cnotes Posts:27328 Followers:33
02/14/2012 05:36 PM

Heat look to add to Pacers woes on Tuesday

MIAMI HEAT (22-7)

at INDIANA PACERS (17-10)


Tip-off: Tuesday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -2, Total: 198½

The Heat will be looking to blow the Pacers out of the gym for a second time this season when they continue their Midwest swing with a visit to Indiana Tuesday night.

The Heat blasted Indiana at home in January, 118-83, but they could be a little gassed as they play in back-to-back-to-back nights on the road. The Heat are just 7-8 ATS away from home this year, but the Pacers have dropped four of five SU and five straight ATS. Which team will prevail on Tuesday night? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. Three At Three started off the week with a 2-1 ATS mark.

After suffering an upset loss in Orlando to start this road trip, Miami has won each of its past three games by 17-plus points, blowing away opponents in Washington (106-89), Atlanta (107-87) and Milwaukee (114-96) over a four-night road rampage. After some early season injuries SG Dwyane Wade (22.2 PPG) is hitting his stride, averaging 25.5 PPG on 58.6% shooting from the field so far on this road trip. SF LeBron James (28.2 PPG on 54.7% FG, 8.2 RPG, 6.8 APG) has been his usual stellar self, averaging 23.3 PPG on 50.8% shooting, 7.3 RPG and 7.0 APG through the first four games of the trip. That included a dominating 35 points on 16-for-21 shooting in Milwaukee on Monday night. For his career, James has averaged 27.6 PPG, 7.4 RPG and 6.8 APG versus Indiana, including 33 points, 13 assists and eight rebounds in the last meeting in January. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend that gives more reason to not worry about the Heat’s grueling schedule:

Play On - Road teams (MIAMI) - off a road win, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. (71-30 over the last 5 seasons, 70.3%, +38 units. Rating = 3*).

The Pacers have dropped five in a row ATS (2-3 SU) at home. They’ve been solid offensively over their past four games with 98.0 PPG on 45.8% FG, which are considerably better than their season numbers of 94.6 PPG and 42.9% FG. SF Danny Granger (18.6 PPG) has averaged 20.5 PPG during that span to lead six players averaging double-digit points, and PF David West (12.4 PPG, 6.9 RPG) has heated up with 19.7 PPG on 68% FG in his past three contests. West scored 22 points on 10-of-11 FG in Saturday’s loss to Denver. But they’re allowing 98.4 PPG on 46.1% shooting in the past five contests, which is considerably worse than their usually strong defense allowing just 92.4 PPG (9th-best in NBA) on 42.5% FG (7th in league) this season. The FoxSheets show a three-star trend backing the Pacers:

Play On - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. (76-36 since 1996.) (67.9%, +36.4 units. Rating = 3*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27328 Followers:33
02/14/2012 05:38 PM

Rockets visit Grizzlies on Tuesday night

HOUSTON ROCKETS (16-12)

at MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (14-14)


Tip-off: Tuesday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Memphis -4, Total: 190

Houston won’t miss facing Zach Randolph when it visits Memphis on Tuesday night to close out a six-game road trip.

Randolph, who’s still out with a knee injury, absolutely torched the Rockets in the teams’ past three meetings. He averaged 24.7 PPG on 62.3% FG and 15.0 RPG in the three games, including 23 points (11-for-14 FG) and nine boards in a 113-93 thrashing of Houston in December. The Grizzlies went 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in those games. But Memphis has not been sharp during its current homestand, failing to cover in three of four (2-2 SU). Can the Randolph-less Grizzlies win and cover on Tuesday? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. Three At Three started off the week with a 2-1 ATS mark.

The Rockets are 3-2 SU and ATS in what has been an up-and-down road trip so far. They’ve scored impressive wins in Denver and Portland, while losing at Minnesota and Golden State. Although the Rockets lost Sunday at Golden State, that’s actually a good sign heading into Tuesday, as they are 8-3 ATS (7-4 SU) after an SU loss this season. All season they’ve been at the mercy of SG Kevin Martin (18.4 PPG), who was benched for extended periods of their three wins on this road trip due to poor shot selection and shaky defense. He shot 1-for-10 FG in the Minnesota loss, then played a total of 50 minutes in their three wins on this trip, going 4-for-16 from the floor. But Martin did play better at Golden State on Sunday, scoring 28 points on 7-for-16 shooting, hitting 5-of-11 threes and getting to the line frequently (where he was 9-for-10). Despite the loss, he had a plus/minus of +3 in that game. PF Luis Scola (15.2 PPG, 6.0 RPG) had 14 points and a season-high 13 boards against the Warriors while PG Kyle Lowry (14.5 PPG, 7.7 APG, 5.6 RPG) bounced back from a one-assist game in Phoenix and posted 10 points, nine assists and four steals against Golden State. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend working against the Grizzlies:

Play Against - Home favorites (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a loss by 10 points or more. (66-29 over the last 5 seasons, 69.5%, +34.1 units. Rating = 3*).

The Grizzlies continue to hang tough in the absence of Randolph, but they’re having an awfully tough time scoring of late. They haven’t topped 100 points in regulation in a game since January 21, a span of 13 games. So far on this homestand, they’re averaging just 88.8 PPG while shooting 40.9% from the field and 25.6% from three. SG O.J. Mayo (12.0 PPG) is mired in a brutal slump, averaging 8.5 PPG on 23.7% FG and 3-of-15 shooting from three in these four game. Memphis is also getting diminishing returns out of Randolph’s replacement at power forward, as PF Marreese Speights has just 7.4 PPG on 38.8% FG since joining Memphis. It’s left a heavy burden on the duo of SF Rudy Gay (18.6 PPG) and C Marc Gasol (15.0 PPG, 10.0 RPG). However, the FoxSheets show a strong trend backing the Grizzlies:

MEMPHIS is 46-24 ATS (65.7%, +19.6 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MEMPHIS 99.2, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27328 Followers:33
02/14/2012 05:39 PM

No. 6 Ohio State visits Minnesota Tuesday

OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (21-4, 9-3 Big Ten)

at MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS (17-8, 5-7 Big Ten)


Tip-Off: Tuesday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Ohio State -7½, Total: 130

No. 6 Ohio State looks to bounce back from its first home loss of the season when it travels to Minnesota to take on a desperate Golden Gophers squad sitting on the NCAA Tournament bubble.

The Buckeyes turned in an ugly shooting performance (26.4%) in Saturday’s 58-48 loss to Michigan State—snapping a 39-game home winning streak—and are now tied with the Spartans atop the Big Ten Conference standings. Ohio State is 0-2 ATS in its past two games after covering in the previous five, but the Buckeyes have won four consecutive meetings (3-1 ATS) with the Golden Gophers. Minnesota suffered a heart-breaking 68-61 overtime loss to Wisconsin last Thursday after clawing back from a 13-point, second-half deficit to force the extra session. The Gophers are 2-3 SU and ATS over their past five, and have are 1-7 ATS in their eight SU losses this season. Also, the Buckeyes have shown great bounce back ability this season. Following their three previous losses, Ohio State won the next game by an average margin of 24.0 PPG. Expect an angry OHIO STATE team to pull away late and cover this number.

This pair of FoxSheets trends also favor the Buckeyes:

Play On - A favorite (OHIO STATE) - after a game where a team made 28% of their shots or worse. (85-45 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.4%, +35.5 units. Rating = 2*).

Play Against - Home teams as an underdog or pick (MINNESOTA) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival. (65-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.7%, +30.9 units. Rating = 2*).

The Buckeyes haven’t looked sharp in each of their past two games, narrowly squeaking out an 87-84 win over Purdue before falling to Michigan State on Saturday. Against Purdue, defense was the problem—allowing the Boilermakers to shoot 58 percent (11-for-19) from three-point range. Against Michigan State, OSU got beat in the paint, allowing the Spartans’ big men to score 33 of the team’s 58 points. OSU will need a big games defensively from big man Jared Sullinger (17.4 PPG, 9.3 RPG) who is coming off a triple-double of sorts with 17 points, 16 rebounds and 10 turnovers in a frustrating game versus Michigan State. What will eventually set Ohio State apart in this game is its superior guard play, with senior William Buford (15.0 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 3.0 APG) and sophomore Aaron Craft (8.4 PPG, 4.6 APG, 2.2 SPG), who scored in double digits in each of his past two games (6-for-10 FG, 14-for-15 FT). Buford scored 29 points against Purdue, but was awful on Saturday, scoring just four points on 2-of-12 FG against MSU.

Williams Arena has proven to be a difficult road environment for visiting opponents, but Minnesota has struggled against the elite teams in the Big Ten this season—with its only impressive win coming on the road in a 77-74 victory over Indiana on January 12. A victory on Tuesday would give a huge boost to the Gophers’ NCAA Tournament résumé. Minnesota will need a great team-rebounding effort against an OSU squad that ranks second in the conference in rebounds per game (36.7). The X-factor for the Gophers will be versatile 6-foot-7 forward Rodney Williams (10.7 PPG, 5.2 RPG). His ability to defend inside (1.6 blocks per game, 1.5 steals per game) will be important, especially against the Buckeyes, who will run their offense through Sullinger almost every trip down the floor. The Gophers will also need to hit some threes, which Julian Welch (10.1 PPG) has done beautifully this year at 45%. The team shoots a respectable 36% from behind the arc on the season, but only averages 5.2 made threes per game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27328 Followers:33
02/14/2012 05:41 PM

No. 14 Florida visits Alabama Tuesday

FLORIDA GATORS (19-6)

at ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (16-8)


Tip-Off: Tuesday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Florida -2½, Total: 132½

No. 14 Florida visits Alabama Tuesday night in an SEC matchups of two short-handed teams.

The Gators will be without G Mike Rosario (7.9 PPG) for the second straight game because of a hip injury, and F Will Yeguete who will not play this week after suffering a concussion. The Crimson Tide will be missing their two best players, as forwards JaMychal Green (14.1 PPG, 7.2 RPG) and Tony Mitchell (13.1 PPG, 7.0 RPG) were both suspended in two separate incidents by head coach Anthony Grant for undisclosed reasons. Who will prevail in this SEC clash? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week.

Florida spreads the wealth on offense as five players average 10+ points. Leading scorer Kenny Boynton (17.5 PPG, 44% 3-pt FG) has been lighting up the scoreboard in his past four games, averaging 19.0 PPG thanks to 15-for-31 shooting from downtown. Freshman Bradley Beal (14.4 PPG, 6.2 RPG) has scored 9+ points in each of his past 10 games, averaging 16.4 PPG and 7.2 RPG over his past five contests. But not all the Gators have been playing well. Point guard Erving Walker (12.0 PPG, 4.8 APG) is coming off a miserable week, totaling just nine points (4-of-16 FG), three assists and four turnovers in 60 minutes during a pair of losses to Kentucky and Tennessee. C Patric Young (10.5 PPG, team-high 6.5 RPG) has been solid this season, but he is currently playing through a sore ankle. At 6-foot-9, he has the ability to dominate Alabama’s thin frontcourt on Tuesday. The Gators are 3-1 (SU and ATS) in their past four trips to Tuscaloosa where Alabama is a dismal 1-6 ATS this year. This two-star FoxSheets expects the Gators to win and cover:

Play On - A road team (FLORIDA) - after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games, with just two starters returning from last season. (190-129 over the last 5 seasons.) (59.6%, +48.1 units. Rating = 2*).

Although Alabama is missing its top two scorers and rebounders, the team does get a boost with the expected reinstatements of guards Trevor Releford (12.4 PPG, 3.1 APG) and Andrew Steele (5.8 PPG), who were both suspended for Saturday’s 67-58 loss at LSU. Rodney Cooper (5.0 PPG) was the de-facto top scoring option against the Tigers, scoring 28 points on 10-of-19 FG. F Nick Jacobs (5.9 PPG) was the only other player with more than four points, scoring 14 points and grabbing four rebounds. The Tide are just 2-5 ATS after an SU loss and 3-7 ATS after an ATS defeat this season. However, this five-star FoxSheets coaching trend also supports picking the Tide:

Anthony Grant is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of ALABAMA. The average score was ALABAMA 69.2, OPPONENT 56.4 - (Rating = 5*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27328 Followers:33
02/14/2012 05:43 PM

Wild look to end losing skid hosting Ducks

ANAHEIM DUCKS (22-24-9, 53 points)

at MINNESOTA WILD (25-22-8, 58 points)


Puck drops: Tuesday, 7:35 p.m. EDT
Line: Anaheim -125, Minnesota +105, Total: 5.5

The Wild look to snap a four-game losing streak when they host the Ducks in the final meeting of the season between these two Western Conference foes on Tuesday night.

Exactly two months ago, the Wild were the biggest surprise in the league as they sat atop the NHL standings with 44 points. What’s happened since is just as—if not more—inexplicable than their hot start: the Wild have been the worst team in hockey with an abysmal 5-15-5 record. Minnesota has scored more than one goal in just one of its past five games, and relies solely on sharp goaltending and defense to pick up wins. Backup goalie Josh Harding (9-7-3, 2.55 GAA, .920 SV Pct.) will get the nod for the Wild—his first start since January 31. On the flip side, the Ducks have been one of the league’s best teams since the beginning of January, boasting a 12-3-3 record in 2012 thanks, in part, to new coach Bruce Boudreau. G Jonas Hiller—winner of nine of his past 14 starts—is one of the hottest netminders in the NHL and should make his 15th consecutive start Wednesday. Despite Anaheim’s less than stellar 7-11-7 road record, the road team won each of the first three games of this season series, and the Ducks are simply playing much better hockey right now. Take ANAHEIM with these short odds to pick up the win.

This strong FoxSheets trend also favors the Ducks:

ANAHEIM is 33-16 ATS (67.3%, +16.3 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ANAHEIM 3.4, OPPONENT 2.6 - (Rating = 2*).

Last year’s MVP—RW Corey Perry—played the part on Sunday, potting a hat trick in Anaheim’s 5-3 road win over Columbus. Amazingly, the Ducks’ leading scorer is 18-year-veteran Teemu Selanne (18 G, 33 A). Even at age 41, Selanne has shown no signs of slowing down, playing with stars like Perry and C Ryan Getzlaf (8 G, 31 A).

Anaheim’s defense is allowing 2.9 goals per game (24th in NHL) and has not received the same offensive contributions from puck-mover Lubomir Visnovsky (5 G, 17 A)—who led the league in points by defensemen last year. The Ducks blueline still features some nice pieces, though, with 20-year-old Cam Fowler (3 G, 16 A) and veteran Francois Beauchemin (6 G, 12 A).

The Wild’s descent is all the more disappointing given the promising start to the season, but given the lack of offensive depth throughout this lineup, it shouldn’t be all that surprising. Injuries have hampered the forward unit throughout the season, as evidenced by the 2.2 goals per game average (29th in NHL). Minnesota features no players above 40 points, with RW Dany Heatley (18 G, 21 A) leading the way.

The one strength of the Wild is their defense, which allows 2.5 goals per game (8th in NHL). And despite the two-month long tailspin, Minnesota still trails eighth-place Phoenix by only five points, with two games in hand.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27328 Followers:33
02/14/2012 05:44 PM

Tuesday’s betting tips: Wings out to make history vs. Stars

Who’s hot

NBA: San Antonio has covered the number in eight straight games.

NBA: The under has cashed in seven consecutive Portland-Washington matchups.

NHL: The New York Rangers are 12-2 in their last 14 games as an underdog.

NHL: Nashville is 13-3 in its last 16 home games.

NCAAB: Virginia is 19-7 against the spread in its last 26 road games.

NCAAB: The under is 5-1 in Seton Hall's last six overall.

Who’s not

NBA: Denver is 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 overall.

NBA: The over is 3-10 in Memphis’ last 13 overall.

NHL: Ottawa is 1-8 in its last nine.

NHL: Toronto has lost each of its last six games in Calgary.

NCAAB: UNLV is 0-5 against the spread in its last five road games.

NCAAB: George Mason is 6-15 against the spread in its last 21 following a straight up win.

Key stat

20 – The Detroit Red Wings have won 20 straight home games, tying the NHL record which was previously set by the 1929-30 Boston Bruins and the 1975-76 Philadelphia Flyers. The Red Wings have a shot to set a new record Tuesday against the Dallas Stars. The Wings are set as -210 favorites.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Jerryd Bayless, Toronto Raptors - Bayless has missed the past two games with a sore left ankle and remains questionable to play Tuesday when the Raptors take on the Knicks. Bayless is putting up 11.3 points and three assists per game.

Game of the day

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers (1, 198)

Notable quotable

“Honestly, we looked like spoiled brats out there if you look at the tape - arguing with one another, complaining about calls. I think we kind of learned our lesson watching film for about an hour so. We should be fine. We just have to bounce back and keep doing what we’ve been doing.” – Ohio State forward Jared Sullinger about Saturday’s 58-48 loss to Michigan State. The Buckeyes visit Minnesota Tuesday.

Notes and tips

New York Knicks forward Amar'e Stoudemire returned to practice on Monday following a week-long absence due to the death of his brother. Stoudemire is expected to play in Tuesday's game against the Toronto Raptors. Stoudemire, who missed four games, is averaging 18.2 points and 8.1 rebounds this season. Last Monday, Hazell Stoudemire was driving north on U.S. 27 in Lake Wales, Fla., when he collided with a tractor trailer. He was 35. The Knicks (13-15) have won five straight contests and are now just two games shy of .500.

Florida Gators forward Will Yeguete and guard Mike Rosario have been ruled out of Tuesday's game against Alabama. Yeguete suffered his second concussion of the season during Saturday's tilt versus Tennessee. Coach Billy Donovan said Monday that the sophomore is dealing with post-concussion symptoms and will likely miss Saturday's game versus Arkansas. Rosario is dealing with a hip pointer, causing the junior to miss five contests already this season. Yeguete is averaging 4.5 points and 6.1 rebounds this season, while Rosario is averaging 7.9 points and 1.8 rebounds. Meanwhile, the Alabama Crimson Tide are expected to reinstate suspended guards Trevor Releford and Andrew Steele, but leading scorers JaMychal Green and Tony Mitchell will likely sit again.

It looks as the Portland Trail Blazers coach Nate McMillan will stick with Raymond Felton as his starting point guard. McMillan told the press that changes could be coming to the starting lineup after Felton hit just four of his 17 attempts from the floor in Saturday’s loss to Dallas. McMillan doesn’t have much depth to work with at the point guard position and told reporters that Felton would start in Tuesday’s game against Washington. The Blazers are currently set as 14-point favorites.

The Chicago Blackhawks are hoping Ray Emery can help them snap their losing streak Tuesday against the Nashville Predators. Emery will reportedly start in goal even though he owns a 4.02 goals against average and an .870 save percentage in four games this month. The Blackhawks are set as +120 road underdogs.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27328 Followers:33
02/14/2012 05:45 PM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Early odds for the 2012 Kentucky Derby......

8-1-- Algorithims

10-1-- Union Rags

12-1-- Hansen

15-1-- Discreet Dancer

20-1-- Alpha-Creative Cause-Dullahan-El Padrino-Ever So Lucky-Fed Biz-Gemologist-I'll Have Another-Liaison-Out of Bounds


***************


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) What geniuses run ESPN’s website? They had a poll up Monday on who the NBA’s best point guard is. Jeremy Lin was an option, but Steve Nash wasn’t. Alrighty then.

12) That said, I’m guessing that today in NBA front offices all over the country, especially Houston/Oakland, questions are being asked, as in, “How the bleep did we not sign (keep) Jeremy Lin?” Warriors have an excuse; with Curry/Ellis, they were already heavy with guards, but what was Houston thinking? What is Michael Jordan thinking down there in Charlotte? Lin couldn’t help that sorry team?

The Bobcats are pathetic, Jordan is clearly playing shorthanded as an executive; playing the game ain’t the same as running a team. Different skill sets, different people excel at different jobs. Being one of the greatest players ever doesn’t mean you know how to run a team. Obviously.

11) This Lin story is taking New York by storm; the kid looks exhausted at the end of the game Saturday night, but there he is at Hamilton College Sunday afternoon, watching his little brother play small college ball. Its a 4-hour ride, at least, from NYC to Clinton, NY. Would’ve thought a little rest on his other brother’s now-famous couch might’ve been in order.

10) Phil Mickelson is skipping the Match Play tournament next week, so Ernie Els gets in. Imagine world #1 Luke Donald having to face Els in his first match?

9) 12 football players with eligibility left have transferred out of Maryland since this past season ended; that’s half a recruiting class.

8) Kentucky basketball is most definitely unique; they’re having an intrasquad scrimmage Wednesday, and ESPNU is televising it, that’s how much interest there is in the Wildcats, and it also helps explain why coach Calipari is the perfect coach for their program- he embraces the attention, the scrutiny. Most coaches would cringe at having a scrimmage televised.

7) Disappointed to see that House is going off the air after eight years; show is a little bizarre, but good TV. Curious to see how they end the show; I’ve always thought that it won’t end well for Dr House, the tormented genius.

6) Mets GM Sandy Alderson is driving to spring training, which means he has to drive back, assuming he drove his own car. I’m thinking he’d be using his time a little more wisely to fly down and rent a car and then fly back, but that’s just me. There’s no way the Mets don’t have some kind of a deal with a rent-a-car place down in Florida.

Then again, these are the Mets, so anything is possible.

5) David Ortiz and the Red Sox settled on a one-year, $14.575M contract; am curious to see in Valentine will let him play the field when they visit NL ballparks. If he plays 1B, either Gonzalez or Youkilis has to sit.

4) There is a TV show on the History Channel called Full Metal Jousting, as in people on horses wearing suits of armor and jousting. Very medieval, and a sure sign we have way too many TV channels.

3) Warde Manuel is UConn’s new AD, coming from Buffalo; he played football at Michigan, but his #1 job is going to be finding a graceful way for Jim Calhoun to retire as the Huskies’ basketball coach, then finding a suitable replacement (Hurley, Danny). But Hurley won’t be available for long (think USC/Arizona State); if Calhoun decides to continue on past this year, Manuel is going to have his hands full finding someone who can be anywhere near as successful as Calhoun has been.

2) A’s signed Cuban defector OF Yoenis Cespedes to a 4-year, $36M contract; consider me pleasantly surprised. Hope he's worth it.

1) Sunday was Abe Lincoln’s birthday; he still has his holiday, but no one talks about President Lincoln anymore. We heard a lot about Martin Luther King last month, but Abe Lincoln’s actions helped make Dr King’s achievements possible 100 years later. We shouldn’t forget that.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27328 Followers:33
02/14/2012 05:47 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

UNLV at TCU
The Horned Frogs look to take advantage of a UNLV team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games as a road favorite. TCU is the pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Runnin' Rebels favored by only 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: TCU (+8 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 14

Game 719-720: Virginia at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 65.950; Clemson 65.122
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 1; 117
Vegas Line: Clemson by 1 1/2; 113 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+1 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: St. John's at Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 55.971; Seton Hall 66.960
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 11; 131
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 9; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick Seton Hall (-9); Under

Game 723-724: Texas A&M at Texas Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 60.982; Texas Tech 58.424
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 2 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 4; 117
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+4); Over

Game 725-726: Georgia State at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 57.917; James Madison 53.102
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 5; 125
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 3; 128
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-3); Under

Game 727-728: Buffalo at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 59.109; Kent State 61.336
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 2; 133
Vegas Line: Kent State by 4 1/2; 140
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+4 1/2); Under

Game 729-730: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 49.062; Central Michigan 54.359
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 5 1/2; 116
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 3 1/2; 112
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-3 1/2); Over

Game 731-732: Loyola-Chicago at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 46.088; Butler 57.603
Dunkel Line: Butler by 11 1/2; 107
Vegas Line: Butler by 14 1/2; 112 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+14 1/2); Under

Game 733-734: William & Mary at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 47.969; Drexel 66.623
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 18 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Drexel by 16; 121
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-16); Over

Game 735-736: Delaware at Hofstra (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 53.804; Hofstra 58.551
Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 4 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Hofstra by 3; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (-3); Over

Game 737-738: NC-Wilmington at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 47.798; Old Dominion 58.770
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 11; 123
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 13; 128
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+13); Under

Game 739-740: Towson at Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 40.843; Northeastern 52.758
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 12; 108
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 14 1/2; 113 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+14 1/2); Under

Game 741-742: Illinois State at Indiana State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 56.252; Indiana State 62.837
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 6 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 3 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-3 1/2); Over

Game 743-744: Florida at Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 71.049; Alabama 65.657
Dunkel Line: Florida by 5 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Florida by 3; 133
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-3); Under

Game 745-746: UNLV at TCU (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 67.050; TCU 60.488
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 6 1/2; 155
Vegas Line: UNLV by 8 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+8 1/2); Over

Game 747-748: Creighton at Southern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 61.891; Southern Illinois 56.164
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 5 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Creighton by 7 1/2; 140
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (+7 1/2); Over

Game 749-750: Cleveland State at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 57.508; WI-Milwaukee 61.088
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 3 1/2; 115
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 1; 119 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (-1); Under

Game 751-752: Illinois-Chicago at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 47.439; Valparaiso 58.005
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 10 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 13; 132
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+13); Under

Game 753-754: Youngstown State at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 52.274; WI-Green Bay 58.461
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 6; 144
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 4 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-4 1/2); Over

Game 755-756: Texas at Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 69.383; Oklahoma 62.572
Dunkel Line: Texas by 7; 141
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-2 1/2); Over

Game 757-758: VCU at George Mason (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 61.561; George Mason 62.259
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 1; 128
Vegas Line: VCU by 1; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+1); Under

Game 759-760: Ohio State at Minnesota (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 75.387; Minnesota 66.107
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 9 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7 1/2); Over

Game 761-762: Mississippi State at LSU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 63.511; LSU 62.773
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 1; 133
Vegas Line: LSU by 1 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+1 1/2); Under

Game 763-764: Manhattan at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 56.875; Siena 52.071
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 5; 135
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 3 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-3 1/2); Over

Game 765-766: Jacksonville State at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 50.272; Tennessee State 55.234
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 5; 122
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 8 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+8 1/2); Under

Game 767-768: Pacific at UC-Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 52.457; UC-Davis 45.067
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 7 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Pacific by 5 1/2; 130
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-5 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27328 Followers:33
02/14/2012 05:48 PM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 14

Home side won last six Clemson-Virginia games, with three of last five games decided by 4 or less points; Cavaliers lost last three visits here, by 31-18-23 points. Virginia (-7) beat Tigers 65-61 in first meeting 14 days ago, shooting 55% despite forcing only four Clemson turnovers. ACC home teams are 3-10 against spread when number is less than 5 points. Dogs covered four of Clemson's five ACC home games- they're 0-3 as a home favorite. UVa is 0-3 vs Duke/UNC/FSU, 6-1 vs rest of ACC.

St John's lost three of last four games with Seton Hall, losing last two by 9-14 points; Red Storm lost last three games overall, by 25-22-10; they are 3-2-1 as Big East road underdog, losing away games by 14-19-15-10 points. Seton Hall won last two games, allowing 60 ppg, after losing last six games before that; Pirates are 4-2 at home, 2-2 as home faves, with home wins by 19-12-21-7 points. Big East home favorites of 9+ points are 12-14-1 vs spread.

Texas Tech (+10.5) lost 67-54 at Texas A&M Jan 14, turning ball over 23 times while shooting 33%; Red Raiders got first conference win last game- they're 1-4-1 as Big X home dog, losing home games by 13-35-24-22-17 points, before upsetting Oklahoma. Aggies lost last four games, are 0-6 on conference road, but are 3-1 vs spread as conference favorite, with all four of those games at home. Big X single digit home underdogs are 10-5-1 against the spread.

Kent State (+3) lost 66-65 at Buffalo in MAC opener Jan 7, outscored 18-8 on foul line, despite +7 (7-14) turnover ratio). Flashes won last six games after 2-3 start in MAC- they're 2-3 as MAC home favorite, with home wins by 4-5-34-5-21 points. MAC home teams are 13-8 vs spread when number is 5 or less points. Buffalo won its last eight games, with last two wins by total of six points; Bulls won last four games on road. Buffalo allowed average of 57.8 ppg in last six games.

Indiana State (+4.5) lost 67-54 at Illinois State Jan 18, shooting 32.3% in game, 6-25 from arc; Sycamores are 4-2 in last six games after 2-7 start in conference play- they're 2-3 as MVC home favorite, 5-2 SU, with home wins by 11-2-5-7-10 points. MVC home teams are 15-9 vs spread when number is 5 or less points. Redbirds are 2-4 as MVC road dog, losing its MVC road games (1-6 SU) by 15-3-17-8-28-15 points. Indiana State is 5-1 against the spread in its last six games.

TCU (+19) lost 101-78 at UNLV Jan 18; Rebels shot 58% for game, 11 of 21 from arc, but UNLV is 0-4 as MWC road favorite, with both wins on road in OT, at Boise/Air Force- they lost at San Diego St/Wyoming. Horned Frogs are 4-0 at home in conference, with underdogs covering all four games; TCU is 4-2 as a MWC underdog, but their last three losses are by 23-17-10 points. Mountain West home underdogs are 6-5 against spread. Four of last five UNLV games were decided by 5 or less points.

Creighton lost its last three gmes, needs to right ship to fortify resume for NCAA tourney; Bluejays (-14) beat Southern Illinois 90-71 at home in first meeting Jan 15, shooting 55% from floor and outscoring Salukis 28-11 at charity stripe. Creighton is 2-4 as MVC road favorite, but lost last two away games- their road wins are by 7-9-9-1-8 points. Salukis are 4-3 at home in Valley, 4-0 as home dog; their home losses were by 10-7-2 points. MVC home underdogs are 17-8 against the spread.

Milwaukee (+5.5) lost 83-57 at Cleveland State Jan 22, as Vikings shot 63.5% from floor, 7-13 from arc; Panthers lost six of last eight games after 6-1 start in Horizon play- they lost last two home games by 3-8 points, after winning first six conference home games. Vikings lost last two games, both at home, scoring 41-49 points after they had won eight of previous nine games. Horizon home teams are 10-6 when spread is 2 or less points. Cleveland State won last three on road by 20-18-28.

Texas is 11-0 this season against teams not in top 100. Oklahoma is 3-5 as Big X underdog, 2-1 at home; they're 2-4 SU in Big X home games, losing by 11-12-7-3 points- they lost last three at home. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in Texas road games; Longhorns are 1-6 as Big X favorite, 0-2 on road- their 70-68 win at Texas A&M last game was Horns' first win in five conference road games. Big X home teams are 8-3-1 vs spread when number is 3 or less points.

George Mason lost 12 of last 15 games with VCU, losing to Rams three years in row in CAA tournament; Mason won here LY, after losing last five visits before that by 24-8-14-12-5 points. VCU won its last 11 in a row, winning last five road games, allowing 54.3 ppg in last three games. CAA home teams are 5-20-1 vs spread when number is 4 or less points. Mason won nine of last ten games; they're 8-0 at home in CAA, winning home games by 14-3-26-12-6-10-4-10 points.

Minnesota lost last four games with Ohio State, with three of four losses by 13+ points; Buckeyes' 82-69 win here LY was their first in last four visits to The Barn. Home teams won seven of last eight in series. Ohio State had 6-game win streak snapped at home by Michigan State in last game; Buckeyes are 3-2 as Big Dozen road favorite, winning by 29-34-6 points, with losses to Indiana/Illinois. Gophers are 3-3 as Big Dozen dog. Big Dozen single digit home underdogs are 15-8 against spread.

LSU (+8) lost 76-71 at Mississippi State Jan 25, despite making 11-21 from arc and being +8 (17-9) in turnovers; Bulldogs outscored them 23-8 on foul line. SEC home teams are 13-2 against the spread when number is 4 or less points. Tigers are 4-1 at home in SEC, losing to Kentucky by 24- they're 3-1 as a home favorite. Miss State is 1-3 on SEC road, with only win in OT at Vanderbilt; six of Bulldogs' last nine games were won by 5 or less points. MSU lost last game as 10-point home favorite.

Siena (+8.5) lost 72-53 at Manhattan Jan 14, a sloppy game where Siena shot 33% for game, 4-18 from arc. Saints are 5-2 at home in MAAC, 2-0 as home underdog; their home losses are by 7 to Loyola, 5 to St Peter's. Jaspers are 6-2 on MAAC road, losing by point at Loyola, at Fairfield by 6. Manhattan covered six of its last seven games as a favorite- they're 3-0 as a MAAC road favorite. MAAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 2-6 against the spread.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27328 Followers:33
02/14/2012 05:50 PM

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 14

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College funds: Tuesday's best NCAAB bets
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Virginia Cavaliers at Clemson Tigers (-1, 113.5)

How effective Virginia’s Joe Harris can be with a fractured left hand is the big question in this matchup.

The sophomore guard, who ranks second on the team in scoring (12.5), suffered the injury to his non-shooting hand in Saturday’s loss at North Carolina.

Harris will keep playing, with the team saying "Harris’ hand will be protected and he will be closely monitored."

No. 22 Virginia leads the all-time series 67-51, including a four-point win in Charlottesville on Jan. 31. But the Tigers have won two straight over Virginia at Littlejohn Coliseum, by a combined 41 points.

Clemson snapped its three-game skid with a 20-point win at woeful Wake Forest on Saturday. That win will have the Tigers riding high heading into this one.

Pick: Tigers


Mississippi State Bulldogs at LSU Tigers (-1, 136)

The Bulldogs look to return to form and sweep the Tigers for the fourth time in six years.

Mississippi State had won six of its previous eight games, including a 76-71 victory in Baton Rouge on Jan. 25.

But the Bulldogs blew a seven-point lead and lost at home to Georgia in overtime on Saturday, 70-68. Mississippi State is tied with Vanderbilt for third in the SEC, 4 ½ games behind top-ranked Kentucky. LSU has won two of its past three after losing five of six.

The Tigers held off suspension-ravaged Alabama on Saturday, 67-58.

The Tigers are one of the better defensive teams in the conference, ranking fourth in average points allowed and fifth in defensive field-goal percentage. But the Tigers shoot just 40.8 percent from the field, next-to-last in the SEC.

Justin Hamilton scored 21 points in the victory over Alabama, after averaging just 10.3 points in his previous four games. The Tigers are ninth in the SEC, but just two games behind Mississippi State.

Pick: Under


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: