cnotes Posts:27570 Followers:33
09/08/2011 07:56 PM

Games to Watch - Week 2

September 8, 2011


Saturday - Oregon State at Wisconsin (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)
Matchup Skinny

Oregon St. vs. Wisconsin

The Wynn opened Wisconsin as a 16-point favorite Sunday night and I immediately noted (via twitter) that that number was way too short and that I had made the Badgers 21-point 'chalk.' When the other books chimed in over the next hour and change, most went with Wisconsin by 18 or 18 ½. By Monday afternoon, the number had settled at 21 and the total went out at 57 late Tuesday. Brett Bielema's team's team raced out to a 51-3 lead over UNLV in its opener last Thursday, but it failed to cover as a 35-point home favorite when UNLV got the backdoor cover thanks to a pair of fourth-quarter TDs against Wisconsin's back-ups. The jury is still out on Wisconsin's defense, but the offense looks like a juggernaut with its traditional power running game and a dynamic QB in Russell Wilson, who can make plays with his arm and his scrambling. Oregon St. got off to an awful start last week, losing outright at home to Sacramento St. The Beavers were playing without four starters, including star WR James Rodgers, and none of those four are expected to be in uniform at Camp Randall.



Saturday - Utah at USC (Versus, 7:30 p.m.)
Matchup Skinny

Utah vs. USC

Utah will get its first taste of Pac-12 play when it comes to Southern California to face USC, which was barely able to hold off Minnesota by a 19-17 count in Week 1. Matt Barkley completed 34-of-45 passes for 304 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Robert Woods hauled in 17 catches for 177 yards and all three TDs. Lane Kiffin's incompetence was evident when a pair of two-point conversions failed following first-half TDs. Those decisions had Minnesota in position to get into field-goal range for a game-winning kick in the final minute, but the Trojans intercepted a pass at midfield with 53 ticks remaining. Utah beat Montana St. 27-10 in its opener thanks to John White, who rushed for 150 yards and one TD and caught a TD pass from Jordan Wynn. As of Wednesday afternoon, most books were listing USC as a nine-point favorite with a total of 52 ½. Gamblers can take the Utes to win outright for a plus-290 payout (risk $100 to win $290). Kyle Whittingham's squad has compiled a 12-8 spread record in 20 underdog situations during his seven-year tenure.




Saturday - Notre Dame at Michigan (ESPN, 8:00 p.m.)
Matchup Skinny

Notre Dame vs. Michigan

Most betting shops opened Notre Dame as a short favorite Sunday night and the early money came in on the Irish. By Monday afternoon, most books had Brian Kelly’s team favored by 4 ½, but that number was down to 3 ½ by Wednesday. The total opened at 55 or 55 ½ at most spots. I called Notre Dame an overrated squad all summer and it lived up to my expectations in its 23-20 season-opening home loss to South Florida as an 11-point home ‘chalk.’ Tommy Rees threw for 296 yards in relief of Dayne Crist and Kelly has named Rees as the starting QB this week. As for Michigan, it won a 34-10 decision over Western Michigan in Brady Hoke’s debut at The Big House. Unfortunately for Michigan backers, it was unable to cash tickets laying 14 points because the game was called due to weather before 55 minutes was played. When these bitter rivals met last year, the Wolverines went into South Bend and emerged with a 28-24 victory as 3 ½-point road underdogs. They have beaten the Irish in four of the last five head-to-head encounters.




Other Games to Watch

Matchup Skinny

BYU at Texas - BYU rallied from a 13-0 deficit with a pair of fourth-quarter touchdowns to nip Ole Miss 14-13 in Oxford. However, the Cougars failed to cover the number as two-point road 'chalk.' Meanwhile, Texas took the cash in its 34-9 Week 1 win over Rice as a 23 ½-point home favorite. As of Wednesday, most books were listing the Longhorns as seven-point favorites with a total of 48 ½.

TCU at Air Force - During a six-game stretch last season, TCU's nasty defense allowed only 23 combined points. But in last Friday's opener, Baylor more than doubled that scoring output in just 60 minutes, capturing a thrilling 50-48 win as a four-point home underdog. The Horned Frogs better put that loss in the rearview mirror with a trip to Air Force looming. Most spots have TCU as a two-point favorite with a total of 49.

Cincinnati at Tennessee - Tyler Bray threw for 293 yards and three TDs to lead UT to a 42-16 win over Montana. Zach Collaros threw four TD passes as Cincy cruised to a 72-10 win over Austin Peay. Most spots have made the Vols six-point favorites with a total of 53. They are 3-0 ATS as single-digit home favorites on Derek Dooley's watch, while the Bearcats are 0-4 as road 'dogs under Butch Jones.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27570 Followers:33
09/09/2011 06:40 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/08/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/05/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/04/11 1-­1-­2 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/03/11 34-­16-­2 68.00% +­8200 Detail
09/02/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
09/01/11 7-­12-­0 36.84% -­3100 Detail
Totals 47-­32-­4 59.49% +5900

Friday, September 9

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Florida International - 7:00 PM ET Florida International +3.5 500

Louisville - Over 46.5 500

Missouri - 10:30 PM ET Missouri +10 500

Arizona State - Over 52 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27570 Followers:33
09/09/2011 06:50 PM

Michigan looks to put Notre Dame in 0-2 hole

NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (0-1)
at MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (1-0)


Kickoff: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. EDT

Line: Notre Dame -3.5, Total: 55.5

Michigan will attempt to beat Notre Dame for the fifth time in six tries when the two schools clash on Saturday. Last year it was the Denard Robinson show, as the Michigan QB racked up a school-record 502 total yards (258 rushing, 244 passing) and three touchdowns in the 28-24 win in South Bend.

While Michigan won a rain-shortened opener over Western Michigan 34-10, the Fighting Irish lost 23-20 at home to South Florida in a game that was delayed twice by the nasty weather. Tommy Rees will start at QB, replacing Dayne Crist. In the USF loss, Rees was much more effective (24-of-34, 296 yds, 2 TD) than Crist was (7-for-15, 95 yds, 0 TD). However, Rees threw two picks as his team had five turnovers, while opportunistic Michigan forced three turnovers in less than 45 minutes of action last week. The Wolverines are 5-1 at home against Notre Dame since 1997, scoring exactly 38 points in the past three home wins in the series. Until the Irish figure out a way to slow down Robinson, the pick here is MICHIGAN to win.

The FoxSheets provide a four-star trend siding with the Wolverines.

Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MICHIGAN) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season. (30-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*).

Notre Dame actually moved the ball very well against USF despite the final score, outgaining the Bulls 508 to 254. WR Michael Floyd was his typical unstoppable self, catching 12 passes for 154 yards and two touchdowns. Junior Cierre Wood had 148 total yards (104 rushing, 44 receiving), gaining a healthy 5.0 yards per carry. The Irish also had some positive defensive efforts, holding USF to 3.0 YPC and a pitiful 2-for-14 on third-down conversions.

Michigan will win this game by rushing the football. Last week against Western Michigan, the team ran for 190 yards on just 26 carries (7.3 YPC). Sophomore Fitzgerald Toussaint had 11 carries for 80 yards and two touchdowns, while senior Michael Shaw capped the scoring with a 44-yard TD run. Robinson, who rushed for 46 yards on just eight carries, did a nice job spreading the ball around on offense. He only completed nine passes, but still found six different receivers. Roy Roundtree had a huge game last year against the Irish, catching eight passes for 82 yards and a touchdown.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27570 Followers:33
09/09/2011 06:52 PM

Longhorns will be tested by visiting BYU

BYU COUGARS (1-0)
at TEXAS LONGHORNS (1-0)

Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. EDT

Line: Texas -7, Total: 48.5

After surviving a scare in its first road game as an Independent school, BYU now travels to Austin to face Texas.

The Cougars trailed Ole Miss 13-0 early in the fourth quarter before rallying for 2 TD to win by a point. BYU held the Rebels to just 208 total yards and 13 first downs. The Longhorns only had a 13-9 lead on Rice midway through the third quarter before they finished strong with a 21-0 run. Texas amassed 506 yards of balanced offense (277 passing, 229 rushing) and held the Owls to a paltry 224 total yards. WIth both defenses looking to be in mid-season form, the winner here will be the team that can rush the football. Texas gained 4.8 YPC last week despite having seven different ball carriers, while BYU was held to 2.9 YPC. Expect TEXAS to play well in front of its home fans and pull out a double-digit victory.

BYU could have some success through the air with talented QB Jake Heaps, who was 24-of-38 for 225 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT versus Ole Miss. Heaps completed passes to 10 different receivers, with nobody gaining 50 yards. JJ Di Luigi led the team with five receptions and also paced the ground game with 56 yards on 12 carries (4.7 YPC). The senior had 1,460 yards from scrimmage last year.

Texas QB Garrett Gilbert had problems taking care of the football last year, but he had no turnovers in his first game under co-offensive coordinators Bryan Harsin and Major Applewhite. Gilbert's top target of the eight players that had receptions was WR Mike Davis who racked up a career-high 115 yards. Freshman RB Malcolm Brown looked strong in his collegiate debut, rushing for 86 yards, including 68 in the fourth quarter.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27570 Followers:33
09/09/2011 06:54 PM

Notre Dame Road Favorites At Michigan Wolverines

Turnovers cost the Irish in a 23-20 Week 1 home loss to South Florida.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are in an early desperate situation as they visit the Michigan Wolverines on Saturday night. This has been one of the best non-conference rivalries over the years.

The Don Best odds screen has Notre Dame as 3-point road favorites with a betting total of 55 ½-points. ESPN will broadcast from the ‘Big House’ (Michigan Stadium) at 8:00 p.m. (ET), incredibly the first night game ever there.

Notre Dame had one of the strangest and disappointing opening weeks in college football. It lost 23-20 as 10 ½-point home favorites to Big East South Florida in a game that had two weather delays and lasted just under six hours.

The loss dropped the Fighting Irish out of the AP top-25 after ranking 16th in the preseason. The Don Best Linemakers Poll was a little more kind, dropping them from 13th to a tie for 19th.

Coach Brian Kelly was searching for answers after the loss, and he better find some soon after blowing a gasket on the sidelines. His first move is making sophomore Tommy Rees the starting quarterback over senior Dayne Crist.

Rees was the starter the last four games of last year after Crist got injured, with the team winning all four. Rees came in after halftime last week and went 24-of-34 for 296 yards and two touchdowns. However, it was not all good with two interceptions.

Kelly can’t expect the quarterback change to fix all the woes. Notre Dame had five total turnovers, including an opening drive fumble on the South Florida 1-yard line that was returned 96 yards for a touchdown. That completely changed the momentum of the game.

The Notre Dame defense acquitted itself nicely overall. South Florida had just 254 total yards and only rushed for 126 yards on 42 carries (3.0 yard average). The ‘D’ is promising after returning eight starters from a group that allowed 20.2 PPG last year (23rd nationally).

Big Ten Michigan is in transition with coach Brady Hoke coming over from San Diego State and installing a pro-style offense.

The opening results were good last week, a 34-10 win over in-state rival Western Michigan as 14 ½-point home favorites. Junior quarterback Denard Robinson threw for just 98 yards on an efficient 9-of-13 passing. Not much more was needed with both a fumble and interception return for a touchdown.

The game was also marred by extreme weather, actually getting cancelled with 1:27 left in the third quarter. The suspension had most full-game wagers graded as 'no action' for not going at least 55 minutes on the clock. The total closed at 57 ½ points.

Robinson is the big question in this offense. He was a Heisman candidate with the spread formation last year, throwing for 2,570 yards and rushing for 1,702 more. Last week though, it was sophomore Fitzgerald Toussaint who led the team in rushing (11 carries, 80 yards), while Robinson had just eight rushes and 46 yards.

Robinson rushed for 258 yards (502 total yards) against Notre Dame last year (28-24 upset win) and offensive coordinator Al Borges may loosen the reigns this week and see if Notre Dame can stop him.

The Michigan defense was one of the worst in college football last year in both points (35.2 PPG) and yards (450.8 YPG) allowed. New coordinator Greg Mattison came over from the Baltimore Ravens and the Wolverines did a nice job against Western Michigan, especially with the turnovers.

Michigan must play well on both sides of the ball because this is a good Notre Dame team if it cleans up the turnovers and penalties. That’s why the oddsmakers have the Irish favored on the road.

These teams have met every year since 2002. Michigan is 4-1 straight up and against the spread the last five, including wins and ‘covers’ the last two.

Michigan linebacker Cam Gordon (back injury) is probable to return this week. Cornerback Troy Woolfork (ankle) is expected to play after getting hurt last week.

Weather won’t play a major factor, although there could be isolated thunderstorms. Temps are expected to reach the high-60s.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27570 Followers:33
09/09/2011 06:56 PM

TCU In Final MWC Matchup Vs Air Force Falcons

TCU visits Air Force for the last time in Mountain West Conference play.
For the final time as Mountain West Conference foes, the Air Force Falcons will engage in NCAA football betting action against the TCU Horned Frogs. Saturday's Week 2 kickoff in Colorado Springs is set for 3:30 p.m. (ET), and live television coverage can be found on Versus.

TCU (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) was dealt a crippling blow last week to its BCS chances in a 50-48 defeat to the Baylor Bears in Waco. The loss knocked the Horned Frogs from No. 18 down to No. 23 in The Don Best Linemakers Poll, and down to No. 25 in both of the human rankings.

The mere fact that Baylor was able to score 50 points against the TCU defense was incredibly impressive. Head coach Gary Patterson always prides himself on building a team with a solid defensive foundation, and this was the unit that was supposed to carry the Frogs this year while the offense was rebuilt.

To put in perspective just how amazing Baylor's win was, we just have to look at last season. The Horned Frogs played five games last October and allowed a grand total of 16 points. There were also only three games last year in which the purple and black 'D' conceded even 20 points.

Baylor reached that plateau just 35 seconds into the second quarter.

The Bears also had 34 points on the board at halftime, just one point fewer than the San Diego State Aztecs scored for the entire game against TCU in its worst defensive showing of the 2010 season.

The last time TCU allowed 50 points in a game was back in 2005, an overtime contest against the BYU Cougars.

If there was good news from the defeat at Baylor, it was that Patterson's offense at least came to play. The unit racked up 466 total yards, and newly-installed signal caller Casey Pachall went 25-of-39 for 251 yards with four scores against just one pick. He also had a rushing touchdown.

Last week, it was the passing game that really messed up the TCU defense. This week, its rush defense will be tested against a veteran Air Force triple-option offense.

The Falcons (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) went off for 391 yards on 61 carries last Saturday in a 37-20 victory against the South Dakota Coyotes, but they squandered a chance to cover the NCAA football odds with a lackluster fourth quarter that included two South Dakota TDs.

Still, head coach Troy Calhoun can't be concerned about his offense knowing that it is in the safe hands of Tim Jefferson, Jr. Jefferson is now in his fourth year running this attack, and he knows every in-&-out the playbook has.

He had 69 rushing yards and two scores against the Coyotes last week, while Asher Clark led the team with 97 yards on 13 carries.

You can bet that the faithful a Falcon Stadium will be sensing blood on Saturday. Air Force has been beaten by the Horned Frogs on three straight occasions, and in five of the six clashes since the two started MWC play against each other. TCU is 4-2 ATS in those six duels.

The oddsmakers are having a tough time picking a favorite in this one, but the visitors have been installed laying a narrow one-point favorites on the Don Best odds screen. The 'total' has been set at 49 ½.

Saturday should be a beautiful day for football at Falcon Stadium. Temperatures should top out in the low-70s with virtually no chance for rain.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27570 Followers:33
09/09/2011 06:58 PM

Va Tech Big Favorite At East Carolina Pirates

East Carolina and Virginia Tech are meeting for the fifth consecutive season.
The East Carolina Pirates hope to finish stronger than they did last week when they host the Virginia Tech Hokies in their home opener on Saturday. Kickoff from Dowdy-Fincklen Stadium in Greenville, NC, is 3:30 p.m. (ET).

The Pirates got off to a great start at South Carolina last Saturday but needed a late touchdown to cover the point spread in a 56-37 loss. Meanwhile, the Hokies stayed at No. 13 in The Don Best Linemakers Poll after they had no such problems in a 66-13 rout of Appalachian State.

East Carolina (0-1) will be playing Virginia Tech (1-0) for the fifth year in a row and pulled off a 27-22 upset in 2008 as a 9-point underdog. The Pirates are 1-3 straight up and 2-2 against the spread in the previous four meetings, failing to cover the past two in losing them by a combined score of 65-30.

They opened as 19-point underdogs but that number has been chopped to 17 or 17½. The game total is now 64 points on the Don Best odds screen after beginning at 61½.

The Hokies took out their frustrations on East Carolina last year in a 49-27 victory after losing their first two games of the season to Boise State and James Madison. Former starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor led the charge with 199 passing yards and two touchdowns while Darren Evans rushed for 91 yards and scored once.

Still, they barely covered the 20-point line and won the previous meeting 16-3 two years ago as 12 ½-point favorites.

Virginia Tech plowed over Division I-AA Appalachian State on the ground last Saturday, as junior running back David Wilson carried the ball 16 times for 162 yards and scored three touchdowns. New starting quarterback Logan Thomas also contributed through the air, completing 9-of-19 passes for 149 yards and two touchdowns while backup Mark Leal added another pair of scores.

Thomas is taking over under center for Taylor, who is now backing up Joe Flacco with the NFL’s Baltimore Ravens. The Hokies covered the 27-point spread with the total going ‘over’ 60.

East Carolina had a much tougher opponent in No. 11 South Carolina. The Pirates jumped out to a 17-0 lead with 9:45 remaining in the second quarter and were up 24-14 at halftime before the Gamecocks battled back, forcing five turnovers and scoring touchdowns on defense and special teams to pull out the win.

The total sailed ‘over’ 59 ½ points.

Cornerback manuel Davis and wide receiver Michael Bowman should return to action this week for East Carolina aftre serving suspensions in the season opener.

The weather forecast for Saturday in Greenville, North Carolina calls for mostly sunny skies and a high temperature of 85 degrees after storms move through the area earlier in the week.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 09/10/2011 09:17 AM

    SEC Showdowns

    September 10, 2011

    Let’s begin our SEC discussion with the league’s Week 2 lid-lifter that’ll take place on The Plains, where Auburn (1-0 straight up, 0-1 against the spread) will play host to Mississippi St. in the conference opener for both programs.

    Most sports books are listing Mississippi State (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) as a six-point favorite with a total of 57. The Wynn opened the Bulldogs as one-point ‘chalk’ late Sunday afternoon but when other shops chimed in an hour or so later, they had the number at six. By Monday at lunch, most spots were at seven before the number gradually drifted down to 6 ½ or six. With AU money coming in Thursday night, a few books were at 5 ½ on Friday morning.

    Dan Mullen’s team has had a couple of extra days of rest after destroying Memphis 59-14 as a 30-point road favorite. Vick Ballard rushed for 166 yards and three touchdowns on just 10 carries, while Chris Relf threw for 202 yards and a pair of TDs and also rushed for 51 yards.

    Relf connected with Chad Bumphis on a 44-yard scoring strike to open the scoring. He found Arceto Clark for a 35-yard TD pass in the second quarter and MSU raced out to a 31-7 lead by intermission.

    Gene Chizik’s squad won its 16th straight game in Week 1 but didn’t have it nearly as easy as Mississippi St. did. The Tigers had to rally from a 10-point deficit in the last three minutes to capture a 42-38 win over Utah St. as 23-point home favorites.

    After the Aggies took a 38-28 lead, AU trimmed the deficit to three on a 15-yard TD pass from Barrett Trotter to Philip Lutzenkirchen at the 2:07 mark. Next, the Tigers recovered an onside kick to set up the game-winning drive.

    With 30 ticks remaining, Michael Dyer scored on a one-yard plunge (or did he?!) on a second-and-goal play. The replay clearly showed that Dyer didn’t get in the end zone, reaching the ball over the plane after he’d been stuffed. Nevertheless, the call was confirmed after video review. (To be clear, I’m not saying AU wouldn’t have won anyway. If the call had been reversed, it still had a third-and-goal play from an inch away and if that play went bad, it still could’ve forced overtime with a field goal.)

    AU has beaten MSU in the last three head-to-head meetings and owns a 7-2 spread record in the last nine encounters. The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these SEC West rivals.

    Auburn won a 17-14 decision as a one-point favorite in Starkville last year. MSU was nearly in field-goal range before a last-gasp drive stalled at around midfield in the final minute.

    The SEC Network will have the telecast at 12:20 p.m. Eastern.

    Alabama (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) will go on the road to Happy Valley and face Penn St. in a non-conference battle between two of college football’s most storied programs. Most books are listing the Crimson Tide as a 10-point favorite with a total of 42. Gamblers can take PSU on the money line for a plus-320 return (risk $100 to win $320).

    When these schools met in Tuscaloosa last season, Alabama captured a 24-3 win as a 13 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ But Nick Saban’s team had a veteran QB (Greg McElroy) in 2010 and this time around, it will have A.J. McCarron under center for his first career road start.

    McCarron and Phillip Sims both threw two interceptions apiece in last week’s 48-7 win over Kent St. as a 39-point home favorite. ‘Bama out-yarded the Flashes 482-90, demonstrating to all that it most likely has the nation’s nastiest defense. Trent Richardson rushed for just 37 yards but he had three rushing touchdowns, while Marquiz Maze had eight receptions for 118 yards and one score.

    Penn St. (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) failed to cover the number in a 41-7 home win over Indiana St. as a 38-point home favorite. Silas Redd was the catalyst with 104 rushing yards for a pair of TDs on just 12 totes.

    Since 2004, Penn St. has been a home underdog eight times, compiling a 5-3 spread record. The Nittany Lions have been double-digit home ‘dogs just once during that stretch, taking the cash in a 20-13 loss to Purdue. Alabama has been a road favorite 15 times on Nick Saban’s watch, going 6-3 versus the number.

    ABC will provide television coverage at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

    South Carolina (1-0 SU, 0-1) got off to a rough start in Week 1, spotting East Carolina a 17-0 lead before Steve Spurrier decided to replace Conner Shaw with senior QB Stephen Garcia. From there, it was all Gamecocks who went on to prevail by a 56-37 count. However, that wasn’t enough for USC backers as ECU took the cash as a 20 ½-point underdog.

    Garcia ran for a pair of touchdowns and threw for another when he connected with Ace Sanders from three yards out. Heisman candidate Marcus Lattimore ran for 112 yards and three TDs on 23 carries. Alshon Jeffery had five receptions for 92 yards.

    Georgia (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) lost for the eighth time in its last 14 games to warm Mark Richt’s hot seat up even more. Boise St. came into Atlanta and beat the Dawgs 35-21 as a three-point favorite. The Broncos fell behind 7-0 early before ripping off 28 consecutive unanswered points on the way to a victory that was easier than the final score indicated.

    UGA is in just its third home underdog spot of Richt’s 11-year tenure, but we should note that it failed to cover the spread in both previous situations – vs. South Carolina in ’01 and vs. Tennessee in ’06. Meanwhile, the Gamecocks are 6-3 ATS as road favorites under Spurrier.

    **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

    --Since 1985, the ‘under’ has cashed in six of seven head-to-head meetings between ‘Bama and PSU.

    --The ‘under’ is on an incredible 13-1 run in the last 14 games between USC and UGA.

    --Oregon St. star WR James Rodgers remains ‘out’ along with several other key players who weren’t in uniform for last week’s 29-28 home loss to Sacramento St. Things don’t get any easier for the Beavers, who are 21-point underdogs against Wisconsin at Camp Randall. The noon Eastern start time (9:00 a.m. on the West coast) won’t help Mike Riley’s cause, either.

    --Mississippi St. is a road favorite for just the second time against an SEC foe in the last six years.

    --Florida DE Sharirf Floyd will miss the UAB game, but he’ll be back in action next week against Tennessee after serving a NCAA-mandated two-game suspension.

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 09/10/2011 09:41 AM

    Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
    09/09/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
    09/08/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
    09/05/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
    09/04/11 1-*1-*2 50.00% -*50 Detail
    09/03/11 34-*16-*2 68.00% +*8200 Detail
    09/02/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
    09/01/11 7-*12-*0 36.84% -*3100 Detail
    Totals 50-*33-*4 60.24% +6850

    Saturday, September 10

    Game Score Status Pick Amount

    Iowa - 12:00 PM ET Iowa -6 500
    Iowa State - Under 44.5 500

    Central Michigan - 12:00 PM ET Kentucky -10.5 500
    Kentucky - Over 46.5 500

    Florida Atlantic - 12:00 PM ET Florida Atlantic +32 500
    Michigan State - Over 49 500

    Toledo - 12:00 PM ET Ohio State -17.5 500
    Ohio State - Over 52.5 500

    Oregon State - 12:00 PM ET Wisconsin -20 500
    - Under 57.5 500

    San Diego State - 12:00 PM ET Army +9.5 500
    Army - Under 53.5 500

    Mississippi State - 12:21 PM ET Mississippi State -5.5 500
    Auburn - Under 57 500

    Rutgers - 12:30 PM ET North Carolina -10 500
    North Carolina - Over 47.5 500

    California - 3:30 PM ET California -6.5 500
    Colorado - Under 47 500

    New Mexico State - 3:30 PM ET Minnesota -20.5 500
    Minnesota - Over 50.5 500

    Virginia Tech - 3:30 PM ET East Carolina +17 500
    East Carolina - Under 63.5 500

    Alabama - 3:30 PM ET Alabama -10 500
    Penn State - Under 42 500

    Purdue - 3:30 PM ET Rice +2 500
    Rice - Over 51.5 500

    Hawaii - 3:30 PM ET Hawaii +5.5 500
    Washington - Under 52 500

    Southern Mississippi - 3:30 PM ET Southern Mississippi -7.5 500
    Marshall - Over 51 500

    Stanford - 3:30 PM ET Stanford -20.5 500
    Duke - Under 59 500

    North Carolina State - 3:30 PM ET Wake Forest +1.5 500
    Wake Forest - Over 49 500

    Texas Christian - 3:30 PM ET Texas Christian +1 500
    Air Force - Over 49.5 500

    Nevada - 3:30 PM ET Oregon -26.5 500
    Oregon - Over 63 500

    Cincinnati - 3:30 PM ET Cincinnati +4 500
    Tennessee - Over 56 500

    Tulsa - 3:30 PM ET Tulane +12 500
    Tulane - Over 64 500

    South Carolina - 4:30 PM ET South Carolina -2.5 500
    Georgia - Under 51.5 500

    UNLV - 5:00 PM ET Washington State -14 500
    Washington State - Over 54.5 500

    Temple - 6:00 PM ET Temple -15 500
    Akron - Over 46 500


    Evening CFB games posted later.....Good Luck All !

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27570 Followers:33
09/10/2011 10:07 AM

NCAAF
Write-Up


Saturday, September 10

Iowa won its last three games vs Iowa State by combined score of 87-15; they were +7 in turnovers in last two series games. Underdog is 7-3 vs spread in last 10 series games, with Hawkeyes 3-4 SU in last seven trips to Ames. Iowa is 4-10 vs spread in last 14 games as road favorite; they had a 148-140 rushing edge in their opener vs I-AA foe. State survived Northern Iowa 20-19 last week, scoring late to edge their I-AA guest.

Auburn was down 38-28 to Utah State with 3:38 left, escaped with win last week after recovering an onside kick; they'll need much better effort to beat a Mississippi State team they've beaten nine of last 10 meetings (7-2 vs spread). Three of last four series games were decided by 5 or less points. State is 2-1 as a series favorite- they crushed a dreadful Memphis team last week. Bulldogs covered four of last five as a road fave. Auburn is 12-7 vs spread in its last 19 games as an underdog.

Tennessee is just 18-20 the last three years, but this is first time since 2008 they've had same coach two years in row; Vols have soph QB and four soph starters on OL- they're 14-8-1 as home favorite since '07, and have rivalry game with Florida on deck. Cincinnati is 9-11-1 as road dog since '04, 5-11 vs spread in last 16 non-league games. Bearcats have three senior starters on OL and ten starters back on defense.

Hawai'i's QB Moniz ran ball for 121 yards, passed for 178, accounting for four TDs in fairly easy win over Colorado last week, as Washington was hanging on to beat I-AA national champ Eastern Washington 30-27, picking off pass in end zone to seal win. Eastern had 473 passing yards. Huskies are 4-12 in last 16 games as home favorite- their QB Price hurt his knee last week, played second half with brace. Hawai'i covered nine of last 12 non-league games; they're 8-6 as road underdog since 2006.

Cal Bears (-10) crushed Colorado 52-7 LY, scoring two defensive TDs, with other TD drives of 31-19 yards. Cal is 11-5 vs spread in its last 16 non-league games, but since '07, they're just 4-11 as road favorite. Buffs are 8-3-1 in last dozen games as home dog; they got outrushed 165-17 by Run/Shoot Hawai'i last week. Colorado is in Pac-10 now but this isn't a league game. Cal outgained Fresno State 413-213 in easy win last week.

In its last ten games as an underdog, Penn State is 1-9 vs spread; this is a huge game for their diminishing national profile, against dominant Bama defense that has 10 starters back from team that held Lions to 283 total yards in easy 24-3 (-12.5) win LY. JoePa is expected to watch game up in press box; he's covered only two of last nine non-league games. Tide covered 12 of last 15 non-league games- they held Kent State to just 90 yards in last week's 48-7 win. First road start for Tide QB McCarron.

TCU gave up 50 points in opening loss at Baylor, now visits Air Force Academy- their last two visits here were both decided by a FG. TCU is 32-14-1 vs spread in league games since joining MWC; they're 10-6 as a road favorite since 2008. Frogs won six of last seven series games, with four of six wins by 24+ points, but last win here was just 20-17. Hosts covered four of last five as home dog- they've got a senior QB who has 32 career starts. Air Force is 19-13 vs spread in last 32 MWC games.

Home side won nine of last ten NC State-Wake Forest games, with dogs 9-5 vs spread in last 14; Wolfpack lost last four visits here, allowing 33.3 ppg. State is 12-8 vs spread on road under O'Brien; they covered 17 of last 24 ACC games, but are just 9-26 vs spread in last 25 games as faves. Wake lost opener in OT at Syracuse despite passing for 326 yards and outgaining the hosts by 107 yards. State's QB is making first road start; they have no seniors on OL. Deacons have four senior starters on OL.

Veteran QB Moore was 28-34/261 passing vs Georgia last week; Boise had 24 first downs, now Dawgs face another senior QB in Garcia, who rallied South Carolina from 17-0 deficit vs East Carolina last week. 0-2 start would be brutal for embattled Georgia coach Richt, who beat South Carolina five of last seven years. Four of last five series games were won by 5 or less points. Gamecock are 18-11 in last 29 games as favorite, 7-3 in last ten as road favorite. Dawgs are 5-8 in last 13 games as the dog.

BYU was down 13-0 in 4th quarter last week at Ole Miss, wound up a winner thanks to ugly defensive TD; Cougars had just 91 rushing yards, outgained Rebels 316-208 but Ole Miss starting QB was suspended for game. Texas had 229 rushing yards, 277 passing in methodical win over Rice; total yards were 506-224, but game was only 13-6 at half. Texas is 4-8 in last dozen games as favorite- they've got junior QB and start three sophs on OL. Second straight trip east of Mississippi for Cougars.

Utah's first-ever Pac-12 game will be played on Coliseum field that was chewed up by a concert this week; not good. Norm Chow returns to LA running Utes' offense-- Utah was 24-15-1 vs spread in last 40 games in MVC- since 2006, they're 4-5 as road underdog. USC didn't score after halftime last week, running ball for only 64 yards, passing for 304, with prolific WR Woods running amok in shaky 21-19 win vs Minnesota. SC covered only three of last twelve games as a home favorite.

Since 2007, Central Florida is 12-6-1 as home favorite; they're 8-4 in last dozen non-league games. Knights have electric soph QB who can really run, and an experienced OL (87 returning starts). Boston College lost at home to Northwestern last week, giving up 227 rushing yards. BC threw ball for surprisingly hgih 375 yards- they've got nine offensive starters back. Teams last met in '08, with Eagles (-10) winning 34-7, but O'Leary is building the UCF program up- they're much better now than then.

Underdog is 10-2 vs spread in last dozen Notre Dame-Michigan games, with dogs 6-1 SU in last seven series games. Irish are 0-3 SU last three times they were favored. ND lost five of last six visits here- they lost at home to South Florida last week, turning ball over three times inside USF 20-yard line, so Irish switch to Rees at QB. First-ever night game at Big House; expect raucous atmosphere after Wolverines won last week in a game shortened by lightning.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27570 Followers:33
09/10/2011 10:09 AM

NCAAF


Saturday, September 10

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Alabama at Penn State: What bettors need to know
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Alabama Crimson Tide at Penn State Nittany Lions (+10, 42)

THE STORY: When No. 2 Alabama travels to No. 20 Penn State on Saturday, it won’t be just a matchup of ranked teams and two of college football’s most storied programs. It will be the continuation of quarterback auditions at both schools. Alabama used sophomore AJ McCarron and freshman Phillip Sims in last week’s 48-7 season-opening victory over Kent State. McCarron passed for 226 yards and a touchdown against the Golden Flashes, but threw two interceptions. Sims also was picked off twice, passing for 73 yards. Both are expected to play this week.

Penn State, which opened the season with a 41-7 rout of Indiana State, also deployed two quarterbacks in its opener. Sophomore Rob Bolden started, passing for 37 yards. Senior Matt McGloin passed for 77 yards. Both are expected to play this week. Neither threw a touchdown in the opener as the Nittany Lions relied on a ground game that piled up 245 yards.

Alabama leads the all-time series 9-5. Before last season’s 24-3 Alabama victory in Tuscaloosa, the two teams had not met since 1990.

TV: ABC 3:30 p.m. ET

LINE MOVES: Most books opened with Alabama as a 10.5-point road favorite. The spread has dropped to -10 in favor of the Crimson Tide as of Friday afternoon. The total opened as high as 43.5 points but has since been bet down to 42.

ABOUT ALABAMA (1-0): With former Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram now in the NFL, Trent Richardson has become the focal point of the Crimson Tide running game. The junior rushed for three touchdowns against the Golden Flashes. Against Penn State last season, Richardson rushed for 144 yards and a touchdown as Ingram sat with a knee injury. Freshman linebacker Trey Depriest won SEC Co-Freshman of the Week honors, leading the Crimson Tide with 10 tackles against Kent State.

ABOUT PENN STATE (1-0): Like Alabama, the Nittany Lions have a new leader at running back. Sophomore Silas Redd scored two touchdowns and rushed for 104 yards against Indiana State. Redd figures to face a much stiffer challenge this week: Alabama leads the nation in rushing defense after holding Kent State to minus-9 yards.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Penn State head coach Joe Paterno, 84, has been a part of all 14 previous Penn State-Alabama games, dating back to the first meeting in the 1959 Liberty Bowl, when Paterno was an assistant coach.

2. 532 – The combined win total for Paterno (402) and Alabama head coach Nick Saban (130).

3. Paterno, who coached from the press box last week, said chances are good he’ll be on the sidelines Saturday.

WEATHER: Thundershowers could take the happy out of Happy Valley. The forecast is calling for a 40 percent chance of rain.

TRENDS:

- Crimson Tide are 7-0 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.
- Nittany Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as home underdogs.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 10 non-conference games.
- Under is 7-1 in Nittany Lions last eight non-conference games.

PREDICTION: Alabama 21, Penn State 13 – The Crimson Tide have more weapons on offense and a better defense, and that will be enough to grind out a hard-fought victory in Happy Valley.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27570 Followers:33
09/10/2011 10:12 AM

NCAAF


Saturday, September 10

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Game of the day: Notre Dame at Michigan
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Michigan Wolverines (+3, 54.5)

THE STORY: Both teams will probably be happy if they can play a game without any rain delays. Michigan’s 34-10 victory over Western Michigan was called late in the third quarter, while Notre Dame sat through roughly three hours of weather delays in its season-opening 23-20 loss to South Florida. This is perhaps the most high-profile game on college football’s Week 2 slate as the schools have won a combined 11 national titles and are among the top three programs in all-time wins. Michigan led 21-7 last year, allowed 17 straight points and then came back to win on a Denard Robinson touchdown run with 27 seconds left. Michigan leads the all-time series 22-15-1.

TV: ESPN 8 p.m. ET

ABOUT NOTRE DAME (0-1): The Irish couldn’t overcome five turnovers against the Bulls. Three of Notre Dame's turnovers came in the red zone, with one - a fumble - getting scooped up and returned for a 96-yard touchdown. The Irish were held to zero points in their first four trips inside the South Florida 10-yard line. Coach Brian Kelly has made a change at quarterback, replacing Dayne Crist with Tommy Rees.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (1-0): Robinson looked comfortable running new coach Brady Hoke’s pro-style offense in the opener, but there were still some remnants of the spread offense that he experienced success in last year. Linebacker Brandon Herron was the Big Ten Player of the Week after becoming the first Michigan player in the modern era to score two defensive touchdowns in a game.

LINE MOVES: The spread opened at Michigan +3.5 as was bet up to 4.5 before action on the Wolverines moved the spread to a field goal as of Friday afternoon. As for the total, books originally posted 55.5. That number has come down a point to 54.5 at most books.

WEATHER: The first night game at the Big House could be a wet one, with rain in the forecast for Ann Arbor. There’s a 40 percent chance of showers for Saturday’s contest.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The underdog has won in six of the last seven games in this series.

2. Michigan has won five of its last six against Notre Dame at home.

3. Kelly is 3-0 all-time against Hoke. The two coached against each other when Kelly was at Central Michigan and Hoke at Ball State from 2004 to 2006.

TRENDS:

- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
- Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. Big Ten.
- Wolverines are 7-1 ATS in their last eight non-conference games.
- Under is 15-7 in Fighting Irish's last 22 road games.
- Over is 5-2 in Wolverines' last seven home games.

PREDICTION: Notre Dame 31, Michigan 28 - Kelly and the Irish will be desperate to avoid an 0-2 start to the season for the first time since 2007.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: