cnotes Posts:23820 Followers:32
12/20/2011 07:59 PM

Cam Newton, Panthers Host Struggling Tampa Bay Buccaneers

If the young Carolina Panthers could finish games more consistently, they would be a factor in the NFC playoff race. Instead, the Panthers (5-9) find themselves on the outside looking in with an opportunity to simply extend the losing streak of another NFC South team on Saturday when they host the struggling Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-10).

Game time is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. (ET) with television coverage provided by FOX. Carolina opened as a 7-point favorite according to the Don Best odds screen and has seen some early betting action move the line to -7½ at some sports books with the total moving down from 49 to 48.

The Panthers have led in 13 of their 14 games this season, but have not played particularly well in the second half, especially the fourth quarter. In their last two losses, they led the Atlanta Falcons and Detroit Lions by double digits at halftime only to get outscored 59-8 after the intermission.

Carolina just snapped a seven-game winning streak for the playoff-bound Houston Texans with a big 28-13 road win last Sunday though and appears to have an easier task in Week 16. Tampa Bay has dropped eight straight games, going 1-7 against the spread during that stretch.

The Bucs turned in a dismal performance at home last Saturday in a 31-15 loss to the Dallas Cowboys, trailing 28-0 at halftime before scoring all of their points in the third quarter. They only advanced into Dallas territory once in the fourth quarter and saw the total slip ‘under’ for just the second time in their past six games.

Tampa Bay was crushed at home by the Panthers 38-19 in Week 13 and will try to avoid a series sweep, which has occurred between the teams in the previous two years. Carolina outscored the Buccaneers 14-7 in the second half after building a 24-12 halftime lead and took advantage of backup quarterback Josh Johnson filling in for starter Josh Freeman due to a shoulder injury.

Freeman’s regression has been one of the main reasons Tampa has been such a disappointment this year. He has thrown 13 touchdowns and 18 interceptions in 13 games after totaling 25 and six, respectively, in a full season a year ago.

The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings between the teams, but the Panthers are just 2-6 ATS in their past eight against divisional opponents. Carolina has won three of four overall both straight-up and ATS following a 2-8 start. The Bucs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games, including 1-5 in their true home games.

The high temperature on Saturday in Tampa Bay is expected to reach 80 under partly cloudy skies.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23820 Followers:32
12/20/2011 08:01 PM

Giants And Jets Meet In NFL Armageddon

The Saturday NFL Armageddon between the Jets and Giants and will have a lot more riding on it than just who is ‘King of New York.’

The Jets are between 2½-3 point favorites with a total of 46 points. They are the home team at shared MetLife Stadium, but there should be plenty of Giants fans who get their hands on tickets. FOX will broadcast at 1:00 p.m. (ET).

The Jets (8-6 straight up, 6-8 against the spread) are coming off an embarrassing 45-19 loss at Philadelphia as 3-point ‘dogs. They’re currently tied with Cincinnati for the AFC’s last wild-card, but should advance with tiebreakers if they win Saturday and at Miami in Week 17. They can possibly get in with a 9-7 SU mark, but would need help.

Coach Rex Ryan has already started his pre-game tough talk, saying he has the better team. The Jets players have mostly responded well to his past bravado, making the AFC title game in his first two seasons, although few remember they ‘back-doored’ their way into the 2009 postseason.

The Giants (7-7 SU, 6-7-1 ATS) should feel more humiliated than the Jets after a 23-10 loss to Washington last Sunday. Not only were they home as 5½-point favorites, but it resulted in a season-sweep against underwhelming quarterback Rex Grossman.

The G-Men are just 1-5 SU (2-4 ATS) in their last six games, with the win a miracle comeback at Dallas (37-34) two weeks ago. They remarkably still control their own destiny in the NFC East. It will require winning out with the Cowboys visiting the final week. The Giants are already eliminated from wild-card contention, so Saturday is a season-saver.

Coach Tom Coughlin has the polar opposite personality of Ryan, keeping most of his verbiage to ‘coach-speak,’ but he also hasn’t had Ryan’s recent late-season success. The Giants have made the playoffs just once since their 2007 Super Bowl run, going 7-11 SU (8-10 ATS) in December and January combined. He will likely be fired with a loss.

The Jets game-plan will be to run the ball and protect Mark Sanchez, neither of which was done against Philly. The quarterback was harassed and sacked four times, plus suffered a neck injury (listed as probable).

Running back Shonn Greene had 73 yards last game on 18 attempts (4.1 per carry). He averaged 98.3 yards on 5.0 yards per carry the prior three games, wins over Kansas City (37-10), Washington (34-19) and Buffalo (27-24).

The ‘over’ is 4-0 in the Jets last four games and 4-0 in their last four at home.

Sanchez hasn’t thrown for more than 181 yards in his last four contests, but that’s fine as long as he doesn’t turn it over like last week (two picks and one fumble).

The Giants game-plan will rely on the NFL’s third-ranked passing attack (299 YPG). Eli Manning easily had his worst quarterback rating of the year last game (45.5) with three picks and no TDs. He didn’t get much help from his receivers with dropped balls and wrong routes.

Manning has shown a flair for the dramatic with fourth quarter comebacks, but needs a consistent effort for all four quarters. Tight end Jake Ballard (knee) got hurt last game and is expected out. Backup Travis Beckum (chest) is also questionable. That’s big news as the Jets are vulnerable in the middle of the field with safety Jim Leonhard out for the season.

Manning will be forced to throw to his wide receiver trio of Hakeem Nicks, Victor Cruz and Mario Manningham, who are talented. However, the Jets play very well in man coverage at cornerback and the windows to throw into will be tight. Running back Ahmad Bradshaw should get more carries than bruising Brandon Jacobs as the Jets have more trouble with shiftier backs.

The Giants are also expected to be without defensive end Osi Umenyiora (ankle). He hasn’t played since Nov. 28 and the pass rush has slowed outside of Jason Pierre-Paul (13.5 sacks) as Justin Tuck (toe) is also playing banged up.

These teams have played just four times since 1996 with the Giants 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS. The ‘over’ is 3-0 in the last three. The Jets haven’t won since 1993 when Boomer Esiason was at quarterback.

Saturday weather should be in the 40s with a few showers possible.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23820 Followers:32
12/20/2011 08:03 PM

Pittsburgh Steelers Host Rams On Short Week

The Pittsburgh Steelers are saddled with a bad time to have a short week as they host the St. Louis Rams on Saturday afternoon.

Pittsburgh has still opened as 16-point favorites with a low NFL betting total of 37½ points for the matchup. FOX will have the coverage at 1:00 p.m. (ET) from Heinz Field.

The Steelers (10-4 straight up, 6-8 against the spread) played a physical game on Monday night in San Francisco, a 20-3 loss as 3-point underdogs. That means they’ll have just four days rest instead of a typical six, plus have to deal with jet lag after flying back from the West Coast.

Injuries are an even bigger concern with quarterback Ben Roethlisberger playing though a high ankle sprain. Big Ben came up small in San Fran with three interceptions and a fumble, the 52.3 QB rating his lowest this season. He was somehow able to throw for 330 yards in a gutty effort clearly affected by the injury.

Coach Mike Tomlin has a decision to make. Pittsburgh has secured at least a wild card, but needs to win out and get a Baltimore loss to take the AFC North. Roethlisberger could be sat this week for Charlie Batch or Dennis Dixon to try to get healthy for the playoffs, but that’s extremely unlikely.

The defense continues to play hard and held San Fran to just 287 total yards and the 20 points despite the four turnovers. James Harrison will return from his 1-game league suspension, but fellow linebacker LaMarr Woodley is questionable after re-injuring his hamstring.

Pittsburgh is second in the NFL in points allowed (15.6 PPG) and has been even better the last four games (9.8 PPG). The ‘under’ is 4-0 in that span with the offense only averaging 16.3 PPG with Roethlisberger previously dealing with a thumb injury.

The Steelers are 6-1 SU (4-3 ATS) at Heinz Field, with the loss coming versus Baltimore (23-20) on November 6. Running back Rashard Mendenhall is averaging 4.6 yards per carry at home, compared to just 2.8 away, and feeding him the ball makes tons of sense giving Roethlisberger’s health.

This is a very proud and resilient team, 7-0 SU and ATS in its last seven games following a defeat.

St. Louis (2-12 SU, 2-11-1 ATS) continued its miserable season with a 20-13 home loss to the previously reeling Cincinnati Bengals. There was at least a ‘push’ of the 7-point spread after a late touchdown, although the ATS mark is still the NFL’s worst.

Coach Steve Spagnuolo will almost certainly be shown the door at season-end and the same for offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. The latter could reunite with Scott Pioli in Kansas City in the same capacity despite directing the NFL’s worst offense (11.9 PPG).

That offense is the main reason for the ‘under’ going 8-3 in St. Louis’ last 11 games.

While Spagnuolo will be desperately trying to win Saturday, most fans are thinking the opposite. The Colts' win last week opens the door some for the Rams or Vikings to get the No. 1 pick and Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck. St. Louis would likely trade it after drafting Sam Bradford two years ago, but would get a bounty in return.

Bradford (ankle) will almost definitely miss his second consecutive game and backup A.J. Feeley (thumb) is questionable. Kellen Clemens had good stats (95.7 QB rating) last week after getting picked off the scrap heap, but only engineered six points until garbage time. Going against the Steelers in their place will be a much tougher challenge.

Running back Steven Jackson had 71 rushing yards last week and was the leading receiver with 72. Getting him the ball as much as possible is the best course of action, but Pitt will be zoned in on him. The team lacks a big play receiver with no one over 554 yards and Clemens will likely be running for his life with his offensive line allowing a league-high 49 sacks this season.

The Rams have has been bad both home and away. They’re 1-6 SU and ATS on the road with the last two blowout defeats at Seattle (30-13) and San Francisco (26-0).

There’s not a lot of history between these teams with Pittsburgh 2-1 SU and ATS in the three meetings since 1996. The ‘over’ is 3-0.

Weather could have some rain and snow showers, but temperatures won’t be too bad at around 40 degrees. That’s decent news for the Rams who play their home games in a dome.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23820 Followers:32
12/20/2011 08:04 PM

Baltimore Ravens Home To Battle Cleveland Browns

So far this season, the Baltimore Ravens have literally been an unstoppable team at home. They'll look to finish out a perfect regular season at M&T Bank Stadium and move one step closer towards guaranteeing themselves their first AFC North title since 2006 on Saturday afternoon when they welcome in the Cleveland Browns.

The NFL betting lines for this divisional duel will be on the board until December 24 at 1:00 p.m. (ET), and you can catch all of the festivities regionally on CBS.

It is clear that the Ravens (10-4 SU, 7-6-1 ATS) missed out on a big time chance to move up the ladder in the AFC playoff race last week. Coming into their Sunday Night Football tussle with the San Diego Chargers in Week 15, they knew that three wins would lock up the top seed in the AFC and home field advantage. That would have been incredibly important for a team that is not just 7-0 SU here at M&T Bank Stadium, but also 4-2-1 ATS, including going 3-0-1 ATS against AFC playoff contenders.

Bur following a loss to the Chargers, Baltimore now needs some help to get the top seed in the form of at least one loss by both the New England Patriots and Houston Texans, as well as winning these final two games.

An upset loss on Saturday would be crippling for the Ravens, as they could fall behind the Pittsburgh Steelers for the top spot in the AFC North. Any combination of two wins or Pittsburgh losses would give Baltimore the division title. Anything less makes it the No. 5 seed and sends the Ravens on the road once again for the postseason.

Cleveland (4-10 SU, 5-7-2 ATS) is just playing out the string on the season, and is evaluating talent going forward into 2011.

Colt McCoy is likely to sit out a second straight game with a concussion, which will likely leave Seneca Wallace in charge of the offense. Wallace played well in last week's frustrating overtime loss at the Arizona Cardinals, throwing for 226 yards and a TD and rushing for 21 yards.

Though the offense is dreadful, averaging just 13.9 PPG which ranks 30th in the league, the defense is what is probably going to kill Clevelend in this one. This unit ranks dead last in the AFC and No. 31 in the league in rush defense, allowing 145.4 YPG.

Ray Rice has to be licking his chops. He rushed for a season-high 204 yards against the Browns just three weeks ago in the Dawg Pound. Now, the former Rutgers Scarlet Knight has 1,086 yards as a rusher and 648 more as a receiver, and has a total of a dozen scores on the campaign.

The Ravens have won seven straight in this series dating back to 2007, and are 6-1 ATS in that stretch.

This week, Baltimore is given the tough task of covering a whopping 13-point spread. The total is rather low at 38½, but it is likely justified when you look at the weather forecast. Temperatures are expected to be in the 40s, with showers and windy conditions possible.

Next week, the Ravens travel to the Cincinnati Bengals, while the Browns close out their season against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Cleveland.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23820 Followers:32
12/20/2011 08:06 PM

Chargers And Lions Meet With Playoffs On Line

Teams from all across the NFL will be paying attention intently to the Week 16 showdown in Motown between the Detroit Lions and the San Diego Chargers. These two teams are both still fighting to get into the postseason in their respective conferences, and the battles should be fierce.

Kickoff from Ford Field is set for Christmas Eve at 4:05 p.m. (ET), and there will be regional television coverage of the NFL betting festivities on CBS.

The Lions are favored by 1½-points on the NFL Week 16 odds, while the total sits at 52, up from the 50½ at the start of the week.

The Chargers (7-7 SU, 5-9 ATS) have caught some fire. They have won three games in a row both SU and ATS, and they have dominated their foes, outscoring them by the aggregate score of 109-38.

However, San Diego still needs a heck of a lot of help to get into the postseason. It needs the Denver Broncos to lose twice to end the regular season just to have a shot to get into the playoffs. If the Bolts win twice and get two Denver losses to win the AFC West at 9-7, they will be just the second team in NFL history to make the playoffs in a season in which they lost six games in a row.

Philip Rivers has had a real renaissance over these last few weeks. He averaged 291.9 YPG through the air with 16 TDs against 17 INTs in his first 11 games of the season. Though his passing yard average over the last three weeks has been down a bit at 268.0 YPG, he has completed more than 72 percent of his passes in all three games – something that he had only done once prior to that this year – and he has seven scores without an interception.

Needless to say, Jim Schwartz has to be worried about this game for his Lions (9-5 SU, 6-6-2 ATS). They barely survived last week with a win at the Oakland Raiders, and it was probably the game that saved their season. There are essentially six teams fighting for two Wild Card slots right now in the NFC, and knowing that a trip to Lambeau Field is waiting in Week 17, another loss would be devastating. Odds have it, 9-7 won't be good enough for Detroit to get into the postseason.

The ground game is terrible for the Lions, as they are only averaging 97.4 YPG running the football, No. 28 in the league. Jahvid Best only played in six games this year, and even though he has been on IR for over a month, he remains the team's leading rusher with just 390 yards, and will probably stay that way through the end of the season.

That being said, this is definitely a passing game that most secondaries want no part of. Matthew Stafford is having the year of his career. He has thrown for 4,145 yards and 33 TDs against 14 INTs, and he is most likely going to end up at the Pro Bowl.

One man that is absolutely going to the Pro Bowl is Calvin Johnson, Stafford's top receiver. who has 81 grabs for 1,335 yards and 14 TDs on the campaign.

The Chargers are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, but have a great history in this series. Detroit is 0-4 SU and ATS against San Diego since 1996, and the last time these two teams played, the Chargers won 51-14 in 2007.

That being said, a heck of a lot has obviously changed for both teams. San Diego is no longer as dominating, while Detroit is finally competent again.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23820 Followers:32
12/20/2011 08:08 PM

Denver Broncos In Buffalo To Meet Skidding Bills

Tim Tebow and the Denver Broncos hope to get their magical run back on track in Buffalo against the Bills this Saturday after losing big to New England last Sunday.

Denver is currently a 3-point favorite on the Don Best odds screen. Saturday’s game starts at 1:00 p.m. (ET) and will be televised nationally on CBS.

Still holding a one-game lead over the slumping Oakland Raiders and the surging San Diego Chargers, the Broncos control their own destiny in the AFC West. To hold on to that lead, Denver will need to extend Buffalo’s current losing streak to eight straight games.

Buffalo (5-9) started the season strong at 5-2 SU (4-2-1 ATS), but have since fallen into a tailspin with seven straight losses, going just 1-6 over that span. With a road trip to New England looming next week, the Bills have to look at this game as their best remaining chance to win a game before the 2011 season comes to a close.

Multiple factors have contributed to lead Buffalo into this collapse. Ryan Fitzpatrick signed a six-year, $59 million contract extension just two days before beating Washington. Including the Washington win, Fitzpatrick was 5-2 SU and had a 14-to-7 touchdown-to-interception ratio; since then, he’s 0-7 SU with an 8-to-12 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

The other pertinent issues have been in the running game, both on offense and defense. Since Fred Jackson went down for the season in Week 10, the running game has been serviceable (99.75 yards per game), but is no longer a strength. The rushing defense is ranked 29th in the NFL allowing 139.5 yards per game; a particularly worrisome stat with the NFL’s top rushing team coming to town this week.

Denver (8-6) fell back to earth a bit last week as New England broke the Broncos’ six-game winning streak (5-0-1 ATS) and torched the Denver defense for 41 points. Since Tebow has taken over at quarterback, the defense has allowed 15 points or less in five of nine contests, but has now given up over 30 in two of Denver’s last three games.

Tim Tebow had a fairly good day against New England, passing for 194 yards and rushing for 93 with two touchdowns, but it wasn’t enough against the potent Patriots attack. The Broncos rushed for 252 yards as a team, bringing their NFL-best season average to 163.1 rushing yards per game. Miami's Reggie Bush just set a career high in rushing for 203 yards against the Bills last week; Denver’s offense is likely licking its chops.

The total for Saturday’s game is currently set at 42½. The total has gone ‘under’ in four of Denver’s last six games and in eight of Buffalo’s last 12 games at home.

Buffalo's forecast for Christmas Eve calls for an afternoon high in the upper-30s under partly cloudy skies. There is a chance for snow on Sunday, something to keep an eye on in case a white Christmas arrives a bit early.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23820 Followers:32
12/20/2011 08:09 PM

San Francisco 49ers Out To Sink Seattle Seahawks

Fresh off of their convincing win on Monday Night Fo
otball, the San Francisco 49ers head to Seattle on a short week to take on the Seahawks this Saturday afternoon.

Saturday’s game is set to kick off at 4:15 p.m. (ET) and will be televised nationally on FOX. San Francisco is currently a 3-point road favorite on the Don Best odds screen.

San Francisco can clinch the NFC’s two-seed and the first-round bye that goes with it by winning its final two games of the season, this week against Seattle and next week against St. Louis. Seattle is still mathematically alive for a Wild Card spot, but will need help from around the league.

An interesting side story to this rivalry game is that San Francisco hasn’t given up a rushing touchdown all season (14 games) and Seattle’s running back Marshawn Lynch has scored a touchdown in 10 straight games. Something has to give this week.

Seattle (7-7) has already matched its regular season win total from last year, but it obviously won’t be enough to win the NFC West this time. The Seahawks are a long shot to make the playoffs at this point, but they have played some great football down the stretch with wins in five of their last six (both SU and ATS) including four outright upsets.

Lynch has been the catalyst to Seattle’s late season surge. The sixth-year back out of Cal entered last week’s game against Chicago averaging 117.6 yards per game in his previous six games. While he only rushed for 42 yards against Chicago, he did pick up two rushing touchdowns and Seattle went on to win 38-14 as a 3½-point road underdog.

San Francisco (11-3) had lost two of its last three games both SU and ATS, but the 49ers made a clear statement that they are still a legitimate playoff contender with a convincing 20-3 win over Pittsburgh Monday night. The win and cover brought San Fran to 11-2-1 ATS on the season, best of any team in the league.

The 49ers were outgained by 102 yards, but that didn’t matter as they won the turnover battle four-nil as the defense forced and recovered a fumble while also grabbing three interceptions. With a rushing defense giving up an NFL-low 71.5 yards per game and allowing no rushing touchdowns all season, the Niners have taken the run away from teams all year long and forced them to be one-dimensional on offense.

Add to that a great running back in Frank Gore and Alex Smith protecting the football – just five interceptions on the year – and you have a great recipe for success.

Whoever wins the battle between Lynch and the San Francisco rushing defense will likely win the game as well.

These two rivals have been extremely evenly matched in recent years, both at 5-5 SU and ATS against each other over their last 10 games.

San Francisco has trended ‘under’ on total bets this year at 8-6 while Seattle has trended ‘over’ on totals at 9-5. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of Seattle’s last six games and ‘under’ in four of San Francisco’s last five. This Saturday’s total is currently set at 38.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23820 Followers:32
12/20/2011 08:11 PM

Scary Eagles On Road In Clash With Dallas Cowboys

Two weeks remain in the regular season, and the only thing we know for certain about the NFC East is the Washington Redskins will not be division champs.

That situation could begin to clear up a bit this Saturday – or the waters could become more muddied – when the Dallas Cowboys host the Philadelphia Eagles. The Christmas Eve clash is set for kickoff a little past 4:15 p.m. (ET) with FOX providing the broadcast.

The NFC East has resembled a commune during the 2011 campaign with all four teams spending time at the top of the standings at one point or another. Dallas (8-6 straight up, 5-8-1 against the spread) currently has the lead, but it's a cushion of just a game over the New York Giants with Philadelphia (6-8 SU & ATS) two back. Suggesting the Cowboys control their own destiny would be an accurate statement, yet one that carries such little weight given how inconsistent all four teams in the division have played through 15 weeks.

Philadelphia was supposed to control the division from start to finish after being lumped in with other Super Bowl favorites like Green Bay and New England before the 2011 season opened. The Eagles only spent one week in the division's penthouse following a Week 1 victory which was followed by four consecutive defeats. Last rites were delivered after a Thursday night loss in Seattle just two short NFL weeks ago left Philly 4-8.

But a funny thing happened on the way to the funeral home where 20 of the league's 32 teams will eventually find themselves in a couple of weeks. Well, not so funny to the Dolphins who the Eagles popped 26-10 in Week 14 as three-point road 'dogs, and certainly no laughing matter to the Jets last Sunday who were soundly thrashed by Philadelphia, 45-19. The Birds were favored by three in that one.

Suddenly, and despite that 6-8 record, the Eagles have been brought back to life. Not only that, but after the media piled on Andy Reid and his club for being the poster boys of underachievement, Philadelphia has become something of a chic pick to find a seat at the playoff table where they're projected to be a very dangerous group.

Even Cowboys owner Jerry Jones says that he is "scared" of the Eagles.

Yet to be heard from on the subject so far this week is Dallas defensive coordinator Rob Ryan who showed no fear of the Eagles when the clubs prepared to meet near Halloween, predicting the Cowboys were going to do a little backside kicking on the "all-hype team." Perhaps Rob's brother Rex Ryan can pass on a few clues on what a true beating is after Rex's Jets went down in flames to Philadelphia this past Sunday.

Rob Ryan and the Cowboys really don't need any clues from the Jets on what it's like to get their rear ends handed to them by the Eagles. That Halloween meeting Rob was so confident entering play? Well, Philadelphia romped past Dallas, 34-7, to easily cover that three-point spread.

That triumph by the Eagles was their second straight in a series that has run in short spurts for each team. Before this two-game mini-streak by Philly, the Cowboys had won four straight; before that, the Eagles won three in a row. Meanwhile, the betting trends during the last 10 have been level at 5-5 ATS and 5-5 'over/under.' The totals have been switching back and forth, two to the 'over' followed by two to the 'under,' and if that holds true this Saturday, the current 50½-point mark will be exceeded.

Philadelphia scored all of its 34 points in the Week 8 get-together before Dallas finally got on the board. The Cowboys' lone score came on a fourth-quarter bomb from Tony Romo to Laurent Robinson. The Eagles dominated otherwise, with LeSean McCoy breaking loose for a career-best 185 yards and two touchdowns to lead the way. Michael Vick balanced things out through the air on a 21-for-28 afternoon that netted 256 more yards for the team.

Vick and McCoy led a similarly balanced effort in last week's win over the Jets, and they'll be testing a Cowboys defense that might be without two key players due to injuries. Linebacker DeMarcus Ware (neck) and nose tackle Jay Ratliff (ribs) are both questionable for Saturday's game, with updates on each player expected later this week.

The Dallas defense posted its best numbers of the season in last week's 38-15 win at Tampa Bay. The Cowboys limited the Buccaneers to just 190 total yards and seven first downs, keeping Tampa's offense out of the end zone for nearly all of the first three quarters. Rob Ryan's unit could be in for some early shock this week, however, adjusting to far more speed out of the Eagles than what was seen against the Bucs.

Tony Romo enjoyed a fine evening in Tampa as well and, except for his Thanksgiving Day effort, has been solid since the loss to the Eagles in late-October. Felix Jones has also stepped in the last two weeks for the injured DeMarco Murray, and kept the Dallas ground game in fine form. That 'over' is suddenly looking better and better.

As for Saturday's spread, the Cowboys are currently 2-2½ point favorites, though the line might be seen as nothing more than window dressing since neither team has proven it can be trusted to win a game straight up, much less cover points in the process.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23820 Followers:32
12/20/2011 08:16 PM

Inside the Numbers - Week 16

December 20, 2011

Thursday, Dec. 22 (8:25 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
HOU: 8-4 'over' L12 off loss
HOU: 5-1-1 ATS L7 vs division
IND: 1-7 ATS L8 home
IND: 6-1 'under' L7 overall




Saturday, Dec. 24 (1:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
OAK: 6-1 'over' L7 overall
OAK: 6-3 ATS L9 away
KC: 8-1 'under' L9 overall
KC: 0-4 ATS L4 favorite

DEN: 6-1 ATS L7 away
DEN: 6-9 ATS L15 vs non-division
BUF: 1-6 ATS L7 overall
BUF: 3-6 ATS L9 home underdog

JAX: 1-7 ATS L8 away underdog
JAX: 7-0 'under' L7 off road loss
TEN: 8-0 'under' L8 overall
TEN: 7-2 ATS L9 off loss

ARZ: 2-5 ATS L7 vs AFC
ARZ: 4-7 ATS L11 'dog off win
CIN: 5-0-1 'over' L6 as favorite
CIN: 2-4 ATS L6 home

MIA: 7-1 ATS L8 overall
MIA: 4-6 ATS L10 vs division
NE: 7-3 'over' L10 home
NE: 1-5 ATS L6 9-pt favorite or more

CLE: 4-1 ATS L5 overall
CLE: 5-8-1 ATS L14 underdog
BAL: 2-5-1 ATS L8 favorite
BAL: 7-0 'over' L7 off loss

NYG: 2-6-1 ATS L9 vs AFC
NYG: 5-2 'over' L7 away
NYJ: 2-6 ATS L8 vs NFC
NYJ: 6-2 'over' L8 home

MIN: 7-2 'over' L9 overall
MIN: 4-7 ATS L11 vs non-division
WSH: 2-8-1 ATS L11 favorite
WSH: 3-6 ATS L9 vs non-division

TB: 1-7 ATS L8 overall
TB: 9-3 ATS L12 away underdog
CAR: 3-7 ATS L10 vs division
CAR: 5-3 ATS L8 home

STL: 2-11-1 ATS L14 overall
STL: 1-8 ATS L9 away
PIT: 3-8 TS L11 double-digit favorite
PIT: 5-3 ATS L8 vs NFC


Saturday, Dec. 24 (4:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
SD: 2-5 ATS L7 vs NFC
SD: 7-1 'over' L8 away
DET: 10-5 ATS L15 home
DET: 6-1 'over' L7 vs AFC


Saturday, Dec. 24 (4:15 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
SFO: 7-2 'under' L9 overall
SFO: 6-2 ATS L8 vs division
SEA: 7-2 ATS L9 home
SEA: 9-3 ATS L12 vs division

PHI: 4-1 ATS L5 away underdog
PHI: 7-3 ATS L10 vs division
DAL: 3-10 ATS L13 favorite
DAL: 0-6 ATS L6 vs division


Sunday, Dec. 25 (8:20 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
CHI: 5-2 'over' L7 overall
CHI: 3-6-1 ATS L10 underdog
GB: 6-2 ATS L8 off loss
GB: 9-2 ATS L11 home


Monday, Dec. 26 (8:35 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
ATL: 7-4 ATS L11 away
ATL: 5-3 ATS L8 vs division
NOR: 9-1 ATS L10 home
NOR: 4-8 ATS L12 off away win





Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23820 Followers:32
12/21/2011 06:32 PM

Tech Trends - Week 16

December 21, 2011

Thursday, Dec. 22 (8:25 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Even after Carolina loss,Ttexans still 7-1 SU and vs. lien last 8. Colts have posted three straight covers since Dan Orlovsky has started at QB, although Indy still only 3-10 last 13 vs. spread at Lucas Oil Stadium. Texans 6-3-1 vs. spread last 10 meetings. Texans, based on team trends.


Saturday, Dec. 24 (1:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Big visitor series reflected in Raiders' 7-0-1 spread mark last 8 at Arrowhead. Visiting team 16-2-1 vs. lien last 19 meetings. Chiefs "under" 8-1 last 9 TY. Raiders and "under," based on series and "totals" trends.

Denver has won last 6 and 8 of last 8 SU, also 6-3 vs. line last 9 with Tebow starting. Tebow now 8-4 vs. line as starter since LY. Broncos have also won and covered last five as visitor, all of those as dog! Bills 0-7 SU, 1-6 vs. line last six TY. Broncos, based on recent trends.

Jags beat Titans in opening week at home but have failed to cover 7 of last 9 as visitor. Jags also "over" three straight since Mel Tucker became interim HC after "under" 10 of first 11 TY. . Titans, however, are "under" last eight TY. Slight to Titans and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Bengals 1-4-1 last six vs. spread TY, while Big Red now 7-1 last 8 vs. spot in 2011. Marvin Lewis no covers last three as host TY and 1-3 as home chalk, 2-12 last 14 in role since 2009. Cincy "over" 8-5-1 TY. Cards and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends

Miami 4-1-1 vs. spread last 6 at Foxborough. Dolphins 22-8 their last 30 vs. points on road. "Overs" 6-3 last nine meetings, Belichick "over" 25-8 last 33 since late 2009. Dolphins and "over," based on series and "totals" trends.

Brownies only 6-16 last 22 on board since mid 2010, they've also dropped 6 of last 7 vs. line against Ravens. Browns also "under" 12-6-1 last 19 since late 2010. Ravens and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Jets "over" 10-4 in 2011, G-Men "over" 9-5 TY. Jets "over" 24-9 since LY and 28-10 since late in 2009 campaign. "Over," based on "totals" trends.

The Shan is "over" four of last five in 2011 after "under" 13-3 previous 16. Vikes "over" 7-2 last 9 TY. "Over," based on recent "totals" trends.

Bucs really hitting skids, no SU wins last 8 TY after loss to Dallas, no covers last four or 7 of last 8, also 2-9 last 11 vs. points in 2011. Cam "over" 8-5-1 TY. Panthers and slight to "over," based on recent team and "totals" trends.

Rams 2-12 SU and vs. spread TY, also 3-15 last 18 on board since late 2010. Rams 1-8 against points last nine on road as well. Rams also "under" 13-5 last 18 since late 2010. Steel "under" 4-0-1 last four TY. Steelers and "under," based on team trends.


Saturday, Dec. 24 (4:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Note Philip Rivers' 23-2 SU mark in December as a starter in career. Norv 16-6-1 vs. number in last five reg. season games since 2007. Lions only 2-7 against points last 9 in 2011. Norv "over" 9-1 last 10 away (opposite from home "under" numbers), Lions "over" 21-11-2 last 34 overall since late 2009. Norv and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

Saturday, Dec. 24 (4:15 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Pete Carroll has quietly covered 9 of last 11 TY. SF 11-2-1 vs. spread for Harbaugh in 2011 but only 2-2 last four TY. Niners only 2-5 vs. spread last 7 at Seattle. Pete Carroll also "over" 9-4 last 13 at home. Slight to Seahawks and "over," based on recent trends.

Birds have failed to cover last three (including playoffs in 2009) at Jerry Jones' new stadium. But Cowboys only 2-5 as home chalk TY and 3-10 in role in role since LY. slight to Eagles, based on extended Dallas home chalk woes. slight to Eagles, based on extended Dallas home chalk woes.


Sunday, Dec. 25 (8:20 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Even after loss at KC, Pack still 14-6 vs. spread last 20. Bears 0-4 SU and 1-3 vs. line since Jay Cutler's injury. Last eight in series "under" as well. "Under" and Pack, based on "totals" and team trends.

Monday, Dec. 26 (8:35 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Last four games in this series decided by exactly 3 points. Falcs on 6-2-1 spread uptick last nine TY, but Saints 6-0 vs. spread at Superdome this season. Last three meetings "over" at Superdome. Slight to "over" and Saints, based on series "totals" and Saints recent home trends


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: