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steve_janus
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NBA FREE PICK: Detroit Pistons +8

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On 01/12/2012 03:59 PM in Cappers
Detroit vs. Milwaukee, 01/12/2012 20:00
Point Spread: +8/-105 Detroit

With the Pistons coming into this game having lost five straight, your first thought might be to jump on Milwaukee, who is coming off an impressive home win over the Spurs. However, I think the line has been inflated due to how bad the Pistons appear to be playing. Detroit has played an absolutely brutal schedule to start the season. Their last five games have came against the Bulls, 76ers, Knicks, Bulls, and Mavericks.

The Bucks are excited about the return of center Andrew Bogut, but it's not like this team was playing all that great before he left the team for personal reasons. Outside of that win over the Spurs on Tuesday, their two other wins this season came against the Timberwolves and Wizards.

The Pistons will be playing without one of their key players in Rodney Stuckey, but Detroit has had a lot of success against Milwaukee in years past. The Pistons have won 5 of the last 8 in the series and are 6-2 ATS in those games.

Detroit got hammered in their last game, falling 86-100 to Dallas. Believe it or not that actually is a good thing for the Pistons tonight, as they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Milwaukee is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, and just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. division opponents. BET THE PISTONS +8!

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