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jack_jones
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Jack's Free Pick Tuesday!

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On 02/07/2012 12:05 PM in Cappers
Phoenix vs. Milwaukee, 02/07/2012 20:00
Total: -115/+195 Under

Oddsmakers have set the bar too high tonight in this game between the Phoenix Suns and Milwaukee Bucks. Season averages alone show you that there is some serious value with the UNDER in this one.

Phoenix used to be an OVER machine, but that is the case no longer even though that remains the perception of this team. The Suns are scoring 92.8 points/game and giving up 96.2 points/game for an average combined score of 189.0 points/game. The Suns are 17-7 to the UNDER in all games, and 10-3 to the UNDER in road games this year.

Milwaukee remains a very good defensive team with a struggling offense, which has been the case every since Scott Skiles took over as head coach. The Bucks are scoring 93.9 points/game and allowing 95.2 points/game for an average combined score of 189.1 points/game. As you can see, we are getting nearly 6 full points of value based on both team's season averages.

The UNDER is 21-8 in Suns last 29 games as an underdog, including 10-1 in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. The UNDER is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The UNDER is 22-8-1 in Bucks last 31 games as a home favorite. The UNDER is 35-16 in Bucks last 51 games playing on 2 days rest. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

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