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Minnesota vs. Washington, 12/24/2011 13:00
Point Spread: +7/-105 Minnesota
Last week my week 15 NFL free pick was on the Carolina Panthers +6 at Houston. Not only did the Panthers cover the spread, they won the game outright 28-13. For those that have been following my free picks, I am currently 9-1 dating back to the middle of October.
I believe I have found another live underdog for week 17 in the Minnesota Vikings. The Redskins come in off an outright win as an underdog over the Giants last week, but Washington always plays their division tough regardless of where they are in the standings. I have a hard time believing they are excited to play the Vikings in a meaningless game this late in the year.
Minnesota comes into this game having lost six straight, but I strongly believe they are trying to end the season on a high note. They got blown out by the Saints last week, as Drew Brees took advantage of their pitiful pass defense. The four games before that, they played the Raiders, Falcons, Broncos, and Lions all tough.
Washington's win over the Giants was just their second in their last 10 games. During that stretch the lost to four teams with a losing record (Eagles, Panthers, Bills, and Dolphins). They also come into this game having lost six straight at home.
Washington simply doesn't have the offense to be laying almost a touchdown against any team, which is why they have been favored in just two games all season. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Vikings didn't lead the entire way.
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0, while Washington is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. BET THE VIKINGS +7!