cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
On 01/23/2012 07:03 PM in NFL

Cnotes All You Need To Know About SB46 + Best Bets !

Patriots open as 3.5-point faves, but SB line not holding

SUPER BOWL XLVI, SUNDAY, FEB. 5, LUCAS OIL STADIUM, INDIANAPOLIS

NEW YORK GIANTS (12-7) VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (15-3)

Caesars Palace opening line: Patriots -3.5, 55.5; Moved to -3

MGM Mirage opening line: Patriots -3.5, 55.5; Moved to -3.5 (even)

5Dimes.com opening line: Patriots -3.5, 54; Moved to -3 (-115), 55

Cantor Gaming opening line: Patriots -3 (-115), 53.5; Total moved to 54.5

BetOnline.com opening line: Patriots -3 (-120), 55.5

Lucky’s opening line: Patriots -3.5 (even), 55

Las Vegas Hotel & Casino opening line: Patriots -3, 53.5

As soon as MGM Mirage opened the Patriots as 3.5-point favorites Sunday night, the book took a six-figure bet on New England followed by substantial professional money on the Giants.

Sportsbook manager Jay Rood hoped the two-way action was a sign of things to come.

But the book soon moved to Pats -3.5 (even), part of a trend that saw most lines shrinking toward 3.

At Caesars Palace, Giants money immediately cut the line from 3.5 to 3.

“We anticipated we’d see some New England money since they’ve been a pretty public side, but it was almost like a feast of sharks,” senior sports analyst Todd Fuhrman told ***********. “The casual gamblers and some professionals came in and grabbed the hook.”

Fuhrman believes the line will settle at 3 everywhere. So underdog players who can find 3.5 – the few 4s out there Sunday night are long gone -- should act fast.

“Three is exactly the right number to get two-way action on this game,” Fuhrman said. “If you go to 2.5, Patriots money will come flooding in. At 3.5 you’ll have nothing but Giants money.”

Rood didn’t want to post 3 initially because the game could easily end in a push. Plus, there were some 4s around when MGM Mirage opened its line.

“You book so much action on this, a push is pretty anti-climactic and financially it’s not a good situation when we’re going to do a very significant portion of our business for the year on this game,” Rood said.

“Win or lose, we want to have a decision. Ultimately, if the market pushes it to 3 or 4, it is what it is. But I wanted to open it so it would be a decision one way or the other.”

Rood expects to take a lot of Giants money through Monday from bettors who cashed with them Sunday.

“They’re rolling some of those tickets over before they leave town,” he said.

Cantor Gaming opened at -3 (-115) and drew Patriots money only because many books opened at 3.5.

Sportsbook director Mike Colbert believes the wrong team is favored.

“I just think the Giants are the better team,” he said. “I think they’ll run right through New England and defensively they’ll pressure Brady. And they already won in New England this season.”

Cantor operates multiple Vegas sportsbooks, including at the M Resort and the Venetian.

Like other book directors, Colbert is thrilled with the matchup.

“It will be tremendous two-way action,” he said, predicting the line will close at 3 flat. “We know the whole state of New York is going to be in Vegas and we know there’s a ton of support for the Patriots. This is absolutely the ideal Super Bowl.”

The public will be on both sides, Colbert said, but sharps "will do whatever they can to get 3.5 or 4 with the Giants.”

Lucky’s oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro expects heavy money line action on the Giants. So he opened his at Patriots -150 and Giants +130. Other books had the Giants at +135 or +140.

“When it comes to a dog in the Super Bowl, people love to bet the money line if that’s the team they’re rooting for,” he said. “Because of that, the money line on the favorite will close at a little bit of a bargain.”

While the spread looks straightforward and most expect it to close at 3, Vaccaro said he’s seen strange things happen in 37 years in the business.

“These games have a life of their own,” he said. “You think you can figure one out, but sometimes you’re left shaking your head.”

Total could be second highest ever

The total ranges from 53.5 to 55.5 at most books. A closing total of 55.5 would be the second-highest in Super Bowl history, behind only the 57 for the 2010 Saints-Colts matchup. The first Giants-Pats Super Bowl closed at 55.

Everyone will be calling this one "The Rematch," so get used to it.

New York spoiled the Patriots’ perfect 2007 season in Super Bowl XLII, winning 17-14. The Giants have 14 players remaining from that game, the Patriots seven.

In fact, the last two times Eli Manning faced the Pats, he led a last-minute touchdown drive to beat them.

It happened most recently Nov. 6 in Foxborough, the Giants winning 24-20 on Manning’s 1-yard scoring pass to Jake Ballard with 15 seconds left.

In their stunning Super Bowl upset four years ago, the Giants sacked Tom Brady five times and disrupted New England’s record-setting offense. Manning threw a 13-yard TD to Plaxico Burress with 35 seconds to go – four plays after David Tyree trapped Manning’s third-down pass against his helmet for a 32-yard gain.

Super Bowl Fact Sheet

The under is 5-2 in the last five Super Bowls.

The underdog has won four of the last 10 Super Bowls outright (6-4 ATS).

New York is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games, while New England is 4-4 ATS.

In two playoff games, New England has been penalized three times for a total of 25 yards.

The Giants have covered three straight against the Patriots (2-1 SU).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
01/23/2012 07:06 PM

Content of reply here...Giants And Patriots In Super Bowl Rematch

The New England Patriots and New York Giants didn’t make it easy in their respective conference title games, but they’ll meet in Super Bowl XVLI on Sunday, February 5 in Indianapolis.

Don Best just released the odds and most shops have New England as 3-point favorites, plus giving up some juice. The total is a rather large 55-55½ points.

NBC is pumped to have the telecast at 6:29 p.m. (ET) from the comfy confines of Lucas Oil Stadium. With all due respect to the Harbaugh brothers, this Super Bowl rematch from four years ago is what most fans want to see and the ratings should be spectacular.

New England (15-3 straight up, 10-8 against the spread) survived Baltimore on Sunday, 23-20 as 7-point home favorites. The Ravens appeared to have won the game late, but Lee Evans had a sure touchdown catch stripped with 27 seconds remaining. Kicker Billy Cundiff then missed a 32-yard field goal that would have sent it into overtime.

New York (12-7 SU, 11-7-1 ATS) looked like the better team in San Francisco through three quarters, but still found itself trailing 14-10 due to two long Vernon Davis TDs. However, 49ers punt returner Kyle Williams was the West Coast ‘goat’ version of Evans and Cundiff, causing one turnover in the fourth to help New York take the lead and fumbling a punt return in OT to set up the game-winning kick (20-17 final).

Looking at this Super Bowl pointspread, one can argue that the wrong team is favored. The Giants are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games and a loss in any would’ve ended their season. Those opponents (Jets, Cowboys, Falcons, Packers and 49ers) were all high quality with a combined 55-23 SU record before meeting the G-Men.

New England has won 10-straight (6-4 ATS), although the competition was pretty easy except for Baltimore. Seven of those games came against non-playoff teams with two very favorable matchups against Tim Tebow and Denver. The Patriots haven’t faced anyone ranked in the top-10 in quarterback ranking since Eli Manning in Week 9.

The Giants won that November 6 contest, 24-20 as 9-point ‘dogs. They were playing without running back Ahmad Bradshaw and receiver Hakeem Nicks, but got a clutch drive by Manning that ended with a 1-yard touchdown pass with 15 seconds left. That was reminiscent of the previous meeting, the shocking February 2008 Super Bowl win (17-14 as 12½-point ‘dogs) that ruined New England’s perfect season.

The big matchups in this game seem to favor New York as well. Manning has three very good receivers in Nicks, Victor Cruz and Mario Manningham. The Patriots pass defense ranked 31st in the regular season (294 YPG) and while the unit played well against Denver in the first round (45-10 win), Joe Flacco (306 passing yards) had a lot of success yesterday after a slow start.

New England’s offense has been fantastic for most of the year. The 32.1 PPG in the regular season ranked third behind Green Bay and New Orleans, and Brady had six passing TDs in the Denver playoff blowout. However he struggles against strong pass rushes, averaging just 20 PPG against Dallas, Pittsburgh, Baltimore and the Giants. Those teams can all bring the heat.

There’s also a big injury concern with tight end Rob Gronkowski hurting his ankle against Baltimore. He was in a walking boot after the game and while he should play, he could be far less than 100 percent.

Recent NFL betting trends also favor the Giants. The NFC is 4-0 ATS (3-1 SU) in the last four Super Bowls. Two of those were outright wins as underdogs with the Giants, plus the Saints over Indy.

The Giants are 3-1 SU and ATS overall in Super Bowls while the Patriots are 3-3 SU and 1-4-1 ATS.

So the question remains, why is New York the underdog? The main reason is the aura of quarterback Tom Brady and coach Bill Belichick and their three Super Bowl titles (most recently 2004 season). There’s a belief they won’t let this massive payback opportunity pass them by. New York’s Tom Coughlin and Manning are also a top-notch duo, but aren’t considered in the same class just yet.

The total at first blush seems high. That’s despite it being played indoors and the ‘over’ 8-2 during New England’s current winning streak. The Baltimore game was one of the ‘unders’ with a total of 50.

The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the Giants’ last six, 4-1 during their winning streak (allowing just 13.4 PPG). Shutting out the Falcons offense in the first round and then holding the Packers to 20 points at Lambeau were nothing short of phenomenal.

The ‘over’ is 2-1 in the last three Super Bowls, with an average total score of 51.3 PPG. The ‘under’ was 4-0 in the previous four, 38.3 PPG scoring.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
01/23/2012 07:10 PM

SUPER BOWL HISTORY

Superbowl Year Winner Winner's Line Loser Total Location

XLV 2010 Green Bay Packers 31 -3 Pittsburgh Steelers 25 45, OVER Arlington, TX

XLIV 2010 New Orleans Saints 31 +5 Indianapolis Colts 17 57, UNDER Miami, FL

XLIII 2009 Pittsburgh Steelers 27 -7 Arizona Cardinals 23 46, OVER Tampa, FL

XLII 2008 New York Giants 17 +12 New England Patriots 14 55, UNDER Glendale, AZ

XLI 2007 Indianapolis Colts 29 -7 Chicago Bears 17 47, UNDER Miami, FL

XL 2006 Pittsburgh Steelers 21 -4 Seattle Seahawks 10 47, UNDER Detroit, MI

XXXIX 2005 New England Patriots 24 -7 Philadelphia Eagles 21 46.5, UNDER Jacksonville, FL

XXXVIII 2004 New England Patriots 32 -7 Carolina Panthers 29 37.5, OVER Houston, TX

XXXVII 2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48 +4 Oakland Raiders 21 44, OVER San Diego, CA

XXXVI 2002 New England Patriots 20 +14 St. Louis Rams 17 53, UNDER New Orleans, LA

XXXV 2001 Baltimore Ravens 34 -3 New York Giants 7 33, OVER Tampa, FL

XXXIV 2000 St. Louis Rams 23 -7 Tennessee Titans 16 47.5, UNDER Atlanta, GA

XXXIII 1999 Denver Broncos 34 -7.5 Atlanta Falcons 19 52.5, OVER Miami, FL

XXXII 1998 Denver Broncos 31 +11 Green Bay Packers 24 49, OVER San Diego, CA

XXXI 1997 Green Bay Packers 35 -14 New England Patriots 21 49, OVER New Orleans, LA

XXX 1996 Dallas Cowboys 27 -13.5 Pittsburgh Steelers 17 51, UNDER Tempe, AZ

XXIX 1995 San Francisco 49ers 49 -18.5 San Diego Chargers 26 53.5, OVER Miami, FL

XXVIII 1994 Dallas Cowboys 30 -10.5 Buffalo Bills 13 50.5, UNDER Atlanta, GA

XXVII 1993 Dallas Cowboys 52 -6.5 Buffalo Bills 17 44.5, OVER Pasadena, CA

XXVI 1992 Washington Redskins 37 -7 Buffalo Bills 24 49, OVER Minneapolis, MN

XXV 1991 New York Giants 20 +7 Buffalo Bills 19 40.5, UNDER Tampa, FL

XXIV 1990 San Francisco 49ers 55 -12 Denver Broncos 10 48, OVER New Orleans, LA

XXIII 1989 San Francisco 49ers 20 -7 Cincinnati Bengals 16 48, UNDER Miami, FL

XXII 1988 Washington Redskins 42 +3 Denver Broncos 10 47, OVER San Diego, CA

XXI 1987 New York Giants 39 -9.5 Denver Broncos 20 40, OVER Pasadena, CA

XX 1986 Chicago Bears 46 -10 New England Patriots 10 37.5, OVER New Orleans, LA

XIX 1985 San Francisco 49ers 38 -3.5 Miami Dolphins 16 53.5, OVER Stanford, CA

XVIII 1984 LA Raiders 38 +3 Washington Redskins 9 48, UNDER Tampa, FL

XVII 1983 Washington Redskins 27 +3 Miami Dolphins 17 36.5, OVER Pasadena, CA

XVI 1982 San Francisco 49ers 26 -1 Cincinnati Bengals 21 48, UNDER Pontiac, MI

XV 1981 Oakland Raiders 27 +3 Philadelphia Eagles 10 37.5, UNDER New Orleans, LA

XIV 1980 Pittsburgh Steelers 31 -10.5 Los Angeles Rams 19 36, OVER Pasadena, CA

XIII 1979 Pittsburgh Steelers 35 -3.5 Dallas Cowboys 31 37, OVER Miami, FL

XII 1978 Dallas Cowboys 27 -6 Denver Broncos 10 39, UNDER New Orleans, LA

XI 1977 Oakland Raiders 32 -4 Minnesota Vikings 14 38, OVER Pasadena, CA

X 1976 Pittsburgh Steelers 21 -7 Dallas Cowboys 17 36, OVER Miami, FL

IX 1975 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 -3 Minnesota Vikings 6 33, UNDER New Orleans, LA

VIII 1974 Miami Dolphins 24 -6.5 Minnesota Vikings 7 33, UNDER Houston, TX

VII 1973 Miami Dolphins 14 -1 Washington Redskins 7 33, UNDER Los Angeles, CA

VI 1972 Dallas Cowboys 24 -6 Miami Dolphins 3 34, UNDER New Orleans, LA

V 1971 Baltimore Colts 16 -2.5 Dallas Cowboys 13 36, UNDER Miami, FL

IV 1970 Kansas City Chiefs 23 +12 Minnesota Vikings 7 39, UNDER New Orleans, LA

III 1969 New York Jets 16 +18 Baltimore Colts 7 40, UNDER Miami, FL

II 1968 Green Bay Packers 33 -13.5 Oakland Raiders 14 43, OVER Miami, FL

I 1967 Green Bay Packers 35 -14 Kansas City Chiefs 10 NL Los Angeles, CA

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
01/23/2012 07:13 PM

Super Bowl XLVI Opener

January 22, 2012

This year’s playoffs have watched the home team post an 8-2 straight up and 6-4 against the spread record. We’ve also witnessed a nice share of blowouts, with five of the first eight games decided by double digits. Prior to the conference championships, the smallest outcome was four points, as San Francisco beat New Orleans 36-32 in the Divisional Playoffs last weekend.
Fortunately, fans were treated to a pair of three-point outcomes and most would agree that you could easily be looking at the 49ers and Ravens squaring off in this spot. Who would you rather be, Ravens kicker Billy Cundiff or 49ers punt returner Kyle Williams?

Most total players probably had mixed emotions too after Sunday. After watching the ‘over’ notch a 6-2 mark in the two early rounds, the ‘under’ bounced back with a 2-0 mark in the Championship round. New England and Baltimore closed at 49 and if Cundiff makes his missed field goal, you’re looking at a worst case scenario of a push. The Giants and 49ers also had a chance with the new overtime rule but the ‘under’ was the right side, with the sharps and public both cashing tickets.


Super Bowl XLVI from Indianapolis (2/5/12)

New England vs. New York Giants

Line: Patriots -3 (54.5)

Movement: The Greek started the festivities with the Patriots -3.5 and they’ve been holding steady. The Las Vegas Hilton opened 3 while the Wynn opened 4. The Hilton is strong on 3, while the Wynn adjusted down. The total has a lot of nice options, depending where you shop. You can get as low 54 and as high as 55.5.

Betting Notes: Gamblers will have to choose between a pair of red-hot teams in the finale. Since losing at home to the Giants (20-24) in Week 9, the Patriots have won 10 straight (6-4 ATS). Ironically, New York dropped four consecutive and five of six games after beating New England. Then, the Giants closed the regular season with two wins and ripped off another three in the playoffs, two coming on the road. The Patriots went 6-2 on the road this season, losing at Buffalo (31-34) in Week 3 and to Pittsburgh (17-25) in Week 8. The Giants posted a 7-3 record both SU and ATS away from home. The Patriots didn't play indoors during the regular season. The Giants played three games in a dome or under a retractable roof. In those encounters, New York went 2-1 both SU and ATS, and all three games went ‘over’ the number.

Super Bowl Betting Notes


New England is 3-1 in Super Bowls under head coach Bill Belichick

The Patriots have failed to cover (0-3 ATS, 2-1 SU) when listed as favorites in the Super Bowl

The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 in the four SBs under Belichick as well

The Giants beat the Patriots 17-14 in Super Bowl XLII. The combined 31 points never threatened the closing total of 55

The Giants have been to the Super Bowl four times, going 3-1, winning twice outright as underdogs

The NFC has won three of the last four Super Bowls and they’ve covered all four during this stretch

The last three Super Bowls with a total of 50 or more all saw the 'under' cash

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
01/23/2012 07:15 PM

SBXLVI Betting Notes

January 23, 2012

Before the Conference Championship games were played Sunday, most Las Vegas bookmakers had a feeling that the matchup between the Patriots-Giants would have New England being a 4 ½ to 5-point favorite for the Super Bowl. But just as New York’s Lawrence Tynes was kicking his game winning overtime field goal -- the second time he's done it in a championship game -- the LVH Super Book hung the Patriots minus-3, which came as a shockingly low number to a few.
Other books like the South Point and Station Casinos opened the Patriots at -3 ½-flat, but within minutes the line came tumbling down to -3. MGM Resorts went from -3 ½ to -3 ½ (EV) with hopes that they won’t ever go to the key number -3, a worst case scenario in a game of this magnitude if it lands on 3 and they find themselves bouncing on and off the number.

It’s apparent that we witnessed Sunday had a major bearing on what the Super Bowl line would open as.

“We just felt that the Giants aggressive play on both sides of the ball, especially their strong defensive play, was more impressive than the Patriots play, not only on Sunday, but against all quality competition this season,” said LVH executive director Jay Kornegay.

The Giants battled all game long against one of the league’s top defenses in their 20-17 win at San Francisco while the Patriots found themselves very fortunate to come out with a 23-20 home victory over the Ravens. The Giants have had the most rapid increase in their power rating the last five weeks.

Despite the game being on a key number right now, Kornegay said his booking strategy for a game of this magnitude will be vastly different from any of the playoff or regular season games played this season.

“We’re not going to settle in to a number right now,” said Kornegay, “we’ll probably have a larger extension to risk at a certain number as we get closer to the game, but early on we’ll let the money move us quicker until we find what the right number is whether that means 3, 2 ½ or 3 ½.”

Three is a dangerous number to play with and most sports books are probably hoping that the game runs one way or another to avoid the most popular margin of victory in pro football. The five year average of all pro football games shows 14.6% of all games landing on 3, not including both of Sunday’s Championship games which were both won by three-point margins.

Should the sports books find themselves jumping back and forth around the most dangerous number in the biggest game of the year, and then the favored team happened to win by 3, it’ll be a rough decision for the house.

The hope for most sports books is that the what-we-saw-last mentality wears off and that favored team gets back up to -3 ½, and maybe even -4, before the massive onslaught of action begins on the final weekend.

It was just last season when we saw a steady 3 last throughout with the favored Packers beating the Steelers 31-25. Before that, the last 3 we saw in the Super Bowl was the Ravens beating the Giants 34-7 after the 2001 season.

Regardless of what the number settles on, Kornegay expects handle to be great for this game.

“With these two teams, I would expect the handle to match last seasons ($87 million),” said Kornegay.

Last year’s Super Bowl saw a net win of only $724,176 across the entire state for a low 0.8% that left many major sports books as losers for the day, something they hope doesn’t reoccur this year. They definitely don‘t want a repeat the 2008 Super Bowl that saw the Giants win straight-up as 12-point underdogs against the Patriots. That was the worst Super Bowl in Nevada history with a loss of $2.57 Million (-2.8%).

That Super Bowl loss was spurred by the majority of small money piling up on a deflated money-line price with the underdog. Despite getting no value on the money-line, bettors still lined up to bet the Giants to win straight-up and the books couldn’t make up to the 3-to-1 payouts.

This is the only game of the year where sharp money means very little. The movement we saw Sunday night when the line was first posted was dictated by large money with lower limits. But once the days start to count down to February 5, all the little $20 bets will account for much more than a single $20,000 wager from a wise guy.

The all-time record for Super Bowl handle was in 2006 when a booming economy sent $94.5 million in wagers through Nevada sports book windows. The Steelers-Seahawks game didn’t provide the most glamorous matchup in Super Bowl history, but cash was flowing through Vegas from all neighborhoods at that time like never before.

If Nevada is able to match last year’s great matchup as Kornegay says is possible, than it should be considered a success. Now the hard part is winning and trying to match the all-time win record, which was in 2005 when books held 17% with $15.4 million in win. That was a bookmakers dream where the favored Patriots (-7) won 24-21, but didn’t cover against the Eagles and the game stayed UNDER (46 ½).

Sports Books Do Well Sunday

Between banking conference future wagers and beginning Sunday with the best possible scenario in the AFC Championship game, the Las Vegas sports books did well. It was a bookmakers dream with the favored Patriots (-7) winning 23-20, but not covering against the Ravens. The dream got even better when the game stayed UNDER the total (49).

There was still some leftover risk from that game going into the late game and the Giants had the edge from public play making it the worst possible decision. However, with the game staying UNDER the total (41), it made the best out of a possible bad situation.

“We did very well in the early games, but the bettors got some of it back late with the Giants,” said South Point sports book director Bert Osborne. “It didn’t help matters that 7-point teaser went 8-0 on the day and 6-point teasers went 7-1.”

Imagine that, if you had just gone to the betting window and said let me tease every side and total 7-points, you would have walked away a winner as every game stayed within the boundaries of the spread. Last season in the championship round, teasers were 7-1, which may be why some sports books don’t offer teasers in the playoffs.

South Point Sports Book Service

I spent Sunday afternoon watching and betting the games at the South Point sports book and my jaw dropped when I noticed that they had 12 windows exclusively open for sports betting. It’s the only all sports book in town that has a race book with each in its own separate part of the casino, which makes it nice, but that type of service in this era of companies squeezing every cent in their labor force left me in amazement.

Most other sports books in town have had to down size their labor force considerably. From an economic stand point, it’s understandable on their end because the labor expense is really the only expenditure that they can have a real grip on. Most of you may have noticed that more and more race and sports books have gone to having multi-task windows that take both pari-mutual horse and sports wagers. That all works nice when the time of day is slow, but at key moments such as when a race is going off and games are kicking or tipping off simultaneously, both race and sports bettors sometimes get shut out.

It’s easy for the book to say, ”You’ve had all day to bet this race or that game,” but at some point a depleted race and sports book staff -- which is the case almost everywhere in town -- should have cause for concern by upper management who rarely see those shut out moments.

The small percentage of guests that call to complain are brushed off as constant complainers and those who don’t complain just choose to go elsewhere and are never heard from again.

This is why a tip of the cap and a salute goes out to Osborne and his staff for never getting anyone shut-out and for Michael Gaughan ensuring that a lack of labor will never cost him a guest.

Super Bowl Party at the Clarion

Last season Brian Blessing and Sports Book Radio hosted a Super Bowl party at the NASCAR Café that people are still talking about a year later. It was awesome! NASCAR Café is now closed, but the manager of those great events, Randy Goldich, has moved on to the Clarion on convention center drive and he’s providing an even better party this year.

For a mere $60, your entry includes an open bar from 1:00 p.m. on and non-stop food such as the all-you-can-eat ribs, beef on weck, wings, hot dogs and more. Everyone will be given a free commemorative t-shirt upon entry and they’ll be giving away all kinds of prizes throughout the game such as a 42” plasma TV.

The entire party will be taking place inside the Star Theatre at the Clarion. So go hang out with Brian and Randy and let them you show you a great time on Super Bowl Sunday, or as they have to call it, “The Big Game Bash” so the NFL lawyers don’t get angry with them. To make reservations, call Randy at (702) 238-8539.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
01/23/2012 07:17 PM

The Rematch: Pats-Giants in Super Bowl

January 22, 2012

A Super Sequel.

Four years after New York stunned previously undefeated New England in the Arizona desert, the Patriots and Giants are going at it again at the Super Bowl - this time in Indianapolis.

Brady and Belichick. Eli and Coughlin. Both teams rolling through the playoffs.

Yep, here we go again.

New England, which lost to New York 24-20 in early November, opened as a 3-point favorite for the Feb. 5 game. The Patriots have won 10 straight, with their last loss being to - you guessed it - the Giants.

``We know they're a great team,'' Giants quarterback Eli Manning said. ``We played them already this year. They've been playing great football recently.''

It's familiar territory for Tom Brady and the Patriots (15-3), who are playing in the Super Bowl for the fifth time in 11 years.

``Being in this situation is a great moment,'' Patriots nose tackle Vince Wilfork said. ``You have to cherish this moment.''

It's the Patriots' first appearance since Manning and the Giants (12-7) upset New England's pursuit of perfection in 2008. Back then, New England was a 12-point favorite, but New York's defense battered Brady, and Manning connected with Plaxico Burress on a late touchdown to win the Giants' third Super Bowl.

That TD came, of course, a few moments after one of the biggest plays in playoff history: Manning escaped the grasp of a few Patriots defenders and found David Tyree, who put New York in scoring position by pinning the football against his helmet for a jaw-dropping catch.

New England hopes to avoid that sort of drama this time around. Unless it goes in the Patriots' favor, as it did in the AFC title game.

Brady was unusually subpar in the Patriots' 23-20 victory over Baltimore, throwing for 239 yards with two interceptions and, for the first time in 36 games, no TD passes. But he got some help from the Patriots' much-maligned defense, which made some crucial stops down the stretch.

A few mistakes by the Ravens helped greatly, too, as Billy Cundiff shanked a 32-yard field goal attempt with 11 seconds left - soon after Lee Evans had a potential winning touchdown catch ripped out of his hands in the end zone.

``Childlike joy. It's all about childlike joy,'' linebacker Jerod Mayo said. ``Last night felt like the day before Christmas for me and I haven't had that feeling in a long time.''

New England last won the Super Bowl in 2005, a long drought after the Patriots took home Lombardi trophies three times in four years. There are only a handful of players left from that team, with guys like Corey Dillon, Tedy Bruschi and Rodney Harrison replaced by young up-and-comers such as Mayo, Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez.

``It doesn't even feel right, especially playing with the veterans here,'' Gronkowski said. ``I watched them go to the Super Bowl as I was growing up, and now I'm part of it? It is an unreal moment.''

The constants, though, are Brady and Bill Belichick. And that's been a winning combination for New England.

Belichick did perhaps his finest coaching job, piecing together a defense that ranked second-to-last in the league during the regular season. That led to plenty of shootouts, and Brady was more than up to the task, throwing for a career-high 5,235 yards while tossing 39 touchdown passes.

``They're an amazing team,'' Patriots owner Robert Kraft said. ``They're a great brotherhood; they're a family.''

The Giants appeared on the verge of collapsing with Tom Coughlin's job status in jeopardy just a month ago, when they fell to 7-7 with an embarrassing loss to the Washington Redskins on Dec. 18.

``We've been here before,'' linebacker Mathias Kiwanuka said at the time, ``and we'll get back.''

Boy, was he right.

``I'm just proud of the guys, what we've overcome this year, what we've been through, just never having any doubts, keep believing in our team that we could get hot and start playing our best football,'' Manning said.

The Giants were facing elimination the following week against the rival Jets and Rex Ryan, who boldly declared that his group was king of New York. Well, Coughlin's crew silenced Ryan with a 29-14 victory. The Giants followed that with a 31-14 win over Dallas in the regular-season finale to clinch the NFC East and get to the playoffs for the first time since 2008.

New York dominated Atlanta at home in the opening round. Then came another stunner: a 37-20 victory at Green Bay - knocking out the defending Super Bowl champions.

Manning extended the best season of his career with one more solid performance. Specials teams proved the difference in overtime, as Jacquian Williams forced a fumble on a punt return and Lawrence Tynes kicked the Giants past the San Francisco 49ers 20-17 for the NFC title.

``Hats off to Eli, offense, defense,'' Tynes said. ``Great win.''

And now, it's off to Indy. Giants-Patriots, one more time.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
01/23/2012 07:19 PM

Manning, Giants to face Pats again

January 23, 2012

Hey, Indianapolis. A Manning will be playing in your Super Bowl, after all.

No, not that one.

It'll be Eli Manning leading the New York Giants to a Super Bowl rematch against the New England Patriots - and this time on older brother Peyton's home field.

``It doesn't matter to me where you're playing it or the fact that it's in Indianapolis,'' Eli Manning said. ``I'm just excited about being in one.''

And if the Giants can pull this one off, Eli will have sibling bragging rights with one more Super Bowl ring than Peyton, who missed this season for the Colts after having neck surgery.

It sure won't be easy for the Giants, though. Four years after New York stunned previously undefeated New England in the Arizona desert, they'll play a Super sequel.

Eli vs. Brady. Coughlin vs. Belichick. The Giants vs. the Patriots.

Sound familiar? Here we go again.

``It's awesome and we look forward to the challenge,'' Giants defensive end Osi Umenyiora said. ``They are a great football team. They have always been a great football team. We are looking forward to it, and it's going to be a great game.''

Well, judging from the last time these teams met in the Super Bowl - David Tyree's jaw-dropping, helmet-pinning catch and all - it just might be.

``Being in this situation is a great moment,'' Patriots nose tackle Vince Wilfork said. ``You have to cherish this moment.''

New England (15-3) opened as a 3-point favorite for the Feb. 5 game against New York (12-7), but the Patriots know all about being in this position. They were favored by 12 points and pursuing perfection in 2008, but New York's defense battered Brady, and Manning connected with Plaxico Burress on a late touchdown to win the Giants' third Super Bowl.

That TD came, of course, a few moments after one of the biggest plays in playoff history: Manning escaping the grasp of Patriots defenders and finding Tyree, who put New York in scoring position by trapping the football against his helmet.

``Hopefully, we will have the same result,'' Umenyiora said. ``We still have one more game to go, but this is truly unbelievable.''

Especially since the Giants appeared on the verge of collapsing with Tom Coughlin's job status in jeopardy just a month ago, when they fell to 7-7 with an embarrassing loss to the Washington Redskins on Dec. 18.

``We've been here before,'' linebacker Mathias Kiwanuka said at the time, ``and we'll get back.''

Boy, was he right.

The Giants were facing elimination against the rival Jets and Rex Ryan, who boldly declared that his team ruled New York. Well, Coughlin's crew silenced Ryan with a 29-14 victory. The Giants followed that with a 31-14 win over Dallas in the regular-season finale to clinch the NFC East and get to the playoffs for the first time since the 2008 season.

New York dominated Atlanta at home in the opening round. Then came a stunner: a 37-20 victory at Green Bay - knocking out the defending Super Bowl champions.

On Sunday, Manning extended the best season of his career with one more solid performance, and Lawrence Tynes kicked the Giants past the San Francisco 49ers 20-17 in overtime for the NFC title.

``I'm just proud of the guys, what we've overcome this year, what we've been through,'' Manning said, ``just never having any doubts, keep believing in our team that we could get hot and start playing our best football.''

The Patriots are rolling into the Super Bowl having won 10 straight, with their last loss being to - you guessed it - the Giants, 24-20 back in early November.

``We know they're a great team,'' Manning said. ``We played them already this year. They've been playing great football recently.''

They sure have. And now Brady and the Patriots are in familiar territory, playing in the Super Bowl for the fifth time in 11 years - and first since the stunning upset in Arizona.

New England hopes to avoid all that sort of drama this time around. Unless it goes in the Patriots' favor, as it did in the AFC title game.

Brady was unusually subpar in the Patriots' 23-20 victory over Baltimore, throwing for 239 yards with two interceptions and, for the first time in 36 games, no TD passes. But he got some help from the Patriots' much-maligned defense, which made some crucial stops down the stretch.

A few mistakes by the Ravens helped greatly, too, as Billy Cundiff shanked a 32-yard field goal attempt with 11 seconds left - soon after Lee Evans had a potential winning touchdown catch ripped out of his hands in the end zone.

``Childlike joy. It's all about childlike joy,'' linebacker Jerod Mayo said. ``Last night felt like the day before Christmas for me and I haven't had that feeling in a long time.''

New England last won the Super Bowl in 2005, a long drought considering that the Patriots took home Lombardi trophies three times in four years. There are only a handful of players left from that team, with guys like Corey Dillon, Tedy Bruschi and Rodney Harrison replaced by young up-and-comers such as Mayo, Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez.

``It doesn't even feel right, especially playing with the veterans here,'' Gronkowski said. ``I watched them go to the Super Bowl as I was growing up, and now I'm part of it? It is an unreal moment.''

The constants, though, are Brady and Bill Belichick. And that's been a winning combination for New England, combining to become the first QB-coach combination to win five conference championships in the Super Bowl era.

Belichick did perhaps his finest coaching job this season, piecing together a defense that ranked second-to-last in the league during the regular season. That led to plenty of shootouts, and Brady was more than up to the task, throwing for a career-high 5,235 yards while tossing 39 touchdown passes.

``They're an amazing team,'' Patriots owner Robert Kraft said. ``They're a great brotherhood; they're a family.''

And they're all looking to lift another Super Bowl trophy together. Patriots-Giants. One more time.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
01/23/2012 07:22 PM

Early Super Bowl Preview

NEW YORK GIANTS (12-7)

vs. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (15-3)


Super Bowl XLVI
Lucas Oil Stadium - Indianapolis, IN
Kickoff: Sunday, Feb. 5, 6:30 p.m. EDT
Line: New England -3, Total: 55.5

The StatFox Pro Football Pass boasts a 7-3 record against the spread so far this NFL postseason, picking up right where it left off after a wildly successful NFL regular season. It’s now time to focus attention on the Super Bow, and there will be plenty of talk leading up to February 5 about the similarities between Super Bowls XLVI and XLII. While there are a slew of returnees from the classic—Eli Manning, Tom Brady, Justin Tuck, Wes Welker, Osi Umenyiora, Tom Coughlin and Bill Belichick to name a few—the dynamic of this year’s game is going to be much different. Four years ago, the Patriots went to Arizona as undefeated, double-digit favorites. The number is much smaller this time around, with New England having opened as a three-point favorite.

Big Blue has caught fire at just the right time. They’ve been in do-or-die mode since Week 17 of the regular season, when they dispatched of Dallas for the NFC East crown. Since then, they’ve hammered the Falcons at home, blasted the defending champion Packers in Green Bay and outlasted the Niners and the NFL’s best defense in San Francisco.

Eli Manning is right on par with Tom Brady in the quarterback matchup. Manning has the big-game postseason résumé to match Brady, and he’s playing some of the best football of his career right now. The biggest mismatch of the game will be Manning’s receivers—Hakeem Nicks, Victor Cruz and Mario Manningham—against the Patriots’ patchwork secondary. While trotting out a secondary that includes converted WR Julian Edelman and practice squad veterans Sterling Moore and James Ihedigbo makes for an interesting talking point, their play was so poor in the AFC title game that it nearly cost the Patriots the game. Belichick has been unable to come up with a gameplan to slow down opposing passing games all year; with Nicks out and his accuracy shaky, Manning still threw for 250 yards and led two touchdown drives in the final seven minutes in Foxboro.

Brady, however, is still the NFL’s best big-game quarterback. The Patriots have a more versatile running game than they did in Super Bowl XLII, and they could find success on the ground against a Giants defense that’s more interested in getting upfield than it is stopping the run—the Niners did run for 150 yards on the Giants in the NFC title game. The status of TE Rob Gronkowski’s ankle injury, which the Patriots will guard like a state secret, is also something to keep an eye on going forward. Gronk had 101 receiving yards and a late TD catch (that seemed like it would be the game winner) in the teams’ first meeting.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
01/25/2012 07:02 PM

Report: Pats TE Gronkowski dealing with ligament damage

New England Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski is dealing with some ligament damage in his left ankle, the Boston Herald reported on Tuesday.

Gronkowski left the stadium in a walking boot following Sunday's 23-20 victory over the Baltimore Ravens. Despite the injury, Gronkowski is expected to play in the Super Bowl against the New York Giants.

"We’ll see how it goes with Rob, and some of the other players that are getting treatment," Patriots coach Bill Belichick said. "We’ll see how it is when we get back out on the field. We haven’t practiced in the last couple of days. We’ll see how it is when it’s time to go."

Gronkowski injured his ankle on a 23-yard reception in the final minute of the third quarter. The second-year tight end later returned to the game, telling reporters he went to get the ankle re-taped.

He finished with five receptions for 87 yards but did not make a catch after he was hurt.

Gronkowski has had a monster season, setting records for tight ends for touchdowns (17) and receiving yards (1,327).

He also came up huge in New England's 45-10 playoff win over Denver, hauling in 10 catches for 145 yards and three touchdowns.

The Patriots are set as 3-point favorites with a 55-point total in next Sunday's game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
01/25/2012 07:07 PM

Books scared of a "Middle"

January 24, 2012

We’ve had 10 Super Bowls with the spread hovering around minus-3 and none of them have landed on the number. This year’s Super Bowl opened with the Patriots as 3 ½-point favorites and quickly went to -3 and based on the way almost every book has -3 (EVEN) posted, it looks as though we could be seeing -2 ½ quickly, but Cantor Gaming sports book director Mike Colbert hopes it doesn’t and based on past history, it probably won‘t.
“I think 3-flat (-110) is the perfect number that the betting public understands,“ said Colbert who opened the Patriots -3 (-115) and is currently at -3 (-105). “I’m hoping we get balanced up enough to where we can go in to next week with a 3-flat.”

In recent history, we have seen four of the five Super Bowls that have landed on 3 occur and they all involved the Patriots. In each of their games, the spread never came into question as they were 14-point underdogs to the Rams, 7-point favorites against both the Panthers and Eagles and 12-point favorites against the Giants.

“I’m superstitious, so now I’m really not getting off the number,” Colbert said jokingly after told about the Patriots love of 3 in the Super Bowl. “Obviously we don’t want a push, but until we get overwhelming support for the Giants that puts us in too much jeopardy, I’m staying on the number.”

“We got early action on the Patriots because we opened lower than what the market had, but since then it’s been all Giants money. However, I do think it will even out because the Patriots have been a public team, along with the Packers, all season.”

There have been 37 games (13.9%) this season that landed on 3, including both Championship games last Sunday. The sports books want a decision in the game, but not at the risk of putting their property in harm’s way.

The last two Super Bowls that ended in pushes were the Rams (-7) beating the Titans 23-16 in SBXXXIV and the Packers (-14) beating the Patriots 35-21 in SBXXXI. In each case, there were lines a mile long at the books with everyone getting refunds. The books all ended up small winners due to propositions and OVER-UNDER wagers, but a decision with the type of volume that happens in these games is what they want, because it’s very rare that the books lose the big game.

But messing around with a key number can get a book into serious trouble by either getting sided or getting middle, which happened in the Super Bowl following the 1979 season when the Steelers played the Cowboys. Jimmy Vaccaro was just getting started in the sports book business at the Royal Inn and remembers it being a real education into bookmaking.

“You have to remember that things were much different back then. Most of the casinos in town didn’t have sports books, there was no Internet and most of the betting people did from outside the state was through bookmakers,” said Vaccaro. On the East Coast, many of the bookmakers knew people were going to bet the Steelers so they were making bettors lay -4 ½ with Pittsburgh. On the West Coast, many of the bookmakers were operating with a line of -2 ½ because of knowing they’d get Dallas money.”

So Vaccaro knew what the market was on each side of the coast and had to set the line for his book. The Cowboys were considered "America's Team" and defending Super Bowl champions and the Steelers had won back-to-back Super Bowls two years earlier.

“I opened the Steelers minus-3, got as high as 4 ½ and finally closed at 3 ½. Some of the little bet shops around town were also offering a promotional deal to create more business to their place by offering the Steelers at -3 ½ and Cowboys at +4 ½. None of us thought the game would land 4, but you know how the rest of the story goes.”

Steelers 35 Cowboys 31

“It’s never a good thing when you’re paying everyone as winners or giving their money back on a push,” said Vaccaro. “And back then we didn’t have computer systems to quickly generate an overall win-loss result. I knew the figure was going to be bad, but I had to wait and hand grade every ticket and it took over four hours until I was able to give a final answer to Michael (Royal Inn owner, Michael Gaughan, current owner of the South Point).”

“We had lines of people backed up all the way to convention center drive waiting to cash,” said Vaccaro. “It was a great baptism into bookmaking and a lesson very well learned.”

Although there aren’t many current bookmakers around who actually experienced the sting of that day, they all know the story of what happened on the fateful day known as “Black Sunday.” With a little history lesson intertwined, it’s quite understandable to see why we may never see the Patriots game drop below -3, no matter how much money is attached.

With the way the action is currently going, we could see Patriots -3 (+115) before someone finally makes the move to -2 ½. More than 99.9% of the action on the game is still to come, so each of the books in Las Vegas has plenty of time to make their move without getting stung too bad by getting middled or sided. But no one wants to be first. If making a guess on who might be first in Vegas, it would have to be the South Point which only uses flat (-110) numbers.

We’ll keep you updated along the way as it happens.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: