cnotes Posts:23790 Followers:32
On 02/08/2012 03:36 PM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes Wednesday's Best Bets NCAAB-NBA-NHL !

Irish & Mountaineers In Key Big East Clash

It's only understandable for so much attention and focus to be on Wednesday's three huge matchups between teams ranked in the top 11 of the latest coaches poll. The outcomes will have an immediate impact on ACC, Big 12 and Big East standings, not to mention playing a role in the seeding for this year's NCAA Tournament.

If there's one drawback to having the trio of marquee games – Duke at North Carolina, Kansas at Baylor and Georgetown at Syracuse – it's that other crucial contests that are equally important in the grand scheme of things get overlooked. One such clash that finds itself taking a backseat on the Hump Day slate is Notre Dame visiting West Virginia.

The first of two battles between the Fighting Irish and Mountaineers will tip at Morgantown's WVU Coliseum a few minutes past 9:00 p.m. (ET), with television coverage provided by ESPNU. Early college basketball betting lines had WVU favored by 5½ with 127 for the total.

This game is far more important to Notre Dame and West Virginia than the other three tilts we've mentioned since we know those six teams are going to the Big Dance whether they win or lose on Wednesday. That's certainly not the case for the Irish or Mountaineers who, barring some run all the way through the Big East Tournament a la Connecticut last year, might be out of the NCAA Tournament picture with a defeat on Wednesday.

Mike Brey has three Big East Coach of the Year honors to his credit already, including last season, but this might be his best job at Notre Dame ever. The loss of Tim Abromaitis just two games into the schedule appeared to doom the team to bottom half of the conference and an NIT invite at best. The Irish struggled through their non-conference slate, including blowout losses to Missouri and Gonzaga, and all but dropped off the national map with an 8-5 record at the Christmas break.

But a funny thing happened once Big East play started. Brey's bunch got things rolling with an upset of then-No. 22 Pittsburgh and pulled off another upset at Louisville on Jan. 7, a 67-65 double-overtime win as 12-point road 'dogs against the then-No. 10 Cardinals.

Two losses followed (to UConn and Rutgers). but Notre Dame has since been on a roll with four consecutive wins and four pointspread covers, each as the underdog. Three of the four wins have come against teams that were ranked at the time of the games, including then-No. 1 Syracuse in South Bend, the only defeat on the Orange's ledger. Last Saturday's win over a very good Marquette team was a convincing 17-point advantage at the final buzzer thanks to Pat Connaughton's double-double (23 points, 11 rebounds).

While the Irish have been cruising the past couple of weeks, Bob Huggins and the Mountaineers have struggled. The broke a 3-game losing skid on Sunday with an 87-84 escape in overtime at Providence. West Virginia failed to cover the 5½-point chalk, the fourth time in five games that those holding Mountaineers tickets failed to cash in. All four of those ATS losses have come as favorites, with the only spread cover coming in a 63-61 defeat to Syracuse as 9½-point underdogs.

Defense has been part of the recent problem for WVU; five of the last six opponents have shot 45 percent or better from the field and the Mountaineers are surrendering nearly 69 points per game in Big East play, 11th most in the conference.

The Irish and Mountaineers bring conflicting trends on the totals side into the contest. Notre Dame is 13-4 'under' on the season while West Virginia is 14-7 'over.' What's interesting about those records is the NCAA odds seem to recognize those trends only to have the two teams continue to go 'under' or 'over' anyway. Notre Dame's totals in Big East play have been in the 121-133 point range while West Virginia's have been 10 points higher from 131-143.

This series has been anything but conflicted when it comes to totals, however, as the 'under' has been the winner each of the last 10 meetings. Five conference road tilts for the Irish have recorded a 4-1 'under' mark, the only 'over' in that span being the double overtime win at Louisville that just went a half-point above the 131½ total.

West Virginia and Notre Dame will meet again in a little more than two weeks when the Mountaineers trek to South Bend on Feb. 22. Up next for WVU is Saturday's home date with Louisville. The Irish will be back home at the same time vs. DePaul.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23790 Followers:32
02/08/2012 03:38 PM

Duke At North Carolina In A Wild Wednesday

The classic matchup between North Carolina and Duke is just one of three Wednesday college basketball betting matchups of top-ranked teams. ESPN will broadcast from Dean E. Smith Center at 9:00 p.m. (ET).

North Carolina is first in the country in scoring (84.1 PPG), while Duke is tied for 11th (79.8 PPG). However, they’re both among several high scoring, major conference teams who have seen their production dip dramatically in the division.


TEAM NON-CONF (ATS) IN-CONF (ATS)
North Carolina 88.1 PPG (8-6)
76.6 PPG (3-5)

Missouri 86.2 PPG (5-3)
73.8 PPG (5-4-2)

Florida 85.4 PPG (5-4-1)
70.1 PPG (4-4)

Indiana 84.8 PPG (7-0)
72.2 PPG (5-7)

Duke 82.2 PPG (6-9)
75.3 PPG (3-5)



The Tar Heels are 20-3 straight up (11-11 ATS). That ranks them fifth in both polls while riding a 5-game winning streak. They haven’t covered the spread in their last three games, including an 83-74 comeback win at Maryland on Saturday as 12-point favorites.

Depth has been an issue since losing guard Dexter Strickland (knee) four games ago for the season. Point guard Kendall Marshall had to play 38 minutes against Maryland and leading scorer Harrison Barnes (17.3 PPG) has a sprained ankle, although is listed as probable.

The No. 9 Blue Devils (19-4 SU, 9-14 ATS) are 6-2 SU in the ACC, which puts them a game back of both North Carolina and Florida State. Coach Mike Krzyzewski’s guys imploded on Sunday, losing 78-74 to Miami in overtime as 12-point home favorites. Duke already lost at home to Florida State (76-73) back on January 21.

Krzyzewski is worried about team leadership and that makes sense with leading scorer Austin Rivers (14.5 PPG) just a freshman. Duke did have a couple of early road losses at Ohio State (85-63) and Temple (78-73), but is 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) away in the ACC, albeit against pretty easy competition.

North Carolina beat Duke 81-67 as 1½-point home favorites last year. Duke was 3-0 ATS in the prior three in Chapel Hill. The ‘under’ is 6-0 in the last six meetings overall.

No. 11 Georgetown Hoyas at No. 2 Syracuse Orange
7:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN

The Hoyas (18-4 SU, 10-7 ATS) are having a solid season, especially considering they were predicted to finish in the bottom half of the Big East. They are coming off home wins and covers over Connecticut (58-44) and South Florida (75-45) after starting 2-7 ATS (6-3 SU) in the conference.

Syracuse (23-1 SU, 15-8 ATS) is back to full strength after center Fab Melo (academics) returned to the mix last Saturday at St. John’s. Melo had a career-high 14 points in the 95-70 blowout. The Orange had really struggled to score in the three games without Melo (60.3 PPG), with the ‘under’ 5-0 before going way ‘over’ the 136 points last game.

Coach Jim Boeheim’s team ranks fourth in the Big East in scoring defense (60.8 PPG), with Georgetown leading (58.6 PPG). Syracuse is first in scoring offense (78.1 PPG), while the Hoyas are eighth (71 PPG).

The Hoyas only allow opponents to shoot 27.6 percent from 3-point range and holding down Syracuse’s deep shooters will be key.

Georgetown upset Syracuse in the Carrier Dome last year, 64-56 as 5-point ‘dogs. John Thompson II was 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in his first five games there as Hoyas coach.

No. 10 Kansas Jayhawks at No. 6 Baylor Bears
7:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN2

This is a huge Big 12 matchup with both teams 8-2 SU in the conference and trailing Missouri (9-2 SU) by a half game.

Kansas (18-5 SU, 11-10-1 ATS) could be in first place in the Big 12, but lost 74-71 at Missouri on Saturday night. That was a ‘push’ as 3-point ‘dogs. Big man Thomas Robinson (25 points) and guard Tyshawn Taylor (21 points) both did their job per usual, but the rest of the team combined for just 25 points.

The Missouri game also ‘pushed’ the 145-point total. The ‘under’ was 9-0 in Kansas’ prior road and neutral site games. The Jayhawks have dropped two straight away, going down at Iowa State (72-64) on Jan. 28 despite being 7-point favorites.

The Bears (21-2 SU, 7-9 ATS) have won four straight after losing at Kansas (92-74) and home to Missouri (89-88). However, they’re still just 1-5 ATS in their last six. Baylor got dominated on the glass against Kansas (36-21) as Robinson and center Jeff Withey combined for 24 boards. These are two of the best rebounding teams in the conference, so there’s no excuse for that disparity.

A return to the Ferrell Center should help the Bears be more aggressive, especially in a revenge scenario. They’re 11-1 SU there on the season, although just 2-3 ATS. The home ATS number in the Big 12 is just 1-3.

Kansas has had success in Waco, 5-0 SU and ATS in the last five meetings. Last year was an 85-65 win as 3½-point favorites.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23790 Followers:32
02/08/2012 03:41 PM

More Injuries Mar Wednesday NBA Betting

The NBA betting schedule this year is as intense as could be, as teams cram 66 games into just four months. The end result is going to be a lot of injuries, and some of the most recent injuries could turn into big problems for some of the best teams in the league on Wednesday night.

The Denver Nuggets might have been dealt the worst blow on Monday night when they lost Danilo Gallinari with a slight fracture in his left foot. The Italian is the team's leading scorer at 17.0 PPG, and if he misses substantial time, it could be devastating for the Nuggets.

Gallinari is out of the fold against the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday night in one of the showcase games on the slate. However, he isn't alone on the Denver injury list.

Arron Afflalo, Nene Hilario and Timofey Mozgov all missed the loss to the Houston Rockets on Monday, and all three are listed as questionable for the duel against Dallas. Corey Brewer is also gone from the team due to the death of his father, and it is unknown whether he will be back in time to face the Mavericks.

Between the four injured players, the Nuggets are missing out on over 46 PPG, while Brewer would add another 8.0 PPG to that number if he were to sit out on Wednesday as well.

Dallas isn't without its problems, though. The team has dropped three in a row both SU and ATS, and is going to have to continue playing without Jason Kidd, who is out until at least the middle of February with a calf injury.

This battle from Pepsi Arena is going to start at 9:00 (ET) on Wednesday night, and there will be local television coverage available on FOX Sports Southwest and Altitude.

There are some other crucial injuries that could have an impact on Wednesday's NBA odds.

The Chicago Bulls lost Derrick Rose to back spasms on Monday in their win against the New Jersey Nets. Rose has already missed some time this year with a toe injury, and now he is listed as questionable for Wednesday's tilt against the New Orleans Hornets at 8:00 (ET) from New Orleans Arena. The Bulls are already without Richard Hamilton, who is expected to miss his sixth straight game with a thigh injury.

The New York Knicks were able to beat the Utah Jazz on Monday at Madison Square Garden without Amare Stoudemire, who left the team to be with his family following the death of his brother. Now, they could be without Carmelo Anthony for 1-2 weeks.

Anthony only played six minutes Monday before straining his groin, and is officially questionable for the game against the Washington Wizards. It is unknown whether Stoudemire will get back to his team in time for Wednesday's game in DC. Washington could be without Rashard Lewis, who is listed as day-to-day with a knee injury.

The tip from the Verizon Center is set for 7:00 (ET) and can be seen nationally on NBA TV.

The Los Angeles Clippers will probably be without Chauncey Billups on Wednesday, and they could be without him for quite some time. Billups left Monday's win against the Orlando Magic with an Achilles injury that could keep him out of the fold for the rest of the season. The Clip Joint will take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in a 7:00 (ET) tip at Quicken Loans Arena on Wednesday.

The Minnesota Timberwolves, one of the pleasant surprises of the young season, are going to be without Kevin Love against the Memphis Grizzlies. Love was suspended for stomping on Luis Scola of the Rockets on Monday, and this will be the second game of his ban. The game against the Grizzlies starts at 8:00 (ET) on Wednesday night.

Two crucial 7:00 (ET) tilts pit some of the best teams in the league against each other. The Miami Heat and Orlando Magic will meet in a Sunshine State showdown at the Amway Center, while the San Antonio Spurs will continue their nine-game road trip at the Philadelphia 76ers. Also at 7:00 (ET), the Toronto Raptors face the Milwaukee Bucks.

The 7:30 (ET) tip between the Indiana Pacers and the Atlanta Hawks should be interesting to say the least, as the Pacers look for their 11th road victory of the season against an Atlanta team that is still without Al Horford.

The Detroit Pistons take on the New Jersey Nets at 7:30 (ET), while the last game of the night on NBA TV pits the Portland Trail Blazers against the Houston Rockets at the Rose Garden at 10:00 (ET).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23790 Followers:32
02/08/2012 03:43 PM

Red Wings Begin Homestand Sans Howard

After losing two straight games on the road, the Detroit Red Wings return home for a potentially historic six-game homestand that starts Wednesday night at the Joe Louis Arena against the Edmonton Oilers.

Detroit (35-17-2) has won a franchise-record 17 straight games at home, and is three wins away from tying the NHL record of 20. The Red Wings will have to chase history without their starting goaltender, Jimmy Howard, who is out of action with a broken finger. Detroit is 20-2-1 overall at home this season.

Edmonton (21-27-5) is 4-1-1 over its last six games, including a 5-4 win in the shootout at home over the Red Wings last Saturday as a +137 underdog. Sam Gagner followed up his historic eight-point night against the Blackhawks with two goals and an assist against Detroit, also potting a goal in the shootout.

Whether it is Ty Conklin or Joey MacDonald in net for the Red Wings, they’ll have to find an answer for the red-hot Gagner. Wednesday’s game starts at 7:30 p.m. (ET).

The San Jose Sharks will look to pad their lead in the Pacific Division Wednesday at 10:00 p.m. (ET) when they host the Calgary Flames, who are still fighting for a playoff spot.

San Jose (29-15-6) has won three of its last four games and entered Tuesday’s action with a four-point lead over the Los Angeles Kings for the division lead. Calgary (24-22-7) entered Tuesday three points out of a playoff spot with losses in three of the last four games. San Jose won each of the previous two meetings between these two teams this season in low-scoring fashion, topping the Flames 2-1 in a shootout at home and 1-0 in Calgary.

Out East, the Boston Bruins head to Buffalo to take on the Sabres, who are 3-0-1 in their last four games. Even with the recent string of good games, Buffalo (22-24-6) is still a big long shot to make the playoffs entering Tuesday’s action 11 points out of a playoff spot. While Boston (33-16-2) is still firmly in the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference, the Bruins are just 5-5-1 over their last 11 games. A win Wednesday would give the Bruins their first two-game winning streak since January 12. Wednesday night’s game will be televised nationally on the NBC Sports Network at 7:30 p.m. (ET).

Rounding out Wednesday’s four-game card, the Carolina Hurricanes head West to take on the Anaheim Ducks at 10:00 p.m. (ET). Though both teams are likely out of their respective conference’s playoff races with huge holes to climb out of, they’ve still played some strong hockey down the stretch. Anaheim (20-24-8) is 10-2-2 in its last 14 games and Carolina (20-25-9) is 6-2-2 its last 10.

Carolina’s goaltender Cam Ward has given up two goals or less in 11 of his last 12 games with a 1.67 goals against average during that stretch. As a result of Ward’s hot streak, the total has gone ‘under’ in seven of Carolina’s last eight games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23790 Followers:32
02/08/2012 03:46 PM

Wednesday's Tip Sheet

February 8, 2012


No. 10 Kansas (18-5 SU, 11-10 ATS) at No. 6 Baylor (21-2 SU, 7-9 ATS)

Gamblers could be scratching their heads for this Big 12 battle, as Baylor opened as a one-point home favorite. After dropping two straight, the Bears have rebounded with four straight wins (1-3 ATS), three of the victories coming on the road. Plus, Scott Drew’s team has gone 11-1 at home, and the lone loss came to No. 4 Missouri by one point (89-88).

Yet the line is short? The Bears were giving five to the Tigers and Kansas just lost at Missouri (71-74) as a three-point road underdog on Saturday. To the Jayhawks’ defense, they were up eight late and got outscored 11-0 to close the game.

Bill Self’s team is 6-4 SU and 4-5-1 ATS on the road this season, and that includes two straight setbacks in Big 12 play.

Kansas has dominated Baylor by winning 11 of the last 12 meetings, including the first encounter this season. The Jayhawks blasted the Bears 92-74 as 6 ½-point home favorites. They shot 57 percent from the floor and they got great efforts from Thomas Robinson (27 points) and Tyshawn Taylor (28 points).

Total players have seen the ‘over’ go 3-0 in the last three battles between the pair. The total on the mid-January matchup closed at 139 ½. The two teams put up 97 in the second-half. Despite that high-scoring affair, the Jayhawks have been an ‘under’ (14-7) team this season, especially on the road (9-0). The ‘over/under’ for this game opened at 145 but has since dipped to 142 ½.

No. 11 Georgetown (18-4 SU, 10-7 ATS) at No. 2 Syracuse (23-1 SU, 15-8 ATS)

Not surprisingly, Syracuse opened up as an 11-point favorite over Georgetown. The Orange has gone 15-0 at the Carrier Dome this season and 12 of them have come by double digits.

In Big East play, the Orange has gone 10-1 and the team is coming off a 95-70 blowout win over St. John’s from Madison Square Garden. Syracuse big man Fab Melo returned from a three-game absence and put up a career-high 14 points in the victory. The team went 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS while he was out, which included their only loss of the season at Notre Dame (58-67).

Even though the line is high, Syracuse is 12-4 ATS (75%) as a favorite of 10 points or more. Most shops dropped the number to 8 ½-points.

Georgetown is a tough team to figure out. After dropping two straight games in early January, the school has gone 5-1 in the last six albeit against inferior competition. The one loss did come on the road to a rejuvenated Pittsburgh (60-72) squad. It’s fair to say that all of their losses were against quality competition yet GT doesn’t own many quality wins, unless you count a pair of three-point conference wins over Louisville (71-68) and Marquette (73-70).

Georgetown has gone 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS on the road. The Hoyas have never caught this many points this season, but they have gone 3-0 ATS (2-1 SU) when the number is listed at five or higher.

Both Georgetown (58.6 PPG) and Syracuse (60.8 PPG) have been outstanding defensive squads this season. The total opened at 129, which is the lowest ‘over/under’ number that Syracuse has seen. A few betting counters have nudged the line to 130.

Last season, the Hoyas and Orange split the regular season series with the visitor earning victories in both affairs. The ‘under’ went 2-0.

No. 9 Duke (19-4 SU, 9-14 ATS) at No. 5 North Carolina (20-3 SU, 11-11 ATS)

The Battle of Tobacco Road resumes on Wednesday from Chapel Hill when North Carolina meets Duke from Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels have been installed as six-point favorites and some pundits might believe the number is too low when you look at their resume.

North Carolina has gone 14-0 at home (7-6 ATS), winning 12 of the games by 10 or more. The lowest points the ‘Heels were giving at home prior to this game was 7, which came in a 60-57 win over Wisconsin on Nov. 30.

Since Roy Williams’ squad was thrashed at Florida State (57-90) on Jan. 10, UNC has ripped off five straight conference victories, three coming on the road.

Duke is coming off a 78-74 overtime loss this past Sunday to Miami, Fl. at home. The Blue Devils trailed by 14 at the break before forcing the extra session. If you’re looking for a reason why Coach K’s team was upset at home, then check out the free throw numbers (13-of-22, 59%).

Even though Duke has four losses on the season, three of them came by five points or less. The school has been in every game except for the 22-point loss at Ohio State (63-85) on Nov. 29. Coincidentally, that was the only other time this season that the Blue Devils were installed as underdogs.

Duke has won and covered four of the last five battles against UNC, including a 75-58 victory in last year’s ACC Championship. The ‘under’ has cashed in all five during this stretch.

The total opened at 157, spiked to 160 and is now hovering around 158 points. Duke has watched the ‘over’ go 15-8 this season, while UNC has seen its totals post an 11-11 ledger. Both the Blue Devils (79.8 PPG) and Tar Heels (84.1 PPG) have the offensive firepower to light up the scoreboard, but it’s a matter of making shots.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23790 Followers:32
02/08/2012 03:48 PM

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

February 8, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Rockets are 14-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since December 12, 2007 after a game in which they has more than 10 refereed turnovers.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Nets are 10-0 OU (13.1 ppg) since January 16, 2006 as a home favorite off a loss in which they never led.

PLAYER BASED TREND OF THE DAY:

The Pacers are 10-0 OU (12.6 ppg) since January 17, 2011 on the road after winning the previous matchup in which Tyler Hansbrough scored fewer than 10 points.

CHOICE TREND:

The Wizards are 0-12 ATS (-6.8 ppg) since March 14, 2003 with at least one day of rest after a win in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Magic are 0-9 OU (-14.3 ppg) since April 22, 2009 with at least a day of rest after a loss in which Dwight Howard scored at least 30 points.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23790 Followers:32
02/08/2012 03:50 PM

Wednesday Tips

February 7, 2012

It will be a busy Wednesday night in the NBA with 11 games on the card, as four teams are listed as road favorites. The Heat, Bucks, Clippers, and Bulls will all be laying points on the highway, while the 76ers and Hawks face major tests at home. We'll begin in the Sunshine State with a pair of Southeast division rivals meeting for the first time this season.

Heat (-3, 191 ½) at Magic - 7:05 PM EST

Miami makes the trip up the Florida Turnpike for a division showdown with an erratic Orlando squad. The Heat is fresh off Tuesday's victory over the Cavs, while the Magic looks to get back on track following Monday's overtime loss to the Clippers. Orlando blew an early 15-point lead, but rallied from nine down in the fourth quarter to force overtime. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak for the Magic, even though Orlando busted the 100-point mark for the third time in four games.

The Heat begins a season-high six-game road trip, including the first three contests against divisional foes. Erik Spoelstra's team hasn't helped out backers by going 3-7 ATS the last 10 games, while putting up a putrid 1-5 ATS mark the previous six road contests. Since losing three straight at the end of their last lengthy trip, Miami's defense has allowed less than 100 points in 11 of the last 12 games.

The Magic started the season at 10-3, but Stan Van Gundy's club is just 5-7 the past 12 contests after Monday's defeat. Orlando owns a solid 4-1 ATS record the last five opportunities as an underdog, while splitting four meetings with Miami last season. Each team won at home and picked up a victory on the opponent's home court, as LeBron James scored a season-high 51 points in a 104-100 triumph at Amway Arena last February.

Spurs at 76ers (-3, 182) - 7:05 PM EST

San Antonio continues its annual "Rodeo Trip" that will span over two weeks and nine stops. The Spurs took care of business against the Grizzlies for the third time this season in Monday's 89-84 victory, the fifth in a row for Gregg Popovich's squad. The 76ers are in the midst of a difficult three-game homestand that concludes with the Clippers on Friday, as Philadelphia knocked off the other L.A. team in a 95-90 triumph over the Lakers on Monday.

The Spurs are still playing without guard Manu Ginobili (hand injury), as San Antonio is holding its own with a 14-7 SU and 12-9 ATS record. During this current five-game winning streak, the Spurs have limited each opponent to less than 100 points, while cashing the 'under' four times. In fact, this San Antonio club is 7-1 ATS the last eight contests, with the lone ATS loss coming as short road favorites at Minnesota.

The Sixers have turned into one of the early-season surprises by putting together an 18-7 mark through the first six weeks. Doug Collins' team has won six of their last seven games, with the only defeat coming at home to the Heat last Friday (Sixers are 1-13 the last 14 meetings with Miami). Philadelphia's frontcourt is beat up as Elton Brand has missed the last two games with a thumb injury, while center Spencer Hawes is nursing an Achilles' injury. The Sixers have won each of the last four home meetings with the Spurs, but Philadelphia was listed as an underdog each time.

Pacers at Hawks (-3, 185 ½) - 7:35 PM EST

Atlanta is free-falling after a solid start to the season following three consecutive home losses to Memphis, Philadelphia, and Phoenix. The Hawks look to turn things around against a Pacers' squad that ran Atlanta out of Conseco Fieldhouse, 96-84 on January 11. Indiana travels to Philips Arena with no rest after Tuesday's home win against Utah, as the Pacers are in a good betting spot here.

Frank Vogel's club has played well in the role of an underdog, winning and covering each of the last five times in this scenario. The Pacers have pulled off some nice victories in this stretch, including triumphs over the Lakers, Bulls, Magic, and Mavericks. Indiana is 4-2 ATS with no rest this season, while compiling a 2-0 ATS ledger as an underdog.

The Hawks have profited on the second of a back-to-back at 6-1 ATS, but the problem is Atlanta will be playing with rest following Monday's setback to the Suns. Larry Drew's team is 9-5 ATS as a single-digit favorite, while going 1-5 ATS the last six times as home 'chalk' of three points or more. The Hawks have dominated the Pacers in the Peach State with an 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS mark the previous eight home matchups.

Rockets at Blazers (-7 ½, 198) - 10:05 PM EST

Portland suffered only its second home loss of the season in Monday's controversial defeat to Oklahoma City. The Blazers were set to close out the Thunder with a late two-point lead, but officials called LaMarcus Aldridge's block of Kevin Durant a goaltend, forcing overtime. Oklahoma City came through in the extra session, sending Portland to 11-2 at the Rose Garden. Now, the Blazers attempt to get on track against the Rockets.

Houston is coming off its most impressive road victory of the season after upending the Nuggets in Denver on Monday as seven-point underdogs, 99-90. The Nuggets were missing several key pieces, but the Rockets knocked down 10 three-pointers in the triumph for just their fourth away win in 12 tries. Kevin McHale's team beat the Blazers in their last meeting at the Toyota Center in overtime, 107-105 as one-point 'dogs in mid-January.

Portland wraps up a three-game homestand before hitting the road for two games at New Orleans and Dallas this weekend. The Blazers have done a solid job off an ATS loss by covering in eight of 10 opportunities in this situation, including a 6-0 ATS mark at home off a non-cover. Point guard Raymond Felton is listed as 'questionable' for the Blazers with a foot injury, as the former UNC star missed his first game of the season in Monday's loss to the Thunder.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23790 Followers:32
02/08/2012 03:54 PM

Duke and UNC collide Wednesday night

DUKE BLUE DEVILS (19-4)

at NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS (20-3)


Tip-off: Wednesday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: North Carolina -6½, Total: 159½

The most storied rivalry in college basketball takes center stage on Wednesday night as the No. 10 Duke Blue Devils travel just eight miles down the road to take on the arch rival No. 5 North Carolina Tar Heels at the Dean E. Smith Center.

This year’s North Carolina squad lights up the scoreboard with 84.1 PPG, the highest average in the nation. Led in the post by Tyler Zeller (15.3 PPG, 9.6 RPG) and John Henson (14.3 PPG, 10.0 RPG), the Tar Heels are also the country’s most active team on the boards at 46.3 RPG. But they are also 3-6 ATS in their past nine contests, and just 1-4 SU in the past five meetings with Duke.

Can the Tar Heels beat their rival convincingly on Wednesday night? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. For the season, the 6-Pack carries a hefty 8-5-1 ATS mark (62%).

The Blue Devils have fell in two of their past four ACC games, both losses of which came at home, where they typically are unbeatable. And they are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 games. Although statistically inferior to North Carolina’s, Duke’s offense is not too shabby (79.8 PPG, 11th in nation) with five players who score with regularity. Freshman Austin Rivers (14.5 PPG) leads that crew, while Seth Curry (12.6 PPG) joins him as a strong scorer in the backcourt. Six-foot-11 Ryan Kelly (12.6 PPG) is a forward, but threatens from downtown on the offensive end with 1.3 threes per game on an impressive 45.3% clip. Mason Plumlee (11.6 PPG, 9.7 RPG) is the team’s best rebounder, but the Blue Devils (36.0 RPG, 104th in nation) cannot compete with the Tar Heels on the boards. With 7.9 made threes per game though, Duke can win games from behind the arc, where Andre Dawkins (9.7 PPG, 2.2 threes per game), can be dangerous when hot. This FoxSheets trend also favors the Blue Devils.

DUKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DUKE 77.5, OPPONENT 65.6 - (Rating = 1*).

The Tar Heels are 14-0 SU this season, outscoring these opponents by 24.8 PPG (17.8 PPG in ACC play). Finally, North Carolina’s top scorer Harrison Barnes (17.3 PPG) should have a field day against the Blue Devils who have nobody that can realistically match up against him on the defensive end. The 6-foot-8 forward will be too tall for Duke’s guards, who top out at 6-foot-4, and too quick for their post players such as Ryan Kelly. North Carolina’s prolific scoring is led by Barnes, Zeller and Henson but orchestrated by Kendall Marshall. He is second in the country in assists with 9.8 APG and at 6-foot-4 is more physical than the average guard. He also plays the most minutes per game on his team (31.8 MPG) and has a 3.42 turnover-to-assist ratio. They will win this game by shutting Duke down on the inside, which often opens up their elite outside game. Henson, the reigning ACC defensive player of the year, averages 3.2 BPG on a team that is seventh in the nation with 6.3 BPG. He is also extremely efficient on the offensive end, where he registers a 52% FG next to Zeller (55% FG) who also does a great job at putting the ball in the hoop with high-percentage shots. This pair of anti-Duke FoxSheets trends also like the Tar Heels to win and cover on Wednesday.

Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DUKE) - off a loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 points or more against opponent off a road win against a conference rival. (79-42 since 1997.) (65.3%, +32.8 units. Rating = 2*).

Mike Krzyzewski is 10-23 ATS (30.3%, -15.3 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less as the coach of DUKE. The average score was DUKE 81.3, OPPONENT 68.5 - (Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23790 Followers:32
02/08/2012 03:57 PM

No. 12 Georgetown visits No. 2 Syracuse

GEORGETOWN HOYAS (18-4, 8-3 Big East)

at SYRACUSE ORANGE (23-1, 10-1 Big East)


Tip-Off: Wednesday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Syracuse -8½, Total: 130

No. 12 Georgetown looks to grab a firm hold of second place in the conference when it travels to No. 2 Syracuse to take on one the arch rival Orange on Wednesday night.

Can the Orange cover this large point spread? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. For the season, the 6-Pack carries a hefty 8-5-1 ATS mark (62%).

The Hoyas cruised to two easy victories (SU and ATS) last week over Connecticut and South Florida, but are just 1-3 ATS in their past four conference road games. Georgetown boasts the second best three-point percentage in the Big East (36.4%), and hitting outside shots is the easiest way to loosen up the lethal 2-3 zone of Syracuse. Don’t look now, but with a win on Wednesday the Hoyas will pull to within one game of the Orange for first place in the Big East. Projected to finish 10th in the conference this season, Georgetown has been one of the Big East’s biggest surprises. Senior guard Jason Clark (15.2 PPG) and junior forward Hollis Thompson (13.7 PPG, 5.1 RPG) lead the way for the Hoyas on offense. It will be imperative for all members of Georgetown’s eight-man rotation to stay out of foul trouble. Syracuse is so deep and can roll so many different lineups at opponents, the Hoyas can ill-afford to go long stretches without their key players on the court in this matchup. This three-star FoxSheets trend also sides with the Hoyas.

Play Against - A favorite (SYRACUSE) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams (>= 80%). (31-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +23.3 units. Rating = 3*).

Opposing defenses have had no success trying to stop the Orange’s potent offense—ranking first in the Big East in FG percentage (48.2%)—but the lines makers have caught up to Syracuse, who is just 1-3 ATS in its past four home games. The Orange have overwhelmed opponents with some incredible offensive depth, with 10 different players averaging 10+ minutes. Sophomore guard Dion Waiters (12.3 PPG) is arguably Syracuse’s best scorer—and he comes off the bench. Senior forward Kris Joseph (13.7 PPG, 4.9 RPG) leads all scorers for the Orange, who had five players score in double-figures in a 95-70 win over St. John’s on Saturday at Madison Square Garden. The return of sophomore center Fab Melo (7.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 3.0 BPG) from a three-game academic suspension appears to have the Orange offense back at an elite level. Melo has had a breakout season this far, and posted a career-high 14 points in his first game back against the Red Storm. This two-star FoxSheets trend also backs the Orange.

GEORGETOWN is 3-13 ATS (18.8%, -11.3 Units) after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The average score was GEORGETOWN 68.3, OPPONENT 64.4 - (Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23790 Followers:32
02/08/2012 03:59 PM

Bruins visit Northeast rival Sabres on Wednesday

BOSTON BRUINS (33-16-2, 68 points)

at BUFFALO SABRES (22-24-6, 50 points)


Puck drops: Wednesday, 7:35 p.m. EDT
Line: Boston -170, Buffalo +150, Total: 5.5

The Bruins look to win two games in a row for the first time in nearly a month and inch closer to the top of the Eastern Conference standings when they travel to Buffalo to take on the Northeast Division-rival Sabres on Wednesday night.

Boston won the first two games in this series—both back in November. The Bruins got back on track with an impressive 4-1 road win over the Capitals on Sunday, but are a pedestrian 5-5-1 over their past 11 contests—exposing a small chink in the armor after a ridiculous 21-3-1 stretch in November and December. Backup G Tuukka Rask (11-6-2, 1.88 GAA, .936 SV Pct.) will likely be in net for the B’s after Tim Thomas made back-to-back starts over the weekend. The Sabres have won three of their past four games after a dreadful 1-7-1 stretch. Despite extremely high expectations entering the season, Buffalo will need a surge of epic proportions to get back into the playoff hunt, trailing current eight-seed Ottawa by 11 points. G Ryan Miller (14-15-3, 2.88 GAA, .905 SV Pct.) has shown flashes of his former self over the past few games—allowing just one goal each in three of his past four starts. Miller will make his first start against Boston since suffering a concussion after a collision with Bruins’ winger Milan Lucic on November 12. The Sabres will definitely be seeking revenge for the hit that turned their season sour, but Buffalo has just one win over teams in the top eight of either conference since December 28. Expect BOSTON to pick up the win on the road.

This three-star FoxSheets trend urges bettors to stay away from the Sabres:

BUFFALO is 0-7 ATS (+7.0 Units) against excellent starting goalies - saving >= 93% of shots against this season. The average score was BUFFALO 1.6, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 3*).

Despite the Bruins’ mini-slump, they still hold a firm grip over first place in the Northeast Division—leading the Maple Leafs by six points with three games in hand. No NHL team has scored more goals than their 180 tallies, and only two squads (Rangers and Blues) have allowed fewer than Boston’s 111.

The Bruins’ offense is incredibly balanced, with eight different skaters at 30+ points, led by centers Patrice Bergeron (15 G, 31 A) and 19-year-old Tyler Seguin (20 G, 24 A). Boston is still without RW Nathan Horton (17 G, 15 A), who will miss his sixth consecutive game with a concussion.

The Sabres were expected to contend with the Bruins for first place in the Northeast this season, but instead find themselves in the basement of the division. Buffalo has received little scoring depth from its bottom three lines, with first-line wingers Jason Pominville (17 G, 31 A) and Thomas Vanek (19 G, 22 A) the only two skaters above the 30-point plateau. To make matters worse, Vanek will miss Wednesday’s game with an upper body injury.

The offseason additions of defensemen Christian Ehrhoff (3 G, 16 A) and Robyn Regehr (114 hits, 70 blocked shots) have done little to bolster the Sabres’ blueline, which allows 2.9 goals per game (23rd in NHL).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: