cnotes Posts:26744 Followers:33
02/11/2012 09:50 AM

Preview: Trail Blazers (15-12) at Mavericks (16-11)

Date: February 11, 2012 8:30 PM EDT

After improving their road record, the Dallas Mavericks will next try to change their recent fortunes at home.

A visit from the Portland Trail Blazers might help.

As they get set to begin a three-game stay at the American Airlines Center, the Mavericks will attempt to avoid their longest losing streak there in three seasons by taking advantage of the Blazers' struggles away from home Saturday night.

Dallas (16-11) started 2-5 on the road but recorded its fifth win in six games there Friday, 104-97 over Minnesota. Dirk Nowitzki scored a season-high 33 points and the Mavericks forced 28 turnovers - their most in a game in nearly eight years - while finishing 2-1 on their three-game trip.

Jason Kidd also nearly had his first double-double of the season (eight points, 10 assists) after missing seven games because of a strained right calf.

"He's a big part of our heart and soul. When we're without him, we can win some games but we're not the same team,' coach Rick Carlisle said.

Dallas, though, hasn't fared as well lately at home, losing three of five since a seven-game win streak. The Mavericks, though, are out to avoid a three-game skid at American Airlines as Portland (15-12) tries to shake its road funk.

The Blazers are 4-9 on the road, with two of those wins coming against New Orleans, which is a league-worst 2-14 in its building. Jamal Crawford had a season-best 31 points and eight assists against the Hornets on Friday to help his team avoid a season high-tying third straight defeat with a 94-86 victory.

Raymond Felton added 18 points, including four free throws in the final minute.

"Sometimes it's not about how you win but the fact that you win," coach Nate McMillan said. "We did the things we needed to do down the stretch."

While it's succeeded in New Orleans, Portland has dropped 20 of its last 25 games in Dallas in the regular season and playoffs. The Blazers lost all three games there during a 4-2 defeat in last year's Western Conference quarterfinals and have dropped five in a row overall.

The Blazers could use some help from Dallas native LaMarcus Aldridge. The forward has cooled off a little since averaging 27.7 points over a six-game stretch, having scored a combined 27 over the past two games.

Aldridge, though, has usually shined against the Mavericks - his 20.4-point average in the regular season is his best against any Western Conference foe. He's also scored 25.2 points per game during his last five visits to his hometown, including the playoffs.

Nowitzki led the way for the Mavericks during last year's series win with 27.3 points per game. A sore right knee caused him to miss an 84-81 home victory Jan. 4, 2011.

During a rare start, Jason Terry made the clinching basket with 12 seconds remaining and finished with 18 points.

Nowitzki's presence should help in this game as he's averaging 28.0 points on 60.6 percent shooting over the last four contests. The forward has also averaged 25.8 points over his last five regular-season home games against Portland.

Dallas hasn't dropped three straight at home since a four-game skid to open the 2008-09 season.




Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26744 Followers:33
02/11/2012 09:51 AM

Preview: Magic (16-11) at Bucks (12-14)

Date: February 11, 2012 9:00 PM EDT

Dwight Howard is the Orlando Magic's lone All-Star this season, and the Milwaukee Bucks know all about the center's exploits.

Orlando is hoping they can begin capitalizing on his production again.

Howard looks to help the Magic rebound from another overtime defeat Saturday night when they try to continue their success against the Bucks.

Howard is averaging 20.9 points and an NBA-leading 15.4 rebounds, so it's not surprising that he'll represent the Magic (16-11) when they host the All-Star game later this month.

Orlando, though, hasn't been able to capitalize on his strong play recently, losing twice on a three-game homestand with both defeats coming in overtime.

Howard is averaging 25.3 points and 18.7 boards in that stretch, including 18 and 18, respectively, in Friday's 89-87 overtime defeat to Atlanta.

"We just didn't play very well, that's the bottom line," coach Stan Van Gundy said. "We didn't play very well, but we stuck in there ... We just didn't get it done in the end."

Howard's presence in the paint has made a dramatic difference for the Magic when they face the Bucks (12-14).

The Magic have won 10 of the last 12 meetings with Milwaukee, and Howard is averaging 23.6 points and 13.6 rebounds in those victories. He was out for the two defeats due to an injury and an illness.

Howard continued that dominant trend last season with 25.7 points and 17.0 rebounds during a three-game winning streak after Orlando lost the first matchup without him.

The Bucks are on the brink of tying their season-high three-game winning streak, but could use another strong performance from Brandon Jennings.

The point guard had 24 points and eight assists in a 113-112 overtime win at Cleveland on Friday, a night after he was miffed about not being named a reserve for the All-Star game.

Jennings is trying to temper the firestorm created when he stated that he's already "doing my homework" on big-market teams in an interview with ESPN.com. He's under contract through next season.

"It kind of got blown out of proportion a little bit. I never said I was leaving. I'm not looking to be in any big market or anything like that. I'm keeping my options open. After being in this a couple years, I understand the business of basketball.

"I'm still going to be here playing hard every night and my focus is to get into the playoffs."

Jennings was criticized for not doing that in Milwaukee's last home game Tuesday, scoring a season-low three points and only putting up four shots in 28-plus minutes in a 107-105 loss to Phoenix.

``I just got in and talked to him,' coach Scott Skiles said after the loss. ``He looked a bit disconnected. I'm not sure why.'

That certainly wasn't the case in the Magic's last visit on March 16, when Jennings scored 23 points and handed out eight assists in a 93-89 overtime loss.

Drew Gooden is providing Jennings with some offensive help, averaging 22.0 points over the last four games - nearly 10 higher than his season production.

The forward-center averages 15.5 points in 17 career meetings with the Magic, scoring 18 in a 78-72 loss at Orlando on April 5.

The Bucks and Magic will face each other four times over the next three weeks.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26744 Followers:33
02/11/2012 10:02 AM

Totals Report

February 9, 2012

Earlier this year we did an article on scoring in the NBA and the effect of the condensed schedule. We talked about how teams were scoring less points per game this season compared to last and the correlation to Totals. To date, the 'unders' in the NBA have cashed at a solid 55% rate thus far. According to our data the average points scored per game this season is 189.2 ppg which is down from the 198 average last season. It's not due to pace of play by teams either considering the average possessions per game in 2012 is 95 per game which is the exact average for all of last season. One of the big reasons for the lower scoring games is the shooting percentages. Last year, teams averaged just under 46% for the season and this year that number is hovering around just 44%. Teams are also averaging less free throws made per game this year compared to last along with field goal attempts per game. All in all, it leads to lower scoring games this season and less points being scored by guys being paid millions of dollars to put a ball through a hoop.

In sorting through our database, we've found some interesting numbers we would like to make you aware of. Again, the average points scored in NBA games this year is 189.2. In direct relation, the average line or total that the oddsmakers have put on NBA games is 187.75. Of 365 games played to date 183 have resulted with 187 or MORE points and 182 have resulted with 187 or LESS points. That's about as close to even as it gets. Now if we look at some specific numbers we find some advantages for the Sports Bettors which we'll share with you forthcoming. Of the first 365 games played at this point only 101 have ended with 200 or more points being scored. That's less than one-third. When Vegas has posted a total on a game of 200 or more points the UNDER has cashed 29 of 37 games or 78% of the time. Looking at the other end of the spectrum, games with a posted total of 181 or less have an OVER record of 26-8 (76%)so far this season. Now we would never recommend that you blindly bet 'over' or 'under' on games based on the above statistics but it's not a bad starting point when considering your wagers.

The following are the teams that have been strong 'under' bets this season, staying below the Total in 60% or better in all of their games to date.

Knicks: 7-19 69%
Suns: 8-17 68%
Kings: 9-15-1 62.5%
Raptors: 10-16-1 61%
Rockets: 10-16 61%
Mavericks: 10-16 61%
Grizzlies: 10-16 60%
Celtics: 9-14-1 60.9%
Lakers: 10-15 60%

It's a short list of teams that are averaging 60% or greater on 'overs' this season:

Bucks: 15-9-1 62.5%

As we suggested in our earlier article the oddsmakers will continue to adjust their numbers so we will maintain our adjustments in an effort to stay ahead of the curve.

Best of luck with all your wagers!

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26744 Followers:33
02/11/2012 10:06 AM

No. 1 Kentucky heads to Vandy Saturday

KENTUCKY WILDCATS (24-1)

at VANDERBILT COMMODORES (17-7)


Tip-off: Saturday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Kentucky -5½, Total: 138

The Kentucky Wildcats will put their No. 1 ranking on the line as road favorites when they travel to take on SEC rival Vanderbilt in Nashville at Memorial Gym Saturday evening.

The Commodores won both contests ATS against Kentucky last year and are 5-1 SU in their past six home meetings with the Wildcats. Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season, while the Wildcats have proven to be mediocre (3-3 ATS) as a road favorite. However, Kentucky has won five straight games ATS, destroying these opponents by an average of 23.2 PPG. Can Kentucky cover this big number on the road? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. Last weekend, the 6-Pack finished with a 4-1-1 ATS record.

Kentucky is perhaps the most talented team in the nation with six strong scoring options. Anthony Davis (14.0 PPG, 66% FG, 10.0 RPG) leads that crew and is the nation’s best shot blocker with 4.8 BPG. Over the team’s past three games, all ATS wins, he is averaging 18.7 PPG and 6.3 BPG. Doron Lamb (13.6 PPG), Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (12.6 PPG, 7.8 RPG) and Terrence Jones (12.1 PPG, 6.4 RPG) are also strong scorers who could potentially light up the scoreboard with more opportunities, since the trio shoots 48%, 48% and 49% FG, respectively. Darius Miller (9.9 PPG) also shoots 48% FG, and backcourt mate Marquis Teague (9.7 PPG, 4.6 APG) runs the point. This three-star FoxSheets coaching trend also sides with the Wildcats.

Kevin Stallings is 8-23 ATS (25.8%, -17.3 Units) versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of VANDERBILT. The average score was VANDERBILT 66.0, OPPONENT 75.0 - (Rating = 3*).

Vanderbilt was predicted to be one of the top teams in the country this year, drawing a No. 7 ranking in the AP Preseason Poll, but has yet to find its identity. But, that potential still exists with John Jenkins (19.7 PPG), who has hit the most three-pointers in college basketball this year with 89 on a healthy 44.3% clip. Jeffery Taylor (17.8 PPG, 5.8 RPG) is also an elite shooter from deep (1.8 threes per game, 47.8% 3-pt FG) and has scored 17+ points in seven straight games (19.7 PPG). A key member of Vandy’s team, 6-foot-11 center Festus Ezeli (10.0 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 2.0 BPG) has also shown signs of life lately with a 21-point performance against LSU on Wednesday. He is averaging 16.8 PPG in his past four contests, but is doing a poor job on the boards for a near 7-footer (3.3 RPG). However, he has the type of body to match up with Davis in the paint, which should keep the Commodores competitive. Lance Goulbourne (9.3 PPG, 7.0 RPG) is Vanderbilt’s best rebounder, although he is averaging just 5.0 PPG and 6.0 RPG in the team’s past three contests. This FoxSheets trend also sides with the Commodores.

KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (11.1%, -7.8 Units) after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games this season. The average score was KENTUCKY 76.6, OPPONENT 62.0 - (Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26744 Followers:33
02/11/2012 10:08 AM

No. 11 MSU visits No. 3 OSU on Saturday

MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS (19-5)

at OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (21-3)


Tip-off: Saturday, 6:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Ohio State -9, Total: 128

No. 11 Michigan State will look to give No. 3 Ohio State its third conference loss and move into a tie atop the Big Ten when the two conference powerhouses take the floor in Columbus on Saturday night.

Michigan State has been a stellar bet this year (14-7 ATS), with an even better 8-3 ATS mark in the Big Ten. The Spartans don’t fear Value City Arena like other clubs, going 7-1 ATS (5-3 SU) in their past eight trips to Columbus. But this Buckeyes team is just crushing teams at home, going 17-0 (9-3 ATS) and outscoring these visitors by an average of 20.3 PPG (76.9 to 56.6). Can Ohio State retain its dominance at home? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. Last weekend, the 6-Pack finished with a 4-1-1 ATS record.

Michigan State’s defense has evolved recently, allowing just 52.6 PPG in the past five games (4-1 SU and ATS). The team’s offense is led by the crafty Draymond Green (15.2 PPG, 10.6 PPG) who is a force in the paint despite his 6-foot-7 frame. Green showed no ill effects from his knee injury suffered against the Illini, totaling 37 points, 28 boards and nine assists in the past two victories. Beyond Green though, Keith Appling (11.8 PPG, 3.9 APG) is the only other Spartans player to average double-digit points. He has struggled as of late though, with just 8.2 PPG in his past five contests. Swingman Branden Dawson (8.9 PPG) has stepped up recently in his place. The 6-foot-6 freshman has registered double-figure points in all of those five games, averaging 12.8 PPG. On the season, he is shooting a remarkable 58% FG, as he thrives getting close to the basket. Look for him to continue his success in this one. This three-star FoxSheets trend also sides with the Spartans.

MICHIGAN STATE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. The average score was MICHIGAN STATE 70.0, OPPONENT 55.9 - (Rating = 3*).

The Buckeyes have three impressive scoring threats in Sullinger, William Buford and Deshaun Thomas. Sullinger (17.4 PPG) is one of the premier post players in the nation and has 21.0 PPG in the team’s past two contests. But Sullinger (9.0 RPG) had just two rebounds in 27 minutes in last year’s meeting. Buford (15.5 PPG) is also coming off an extremely impressive performance in which he registered a season-high 29 points in Ohio State’s three-point win over Purdue on Tuesday. Thomas (14.6 PPG), a sophomore forward, has progressed greatly in his second year with a 54% FG and over seven more PPG than last season. Fellow second-year Aaron Craft (4.8 APG, 2.2 SPG) is also important for the Buckeyes as the engine of their offense, but he needs to bring more to the table offensively, with double-digit points just twice in the team’s past six games. This three-star FoxSheets trend also backs the Buckeyes. OHIO STATE is 18-4 ATS (81.8%, +13.6 Units) after a combined score of 165 points or more since 1997. The average score was OHIO STATE 74.7, OPPONENT 65.7 - (Rating = 3*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26744 Followers:33
02/11/2012 10:10 AM

Suns visit sizzling-hot Kings on Saturday

PHOENIX SUNS (11-15)

at SACRAMENTO KINGS (10-16)


Tip-off: Saturday, 10:05 p.m. ET
Line: Sacramento -2½, Total: 196

The red-hot Kings look for a fourth straight home win when they host the Suns on Saturday night.

In addition to its home win streak, Sacramento has seven straight ATS victories. This run includes SU wins over the Blazers and Thunder. The Kings are 7-4 (SU and ATS) at home and beat the Suns in three straight meetings (SU and ATS) last season, destroying them on the boards, 211 to 149 in the three games. But Phoenix has played very well on the road lately, going 3-1 (SU and ATS) in its past four away from the desert. Can Sacramento extend the home win streak? To find out, connect to the NBA Weekend 6-Pack for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games this weekend.

Phoenix had won three straight games (100.3 PPG) before stalling in a 96-89 home loss to Houston on Thursday. The Suns were dominated on the boards (44-31) and scored a mere 13 points in the final quarter. All-Star PG Steve Nash (15.0 PPG) continues to be the engine of this team with a league-high 10.1 APG. He dished out 13 assists in the loss to the Rockets. Nash has enjoyed great success against the Kings over the years. He’s averaging 23.9 PPG and 12.6 APG in the past 10 meetings, and was a big reason the Suns are 17-5 in their past 22 games versus Sacramento. PF Channing Frye (8.3 PPG, 5.7 RPG) has come on strong in the past three games, averaging 18.0 PPG and 8.0 RPG. He poured in a season-high 21 points and grabbed 10 boards in Thursday’s defeat. C Martin Gortat leads the team in points (15.2 PPG), rebounds (10.1 RPG) and blocks (1.6 BPG). The FoxSheets show this trend backing the Suns:

PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS (81.3%, +9.7 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PHOENIX 105.1, OPPONENT 99.4 - (Rating = 1*).

Sacramento has won four of five games, none more impressive than its 106-101 victory over the West-leading Thunder on Thursday. PG Tyreke Evans (17.4 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 5.1 APG) led the way with 22 points, five assists and four steals against Oklahoma City. Evans continues his year-long struggle of shooting the basketball though (41.5% FG), as he has made 50% of his shots just once in the past 10 games. Sacramento ranks tied for fifth in the NBA in rebounds (43.8 RPG), thanks to PF DeMarcus Cousins, who ranks fifth in the league with 11.4 boards per game. Cousins has been tremendous in the past four games, averaging 19.5 PPG and 14.8 RPG. He had 19 points and nine rebounds in Thursday’s win. SG Marcus Thornton (17.2 PPG) is the other big scorer for Sacramento, pumping in 19.4 PPG during the team’s 4-1 stretch. Like Evans, he has also struggled shooting the basketball this season (39% FG). This two-star FoxSheets trend thinks the Kings will win and cover:

Play Against - Any team (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss as a home favorite. (151-94 over the last 5 seasons.) (61.6%, +47.6 units. Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26744 Followers:33
02/11/2012 10:12 AM

No. 10 Duke looks to keep momentum hosting Maryland

MARYLAND TERRAPINS (14-9)

at DUKE BLUE DEVILS (20-4)


Tip-off: Saturday, 4:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Duke- 16, Total: 152½

Coming off a thrilling buzzer-beating 3-pointer by Austin Rivers against archrival North Carolina, No. 10 Duke returns to Cameron Indoor Stadium to play host to the Maryland Terrapins.

Despite its last minute heroics on Wednesday, Duke has been a mediocre bet as of late, going 4-8 ATS in the past 12 games. The Blue Devils have also lost SU their last two ACC games in Cameron, both to double-digit underdogs (Florida State +10, Miami +12). The Terrapins, on the other hand, have won four consecutive games ATS. The Blue Devils have also struggled mightily as heavy favorites, going just 5-10 ATS when they are laying 10+ points. But when these two teams met earlier in the year, Duke won 74-61, covering a 10.5-point spread. The Blue Devils are now 10-1 SU (7-4 ATS) in the past 11 meetings between these ACC foes. Can Duke cover the monster spread at home on Saturday? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. Last weekend, the 6-Pack finished with a 4-1-1 ATS record.

Maryland averages just 69.3 PPG, but they have an elite scorer in Terrell Stoglin (22.0 PPG). He averages 2.7 threes per game and their entire offense runs through him. Stoglin has four consecutive games of 20+ points, averaging 27.0 PPG in that span. He scored 16 in the earlier matchup against Duke, but will need more help from his teammates in this one. Pe’Shon Howard (6.5 PPG, 3.7 APG) registered 10 points in that contest but has simmered down since with just 5.5 PPG since that game. The key may be strong performances from Sean Mosley (10.4 PPG, 5.0 RPG) and 7-footer Alex Len (7.1 PPG, 5.4 RPG) who will need to do a good job battling Plumlee in the post in this game. The FoxSheets show this four-star trend siding with the Terps:

DUKE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DUKE 82.1, OPPONENT 69.7 - (Rating = 4*).

A sizzling-hot Rivers carried Duke over the Tar Heels with a career-high 29 points on 6-of-10 shooting from beyond the arc, where he shoots a 40.4% this season. The Blue Devils feature a plethora of scoring options, however, with guard Seth Curry and forward Ryan Kelly both averaging 12.7 PPG. Curry and Kelly both scored 15 against North Carolina, with Curry coming off a strong 22-point performance against Miami in the previous game. In the post, Mason Plumlee (11.5 PPG, 9.9 RPG) is an elite rebounder, but has yet to consistently find himself on the offensive end, with just 7.0 PPG over the Blue Devils’ past two contests. Andre Dawkins (9.6 PPG) is also a threat from deep but can also fall off the map at points. The FoxSheets show this coaching trend showing the Blue Devils have the ability to cover monster spreads:

Mike Krzyzewski is 97-64 ATS (60.2%, +26.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points as the coach of DUKE. The average score was DUKE 86.8, OPPONENT 62.4 - (Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26744 Followers:33
02/11/2012 10:14 AM

No. 2 Syracuse favored big over UConn Saturday

CONNECTICUT HUSKIES (15-8, 5-6 Big East)

at SYRACUSE ORANGE (24-1, 11-1 Big East)


Tip-Off: Saturday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Syracuse -11, Total: 132½

Just two months ago, the college basketball world had the first UConn-Syracuse game circled as the premier matchup between the two best teams in the Big East. Entering into Saturday’s game at the Carrier Dome, though, only the Orange have lived up to their end of the bargain.

Despite starting the season as the No. 4 ranked team in the country following last year’s national championship, the Huskies have suffered a catastrophic fall from grace over the past month—losing five of their past six games (SU and ATS). UConn is a miserable 1-6 ATS in road games this season, and averages a measly 58.6 PPG on the road—down 14 points compared to its offensive production at home. The Orange eked out a thrilling 64-61 overtime victory against Georgetown on Wednesday, failing to cover for the fourth time out of their past five home games. Syracuse shot just 34.9 percent from the field on Wednesday—its second-worst output of the season.

Can Syracuse cover this big number over last year’s national champions? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. Last weekend, the 6-Pack finished with a 4-1-1 ATS record.

The Huskies have scored 60 or more points just once in their past five games, and have been held under 50 in two of them. They look to bounce back from one of their worst losses in years after getting blown out at Louisville 80-59 on Monday night. Connecticut played well early on and trailed by just five at halftime, but simply quit in the second half in embarrassing fashion—allowing the Cardinals to hit uncontested threes and drive through the paint like a layup line. The lone bright spot for UConn was freshman point guard Ryan Boatright (10.4 PPG, 3.6 APG), who dropped 18 points (5-of-10 FG), picked up six rebounds, and dished out five assists to follow up a 19-point performance against Seton Hall last Saturday. Fellow freshman Andre Drummond (9.7 PPG, 7.5 RPG), on the other hand, is coming off arguably his worst performance of the season, scoring no points and grabbing just four rebounds in 16 minutes of work. The Huskies have little hope of beating the Orange unless leading scorer Jeremy Lamb (17.2 PPG) can get back on track. The sophomore guard has shot a dreadful 27 percent from the field (10-of-37 FG) over his past three games. The FoxSheets show this four-star trend backing the Huskies:

CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CONNECTICUT 68.8, OPPONENT 58.6 - (Rating = 4*).

Syracuse has overwhelmed opponents with some incredible offensive depth, with 10 different players averaging 10+ minutes. Senior forward Kris Joseph (14.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG) was the hero for the Orange in Wednesday night’s win over the Hoyas, dropping a career-high 29 points. Joseph also sank a career-high six three-pointers, none bigger than the game-winning shot with 29 seconds left in overtime to break an 81-81 tie. Even though the Orange boast a group of elite scorers, the emergence of Joseph as the go-to guy will be key in their quest for the Final Four. Sophomore center Fab Melo (7.6 PPG, 5.6 RPG) has looked sharp in both games since returning from a three-game academic suspension, scoring 11 points (5-of-8 FG) against the Hoyas, and a career-high 14 (5-of-6 FG) at St. John’s last Saturday.The FoxSheets show this four-star trend expecting the Orange to win big:

CONNECTICUT is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CONNECTICUT 59.6, OPPONENT 71.3 - (Rating = 4*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26744 Followers:33
02/11/2012 10:25 AM

Saturday's betting tips: Louisville on ATS road tear

Who’s hot

NCAAB: Louisville is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 road games.

NCAAB: La Salle is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 home games.

NBA: The road team is 10-3-1 in the last 14 Clippers-Bobcats games.

NBA: Philly is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games playing on zero days’ rest.

NHL: The Kings are 6-1 in their last seven meetings with the Islanders.

NHL: The under is 6-0-1 in Winnipeg’s last seven road games.

Who’s not

NCAAB: Oklahoma is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 conference games.

NCAAB: Rhode Island is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 conference games.

NBA: The Nets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. San Antonio.

NBA: The over is 2-6 in the last eight Suns-Kings games.

NHL: Montreal is 2-11 in its last 13 games playing on one day’s rest.

NHL: Chicago has lost its last eight road games.

Key stat

8 – That’s how many shots Syracuse center Fab Melo has blocked in two games since returning from an academic suspension. He also has 25 points and 10 rebounds. In the Orange’s overtime win over Georgetown on Wednesday, Melo affected several shots by the Hoyas. The second-ranked Orange host UConn at 1 p.m. ET Saturday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Tennessee freshman forward Jarnell Stokes (sprained wrist) is questionable for Saturday’s game at No. 7 Florida. The 6-8 freshman is a key inside player for the Vols. He averages 8.9 points and 7.9 rebounds. Stokes suffered the injury in practice on Tuesday and missed Wednesday’s game against South Carolina.

Games of the day

No. 6 Baylor Bears at No. 4 Missouri Tigers (-6, 147.5)

No. 12 Michigan State at No. 3 Ohio State (-9, 128)

Notable quotable

"It has nothing to do with the city of Milwaukee or anything like that because that's where I started my career. They've been nothing but good to me. (Coach) Scott Skiles and (general manager) John Hammond have been good to me. It's just that I'm understanding the business of basketball now.'' – Bucks leading scorer Brandon Jennings, who says he’s “doing his homework on big-market teams” for when his rookie contract ends.

Notes and tips

Spurs guard Manu Ginobili will return for Saturday's game at New Jersey after missing 22 games with a broken hand. He's not expected to play a full complement of minutes. Ginobili averages 17.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 1.2 steals.

No. 12 Michigan State has dropped three straight conference road games, averaging 14.7 turnovers in those losses. The Spartans must take care of the ball Saturday at No. 3 Ohio State, as the Buckeyes rank No. 2 in the Big Ten in turnover margin.

Arkansas senior forward Michael Sanchez (sprained shoulder) is doubtful for Saturday’s home game against South Carolina, leaving the Razorbacks with three healthy scholarship big men. Two of those are freshmen. Arkansas was outrebounded 44-21 in a blowout loss at Georgia on Wednesday.

Oklahoma State might be wise to let Kansas guard Elijah Johnson shoot 3-pointers when the Cowboys visit the No. 10 Jayhawks on Saturday. Johnson went 0 for 4 from beyond the arc Wednesday against Baylor, dropping him to 28.2 percent this season. Johnson has taken a team-high 131 3-pointers.

The Texas Rangers have locked up slugging outfielder Nelson Cruz for two more years at $16 million, plus $500,000 in incentives. Cruz, 31, hit .263 with 29 homers and 87 RBIs last season. He won ALCS MVP honors after putting up six homers and 13 RBIs in the Rangers’ 4-2 series win over Detriot.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26744 Followers:33
02/11/2012 10:28 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Some thoughts on Knicks' newcomer Jeremy Lin, who had 38 points, 7 assists in New York's win against the Lakers Friday night.......

-- First things first; Lin is excelling because he sees the whole floor and gets the ball to the place it needs to be. Simply, and with zero flash.

-- As Hubie Brown said last night, once the ball starts getting passed, it becomes contagious and the team has more cohesion and plays better, more together. The Knicks were unwatchable until the last week.

-- Lin excels in twisting layups around the rim; he has to have worked on this for hours. You don't see many guys who are so good at that.

-- His high school team won a state championship, beating Mater Dei in state final. Laker coach Mike Brown's son plays for Mater Dei now; if you beat Mater Dei, you have good players who are well-coached.

-- Despite that, Lin was offered zero college scholarships; keep in mind the entire Big West is California schools; six WCC teams, Sacramento State, San Diego State, UCLA, USC, Stanford, Cal. How do none of these schools offer the kid a scholarship? Seriously......how?????

-- Lin had 30 points, nine rebounds in a game against UConn two years ago, back when UConn was really good. Do scouts even watch games?


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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) Now that Murray State has lost a game, curious to see how they finish the regular season; have feeling that if Racers lose to St Mary’s in the Bracket Busters game, they’re going to need the OVC tournament to make the field of 68. Hard to envision the OVC getting two teams in the tournament.

12) Air Force fired its basketball coach in-season? For real? Whats that about? School said the players weren’t having any fun. Guess the military academies are so demanding academically that sports have to be at least a little bit fun. No truth to the rumor that Air Force will interview Carrot Top and Chris Rock for the head coaching job- they don’t want kids having that much fun.

11) Maryland QB Danny O’Brien is transferring, after playing two years for the Terps, with his first year better than the second. Someone’s going to get themselves a pretty good player.

10) Big Dozen football coaches have a “gentlemens’ agreement” when it comes to recruiting, where once a kid declares verbally for one school, that ends the kid’s recruitment.

As basketball coaches and SEC football coaches will tell you, all a verbal commit tells you is who your competition really is; Urban Meyer’s recruiting machine isn’t impressed by verbal commits, a fact that annoys some of his new rivals. In the SEC, when it comes to recruiting, gentlemen wind up unemployed.

9) One thing I was really wrong about was this past college football season; just had the feeling the new celebration penalties were going to pop up now and then and take away from the game, costing some team a tying/winning TD, but it turns out only two TDs all season got taken away by excessive celebrations, and one of them was scored by the LSU punter, who is from Australia. Go figure.

8) Speaking of LSU, when star QB recruit Gunnar Kiel stiffed the Tigers in favor of Notre Dame, Les Miles just went down his recruiting list and signed up a kid from Mississippi named Cam Lawton, who is 6-3, 280. Supposedly, if he doesn’t play QB at LSU, he could be moved to LB or even DE. Now that doesn’t happen every day, a QB moved to defensive end.

7) Vanderbilt hoop coach Kevin Stallings kept reporters waiting for his press conference after Wednesday’s win over LSU, so he could watch the end of the Duke-North Carolina game. Reporters weren’t pleased.

6) I knew that Duke has won 10 of the last 13 ACC tournaments, but when I read it again this week, it startled me. Most teams don’t care all that much about conference tournaments. Duke always has a target on its back, so doing that well is quite an accomplishment.

5) NC State has three of its recruits playing in the McDonald’s All-Star game next month, a sign that Mark Gottfried has gotten it done on the recruiting trail. His Wolfpack is pretty good on the court too—they’re a bubble team that could a win over Duke or Carolina. Solid first year for Gottfried.

4) Underdogs are 10-2-1 against the spread in San Antonio’s road games this season.

3) Injury-prone pitcher Rich Harden got suspense out of the way early this year; he’s having arm surgery and will miss the entire 2012 season. Harden has been a good pitcher when he’s healthy, but he’s seldom been healthy.

2) NHL is paying Michigan $3M to rent its football stadium for six weeks next winter, so they can play their annual outdoor hockey game in The Big House. The Winter Classic has been a big success for the NHL.

1) I have this discussion with a friend of mine via e-mail now and then; is Dwight Evans a Hall of Famer? My friend swears he is, citing outstanding defense and strong offensive numbers. Evans’ career splits fall this way; he played 18 more games on the road than at Fenway, so that’s just about the same; he scored 104 more runs at home, knocked in 100 more runs, hit 21 more HR’s, 75 more doubles at Fenway.

His OPS was 87 points higher at Fenway, which we know is a ballpark that increases doubles by about 40% over other parks; it’s a HR-neutral park. So maybe if the steroids guys don’t get voted in, it’ll help a marginal candidate like Evans, but as an A’s fan, he was never, ever in my top three of guys I feared on the Red Sox, and stuff like that has to be factored in. Very good player, no doubt. Hall of Famer? I’d say no.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: