cnotes Posts:26577 Followers:33
12/21/2011 06:35 PM

Texans at Colts

December 21, 2011

The Week 16 NFL card will be spread over four days, including a busy Christmas Eve on Saturday with 13 games. The action begins on Thursday night when Houston looks to end a nine-year jinx at Indianapolis, even though the Texans face a Colts' team that has just one win on its ledger this season. This game is important for seeding purposes inside the AFC playoffs, as Houston tries to bounce back from an ugly loss last Sunday.

The Texans had a golden opportunity to move into the top two of the AFC with a victory over Carolina, but the Panthers rolled to a 28-13 rout at Reliant Stadium as 4 ½-point road underdogs. Carolina cruised to a 21-0 first half lead, thanks to a pair of touchdown tosses by Cam Newton. The loss snapped a seven-game winning streak for the Texans, while dropping Houston's record to 10-4 on the season. Gary Kubiak's team was bailed out by Pittsburgh and Baltimore both losing in Week 15 on the road, creating a three-way tie for the second seed behind New England in the AFC.

The Colts finally found a way to avoid the loss column by handing the Titans a costly defeat, 27-13 as 6 ½-point home underdogs. Indianapolis accumulated just 82 passing yards, but Donald Brown's late 80-yard touchdown scamper put away the team's first win since beating Tennessee in Week 17 of last season. The Titans would have been tied for the final playoff spot in the AFC with the Jets if Tennessee won, but Indianapolis grabbed the victory in spite of converting 10 first downs.

Indianapolis has covered each of the last three games, but the ATS wins at New England and Baltimore weren't as close as the final score indicates. The Colts were listed as 20 ½-point favorites at Gillette Stadium, as the Patriots built a 31-3 second half lead. Indianapolis scored three late touchdowns, including a pair of Dan Orlovsky scoring connections with Pierre Garcon to give the Colts their first cover since Week 4 at Tampa Bay. Jim Caldwell's team helped out backers the next week with a touchdown on the final play of the game to cash as 16 ½-point 'dogs at Baltimore, 24-10. The Ravens' defense limited the Colts to only 167 yards of total offense and 12 first downs.

During Houston's seven-game winning streak, four of the victories came against subpar competition in Cleveland, Tampa Bay, and Jacksonville twice. The Texans did manage a pair of wins over the Falcons and Bengals, while allowing a combined 29 points in those two games. The key to Houston's success recently has been its defense by yielding 12 points per game during that hot streak, but the Texans are 0-4 this season when allowing at least 25 points. Houston will once again be without its top offensive weapon on Thursday as wide receiver Andre Johnson is out with a hamstring injury.

The last time these two teams met came back in the season opener at Reliant Stadium, as the Colts were blown out in their first game without Peyton Manning. Houston trounced Indianapolis, 34-7 as nine-point favorites, while jumping out to a 34-0 halftime advantage. Ben Tate rushed for 116 yards in place of the injured Arian Foster, as Houston racked up 384 yards and 26 first downs in the victory. However, the Texans own an 0-9 SU and 4-5 ATS record in Indianapolis since entering the league back in 2002. All four of those covers came as an underdog of 7 ½ or more, but obviously Manning started at quarterback for the Colts in each of those games.

From a totals perspective, the Colts have split their 14 games, including a 4-3 mark to the 'under' at home. The Texans' defense has carried the team to nine 'unders,' but Houston is 4-3 to the 'over' away from Reliant Stadium. Each of the last two meetings in this series hit the 'under,' including an 'under' off 44 in the season opener.

The Texans are listed as a six-point road favorite, while the total is set at 40. The game will be televised nationally on NFL Network and kicks off at 8:25 PM from Lucas Oil Stadium.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26577 Followers:33
12/21/2011 06:38 PM

Trending: NFL playoff hopefuls

Two weeks ago, we took a look at the division leaders at the time and relevant trends for each of them. This week, we’ve shifted our focus to the 15 teams that are still competing for the remaining five spots in the playoffs.

AFC PLAYOFF HOPEFULS
In the AFC, New England, Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Houston have all clinched playoff berths, while seven others are contending for the last two positions. Here is a look at each of the contenders, including their remaining schedule and trends from this season.
NEW YORK JETS (8-6)

Remaining schedule: N.Y. Giants, at Miami
6-1 Over (86%) when the total is more than 41
4-0 Over in last 4 games
4-0 Over in last 4 home games

CINCINNATI BENGALS (8-6)

Remaining schedule: Arizona, Baltimore
2-4 ATS (33%) at home
1-3 ATS (25%) as a home favorite
0-4 ATS since starting the season 7-1 ATS (88%)

TENNESSEE TITANS (7-7)

Remaining schedule: Jacksonville, at Houston
2-5 ATS (29%) as a favorite
1-3 ATS (25%) vs. AFC South
7-0 Under in last 8 games

DENVER BRONCOS (8-6)

Remaining schedule: at Buffalo, Kansas City
6-1 ATS (86%) on the road
1-5 ATS (17%) at home
4-0 Over when the total is 43 or more
6-3 Under (67%) when the total is less than 43

OAKLAND RAIDERS (7-7)

Remaining schedule: at Kansas City, San Diego
5-2 ATS (71%) on the road
7-3 ATS (70%) as an underdog
5-0 Over in last 5 games

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (7-7)

Remaining schedule: at Detroit, at Oakland
0-3 ATS vs. NFC
Won 3 straight ATS since a 6-game ATS losing streak

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (6-8)

Remaining schedule: Oakland, at Denver
0-3 ATS as a favorite, all at home
8-3 ATS (73%) as an underdog, including 4-0 as a home underdog
1-6 Under (14%) at home


NFC PLAYOFF HOPEFULS
In the NFC, Green Bay, San Francisco and New Orleans have all clinched playoff berths, while eight others are vying for the last three positions. Here is a look at each of the contenders, including their remaining schedule and trends from this season.
DALLAS COWBOYS (8-6)

Remaining Schedule: Philadelphia, at N.Y. Giants
0-4 ATS vs. NFC East
3-7 ATS (30%) as a favorite

NEW YORK GIANTS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule: at N.Y. Jets, Dallas
4-2 ATS (67%) as an underdog
4-2 Over (67%) when the total is more than 45

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (6-8)

Remaining Schedule: at Dallas, Washington
3-1 ATS (75%) vs. NFC East
4-0 Under vs. NFC East
2-5 ATS (29%) at home

DETROIT LIONS (9-5)

Remaining Schedule: San Diego, at Green Bay
3-0 Over vs. AFC
6-1 Over (86%) on the road
2-7 ATS (22%) in last 9 after starting the season 4-0 ATS

CHICAGO BEARS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule: at Green Bay, at Minnesota
6-2 (75%) Over at home
5-2 (71%) Over as a favorite
0-3 ATS in last 3 games

ATLANTA FALCONS (9-5)

Remaining Schedule: at New Orleans, Tampa Bay
5-2 ATS (71%) in domes
7-2 Under (78%) in domes
3-1 Under (75%) vs. AFC South

ARIZONA CARDINALS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule: at Cincinnati, Seattle
4-2 ATS (67%) as a road underdog
5-2 (71%) Under on the road

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule: San Francisco, at Arizona
8-2 ATS (80%) vs. NFC
8-3 ATS (73%) as an underdog
6-1 (85%) Over at home

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26577 Followers:33
12/22/2011 08:07 PM

NFL

Thursday, December 22

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Houston - 8:20 PM ET Indianapolis +7 500

Indianapolis - Over 40.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26577 Followers:33
12/22/2011 08:09 PM

NFL

Thursday, December 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday Night Football: Texans at Colts
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (+5.5, 40)

THE STORY: Since the Houston Texans entered the league in 2002, the road to the AFC South title has typically gone through Indianapolis. That script has finally changed this season for Houston, which has already wrapped up the division title and would like to use Thursday night's visit to the Colts as a steppingstone to even loftier goals. The Texans are still in the hunt for one of the top two seeds and a first-round bye in the playoffs, but they'll need to end a major hex by winning in Indianapolis for the first time. The Colts finally got in the win column last week with a 27-13 victory over Tennessee.

TV: NFL Network, 8:20 p.m. ET.

LINE: The Texans opened as high as 6.5-point favorites and have dropped to -5.5. The total

ABOUT THE TEXANS (10-4, 9-4-1 ATS): Houston had its seven-game winning streak snapped at home by Carolina, a loss that cost the Texans a chance to move ahead of Baltimore. WR Andre Johnson (hamstring) will sit out his third straight game, so expect rookie QB T.J. Yates to hand off liberally to RBs Arian Foster and Ben Tate. Foster has rushed for 333 yards and two TDs in two games vs. the Colts, and Tate went for 116 yards and a TD in a season-opening 34-7 win over the Colts. Yates was intercepted twice last week.

ABOUT THE COLTS (1-13, 5-9-0 ATS): Indianapolis has yielded an AFC-worst 395 points, but its defense came through with the decisive play to snap its 13-game skid when Jacob Lacey returned an interception for a touchdown against the Titans. It marked only the second time that the Colts have held an opponent under 20 points. QB Dan Orlovsky threw for only 87 yards and the Colts managed just 10 first downs, but Donald Brown rambled for a career-high 161 yards, including a clinching 80-yard touchdown run. Brown has a TD in three of his last four games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Foster rushed for a franchise-record 231 yards against the Colts in Week 1 of the 2010 season.

2. Colts DEs Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis have 15.5 and 12.2 sacks, respectively, against the Texans – their most vs. any opponent.

3. Houston is 0-9 all time in Indy, but is 4-0 against the AFC South this season.

TRENDS:

* Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.
* Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Indianapolis.
* Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
* Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.

PREDICTION: Texans 20, Colts 17. Houston hammers away with its ground game and survives a close call to win in Indy for the first time.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26577 Followers:33
12/22/2011 08:11 PM

NFL

Thursday, December 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tale of the tape: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tale of the tape: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (6.5, 40)

Offense

Indy’s ranks 31st in total offense, producing just over 283 total yards per game. That’s translating to just 15.1 points per game. On the plus side, wideout Pierre Garcon is 125 receiving yards away from a 1,000-yard season and the Colts are averaging 4.4 yards per run (10th in the league). Quarterback Dan Orlovsky is set to make his fourth consecutive start and is completing 64.3 percent of his passes while averaging 6.2 yards per attempt.

Arian Foster continues to pace Houston’s attack, leading the league by averaging 138.9 yards from scrimmage per game. The Texans sit second in the NFL with 151.8 rushing yards per game and rank eighth in average points per contest at 24.5. With wideout Andre Johnson out again and tight end Owen Daniels questionable, Jacoby Jones could be the team’s top receiving threat this week. He’s averaging 17.3 yards per catch. Quarterback T.J. Yates is completing only 57 percent of his passes with Matt Schaub and Matt Leinart on the shelf.

Edge: Texans


Defense

Houston’s defense ranks second in total defense (277.9 ypg) and passing defense (181.1 ypg) and gives up only 16.9 points per contest (fourth). Jonathan Joseph and Jason Allen are tied for the team lead with four interceptions apiece while Connor Barwin tops the club with 10.5 sacks. Houston ranks second in the AFC with 25 takeaways, three fewer than New England.

Indianapolis has been getting gashed all season. The Colts allow 385.4 total yards per game (29th) and allow 28.2 points per contest (30th). They normally yield about 138 yards per game on the ground, but did manage to hold the Titans to 55 rushing yards in last week’s win. However, they did give up 322 passing yards in the victory. Veteran ends Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis have combined for 14 sacks on the year, but Indy has forced just 15 turnovers all year.

Special teams

The Texans average 24.6 yards per kickoff and Jacoby Jones already returned a kick back to the house against Indy in the first meeting between these two teams. Houston’s Neil Rackers has hit 26 of his 32 field goal attempts with a long of 54, while Indy’s Adam Vinatieri has hit 17 of his 20 attempts with a long of 53 yards. Indy ranks 31st in the league allowing 31.5 yards per kick return and 32nd in kick returns (19.7 yards).

Edge: Texans.


Word on the street

“It is a wake-up call, and it’s up to us as leaders to let our team know what exactly this game is. I wouldn’t say it has to happen, but if it does happen, it’s needed for you to be battle-tested in a situation like this, for us to grow as a team. You got to take your (knocks). You got to take your hits on the chin.” – Houston Texans defensive end Antonio Smith.

“I'm excited for those guys. I'm happy for them, but I think they all understand the competitor that I am and when Thursday night comes and we step on the field, just like they would say, we're going to go out and compete against each other.” – Indy quarterback Dan Orlovsky on facing his former team Thursday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26577 Followers:33
12/22/2011 08:13 PM

NFL odds: Week 16 opening line report

Leave it to Rex Ryan to hype a matchup of teams coming off embarrassing losses.

“I didn’t come here to be anybody’s little brother,” the Jets coach said of Saturday’s game vs. the Giants at their shared stadium.

“I came here to win, to be looked at that way and to take over not just this city, even though it’s the city to take over, but also this league. I haven’t accomplished that yet. Saturday, I think, will go a long way toward doing that.”

Ryan said his Jets, who imploded in Sunday’s 45-19 loss at Philly, were clearly superior to the Giants his first two years as coach.

“We made the playoffs, went to the championship game,” Ryan said. “To say that a team is better than you that never made the playoffs is ridiculous.”

Maybe Ryan’s bombast will motivate the G-Men. Nothing else seems to.

The Giants came out flat at home Sunday, losing 23-10 to Washington.

The Giants should be happy they’re technically the road team Saturday: Their own season-ticket holders can’t boo them.

Coughlin’s crew is 3-4 at home, 2-4-1 against the spread, compared to 4-3 SU and ATS on the road.

Oddsmakers opened the Jets as 3-point favorites. Playoff implications abound for both teams.

“You figure there’s no homefield advantage so it’s basically a true power number,” Todd Fuhrman, senior race and sports analyst for Caesars Entertainment, told ***********. “The Giants struggle when they play at MetLife Stadium. I’m willing to bet they’d rather travel.

“I can’t figure this team out,” he added. “It’s got to be leadership or coaching because every time they’re expected to win, they fall flat on their face.”

The Jets “beat themselves” with four turnovers Sunday, Fuhrman said, adding there may be some value in Gang Green.

MGM Mirage sportsbook manager Jeff Stoneback noted the Jets won three straight before the disaster in Philly.

“But the Giants, you can’t figure out what team is going to show up,” he said. “They throw in these stinkers, losing at home to the Redskins and losing at home to the Seahawks when Seattle wasn’t playing well.”

Lucky’s oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro said the Jets and Giants “went on a picnic somewhere Sunday – they didn’t show up. The Giants being so flat was incredible. I still think the Jets are the better team. Nothing spectacular, though.”

Vaccaro said he has no idea where this line will go.

“Who the hell knows with two dysfunctional teams?”

Giants-Jets and Eagles-Cowboys will draw the most action on Saturday’s 13-team card, oddsmakers said.

You can find Dallas anywhere from a 3- to a 1.5-point home favorite. Not only have the Eagles righted themselves, they’re somehow still alive in the NFC East.

“That’s a tough one,” said Stoneback, who opened Dallas at -2.5 (-120). “We’re going to give Philadelphia a little bit more credit. The sharps would come in on Philly if we opened at 3.”

Fuhrman, who opened Cowboys -2.5, called this line “one of the trickier numbers to set.”

“Right now the buzz around Philly is quite extensive and this is the healthiest they’ve been in some time,” he said. “You go back to what the Cowboys have done in big divisional games. They haven’t exactly been a good bet.”

BIGGEST SPREADS OF THE WEEK

St. Louis at Pittsburgh (-15.5, 37.5), Cleveland at Baltimore (-13.5, 39), Miami at New England (-10, 48.5), Jacksonville at Tennessee (-9.5, 40)

The Rams-Steelers line hinges on Big Ben’s status.

Pop quiz: What are 38-24, 41-14 and 38-7? Scores of the last three Pats-Dolphins games, all easy New England covers.

SMALLEST SPREAD OF THE WEEK

Oakland at Kansas City (1, 42), San Diego at Detroit (-1.5, 50.5)

This line opened at K.C. -1 and immediately flipped to Oakland -1.

The Chiefs are on letdown alert after ending Green Bay’s perfect season. But it’s obvious players want interim coach Romeo Crennel to get the permanent gig; they’re going all out.

The Raiders are 5-2 ATS on the road.

San Diego has won and covered three straight after an 0-6 SU and ATS skid. The Chargers are 23-2 in December with Rivers starting.

BIGGEST TOTALS OF THE WEEK

Atlanta at New Orleans (-7, 53), Philadelphia at Dallas (-3, 50.5), San Diego at Detroit (-1.5, 50.5)

Drew Brees could break Dan Marino’s single-season passing yards record on Monday night. He’s 305 yards away -- a subpar game for him. Brees has thrown for at least 322 yards in five straight, with 16 TDs and no INTs.

SMALLEST TOTALS OF THE WEEK

St. Louis at Pittsburgh (-14.5, 37), Cleveland at Baltimore (-13.5, 39), Arizona at Cincinnati (-4.5, 40), Jacksonville at Tennessee (-9.5, 40), Houston at Indianapolis (6, 40.5)

Four of the last five Cleveland-Baltimore games have stayed under, including the Ravens’ 24-10 win three weeks ago. Baltimore ran 55 times for 290 yards and controlled the ball for more than 37 minutes.

The Jaguars have given up an average of 31 points the last three games. All easily sailed over.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26577 Followers:33
12/22/2011 08:15 PM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 16

Houston at Indianapolis
The Texans look to bounce back from their 28-13 loss to Carolina and build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Houston is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Texas favored by 18. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-5 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 22

Game 101-102: Houston at Indianapolis (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 140.932; Indianapolis 123.175
Dunkel Line: Houston by 18; 43
Vegas Line: Houston by 5 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-5 1/2); Over

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 24

Game 103-104: Oakland at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 126.672; Kansas City 134.201
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 7 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 1; 42
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-1); Under

Game 105-106: Denver at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 129.128; Buffalo 125.046
Dunkel Line: Denver by 4; 37
Vegas Line: Denver by 1 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1 1/2); Under

Game 107-108: Jacksonville at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 122.669; Tennessee 134.875
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 12; 44
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 7 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-7 1/2); Over

Game 109-110: Arizona at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 130.814; Cincinnati 132.311
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 4 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+4 1/2); Over

Game 111-112: Miami at New England (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 130.935; New England 143.683
Dunkel Line: New England by 12 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: New England by 9 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: New England (-9 1/2); Under

Game 113-114: Cleveland at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 126.245; Baltimore 141.201
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 15; 42
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 13; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-13); Over

Game 115-116: NY Giants at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 130.451; NY Jets 131.334
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 1; 42
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Under

Game 117-118: Minnesota at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 125.248; Washington 128.318
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3; 48
Vegas Line: Washington by 6 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+6 1/2); Over

Game 119-120: Tampa Bay at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 117.408; Carolina 137.242
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 20; 46
Vegas Line: Carolina by 7 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-7 1/2); Under

Game 121-122: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 119.328; Pittsburgh 137.191
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 18; 43
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 15 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-15 1/2); Over

Game 123-124: San Diego at Detroit (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 140.875; Detroit 133.727
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 7; 47
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+2 1/2); Under

Game 125-126: San Francisco at Seattle (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 134.795; Seattle 138.624
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4; 41
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3; 38
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3); Over

Game 127-128: Philadelphia at Dallas (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 136.885; Dallas 133.912
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3; 46
Vegas Line: Dallas by 2 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+2 1/2); Under


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 25

Game 129-130: Chicago at Green Bay (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 126.530; Green Bay 141.734
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 15; 42
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 13; 45
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-13); Over


MONDAY, DECEMBER 26

Game 131-132: Atlanta at New Orleans (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 138.297; New Orleans 144.029
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 7; 53
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26577 Followers:33
12/22/2011 08:16 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 16


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, December 22

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (10 - 4) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 13) - 12/22/2011, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, December 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (7 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (6 - 8) - 12/24/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 34-63 ATS (-35.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 26-59 ATS (-38.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (8 - 6) at BUFFALO (5 - 9) - 12/24/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
DENVER is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BUFFALO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (4 - 10) at TENNESSEE (7 - 7) - 12/24/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (7 - 7) at CINCINNATI (8 - 6) - 12/24/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (5 - 9) at NEW ENGLAND (11 - 3) - 12/24/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 143-107 ATS (+25.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (4 - 10) at BALTIMORE (10 - 4) - 12/24/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (7 - 7) at NY JETS (8 - 6) - 12/24/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against AFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (2 - 12) at WASHINGTON (5 - 9) - 12/24/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-77 ATS (-37.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (4 - 10) at CAROLINA (5 - 9) - 12/24/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (2 - 12) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 4) - 12/24/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
ST LOUIS is 93-123 ATS (-42.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (7 - 7) at DETROIT (9 - 5) - 12/24/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in dome games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 3) at SEATTLE (7 - 7) - 12/24/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (6 - 8) at DALLAS (8 - 6) - 12/24/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 146-107 ATS (+28.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
DALLAS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, December 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (7 - 7) at GREEN BAY (13 - 1) - 12/25/2011, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 5-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, December 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (9 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (11 - 3) - 12/26/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in dome games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
ATLANTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-45 ATS (-29.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in December games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26577 Followers:33
12/22/2011 08:17 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 16


Thursday, 12/22/2011

HOUSTON at INDIANAPOLIS, 8:20 PM ET NFL Network
HOUSTON: 8-1 Under as favorite
INDIANAPOLIS: 22-8 ATS revenging loss of 14+ points


Saturday, 12/24/2011

OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
OAKLAND: 8-0 ATS in division road games
KANSAS CITY: 10-2 Under L12 games

DENVER at BUFFALO, 1:00 PM ET
DENVER: 11-2 ATS on Saturdays
BUFFALO: 1-8 ATS off division game

JACKSONVILLE at TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 6-0 Under off road game
TENNESSEE: 6-0 Under second half of season

ARIZONA at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
ARIZONA: 0-6 ATS in December road games
CINCINNATI: 1-11 ATS as home favorite

MIAMI at NEW ENGLAND, 1:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 10-3 ATS as double digit loss
NEW ENGLAND: 26-10 ATS L2 wks of reg season

CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE, 1:00 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 2-8 ATS on grass
BALTIMORE: 7-0 ATS after allowing 400+ yds

NY GIANTS at NY JETS, 1:00 PM ET
NY GIANTS: 10-2 ATS Away vs. AFC East
NY JETS: 24-9 Over in all games

MINNESOTA at WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 16-4 Over after being outgained by 150+ total yards
WASHINGTON: 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

TAMPA BAY at CAROLINA, 1:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 2-10 ATS on Saturday
CAROLINA: 11-1 Under as home favorite

ST LOUIS at PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 2-11-1 ATS this season
PITTSBURGH: 13-3 Over on Saturday

SAN DIEGO at DETROIT, 4:05 PM ET
SAN DIEGO: 6-0 Over Away off home win
DETROIT: 0-4 ATS vs. San Diego

SAN FRANCISCO at SEATTLE, 4:15 PM ET
SAN FRANCISCO: 0-6 ATS in December road games
SEATTLE: 4-21 ATS off win by 21+

PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS, 4:15 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 13-4 Under after scoring 40+
DALLAS: 4-15 ATS as favorite


Sunday, 12/25/2011

CHICAGO at GREEN BAY, 8:20 PM ET NBC
CHICAGO: 1-7 ATS off SU loss by 14+ as home favorite
GREEN BAY: 6-0 Under vs. Chicago


Monday, 12/26/2011

ATLANTA at NEW ORLEANS, 8:30 PM ET ESPN
ATLANTA: 14-5 ATS at New Orleans
NEW ORLEANS: 9-0 Under off BB road wins

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26577 Followers:33
12/22/2011 08:18 PM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Texans (10-4) @ Colts (1-13)— Short week for both teams after Indy got monkey off back for first win; Colts covered last three games, are 2-4 as home dog. Texans already clinched AFC South, have rookie QB starting- they’ve won last four road games, scoring 29.5 ppg, but had 7-game win streak snapped by Carolina- they’re still without DC Phillips. Houston (-8.5) crushed Indy 34-7 in season opener, outrushing Colts 167-64 and running punt back for TD; Texans are 0-9 in franchise history here, but obviously Manning was QB in those games. Favorites are 5-3 vs spread in AFC South games this year. Four of last five Texan games, five of last seven Indy games stayed under total. Texans are 7-2 vs spread as a favorite this year, 3-0 on road, with road wins by 10-34-28-1-7 points.

Raiders (7-7) @ Chiefs (5-9)— KC played with renewed enthusiasm in upset of Packers, with Orton winning his first Chief start; now archrival Raiders visit, having won last four visits here, allowing 11.3 ppg. Chiefs (+4) shut Raiders out 28-0 in Week 7 at Oakland, scoring two defensive TDs, one on second play of game; KC had six INTs, three against Palmer when he made Raider debut in second half. That game was one of only four games in NFL all year where losing side didn’t score TD or attempt FG. Oakland blew 13-point lead with 7:37 left Sunday for third loss in row, allowing Stafford to drive 98 yards for winning score, after tactical error kept lead at 13, instead of going for 2 and trying for 14-point lead after last TD. Fifth road game in seven weeks for Raider squad that lost last two away games, 34-14/46-16 (outscored 44-0 in first half).

Broncos (8-6) @ Bills (5-9)— Denver still holds its AFC West destiny in own hands; Broncos had 6-game win streak snapped by Patriots, but Tebow is 5-0 in road starts, winning last two by FG each, at Chargers/Vikings. Buffalo is in total freefall, losing last seven games (1-6 vs spread), with five of the seven by 10+ points; they were 0-11 on 3rd down vs Miami, allowed Fish to run for 254 yards 202 by Reggie Bush. Denver won last three visits here by 2-1-11 points, as visitor won four of last five series games. Broncos’ last loss here was in ’94. This is only second game this year on artificial turf for Denver. Bills lost last three home games by 16-6-7 points; they won first three home games, then beat Redskins in “home” game in Toronto, but haven’t won back in Orchard Park since then. Buffalo has lost field position by 8+ yards in six of last seven games.

Jaguars (4-10) @ Titans (7-7)—Hideous loss at Indy last week damaged Titans’ playoff chances, almost as much as when Jags (-3) beat Tennessee 16-14 in season opener, outrushing Titans 163-43, converting 8 of 11 on 3rd down. Tennessee ran ball for 59-66 yards in last two games; hard to describe how listless they looked in indy loss, when win would have them in playoff spot had season ended today. Jags are 1-4 as road underdogs, losing away games by 29-6-4-4-27 points. Titans are 2-4 as favorite this year, 2-3 at home, winning in Nashville by 13-3-17-6 points, with losses to Texans-Bengals-Saints. Jaguars are 4-3 in last seven visits here, but haven’t swept Titans since ’05. Jax has three extra days to prep here after dismal Thursday night loss in Atlanta. Legit question for Titans: Should they be giving QB of future Locker experience in last two games?

Cardinals (7-7) @ Bengals (8-6)— Cruel of schedule maker to put dome-loving Redbirds in cold weather site on Christmas Eve, but Arizona has won six of last seven games, with three of those wins in OT and other three by 4 or less points, as young QB Skelton/dynamic punt returner Peterson have done just enough to win these close games. Bengals are 2-4 in last six games, with wins vs doormats Browns/Rams; Cincy is 2-3-1 as favorite this year, 1-3 at home, and only cover was on defensive TD late in Indy game- they’re 3-3 SU at home, winning by 3-10-3 points. Home team won eight of nine series games, with Cardinals winning last visit here 35-27 in ’07, their only win in six visits to Cincy. NFC West road underdogs are 10-7-1 in non-divisional games; AFC North home favorites are 6-8-1. Over is 3-1-1 in last five Bengal games, 1-4-2 in Arizona’s last seven games.

Dolphins (5-9) @ Patriots (11-3)— Miami is 5-2 since 0-7 start; no matter who next coach is, he doesn’t need a QB, as Moore has proven to be capable leader. Dolphins ran ball for 254 yards Sunday, second time in three weeks they topped 200 mark, bad news for Patriot defense that allowed Denver 252 rushing yards in 41-23 win in Mile High City (+3 turnover ratio led to 24-yard edge in field position for Pats). New England (-7) won first meeting 38-24 in season opener at Miami, as Brady passed for 516 yards (10.5 ypa); Patriots are 3-3 as home favorites, winning at home by 14-9-4-31-7 points- they’re 2-5 vs spread this year when laying more than 7. Miami is 5-2 as a road dog this season. Five of last six Patriot games went over total; under is 9-2-1 in Miami’s last dozen, but first game without Sparano went over. Miami lost four of last five visits here, with losses by 10-21-10-31 points.

Browns (4-10) @ Ravens (10-4)— Cleveland is 1-7 in last eight visits here, losing last three by 18-31-7 points; Baltimore (-7) won first meeting 24-10 on Lake Erie three weeks ago, outrushing Browns 290-59 and getting PR for TD; Flacco completed just 10-23 passes in game where Ravens outgained hosts 448-233. Four of last six Cleveland games were decided by 4 or less points; Browns are 2-3 as road underdog this year, losing last five road games by 7-10-18-3-11 points. Ravens are 4-2-1 as home favorites this year, winning home games by 28-17-15-3-7-10-14 points. Under is 4-1-1 in last seven Cleveland games, 3-1 in Ravens’ last four. Home teams are 2-6-1 vs spread in AFC North divisional games, with over 5-3-1 in those games. Ravens have five sacks in their four losses, 40 in their ten wins.

Giants (7-7) @ Jets (8-6)— This is Jet home game, but teams share stadium, so in reality home game #9 for Giant club that lost five of last six games, and fizzled out Sunday as soon as Nicks dropped sure TD pass on first series vs Redskins. Giant defense allowed average of 36 ppg last four weeks, allowing foes to convert 32 of last 63 (5x.x%) 3rd down plays. Jets are 6-1 at home this year, with only loss to Patriots; they’re 4-3 as home favorites, but anytime a contending team trails 28-0 after 20:03 of play in a game they need to win, red flags are raised. Both Jersey teams stunk last week, but Jets lucked out when Titans/Raiders also lost, so they’re still #6 AFC team. Last four Jet games, three of last four Giant games went over total. Giants are 7-4 in once-every-four years-rivalry, winning last four by 7-13-3-11 points, with average total in last three, 62.3.

Vikings (2-12) @ Redskins (5-9)— Minnesota is 2-12 despite leading four games this year by 8+ points at half (lost all four); they’re 3-2-1 as road dogs this season, losing away games by 7-5-24-38-10-6 points, with a win at Carolina. Vikings allowed 35-34-42 points in last three games (11 TDs on 35 drives). Skins covered four of last five games (2-2 in last four SU); they’re favored here for first time since Week 4. Washington lost last five home games since winning first two, by 1-14 points. Vikings won three of last fur visits here; three of last four series games were decided by 4 or less points. Four of last five Washington games, seven of last nine Viking games went over the total. NFC East home favorites are 4-9 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC road underdogs are 5-3-1.

Buccaneers (4-10) @ Panthers (5-9)— Carolina won three of last four games, scoring 29 ppg; they’re 3-2 as a favorite this year, with four of five wins by 8+ points. Tampa Bay was 4-2 when they went to London to play Bears in October; they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight games since, with only cover a 35-26 loss at Lambeau; Carolina (+3.5) came to Tampa and whacked Bucs 38-19 three weeks ago, outrushing hosts 163-78, averaging 9.3 ypa and scoring five TDs on nine drives. Buccaneers are 3-6 as dog this year, 2-4 on road, losing true road games by 45-11-9-6-27 points. Home teams are 7-2 vs spread in NFC South games, 5-2 if favored. Rarely a good idea to back bad team coming off national TV game; they usually empty their bucket in front of big TV audience. Bucs have led one game at halftime this year, Week 3 against Atlanta.

Rams (2-12) @ Steelers (10-4)— Monday night loss puts Pitt behind 8-ball for division title and first round bye; Big Ben’s ankle is in bad shape, not sure what tack they take here vs pathetic Ram squad (0-11-1 vs spread in 12 losses) with #3 QB Clemens at helm. St Louis is 1-6 as road underdog this year, losing away games by 12-21-27-6-26-17 points, with win at Cleveland when the Browns botched snap on 21-yard GW FG in last 1:30. Pitt only allowed three offensive TDs in last four games (40 drives), one on 17-yard drive at SF after a turnover- they’re 3-3 as home favorites, winning at Heinz by 24-21-4-8-28-11 points, with costly loss to Ravens. NFC West road underdogs are 10-7-1 vs spread in non-divisional games; AFC North home favorites are 6-8-1. Under is 8-3 in Rams’ last 11 games, 4-1-1 in Steelers’ last six.

Chargers (7-7) @ Lions (9-5)— Detroit can wrap playoff spot with win after dramatic 98-yard drive in final minutes gave them a key win at Oakland last week; Lions are 2-3 in last five home games, 4-5 vs spread as favorite, 3-3 at home, with home wins by 45-11-14-6 points. San Diego won its last three games, scoring 38-37-34 points (13 TDs on 27 drives); after turning ball over 24 times in first 10 games, Chargers have just one turnover in last four games- their win last week was first cover in five tries as an underdog this year. AFC West road underdogs are 5-9-1 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC North favorites are 12-13, 8-8 at home. Five of last seven Detroit games, five of San Diego’s six road games went over total. Lions are 9-0 when they score 24+ points, 0-5 when they don’t Bolts held last four foes to average of 13.5 ppg.

49ers (11-3) @ Seahawks (7-7)—49ers still playing to hold off Saints for #2 seed and first-round bye in playoffs; they started season with 33-17 win (-5.5) over Seattle, breaking game open with pair of special teams TDs in last 5:00. Niners are +25 in turnovers; they’ve started 31 drives in enemy territory, their opponents six (none since Week 3). Seattle won five of last six games, covered six of last seven- they’re 8-1-1 vs spread in last ten games as underdog. Home underdogs are 8-4 vs spread in NFC divisional games, 2-0 in NFC West. Under is 5-3-1 in NFC West divisional games. 49ers have won field position battle by 13+ yards in six of last seven games. Under is 4-0-1 in Niners’ last five games, 0-4 in Seattle’s last four. Seahawks have three TDs on defense, one on special teams, eight on offense in their last three games, scoring 33 ppg.

Bears (7-7) @ Packers (13-1)—Now that Packers have a loss and already clinched home field thru NFC playoffs, not sure how much regulars play here; they won 27-17 at Chicago (-3.5) in Week 3, holding Bears to 13 rushing yards while forcing six 3/outs on 13 drives. Green Bay is 5-1 as home favorite this year, winning by 8-26-21-38-9-30 points. Punchless Bears lost last four games, by 5-7-3-24 points; they were held under 100 passing yards (88-86-89) in last three. Chicago is 2-3 as road dog this season, losing on foreign soil by 17-11-5-3 points- they scored total of 21 points in losing last three visits here by 34-6-7 points. Home favorites are 3-1 vs spread in NFC North divisional games; over is 5-3 in NFC North games this year. Over is 5-2 in last seven Chicago games, 6-2 in Packers’ last eight games.

Eagles (6-8) @ Cowboys (8-6)—Philly stays alive by winning here, and if Jets beat Giants; Iggles (-3.5) hammered Dallas 34-7 (at home in Week 8, outrushing Pokes 239-95, outgaining them 495-267. Philly won here 30-27 LY, their first win in last four visits- they haven’t swept Dallas since ‘06. Nine of 14 Dallas games were decided by 4 or less points or in OT; they’re 2-5 as home favorite this year, with only covers vs Rams/Bills. Eagles won 26-10/45-19 in two games since Vick returned from injury, scoring eight TDs on 27 drives, with three of the eight TD drives starting in enemy territory, thanks to seven takeaways. Underdogs are 7-2 vs spread in NFC East divisional games (under 6-3), 5-1 on road. If Giants beat Jets, Eagles are eliminated, but game becomes meaningless for Dallas, instead setting up winner-take-all tilt in Swamp Stadium next week.

Falcons (9-5) @ Saints (11-3)—New Orleans (even) won 26-23 at Atlanta in OT six weeks ago, when Falcons went for it on 4th-and-1 on own 29 in OT but failed, after rallying from 10 down in last 5:00 to tie game- it was fifth win in last six series meetings for NO. Atlanta won here 27-24 in OT LY, snapping 6-game skid in Superdome, with losses by 3-13-20-6-4-8 points (they beat Saints in Alamodome in ’05, after Hurricane Katrina). Falcons are 2-2 as underdog this year; this is first time they’re getting points since Week 7 win at Detroit. Teams that beat Saints this year scored 42-26-31 points. WhoDats won and covered their last six games- they’re 6-0 as home favorite this year, winning at home by 17-7-55-11-25-14 points (average score, 40-18). Eight of last ten Atlanta games stayed under total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: