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junkmansports
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MLB TRENDS

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On 09/06/2011 08:45 AM in MLB

HOT TEAM: Los Angeles Dodgers

THIS SEASON: 68-71
LAST WEEK: 6-1

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Nationals for four, at the Giants for three.

THE SKINNY: Much has been made of the race between the Diamondbacks and Giants in the NL West. Now, that Arizona truly has the upper hand now, perhaps people will start to notice the left-for-dead Dodgers.

Is Los Angeles going to mount an autumn rally? Absolutely not. But Matt Kemp and Co. are salvaging a little pride here in September, and that’s good news for bettors.

Heading into Monday’s matinee vs. Washington, the Dodgers had won 11 of the last 13 games, and Sunday’s 4-3 loss to the Braves snapped a six-game winning streak. Kemp, with a home run and three RBIs on Sunday, took terrific totals of 32 and 105 into this week’s action.

The Dodgers, 11.5 games behind Arizona through Sunday, are still playing with some fire for Don Mattingly. And at this point, it’s clear they’re shooting for an over-.500 seasons. Might want to jump on board.

COLD TEAM: Pittsburgh Pirates

THIS SEASON: 64-76
LAST WEEK: 2-5

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Astros for three, home to the Marlins for three.

THE SKINNY: A month ago, after the additions of Derrek Lee and Ryan Ludwick, it seemed clear the Pirates were going to snap that awful 18-year-long streak of losing seasons. Heck, they were still even challenging in the NL Central at that point. But you can forget the latter now, and the former is about to head that way, too.

At 12 games under .500 through Sunday, and 19.5 games behind the first-place Brewers, it's all over but the crying for the Pirates. The morale is gone, the fans are, too, and when you get swept by Houston of all teams, like they did last week, there’s not much left to go on.

OVER TEAM: Baltimore Orioles

O/U THIS SEASON: 75-58-5
O/U LAST WEEK: 4-2-1

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Yankees for four, at the Blue Jays for three.

THE SKINNY: Who says bad teams don’t make any money for bettors? Not only are the Orioles one of the best fade teams out there -- if you can stomach the price, of course -- Buck Showalter’s crew is still clicking in the over category, even in September, when rosters expand and offense often disappears.

Not when you play the Orioles, who allowed 24 runs in the first four games this month, and also gave up 24 in just three games vs. Toronto last week. Starter Jeremy Guthrie, the best they have to offer right now, has a 4.45 ERA and lost his 17th game on Sunday. Keep Baltimore on your over radar.

UNDER TEAM: Oakland Athletics

O/U THIS SEASON: 69-59-12
O/U LAST WEEK: 2-5

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Royals for three, at the Rangers for three.

THE SKINNY: The Athletics were on an over run for the ages earlier this summer, and if you knew when to jump off that train, kudos to you. It wasn’t going to last forever, right? There are a lot of bad offensive teams in the American League and the Athletics play in a pitchers park, after all.

So, Oakland has cooled off, to say the least, in over-land. A four-game winning streak through Sunday has coincided with some pitching and defense. Oakland rolled up a five-game under streak along the way, and headed into Monday’s series opener vs. Kansas City, having registered two shutouts in the last four games.

The offense has been quiet at times, as Josh Willingham (79) is the only Athletic with a realistic shot at 100 RBIs, and Sunday’s lineup vs. Seattle, featured only one hitter with a .280 average or better (Jemile Weeks, .292). Oakland -- thanks to the summer surge that’s now long gone -- should still finish above .500 with overs. But if you’re an under player, you might want to ride this wave through the rest of the month.
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Pfile Nickname junkmansports
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09/06/2011 09:16 AM
TREND SHEET
SEPTEMBER 6, 7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Atlanta's last 21 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Philadelphia's last 21 games when playing at home against Atlanta

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SEPTEMBER 6, 7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit
Cleveland is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit

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SEPTEMBER 6, 7:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. WASHINGTON
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Washington

Washington is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

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SEPTEMBER 6, 7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Baltimore is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

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SEPTEMBER 6, 7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
Houston is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Pittsburgh
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

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SEPTEMBER 6, 7:07 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road

Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

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SEPTEMBER 6, 7:10 PM
NY METS vs. FLORIDA
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 17 of NY Mets's last 25 games when playing Florida

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games at home
Florida is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games at home

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SEPTEMBER 6, 7:10 PM
TEXAS vs. TAMPA BAY
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

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SEPTEMBER 6, 8:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chi Cubs's last 23 games at home

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SEPTEMBER 6, 8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
Chi White Sox are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Minnesota

Minnesota is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

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SEPTEMBER 6, 8:15 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

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SEPTEMBER 6, 8:40 PM
ARIZONA vs. COLORADO
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado

Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

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SEPTEMBER 6, 10:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Oakland

Oakland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

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SEPTEMBER 6, 10:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego

The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games

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SEPTEMBER 6, 10:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing Seattle

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