saturday’s game vs. Tennessee. Also, starting sophomore point guard Trevor Releford is ‘questionable’ after suffering a blow to the head at Thursday’s practice. According to the Birmingham News, Releford wasn’t expected to practice Friday. And finally, freshman Nick Jacobs had to have a root canal this week after developing an infection in his mouth. Nevertheless, The Wynn opened Alabama as a five-point favorite, but that quickly moved to four when CRIS opened the number at three. UT is also without a key player as Cuonzo Martin suspended Kenny Hall indefinitely before Wednesday’s home win over Arkansas.

--Speaking of the Razorbacks, they are in desperate need of a victory when they host Florida at 6:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2. Arkansas will be welcoming back former head coach John Pelphrey, who is now an assistant on Billy Donovan’s staff at UF. As of early Friday evening, most books had the Gators as 4 ½-point favorites with a total of 146. Mike Rosario (hip) and Will Yeguete (concussion) were cleared to practice on Friday and how they performed would determine whether or not they’d make the trip to Fayetteville. Both key reserves sat out Tuesday’s win at short-handed Alabama.

--Ga. Tech has suspended Glen Rice Jr. (13.0 PPG) for Saturday's game at Va. Tech.

--The 'under' owns an incredible 17-3 overall record in Virginia games this year. The Cavs are 10-point home favorites Saturday vs. Maryland. The total is 120. The Terrapins have taken the cash in five of their last six games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27568 Followers:33
02/18/2012 11:29 AM

Bracket Busters Weekend

February 16, 2012

Racers vs. Gaels Highlights Bracket Busters Weekend

If you're a hardcore college basketball fan, Saturday's game between Murray State and Saint Mary's has been circled on your calendar since the Bracket Busters matchups were announced at the end of January.

And while the Racers may no longer be undefeated after their shock loss to Tennessee State on Feb. 9, that shouldn't really matter for bettors. Because really, who cares about the Tennessee State one-off? This game's about seeing the Racers against a quality opponent, something they haven't seen too many of this year.

To be fair, Murray State isn't completely bereft of quality wins - the Racers knocked off Memphis at the FedExForum in December. But that sure seems like a long time ago now. And besides that, what have they really done? (You know, other than winning every game but one.)

We can do all the statistical analysis we want, trying to put a value on a 20-point win over some no-name school and wondering if that's better or worse than a 5-point loss to a powerhouse. However, we never really know what a team with an easy schedule is made of until it comes up against a quality opponent.

The Racers won't get the ultimate quality opponent in Saint Mary's, but it'll do. The Gaels have only lost three times, twice to good teams (Baylor and Gonzaga) and once very early in the season to Denver.

If Murray State can win this one, an at-large bid to March Madness would be all but assured. The only assumption is that the Racers don't completely melt down in the last two games of the regular season and/or the conference tournament.

Now, if the Racers lose, there's still a chance they could get an at-large bid, but there might be a better chance they don't. The best way to avoid the unnecessary stress would be to win. (In sports, it usually is.)

This is also an important game for college hoops bettors that might have only seen Murray State on the highlight reels. One of the toughest things about betting on the NCAA men's basketball tournament is how to differentiate between teams from mid-majors with near spotless records and teams from major conferences that have double-digit losses on the season. Again, you can crunch all the stats you want, but it never hurts to actually watch the team play, and this one will be on ESPN.

Murray State-Saint Mary's isn't the only Bracket Busters game we'll be watching closely at Bovada. Wichita State-Davidson is another one that's worth a look.

Remember, Davidson beat Kansas back in December, so you know the Wildcats can hang with the big boys. Not to be outdone, the Shockers have their own share of quality wins, including Friday's victory at Creighton, which plays a Bracket Busters game of its own against Long Beach State. (Wichita State also beat UNLV earlier in the season.)



Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27568 Followers:33
02/18/2012 11:31 AM

No. 3 Missouri visits Texas A&M Saturday

MISSOURI TIGERS (24-2)

at TEXAS A&M AGGIES (13-12)


Tip-off: Saturday, 2:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Missouri -7, Total: 130½

No. 3 Missouri aims for a seventh straight win, and 11th victory in the past 12 games, when it visits College Station Saturday for a matchup with Texas A&M.

This game pits the high-scoring Tigers (80.3 PPG, 8th in nation) with the offensive-lacking Aggies (61.2 PPG, 307th in nation). Missouri has been one of the best bets in the nation at 13-7-1 ATS (65%), but Texas A&M is a stellar 10-3 ATS in Big 12 action this season. Can the Aggies hang around with the third-best team in the nation too? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week.

The Tigers have hated visiting College Station, losing five in a row (1-4 ATS) at Reed Arena. Missouri averages 10 points less on the road (72.7 PPG) than at home, going 3-4 ATS on the road this season. But this team has been playing great basketball during its win surge, including crushing Oklahoma State 83-65 on Wednesday. Leading scorer G Marcus Denmon (17.9 PPG) had 17 points in the victory, and has been on fire in his past four games (57% FG, 52% 3-pt FG). Denmon scored 19 points in last year’s 91-89 OT loss in College Station. F Ricardo Ratliffe (14.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG) also had 19 points in that game. This season, Ratliffe leads the country with an outstanding 73.4% FG clip. This three-star FoxSheets trend expects the Tigers to win and cover:

MISSOURI is 11-2 ATS (84.6%, +8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was MISSOURI 79.7, OPPONENT 63.7 - (Rating = 3*).

Although the Aggies offense is horrendous, they play extremely tough defense on their home court, allowing just 57.1 PPG on 37.5% FG. That’s a huge reason why they are 6-3 ATS at Reed Arena. When the Aggies topped Missouri in overtime last year, Khris Middleton scored 28 points in the victory. But Middleton (11.5 PPG, 5.2 RPG) has had a rough, injury-laden junior season. He is shooting below 40% from the floor (45% last season) and is making only 25% of his threes (36% last season). The Aggies are coming off a nine-point win over Texas Tech on Tuesday. Although the score was an offense-less 47-38, Texas A&M was paced by leading scorer Elston Turner (14.6 PPG) who had 16 points. Turner has 16+ points in three of his past four games. This three-star FoxSheets coaching trend also sides with the Aggies.

Billy Kennedy is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997. The average score was Kennedy 62.5, OPPONENT 64.3 - (Rating = 3*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27568 Followers:33
02/18/2012 11:33 AM

No. 11 UNLV visits The Pit on Saturday

UNLV RUNNIN’ REBELS (22-5)

at NEW MEXICO LOBOS (21-4)


Tip-off: Saturday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
Line: New Mexico -5½, Total: 141½

No. 11 UNLV looks to bounce back from an overtime loss when it visits red-hot New Mexico, winners of six straight (SU and ATS), on Saturday afternoon.

UNLV is 7-2-1 ATS (5-5 SU) in its past 10 trips to University Arena, better known as The Pit, including two straight wins (74-62 and 77-74 in OT last year). But the Rebels have been terrible on the road this season (1-8 ATS), and the Lobos have won their past six games by an average of 20.8 PPG. Can New Mexico take down the 11th-best team in the country and cover the moderate point spread? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week.

UNLV ranks ninth in the nation with 80.1 PPG. The Rebels are second in the country in assists (18.6 APG) and 24th in rebounding (38.8 PPG). Because they pass so well and hit the offensive glass for high-percentage second chances, they also shoot 47.4% FG (31st in D-I). F Mike Moser averages a double-double with 15.0 PPG and 11.3 RPG. He has scored in double-figures in eight straight games, averaging 17.5 PPG and 11.6 RPG in this stretch. Moser scored 22 points with nine rebounds on Wednesday, but his team couldn’t hold onto an 18-point lead to TCU and lost 102-97 in overtime. F Chace Stanback (13.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG) has been slumping a bit, with five points or less in three of his past five games. But he did score 17 against TCU, hitting 5-of-7 threes to bring his percentage up to a whopping 46% from three-point land. G Anthony Marshall (11.8 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 5.0 APG), who also had 17 points in the loss to the Horned Frogs, played very well against New Mexico on Jan. 21, scoring 13 points with nine assists and six rebounds. This three-star FoxSheets trend likes UNLV as the ATS winner Saturday:

Play On - Any team (UNLV) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. (114-66 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.3%, +41.4 units. Rating = 2*).

The Lobos have been a tremendous bet all year at 17-5 ATS (77%). Their last loss was a 78-63 defeat at UNLV on Jan. 21. In that contest, UNM had 21 turnovers and the Rebels made 62% of their two-point field goal tries. But the Lobos defense has corrected itself during the win streak (50.6 PPG, 35% FG), holding five of the six opponents under 55 points and below 41% FG. The exception was Wednesday’s 77-67 win at No. 13 San Diego State, when the Aztecs shot 46% FG in the loss. New Mexico’s defense has been quite stingy at home this season too, allowing just 54.5 PPG on 36% FG. Senior F Drew Gordon averages a double-double with 12.1 PPG and 10.7 RPG. He’s coming off a monster night in the upset over SDSU, scoring 17 points and grabbing 17 rebounds. Gordon also had 14 points and 12 rebounds in last month’s loss to UNLV. Kendall Williams leads the team in scoring (12.5 PPG) and assists (4.2 APG), as he pumped in 21 points against the Aztecs, making 5-of-6 threes. This rare five-star FoxSheets coaching trend also backs the Lobos.

Steve Alford is 19-3 ATS (86.4%, +15.7 Units) after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of NEW MEXICO. The average score was NEW MEXICO 73.5, OPPONENT 60.9 - (Rating = 5*)..

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27568 Followers:33
02/18/2012 11:48 AM

Early Best Bets:

02/18/2012 @ 09:00 AM CBB [512] CONNECTICUT -3½ 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 10:00 AM CBB [513] UCLA -5 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 10:00 AM CBB [519] TOTAL o135 1.91
(FLORIDA ST vrs NC STATE)

02/18/2012 @ 10:00 AM CBB [520] NC STATE -2 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 10:00 AM CBB [521] TOTAL o121 1.91
(MARYLAND vrs VIRGINIA)

02/18/2012 @ 10:00 AM CBB [522] VIRGINIA -10 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 10:00 AM CBB [523] TOTAL o132½ 1.91
(UTEP vrs MEMPHIS U)

02/18/2012 @ 10:45 AM CBB [528] SOUTH CAR -3 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 10:45 AM CBB [530] BAYLOR -7½ 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 11:00 AM CBB [533] MISSOURI -7½ 1.91

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27568 Followers:33
02/18/2012 11:51 AM

Mid Day Best Bets:

02/18/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [549] CLEMSON +11½ 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [552] SAINT LOUIS -21 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [553] ST. JOSEPHS -3½ 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [555] TEXAS -4 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [558] CINCINNATI -6 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 01:30 PM CBB [562] NORTH TEXAS -6 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 03:00 PM CBB [571] FLORIDA -5½ 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 03:00 PM CBB [573] CHARL[B]
OTTE U +6 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 03:30 PM CBB [577] FLORIDA ATL +9½ 1.91 [/B]

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27568 Followers:33
02/18/2012 11:51 AM

Mid Day Best Bets:

02/18/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [549] CLEMSON +11½ 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [552] SAINT LOUIS -21 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [553] ST. JOSEPHS -3½ 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [555] TEXAS -4 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [558] CINCINNATI -6 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 01:30 PM CBB [562] NORTH TEXAS -6 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 03:00 PM CBB [571] FLORIDA -5½ 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 03:00 PM CBB [573] CHARLOTTE U +6 1.91

02/18/2012 @ 03:30 PM CBB [577] FLORIDA ATL +9½ 1.91

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27568 Followers:33
02/18/2012 11:57 AM

UNLV Rebels In Key Clash At New Mexico Lobos

Drexel and Cleveland State will tip Saturday's college hoops schedule at 11:00 a.m. (ET), while Long Beach State and Creighton cap the night off with their start 11 hours later. In between those two games are more than 150 other contests.

Overwhelming? Yes, but worth it, and whoever came up with this BracketBusters idea should be knighted.

While Mike Robinson previews some of the top Big 6 matchups, here are three outside those conferences that piqued my interest.

UNLV at New Mexico
Albuquerque, NM – 1:00 p.m. (ET) CBS

Though not part of the BracketBuster slate, this just might be the most important game Saturday outside of the Big 6 conferences. Hell, it could be the biggest game including the Big 6. New Mexico begins the weekend a game ahead of both UNLV and San Diego State in the Mountain West, and the Lobos have an excellent opportunity to really take charge in the conference with a victory.

New Mexico is coming off Wednesday's solid 77-67 win at San Diego State. The victory marked the Lobos' sixth straight – covering all six as favorites – since a 78-63 defeat at UNLV on Jan. 21. Five of their last seven have remained 'under' the total.

The Running Rebels find themselves in a bit of a rut with two losses in their last three games, and just 1-5 against the spread since the win over the Lobos. Tuesday's 102-97 setback in overtime at TCU was especially disheartening after blowing a big lead early in the second half. UNLV was 8½-point chalk and now stands 0-5 ATS in MWC road affairs.

January's meeting at Thomas & Mack Center closed with the Rebels laying 6½ and turned on a 12-5 UNLV run to begin the second half. The Rebels held the Lobos to just one field goal in the final four minutes of the game. UNLV pulled out a 77-74 win here at The Pit last season, just covering the 2½-point spread.

Nevada at Iona
New Rochelle, NY – 4:00 p.m. (ET) ESPN2

If you haven't been keeping up with either the Wolf Pack or the Gaels, you've missed some great basketball. Nevada and Iona begin this game atop their respective conferences, and favored to represent the WAC and MAAC at the NCAA Tournament in March. At stake in Saturday's clash is a possible at-large bid should either the Wolf Pack or Gaels stumble in their runs to conference championships.

Iona and Nevada sit very close in the latest RPI rankings; the Gaels are 51st and the Wolf Pack at No. 58. They've reached this point with disparate styles, Nevada ranking first among WAC schools in scoring defense (63.4 PPG) and Iona second in the country on the offensive end (82.9 PPG).

Nevada got off to an 0-2 start to the campaign, but have reeled off 20 wins in 22 games since a defeat at UNLV in mid-November. The Wolf Pack were really making friends with bettors until hitting a rough patch a few weeks back. They covered 13 of their first 16 lined contests, but have since dropped the cash in four of the last five.

Iona's offense has translated just to a 13-12 edge to the 'over' in totals betting, so give oddsmakers credit there. Wednesday's 75-62 victory at Rider never really threatened the 162-point barrier, snapping a 4-game run for the 'over.'

Saint Mary's at Murray State
Murray, KY – 6:00 p.m. (ET) ESPN

Don't shrug this game off just because both teams have recently suffered upset defeats. This remains one of the marquee matchups on Saturday, one of only two between ranked schools, and a contest that will pit two very efficient clubs on the offensive end of the court.

Murray State saw its unbeaten season end a little over a week ago in a 72-68 loss at home to Tennessee State. The Racers were 10½-point favorites in that game which was preceded by a 0-6-1 ATS run. They've since bounced back very strongly with wins and covers vs. Austin Peay and at Southeast Missouri State.

Saint Mary's could still be feeling the effects of Wednesday's 75-60 setback to Loyola Marymount, the first loss at home all season for the Gaels who were huge 14-point favorites in the game. Saint Mary's struggled from the floor on 22-of-57 shooting overall, and just 6-of-28 from outside the arc. It was very similar to their effort at Gonzaga a little more than a week ago, a 73-59 defeat which stopped a 12-game win streak. The Gaels are on a 4-game losing streak against the spread, and just 3-9 ATS their last 12.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27568 Followers:33
02/18/2012 12:03 PM

Georgetown Leads Saturday Big East Road Brigade

There’s a huge Saturday of college basketball betting, so big in fact that we had to break it up into two parts.

Don Best editor and hoops aficionado Willie Bee is focusing on smaller conference schools, including the BracketBuster biggie between No. 14 Murray State and No. 16 Saint Mary’s.

This article is focusing on the Big East, with four ranked teams in action. They’re all on the road and three of them among the best ATS away teams during Big East play (see below). We’ll finish with a can’t-miss top-25 matchup in the Big Ten, Ohio State at Michigan.


TEAM ATS AWAY
Marquette 5-1

Cincinnati 5-2

Syracuse 5-2

Louisville 4-2

Notre Dame 4-2



No. 13 Marquette Golden Eagles at Connecticut Huskies
12:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN

Marquette (21-5 SU, 12-10-1 ATS) is tied for second-place (10-3 SU) in the Big East with Notre Dame. Both teams only trail Syracuse (13-1 SU), who visits Rutgers on Sunday.

The Golden Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12, including 5-1 ATS away. The ‘over’ is 5-1 in those road contests. Forward Davante Gardner (9.8 PPG. 5.4 RPG) is doubtful after missing the last four games, but they have two of the conference’s top scorers in Darius Johnson-Odom (18.4 PPG) and Jae Crowder (16.2 PPG)

The Huskies (16-9 SU, 8-13 ATS) are without coach Jim Calhoun (medical leave) and have struggled after winning March Madness. They’re 2-6 SU and ATS in the last eight, although the last two at home have been wins and covers over DePaul (80-54) and Seton Hall (69-46). This is the first meeting against Marquette this year. The road team is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four.

No. 18 Louisville Cardinals at DePaul Blue Demons
12:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN3

The Cardinals (20-6 SU, 14-8-1 ATS) are peaking late in the season under coach Rick Pitino, something he is famous for. Louisville did have a 6-game winning streak snapped at home against Syracuse on Monday (52-51 loss), but it was the seventh-straight cover. Scoring had jumped to 75.3 PPG in the prior six (the ‘over’ 5-1) before slowing against Syracuse.

DePaul (11-14 SU, 11-10 ATS) is 15th in the Big East at 2-11 SU, with the ATS mark a better 5-8. The Blue Demons don’t have much trouble scoring, 75 PPG in their last five at home, but they allowed 83 PPG over that span. The ‘over’ is 5-1 in their last six home games overall.

Louisville beat DePaul last month, 76-59 as 15½-point home favorites. The ‘under’ is 3-0 in the last three meetings and 7-2 in the last nine.

No. 9 Georgetown Hoyas at Providence Friars
7:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN3

The Hoyas (19-5 SU, 11-8 ATS) are just 3-3 SU and ATS away in the conference, most recently losing at Syracuse (64-61 OT) and Pittsburgh (72-60). The former was a cover as 9-point ‘dogs. Georgetown is 16th in the nation in scoring defense (58.9 PPG), but the ‘over’ and ‘under’ have alternated the last nine games, with an ‘under’ due Saturday if the trend holds.

Providence (13-14 SU, 10-11 ATS) is in the Big East cellar at 2-12 SU. Both of those wins were at home, including a 90-59 shocker over Louisville as 9-point ‘dogs on January 10. The Friars are 3-2 ATS in their last five home games with the ‘under’ 4-1.

The road team has dominated this matchup, 7-0 ATS in the last seven. That includes a 49-40 Georgetown win as 13½-point home favorites on December 31.

No. 25 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Villanova Wildcats
9:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPNU

Notre Dame (18-8 SU, 9-9-2 ATS) is on a 7-game winning streak and covered six of them. Defense has been the key during this span at 55.3 PPG allowed. Team scoring has been boosted to 71.5 PPG in the last four. That’s helped the ‘over’ go 3-1 after the ‘under’ started 8-1 in the conference.

Villanova (11-14 SU, 6-16 ATS) is among the worst ATS teams in the entire nation. That includes going 0-5 ATS in the last five (two at home). Leading scorer Maalik Wayns (17.8 PPG) missed last game at South Florida (65-51 loss) and is questionable for this one. Scoring will be very tough without him.

This is the first meeting this season. Nova won (90-72) the last home encounter in January 2010, but that was a completely different squad.

No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes at No. 19 Michigan Wolverines
9:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN

The Buckeyes (22-4 SU, 13-8 ATS) are tied with Michigan State (10-3 SU) at the top of the Big Ten standings. They’ll meet in the final game of the season in East Lansing. Ohio State had a couple of early conference road losses at Indiana (74-70) and Illinois (79-74), but is 3-0 SU and ATS the last three away, including a win (58-52) at then No. 20 Wisconsin.

The Wolverines (19-7 SU, 13-9-1 ATS) are 14-0 at home this year, 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in the conference. They lead the Big Ten in three-point attempts (603) and make a respectable amount (35.2 percent). They’ll need to shoot well as they have trouble matching Ohio State on the boards.

Ohio State won and just barely covered (64-49 as 14-point favorites) the meeting in Columbus on January 29. Michigan covered the previous six, with two of them coming in Ann Arbor.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27568 Followers:33
02/18/2012 12:04 PM

Georgetown Leads Saturday Big East Road Brigade

There’s a huge Saturday of college basketball betting, so big in fact that we had to break it up into two parts.

Don Best editor and hoops aficionado Willie Bee is focusing on smaller conference schools, including the BracketBuster biggie between No. 14 Murray State and No. 16 Saint Mary’s.

This article is focusing on the Big East, with four ranked teams in action. They’re all on the road and three of them among the best ATS away teams during Big East play (see below). We’ll finish with a can’t-miss top-25 matchup in the Big Ten, Ohio State at Michigan.


TEAM ATS AWAY
Marquette 5-1

Cincinnati 5-2

Syracuse 5-2

Louisville 4-2

Notre Dame 4-2



No. 13 Marquette Golden Eagles at Connecticut Huskies
12:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN

Marquette (21-5 SU, 12-10-1 ATS) is tied for second-place (10-3 SU) in the Big East with Notre Dame. Both teams only trail Syracuse (13-1 SU), who visits Rutgers on Sunday.

The Golden Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12, including 5-1 ATS away. The ‘over’ is 5-1 in those road contests. Forward Davante Gardner (9.8 PPG. 5.4 RPG) is doubtful after missing the last four games, but they have two of the conference’s top scorers in Darius Johnson-Odom (18.4 PPG) and Jae Crowder (16.2 PPG)

The Huskies (16-9 SU, 8-13 ATS) are without coach Jim Calhoun (medical leave) and have struggled after winning March Madness. They’re 2-6 SU and ATS in the last eight, although the last two at home have been wins and covers over DePaul (80-54) and Seton Hall (69-46). This is the first meeting against Marquette this year. The road team is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four.

No. 18 Louisville Cardinals at DePaul Blue Demons
12:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN3

The Cardinals (20-6 SU, 14-8-1 ATS) are peaking late in the season under coach Rick Pitino, something he is famous for. Louisville did have a 6-game winning streak snapped at home against Syracuse on Monday (52-51 loss), but it was the seventh-straight cover. Scoring had jumped to 75.3 PPG in the prior six (the ‘over’ 5-1) before slowing against Syracuse.

DePaul (11-14 SU, 11-10 ATS) is 15th in the Big East at 2-11 SU, with the ATS mark a better 5-8. The Blue Demons don’t have much trouble scoring, 75 PPG in their last five at home, but they allowed 83 PPG over that span. The ‘over’ is 5-1 in their last six home games overall.

Louisville beat DePaul last month, 76-59 as 15½-point home favorites. The ‘under’ is 3-0 in the last three meetings and 7-2 in the last nine.

No. 9 Georgetown Hoyas at Providence Friars
7:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN3

The Hoyas (19-5 SU, 11-8 ATS) are just 3-3 SU and ATS away in the conference, most recently losing at Syracuse (64-61 OT) and Pittsburgh (72-60). The former was a cover as 9-point ‘dogs. Georgetown is 16th in the nation in scoring defense (58.9 PPG), but the ‘over’ and ‘under’ have alternated the last nine games, with an ‘under’ due Saturday if the trend holds.

Providence (13-14 SU, 10-11 ATS) is in the Big East cellar at 2-12 SU. Both of those wins were at home, including a 90-59 shocker over Louisville as 9-point ‘dogs on January 10. The Friars are 3-2 ATS in their last five home games with the ‘under’ 4-1.

The road team has dominated this matchup, 7-0 ATS in the last seven. That includes a 49-40 Georgetown win as 13½-point home favorites on December 31.

No. 25 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Villanova Wildcats
9:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPNU

Notre Dame (18-8 SU, 9-9-2 ATS) is on a 7-game winning streak and covered six of them. Defense has been the key during this span at 55.3 PPG allowed. Team scoring has been boosted to 71.5 PPG in the last four. That’s helped the ‘over’ go 3-1 after the ‘under’ started 8-1 in the conference.

Villanova (11-14 SU, 6-16 ATS) is among the worst ATS teams in the entire nation. That includes going 0-5 ATS in the last five (two at home). Leading scorer Maalik Wayns (17.8 PPG) missed last game at South Florida (65-51 loss) and is questionable for this one. Scoring will be very tough without him.

This is the first meeting this season. Nova won (90-72) the last home encounter in January 2010, but that was a completely different squad.

No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes at No. 19 Michigan Wolverines
9:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN

The Buckeyes (22-4 SU, 13-8 ATS) are tied with Michigan State (10-3 SU) at the top of the Big Ten standings. They’ll meet in the final game of the season in East Lansing. Ohio State had a couple of early conference road losses at Indiana (74-70) and Illinois (79-74), but is 3-0 SU and ATS the last three away, including a win (58-52) at then No. 20 Wisconsin.

The Wolverines (19-7 SU, 13-9-1 ATS) are 14-0 at home this year, 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in the conference. They lead the Big Ten in three-point attempts (603) and make a respectable amount (35.2 percent). They’ll need to shoot well as they have trouble matching Ohio State on the boards.

Ohio State won and just barely covered (64-49 as 14-point favorites) the meeting in Columbus on January 29. Michigan covered the previous six, with two of them coming in Ann Arbor.

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