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San Francisco vs. St. Louis, 01/01/2012 13:00
Point Spread: -10½/-105 San Francisco
My NFL FREE WINNER is San Francisco over St. Louis.
San Francisco has been a machine this season, boasting a 12.3 SU record (12-2-1 ATS). The 49ers locked up the West for a few weeks now but can claim the #2 seed and a 1st round bye with a win here. All they have to do is repeat their December 4th, 26-0 win over the Rams. St. Louis averages a mere 11.1 PPG and has been blanked twice in the L4 weeks. This is a team that is being outscored by an average of 13.8 PPG. Kellen Clemens will once again get the nod. The QB has 1TD, 320 YP, and a 56% completion rate. Last week against Pittsburgh, Clemens was 9 for 24 with just 91 yards passing. He must face another ferocious, non-stop defense here. San Fran's stop unit has allowed a mere 13.5 PPG. St. Louis already has problems putting points on the board. The 49ers are 10-4 ATS their L14 games played against the Rams, 4-0-1 ATS their L5 games played as a favorite of 10 1/2 points or more, and 15-5-1 ATS their L21 games played overall. The Rams are 16-35 ATS their L51 games played vs. the NFC West, 3-12-1 ATS their L16 games played as a 'dog, and 1-7-1 ATS their L9 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take San Francisco. Thank you.