cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
On 02/15/2012 04:43 PM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes Wednesday's Best Bets NCAAB-NBA-NHL !

Tar Heels Travel To Take On Miami Hurricanes

How much Austin Rivers' buzzer-beating bomb last week means to the ACC standings in the long run remains to be seen. Its short-term effect is easy to see, however, as the conference enters this week with a three-way logjam at the top and three more squads within two games of first place.

North Carolina is part of the trio that shares the lead, the Tar Heels joined in that group by Duke and Florida State. Roy Williams and the Heels have an opportunity to at least break that deadlock on Wednesday and put some pressure on the Blue Devils and Seminoles who both play Thursday. It won't be easy for UNC, though, who ventures south to Coral Gables for an 8:00 p.m. (ET) match on ESPN against the Miami (FL) Hurricanes.

Opening lines listed the Tar Heels -5 with 145 for the total.

Williams' squad bounced back from the loss to Duke with a very strong showing last Saturday vs. Virginia. The 70-52 win at home was more than enough to cover the 10-point spread, and as has been the case for most games involving the Cavaliers this season, the final tally stayed 'under' the 133-point total. It was the first cover for UNC backers in five contests.

North Carolina's offense was still below par despite putting a dubya on the ledger. Some of that can be attributed to Virginia's fine defense, but not all of it. The Tar Heels sank just one 3-pointer for the second game in a row, hitting 1-of-10 from beyond the arc after a 1-of-6 performance a few days earlier vs. Duke. Long-range shooting isn't supposed to be the Heels' strength, but making 2-of-16 over a pair of games is going to lead to trouble.

Miami enters this matchup off a 64-59 loss at Florida State on Saturday, just grabbing the cover as 6½-point underdogs. The defeat snapped a 5-game win streak for the 'Canes.

The two teams squared off in Chapel Hill on Jan. 10 with UNC extending its streak to nine straight wins in the series with a 73-56 victory. The final margin was barely enough for Heels backers to cover the 16½-point spread and stayed well below the 154½-point total, marking the fifth 'under' in the last six meetings.

Aztecs, Lobos Square Off In Mountain West Bout

Another league to start the week with a three-way tie at the top is the MWC where UNLV, New Mexico and San Diego State each sit 6-2. That makes Wednesday's contest in San Diego between the Lobos and Aztecs either for sole possession or at least a share of first place, depending on the outcome of UNLV's game Tuesday at TCU.

Tip from Viejas Arena is set for 10:15 p.m. (ET) and the game started off as a pick on the early NCAA odds that also made 126 the scoreboard number.

Steve Alford and the Lobos have quietly fashioned a 20-4 overall record behind a stellar and underrated defense that ranks ninth nationally allowing just 57.3 points per game. That number dips to 56.5 in MWC play after holding Wyoming to just 38 points last Saturday when New Mexico picked up its fifth consecutive win since losing back-to-back contests to San Diego State and UNLV about a month ago.

The Lobos have also been making friends with bettors all season. New Mexico has covered all five in the current win streak and stands 16-5 against the spread for the campaign.

Steve Fisher and San Diego State are hoping to bounce back from a tough 65-63 loss at UNLV. The Aztecs did cash for their backers as 10-point underdogs to break a three-game losing skid at the college basketball betting window.

New Mexico and SDSU met in Albuquerque on Jan. 18 with the Lobos laying 10½ on their home court. The Aztecs pulled off the 75-70 upset for their fourth straight win in the series.

Murray State, Saint Mary's Warm Up Before BracketBusters Meeting

When the BracketBusters slate was first announced, Saturday's upcoming battle between Saint Mary's and Murray State definitely stood as the marquee matchup. A bit of the sheen is off now that the Racers saw their undefeated season end about a week ago, but it's still a must-see clash of tournament-bound teams and both are in action against strong competition as part of Wednesday's 70-game slate.

Murray State will make a short haul northwest to face Southeast Missouri State at 8:00 p.m. (ET) in a game that can be seen on ESPN3, while Saint Mary's is home to host the Loyola Marymount Lions in a late-night tip (10:30 ET).

Both games are rematches, with the Racers and Redhawks meeting less than two weeks ago on Murray State's floor. The Racers scored an 81-73 victory over SEMO as 14½-point favorites in a game that went well past the 137½-point total. Southeast Missouri was an 11-point dog at home last February when the two squared off on this floor, and the Redhawks came away with the outright upset, 64-57.

Saint Mary's was 7½-point road chalk on Jan. 26 when the Gaels met the Lions, and just missed the cover with a 71-64 triumph. That game also stayed 'under' the total (143) and marked the 11th-straight win in the series for Saint Mary's.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
02/15/2012 04:45 PM

Cavaliers Continue To Cash For 'Under' Bettors

The Virginia Cavaliers continue to lead all teams with a 16-3 record to the ’under.’
If you're a fan of Big East basketball, you know there is plenty to be thrilled about with your conference. There are going to be at least seven, and perhaps as many as 10 teams from the league, in the NCAA Tournament, including perhaps the tournament's top overall seed, the Syracuse Orange.

However, there is another distinction that the Big East carries this year. This is a conference that boasts a ton of teams that are big time winners for 'over' bettors.

The Villanova Wildcats played 11 straight games past the total until last week's 74-72 win over the Providence Friars. In that stretch, they had scored at least 70 points in nine of the 11 games, and allowed at least 70 in all 11. The Wildcats are 16-5 for 'over' bettors this year, one of the top marks in the entire country.

Villanova isn't nearly alone in the Big East, though. The Marquette Golden Eagles are 14-9-1 towards the 'over,' while the West Virginia Mountaineers are 16-5 in favor of high scoring games as well. Both teams are using their offense to win games in conference play, and the two teams are going to meet up for their one and only scheduled meeting in Morgantown a week from Friday.

While Marquette and West Virginia are setting up for more 'over' games on the horizon, Villanova might be a different story. The next two teams on tap for the 'Cats are the South Florida Bulls and Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and they have the two best 'under' records in the league at 15-7 and 14-5-2 respectively.

The team with the most 'overs' in the country is the Denver Pioneers. Denver has played five straight games in the Sun Belt past the total, and will put its 18-6 'over' mark on the line in the last three games of the regular season, all of which will be played at home. In the altitude of Magness Arena, the Pioneers are 9-3 'over' this year.

The Washington Huskies started off the season with a flurry of 'overs,' but since Pac-12 play started, they have had nothing but 'unders' to speak of. In fact, they have had 10 'unders' in a row dating back to January 7.

Next on tap is a game against the Arizona State Sun Devils, who have played four straight 'under' contests and are 15-9 to the low side of totals for the campaign.

Of all of the teams in the country though, the one with the best record for either side of totals is the Virginia Cavaliers. The Cavaliers are a whopping 16-3 'under' for the season, 8-2 that direction in ACC action.

Virginia has the No. 2 ranked defense in the nation, allowing just 51.9 PPG, and it should really be no surprise considering the fact that head coach Tony Bennett was known for his low scoring affairs in his past job with the Washington State Cougars.

The only potential snag for 'under' bettors is that Virginia's next game is against the Clemson Tigers at Littlejohn Coliseum. The Tigers have one of the best 'over' marks among ACC squads at 11-8, and are one of just two teams in the ACC that have forced the Cavaliers into an 'over' contest this year.

The Boston College Eagles are the only other ACC team to do that, and they sit 13-6 to the 'under' for the 2011-12 schedule. Boston College's 8-1 record for 'under' bettors in its first nine conference games went out the window with these last two though, as games against the Florida State Seminoles and Virginia Tech Hokies both went past the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
02/15/2012 04:48 PM

Sixers Finish Road Trip At Orlando Magic

The suddenly-warm Golden State Warriors host the Portland Trail Blazers in one of the key matchups of a busy 13-game Wednesday.

Before we get into the huge slate, let’s update an NBA trend we’ve been following all season. The ‘under’ is still leading the way for the year (54.8 percent), but it’s slowly been decreasing. In fact, since the last update on Jan. 30, the ‘over’ is 56-54-2 with Tuesday games still pending.


DATE 'UNDER PCT.
Jan. 10 59.1%

Jan. 30 56.6%

Feb. 13 54.8%



Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic
7:00 p.m. (ET) on Regional Broadcasts

The 76ers (20-9 SU, 18-10-1 ATS) are trying to sweep their mini, 3-game road trip after beating Cleveland (99-84) and Charlotte (98-89). Only the Cleveland game was a cover. Orlando is a much tougher opponent and Philly will have to battle center Dwight Howard without oft-injured Spencer Hawes (Achilles, back). Lavoy Allen and Nikola Vucevic have been filling in.

The Magic (18-11 SU, 16-13 ATS) have won and covered their last two games at Milwaukee (99-94) and home to Minnesota (102-89) despite Howard averaging just 11 PPG and shooting a combined 34.6 percent (9-of-26) from the field. Having five players scoring in double-digits gives insurance when someone has an off night.

Orlando has covered 3-straight in this matchup after losing 74-69 as 7½-point ‘dogs in Philly on January 30. The ‘under’ is 5-0 in the last five meetings overall.

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks
8:30 p.m. (ET) on Regional Broadcasts

The Nuggets (16-12 SU and ATS) got a 113-109 Saturday win at Indiana, snapping a 5-game SU and ATS losing streak. They host Phoenix on Tuesday night with leading scorer Danilo Gallinari (ankle) definitely out and starting big men Nene Hilario (calf) and Timofey Mozgov (ankle) likely out. That leaves them very thin up front.

The Mavericks (18-11 SU, 17-12 ATS) are on a 4-game winning streak (3-1 ATS). Point guard Jason Kidd returned for the last three after missing six games with a calf injury. Dirk Nowitzki has picked up his scoring the last six games at 25.7 PPG, versus just 18.5 PPG on the year.

Dallas won in Denver last Wednesday, 105-95 as 1-point ‘dogs. Nowitzki had 25 with Gallinari and Mozgov sidelined.

Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors
10:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN

Portland (15-13 SU, 15-12-1 ATS) hosts woeful Washington on Tuesday. The Trail Blazers are just 3-6 ATS in back-to-back situations and 1-5 ATS when the game is away like Wednesday. They’re just 4-10 SU and 5-9 ATS away this season, scoring a paltry 91.1 PPG compared to a whopping 105.1 PPG at home.

The Warriors (11-14 SU, 12-13 ATS) have won 3-straight games for the first time this year. Those wins at Denver (109-101) and home against Houston (106-97) and Phoenix (102-96) were all covers, with the ‘under’ 3-0 due to some large totals. Stephen Curry tweaked his ankle last game, but is probable.

Golden State has dominated this matchup with 7-straight covers (5-2 SU). The first meeting this year was Jan. 25, a 101-93 Warriors win as 3½-point home favorites.

Wednesday news and notes

Cleveland (10-16 SU, 15-11 ATS) has point guard Kyrie Irving questionable as it hosts Indiana (17-10 SU, 13-14 ATS). He’s been out the last three games, all at home, with the team 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS. Ramon Sessions has averaged 18.3 PPG and 12.3 APG starting in his place. Indiana is 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in its last five pending Tuesday’s home game against tough Miami.

Charlotte (3-25 SU, 10-18 ATS) has lost 15-straight heading into Minnesota (13-16 SU, 15-14 ATS). The banged-up Bobcats have only broken 90 points scoring twice in that span, but did cover their last two away at Boston (94-84) and Phoenix (95-89). The Timberwolves are 0-3 SU and ATS since Kevin Love returned from suspension, losing 4-straight overall.

New Orleans (5-23 SU, 11-17 ATS) broke an 8-game losing streak, both SU and ATS, with an 86-80 home win over Utah on Monday. Chris Kaman had 27 points and 13 rebounds with Emeka Okafor (knee) out. Okafor is questionable Wednesday at Milwaukee (12-16 SU and ATS). The Bucks are 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven. The ‘over’ is 6-0 in their last six, allowing a big 107.3 PPG.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
02/15/2012 04:49 PM

Avalanche Look To Cool Off Vancouver Canucks

Returning home from a four-game road trip did not stop the Northwest Division-leading Vancouver Canucks from experiencing an abnormal amount of shootouts. Fortunately for the Canucks (35-15-6), shootouts have been good to them lately.

The end result is Vancouver has won three of its past four and four of five heading into Wednesday’s home game against the Colorado Avalanche (28-25-4) at 10:00 p.m. (ET).

Vancouver is coming off a 2-1 shootout victory against the Phoenix Coyotes (27-21-9) at home on Monday, the eighth time in the team’s last 10 games that the outcome was not decided in regulation. The Canucks have seen seven of their past eight go at least to overtime, with five of six ending in a shootout.

Colorado was who Vancouver beat in a shootout 3-2 to open the four-game road trip on February 4, and the Canucks will face two more teams they beat the same way recently within the next week. The Avalanche have dropped six of their last eight games overall and continue a four-game road trip of their own at Rogers Arena after splitting their past two in OT.

Four other games are on the NHL schedule for Wednesday, including three that will be played earlier in the night. The Pittsburgh Penguins (32-19-5) will get the hockey action started at 7:00 p.m. when they host the Anaheim Ducks (22-24-9), going for their seventh straight home win and third victory in a row overall before leaving for a two-game road trip.

The Penguins have needed extra time to earn four of the wins during their current streak at Consol Energy Center, while Anaheim will be playing on consecutive nights after visiting the Minnesota Wild (25-22-8) on Tuesday in the third game of an eight-game road trip. The ‘over’ is 3-0-1 in Pittsburgh’s last four games, but the ‘under’ was on a 4-1 run for the Ducks before playing the Wild.

Two more games face off at 7:30 p.m. with the Ottawa Senators (28-22-8) visiting the Florida Panthers (27-17-11) and the Montreal Canadiens (23-25-9) hosting the Boston Bruins (34-17-2). The Senators will be playing their second of back-to-back nights in Florida after meeting the Tampa Bay Lightning (25-25-6) on Tuesday in hopes of winning for just the second time in 10 games.

The defending Stanley Cup champion Bruins will also be playing their second game in as many days and could be due for a letdown following a home game with the Atlantic Division-leading New York Rangers (36-13-5) on Tuesday. Boston leads the Northeast Division while Montreal is 15 points back and currently out of the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference.

Wednesday’s only All-Canada matchup rounds out the slate at 10:00 p.m. when the Toronto Maple Leafs (28-22-6) visit the Edmonton Oilers (22-28-5), who are back home for the first of three games after dropping two of three on a three-game road trip. The Oilers will put their four-game home winning streak on the line, but they have lost three of the past four meetings with Toronto. The Maple Leafs had dropped three straight overall heading into Tuesday’s game against the Calgary Flames (26-22-8) that opened a three-game road trip.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
02/15/2012 04:52 PM

Thursday's Tip Sheet

February 15, 2012

**Virginia Tech at Florida State**

--Since joining the ACC in the early 1990s, Florida State (17-7 straight up, 12-10 against the spread) hasn’t won a conference championship of any sort in basketball. The Seminoles haven’t won a regular-season title and came up short in their lone appearance in the ACC Tournament finals. However, there’s a chance this year as they go into Thursday’s action in a three-way tie with Duke and North Carolina for the league lead with identical 8-2 records (pending UNC’s result Wednesday at Miami).

--Leonard Hamilton’s team has won 13 of its 14 home games, compiling an 8-4 spread record in the process. The ‘Noles have won eight of their last nine games, but they have failed to cover the number in three straight outings, including Saturday’s 64-59 home win over Miami as 6 ½-point ‘chalk.’ Bernard James was the catalyst against the Hurricanes, finishing with 18 points, six rebounds and four blocked shots.

--Virginia Tech (14-11 SU, 6-14-1 ATS) has burned the pockets of its backers in six straight games and has failed to cover in 10 of its last 11 outings. Seth Greenberg’s squad won a 66-65 decision over Boston College this past Sunday, but it came nowhere near taking the cash as a 12-point home favorite. Freshman forward Dorian Finney-Smith capped a furious rally from a six-point deficit with 1:39 left by scoring on a putback with 2.6 seconds remaining. He paced the Hokies with 17 points and eight rebounds.

--When these schools met in Blacksburg on Jan. 10, FSU collected a 63-59 victory as a four-point road underdog. The 122 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 128-point total. James was the catalyst for the ‘Noles with 18 points, 15 boards and three blocked shots. Erick Green had a game-high 21 points for the Hokies in defeat.

--The ‘under’ is 11-10-1 overall for FSU, 6-5-1 in its home games. Meanwhile, the Hokies have watched the ‘under’ cash at a 13-8 overall clip.

--The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings between these ACC adversaries.

--BetOnline.com opened FSU as a nine-point favorite with a total of 126.

--ESPN2 will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Wisconsin at Michigan State**

--BetOnline.com opened Michigan St. (20-5 SU, 15-7 ATS) as a six-point favorite with a miniscule total of 110.

--Tom Izzo’s team has won three in a row and five of its last six both SU and ATS, including Saturday’s 58-48 win at Ohio St. as an 8 ½-point underdog. Adreian Payne made all six of his shots from the floor en route to scoring 15 points to go with four rebounds, two steals and two blocked shots. Draymond Green added 12 points and nine boards in the upset of the Buckeyes, who had won their 39 previous home games.

--Wisconsin (19-6 SU, 13-9 ATS) has prevailed in seven of its last eight games, including last Thursday’s 68-61 win at Minnesota in overtime as a 1 ½-point favorite. Jordan Taylor scored a game-high 27 points, while Ryan Evans finished with 17 points and 11 rebounds.

--Michigan St. has been nasty at home, winning all 15 games while posting a 9-3 spread record.

--Wisconsin has been an underdog three times, compiling a 2-1 spread record with one outright win at Purdue.

--When these Big Ten rivals met in Madison on Jan. 3, Michigan St. captured a 63-60 win in overtime as a 6 ½-point underdog. Green led the way with 18 points and 14 rebounds to offset Taylor’s game-high 28 points on 7-of-11 shooting from the field.

--The ‘under’ is 11-10-1 overall for the Spartans, but the ‘over’ is 7-5 in its home games. The ‘under’ is in the midst of a 4-1 run in MSU’s last five overall games.

--The ‘under’ is 14-8 overall for the Badgers, 3-1 in their last four contests.

--Tip-off is slated for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**North Carolina State at Duke**

--Duke (21-4 SU, 11-14 ATS) has won back-to-back games since its stunning home loss to Miami on Feb. 5. The Blue Devils rallied in the final two minutes last Wednesday to win at North Carolina on Austin Rivers’s buzzer beater. Then on Saturday, they didn’t fall victim to the classic letdown spot, surging ahead of the number down the stretch to capture a 73-55 win over Maryland as 15-point home favorites.

--BetOnline.com opened Duke as an 11-point favorite with a total of 150.

--North Carolina State (18-7 SU, 9-12 ATS) has won three straight and seven of its last eight, as Mark Gottfried has done an excellent job in his first year after replacing Sidney Lowe, who led the Wolfpack to the 1983 national championship as the school’s starting point guard.

--N.C. St. is coming off a 61-52 win at Ga. Tech last Thursday as a four-point road favorite. C.J. Williams led four double-figure scorers with a team-high 15 points, while C.J. Leslie turned in a double-double with 13 points and 10 boards.

--Duke has an 11-2 SU record and a 5-8 ATS mark at home in Cameron Indoor Stadium this year. The Blue Devils have been double-digit favorites 16 times, going 6-10 versus the number.

--N.C. St. owns a 4-3 spread record with a pair of outright wins in seven previous underdog situations. The Wolfpack has only been a double-digit ‘dog once, losing 74-55 at UNC.

--The ‘over’ is 16-9 overall for Duke, 9-4 in its home games.

--The ‘over’ is 11-10 overall for N.C. St., but the ‘under’ is 4-1 in its last five games.

--The ‘over’ is on a 10-2 run in the last 12 head-to-head meetings between these schools.

**Gonzaga at Santa Clara**

--Gonzaga (20-4 SU, 11-12-1 ATS) has won three straight games since losing at BYU on Feb. 2. The Bulldogs picked up a huge win last week when it avenged a loss at Saint Mary’s by trouncing the Gaels 73-59 as 3 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ Next, they thumped Loyola-Marymount by a 78-59 count Saturday as 12 ½-point home favorites.

--In the win over LMU, Kevin Pangos led the way with 21 points and nine assists, while Elias Harris posted a double-double with 17 points and 15 rebounds.

--Santa Clara (8-17 SU, 7-15 ATS) has lost 13 consecutive games and hasn’t tasted a victory since beating Eastern Michigan on Dec. 29. The Broncos are returning home after dropping three in a row on the road during an eight-day span. They took the cash in their last outing, an 82-67 loss at Saint Mary’s as 21-point underdogs. Denzel Johnson scored a team-high 17 points in the losing effort.

--Santa Clara has only won six of its 12 home games, limping to an abysmal 2-8 spread record. The Broncos are winless both SU and ATS in three games as home underdogs.

--When these schools met in Spokane on Jan. 12, Gonzaga cruised to an 82-60 home win as an 18 ½-point favorite. Sam Dower came off the bench and scored a game-high 17 points for the Bulldogs, who led 28-26 at intermission before outscoring the Broncos by 20 points in the second half.

--The ‘under’ is 16-7-1 overall for Gonzaga, cashing in six of its last eight games. Meanwhile, Santa Clara has seen the ‘over’ go 14-8 overall, 6-4 in its home outings.

--The ‘over’ has hit at an incredible 18-4 clip in the last 22 head-to-head meetings between these WCC rivals.

--ESPN2 will provide television coverage at 11:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Florida scored the first 16 points of the second half Tuesday at Alabama, breaking open a tie game at halftime en route to a 61-52 win as a three-point favorite. The short-handed Crimson Tide couldn’t buy a bucket in the second half and never got closer than nine after UF’s 16-0 surge. Patric Young scored a team-high 19 points for the Gators, who were playing without their top two reserves, Will Yeugete (concussion) and Mike Rosario (hip pointer). UF plays Saturday at Arkansas and Yuegete isn’t expected to be available. Rosario remains a question mark.

--Anthony Hickey Jr. hit a floater in the lane with two ticks remaining in overtime to propel LSU to a 69-67 home win Tuesday over Mississippi St. Even more disconcerting to the Bulldogs, their stud center Arnett Moultrie suffered a shoulder injury on the final play of regulation and didn’t play in the extra session. Gamblers should check Moultrie’s status before MSU plays Saturday at Auburn.

--UConn announced Wednesday that head coach Jim Calhoun will miss at least three more games.

--George Mason remained atop the Colonial standings thanks to Tuesday’s 63-61 win over VCU thanks to Sherrod Wright’s 25-foot buzzer beater. I’m of the opinion that both of these teams should be in the NCAA Tournament. We shall see…

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
02/15/2012 04:56 PM

Wednesday's Tips

February 14, 2012

The Wednesday NBA card is one of the busiest of the season with 13 games on the schedule. There are several key contests including the Nuggets and Mavericks hooking up in Dallas, while the Thunder hits the highway again as they battle the Rockets in Houston. We'll start in central Florida as the 76ers face another road test against the Magic.

76ers at Magic - 7:05 PM EST

Past the Bulls and Heat atop the Eastern Conference, there are many questions on which squad will be the third seed when the postseason comes around. Two of those potential clubs meet up at Amway Arena in Orlando for the second time in two weeks. The Magic go for their third straight win after beating the Bucks and Timberwolves, while the Sixers wrap up their road swing following victories at Cleveland and Charlotte.

The last time these two teams saw each in Philadelphia, the Sixers limited the Magic to 33% shooting from the floor in a 74-69 victory on January 30. Orlando picked up the backdoor cover thanks to a late J.J. Redick three-pointer to cash as 7 ½-point underdogs, the final defeat in a four-game losing skid. Since that loss, Stan Van Gundy's club owns a 6-2 SU/ATS record to climb into tie for second place in the Southeast division with Atlanta.

Philadelphia has done plenty of its damage against bottom-tier teams in the league, as the Sixers look to take that step to the next level in the Eastern Conference. Doug Collins' squad has compiled a 7-4 ATS record away from the Wells Fargo Center, while winning just one game in the road underdog role at Atlanta on Feburary 4. The Sixers' defense is carrying them now by limiting 12 of their past 13 opponents to below 100 points (8-5 to the 'under').

Thunder at Rockets - 8:05 PM EST

Oklahoma City is back on the road again after last night's stop at home against Utah. The Thunder takes on the Rockets for the third time this season after winning the first two meetings in early January. Houston is back at the Toyota Center for the first time since a February 3 blowout of Phoenix as seven-point favorites.

Kevin McHale's team finished a six-game swing at Memphis on Tuesday, as the Rockets picked up three solid wins in the underdog role at Denver, Portland, and Phoenix. In the two previous losses to Oklahoma City, Houston managed only one cover at home in a 98-95 setback as a 5 ½-point 'dog on January 7. Houston has defended its home-court well with a 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS record, including victories over San Antonio twice, Atlanta, and Portland.

The Thunder owns an 8-3 SU/ATS ledger as a road favorite since the non-cover at the Toyota Center in January. Scott Brooks' team is 8-2 to the 'over' the last 10 games, but are 5-3 to the 'under' in contests with the total listed at 200 or above. After starting the season at 0-3 ATS with no rest, the Thunder is holding their own on the second of back-to-backs with a 4-1 ATS mark.

Nuggets at Mavericks - 8:35 PM EST

Denver makes the trip to the Lone Star State after Tuesday's home contest against Phoenix, as the banged-up Nuggets take on the Mavs. Dallas is back on track following a three-game skid by putting together a four-game winning streak, capped off by crucial home victories over the Blazers and Clippers. Now, the Mavs attempt to break through as the first home team to win a game in three meetings this season.

In the first matchup back in late December, the Nuggets shocked the Mavs in a 115-93 rout as 4 ½-point 'dogs. Dallas avenged that defeat by taking care of Denver at the Pepsi Center, 105-95 as short road 'dogs last Wednesday. However, it will be a tall order for the Nuggets to win without two of their big guys as Nene (calf) and Timofey Mozgov (ankle) are both sidelined. The Nuggets have compiled a 2-7 ATS record the previous nine games, but both covers came on the highway against the Clippers and Pacers.

The Mavericks have struggled recently at the American Airlines Center with a 1-4 ATS mark, while all three straight-up victories came by four points or less. Dallas' defense has held eight consecutive opponents to 100 points or less, but the 'over' is 4-4 in this stretch. Rick Carlisle's club is 0-3 ATS the last three games against unrested foes, but 3-1 ATS at home against teams on the second of a back-to-back.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
02/15/2012 04:58 PM

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

February 15, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Rockets are 11-0-1 ATS (8.3 ppg) since April 12, 2010 after a road loss in which their DPA was negative.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Magic are 0-13-1 OU (-13.5 ppg) since March 11, 2010 with at least one day of rest after a game in which they had at least five fewer turnovers than their season-to-date average.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Celtics are 0-13 OU (-13.0 ppg) since December 08, 2010 with at least a day of rest after a win in which Kevin Garnett took fewer than 10 shots.

CHOICE TREND:

The Kings are 0-10-1 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since November 08, 2005 as a dog with at most one day of rest after a game on the road in which their DPS was at least plus 15 points.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Bobcats are 0-10-1 OU (-11.9 ppg) since November 18, 2005 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
02/15/2012 05:00 PM

Magic, 76ers both look to extend win streaks

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (20-9)

at ORLANDO MAGIC (18-11)


Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Line: Orlando -3½, Total: 178½

After easy wins over two of the Eastern Conference’s weaker teams, Philadelphia’s mini-road trip gets much tougher when it visits Orlando Wednesday night.

The 76ers scored double-digit wins in Cleveland and Charlotte (though they didn’t cover the 12-point spread in the latter) to move to 7-4 SU and ATS on the road this year. But they haven’t exactly been tested often away from home, as they were the favorite in seven of those 11 games (and their lone SU win as a road underdog was against a Hawks team playing without All-Star C Al Horford). The Magic are just 7-9 ATS at home, but have been rolling in February, going 6-2 (5-3 ATS). Who will prevail in this clash of Eastern powers? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three At Three has started off the week with a strong 4-2 ATS mark.

The 76ers will try to control tempo with their slow-down, defensive-minded style. They haven’t topped 100 points in their past 12 games, but have managed to hold opponents to 85.1 PPG during that span. They have far and away the lowest turnover rate in the NBA (10.33 per 100 possessions).

But they’ll have one less body to counter Dwight Howard with, as C Spencer Hawes (10.5 PPG, 8.3 RPG) is out with an Achilles injury. Rookies Nikola Vucevic (5.6 PPG, 5.0 RPG) and Lavoy Allen (4.9 PPG, 4.3 RPG) will play the majority of minutes in his place. The Sixers will rely heavily on their bench scoring to carry them, as SG Lou Williams (15.9 PPG) is averaging 18.8 PPG over his past four contests, and PF Thaddeus Young (12.8 PPG) has added 15.5 PPG on 62.5% shooting during that span. This FoxSheets trend also sides with Philly:

PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 ATS (91.7%, +9.9 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.8, OPPONENT 89.8 - (Rating = 2*).

The Magic are coming off back-to-back SU and ATS wins, at Milwaukee and at home over Minnesota. So far in February, their only two SU losses both came in overtime. The return of SG Jason Richardson (12.3 PPG) has had a lot to do with their strong recent play, as he’s averaging 18.1 PPG and hitting 52.0% of his threes over seven games since returning from a knee injury. He’s helped take the heat off of PF Ryan Anderson (16.3 PPG, 7.4 RPG), who’s averaging 16.5 PPG and hitting 43.1% of his threes this month. C Dwight Howard (20.2 PPG, 15.2 RPG) continues to dominate the paint, averaging 20.9 PPG, 14.9 RPG and 2.4 BPG this month, and he’s even hit 61.4% of his free throws to bring his season average up to 49.4%.

The FoxSheets have a trend based on head coach Stan Van Gundy working in favor of the Magic:

Van Gundy is 73-45 ATS (61.9%, +23.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached since 1996. The average score was Van Gundy 97.6, OPPONENT 92.8 - (Rating = 1*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
02/15/2012 05:02 PM

Aldridge-less Blazers visit Golden State Wednesday

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (15-14)

at GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (11-14)


Tip-off: Wednesday, 10:05 p.m. ET
Line: Golden State -5, Total: 196½

After a terrible home loss on Tuesday, the Trail Blazers will need to regroup quickly as they head south to Oakland to take on the red-hot Warriors one night later without star PF LaMarcus Aldridge.

Aldridge (22.6 PPG, 8.3 RPG) suffered a sprained left ankle in Portland’s embarrassing 15-point defeat to 15-point underdog Washington Tuesday. The Blazers allowed 124 points on 60% FG to the 7-22 Wizards, giving further evidence of a disappearing defense in the past five games (104.2 PPG on 50% FG). Meanwhile, Golden State is shooting lights-out in its past five contests (107.8 PPG on 49% FG). Not only have the Warriors won the past four games versus Portland by an average of 15.0 PPG, they are also a dominant 11-2-1 ATS (10-4 SU) in the past 14 meetings. Will this trend continue on Wednesday night, or will the Blazers bounce back? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three At Three has started off the week with a strong 4-2 ATS mark.

Portland’s offense will certainly miss its top scorer and rebounder, as the team averages just 91.1 PPG on 41.9% FG on the road this season, going 4-10 SU (5-9 ATS). With Aldridge out, Nicolas Batum (12.9 PPG) will need to continue his offensive surge, building on his career-high 33 points in the loss to the Wizards. Jamal Crawford is second on the team with 14.3 PPG, but he was held to a season-low three points (1-of-5 FG) on Tuesday. Gerald Wallace (13.8 PPG) poured in 25 points versus Washington, giving him 17.3 PPG on a blistering 63% FG in his past four games. The FoxSheets have another trend siding with the Blazers:

Play On - Any team (PORTLAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. (129-79 over the last 5 seasons.) (62%, +42.1 units. Rating = 2*).

The Warriors are 12-1 in the past 13 home games versus Portland. Golden State has quite a few players that are sizzling on the offensive end. SG Monta Ellis had 18 points and seven rebounds in Monday’s 102-96 win over Phoenix. It was the team’s third straight win overall and fifth victory in the past seven home games. PF David Lee had a game-high 28 points plus 12 boards against the Suns, and he also scored 26 against Portland in their last meeting on Jan. 25, a 101-93 victory. PG Stephen Curry tweaked his ankle in the last game, but he is expected to start on Wednesday night. That’s bad news for the Blazers, considering Curry lit them up for 32 points on 12-of-19 FG (6-of-8 threes) with seven assists and six rebounds in last month’s meeting. The FoxSheets have another strong trend working against the Blazers:

Play Against - Road teams (PORTLAND) - off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. (45-18 since 1996.) (71.4%, +25.2 units. Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
02/15/2012 05:04 PM

Nets try to end losing skid hosting Memphis

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (15-14)

at NEW JERSEY NETS (8-21)


Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:35 p.m. ET
Line: Memphis -3½, Total: 187

One night after disposing of rival Houston at home, the Grizzlies make the long trip north to face slumping New Jersey on Wednesday night.

But back-to-backs haven’t been much of an obstacle for the Grizzlies in recent years, as they’re 21-5-1 ATS on the back end over the past two seasons. But although New Jersey has lost six in a row (1-4-1 ATS), the team did sweep Memphis SU and ATS last season. Can the Nets make it three in a row over the Grizzlies? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three At Three has started off the week with a strong 4-2 ATS mark.

The Grizzlies beat Houston 93-83 at home on Tuesday night, with PG Mike Conley (12.9 PPG, 6.8 APG) leading the way with 21 points on 7-for-15 shooting, including 3-for-4 from three. Memphis shot 47.9% from the field on the night, their best shooting performance in seven games. On Wednesday, C Marc Gasol (15.1 PPG, 9.9 RPG) figures to present the biggest mismatch for New Jersey, as the Nets continue to rotate the ineffective duo of Johan Petro and Shelden Williams at center while starter Brook Lopez recovers from a foot injury. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend backing the Grizzlies:

Play On - Road favorites (MEMPHIS) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. (38-12 since 1996, 76%, +24.8 units. Rating = 3*).

New Jersey has dropped six in a row SU (1-4-1 ATS) and is 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS as a home underdog on the season. The Nets are the NBA’s worst defensive team, surrendering the most points per 100 possessions (109.8). They regularly allow opponents to get to the rim and are allowing the NBA’s highest field goal percentage (49.3%) and three-point percentage (39.5%). During their current six-game losing streak, they’ve given up 104.3 PPG and 50.5% shooting from the field.

PG Deron Williams (20.9 PPG, 8.4 APG) continues to play well offensively during the losing streak, averaging 22.2 PPG and 8.2 APG. PG Jordan Farmar (11.1 PPG) and SG Anthony Morrow (13.7 PPG, 42.0% from three) have both been effective shooting the ball, with Farmar hitting 44.4% of his threes and Morrow 37.9% over the past six games. But they’re not going to be able to generate enough offense to make up for their defensive shortcomings. This FoxSheets trend expects the Nets to win at home:

MEMPHIS is 80-110 ATS (42.1%, -41.0 Units) after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists since 1996. The average score was MEMPHIS 96.0, OPPONENT 99.8.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: