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jack_jones
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Jack's Free Pick Wednesday!

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On 02/08/2012 01:53 PM in Cappers
Indiana vs. Atlanta, 02/08/2012 19:30
Point Spread: -3/-110 Atlanta

The Atlanta Hawks will be more motivated for a win tonight than at any other point of the season. They are in the midst of their first 3-game losing streak of the season. There's no question this team wants to put an end to it tonight.

Atlanta is showing some of their best value of the season due to this 3-game skid. As only a 3-point favorite over the Indiana Pacers, I'm certainly willing to pull the trigger. Atlanta is still 16-9 on the season, including 8-4 at home where they are outscoring opponents by 5.4 points/game.

The home team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Atlanta has really had Indiana's number as well, winning nine of the last 11 meetings. The favorite is an impressive 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. Atlanta is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with Indiana.

This play falls into a system that is 76-35 (68.5%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - off a upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. Bet the Hawks Wednesday.

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