steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 12/22/2011 02:56 PM in Cappers

NCAAB FREE PICK: Idaho +3.5

Idaho vs. Wisc-Green Bay, 12/22/2011 20:00
Point Spread: +3½/-105 Idaho

The Vandals come into this game off a heartbreaking 78-80 overtime loss at Wright State as a 1-point favorite. Even with the loss, Idaho is a DOMINANT 4-1 ATS ON THE ROAD. That includes an outright win at Oregon State (74-60) as a 12.5-point underdog.

The loss snapped the Vandals 3-game winning streak. Idaho is is 7-5 on the year. They have rebounded from their first four losses with a straight up win and a win against the spread.

Wisconsin-Green Bay is just 5-6 overall, but this is weird game for them. The Phoenix haven't played since barely holding off Michigan Tech at home 69-61 last Tuesday. After their game against Idaho they won't play again until next Thursday. I expect them to come out very flat and lose this game outright. The safe play is to take the 3.5-points, but I will likely throw a little extra on the Idaho money line of +144.

Idaho is 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. BET THE VANDALS +3.5!

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